但短期来看，王朝的变更带来巨大的不确定性，无法进入资本市场会出现债务重新谈判，外汇极度紧缺，这都需要对资本流动采取相对大程度方方面面��管制，有些管制来的更为严格。
But, in the short run, given the huge uncertainties involved in a regime switch, and the loss of access to capital markets that follows a debt renegotiation, foreign exchange becomes scarce, requiring a plethora of traditional restrictions – some more distorting than others – on capital movements.