美国经济可能在2006年开始衰退，特别是在日本经济继续复苏、美国住房市场明显疲软、欧洲经济复苏逐渐加快的情况下，美国的经济衰退更有可能发生。
The unwinding of the US economy might even begin in 2006, particularly if Japan continues to grow out of its doldrums, the US housing market softens dramatically, and Europe’s economic recovery accelerates.