当我们选择一项事业或者配偶，或是一个政治家从一堆可能性中抓住一个机会的时候，当务之急往往都是基于不完整的信息来做出可能引发连串后果的决定。
When we choose a career or a spouse in our private lives, or when a politician seizes an opportunity from a plethora of possibilities, the task at hand is always about making highly consequential decisions based on imperfect information.