一个称为贝叶斯定理的统计公式将显示民众对民意测验中的信任度会从 50%增至 67 % ， 而专家意见的信誉则由50%下降到33 % 。
A statistical formula called Bayes’ theorem then shows that belief in opinion polls would increase from 50% to 67%, while the credibility of expert opinion would fall from 50% to 33%.