经济预测是件极为困难的事情；以至于哈里·杜鲁门总统（Harry Truman）曾要求手下给他找一位独臂经济学家 — — 这样此人就无法模棱两可地说“另一方面（on the other hand ） ” 了 — — 但一直以来我的预测还是靠谱的。
Economic forecasting is notoriously difficult; but, notwithstanding the truth expressed in Harry Truman’s request for a one-armed economist (who wouldn’t be able to say “on the other hand”), my record has been credible.