new york brutal week republican presidential nominee donald trump democrat hillary clinton maintain substantial project advantage race win electoral college claim u.s. presidency accord late result reuters/ipsos state nation project release saturday election hold week project estimate clinton odds secure 270 electoral college vote need win presidency 95 percent margin 118 electoral college vote second week row project estimate odds high __________________________ state nation check state-by-state breakdown run scenarios base voter turnout result mirror electoral college projections estimate clinton chance win around 90 percent trump campaign handful state republican candidate must win cobble together enough state win white house among florida numerous recent visit sunshine state trump vice-presidential run mate mike pence little dent clinton advantage contest state 29 electoral college vote lead percentage point lead enjoy last week still race tighten ohio another important state trump ohio nevada lean toward clinton last week toss-ups however clinton support grow north carolina colorado move toss-ups lean clinton last week trump campaign struggle respond allegations several women trump grope make unwanted sexual advance several decades trump say report lie part media conspiracy defeat allegations come washington post disclose video 2005 trump describe try seduce marry woman brag vulgar term celebrity allow kiss grope women without permission accusations overshadow might otherwise difficult week clinton campaign manager email account apparently hack thousands email release wikileaks u.s. officials say russian government sanction electronic break-in email trickle two weeks include hack email undisputed comment clinton make bank big business 2014 speech comment clinton say support open trade open border take conciliatory approach wall street position late back away since release wave email release among suggest clinton inappropriately receive question advance debate bernie sanders democratic primaries without trump woes clinton email may well become central issue campaign yet three weeks go nov. election trump much time turn race around accord project trump trail double-digits among women minority group among black voters trail nearly 70 point large extent support almost entirely dependent white voters trump support among white men strong among white women lead negligible clinton heavily favor win electoral college poll