washington u.s. house speaker paul ryan expect cruise re-election wisconsin congressional district nov. day real political problems likely start ryan know shape new house representatives analysts foresee become even conservative ryan difficulties manage low chamber congress could worsen highest-ranking elect u.s. republican could spell trouble former vice presidential nominee look ahead possible presidential run 2020. staunch house conservatives question ryan commitment agenda look less kindly idea re-electing speaker early next year real test assume retain speaker gavel would get legislative result conservative house compound could u.s. senate switch democratic republican control possibly democratic president hillary clinton beat republican donald trump november election next year almost matter go tough one paul ryan say political scientist norman ornstein american enterprise institute think tank 2016 election result could cast shadow ryan presidential ambition 2020 2024 assume harbor may well decide worth partly give see within party ornstein say ryan aid reluctant monday discuss possible challenge next congress focus next 57 days defend strengthen house majority good position say ryan political spokesman zack roday republicans hold 246 435 house seat big majority decades analysts expect party lose seat november especially trump hurt fellow republicans house members serve two-year term easily re-elected political prediction newsletter sabato crystal ball tag 16 race close call ten currently hold moderate pragmatists fairly reliable supporters legislation back republican leaders include ryan five 10 retire house trump performance damage candidates ticket moderate may bear brunt result could small house republican majority dominate politically secure conservatives sort recent years defy ryan legislation shrink gop conference doubt go conservative new congress raise challenge speaker ryan form majorities slim conservative rank file say sarah binder professor political science george washington university number moderate lose seat conservatives hold house freedom caucus become powerful say kyle kondik manage editor sabato crystal ball freedom caucus house conservative bloc 40 members help eject ryan predecessor john boehner year ago lead ryan election speaker freedom caucus initially welcome ryan budget fiscal policy specialist see will listen agenda freedom caucus members unhappy since one members representative tim huelskamp kansas lose primary election last month ryan could do help huelskamp critics say huge disappointment say representative john fleming freedom caucus member louisiana run u.s. senate november huelskamp fallout drive speculation conservatives previously back ryan oppose house elect new speaker january although none say publicly think members feel yet ryan undeserving time speaker frustration leadership certainly grow say dan holler heritage action political wing heritage foundation conservative think tank paul ryan 's challenge start nov. election