madrid election catalonia fail conclusively resolve political crisis independence drive region final survey dec. 21 vote show friday ballot result hang parliament metroscopia poll show party favor unity spain tip gain maximum 62 seat pro-secession factions 63 short majority region 135-seat legislature spain bad political crisis since transition democracy four decades ago erupt october madrid crack independence referendum declare illegal take control wealthy northeastern region standoff bitterly divide society lead business exodus tarnish spain rosy economic prospect central bank friday blame events catalonia cut growth forecast 2018 2019. metroscopia poll publish el pais second survey another newspaper la razon predict record turnout catalan election vote look likely trigger weeks haggle different party try form government former catalan leader carles puigdemont campaign brussels move shortly fire madrid follow unilateral declaration independence region friday last day poll permit ballot el pais survey question 3,300 people catalonia dec. dec. 13 show party win 22 seat pro-unity party ciudadanos back minority central government mariano rajoy people party pp parliamentary vote win seat closely follow pro-independence erc maximum 36 ciudadanos 33 erc fall far short 68 seat need majority survey inconclusive split pro-unity pro-independence party would leave regional offshoot left-wing party podemos support unity want referendum independence potential kingmaker muddy water leader xavier domenech favor left-wing alliance across party back reject independence la razon poll survey 1,000 catalans also dec. dec. 13 show party favor independence win 66 seat unity supporters 60 leave catalan podemos arm nine catalan election return hang parliament poll