new york critical donald trump bernie sanders one seem poise big win predict suffer serious setback one remain state large delegate count.as sunday poll show donald trump crush ted cruz john kasich 52 percent vote hillary clinton lead bernie sanders 57.2 percent vote number hold give clinton additional 39 delegate sanders expand lead 206 245.it important make note advance last several race clinton meet howl election fraud aside sour grapes aspect constant drumbeat allege cheat shallow attempt delegitimize clinton candidate republicans president obama years condemn shameful tactic is.regardless obvious reason hillary poise easy win first new york primary state caucus state hillary under-preformed caucus average seriously over-preformed primaries essence people vote good hillary hard fact swallow fact nonetheless.second new york close primary mean register democrats vote source outrage among independents demand right vote democratic nominee course beg question people choose join party right dictate party select nominee think answer democracy allow point caucus exclude people spend 2-3 hours weeknight vote candidate term participation millions vote primaries thousands vote caucuses.glass house that.third importantly new york demographically diverse state closely resemble racial makeup democratic party whole state democratic voters overwhelmingly white sanders strong advantage everywhere else much interest data set digest november expect 54 percent democratic voters white 24 percent black 11 percent latino percent asian/everything else.in southern state majority democratic voters black clinton crush sanders conversely state overwhelm majority democratic voters white sanders crush clinton neither group state particularly representative democratic party neither good predictor evenly mix states.but look 20 state closely align demographic makeup party find abundance good news clinton 12 state vote hillary lose one hair two tiny margin tie another utterly dominate rest 29 point more.take look even good clinton remain state large delegate count part 20. new york maryland pennsylvania new jersey california represent 1,132 ream 1,647 delegate order close significantly large delegate gap bernie win state win big close primaries except california even 18 open primaries/caucuses hold far hillary 11 california dream much comfort sanders campaign.and top hillary dominate poll five state anyway.it possible one two state michigan style upset consider historically wrong poll go election seem little unlikely see mean clinton voters complacent hellllll win strong position long coattails go general election eye prize.everything else noise.featured image via eric thayer/getty image nate silver forecast easy win hillary clinton new york