moscow russian property developer sergei polonsky convict defraud investors plan run next year presidential election campaign manager say wednesday polonsky one russia flamboyant tycoons know eat tie lose wager pour scorn anyone worth less billion dollars divisive figure many russians view symbol capitalist excess russian president vladimir putin strong favorite win election opinion poll show though yet announce intention run maxim shingarkin former member russian parliament say sign polonsky campaign manager sergei polonsky confirm run president russia shingarkin say twitter post promise bone-rattling election campaign russian news media quote polonsky say plan presidential bid july moscow court find guilty fraud allow walk free say much time elapse since crime sentence legal force spend two years detention moscow await trial immediately clear polonsky conviction would disqualify run presidency people plan run presidential election march next year television personality ksenia sobchak whose late father putin boss early 1990s journalist ekaterina gordon russian tycoon fresh jail announce presidential bid