new york u.s. presidential race tighten number traditional battleground state though democrat hillary clinton remain favorite win white house accord late reuters/ipsos state nation project poll release monday project use national online opinion poll 15,000 people show thursday clinton republican rival donald trump run nearly even support florida ohio state hold advantage arizona trump hold advantage also consider toss-up meanwhile maine oregon pennsylvania consider state clinton would likely win previously consider toss-ups overall project show clinton continue hold advantage trump electoral college body ultimately pick president u.s. presidential election hold today clinton would lead trump 246 180 electoral college 88 percent chance gain 270 electoral vote need become u.s. chief executive separate reuters/ipsos online poll show majority americans felt clinton last week presidential debate past several weeks democrat maintain lead percentage point support trump among likely voters presidential race tighten florida ohio arizona