university virginia professor political scientist larry sabato release map predict electoral vote outcome 2016 election forecast blowout win democratic party.based likely nominees hillary clinton donald trump sabato currently forecast 347-191 electoral college victory clinton candidates need majority 538 electoral vote unite state win currently number 270.sabato note election analysts prefer close elections nothing could make one close predict map look similar 2012 electoral map north carolina flip republican democrat 2012 mitt romney north carolina 2.2 .sabato also predict close race state previously republican territory arizona missouri indiana georgia notably president obama indiana 2008 large black population georgia many think could soon become swing state.addressing storyline surface media trump could appeal blue-collar voters state flip democratic vote sabato throw cold water idea trump supporters independent analysts assert appeal many blue-collar white rust belt state michigan ohio pennsylvania wisconsin could pull state electoral vote republican column problem little evidence non-college voters support trump primaries defectors democrats back gop candidates fairly consistently net addition trump could small.sabato random crank egghead crystal ball forecast highly cite past accurately predict result 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 elections within electoral vote senate/house races.in 2006 msnbc anchor holt tell sabato predict democrats would pick six seat need take senate appear do get impressive record go call late go go stock pick predict big electoral college win democratic party republicans worried.featured image via public domain accurate political scientist release 2016 election map republicans hate