early vote begin battleground state north carolina months contentious litigation clear republicans want squash return show democrats eight point advantage republicans.data analysis targetsmart partner nbc news show 4,000 plus presidential ballot cast 42 percent come register democrats 34 percent republicans 25 percent unaffiliated percent libertarians.contrast 2012 mitt romney north carolina two percent early vote year state republicans hold five percent lead democrats hold eight percent lead 2008 president obama slim margin 0.33 percent democrats 11 point advantage 2004 democrats 11 point advantage kerry lose bush 13 percent.so set stone whoever accumulate early vote win last two elections early vote increase tremendously show case.nate silver fivethirtyeight currently give clinton 43 percent chance win north carolina 62 percent chance win election overall clinton chance go almost five percent last week one reason strong show democrats early vote new york time election model give clinton 48 percent chance win north carolina.again wonder governor pat mccory currently lose re-election bid gop legislature want away democrats get head start usually mean good news november.democrats get comfortable although early vote point democratic-leaning result republicans could well chance great benefit person vote november 8. president obama never overcome romney poll weeks lead election almost poll month september favor obama.with 45 days leave election anything happen democrats need continue mobilize register get vote early ballot november 8.rachel maddow break facts show feature image via justin sullivan/getty image early vote north carolina show great news democrats