madrid leaders spain industrialize northeastern region catalonia say regional population vote independence ballot sunday central government say illegal non-representative 95 percent vote count authorities say yes vote stand 90.1 percent albeit turnout little 40 percent 2.26 million 5.34 million register voters tuesday barcelona metro station close picket block main roads civil servants walk response strike call pro-independence group stand-off could take three different paths catalan leader carles puigdemont continue pledge declare unilateral independence likely prompt central government trigger article 155 spanish constitution would strip region autonomous status put direct madrid rule article 155 trigger next step would snap elections catalonia pro-independence party hold majority regional parliament help far-left group cup poll sunday ballot suggest group could lose hold power new election call however events sunday police swing truncheons fire rubber bullets direction mostly peaceful demonstrators shut referendum pro-independence party may win election result would raise doubt surround prime minister mariano rajoy ability govern rajoy immediate opposition national parliament lack number force no-confidence vote without cross-party support catalonia may force call snap national election rajoy vote minority leader twice last year two elections fractious parliament suggest snap election may prompt similar result catalan parliament give push independence rajoy may sit puigdemont hammer new deal region include good tax deal great fiscal autonomy budget minister cristobal montoro economy minister luis de guindos suggest may possibility independence drive completely abandon puigdemont yet make unilateral declaration independence instead call period reflection leave door open scenario however violent scenes sunday continue protest tuesday via partial strike across region catalan leader may keen keep face avoid see bow madrid catalans go ahead declaration independence also fail sit talk rajoy two party position diverge beyond possible compromise madrid may refer matter constitutional court legal financial action catalan leaders likely fuel animosity could prompt protest push leaders side difficult position tensions talk court three scenarios spain-catalonia stand-off