easy glance tuesday popular vote 92 percent precincts report show hillary clinton six million few vote barack obama 2012 reach conclusion clinton lose white house fail turn democratic base truth much complicate underperform relative obama 2012 total several midwestern state ohio michigan iowa wisconsin clinton run virtually even obama battlegrounds pennsylvania north carolina virginia nevada new hampshire far surpass obama 2012 vote total florida country big swing state yet somehow obama carry florida clinton lose bring us important question donald trump good enough beat bad democratic opponent tuesday deserve far credit review vote total past two elections reveal trump 2016 would defeat obama 2012 electoral college disclaimer obviously apples-to-oranges exercise two elections two electorates still unlike debate whether 2016 cub would defeat 1927 yankees entirely abstract argument comparison respective performances country competitive state show trump edge obama hypothetical head-to-head matchup math might seem impossible obama nearly 66 million vote 2012 trump currently 59.5 million finish around 60 million actually one million few vote mitt romney could trump top obama electoral college answer republican turnout lag certain part country shoot roof nation critical battleground state let look individually descend order population electoral-vote math 2016 total yet final precincts reported.florida 29 evs 98 percent reportingobama 2012 4,235,270clinton 2016 4,485,745romney 2012 4,162,081trump 2016 4,605,515conclusion trump beat obama 370,000 vote win florida note clinton 250,000 vote florida obama 2012 pennsylvania 20 evs 97 percent reportingobama 2012 2,907,448clinton 2016 2,844,705romney 2012 2,619,583trump 2016 2,912,941conclusion trump squeeze past obama margin 5,000 vote win pennsylvania note clinton run 60,000 vote behind obama would enough defeat romney 2012 ohio 18 evs 94 percent reportingobama 2012 2,697,260clinton 2016 2,317,001romney 2012 2,593,779trump 2016 2,771,984conclusion trump edge obama roughly 75,000 vote win ohio note clinton bad battleground state show ohio win 380,000 few vote obama stop right crunch number florida 29 pennsylvania 20 ohio 18 67 evs.romney finish 206 evs protect take 67 obama trump would hit 273 win presidency.the question trump 2016 defeat obama 2012 state romney yes look competitive ones north carolina 98 percent report trump 2,339,603 obama 2,178,388 arizona 73 percent report trump 947,284 obama 930,669 georgia 93 percent report trump 2,068,623 obama 1,761,761 utah 78 percent report trump 360,634 obama 229,463a review romney 2012 state confirm trump hypothetical matchup would carry every single one obama matter obama would trounce trump nearly 300,000 vote michigan 200,000 wisconsin 175,000 virginia 160,000 colorado similarly meaningless obama would narrowly defeat trump iowa nevada new hampshire 44th president carry state 2012 hypothetical contest would successfully defend enough electoral college would produce razor-thin margin trump 273 obama 265.via national review boom math show trump would beat obama romney-obama election