text: evaluating pace of a race in horse racing.? every race has distance and time tsken to cover the distance. time clocked for every furlong of the race is provided. every race can be divided into three major sections. time taken till the straight stretch(distance-last 2/3 furlongs)forms initial pace, pace from 600mtrs to 200 mtrs form accelaration stage and last 200 mtrs form finishing burst. if mathematically derive these 3 stages numerically we can arrive at the pace of the race which can be conclusively used in right handicapping of a horse based on its previous runs and quality of bunches it has previously run. help me in providing few mathematical insight into this as[ect of horse racing. unfortunately, you are mistaken.  nearly all horses can run the initial 2 furlongs in 24 seconds or less, yet very few can run the last 2 furlongs in less than 24 seconds.  the pace of the race and the outcome are determined by multiple factors.  if you have a horse in a race and that horse is the "controlling speed" many times you have the winner.  if that same horse is not the "controlling speed" and gets "hooked", i.e. a horse breaks even beside it, that horse, unless he is a superior animal will not win the race.  the pace will quicken and both horses will tire mid-stretch and be beaten.  a horse coming from well off the pace will benefit by a fast pace up front, provided one single horse does not clear the field and slow the fractions down.  in other words, the faster the race is run in the early stages, the more likely a horse mid-running or closing from well back will run past them late in the race. there is no mathematical solution, regarding acceleration, stride length that has ever stood the test of time.  hence, if the "fastest" horse always won, the favorites would win 100% of the time.  industry wide, the "fastest/betting favorite" only wins 38% of the time. that means that 62% of the time the "fastest/betting favorite" loses.  good luck, but the game involves much more than mathematical equations.  there are different surfaces, multiple drugs administered, and many trainers are not even trying to win today, they would much rather win later at bigger odds.  that, in a nutshell, is the reality. i'm a 50+ year old man who has played horses for over 35 years and numbers should only be a guide, never the rule. i would be happy to further elaborate if need be.  good luck to you