@inproceedings{ouyang-etal-2024-modal,
    title = "Modal-adaptive Knowledge-enhanced Graph-based Financial Prediction from Monetary Policy Conference Calls with {LLM}",
    author = "Ouyang, Kun  and
      Liu, Yi  and
      Li, Shicheng  and
      Bao, Ruihan  and
      Harimoto, Keiko  and
      Sun, Xu",
    editor = "Chen, Chung-Chi  and
      Liu, Xiaomo  and
      Hahn, Udo  and
      Nourbakhsh, Armineh  and
      Ma, Zhiqiang  and
      Smiley, Charese  and
      Hoste, Veronique  and
      Das, Sanjiv Ranjan  and
      Li, Manling  and
      Ghassemi, Mohammad  and
      Huang, Hen-Hsen  and
      Takamura, Hiroya  and
      Chen, Hsin-Hsi",
    booktitle = "Proceedings of the Joint Workshop of the 7th Financial Technology and Natural Language Processing, the 5th Knowledge Discovery from Unstructured Data in Financial Services, and the 4th Workshop on Economics and Natural Language Processing",
    month = may,
    year = "2024",
    address = "Torino, Italia",
    publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
    url = "https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.7",
    pages = "59--69",
    abstract = "Financial prediction from Monetary Policy Conference (MPC) calls is a new yet challenging task, which targets at predicting the price movement and volatility for specific financial assets by analyzing multimodal information including text, video, and audio. Although the existing work has achieved great success using cross-modal transformer blocks, it overlooks the potential external financial knowledge, the varying contributions of different modalities to financial prediction, as well as the innate relations among different financial assets. To tackle these limitations, we propose a novel Modal-Adaptive kNowledge-enhAnced Graph-basEd financial pRediction scheme, named MANAGER. Specifically, MANAGER resorts to FinDKG to obtain the external related knowledge for the input text. Meanwhile, MANAGER adopts BEiT-3 and Hidden-unit BERT (HuBERT) to extract the video and audio features, respectively. Thereafter, MANAGER introduces a novel knowledge-enhanced cross-modal graph that fully characterizes the semantic relations among text, external knowledge, video and audio, to adaptively utilize the information in different modalities, with ChatGLM2 as the backbone. Extensive experiments on a publicly available dataset Monopoly verify the superiority of our model over cutting-edge methods.",
}

Financial prediction from Monetary Policy Conference (MPC) calls is a new yet challenging task, which targets at predicting the price movement and volatility for specific financial assets by analyzing multimodal information including text, video, and audio. Although the existing work has achieved great success using cross-modal transformer blocks, it overlooks the potential external financial knowledge, the varying contributions of different modalities to financial prediction, as well as the innate relations among different financial assets. To tackle these limitations, we propose a novel Modal-Adaptive kNowledge-enhAnced Graph-basEd financial pRediction scheme, named MANAGER. Specifically, MANAGER resorts to FinDKG to obtain the external related knowledge for the input text. Meanwhile, MANAGER adopts BEiT-3 and Hidden-unit BERT (HuBERT) to extract the video and audio features, respectively. Thereafter, MANAGER introduces a novel knowledge-enhanced cross-modal graph that fully characterizes the semantic relations among text, external knowledge, video and audio, to adaptively utilize the information in different modalities, with ChatGLM2 as the backbone. Extensive experiments on a publicly available dataset Monopoly verify the superiority of our model over cutting-edge methods.
Ouyang, Kun Liu, Yi Li, Shicheng Bao, Ruihan Harimoto, Keiko Sun, Xu
Modal-adaptive Knowledge-enhanced Graph-based Financial Prediction from Monetary Policy Conference Calls with LLM