What's inside the apartment: The apartment consists of a bedroom, kitchen, living room, and bathroom. 
In the bedroom, there is a coffee table and a desk, with a dish bowl placed on the coffee table. 
The kitchen is equipped with four cabinets, a fridge, a kitchen table, a microwave, and a stove. The third cabinet from the left houses a wine glass, while the second cabinet contains a dish bowl. The first cabinet is empty. Inside the fridge, there is a plate and a salmon. The microwave contains a plate, and the stove holds a cupcake and a salmon. The fourth cabinet is filled with a wine glass, a bag of chips, a condiment bottle, and a water glass. 
The living room features a cabinet, a sofa, a coffee table, and a desk. The cabinet stores a bottle of wine and an apple, while the coffee table holds a plate, a book, a water glass, and a remote control. 
The bathroom is furnished with a bathroom cabinet, which is currently empty. 
Actions taken by Michael: Michael is situated in the living room. He proceeds towards the kitchen, makes his way to the microwave, opens it, and then shuts it. He then approaches the first kitchen cabinet, opens it, and subsequently closes it. He does the same with the third kitchen cabinet. Michael then heads towards the bathroom, walks up to the bathroom cabinet, opens it, and then closes it. He returns to the kitchen, moves towards the fridge, opens it, and then closes it. Finally, he walks towards the fourth kitchen cabinet and is about to open it. 
Question: If Michael has been trying to get a bottle of wine, which one of the following statements is more likely to be true? (a) Michael thinks that the bottle of wine is inside the 4th kitchen cabinet. (b) Michael thinks that the bottle of wine is not inside the 4th kitchen cabinet. Please respond with either a or b.