What's inside the apartment: The apartment consists of a bedroom, kitchen, living room, and bathroom. 
In the bedroom, there is a cabinet and a sofa. The cabinet contains a bottle of wine, a wine glass, three apples, a water glass, and a bag of chips. Two water glasses are placed on the sofa. 
The kitchen is equipped with eight cabinets, a fridge, a sofa, a dishwasher, a stove, a kitchen table, and a microwave. The third cabinet holds an apple, the fourth a bag of chips, while the first cabinet contains a water glass, a plate, and a condiment bottle. The fifth, sixth, second, seventh, and eighth cabinets are empty. The fridge stores an apple and a salmon. A book rests on the sofa. The dishwasher houses a water glass and a dish bowl, and the stove contains a salmon. The microwave holds a condiment bottle and a cupcake. 
The living room is furnished with a sofa and a desk, with a book on the sofa. 
The bathroom features a cabinet, which is currently empty. 
Actions taken by Nancy: Nancy is situated in the kitchen. She strides towards the eighth kitchen cabinet, opens it, then promptly shuts it. Subsequently, she proceeds towards the second kitchen cabinet, opens it, and then closes it. 
Question: If Nancy has been trying to get a cupcake, which one of the following statements is more likely to be true? (a) Nancy thinks that the cupcake is not inside the microwave. (b) Nancy thinks that the cupcake is inside the microwave. Please respond with either a or b.