What's inside the apartment: The apartment consists of a bedroom, kitchen, living room, and bathroom. 
In the bedroom, there is a coffee table and a desk, with a water glass placed on the coffee table. 
The kitchen is equipped with four cabinets, a fridge, a kitchen table, a microwave, and a stove. The third cabinet from the left houses a water glass and a plate, while the fridge contains two dish bowls and a cupcake. The second cabinet is empty, the first one contains an apple, and the fourth one is also empty. Both the microwave and the stove each contain a salmon. 
The living room features a cabinet, a sofa, a coffee table, and a desk. Inside the cabinet, there are four apples, three water glasses, a bottle of wine, and a condiment bottle. 
The bathroom is furnished with a bathroom cabinet, which is currently empty. 
Actions taken by Thomas: Thomas is situated in the bedroom. He proceeds towards the kitchen, advances towards the refrigerator, and is on the verge of opening it. 
Question: If Thomas has been trying to get a cupcake, which one of the following statements is more likely to be true? (a) Thomas thinks that the cupcake is not inside the fridge. (b) Thomas thinks that the cupcake is inside the fridge. Please respond with either a or b.