Muxuu yahay Bayes theorem
Context:Aragtida Bayes ee macquulnimada iyo tirakoobka, Bayes' theorem (ama Bayes' law ama Bayes' rule), oo loo magacaabay Thomas Bayes, wuxuu qeexayaa suurtagalnimada dhacdo, oo ku saleysan aqoonta hore ee shuruudaha la xiriira dhacdada. Tusaale ahaan, haddii khatarta ah in dhibaatooyin caafimaad ay ku soo baxaan la ogaado in ay kordhaan da'da, Bayes 'theorem waxay u oggolaaneysaa khatarta qofka da'da la yaqaan in si sax ah loo qiimeeyo iyada oo loo xakameynayo da'da, halkii ay si fudud u qaadan lahayd in shaqsigu uu caadi u yahay dadka guud ahaan.  Mid ka mid ah codsiyada badan ee Bayes' theorem waa Bayesian inference, oo ah qaab gaar ah oo loo adeegsado tirakoobka tirakoobka. Marka la adeegsado, suurtagalnimada ku lug leh theorem waxay yeelan kartaa fasiraadyo suurtagalnimo oo kala duwan. Iyada oo fasiraadda suurtagalnimada Bayesian, theorem wuxuu muujinayaa sida heerka aaminsanaanta, oo loo muujiyey sida suurtagalnimada, ay tahay inay si macquul ah isu bedesho si loo xisaabiyo helitaanka caddaynta la xiriirta. Xigmadda Bayesian waxay aasaas u tahay tirakoobka Bayesian, oo ay tixgelinayaan hal hay'ad; "in aragtida suurtagalnimada ay tahay waxa Pythagoras's theorem ay tahay joomatari".
Tixraaca Bayes wuxuu ku salaysan yahay suurtagalnimada shuruudsan ee la xidhiidha aqoonta hore ee dhacdada.