Disaggregation of GHG reductions (Gg and %) in the unconditional versus the trend scenario Source: Authors, July 2015 Similarly, Table 7 below provides a disaggregation of the reductions in the conditional scenario. It is noted that in 2030 and still in relation to the trend scenario, the sectoral mitigation would come mainly from projects and programmes in agriculture, forestry and land-use change (10% reduction compared to the sectoral trend, lower hydrocarbon consumption in transportation (42%), technological choices in the electrical industry (4%) and efficiency in residential and tertiary sectors (21%) due to a massive replacement of traditional lighting with the introduction of low-consumption lamps. The reductions mentioned here are related to the BAU trend in the sector. Table 7.