National Adaptation Plan p. 39. 16 EQA (2021) First BUR of the State of Palestine: Mitigation Chapterof Palestineâs increased ambition, as compared to its First NDCs. Palestineâs updated total carbon reduction by 2040 equates to a total of 2.8 Mt CO2 e (Status-quo Scenario) and 4.6 Mt e (Independence Scenario). The State of Palestine, therefore, increases its commitment to reduce its GHG emissions by 17.5% by 2040 relative to the business-as-usual (BAU) levels under a scenario where the Israeli occupation continues (Status-quo Scenario), and by 26.6% by 2040 under a scenario where the Israeli occupation ends17 (Independence Scenario). In comparison, in its First NDCs (2017), Palestine committed to a 12.8% reduction (Status-quo Scenario) and 24.4% reduction (Independence Scenario) respectively.