What can we learn from the Premier League as we reach the halfway mark? A look ahead to the ten English Premier League fixtures to take place on New Years Day. There's plenty for Arsene Wenger to ponder heading into the new year. IT'S the halfway point of the season, so can we tell who is going to win the title, who will earn a coveted Champions League place and who will suffer relegation? Don't forget there is another big festive round coming up live on Fox Sports Arsenal win the title In 11 of the 21 completed seasons, the team who were top on Boxing Day went on to win the title. That trend has become much more marked in recent years, with eight of the last nine champions (89 per cent), top on December 26. Does anyone else have a chance? The winners of 20 of the 21 Premier League titles have been in the top four on Boxing Day. The team second on Boxing Day have won four times, the team in third have won four times, and the team in fourth have won once. So history says if Arsenal don't win it, then Manchester City or Chelsea will, with Liverpool as outsiders. A full wrap of all the Round 19 action from the English Premier League. Manchester United's hopes are forlorn Well, probably. No team have ever risen from outside the top six on Boxing Day to win the title - and on Boxing Day evening, United were seventh. But in the 1997-98 season, Arsenal were sixth, 13 points behind the then leaders, United, who had 46 points. Tightest race ever For the title, in the Premier League era at least. The top four on Boxing Day this season were separated by just three points. The previous smallest margin was four points in 1998 and 2001, but the average is nine points, and it has been as high as 17 points. The top eight teams on Boxing Day this year were separated by eight points. This has only been lower once, in 1998-98. The biggest and best show boats from round 19 of the EPL. Liverpool can forget Champions League In 16 of the 21 completed Premier League seasons, one of the four teams on Boxing Day have dropped out the quartet - and Liverpool has already slipped with its two tight losses through the festive period. The club who have most often fallen away has been the team in fourth the day after Christmas: the likes of Wimbledon in 1996, Leicester in 2000, Fulham in 2003 and Bolton in 2006. Sorry, Liverpool. Jose Mourinho's bizarre hijacking of David Luiz and Eden Hazard's post game interview is the spot of the week for round 19 of the EPL. Sunderland to be relegated Premier League statistical history says Sunderland have a 95 per cent chance of going down. The team at the bottom of the table on Boxing Day in 20 of the past 21 seasons have been relegated. The only exception was West Brom with their 'Great Escape' in 2004-05. ... but many others should fear the drop In four of the Premier League's previous 21 seasons, all three teams in the bottom three on December 26 have been relegated. That was the case last year with QPR, Reading and Wigan. The team of the week from round 19 of the EPL. In 10 seasons (48 per cent), two of the bottom three have gone down. And in seven seasons (33 per cent), only one of the basement dwellers have dropped. Statistically, Sunderland plus one of West Ham and Fulham should be relegated. Those who could also be dragged into trouble this term: Stoke, Swansea, Hull, Aston Villa, Norwich, West Brom, Cardiff and Crystal Palace.