Fall in US jobless claims paves way for stronger hiring trend Still, the overall trend is positive. Steven Wood, an economist at Insight Economics, said applications averaged 411,000 per week in 2011, down from 459,000 in 2010. That's "a clear indication that the pace of layoffs has slowed," Wood said. Economists are predicting that hiring increased in December and will strengthen this year. John Ryding, an economist at RDQ Economics, forecasts that employers added 180,000 jobs last month, a big jump from November's 120,000 net jobs. Economists surveyed by the Associated Press project that the economy will generate an average of 175,000 jobs per month this year. That would be a step up from average monthly gains of 130,000 last year and 78,000 in 2010. In November, the unemployment rate fell to 8.6pc from 9pc. Still, about half that decline occurred because many of the unemployed gave up looking for work. When people stop looking for a job, they're no longer counted as unemployed. Another positive sign for hiring came earlier this week. A trade group reported that manufacturers boosted hiring last month as production and new orders rose to their highest levels since April. The pickup in hiring reflects some modest improvement in the economy. Growth will likely top 3pc at an annual rate in the final three months of this year, economists expect. That would be a sharp improvement over the 1.8pc growth in the July-September quarter. Even so, economists worry that growth could slow in the first half of 2012. Europe is almost certain to fall into recession because of its financial troubles. And without more jobs and higher incomes, consumers may have to cut back on spending. That could drag on growth next year.