Democrats have a âone in three chance' of winning In what he called a "frank" interview Monday, House Speaker John Boehner, Republican of Ohio, said there's a "one-in-three chance" that Democrats could take control of the House of Representatives in the next election. "I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again," Boehner said during a Fox News interview Monday night, "but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank." Lawmakers, especially those in leadership positions, are rarely this candid about their thoughts on their party's odds. Republicans won a majority in the chamber in 2010 after four years of Democratic control. Democrats need to net 25 seats to take back the House.