US election 2012: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tie in the polls A poll of Ohio by PPP, a Left-leaning pollster, found the president's lead cut from four points to one in two weeks. Ohio is seen as the likeliest "tipping point" state, where a win would mean overall victory. "We feel we're even or ahead in these battleground states," he told NBC's Meet The Press. If you look at the early voting that's going on around the country, it's very robust and it's very favourable to us. And we think that's a better indicator than these public polls.