Cameron's Europe speech and PMQs: Politics live blog Let's start with a Mystic Meg moment, fast-fowarding to Friday 10 November 2017 where we see David Cameron being driven away from Buckingham Palace after tendering his resignation to the Queen. It was never expected to end like this, Cameron thought. After his unexpected victory in the 2015 general election, Cameron started to feel that he was invincible. Admittedly, he had had formed another coalition (with the Clegg Lib Dems - the party was split and the Cable Lib Dems were now sitting with Labour) but Clegg had so few seats that he barely qualified for a seat in the cabinet and Cameron had been able to insist on his full renegotiation with the EU, which dragged on for more than two years. In truth, the gains were relatively modest, but by that stage most members of the public were bored silly with the whole thing, only the fanatics fully understood how meaningless his list of "150 repatriated powers" really was and, under the newly-ennobled Lord Dacre, the Daily Mail ran a high-profile campaign declaring the renegotiation a triumph. In the summer of 2017 the "Yes" camp was 10 points ahead in the polls and, even when the economy went into recession, experts said that voters would not end a 45-year relationship with Europe just to punish the smary new chancellor, Matthew Hancock. But complacency proved fatal. Voters showed very little enthusiasm for the pro-Europe cause, inviting Tony Blair to front the cross-party "Yes" campaign turned out to be a mistake because he spent most of the year abroad on business and the "Vote Yes" intervention from the American president Hilary Clinton tipped the "No" camp into the lead. On a flimsy 39% turnout, with Ukip staging a brilliant get-out-the-vote effort, Britain voted to leave the EU by 51% to 49%. At one stage Boris Johnson had said he would campaign enthusiastically for British membership. But, back in the Commons as a backbencher, he was quiet for most of the summer and autumn of 2017, claiming toothache and other ailments. Amazingly, though, he staged a complete recovery in time to appear on Newsnight as the exit poll came in, declaring (with a huge grin on his face) that he felt sorry for "Dave," that the public had made the right decision and that he had never been in favour of Britain belonging to the EU anyway. He was now a shoo-in to become the next prime minister. As his car turned into Downing Street, Cameron recalled that it all started with that wretched speech that he eventually delivered, after multiple delays, at some ungodly hour on a cold morning on Wednesday 23 January 2013. I'm not saying it will end up like this. The speech that Cameron is going to deliver this morning could end up with a more-than-token renegotiation of Britain's relationship with the EU, a clear "Yes" vote in a referendum and the Europe question being settled as an issue in British politics for a generation. If anything, this second outcome is more likely. But none of us really know, and resignation scenario does help to show quite what's at stake when Cameron stands up at 8am this morning. Of course, a more likely outcome at the moment is that Labour wins the next election anyway, or at least emerges with most seats. But Cameron's Europe speech could have a bearing on that (although to whose benefit, at this stage it's not clear), which is another reason why it's so important. Some extracts from the speech have been released overnight and we know the key message. Here's the Guardian story and here's how it starts. But, obviously, there will be intense interest in the detail, and in the reaction to it. I'll be covering it all here, as well as PMQs.