Galaxy poll predicts Kevin Rudd to lose election 53:47 Kevin Rudd at Kirribilli House with daughter Jessica and grand-daughter Josie. KEVIN Rudd is preparing to mount a flying blitz across the nation as a new poll predicts he will lose Saturday's election in a 53:47 result. As the Prime Minister prepares to announce a $10,000 tax break for small business at his Brisbane campaign launch today, a new national Galaxy poll confirms Mr Rudd's numbers have gone backwards since the election was called. Labor's primary vote is now 35 per cent, the new poll shows. EXCLUSIVE: On the road with chaotic Kevin '13 Asked who will win the election, most voters - 63 per cent - predicted Tony Abbott would emerge as Australia's next Prime Minister. In more bad news for Labor, an exclusive analysis of Galaxy polls during the campaign indicated bigger swings in key marginal seats. That could deliver a majority around the 90 mark - with Labor reduced to fewer than 60 seats. Speaking in Darwin, the Prime Minister predicted the final result would be tight. "I've seen a range of polls, both public and private, which suggest to me this election will end up a little closer than you think," Mr Rudd said. EDITORIAL: It's time for Tony Abbott Mr Abbott said victory was not assured, predicting Labor would embark on a smear campaign in the final week. "We're going to see plenty of low politics over the last week, we've already seen a nasty smear campaign against our members and candidates, including an outstanding policeman Ray King in Sydney," Mr Abbott said.According to today's Galaxy poll, Mr Rudd remains the nation's choice as better PM at 45 per cent. Mr Abbott has quietly closed the gap since the election was called, with 39 per cent now rating him as better than Mr Rudd - a five point improvement since August. If the 53:47 Galaxy result was replicated on Saturday in a uniform national swing, it would deliver an 86-seat majority to the Coalition in the 150-seat parliament. An analysis of 20 marginal seats based on 11,500 Galaxy interviews suggests the average swing to the Coalition is bigger at 4.1 per cent, with Banks, Barton, Greenway, Lindsay, Parramatta, Reid and Werriwa likely to fall to the Coalition. In Victoria, Corangamite, and La Trobe are expected to be lost to Labor based on the Galaxy polling. But Labor chiefs are also concerned about Deakin and Chisholm. In Queensland, the Galaxy polling suggests any seats with margins of 4 per cent or less are in play and that could include former Treasurer Wayne Swan in Lilley, Moreton and Capricornia. The only bright light for Labor in Queensland, where campaign chiefs had hoped to pick up six seats, is the Coalition held seat of Brisbane. In SA, Hindmarsh is on a knife edge. Across Australia, the only marginal seat to show a swing to Labor is the seat of Perth, in Western Australia, where the outspoken former state MP Alannah MacTiernan is running to replace retiring Defence Minister Stephen Smith. According to a Galaxy poll published today, she could pick up a 2.1 per cent swing - to Labor. Earlier this year, Ms MacTiernan sparked national headlines when she urged Labor to get rid of Julia Gillard as Labor leader.