Long list of positives for Long John to score Group 1 triumph Long John goes for a pre-dawn workout at Flemington on Friday. Picture: Colleen Petch Source: News Limited THE strong historical pointers for giant gelding Long John in today's Caulfield Guineas are matched equally by the confidence coming out of Team Darley. Long John locked down favouritism for the Guineas with a strong finishing third in the Guineas Prelude 13 days ago. The run suggested he is now desperate for 1600m and a sparkling workout on Tuesday morning has him primed today. Stable representative Paul Snowden has said a couple of times this week he "wouldn't swap him for anything" and the only niggling concern is barrier one. "He's been on the speed in five of his six runs and I'll tell you after 100m if (barrier one) is a good or bad thing," Snowden said. He does tend to make his own luck though. He reminds me of a tough horse like Helmet, which you need to run the mile. We're as confident as we can be. History says the inside marble is a distinct advantage in the Guineas, with six horses - Red Anchor, Mahogany, Kenwood Melody, Redoute's Choice, Starspangledbanner and Anacheeva - winning out of that gate in the last 30 years. "We need the breaks to come when we need to get out and get rolling," jockey Kerrin McEvoy said yesterday. There's going to be some good chances sitting in front of me and hopefully I can be third, fourth or fifth and allowed to roll into the race at the right time. McEvoy suggested the Guineas Prelude is a stronger formline than the Bill Stutt and again, history says it's the right lead-up race. Six of the past 10 Guineas winners came through the Prelude and all of them finished in the first four. In fact, in the past 22 years, Econsul is the only winner not to run first four in his final lead-up. Adding further to the inside barrier theory, gates 1-4 have been responsible for 14 of the past 20 winners of this race. Intriguingly, the first four across the line in the Prelude (Éclair Big Bang, El Roca, Long John and Charlie Boy) have those barriers today. Darley have a good record in the Guineas. Helmet won for Sheikh Mohammed two years ago, while Time Thief, Von Costa De Hero and Epaulette have run placings. Punters are giving Peter Moody a good chance to win a second Guineas today, with Dissident one of the big firmers this week. In today's other feature, the Caulfield Stakes, Atlantic Jewel firmed to $1.35 with TattsBet following the scratching of Green Moon. Last year's Melbourne Cup winner had an elevated temperature yesterday. It had been advised earlier in the week he would not be running in next week's Caulfield Cup, meaning he will go to the Cox Plate off the same five week break as It's A Dundeel.