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Asynchronous Antarctic and Greenland ice-volume contributions to the last interglacial sea-level highstand Eelco J. Rohling, Fiona D. Hibbert, Katharine M. Grant, Eirik V. Galaasen, Nil Irvalı, Helga F. Kleiven, Gianluca Marino, Ulysses Ninnemann, Andrew P. Roberts, Yair Rosenthal, Hartmut Schulz, Felicity H. Williams & Jimin Yu Nature Communications volume 10, Article number: 5040 (2019) Quote...Finally, we infer intra-LIG sea-level rises with event-mean rates of rise of 2.8, 2.3, and 0.6 m c−1. Such high pre-anthropogenic values lend credibility to similar rates inferred from some ice-modelling approaches51. The apparent reality of such extreme pre-anthropogenic rates increases the likelihood of extreme sea-level rise in future centuries.This research reveals up to 2.8 meters/century sea level rise (without people mucking things up).Edit: LIG = The last interglacial
...Finally, we infer intra-LIG sea-level rises with event-mean rates of rise of 2.8, 2.3, and 0.6 m c−1. Such high pre-anthropogenic values lend credibility to similar rates inferred from some ice-modelling approaches51. The apparent reality of such extreme pre-anthropogenic rates increases the likelihood of extreme sea-level rise in future centuries.
Given the importance of Milillo et al. (2019), I have decided to repost the reference and abstract and portions of Fig 1 A/B, C, partial D & partial E and Fig 3 A, B & C. Also, I noted that:1. Fig 1 panel D shows that the upstream side of the Big Ear subglacial cavity has a negative ice surface height above floatation (meaning that it is experiencing positive buoyance).2. Fig 3 panel C shows that between 2011 and 2017 the upstream side of the Big Ear subglacial cavity has uplifted about 20m possibly associated with the positive buoyancy that it is experiencing.P. Milillo, E. Rignot, P. Rizzoli, B. Scheuchl, J. Mouginot, J. Bueso-Bello, and P. Prats-Iraola (2019), "Heterogeneous retreat and ice melt of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica", Sci Adv. 5(1): eaau3433, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau3433PMCID: PMC6353628PMID: 30729155https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/5/1/eaau3433&https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6353628/Abstract: "The glaciers flowing into the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica, have undergone acceleration and grounding line retreat over the past few decades that may yield an irreversible mass loss. Using a constellation of satellites, we detect the evolution of ice velocity, ice thinning, and grounding line retreat of Thwaites Glacier from 1992 to 2017. The results reveal a complex pattern of retreat and ice melt, with sectors retreating at 0.8 km/year and floating ice melting at 200 m/year, while others retreat at 0.3 km/year with ice melting 10 times slower. We interpret the results in terms of buoyancy/slope-driven seawater intrusion along preferential channels at tidal frequencies leading to more efficient melt in newly formed cavities. Such complexities in ice-ocean interaction are not currently represented in coupled ice sheet/ocean models."Caption for the first image (Fig 1): "Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica.(A) Map of Antarctica with Thwaites Glacier (red box). (B) Shaded-relief bed topography (blue) with 50-m contour levels (white) (16), grounding lines color-coded from 1992 to 2017, and retreat rates for 1992–2011 (green circle) versus 2011–2017 (red circle) in kilometer per year. Thick yellow arrows indicate CDW pathways (32). White boxes indicate outline of figs. S1 and S2 (C) DInSAR data for 11 to 12 and 27 to 28 April 2016, with grounding lines in 2011, 2016, and 2017 showing vertical displacement, dz, in 17-mm increments color-coded from purple to green, yellow, red, and purple again. Points A to F are used in Fig. 2. (D) Height of the ice surface above flotation, hf, in meters. (E) Change in ice surface elevation, dh, between decimal years 2013.5 and 2016.66 color-coded from red (lowering) to blue (rising). (F) Ice surface speed in 2016–2017 color-coded from brown (low) to green, purple, and red (greater than 2.5 km/year), with contour levels of 200 m/year in dotted black."Caption for the second image (Fig 3): "Ice thickness change of Thwaites Glacier.(A) Ice surface elevation from Airborne Topographic Mapper and ice bottom from MCoRDS radar depth sounder in 2011, 2014, and 2016, color-coded green, blue, and brown, respectively, along profiles T1-T2 and (B) T3-T4 with bed elevation (brown) from (16). Grounding line positions deduced from the MCoRDS data are marked with arrows, with the same color coding. (C) Change in TDX ice surface elevation, h, from June 2011 to 2017, with 50-m contour line in bed elevation and tick marks every 1 km."
AbstractThe purpose of this conceptual paper is to provide readers with an opportunity to reassess their work and life in the face of an inevitable near- term social collapse due to climate change.The approach of the paper is to analyse recent studies on climate change and its implications for our ecosystems, economies and societies, as provided by academic journals and publications direct from research institutes.That synthesis leads to a conclusion there will be a near-term collapse in society with serious ramifications for the lives of readers. The paper reviews some of the reasons why collapse-denial may exist, in particular, in the professions of sustainability research and practice, therefore leading to these arguments having been absent from these fields until now.The paper offers a new meta-framing of the implications for research, organisational practice, personal development and public policy, called the Deep Adaptation Agenda. Its key aspects of resilience, relinquishment and restorations are explained. This agenda does not seek to build on existing scholarship on "climate adaptation" as it is premised on the view that social collapse is now inevitable.The author believes this is one of the first papers in the sustainability management field to conclude that climate-induced societal collapse is now inevitable in the near term and therefore to invite scholars to explore the implications.
The linked articles on 'deep adaptation' to coming climate change ignores almost all ice-climate feedbacks, but it does provide discussion of philosophical considerations of 'deep adaptation':Title: "The End of the Line – A Climate in Crisis"https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/08/03/the-end-of-the-line-a-climate-in-crisis/Extract: "Disruptive impacts from climate change are now inevitable. Geoengineering is likely to be ineffective or counter-productive. Therefore, the mainstream climate policy community now recognizes the need to work much more on adaptation to the effects of climate change… societies will experience disruptions to their basic functioning within less than ten years due to climate stress. Such disruptions include increased levels of malnutrition, starvation, disease, civil conflict and war – and will not avoid affluent nations."See also:"Deep Adaptation: A Map for Navigating Climate Tragedy", 2018 by Jem Bendelhttps://www.lifeworth.com/deepadaptation.pdf&https://jembendell.wordpress.com/2018/07/26/the-study-on-collapse-they-thought-you-should-not-read-yet/
… What would ASLR think?
...The first attached image shows the atmospheric geopotential patterns associated with the Antarctic ozone hole, which is largely responsible for the acceleration of the westerly winds over the Southern Ocean since the 1970's; and most consensus climate models assume that this ozone hole will heal itself faster than what is likely to be the case; particularly considering that since the 1980's the geopotential associated with this hole has kept the westerly wind in a velocity 'sweet-spot' nearly ideal for accelerating the ocean surface currents around Antarctica (which upwells the warm CDW), and that as the ozone slowly heals itself, the increasing GHG atmospheric concentrations over Antarctica has been and likely will continue to keep the westerly wind velocities near their current 'sweet-spot' for some time to come.
…ASLR, you have some reference to the statement about increasing winds? On what latitudes would that be?…
Quote from: Hefaistos on November 10, 2019, 01:16:45 PM…ASLR, you have some reference to the statement about increasing winds? On what latitudes would that be?…You appear to have confused 'westerly winds over the Southern Ocean' (also known as westerlies or by South latitude as the roaring forties, furious fifties and screaming sixties, see linked article) with westerly winds in other regions of the Earth.Title: "Increases in westerly winds weaken the Southern Ocean carbon sink"https://phys.org/news/2018-07-westerly-weaken-southern-ocean-carbon.htmlExtract: "A new study of lake sediments from the sub-Antarctic reveals for the first time that increases in westerly winds are likely to reduce the ability of the Southern Ocean to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. The results are significant as the Southern Ocean currently absorbs over 40% of human-produced carbon dioxide, so any weakening of this 'carbon sink' could accelerate climate change. The findings are published today (Monday 23 July 2018) in the journal Nature Geoscience. The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds (known by latitude as the roaring forties, furious fifties, and screaming sixties) are particularly strong due to the absence of continental landmasses between South America and Antarctica to slow them down."As for proof that the westerlies (over the Southern Ocean) wind velocity has increased in recent decades, just search the term 'westerlies' in this thread and you will find dozens of peer reviewed references that have documented this fact.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/279014699_Evolution_of_the_Southern_Annular_Mode_during_the_past_millenniumThe Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is the primary pattern of climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere(1,2), influencing latitudinal rainfall distribution and temperatures from the subtropics to Antarctica. The positive summer trend in the SAM over recent decades is widely attributed to stratospheric ozone depletion(2); however, the brevity of observational records from Antarctica(1)-one of the core zones that defines SAM variability-limits our understanding of long-term SAM behaviour. Here we reconstruct annual mean changes in the SAM since AD 1000 using, for the first time, proxy records that encompass the full mid-latitude to polar domain across the Drake Passage sector. We find that the SAM has undergone a progressive shift towards its positive phase since the fifteenth century, causing cooling of the main Antarctic continent at the same time that the Antarctic Peninsula has warmed. The positive trend in the SAM since similar to AD 1940 is reproduced by multimodel climate simulations forced with rising greenhouse gas levels and later ozone depletion, and the long-term average SAM index is now at its highest level for at least the past 1,000 years. Reconstructed SAM trends before the twentieth century are more prominent than those in radiative-forcing climate experiments and may be associated with a teleconnected response to tropical Pacific climate. Our findings imply that predictions of further greenhouse-driven increases in the SAM over the coming century(3) also need to account for the possibility of opposing effects from tropical Pacific climate changes.
…I have searched in all threads of the forum. Nothing comes up in terms of proof of increasing westerlies. The only thing that comes up is speculation that the westerlies are likely to increase with increase global warming. ...
Quote from: Hefaistos on November 11, 2019, 05:35:31 AM…I have searched in all threads of the forum. Nothing comes up in terms of proof of increasing westerlies. The only thing that comes up is speculation that the westerlies are likely to increase with increase global warming. ...The linked UCAR empirical data (i.e. using satellite data in the post-1979 era), clearly shows that between 40S and 60S latitude the westerly winds over the Southern Ocean have increased in recent decades (see the first image):Bracegirdle, Thomas J. & National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff (Eds). Last modified 11 Jan 2019. "The Climate Data Guide: Southern Hemisphere westerly jet strength and position." Retrieved from https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/southern-hemisphere-westerly-jet-strength-and-position.https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/southern-hemisphere-westerly-jet-strength-and-position
1. From the 1980's thru about 2015 the Antarctic sea ice extent was above average, while during this period the Antarctic Ozone hole was actively increasing the westerly wind velocities over the Southern Ocean; which resulted in an upwelling of the warm CDW (circumpolar deep water).
the westerly wind in a velocity 'sweet-spot' nearly ideal for accelerating the ocean surface currents around Antarctica (which upwells the warm CDW)
...Question: How can the CDW start to upwell if there is no surface wind increase?...
I worry for future generations and the young humans today. What will they inherit?Sorry for the off topic post.I guess that I'm bothered by a good imagination, long term view and empathy,
Quote from: Tom_Mazanec on October 24, 2019, 01:04:59 PMYes, we should start thinking ahead to 2200.As I have time I will try to provide more information about GIS and EAIS risks for 2200, ...
Yes, we should start thinking ahead to 2200.
Quote from: Hefaistos on November 12, 2019, 07:11:07 AM...Question: How can the CDW start to upwell if there is no surface wind increase?...It seems to me that your averaging is masking the signal that I am talking about, as the linked reference makes it very clear that the westerlies wind stress driving the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) has increased"… by almost 40% …" over the past 40 years. ...
...Thanks again, ASLR. From this paper it's clear that it's not the mean wind velocities that have increased much, but the shear surface stress from winds. This is mainly due to an increase in wind variability over those years. …
I note that DeConto and Pollard (2016) indicated that Totten Glacier (located in the Aurora Subglacial Basin) is susceptible to an MICI-type of ice mass loss this century, and the attached image from the linked reference shows that the Wilkes Subglacial Basin is interconnected with the Aurora Subglacial Basin. Thus, if Totten Glacier were to sustain an MICI-type of collapse this century, it would likely undermine the ice in the Wilkes Subglacial Basin:...
In RCP8.5, increased precipitation causes an initial, minor gain in total ice mass (Fig. 4d), but rapidly warming summer air temperatures trigger extensive surface meltwater production and hydrofracturing of ice shelves by the middle of this century (Extended Data Fig. 4). The Larsen C is one of the first shelves to be lost, about 2055. Around the same time, major thinning and retreat of outlet glaciers commences in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, beginning with Pine Island Glacier (Fig. 4h), and along the Bellingshausen margin. Massive meltwater production on shelf surfaces, and eventually on the flanks of the ice sheet, would quickly overcome the buffering capacity of firn. In the model, the meltwater accelerates WAIS retreat via its thermomechanical influence on ice rheology (Methods) and the influence of hydrofacturing on crevassing and structural failure of the retreating margin. Antarctica contributes 77 cm of GMSL rise by 2100, and continued loss of the Ross and Weddell Sea ice shelves drives WAIS retreat from three sides simultaneously (the Amundsen, Ross, and Weddell seas), all with reverse-sloping beds into the deep ice-sheet interior. As a result, WAIS collapses within 250 years. At the same time, steady retreat into the Wilkes and Aurora basins, where the ice above floatation is >2,000 m thick, adds substantially to the rate of sea-level rise, exceeding 4 cm yr−1 (Fig. 4c) in the next century, which is comparable to maximum rates of sea-level rise during the last deglaciation. At 2500, GMSL rise for the RCP8.5 scenario is 12.3 m. As in our LIG simulations, atmosphere–ice sheet coupling accounting for the warming feedback associated with the retreating ice sheet adds an additional 1.3 m of GMSL to the RCP8.5 scenario (Fig. 4b).
Two years ago, the glaciologists Robert DeConto and David Pollard rocked their field with a paper arguing that several massive glaciers in Antarctica were much more unstable than previously thought. Those key glaciers—which include Thwaites Glacier and Pine Island Glacier, both in the frigid continent's west—could increase global sea levels by more than three feet by 2100, the paper warned. Such a rise could destroy the homes of more than 150 million people worldwide.They are now revisiting those results. In new work, conducted with three other prominent glaciologists, DeConto and Pollard have lowered some of their worst-case projections for the 21st century. Antarctica may only contribute about a foot of sea-level rise by 2100, they now say. This finding, reached after the team improved their own ice model, is much closer to projections made by other glaciologists.It is a reassuring constraint placed on one of the most alarming scientific hypotheses advanced this decade. The press had described DeConto and Pollard's original work as an "ice apocalypse" spawned by a "doomsday glacier." Now their worst-case skyrocketing sea-level scenario seems extremely unlikely, at least within our own lifetimes.
DeConto and Pollard are also currently revisiting their 2016 results in a new paper. DeConto says he is not able to comment on it directly as it is undergoing peer review. However, he has presented some preliminary results at the Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) in December.An article published in the Atlantic shortly afterwards reported that DeConto and Pollard "have lowered some of their worst-case projections for the 21st century" after making improvements to their model. The results are likely to put Antarctica's contribution to sea level rise in 2100 at "about a foot" (30cm), the article says, which is "much closer to projections made by other glaciologists".
Per the linked article under the recently released IEA's STEPS projection, due to increased: plastic, chemical, SUV, aircraft and natural gas (see image) production; anthropogenic GHG emissions are not likely to plateau before 2040. If the WAIS collapses before that timeframe, the associated decadal-long increasing in planetary energy imbalance could likely push many Earth Systems past tipping points in the 2040 to 2050 timeframe:Title: "'Profound shifts' underway in energy system, says IEA World Energy Outlook"https://www.carbonbrief.org/profound-shifts-underway-in-energy-system-says-iea-world-energy-outlookExtract: "The world's CO2 emissions are set to continue rising for decades unless there is greater ambition on climate change, despite the "profound shifts" already underway in the global energy system.That is one of the key messages from the International Energy Agency's (IEA) World Energy Outlook 2019, published today. This year's 810-page edition is notable for its renamed central "Stated Policies Scenario" (STEPS), formerly known as the "New Policies Scenario".In this scenario, which aims to mirror the outcome of policies already set out by governments, a surge in wind and solar power would see renewable sources of energy meeting the majority of increases in global energy demand. But a plateau for coal, along with rising demand for oil and gas, would mean global emissions continue to rise throughout the outlook period to 2040.…Oil demand for freight, shipping, aviation and chemicals "continues to grow", the IEA says, with the growing popularity of SUVs another potential factor propping up demand. (Notably, documentation for the Saudi Aramco share sale also has global oil demand levelling off from around 2035.)"
Is the IEA underestimating renewables?Scenarios from the International Energy Agency (IEA) have failed to predict the growth of renewables and overestimated the role of nuclear. Critics say that's a political choice.Last year, the world's photovoltaic power capacity overtook nuclear for the first time – reaching 402 gigawatts, compared to 353 (GW). Wind power outstripped nuclear back in 2014, and by the end of 2017 amounted to 539 GW.
Back in 2010, you might not have predicted such a shift in the global energy mix – at least, not if you were basing your predictions on the International Energy Agency's annual Word Energy Outlook (WEO), which estimated annual deployment of less than 10 GW of photovoltaic capacity.According to this scenario, globally installed solar capacity would hit around 85 GW last year – 315 GW less than the actual figure.Critics say this is part of a pattern of the IEA consistently underestimating the growth of renewables while making unrealistic assumptions about the development of nuclear.
IEA Gets Hilariously Slammed For Obsessively Inaccurate Renewable Energy ForecastsOne of our readers recently shared this beauty of a post on Quora. Author Paul Mainwood starts out his short post like this:I was trawling through the International Energy Agency reports (the way you do) and was struck by two features.The close similarity of their projections to those put out by the fossil fuel industry (e.g., Shell's Outlook)The extraordinary consistency with which they under-forecast the role that renewables will play in energy mixLike the US Energy Information Administration, the IEA uses various methodologies and assumptions that just consistently bias their forecasts against renewables. It's easy to assume there are some nefarious ulterior motives underneath these consistent errors — crony capitalism and controlling hand of the pollution industry kind of stuff. That's certainly possible, but I haven't seen strong evidence of it and won't jump to conclusions.
Hard to see which line stands out from the rest, eh?Looking at the IEA forecasts without the corrected projection, the growth can look positive at first glance … but also depressingly slow. Looking at the corrected projection, we get an adoption trend that is much more in line with the disruptive S-curve many people closely following clean energy have been expecting.
The EIA Is Grossly Overestimating U.S. ShaleBy Nick Cunningham - Nov 12, 2019, 6:00 PM CSTThe prevailing wisdom that sees explosive and long-term potential for U.S. shale may rest on some faulty and overly-optimistic assumptions, according to a new report.Forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), along with those from its Paris-based counterpart, the International Energy Agency (IEA), are often cited as the gold standard for energy outlooks. Businesses and governments often refer to these forecasts for long-term investments and policy planning.In that context, it is important to know if the figures are accurate, to the extent that anyone can accurately forecast precise figures decades into the future. A new report from the Post Carbon Institute asserts that the EIA's reference case for production forecasts through 2050 "are extremely optimistic for the most part, and therefore highly unlikely to be realized."
He notes that in some instances, the EIA's forecasts are so optimistic that the production volumes exceed the agency's own estimates for proven reserves plus unproven reserves. The EIA also assumes that every last drop of proven reserves is produced, along with a high percentage of unproven reserves by 2050."Although the 'shale revolution' has provided a reprieve from what just 15 years ago was thought to be a terminal decline in oil and gas production in the U.S.," Hughes writes, "this reprieve is temporary, and the U.S. would be well advised to plan for much-reduced shale oil and gas production in the long term."
Peak coal on the horizon: a country-by-country reviewSeptember 2, 2019 by Christine Shearer
Though the global coal fleet still increased by 17GW in the first half of 2019, net of retirements, the pipeline is definitely shrinking. Two thirds of proposed projects never even get started. Notably, in China existing coal plants have been running, on average, only 50% of the time since 2015, evidence of a large excess of capacity. But is it enough? The IPCC's pathway to 1.5C requires unabated coal power generation to fall by 55-70% by 2030 and be effectively phased out by 2050. That's why all eyes are on the 15 countries – headed by China (49%), the US (13%) and India (11%) – responsible for 91% of the global coal fleet, generating 2,027GW worldwide, to turn that shrinking pipeline into shrinking capacity. Christine Shearer of Global Energy Monitor dives deep into the latest global stats.
In 2019 to date, about 12.7GW of coal power capacity has been newly proposed across eight countries and 12GW of new construction has started across five countries. These developments are concentrated in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines and Bangladesh. China also resumed construction on nearly 9GW of capacity that had been postponed under central government restrictions.Conversely, 132GW of planned new capacity was cancelled in 2019, mainly from lack of activity. The largest numbers of cancellations were in China, India, Myanmar and Turkey.
Despite this shrinking pipeline, the global coal fleet increased by 17GW in the first half of 2019, net of retirements. New capacity remains highly concentrated: nearly 85% (23GW) of the 27GW commissioned in 2019 was in China (17.9GW) or India (4.8GW).The other 11 countries that commissioned coal-fired capacity in 2019 added less than 1GW each. Meanwhile over 10GW of capacity was retired in 2019, led by the US (6.4GW) and European Union (2GW). To date, 2019 is on track to be the fourth highest year for coal plant retirements on record in the US.
China continues to push forward with previously postponed coal plants. However, new proposals are slowing and existing coal plants have been running only around 50% of the time since 2015 on average, indicating a large excess of capacity.India has undergone a large downscaling in its future coal plans, in favour of lower-cost renewables. Turkey has 34GW of coal in the pipeline, but has commissioned only 12% of its proposed capacity since 2010 – a rate that would lead to only 4GW of the 34GW being completed. In reality, the figure may ultimately be even lower than this.Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan have all reduced their proposed coal capacity, with no new large proposals since 2015. Meanwhile Japan and Korea are also facing public pressure to cut their international financial support for coal, which would leave only China as a significant source of global coal funding – given over 100 financial institutions are restricting coal financing.Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, and Pakistan have all scaled back plans for coal in their future national energy plans, with many of them experiencing significant coal-related financial problems.
Unabated coal power generation falls by 55-70% by 2030 and is effectively phased out by 2050 in pathways outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last October for limiting global temperatures to no more than 1.5C above pre-industrial temperatures – the aspirational goal of the Paris Agreement.As the pipeline for new coal dries up and older capacity reaches retirement, the lifetime and running hours of the world's younger coal plants will therefore be a key determinant of whether global climate goals can be met.
IEA: Peak Oil Demand Is Less Than A Decade AwayBy Irina Slav - Nov 13, 2019, 9:00 AM CSTGlobal oil demand will reach its peak in the mid-2020s and plateau around 2030, the International Energy Agency said in its World Energy Outlook for 2019.Until about 2025, the IEA said, global oil demand will expand by about 1 percent annually, exceeding 100 million bpd and reaching 105.4 million bpd. After that growth will shrink substantially and demand will reach a plateau at less than 110 million bpd—106.4 million bpd.
Electric cars have developed a reputation as the ultimate status symbol of the champagne environmentalist, but that could be very close to changing. New research from BloombergNEF says they could be cheaper than combustion-engine cars by 2022.Ten years ago, few would have predicted the meteoric rise of the electric vehicle industry. In 2010 the global stock was about 12,500, but more than two million were sold in 2018, accounting for around 2 percent of car sales. There are now five million on the road.That's been driven by a steady reduction in the price and size of batteries, as well as a healthy kick up the backside from Tesla that jolted automotive incumbents into prioritizing electric vehicle development. Despite the progress, though, these cars still lag behind their gas-guzzling cousins on price, range, and refueling time.
That's been changing rapidly, though. In a recent blog post, BloombergNEF energy analyst Nathaniel Bullard notes that in 2017 the point at which an electric vehicle would become cheaper than a combustion-engine vehicle of the same size was estimated to be 2026. Last year that closed to 2024, and he says the latest analysis suggests it's now 2022 for large vehicles in the European Union.That's because the falling price of lithium-ion batteries means they account for a shrinking share of the total cost of a vehicle. While a few years ago they made up around half the price of a car, today they account for about 33 percent of the total cost, and that's due to drop to about 20 percent by 2025. Those same dynamics are likely to see the range of electric vehicles broaden, says Bullard, to include battery-powered diggers and electric boats and planes.
Electric vehicles will kill global oil industry by 2030, says Stanford economist Tony SebaMay 5, 2017 JZadmin Markham on EnergyWill the emerging electric vehicle "transportation as a service" business model kill the global oil industry in 10 years? Tony Seba thinks it will. The Stanford economist released a landmark study Thursday about the revolutionary changes soon to be wrought by electrification of the transportation sector.
If EVs compete head-to-head as a replacement for internal combustion engine cars, then there are far more constraints than accelerators to adoption. And the effect of the constraints – high cost, range anxiety, lack of choice, etc. – is much more intense.The replacement model argued for a traditionally gradual rise up the diffusion S-curve, perhaps reaching 70 to 80 per cent marketshare in 50 years.But a business model disruption – like transportation as a service – that dramatically enhances the value of EVs to consumers is another animal altogether.In Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030: The Disruption of Transportation and the Collapse of the ICE Vehicle and Oil Industries, Seba not only explains why the new business model disruption will triumph, and how its success will be so complete that by 2030 "95 per cent of US passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand Autonomous Electric Vehicles (A-EVs) owned by companies providing Transport as a Service (TaaS).""We are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history," the RethinkX think tank founder says in a press release. "But there is nothing magical about it. This is driven by the economics."Economics that include: A-EVs engaged in TaaS will make up 60 per cent of U.S vehicle stock. As fewer cars travel more miles, the number of passenger vehicles on American roads will drop from 247 million in 2020 to 44 million in 2030. Using TaaS will be four to 10 times cheaper per mile than buying a new car, and two to four times cheaper than operating an existing paid-off vehicle, by 2021. The cost of TaaS will be driven down by several factors, including utilization rates that are 10 times higher; electric vehicle lifetimes exceeding 500,000 miles; and far lower maintenance, energy, finance and insurance costs. The average American household will save $5,600 per year by giving up its gas-powered car and traveling by autonomous, electric TaaS vehicles.
And what of the mighty oil industry? The impact will be "catastrophic," says Seba: "Global oil demand will peak at 100 million barrels per day by 2020, dropping to 70 million barrels per day by 2030. This will impact different companies and countries disproportionately — and in many cases, dramatically — depending on their exposure to high-cost oil."
Quote from: AbruptSLR on November 12, 2019, 11:17:37 PMI note that DeConto and Pollard (2016) indicated that Totten Glacier (located in the Aurora Subglacial Basin) is susceptible to an MICI-type of ice mass loss this century, and the attached image from the linked reference shows that the Wilkes Subglacial Basin is interconnected with the Aurora Subglacial Basin. Thus, if Totten Glacier were to sustain an MICI-type of collapse this century, it would likely undermine the ice in the Wilkes Subglacial Basin:...…So to recap:- AbruptSLR continues to confuse the timeframes of the original MICI models published in 2016- The authors of the original MICI models now state that the 2016 projections were too pessimistic- Other studies have shown that ice flows instead of fails in a brittle manner, which casts doubt on the mechanism needed for MICI to occur.- Past sea level rise could have occurred without needing the MICI mechanism- MICI needs hydrofracturing to occur before MICI can occur and yet there are areas in Antarctica where water flows off the ice sheet rather than penetrating through it to create hydrofractures- Coal is now more expensive than solar and wind power and coal use is expected to peak next decade, so the emission projections of RCP 8.5 from the 2020s through 2100 aren't possible.
Let's take a look at RCP 8.5. Basically, all of the IPCC RCPs look very similar until the 2020s and then diverge rapidly in the rest of the 21st century.So when you read that we are currently closer to RCP 8.5 then we are RCP 4.5 or RCP 2.6, it sounds pretty alarming. However, we still have 80 years left in this century.…
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NextPax is known as one of the most advanced channel management technology providers for hotels, resorts, and vacation rentals worldwide. The need for a more unified and aligned platform model utilized by owners, managers, and agents inspired the company's conception.
Erik began his work from a small attic focusing primarily on VR, and was directly joined by the current CTO Robert van der Mast, to write the first lines of code. Since then, the company has seen rapid growth to become a leading channel manager specializing in providing seamless, two-way connections between property management systems and distribution channels worldwide. Ever since, NextPax has built an extensive network of over 600,000 properties and 50,000 hotels.
Could you tell us a little more about NextPax, and what you believe has attributed to the success of the company?
NextPax is just different. We are faster and better than many other channel managers, and we offer a fair pricing model, which only charges a small fee per booking. We also pride ourselves on maintaining an exceptional global footprint that enables us to fully realize the industry as a whole.
The "DNA of NextPax," as I like to refer to it, lies in our unique service approach. Leveraging an intuitive API-connectivity platform, we're able to provide hotels and vacation rental companies with cost-effective channel promotion that optimizes content and attracts the most profitable guests. We understand that effective channel management is not a 'one-size-fits-all' solution, but rather, requires a highly automated solution. Keeping content current and relevant on every channel in real-time involves automation. It's impossible to do it manually. In fact, this is a core principle that inspires our internal process —leveraging automated processes behind the scenes, including the synchronization of content updates, rates and availability. This proves that our solution is fully scalable and is meeting the demands from large scale properties and managers to small ones.
We also ensure that we put the property manager (PM) first, every step of the way, offering support for our clients' listings using cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) technology, the provision of resources, and unparalleled onboarding times. When onboarding a new client, our build-outs and syndications take less than 24 hours. As you might imagine, this is a favorable shift away from the typical industry standard of a week or more.
Beyond the emphasis we place on our clients and their continued success, we also consider ourselves to be an industry leader when it comes to partnerships. As we align with companies like Booking.com, Airbnb, Vrbo/HomeAway, Google, Ctrip, Expedia, Agoda, HotelPlanner, Awaze, OYO Vacation Homes, HHD AG, VTrips, and more, we have been able to achieve dramatic global expansion with a truly competitive end-to-end solution that can easily handle all inventory types.
NextPax has experienced rapid growth over the years. What has this looked like?
As our product is highly automated by nature, we find ourselves with the advantage of not having to grow internally at a pace that matches the growth of our client base. The recent momentum has been undeniable, and today, we have a team of 10 in the US and 25 in the Netherlands, along with a brand-new head office in Almere, with panoramic views of Amsterdam.
In addition to the year-over-year growth in Europe, we are currently witnessing exciting growth in the US market. We have hundreds of clients in North America and have expanded our partnerships with property management companies such as LiveRez, JANIIS, and CiiRUS. Every brand that signs with us gets a dedicated expert account manager, who is available to provide direct support. This is paramount as we want to see each of our clients be successful, and having an account manager that is local helps in ensuring their success.
How did you achieve growth in the US? Furthermore, how did you manage this successful crossover?
In 2016, we were able to attract Jim Barsch, ex COO VacationRoost and LeisureLink, to spearhead the North American growth strategy. Now, as we enter a new decade, Jim leads the charge as President of NextPax Inc., poised to accelerate our expansion efforts and drive continued innovation alongside leading industry partners.
We currently have hundreds of accounts in the US and a growing team to meet the increasing demand for our products in North America. We are making a true impact in the US market, being awarded the prestigious American Group Travel Award for Best Emerging Technology and we recently won the Peak Season Competition for 'key collection' from Booking.com for releasing implementations to help property managers improve their performance on the Booking platform. We successfully enabled the key collection functionality for 33,718 properties within a day, greatly exceeding the required 1,100.
Click here to read more.
Hotel Technology News is the hospitality industry's premier source of information and insights related to technology innovation at the world's leading hotels and resorts. Our reporting, research and opinion pieces reveal how forward-thinking hoteliers are upgrading their technology capabilities to improve operational performance and the quality of the guest experience, as well as to reduce waste and improve environmental sustainability, and how top solution providers are advancing the frontier on next-generation hospitality technologies.
Logos, product and company names mentioned are the property of their respective owners.

subset: commoncrawl


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New Formula 1 Chairman Chase Carey has indicated it is his intention to further expand the sport in crucial American and Asian markets as he looks to take it to 'another level'.
Speaking publicly for the first time since American firm Liberty Media assumed a controlling stake in Formula 1 ahead of the Singapore Grand Prix, Carey - who has been chosen as the man to take charge of F1 - says he wants to observe and learn initially before outlining a strategy for the sport's future.
"For the first few months - call it 100 days - it is largely listening and meeting - and digesting," he told the BBC. "And then come out of that phase with a degree of visions that continue to be shaped. Nothing is ever written in stone. Bernie is the CEO, so Bernie is going to lead it and I will work with Bernie to establish some kind of strategic plan to where you want to go."
The deal is seen by many as F1's opportunity to get a foothold in the huge US market having struggled to do so over the years relative to other intentional sporting brands.
Indeed, Carey suggests this will be one of his main focuses, hinting there could be more events in locations as 'Los Angeles, New York and Miami' to capitalise on F1's 'premium brand'.
"It is too early to have a clear plan, but we clearly will have a plan to develop America, to be in the right market. There is a big untapped audience in the US. I don't want to criticise the efforts in the past, because I don't know the efforts in the past.
"Formula 1 is a great premium brand and that means to me that you want to be at a location like Los Angeles, New York or Miami. Ideally in the great cities in the world."
Though F1 supremo Bernie Ecclestone remains in charge 'day-to-day' for the time being there has been no formal indication of how long he will remain at the helm. Furthermore, with many expecting a definitive shift towards a broader digital marketing platform - which would likely loosen Ecclestone famously firm grip on television rights - it could signal a change at the top.
"I believe that a good digital product makes the television product more rewarding," Carey continued. "Marketing the sport, in telling the story of the stars and heroes and the incredible machines. Then strengthen it geographically. So there is not 'the cash cow', but there is growth possibility in every area."
Latest Tweets from Crash.net & GPF1rst


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To my very considerable surprise, my old pal Lincoln Morikone fell by the house Sunday afternoon. Linc was my roommate for – let's see, I've forgotten – either two or three, and I think it was three – of my four years as a student at Newbury Park Academy.
So he's a dear old friend, and on top of that, he introduced Laura and I, so I owe him a huge debt.
Anyway, he's a good guy, if slightly barmy. Like me, he's by now an older gentleman, yet at this point in his life he's taken on an incredible challenge. Driven, apparently, by the need to do missionary work, he's working as administrator of a hospital in Banepa, Nepal. For this service he is paid something like $104 a month. Banepa is about 40 miles east of Kathmandu, the capitol city of Nepal, but the roads are so poor that getting between the two requires from three to five hours, Lincoln told me.


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Finding an eye doctor
Neglecting the eye doctor visits is a very common mistake people make these days. Vision problems may cause many other health issues starting with headache and disorientation. That's why finding a convenient eye specialist you can trust and scheduling an appointment at least once an year is a must.
Finding an eye doctor is not that hard task. You should start with drawing a map of the places you can easily get to from your home or work. You can even print a map of your county or the route to work using Google Maps or similar service or software. This will help you narrow down the cities or counties you are willing to travel to for an eye exam.
One this is done you can come to our site and create a list of the specialists in the selected area. It would be nice to have them printed on paper but a Microsoft Word document will also do just fine. Combine the map and the list and you will see the most convenient doctors around you.
Thanks for your relentless persistence to organize that a remarkably good assembly. This shows, and this level of management is always gratifying to us, speakers because it denotes the top notch service of what is being arranged.
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Out of the list. you should choose only one. Search the internet for the name of the clinic or the name of the owner/manager and read the reviews carefully. Please note that not all reviews you will find online are genuine so getting the most information you can find is important. Talk to your friends and neighbors about their doctors.
Understanding the importance of your regular eye exams is something you should think about. Once any eye problems start arising the way back to healthy eyes is not an easy one. Minor infections and or issues are fixable but if ignored there are many other issues that will stop by.Eye Doctors by State
Alabama (AL)
Arizona (AZ)
Arkansas (AR)
California (CA)
Colorado (CO)
Connecticut (CT)
Delaware (DE)
Florida (FL)
Georgia (GA)
Hawaii (HI)
Illinois (IL)
Indiana (IN)
Iowa (IA)
Kansas (KS)
Kentucky (KY)
Louisiana (LA)
Maryland (MD)
Massachusetts (MA)
Michigan (MI)
Minnesota (MN)
Mississippi (MS)
Missouri (MO)
Montana (MT)
North Carolina (NC)
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Nebraska (NE)
Nevada (NV)
New Hampshire (NH)
New Jersey (NJ)
New Mexico (NM)
New York (NY)
Ohio (OH)
Oklahoma (OK)
Oregon (OR)
Pennsylvania (PA)
Rhode Island (RI)
South Carolina (SC)
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Elder Law: Guardianship, Health Care Planning and More
They are truly a necessity in civilization, although lawyers may be the butt of jokes. You may find yourself desperately needing legal representation of your own. It is important to choose your lawyer carefully since this person will significantly impact your chances of winning your case. The information that follows will serve you well as you look for a lawyer.
The number one thing for you to do is hire an attorney like Weylie and Centonzio if accused of committing a grave crime. You may inadvertently break some law if you try to represent yourself. From experience, attorneys know the best way to handle your situation.
It might not be a bad idea to have an attorney on retainer if you're anticipating future problems. You can now focus on finding the right lawyer you can definitely trust. Keeping a retained lawyer is also beneficial because you will be able to obtain expert advice whenever you are in need of it.
Real estate lawyers can be a real asset when dealing with real estate issues. This makes you more likely to win your case quickly and efficiently.
The reputation of your lawyer is very important. Contact your local bar association and look for reviews to help you decide whether to work with any lawyer you are considering. That brings a positive outcome.
Look into the background of your lawyer by investigating their background through the bar association. A few complaints are to be expected. A lengthy record of complaints should be a red flag.
Talk to your attorney about jobs you can complete on your own. You may be able to help get the paperwork ready. If you may personally pick up any documents so your law office doesn't add doing that to the bill, you can ask.
Such as your claim for worker's compensation, do your homework before filing claims. Each state's laws regarding timelines and evidence differ. You have to approach workers' compensation with care. Worker's Compensation claims have unique standards that need to be met.
If you just want to sue from principle and not because of money, you are likely going to have a difficult time finding a lawyer to take your case. You'll be troublesome and one that's not satisfied with the outcome. When suing, it's important to understand that your reward is money – not proving a point!
Know that as important as your case may be to you, it may not be the same way for your lawyer. Actually, your attorney may have quite a few more urgent cases. Understand that your lawyer is trying to balance everyone out, so don't give him or her a hard time.
If you feel your elder law lawyer is not doing everything he can to win your case, remember he has tried a lot of cases and knows what all is involved in winning. They are experienced in situations like these and they know what is required for a positive outcome.
When you enter the lawyer's office, check out the room. Does his bookshelf look organized? Do you see a desk overflowing with files and papers? Is their coat hung or just sprawled out somewhere? Remember, you get billed for all the time it will take them to find your files.
Never hire a lawyer just because they have a television commercial. Many are disguising their inexperience, although they may grab your attention. There are other things to take into consideration besides this.
Lawyers have been around for many years for one reason: society needs them. They offer a service, so if you need them, they can assist you. Use the tips here to make the best decision possible if the time comes when you need a good lawyer. You'll be glad you did.


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Kyser capo 12 string capo at DC Music. Thank you for your interest in the kyser capo 12 string. kyser capo 12 string. Kyser's quick change capos are the capo to have. They use a heavy duty spring to clamp to the neck of your guitar and are designed so you can move the capo fast. This model is specifically designed for 12 string guitars.
These capos work like a charm. Whether you are rockin out in Madison Square Gardens with Poison or if you are at grandma's house singing songs to your cousins. You won't miss a key change in between songs! These capos are easy to use and very fast to change!
A perfet fit for the necks and fingerboards of acoustic 6-string guitars, the original Quick-Change is a snap to reposition between frets using just one hand, or to "park" on the head stock.
This capo is used by more guitarists than any other capo. The quick change design allows for fast and easy key change with the use of only one hand. Don't wait until your next gig, order one today!


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I think that the Texan that is the most qualified - using your definition: "A Texan (or Texans) who has had uncommon impact; who exemplifies Texas traits of trailblazing, independence and staring down adversity; and who has affected/influenced lives." - would have to be Congressman Dr. Ron Paul. I have met Dr. Paul on three occasions, and have never in my life met a more truly caring and honest Statesman who really and truly works for the good of the people, and who electrified a such huge number of people across my home state of Texas as well as the entire nation! (he was not born here but he got here as fast as he could)
~ I ask all of you at the Dallas Morning News to please consider Dr. Ron Paul for Texan of the year. =)
-- Adrienne McKee, Campbell TX
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." George Orwell


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Avoid Solopreneur Burnout – 101 Ways We Can Support You
Register below to receive our FREE report outlining the 101 ways we can support you. We'll also keep you posted on future updates.
Genevieve Toledo-Salipan
Client Manager / Team Support
Well rounded and adaptable. Enjoys the dynamics of working online, supporting the team, and switching between practical and creative tasks. Willing to assist where she can.
Supports the teams for: Bauhinia Solutions | Start Smart Website
Genevieve Toledo-Salipan supports a cross-section of entrepreneurs in a variety of industries.
Genevieve has solid experience in writing, events organizing, customer support and administrative support. Her strong sense of teamwork makes her an effective team member, while her resourcefulness allows her to work independently. Tasks with a mix of administrative and creative ones best suit her.
Genevieve started working at an early age — as a community paper correspondent, an ESL tutor and venturing in the BPO industry while she was in college. She took charge of marketing and implementing branding initiatives through press releases, newsletters and other press materials, and website maintenance as a corporate communications assistant. She was also recruited to a human resource department where she further developed her interpersonal relations and a passion for providing assistance.
Leaving the corporate world, Genevieve ventured into online transcription, and transitioned to being a virtual assistant gaining knowledge and experience in social media management and online marketing.
With many experiences in different fields, Genevieve has become adaptable to different environments, industries and tools. Genevieve prides herself on the dedication to learn and execute tasks as efficiently as possible, eager to take on challenging assignments.
Some of Genevieve's career highlights are:
- She was recruited to a correspondent for the newspaper at the age of 19, well before graduating college.
- Recognized by COO and other executives for departmental improvement, efficiency and productivity; and as a top agent when she was a Technical Support Representative.
- Managed the redesign and maintenance of a website.
Genevieve holds a Bachelor of Arts in Mass Communication from the University of the Cordilleras, Baguio City, Philippines. Genevieve is fondly referred to as Gen, and she lives in the Municipality of La Trinidad, Philippines.
Areas of Expertise
- Graphic Design
- Social Media Content and Management
- WordPress Website Updates
- Video Editing
- Email and Calendar Management
Software and Systems
- Microsoft Office | G-Suite
- Teamwork Projects and Spaces
- Facebook | Instagram | LinkedIn
- Canva | Picmonkey
- Adobe Illustrator | Photoshop
- Planoly | Buffer | Hootsuite
- Mailchimp | Send in Blue
- WordPress | Divi Theme | WooCommerce
- ClickFunnels
The Inside Scoop:
- Gen belongs to the indigenous group of people, the Igorot, from the Philippines' Cordillera region. Although no longer practiced, Igorots are known in history to be headhunters and fierce warriors.
- Still stemming from her cultural background and drawing inspiration from others, Gen is passionate about tattoos and has eight to date. Her favorite one being a koi tattoo, which in various cultures, represents determination, courage and overcoming adversity.
- She likes to spend time collecting household items, clothes, toys, books and other useful items to give to charities, orphanages, rural schools or through non-profit organizations.
Book a Discovery Call
Because we carefully tailor our services to each new client's unique needs, we intentionally take on no more than three new clients each month. To discuss your needs and how the Bauhinia team could support you in the growth of your business, book a Discover Call with our Founder and Director, Nicole Graham.


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U.K. Internet service provider Freeserve has been ordered by the Advertising Standards Authority to pull an advertisement that claims customers can surf for as "long as (they) like" after rival ISP BTopenworld lodged a complaint. The ASA said the ad is "misleading" in that surfers were being disconnected after two hours online or 10 after minutes of inactivity.
To read the full story, visit Silicon.com.
Silicon.com's Will Sturgeon reported from London.


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Twitter Activity Around Target's Credit Card Breach [STATS]
Amid holiday heyday, Target's payment systems were hacked, compromising 40 million customers' payment information.
Target's target by hackers stretched from Black Friday through December 15.
But at that point Twitter activity about the unfortunate data breach was still manifest.
Data from analytics firm Crimson Hexagon breaks down the Twitter Target buzz after the first two and a half weeks.
– From December 18-19, almost three weeks after the hack, more than 587,000 tweets relevant to Target's credit card breach were sent, a rate of about 12,000 tweets per hour.
– During that time, Target's Twitter handle was mentioned more than 48,000 times.
– Hashtag #target had more than 31,000 mentions December 18-19 and #databreach had more than 5,200 mentions.
This snapshot is an indicator of just how jostled the Twittersphere, and the Internet at large, was about the scandal.
To its credit, Twitter has been calm and communicative via its Twitter feed:
Here's a step-by-step guide for how to set up REDcard alerts & monitor your account. http://t.co/e4UV8hHxEh
— Target (@Target) December 23, 2013
We want to let you know that we are continuing to improve call center wait times and have now tripled our call center support. (1 of 2)
— Target (@Target) December 26, 2013
We're listening to tweets about the data breach in our U.S. stores & have 6 answers to questions. http://t.co/IfZcUW4vUo
— Target (@Target) December 21, 2013
(Target image via AP.)


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Two Egyptian policemen were killed and five other people wounded as gunmen opened fire on a police checkpoint north of Cairo on Sunday, officials said.
The interior ministry, on its Facebook page, said three gunmen in a car without license plates fired at the checkpoint in Sadat City, an industrial zone 100 kilometres (60 miles) from the capital.
Two civilians were among the five wounded, the health ministry said.
It was not immediatly clear if the attack was carried out for criminal motives or by jihadists, who have mounted a string of deadly operations against security forces since the military ousted Egypt's Islamist president Mohamed Morsi in July 2013.
Hundreds of police and soldiers have been killed in the attacks, mostly in the restive Sinai Peninsula.


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by Barrie Grant, DVM, DACVS
There are many factors that veterinarians and owners consider when a surgical treatment is recommended for a horse. Cost, type of surgery, severity of surgery, complications, outcome, rehabilitation time, expectations and possible use of the patient following the procedure, all play a role in determining if the procedure will be performed. Several years ago, old age was a significant factor in considering surgery. Old horses were not expected to survive colic surgery. In the last few years, with advances in anesthesia and surgical techniques, medical and surgical treatment of older horses has become more common. In some areas of the country (mainly urban), a significant number of horses in many practices are old horses still doing their jobs, still enjoying life and proceeding into the "golden years" with their owners and many times the owners' grandchildren.
When an equine senior citizen needs surgery — especially emergency surgery (such as for colic) — there is a concern that he will not survive the procedure because of his age, and therefore why would surgery be performed as it would increase the discomfort to the patient and the expense to the owner?
Our advice to the owner of a senior horse is that as long as the horse has been in good health, with normal weight, and there isn't a severe endotoxic shock situation, then the older horse has the same chance of tolerating anesthesia and surgery as a younger horse would. The older horse is often more sensible during the recovery process than yearlings and un-handled two-year-olds. This makes them less likely to injure themselves or traumatize the surgical site during the recovery process. Also, an older horse is usually very amendable to the around-the-clock handling that intestinal surgeries often require.
The most common surgery for older horses is for the treatment of colic. Older horses are more likely to have colic caused by lipomas (tumors) that strangulate the small intestine, or by having the small intestine strangulated by being entrapped in the epipolic foramen (a small place between the bowel and liver in younger horses that becomes larger as the liver shrinks in size or atrophies with the passage of time). Strangulations of the small intestine usually require resection of the dead intestine and rejoining (anastomosis) of the two ends of healthy intestine. This can be a complicated procedure, and the aftercare can be intense while we wait for the intestines to start their normal movement and pass ingesta downstream to the large intestine.
Older horses in California often have large stones (enteroliths) that develop over the years and finally block the intestine because of their size. Removal of these stones is usually a straightforward procedure with minimal aftercare other than 45 days of stall rest to allow for the midline incision to heal. Then they are fine and ready to go back to work.
The treatment of eye conditions (cancer and cataracts) is another reason for general anesthesia and surgery on older horses.
We also have surgically treated compression of the cervical spinal cord (wobbler) in a number of horses over 15 years of age — the oldest being 28 (Thoroughbred champion, Seattle Slew). Even though Slew only allowed his owner and longtime grooms (Tom and Carlos) to catch and handle him in the stall, he had the nicest recovery from a wobbler surgery that I ever had. He was a special horse when he was young, and when he was in his golden years, all he wanted was to be given a chance.
Article courtesy of AAEP Educational Partner, The Horse.


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80 percent of U.S. bank CEOs to invest in digital transformation
James Walker
Oct 4, 2017 in
Almost 80 percent of U.S. banking CEOs are planning to invest in digital transformation over the next three years. KPMG said banks are experiencing the biggest "transformational era" in their history, adding that the time to embrace digital is now.
Disrupting the disruption
Banks are undergoing a paradigm shift in the way customers expect them to do business. The rise of new alternative financial providers based on
fintech platforms
has forced banks to accelerate their own adoptions of digital tech. KPMG's 2017 U.S. banking CEO
Outlook study
shows most banking leaders are now aware of the need for change, with 80 percent intending to invest in digital infrastructure over the next three years.
The technological disruption of the financial services market is altering the way in which banks do business. The survey found most banks are viewing the disruptions positively, approaching digital transformation as an opportunity to introduce forward-thinking strategies. 53 percent of CEOs said the disruption shouldn't be viewed as a threat and 56 percent said their own organisation is actively disrupting the sector they operate in.
Following the customers
Banks are taking individual approaches
to digital transformation
. A set of common themes lies beneath each effort, with an improved customer experience, heightened sensory capabilities and more agile innovative processes the top benefits sought by CEOs.
On the technological side, banks are increasingly offering mobile payments solutions and personalised banking options in response to direct demand from consumers and retailers. KPMG said mobility is now a standard customer expectation of financial providers.
Bitcoin has enjoyed a stratospheric rise this year, approaching $10,000 from a 2017 low of $752 seen in January
Pixabay / Pexels
Bank of America embarks on cloud-first digital transformation
"In order to keep pace with the expectations of today's connected consumers, banking leaders realize the need to digitize the entire enterprise – from the back office to the front door," said
Brian Stephens
, National Leader of Banking and Financial Services at KPMG. "They are up against some stiff competition from the fintech startups and retailers, and need to be able to offer their customers a much more personalized and mobile experience."
Implementation issues
As in all industries, bank leaders are facing digital implementation difficulties. CEOs pushing towards digital-first business processes are reporting
the same issues that
organisations in other sectors have already encountered.
The requirements of maintaining legacy systems, wrestling with the complexity of new technologies and hiring skilled
cloud and AI experts
can hold back a firm's digital strategy. 44 percent of CEOs said their organisation "is not ready" to start using AI, even though it's integral to most customer experience improvement programs.
Looking ahead
Banking's one of the industries that stands to benefit the most from digital transformation. Its current reliance on outdated, time-consuming processes is frustrating consumers and restraining retailers. The enthusiasm from CEOs is an encouraging sign that digital-first change is now welcomed in the sector.
However, the resurfacing of now typical implementation issues suggests tech providers could do more to help banks along the road. Until a stable digital foundation is formed, banks will be unable to fully utilise the benefits of AI and the cloud. This will leave them vulnerable to rising fintech providers and could create tensions within the organisation.
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Living in Atlanta (Roswell), Georgia. I work for a Global software company in the IT department. I was married for 20 years and single for the past 6. We have moved all over the place...Tucson, AZ, Santa Fe, NM, West Hartford, CT and settled in Georgia 10 years ago.
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Whooping cough cases rise at an epidemic rate
Photo: AP
FILE - This Monday, Sept. 19, 2011 file photo shows an empty bottle of Tetanus, Diphthera and Pertussis, (whooping cough) vaccine at Inderkum High School in Sacramento, Calif. Health officials say the U.S. is on track to have the worst year for whooping cough in more than five decades. Nearly 18,000 cases have been reported so far - more than twice the number seen at this point last year, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Thursday, July 19, 2012. At this pace, the number of whooping cough cases will surpass every year since 1959. (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)


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After a late first night and getting up early the next morning to head to Franklin's Barbecue, I was more than ready for a quick nap after that hearty barbecue lunch. I was tired, but how could I not explore more of this city? The lovely people I met in line even insisted I take a tour with them, but I passed believing I would just head back to the hotel to rest for a bit.
So I changed my mind. I quickly looked into general tours of Austin and found out about Austin Detours. Their Real Austin Tour offers an overview of the city with a couple stops in just 2 hours – perfect! I immediately called them and was lucky enough to grab the last spot for their 1:30pm tour.
The tour only cost $35 and began at the Austin Visitor Center which wasn't too far from Franklin's. Our tour guide, Jason, made sure everybody was present before showing us to the nice Mercedes van. We saw a couple major landmarks, hidden gems, and drove through various neighborhoods. We even stopped for a nice little treat at a famous food truck. Jason was full of energy and had lots of of information about Austin's music, art, history, and culture.
Our other major stop was Graffiti Park, also known as the Hope Outdoor Gallery. What a cool sight! The public and various artists create colorful graffiti art and murals.
We couldn't explore Austin without stopping by one of the many food trucks in town. We had a delicious little treat from Torchy's Tacos.
The Lil' Nookies are deep-fried balls of chocolate chip cookie dough. Yum!
The tour was short, sweet, and informative. Jason was an excellent guide and shared plenty of fun facts and interesting history about Austin. I highly recommend Austin Detours if you're in town. They also offer a Live Music Crawl and a BBQ & Winery Tour. Thank you, Jason!
Austin Detours
602 East 4th Street
Austin, TX 78701
(512) 962-8636
Email: email@example.com


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Education in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines has undergone gradual development of educational system. In fact, literacy is still an alarming concern up to the present. Hence, reforms have been duly instituted by the Ministry of Education along with Western communities to curb this problem one step at a time.
Vincentian education has evolved from its rich historical past. In pre-colonial period, education is aimed at teaching tribal values on tribe members. Colonial domination introduced informal learning based on the Christian religion. Formal education to the locals was introduced only in 1835 with the Negro Education Grant from Great Britain.
The State promotes limited educational opportunities for Vincentians with its free and non-obligatory primary education. More often than not, only few of those enrolled in basic schooling resumes to the secondary level due to non-affordable tuition fees. College education is scarcely available to locals through scholarship grants. Indeed, most of higher educational institutions across the country cater to foreign students.
Educational framework existent in this Caribbean nation is comprised of three levels. These include primary education (seven years); two-phased secondary education (first stage for five years and second stage for two years); and tertiary education (minimum of three years for college degree). Also, there are some alternative programs for higher instruction such as vocational and technical courses. Special schooling for adult education and handicapped education are provided, too.
In 2002, recorded literacy rate was only 67% among those who attended basic education. This triggered the intensive campaign on reading and writing interventions through the Literacy Enrichment and Support Agenda pioneered by the government working hand in hand with European Union and United States communities.


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Home Equity Loan & Line of Credit Options for Mobile Homes – Heading to your local bank or credit union probably won't yield the results you are hoping for with a home equity loan on a mobile home. Banks and credit unions, as conventional lenders, are more prone to decline home equity loan and line of credit applications for mobile homes because of the risk of depreciation.
Pine Country Home Center – Mobile Home Financing – Do you need financing on your manufactured home, mobile home, or modular home?. Down payment requirements for chattel home loans can be as low as 5 %, with. In many cases, these home loans carry lower credit score and down.
Easy Mobile Home Loans! – Approved Credit Services, Inc. – manufactured home loans, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Oregon. Call Now: (800)449-4007. Home Contact Faqs.. Age of the home allowed varies by state. Credit score must be a 620 or higher. Array of Financing Options.
Using a VA Loan for Manufactured Homes or Modular Homes – Veterans and military members can look to use their hard-earned VA loan benefits to purchase a manufactured (mobile) home or a modular home.
2019's Best Reviews: Home Loans for Bad Credit – Due to their insured nature, FHA loans are perhaps some of the easier home loans to qualify for with bad credit, generally approving people with FICO credit scores as low as 580. However, because the lenders (not the FHA) do the actual lending, they can set their own requirements, so actual scores may vary.
FHA Loans For Manufactured Homes. Mobile Home Loan – fha manufactured home Loans FHA modular and manufactured home loans represent a popular option for home buyers who currently have the ability to repay a mortgage, but may have had some credit challenges in the past.
Modular Home Loans For Bad Credit – If you want to pay off your loan faster and save thousands of dollars in interest rate you can refinance your mortgage to a shorter term.
the tax deductible expenses related to home ownership are conventional vs fha loan calculator
Manufactured Housing Consultants – San Antonio Mobile Homes. – We are a mobile home dealer with a huge selection of mobile homes, modular homes & manufactured homes from 8 manufacturers!. Manufactured Housing Consultants is the premier san antonio mobile home dealer and modular homes dealer.. Even if your credit score isn't the best, there are several.
The Best Manufactured Home Financing. Mobile Homes – Learn more about our FHA loans for modular and manufactured homes. VA Loans. We have special VA loans for veterans in need of financing for manufactured and modular homes. While many manufactured home financing companies do not offer VA loans, Cascade offers these loans to qualifying veterans with a credit score of 620 or higher.


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Steps to Forming an LLC
Last Updated on
How to Form an LLC in New Mexico
Forming an LLC in New Mexico will help protect your personal assets from lawsuits and judgments against your business. An LLC is a business structure that separates your business and personal assets. By not having your business in a separate legal structure, you can be held personally liable for certain debts and lawsuits incurred by the company. Forming a New Mexico Limited Liability Company does not require an attorney and you can save a lot of money if you do it yourself with the six simple steps below.
Before getting into the six steps, here are a few things to know about New Mexico LLCs.
How Much Does It Cost to Get an LLC In New Mexico?
The filing fee for a New Mexico Limited Liability Company is $50, payable to the New Mexico Secretary of State. Expect 15 days for approval for mail-in applications or 1-3 days for online submissions.
New Mexico Annual Report and Annual Fees
New Mexico is one of the few states that don't require an annual report or annual fees for LLCs!
Member/Manager Information
- Minimum Number – one or more
- Members/Managers- at least one is required to be listed in the Articles of Organization
- Residence Requirements – none specified
- Age Requirements – none specified
New Mexico Business Licenses and Permits
In addition to forming your LLC, you will need to check for New Mexico business licenses and permits.
Steps to Forming a New Mexico LLC
Step 1. Naming Requirements
New Mexico LLC Name Search
Before settling on a company name, you want to be sure nobody else is using it as each LLC must have a unique name. Here's how to search available LLC names in New Mexico, with the Secretary of State name database.
If you find a business name you want to register, but aren't ready to form your LLC, the New Mexico Secretary of State to hold the name. The fee to reserve the name is $50.
Name Guidelines
Also, there are some words that aren't allowed to be used in the state, like those that could refer to a state agency or that require licensing from the state.
Your company name must end with the words Limited Liability Company or an abbreviation of these words ("LLC," "L.L.C.," "Limited," "LTD.," "LTD".). Check out our article on naming your LLC for all of the requirements that you must follow when naming an LLC.
Step 2. Choosing a Registered Agent
What is a Registered Agent?
A New Mexico registered agent is the central point of contact for the LLC, that can be either an individual or business entity, that receives important legal documents, tax notices or communications with the state.
Registered Agent Requirements
The registered agent must generally be available during normal business hours at a physical street address or principal place of business in New Mexico to accept service of process. A Post Office Box or personal mailbox is not acceptable. If the registered office includes a suite number, it must be included in the registered office address.
Who can be a Registered Agent in New Mexico?
A registered agent in New Mexico can either be a resident of the state or a corporation authorized to do business in the state.
Provided you as the business owner have a physical presence in the state of New Mexico, you can be the registered agent, however, there are additional privacy benefits to having a third-party registered agent.
Check out our article on why an LLC Registered Agent may be a good choice for your business for more details.
Step 3. Filing the Articles of Organization
The Articles of Organization is the paperwork used to form an LLC with the state. This is the most important step and many people believe that you need an attorney to file.
While we don't discourage having an attorney, filing a New Mexico LLC can be done by most people, but you can save considerable money over an attorney and make sure everything is filed correctly by using a formation service such as ZenBusiness.
Click to download the New Mexico Articles of Organization
Step 4. Creating an Operating Agreement
An LLC operating agreement is not required in New Mexico but is typically a good idea, especially for an LLC owned by multiple people. The primary function of the LLC operating agreement is to govern the relationship between the owners of the business, but also outlines who makes what decisions, how profits or losses are distributed and the operating procedures of the LLC.
Learn how to create an LLC operating agreement.
Step 5. Getting an EIN
What is an EIN?
The Employer Identification Number (EIN), or Federal Employer Identification Number (FEIN), is used to identify a business entity. It is essentially a social security number for the company.
In addition to the EIN being an identifying number for the LLC it serves a few other purposes such as:
- Opening a business bank account
- Federal and State tax purposes
- The business account to pay payroll taxes for employees paid by the company
How to Register an EIN for a New Mexico LLC?
To file an EIN for your LLC, visit the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) or obtain the SS-4 form. They show the steps on how to apply, but here is a video on how to apply for an EIN for more details. In about five minutes, you will have your number free of charge. Be sure to wait until your LLC is approved before applying for your EIN as the name that is registered for the LLC must be the same as the EIN.
Step 6. Selecting the Tax Status of the LLC
In addition to the personal liability protection the Limited Liability Company provides its members, another key benefit of an LLC the four business entities don't provide is the flexibility in taxation. There are four ways an LLC can be taxed, compared with two ways for a corporation.
- Single Member LLC – An LLC with one member automatically becomes a single-member LLC with the IRS. The owner simply files their Schedule C with their 1040 at the end of the year. Filing as a single-member LLC means the entity does not pay sales tax and goes to the owner which is called pass-through taxation. The owner pays self-employment taxes on the net profit of the LLC, which while simpler to handle taxes, may be more costly.
- Partnership LLC – An LLC with two or more members is automatically considered a Partnership with the IRS and will file Form 1065. Like the sole-proprietorship as a pass-through entity, the LLC taxed as a Partnership pays no income tax and profit and losses flow to each member's Form 1040s via Schedule K-1 of Form 1065.
- C Corporation LLC – An LLC can elect to be taxed as a C Corporation by filing IRS Form 8832. The major difference as an LLC that is taxed as a C corporation is that now the LLC pays tax on the profits and losses and are not directly passed down to the members. Most, but not all will find filing as a C Corporation will cost more in taxes as now the LLC has double taxation where there is a tax on the profits and dividends.
- S Corporation LLC – To get S Corporation status, you will file Form 2553 with the IRS. What makes the S Corporation attractive unlike the sole proprietorship or partnership is that you can potentially shield some of the profits from being subject to self-employment taxes. Dividends aren't typically subject to self-employment taxes which is a large potential savings. There will be more work in accounting for an LLC that elected S Corporation status.
Each of the four ways for an LLC to be taxed in New Mexico can have a major impact on the taxes that are charged depending on the business and the member's personal finances. It's a very good idea to work with an accounting professional to see which one is most efficient for the business and members.
Don't want to go it alone but don't want the expense of an attorney? Another alternative is to use an LLC formation service that will do the formation at a low cost.
ZenBusiness has a special offer right now to form an LLC for $49 plus the cost of the state fees.
Wanting to form an LLC in a state other than New Mexico to save money on taxes? This doesn't typically do as much as you may think as you will likely register an LLC in the other state and will also usually need to file as a foreign LLC in your home state of New Mexico as well. In addition to paying two filing fees to start the LLC and two annual reports each year, there will be multiple tax filings as well. Be sure to do your research as there are a lot of people promoting formation services in other states and weigh all the pros and cons before making this decision as it can be a costly one.
Step 7. Open a bank account for your business
Opening a separate LLC bank account is important as it establishes a clear division between your personal and business finances. Should the LLC be sued and you are using a personal bank account for your LLC's finances, that would be considered a commingling of funds, which may make it difficult to maintain the liability protection of the LLC.
To open a bank account for your LLC, you will need to bring the following with you to the bank:
- Form of identification for each member, such as a driver's license
- Copy of the Certificate of Formation
- LLC operating agreement
- Employer Identification Number – If you are a single-member LLC with no employees, you can simply use your Social Security Number
A bank resolution may be needed depending on the bank and the tax election of the LLC. A banking resolution is a formal document that provides authorization for who has access to the LLC bank account.
Learn more about opening a bank account for an LLC
Step 8. Obtain a sales tax permit (not required for all businesses)
If your business sells a taxable product or service you will also need to apply for a New Mexico Sales Tax Permit through the New Mexico Department of Taxation and Revenue.
New Mexico Secretary of State Contact:
New Mexico Secretary of State – Corporations Bureau
325 Don Gaspar, Suite 300
Santa Fe, NM 87501
Phone: 800-477-3632
Email: [email protected]


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- This event has passed.
Where's the Contract? Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) Program
June 10 @ 8:30 am - 9:00 am
Event Navigation
Join the Nevada Procurement Technical Assistance Center (PTAC), Procurement Outreach Program (POP) and Nevada SBDC to learn more about government/public sector contracting – the virtual presentations, which are presented at no charge, are designed for Nevada small businesses.
Learn about GOED's Nevada PTAC & some useful website links for local, State, and Federal Government Contracting.
Presenter: Joan Rueben, Director, Nevada PTAC
After providing an overview about the Nevada PTAC, the speaker will share useful website links for local, state and federal government contracting. The links that will be shared provide contracting opportunities, especially for Nevada companies looking to sell their goods and/or services to government agencies or government prime contractors whether they're inside or outside of Nevada. With their procurement or purchasing budgets, these government-related organizations are still procuring goods and/or services and awarding contracts, in order to meet respective agency and organizational missions.
Who should attend: Nevada small businesses.
What to bring: Capabilities statements & business cards for networking with government representatives, small business resource partners, and fellow business owners.
"Where's the Contract" is a FREE monthly program designed to put Nevada businesses on the path to securing government contracts and diversifying revenue sources. These monthly programs are provided by Nevada GOED's Procurement Technical Assistance Center in partnership with the Nevada Small Business Development Center
Funded in part through a Cooperative Agreement with the U.S. Small Business Administration.


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10 Of The Weirdest Food Flavors You Won't Find In The US
These days, it is not uncommon to have products all over the world find their place in your local supermarket. Big food companies export their products all over the world, but if you think they are selling the same exact products everywhere you are in for a rude awakening. Culture dictates taste and that's why products cater to the wishes of the people. It's so hilarious to see how different the culinary taste is in other parts of the world, especially in the Far East, even when it comes to industrial products like Doritos, Lay's, Dunkin' Donuts or Pepsi.
Japan: Yogurt Pepsi
Yogurt tastes fine on its own, but mixed in with Pepsi? We'll pass…
China: Dry Pork With Seaweed Donuts
Well, this just sounds unnecessarily complicated and not at all covered in chocolate.


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By WALLACE IMMEN
You think renovating a home is expensive? By the time Carnival Cruise Lines finishes upgrading its fleet, the bill will come to a whopping $500 million.
Of course, they're getting a lot in return. Every deck, seems to sport a new place to meet and eat or drink and more ways to get active or chill out.
Over the next week I'll be on board Carnival Liberty, the first of 16 ships to get the "Fun Ship 2.0" enhancements, some of which were introduced on Carnival Dream and will be on the new Carnival Breeze. In the months to come, others will go into dry dock to get the new look too.
Liberty has always been an innovative ship. When it was launched in 2005 it was the first of Carnival's ships to feature the stadium-sized LED theatre screens on the pool deck that have become signature features of other Carnival ships since. Now, it's the first ship to include another media feature that's bound to be repeated: the first-ever EA SPORTS Bar at sea. It's built in collaboration with a video games maker with an array of multi-media screens that let you dial into anything going on around the world in sports in real time and also let you play games on X-Box 360s.
Other additions are restaurants and entertainment choices that were previously only available on Carnival's biggest new ships:
- Guy's Burger Joint, a new casual comfort food bar developed in partnership with Food Network road show host and cookbook author Guy Fieri, that features hand-crafted burgers cooked on a sizzlingly hot grill.
- RedFrog Rum Bar, a poolside version of the line's RedFrog Pub that debuted on Carnival Magic and features Carnival's own beer.
- BlueIguana Tequila Bar, featuring a Mexican-themed atmosphere and a menu of tequila-based frozen drinks and beers.
- BlueIguana Cantina, a casual eatery with the feel of a Mexican beachside eatery serving tacos and burritos.
- Alchemy Bar, a vintage-themed cocktail "pharmacy" that mixes up imaginative cocktails. The nightclubs have also been updated, with DJs trained by DJ IRIE, Carnival's official DJ who created DJ IRIE's Spin'iversity, the first DJ academy at sea.
Our cruise will start in Miami with days in Cozumel, Mexico, Belize, the Honduran island of Roatan and Grand Cayman in the Cayman Islands. And there's plenty of time on board to check out the fun. I'm at liberty to say it's going to be an exciting week. I hope you'll join me.


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AgriWebb took home dual awards during last night's Victorian Australian Information Industry Awards.
'Startup of the Year' and the 'Industrial & Primary Industry' awards were awarded to AgriWebb, fittingly a day before we mark the one year anniversary of the AgriWebb NoteBooks arrival onto the Australian market.
AgriWebb would like to thank the IAwards for these two incredible awards. They reflect the last year of hard work and innovation that has seen the company grow from:
- 3 to 13 full time employees
- 13 Customers in SA/VIC to 260+ in every state in Australia
- 4.6k animals "under management" to now over 1 Million
- 30k acres "under management" to now over 3.5 Million
While AgriWebb is extremely proud of the recognition, the true excitement comes from hearing how the AgriWebb NoteBook has allowed customers to:
- Access new and more lucrative markets
- Gain a clear picture into the production of their farm
- Save time and stress associated with traditional record keeping
Thank you to all of the amazing AgriWebb Early Adopters for a phenomenal year!
AgriWebb seeks to disrupt and innovative the Agricultural space and the year we have had, now with these awards, is a great start!
The AgriWebb Team


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Aung Min Oo
Aktuelle Informationen Aung Min Oo
Mittwoch, 7. Juni 2017
Geld ist angekommen
Auf den Fotos ist Aung Min Oo mit seinem Studentenbuch zu sehen. Darin werden alle Zahlungen, die er über Khin für sein Studium erhält, eingetragen.
Sonntag, 8. Februar 2015
Dear Britta and Dorothea, I introduced a new task for our students, matching one junior and one senior as Exchange pair. The two students contact each other four times a month to exchange information, knowledge and experience and thus will help each other to improve certain skills faster in achieving their goal. Min Thu, first year Community Health student is an exchange partner for Aung Min Oo, second year student from Magway Medical University. University of Community Health was founded for those students who wish to become doctors but they have lower marks in their matrix exam. The entry of Universities in our country is ranged from highest scores to bottom as Medicine, Dental Medicine, Advanced Tech, IT, Marine, Nursing, Education, Pharmacy, Economics etc. Medical students after finishing the University prefer to go to big cities but there is high demand of Medical staff in rural areas. To fill this need, University of Community Health was founded. Medical students study 7 years whereas CH students study for 4 years. Students after graduation from Community Health work in villages as Medical Officer and they give necessary medical help as a doctor and a nurse without hospital or clinic. It's highly valued in villages or small towns. There are more job opportunities for these graduates in UN/NGOs/INGOs. Aung Min Oo got a chance to go and attend Story telling workshop in Sagaing last week. When he was back, he shared what he has learnt with Min Thu immediately. Min Thu is now able to find out his strength and his future project and so he is so grateful to his senior exchange partner, Aung Min Oo. It's amazing to see how the little idea works! Many thanks to Tina and Tanja! Best regards, Khin
Abonnieren Posts (Atom)


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Read the full article here:Tuscany councilor calls for Kangal dogs against wolf attacks
Sept. 20, 2018
An Italian regional councilor has called for using Turkey's giant Kangal shepherd dogs to protect flocks of sheep from the increasing number of wolves in Tuscany.
Roberto Salvini, a member of the Regional Council of Tuscany and Northern League politician, made the call following the killing of about 70 sheep by wolves, BBC reported on Sept. 20.
"The wire fence method against the wolves did not work. The dogs brought in to control and protect the flocks flee when they face predators. We had proposed buying Sivas Kangal dogs in order to deal with such incidents as an awesome preventive measure but our proposal was disregarded," he said.
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/tuscan ... cks-137051


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By MICHAEL PERKINS
IT WAS, ON ONE LEVEL, A COMPLETE WASTE OF GASOLINE: a half-hour's drive to a dusty cluster of tables scattered across a vacant lot in Carefree, Arizona; a gathering of junk gypsies, hunkering for shade under their teepee nation of display tents, their sprawls of pre-owned debris bunched onto card tables filled with the remains of people's lives. It was going to take exactly five minutes to make one sad pass around this serpentine mound of resale refuse. No treasures today. Maybe we have time to catch lunch before we drive back to town.
These strange mash-ups of godforsaken bric-a-brac are common in many of the small towns of the southwest. Sometimes they are found shoehorned into sagging old adobe buildings on their umpteenth re-use. Other times they are charitably called "swap meets" or "vintage sales" and litter the parking lots of down-and-out drive-in theatres like the aftermath of an air crash. The visual impact is always the same, that of an attic that has been dynamited to bits, then shoveled into milk cartons and slapped with improvised glo-orange price tags. Coffee cans filled with unrelated fragments of trinkets; cardboard cartons overflowing with random chunks of household backfill. Two mysteries pervade: where has all of this come from….and where can it possibly be heading?
I was about one minute away from the end of my doleful tour when I spotted this box, which someone had filled with mis-matched bits of small dolls. One of such souvenirs on a big table makes no visual impression whatever, but a mass of them together is some kind of little minor-key symphony of dreams gone down to dust. Loved objects that were once transformed into the stuff of fancy, now just shards of lives dumped into a cigar box. I risked one picture. For some reason it haunts me.
But see what you think.
It isn't about what we look at but what we see.
We leave such a colossal wake of trash behind us as our lives thunder and crash through the world. How to sort out all the stories inside?
2 responses
…evidence of lives being lived….an archeological dig…i hear the winds of time murmuring quietly in the background.
November 23, 2012 at 1:06 PM


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Day delighted to see Woods return to form against rivals
PUBLISHED: 17:00 01 October 2018
After winning at Sporting Bengal United and Redbridge last week, Dee Safer's team host Tower Hamlets next
Woodford Town assistant manager Neil Day lauded the effort of his team after they made it back-to-back wins in the Essex Senior League on Friday night with a 3-1 victory at local rivals Redbridge.
Dee Safer's side were playing a rare match in the Borough again and made the most of it to impress at Oakside.
The Woods scored twice in the first half and added another after the break to secure a fine victory away to the Motormen, who grabbed a late consolation.
After winning 4-0 at Sporting Bengal United two days earlier on September 26, to end a long winless run, Town are now bang in form ahead of entertaining Tower Hamlets on Tuesday at their temporary home – Harlow Arena.
Day said: "We were a little sceptical about playing twice in three days as two more defeats would have put us way behind where we wanted to be.
"So we treated it as two make-or-break games in the hope it would give our season momentum and it couldn't have worked out better for us.
"All of the squad were involved and we were totally dominant over the 180 minutes of football. Fair play to the lads, they got their just desserts and hopefully we can kick on now."
Having thrashed Sporting Bengal last Wednesday, the Woods picked up where they left off at Redbridge.
First-half goals from Samir Ali and Malaki Toussaint put the visitors in control and 12 minutes from time Temi Babalola added a third.
The Motormen were reduced to 10-men minutes before the third as Vinnie Murphy received his marching orders for a late tackle on Touissant.
Ricky Eaton and Joey May's Redbridge, to their credit, did push for a way back into the contest and grabbed a consolation late on when Bryan Kyunga fired home from range to conclude the scoring.
If you value what this story gives you, please consider supporting the Ilford Recorder. Click the link in the orange box above for details.