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In horrific news, Malaysia Air flight 17, a Boeing 777 flying from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, crashed after being shot down. People are suggesting it could have been shot down either by Russia's built-up air defense apparatus along its border with Ukraine or by pro-Russian separatists with a mobile radar-guided SAM systems. How possible are these scenarios?
Within the last few days, two other Ukrainian aircraft have been shot down in similar fashion and just hours ago, a Su-25 "Frogfoot" close air support aircraft flown by the Ukrainian Air Force was shot down over Eastern Ukraine by what was surmised to have been a radar-guided surface-to-air missile. The pilot ejected safely.
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Just days before the downing of the Ukrainian Su-25 "Frogfoot" attack jet near the border of Russia, Ukraine says Russia shot down one of their Antonov An-26 which was executing "anti-terror operations" in the troubled region. Eight people were on-board the Ukrainian transport, and supposedly they bailed out before the aircraft was consumed by flames. This was the third loss of such an aircraft for Ukraine to hostile fire, although this one was operating well outside of the range of shoulder-fired MANPADS that have infested the region. In this incident Ukraine claims that Russia intercepted the jet with fighter aircraft.
Could Someone Have Mistaken This For A Military Aircraft?
Possible video of the plane crashing to earth
Seeing as the Malaysian Air 777 was transiting from west to east, high over the border between the two rivals, it is likely that a highly "stimulated" Russia air defense network, or even a single commandeered SAM battery operated by the Pro-Russian separatists, may have classified the aircraft as a Ukrainian military aircraft. Such incidents are not uncommon even for American-built advanced counter-air systems that include capable identification friend or foe (IFF) systems.
During Operation Iraqi Freedom, US MIM-104 Patriot missile batteries tragically shot down an Royal Air Force Tornado GR4 as well as a US Navy F/A-18C by mistake.
There was also the events of the 3rd of July, 1988 when the American Ticonderoga Class cruiser shot down an Iranian Airlines Airbus 300 passenger jet, with all 290 civilians on-board killed in the process. The USS Vincennes mistook the airliner for a Iranian F-14 Tomcat while it was being harassed by Iranian fast-attack boats.
Seeing as ICAO had put out a over-flight warning of Crimea as this whole conflict erupted earlier in the year, and exact control of the airspace over the region has been in doubt, and remains so, many people, including this author, have believed that a friendly fire incident was quite possible if airliners continued to use routes over the troubled region.
Two possibilities are emerging here as to what, or who for that matter brought down both Ukrainian aircraft, and in Foxtrot Alpha's opinion, possibly the MH17:
Theory #1: Pro-Russian Separatists shot the plane down
There have been rumors that pro-Russian forces have gotten their hands onto SA-6 "Gainful" road-mobile surface-to-air missile systems. This proven and capable system is feared by the West as it can pack-up and move in minutes, thus making it extremely hard to target unless it is emitting radar energy. If rebel forces were either given these systems from Russia, or one similar such as the more modern SA-11/17 "Buk" — something that is quite possible seeing as it is fairly clear Russia has backed these forces — or at least initially, with material and training, then it would also implicate Russia in this tragic event.
Alternatively, the systems could have been looted from stored Ukrainian stocks, in which case the operators may be far less than ideally trained to operate the system and differentiate between enemy and friendly aircraft. It also means that the Rebel's capabilities have been vastly upgraded and they will use even advanced weapons in their fight against Ukrainian Government forces.
Theory #2: Russia shot the plane down
Although it is too early to tell for sure, it is quite possible that Russia's air defense apparatus along the border with Ukraine was on high-alert as it may have already shot down two Ukrainian aircraft. Even if they did not shoot down the Ukrainian aircraft, but pro-Russian forces did, they may have been awaiting a counter-attack or were actively executing a policy of engaging any aircraft deemed Ukrainian near their border.
Seeing as the Russians have the ability to engage targets many dozens of miles into Ukrainian airspace, the practice of locking up and tracking transiting aircraft may have become common practice. Oddly enough, there has been recent surge in Russian forces along the border before these aircraft were shot down over the last three days.
Then there is the question of why was an airliner flying over what amounts to a pretty massive missile engagement zone (MEZ) with a roaring conflict below that has seen widespread proliferation of MANPADS? If the airspace was indeed closed then what was MH17 doing there?
With all the uncertainty there is one thing that is certain, regardless of if Russia did indeed shoot down this airliner or not, the dynamics of this conflict on a world-wide stage will now rapidly change, and the possibility of peace through tragedy, or a much wider conflict through further hostilities, has never been more real.
For the latest update on this topic click below:
For Foxtrot Alpha's past coverage of the Ukraine crisis click here.
Tyler Rogoway is a defense journalist and photographer that maintains the website Foxtrot Alpha for Jalopnik.com You can reach Tyler with story ideas or direct comments regarding this or any other defense topic via the email address email@example.com


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Free online lectures: Explore a world of ideas
Rogerson House sets the standard for assisted living residences and day programs for people with memory loss. Graciously situated on three acres of grounds in Boston's scenic Emerald Necklace and just minutes from Boston's teaching hospitals, the non-profit offers a continuum of care and programs for older adults which includes fitness programs, pastoral care and music therapy. Specially trained staff members help residents and day program participants become involved in activities that maximize their abilities and promote a sense of accomplishment and self worth. The building design takes advantage of the most recent research that shows how physical surroundings such as light, layout, and color can positively affect the lives of people with memory loss. Rogerson House is more than a safe, comfortable environment. It is a positive choice that provides a healthy community for people with memory loss and their families.
1.29.2004 (1:30:50)
The Forgetting: A Portrait of Alzheimer's

subset: commoncrawl


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ROCHESTER, Minn., Jan. 29 (UPI) -- Cardiac disease is associated with increased risk of mild cognitive impairment involving language, thinking and judgment, a U.S. researcher says.
Lead author Rosebud Roberts, a health sciences researcher at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn., said mild cognitive impairment -- known as non-amnestic -- because it doesn't include memory loss, may be a precursor to vascular and other non-Alzheimer's dementias.
Mild cognitive impairment is an important stage for early detection and intervention in dementia, Roberts said.
"Prevention and management of cardiac disease and vascular risk factors are likely to reduce the risk," Roberts said in a statement.
Researchers evaluated 2,719 people ages 70-89 at the beginning of the study and every 15 months after.
Of the 1,450 study subjects without mild cognitive impairment at the beginning, 669 had heart disease and 59 developed non-amnestic mild cognitive impairment; in comparison 34 of 781 who did not have heart disease developed non-amnestic mild cognitive impairment.
The association varied by sex; cardiac disease and mild cognitive impairment appeared together more often among women than in men, Roberts said.
The findings were published in the journal Neurology.


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What is wrong with this country? Heck, what's wrong with the so-called "First World"? Do we really need to keep inventing and producing useless pieces of junk like this transvestite of tongs, fork and spatula called "Stake"?
I say no. You don't need to pay $30 for yet another moronic piece of equipment that tries to merge three perfectly useful utensils in one clumsy piece of hardware that will be hard to clean, no matter how they make it look in the infomercial. Not to talk about the potential to get a bacterial infection to your family and guests.
From a cook to the fellow cook reading these words: Real cooks don't use this crap. [Quirky]


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A Guide to Obama's Staff Reshuffling
President Obama is tapping Denis McDonough as his new chief of staff. The reshuffling is in keeping with Obama's management style of relying heavily on a tight inner circle of aides in his decision-making. Here is a look at the changes.
President Obama will tap Denis McDonough, a trusted longtime aide steeped in foreign policy and Capitol Hill experience, as his new chief of staff. Obama will announce the decision on Friday at 12:10 p.m. along with several other White House staff changes. The reshuffling is in keeping with Obama's management style of relying heavily on a tight inner circle of aides in his decision-making. Here is a look at the changes.
McDonough becomes Obama's fifth chief of staff: McDonough, the deputy national security adviser, is a foreign policy expert who worked for Obama during his days in the Senate and later advised the president's 2008 campaign. A White House official said Obama values McDonough's "intellect and good judgment." The official credited McDonough for playing a key role in the decisions from ending the war in Iraq to winding down the war in Afghanistan and in coordinating the U.S. response to the earthquake in Haiti and to the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan. McDonough, who is a former adviser to Sen. Tom Daschle, brings deep knowledge of Capitol Hill that could help Obama as he tries to navigate budget disputes with Congress and push a hefty legislative agenda of gun control and immigration. McDonough replaces Jack Lew, who has been nominated as Treasury secretary.
- The 6 Habits of Highly Effective Chiefs of Staff
- How Control of the Senate Could Lie in One Freshman's Decision
- A 12-Step Program for the GOP
Dan Pfeiffer succeeds David Plouffe as senior adviser: Pfeiffer will succeed David Plouffe as a senior adviser, playing a big role in shaping Obama's message. Pfeiffer, a veteran of Obama's 2008 campaign, has been serving as White House communications director.
Jennifer Palmieri becomes communications director: Palmieri, who is currently deputy communications director, worked at the Center for American Progress think tank before she was tapped to work in the Obama White House. A former adviser to John Edwards's presidential campaign in 2004, Palmieri brings political seasoning and longtime relationships with many members of the press corps.
Other changes: Rob Nabors, the top White House liaison to Capitol Hill, moves to the job of deputy chief of staff. Tony Blinken, a foreign policy adviser to Vice President Joe Biden, becomes deputy national security adviser. Danielle Gray becomes assistant to the president and Cabinet secretary; Katy Kale becomes assistant to the president for management and administration; Lisa Monaco becomes as Obama's top counterterrorism adviser, succeeding John Brennan; Miguel Rodriguez becomes the new director of legislative affairs and David Simas becomes deputy senior advisor for communications and strategy.


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Have You Submitted Your Note of Womanly Encouragement to Herman Cain Yet?
Herman Cain, who's currently having a conversation with his wife that unfortunately isn't available on pay-per-view, sent a note to supporters last night directing them to a new website feature: "Encouragement for Herman Cain." Aww, the poor guy's suicidal.
As his self-imposed Monday deadline for deciding whether to stay in the race nears, he wants *you* to write him a pleasant note telling him not to quit. Also, while you're on the site, a lil' donation would be nice? (Note to those who are considering donating to the Cain campaign before hearing Monday's decision: You're making a logical error. Why not just light the money on fire instead?)
Anyway, let's check in on some of these messages of encouragement for The Leader Who Is Not The Reader. So far my own submission, which is just a few poop and masturbation jokes, has not been approved by moderators.
- Bev from Alabama, feeling a bit world-historical: "Within the next couple weeks, I will become a great grandmother for the first time. Our brand new little James is going to be born into a world in chaos and a homeland our forefathers would never recognize. I worry for not only my new little one, but for us all in the coming months. Unrest and divide and fear are sweeping over our beloved country and unless we have a leader who is the personification of strength and wisdom with the blessings of our Lord, we'll lose all we hold dear. I have tried to look into your heart, Mr Cain."
- Dee from Tennessee doesn't want to sound weird or anything, but... "Maybe I sound a bit radical, but I am convinced this is an attack of Satan and he is using the Democrats and liberal media."
- At least Cassie from Missouri gets it: "You and Rush Limbaugh, my hometown hero are the only hope for our world. Praise be to Jesus."
- JO from Arizona has interesting thoughts about politics: "AMERICA IS CRYING OUT FOR A STRONG, CHRISTIAN LEADER! YOU KNEW THE LEFT WOULD ATTACK. YOU SCARE THEM TO DEATH! A BLACK CONSERVATIVE!! MY GOODNESS, IF THE BLACK COMMUNITY ACTUALLY WOKE UP AND REALIZED THEY DIDN'T NEED THE LIBERAL, LYING LEFT TO TAKE CARE OF THEM, THE WHOLE DEMOCRAT PARTY WOULD IMPLODE! STAND STRONG HERMAN CAIN, AMERICA BELIEVES YOU!"
- Is Joy from Georgia is confusing the Herman Cain presidential campaign with her strategy for beating the Water Temple in Zelda? "Put on the shark protective clothing as well as Christ's Shield and make America proud again."
And that's the only new thing on Herman Cain's site, the end.
Oh, ha, he has another one of these new pages called "Women for Herman Cain." Hmm. Its top banner shows some enthusiastic stock-photo ladies giving Cain the thumbs up. What do these gals have to say?
- Gloria from Texas doesn't think much of these female accusers: "Hello, Herman Cain, you need to focus about this America" and don't even listen to all this women ,that they don't have nothing good to say about you... they they are money hungry... and women like this, Don't care or don't have no "SHAME to go on TV...to use lies, for money...somebody has been paying this women. They make me sick to my stomach.....they need to start digging a hole on the ground n till they rich china' So, Mr,Cain put your 2 feet on the ground and do your duty....you are here to do, a job....that we in "America" need you......You can not give up.... your or the man....Like God said be for you were born he already knew what you were going to do,if not GOD himself, will remove you from earth....."
- Neither does Karla from Texas, who goes so far as to put "women" in ironiquotes. She also shares an undercited Philippians verse that mentions the Cain Train: "I do not believe a single one of the "women" who have accused you. I believe you to be a God-fearing man who loves his wife and children. Don't let Satan and his demons win. Stay true to the Lord's will and stay in this race. Remember Philippians 4:13! CAIN TRAIN is chugging!"
- Angela from Missouri, who also puts "women" in ironiquotes, appears to think that Herman Cain had boner-muzzling cancer for 13 consecutive years: "I cannot believe you had time for an affair. If you are ill and fighting for your life,suffering through chemotherapy,how can you have time between hospital visits and family time? Wouldn't you be too sick to participate in a make-believe affair? You are a triple threat to the Left!! I believe these "women" are looking for money and attention and have been groomed by the "Demonacrats" to be a bunch of bad actress'. The Left is desperate and they are low enough to break the law and lie. My husband and I are strong supporters. Don't let the bad guys win. Don't give up!! 999!!! :)"
If Herman Cain wasn't convinced to drop out yet, these letters of encouragement should do the trick.