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Arizona State Week: Evaluating the Recent PastPosted by AMurawa on June 11th, 2012
Over the course of the next 12 weeks, during the dog days of summer while there is relatively little going on in the college basketball world, we're going to take the opportunity to fill you in on the status of each program in the Pac-12. Beginning this week with Arizona State, we're going to dedicate a week's worth of Pac-12 microsite posts to each program in the conference. We'll take a little bit of a look at the recent history of the program and then dig into what the team is going to look like in 2012-13. Along the way we'll have some interviews with coaches and players, we'll take a look at schedules for the upcoming year, and we'll introduce you to some of the new faces we'll all be meeting. By the time kids are heading back to school in September, we hope to have kept you entertained while giving you a good primer for the Pac-12 conference in the next college basketball season.
Our first subject, Arizona State, is coming off back-to-back disappointing seasons. When Herb Sendek took over the program in 2006-07, his team struggled to an 8-22 finish as the Sun Devils featured four freshmen in their eight-man rotation. But, for the next three seasons, ASU won at least 20 games, earned an NCAA Tournament appearance (including a first-round win) in 2008-09, and finished as high as second in the conference in 2009-10. Along the way, the Sun Devils sent a couple different players to the NBA, with reigning NBA Sixth Man of the Year James Harden going third in the 2009 NBA Draft and Jeff Pendergraph turning a second round pick into a couple years worth of NBA experience. "We really experienced a fantastic and very quick turnaround," said Sendek last week when RTC talked to him. "Three consecutive postseason tournaments, three consecutive 20-win seasons – but then, we've had a series of unfortunate things happen."
Those series of unfortunate things have led to the last two seasons, where little has gone right for the Sun Devils. In 2010-11, ASU lost 12 of its first 13 conference games on the way to a 12-19 record, as the senior trio of Ty Abbott, Rihards Kuksiks and Jamelle McMillan took a step back from their performances in the previous year and the team could never find replacements for a couple of graduates: big man Eric Boateng and underrated point guard Derek Glasser. Those exact same areas also plagued the Sun Devils in 2011-12.

subset: commoncrawl


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The Smithsonian American Art Museum organized the nationally traveling exhibition "Modern Masters from the Smithsonian American Art Museum."
Patricia and Philip Frost Art Museum; Florida International University, Miami.
November 29, 2008- March 1, 2009
Westmoreland Museum of American Art, Greensburg, Pennsylvania.
June 14-September 6, 2009
Dayton Art Institute, Dayton, Ohio.
October 10-January 2, 2010
Telfair Museum of Art, Savannah, Georgia.
November 13- February 5, 2011
Cheekwood Botanical Garden and Museum of Art, Nashville, Tennessee.
March 19 -June 19, 2011
Reynolda House Museum of American Art, Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
October 7- January 1, 2012
The exhibition featured 43 key paintings and sculptures by 31 of the most celebrated artists who came to maturity in the 1950s. "Modern Masters" examines the complex and varied nature of American abstract art in the mid-20th century through three broadly conceived themes that span two decades of creative genius—"Significant Gestures," "Optics and Order" and "New Images of Man."
"The exhibition introduces the richness and complexity of American art in the years following World War II. We are thrilled that the deep holdings of the Smithsonian American Art Museum allow us to share important works by leading abstract painters and sculptors with audiences throughout the country." said Virginia Mecklenburg, senior curator at the Smithsonian American Art Museum who organized the exhibition.
The decades following World War II were stimulating times for American art. While some vanguard artists began to paint or sculpt in the 1930s as beneficiaries of WPA-era government support, other immigrant artists fled to the United States as Nazi power grew in Germany. A few artists were highly educated; others left school at an early age to pursue their art. Working in New York, California, the South and abroad, these artists blended knowledge gleaned from the old masters and modernists Picasso and Matisse with philosophy and ancient mythology to create abstract compositions that addressed current social concerns and personal history. Some mixed hardware-store paint with expensive artist colors and bits of paper torn from magazines, linking their work with contemporary life.
Aided in their efforts by a group of young dealers, prominent critics and influential editors, abstract artists gained credibility. Abstraction was no longer dismissed as irrelevant or incomprehensible, but instead became a widely discussed national style. Weekly magazines such as Life, Time and Newsweek brought images of contemporary abstraction to households throughout the country while New York museums toured exhibitions to the capitals of Europe. Galleries discovered new markets in the country's growing middle-class, and newspapers celebrated American culture as an equal partner with technology in catapulting the United States to preeminence on the world stage.
By the late 1950s, Sam Francis, Philip Guston, Hans Hofmann, Franz Kline and other painters and sculptors who embraced abstraction early in the decade enjoyed success, celebrity and international acclaim.
"Significant Gestures" explores the autographic mark, executed in sweeping strokes of brilliant color that became the expressive vehicle for Francis, Hofmann and Kline as well as Michael Goldberg and Joan Mitchell. These artists and others, affected by World War II, became known as abstract expressionists. For each artist, the natural world, recent discoveries in physics and the built environment provided motifs for powerful canvases of color and light.
"Optics and Order" examines the artists who investigated ideas such as the exploration of mathematical proportion and carefully balanced color. This section, which highlights Josef Albers, also features Ad Reinhardt, who developed visual vocabularies that used rectilinear shapes to meld intellectual idea with emotional content, and artworks by like-minded artists Ilya Bolotowsky, Louise Nevelson and Esteban Vicente. A sculpture by Anne Truitt, whose majestic columns transform childhood memories of Maryland's Eastern Shore into totemic structures, is included in this section as well.
"New Images of Man" includes works by Romare Bearden, Jim Dine, David Driskell, Grace Hartigan, Nathan Oliveira, Larry Rivers and several others, each of whom searched their surroundings and personal lives for vignettes emblematic of larger, universal concerns. Issues such as tragedy, interpersonal communication and racial relations guided the creation of these artists' pieces.
Modern Masters: American Abstraction at Midcentury, the fully illustrated catalog copublished by the Smithsonian American Art Museum and D Giles Limited (London), is written by Mecklenburg with contributions by Tiffany Farrell. The book features an essay and biographical information on the 31 artists whose work is included in the exhibition.
From a review: (images added)
At Dayton Art Institute, I gladly reacquainted myself with Reinhardt's austere, sublime black squares touched slightly by blue or plum in
"Abstract Painting No. 4" (1961)
and wanted to say, "It's been too long" to Gottlieb's magisterial
"Three Discs" (1960)....
New to me was the earliest work in the show, Reinhardt's bright and jazzy — who knew? —
untitled, high-colored abstraction of 1940.
It came into the collection after I was back in Ohio, as did Hans Hofmann's "Fermented Soil" (1965),
Hans Hofmann; Fermented Soil, 1965; Oil on canvas, 48 x 60 inches; Smithsonian American Art Museum, Gift of S.C. Johnson and Son, Inc.
perhaps my favorite piece in the exhibition, with its rough surface, strong color and complicated interactions.
The exhibition is helpfully organized into three sections. "Significant Gestures" includes that master of the gesture, Kline, and others. "Optics and Order" highlights several artists, including Albers, all of whom endlessly explore the effect of colors on each other. A late-ish (1978) contribution to this field by Ilya Bolotowsky,
"Tondo Variation in Red,"
looks fresh as if made yesterday, although the same artist's "Architectural Variations" (1949) seems oddly dated.
Cincinnati's Jim Dine turns up in the final section, "New Images of Man," which recognizes that figural art never really went away.
Dine's "The Valiant Red Car"
is close to billboard size and rewards attention.
Nearby is one of my surprises of the show,
Nathan Oliveira's "Nineteen Twenty-Nine" (1961),
an arresting portrait of his mother perfectly hung, almost by itself, with perfect lighting to bring out the textured surface.
Images from the Exhibition
Franz Kline, Untitled, 1961, acrylic, Smithsonian American Art Museum, Museum purchase from the Vincent Melzac Collection through the Smithsonian Institution Collections Acquisition Program
Hartigan Modern Cycle 1980


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Promo: Ohio LinuxFest 2012 will be held September 28-30, 2012, at the Greater Columbus Convention Center in downtown Columbus, Ohio. LHS community sends their good wishes to the victims and their families in Aurora, CO. Our hosts recommend Etherpad for collaborative document editing.
Ham Holiday Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, July 27-28, 2012, Biltmore Hotel. […]


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Back in February when a CNS photographer and I visited the makeshift operation of Radio Soleil, Haiti's popular Catholic radio station, it was on the air, but barely so.
Things are much better, if not absolutely normal, today.
Courtesy of the U.S. bishops and a number of German church-related benefactors, $100,000 in new studio equipment is making its way to Petionville, a suburb in the hills above the Haitian capital of Port-au-Prince, where the station relocated after the Jan. 12 earthquake.
The equipment replaces what was lost when the building that housed the station collapsed during the 45 seconds of shaking in the central part of the city, across the street from the now-ruined Cathedral of Our Lady of the Assumption.
Since returning to the airwaves Jan. 24, Radio Soleil has operated from the station's van, which was moved to the courtyard of a sturdy building that survived the quake. Staffers flattened the tires so no one could make off with a few pieces of replacement equipment bought in the Dominican Republic.
Jesuit Father Pierre Belanger, who coordinates the communication effort for his order's province for French Canada and Haiti, has been helping the station return to its normal around-the-clock operation. He is also fostering stronger ties between Radio Soleil and the nine other Catholic stations across the country.
In addition to assistance from the U.S. bishops, Radio Soleil is getting the support of German organizations, including Aid to the Church in Need, Adveniat, the German bishops' mission office for Latin America, the Diocese of Cologne and Catholic Media Council, a consulting agency that assists emerging communications efforts worldwide.
The new studio equipment will be housed in two pre-fabricated modular units in the courtyard of a sturdy building which survived the earthquake with only minor damage. The Archdiocese of Port-au-Prince is relocating to the building as well.
Communicating with Haiti remains sporadic and CNS could not reach Father Desinord Jean, station director and general manager. But Father Belanger said that the Haitian priest has resumed his normal hectic schedule after suffering a leg injury in a strong aftershock as he fled his sheet tent.


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Home >> Course Descriptions >> College of Arts and Sciences
Seminar in World History
Three semester hours. (FL-Even)
A study of the political, social, and cultural development of specific nations or regions of the world from an historical perspective. May be repeated when topic changes. Prerequisite: Six hours of history and/or political science or permission of instructor.
Home - General Information - Student Services -
Academic Undergraduate Regulations -
Undergraduate Degrees - Academic Graduate Regulations -
Graduate Degrees - Course Descriptions - Faculty -
Appendix A - Appendix B - Appendix C - Appendix D


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There are changes in the Plan Workspace in Family Tree Maker Version 2012. Various sections of this workspace will be described in this Blog.
Below is the Plan Workspace IF there is already a previous version of Family Tree Maker on the computer a previous file has been opened. In this case, there are the last four (4) files that had been opened in FTM2011. The most recent file opened in FTM2011 is the one that FTM2012 opened after installation. There is a Back Up window that will open before this file was opened, AND it is recommended, as always, to use the Back Up feature before continuing.
The Current Tree tab shows the status of this file. Details on the top left side of this screen will follow.
Copyright © 2011 by H R Worthington


text: The Huawei P10 Plus is packed with some of the best technology found on smartphones today with a fantastic camera package and powerful features. The vibrant 5.5-inch curved edge display is ideal for web browsing or gaming thanks to the colour depth and graphic detail. The phone has 6GB RAM and an octacore processor making for an exceptional performance when running tasks on the Android 7.0 OS. There is a fingerprint sensor and 4G, Wi-Fi, GPS and NFC giving you all the best connection options and the on board 64GB memory can be boosted with a microSD Card. The standout feature on this premium smartphone is the rear facing camera which comprises of dual Leica lenses, one 20MP and one 12MP, these capture your special moments in beautiful detail and also offer up 4K video capture. The selfie camera has also been enhanced to make the most of the available light so you can snap a great selfie or group photo from either camera.


text: Men's Club by admin | Aug 24, 2016 | 0 comments Calendar Add to Calendar Add to Timely Calendar Add to Google Add to Outlook Add to Apple Calendar Add to other calendar Export to XML When: June 25, 2020 @ 7:30 am Repeats 2020-06-25T07:30:00-07:002020-06-25T07:45:00-07:00Join our Men's Club every Thursday. 7:30am start timesSubmit a Comment Cancel replyYour email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *CommentName * Email * Website


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Dirt Nasty (Feat. LMFAO) - I Can't Dance
"Dirt Nasty feat. LMFAO - I Can't Dance Nasty As I Wanna Be Shoot To Kill Music, INC."
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Frog or Finish?
I mentioned last week that I am assessing the mass quantities of sweaters in progress around here. Here's the 10: sweater insanity This doesn't include one baby sweater on the needles. The first one is #77 Vine Lace Top-Down Cardigan by SweaterBabe [ravelry]. My version is knit at a tighter gauge but I still knit […]Read More..>>


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Now we have 250 speeches and counting collected here as The Eloquent Woman Index of Famous Women's Speeches, and the roster includes everyone from Eleanor Roosevelt to Lady Gaga. Every speech here is famous in some way, even if the speaker is not, and most of them include commentary on women's issues. You'll find tips on what you can learn from each of these speeches, along with transcripts, audio or video whenever it's available. The entries are below, arranged alphabetically by the speaker's first name.
Before the parade of speeches, you'll also find posts that collect speeches on this list by type of speaker, topic and other slices of the index, to make it more useful to you. I welcome your suggestions for future famous speech examples by women, at eloquentwomanATgmailDOTcom.
Entries by type of speech:
15 famous commencement speeches by women
8 famous speeches by women before the U.S. Congress
6 famous extemporaneous speeches by women
19 famous humorous speeches by women
7 famous poetic speeches by women
13 famous U.S. political convention speeches by women
12 famous protest speeches by women
9 famous radio and television speeches by women
5 famous speeches by women that made secrets public
39 famous women's speeches for Women's History Month (speeches 50 years old or older)
Entries by type of speaker:
46 famous speeches by black women
17 famous speeches by British women
4 famous speeches by women athletes
5 famous speeches by women candidates for U.S. president or vice president
12 famous speeches by women on disability
11 famous speeches by women in engineering and technology
6 famous speeches by Hispanic women
9 famous speeches by Indian, Pakistani, or Indian-American women
#CanYouHearUsNow? 8 famous speeches by Muslim women
9 famous speeches by women legislators
6 famous speeches by women scientists
For #marchforscience, 13 famous speeches by women scientists & engineers
5 famous speeches by women who feared public speaking
28 famous speeches by women in the United Kingdom
7 famous speeches by women with vocal verve
8 famous speeches by young women
Entries by topic:
13 famous speeches by women about death and dying
For #EarthDay, 7 famous environmental speeches by women
7 famous speeches by women about health
13 famous human rights speeches by women
6 famous speeches by women about the law
6 diverse perspectives on LGBT issues
7 famous speeches by women on religion
6 famous speeches about voting by women speakers
5 famous speeches by women who fought for women's votes
16 famous UK and European speeches by women
10 famous speeches by women about war
8 famous speeches by women about (yes) women speakers
3 famous speeches by men. No, we're not making a habit of this:
Robert F. Kennedy on the death of Martin Luther King, Jr.
Jimmy Carter at TEDWomen on religion and women speakers
Utah Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox: "My heart has changed"
Entries by name of speaker:
- Ai-Jen Poo at the United States Social Forum
- Aimee Semple McPherson's speech in a speakeasy
- Japan First Lady Akie Abe's keynote speech in English
- Amal Clooney at the United Nations on Nadia Murad
- Amelia Earhart's "A Woman's Place in Science"
- Amy Schumer shuts down a heckler
- Angela Merkel's 2009 speech to the U.S. Congress
- Angelina Grimké's 1838 speech at Pennsylvania Hall
- Anita Hill's Senate testimony about Clarence Thomas
- Anita Sarkeesian on online harrassment
- Anita Sarkeesian tackles trolls at VidCon
- Ann Richards's 1988 Democratic Convention keynote
- Anna Maria Chávez at 2011 Girl Scouts Convention
- Anne Summers on Julia Gillard's misogyny factor
- Annie Oakley's libel cases and courtroom speeches
- Arianna Huffington's "Thrive" commencement speech
- Arianna Huffington at the Uber all-hands
- Ashley Judd at the 2017 Women's March
- Aung San Suu Kyi's "Freedom from Fear" speech
- Barbara Jordan's Democratic Convention keynote
- Bella Abzug's American Express credit card ad parody
- Benazir Bhutto at the UN Conference on Women
- Berta Cáceres's 2015 Goldman Prize Speech
- Hawaii Rep. Beth Fukumoto at the Women's March
- Bette Midler at the 2017 Tony Awards
- Betty Ford's 1975 speech to the American Cancer Society
- Betty Friedan's call for a women's strike
- Beyoncé's speech on racism and fashion
- Billie Jean King at the FIFA Women's Conference
- Brené Brown's 2010 TEDx talk on vulnerability
- Carly Fiorina's post-9/11 speech
- San Juan Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz: "We Are Dying Here"
- Carol Bartz's commencement speech, "Embrace failure"
- Carol Bartz's keynote at the 2010 Grace Hopper Celebration
- Carol Burnett's live audience Q&A
- Caroline Criado-Perez on talking back to cyber bullies
- Caroline Kennedy's eulogy for Edward Kennedy
- Carrie Fisher roasts George Lucas
- Chai Jing's 'Under the Dome' Documentary
- Charlotte Church's lecture on sexism in music
- Chelsea Clinton's "Running in Heels" panel moderation
- Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie: "We should all be feminists"
- Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie on likability
- Christine Lagarde on "dynamic resilience"
- Christine Lagarde at the Global Women's Forum
- Cindy Wu's pitch at Y Combinator
- Clara Barton's Andersonville testimony
- Coretta Scott King's "10 Commandments on Vietnam"
- Countess Markievicz on 1909's ideal free woman
- Danielle George's Royal Institution lecture
- Debbi Fields on building your small business
- Debi Jackson on her transgender child
- Devon Brooks talks about her sexual assault
- Princess Diana and the ban on landmines
- Diana Nyad at TEDMED on dreams, determination and defeat
- Diane Kelly on what we don't know about penis anatomy
- Dilma Rousseff's post-impeachment speech
- Dolores Huerta at the Delano Grape Strike March
- Dolores Ibárruri's 1939 speech '¡No Pasarán!'
- Dominique Christina's "The Period Poem"
- Dorothy Fuldheim on the Kent State Shooting
- Dorothy Sayers and the lost tools of learning
- Edwidge Danticat's testimony on death in detention
- Eleanor Roosevelt and the Declaration of Human Rights
- Eleanor Roosevelt's 1940 convention-saving speech
- Eleanor Roosevelt's Pearl Harbor radio address
- Elisabeth Murdoch's lecture to the UK television industry
- Elizabeth I's speech to the troops at Tilbury
- Elizabeth I's 1563 speech on her singlehood
- Elizabeth II's tribute to Princess Diana
- Elizabeth Glazer's speech on AIDS to the 1992 Democratic National Convention
- Elizabeth Warren on The Daily Show in 2009
- Elizabeth Warren's silencing in the U.S. Senate
- Ellen Johnson Sirleaf: "If your dreams do not scare you..."
- Ellen Terry's lectures on Shakespeare's women
- Elyn Saks on her schizophrenia: "Please do send flowers"
- Emma Watson's United Nations 'feminist' speech
- Emmeline Pankhurst's "Freedom or Death"
- Dame Enid Lyon's "Strike a Human Heart" speech
- Essie Washington-Williams: "I feel completely free"
- Evita Peron's 1951 Renunciamiento
- Fannie Lou Hamer's 1964 convention committee testimony
- Frances Perkins on the roots of Social Security
- Francine Wheeler's radio address on gun control reform
- Gabourey Sidibe's 2014 speech at the Gloria Awards
- Gabrielle Giffords's resignation from Congress
- Geraldine Ferraro's 1984 acceptance speech
- Ginni Rometty at Northwestern University commencement
- Tech pioneer Grace Hopper explains nanoseconds
- Gwen Ifill on politics, policy, and leadership
- Rep. Gwen Moore on abortion rights and family planning
- Harriet Tubman's fable on colonizing slaves
- Heidi Damon faces her attacker in court
- Helen Gahagan Douglas and the "Pink Lady" speech
- Helen Keller: "Strike Against War" and "I am not dumb now"
- Hillary Clinton accepts the presidential nomination
- Hillary Clinton answers a tough question
- Hillary Clinton's concession speech
- Hillary Clinton's 2016 concession speech
- Hillary Clinton's 1969 commencement speech
- Hillary Clinton's "women's rights are human rights" speech
- Hillary Clinton's 2012 statement on the 9/11 killings of Americans in Libya
- Holly Peterson on women in sports: 'the best adversity training'
- Huda Shaarawi at the 1944 Arab Feminist Conference
- Ida Tarbell's 1916 "Industrial Idealism"
- Ida B. Wells's 1909 "This Awful Slaughter"
- Indira Gandhi's "What Educated Women Can Do"
- Indra Nooyi's "middle finger" speech
- Jackie Kennedy's 1962 televised tour of the White House
- Rep. Jackie Speier on abortion and family planning services
- Jane Fonda's TEDxWomen talk on "Life's Third Act"
- Jane Goodall's "What Separates Us from the Apes"
- California State Senator Janet Nguyen's silencing
- Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on holding women back
- Weight Watchers founder Jean Nidetch on 'thin'
- Jeane Kirkpatrick's "Blame America First"
- Jeannette Rankin's "I cannot vote for war"
- Jennifer Granholm's 2005 tribute to Rosa Parks
- TV anchor Jennifer Livingston on her weight
- South Carolina Rep. Jenny Horne's Confederate flag speech
- Jessica Mendoza calls a major league baseball playoff
- Jill Abramson's "to anyone who's been dumped"
- Jill Bolte Taylor's "stroke of insight" TED talk
- Joan Baez's Rock Hall induction speech
- Joyce Banda's tribute to Nelson Mandela
- Julia Child's "The French Chef" cooking demos
- Julie Andrews's 1964 Golden Globes speech
- Juliette Gordon Low's 1924 Girl Scouts speech
- Jutta Bojsen-Møller's victory for votes speech
- Australia Prime Minister Julia Gillard at ANZAC Day
- Australia Prime Minister Julia Gillard's speech on misogyny
- Kamala Harris's interrupted Senate hearing questions
- Katharine Hayhoe's climate change elevator pitch
- Kathy Jetnil-Kijiner at the United Nations climate summit
- Kavita Krishnan on safety and India's rape culture
- Kayla Kearney comes out to her high school assembly
- Keila Banks's "Undefinable Me"
- Kelly Johnson's Miss America talk on nursing
- Kerry Washington on the risk of public speaking
- Lady Bird Johnson's 1964 whistlestop tour (updated here)
- Lady Gaga's speech at Rome Europride
- Laverne Cox on transgender activism
- Leymah Gbowee's "Step out of the shadows"
- Lily Myers's "Shrinking Women"
- Australian MP Linda Burney's maiden speech
- Linda Cliatt-Wayman on fixing broken schools
- Lionel Shriver's cultural appropriation speech
- Lisa Kron and Jeanine Tesori's unseen Tony Awards speech
- Lucille Ball at her Variety Club tribute
- Lupita Nyong'o on black beauty
- Lupita Nyong'o on following your fear
- Atheist Madalyn Murray O'Hair on The Donohue Show
- Malala Yousafzai's first statement since her shooting
- Malala Yousafzai's UN speech on youth education
- Malala Yousafzai at the Canadian Parliament
- Manal al-Sharif on the Drive to Freedom
- Margaret Edson's 2008 Smith College commencement speech
- Margaret Sanger, The Children's Era
- Margaret Sanger's 1929 self-silencing speech
- Margaret Chase Smith's 1950 Declaration of Conscience
- Margaret Thatcher's "Iron Lady" speech
- Maria Klawe on asking for salary increases
- Maria Shriver on "The Power of the Pause"
- Marie Colvin's eulogy for fallen war correspondents
- Marie Curie's 1911 Nobel lecture
- Marilyn Mosby on the Freddie Gray homicide
- Mary Ann Shadd Cary's 1858 "Break Every Yoke"
- Mary Beard on the public voice of women
- Mary Beard on women in power
- Mary Fisher's speech on AIDS to the 1992 Republican National Convention
- Mary Meeker's Internet trends report
- Mary Roach on 10 things you didn't know about orgasm
- Mary Robinson's inaugural speech as Ireland's president
- Rep. Maureen Walsh's speech on gay marriage
- Rep. Maxine Waters's "reclaiming my time"
- Maya Angelou's eulogy for Coretta Scott King
- Maya Angelou's "Phenomenal Woman"
- Megan Red Shirt-Shaw's convocation speech
- Melania Trump's speech at the 2016 Republican convention
- Minnesota Rep. Melissa Hortman calls out her white male colleagues
- Melissa Rivers's tribute to Joan Rivers
- Meryl Streep on Emma Thompson and Walt Disney
- Meryl Streep's 2017 Golden Globes speech
- Mhairi Black's UK Parliament maiden speech
- Michelle Obama's 'a house built by slaves'
- Michelle Obama's "Enough is enough" speech
- Michelle Obama at Tuskegee University
- Michelle Obama's 2012 Democratic National Convention speech
- Michelle Obama's eulogy for Maya Angelou
- Michelle Obama's speech to young African women leaders
- 1994 lecture by Miep Gies, Anne Frank's protector
- Mindy Kaling at Harvard Law School's Class Day
- Monica Lewinsky at TED 2015
- Mother Jones Speaks to Striking West Virginia Miners in 1912
- Mother Teresa at the 1994 National Prayer Breakfast
- Myrlie Evers-Williams's 2013 inaugural invocation
- Nancy Astor's "maiden speech" in Parliament
- Nancy Hanks on the student she expelled
- Nellie McClung's "Should Men Vote?" speech
- British Olympic cyclist Nicole Cook's retirement speech
- Queen Noor's 1996 speech at the Kennedy Center
- Nora Ephron's commencement address at Wellesley College
- Olivia Gatwood's "Ode to My Bitch Face"
- Oprah Winfrey at the Golden Globes
- Park Geun-Hye's pre-impeachment speech
- Patricia Arquette's 2015 Oscar speech and history lesson
- Patti Smith on the artist's journey
- Patty Duke's 1970 Emmy Awards speech
- Penny Mordaunt's Loyal Address in Parliament
- Phyllis Diller on comedy at the 92nd Street Y
- Judge Phyllis Randolph Frye's "My Son"
- Phyllis Rodriguez & Aicha el-Wafi on 9/11 forgiveness
- Phyllis Schlafly's "What's Wrong with Equal Rights for Women?"
- Queen Latifah's "Keep Fighting for It"
- Rachel Carson's "A New Chapter to Silent Spring"
- Rashema Melson's high school valedictory speech
- Rose Schneiderman on the Triangle Fire
- Ruth Bader Ginsburg's Opinion in the VMI Case
- Ruth Reichl on not becoming her mother
- Sally Field at the 2012 Human Rights Campaign dinner
- Sally Ride's "Shoot for the Stars"
- Sally Yates on your moral compass
- Sandra Day O'Connor on "Portia's Progress"
- Sarah Kay's "Tshotsholoza"
- Sarah Palin at the 2008 Republican National Convention
- Sarah Weddington's Roe v. Wade arguments
- Sarah Winnemucca's San Francisco lectures
- Severn Suzuki's 1992 UN Earth Summit speech
- Shabana Rasij-Basikh on educating Afghan girls
- Sheena Iyengar's TED talk on the art of choosing
- HBO's Sheila Nevins's interview with Alec Baldwin
- Sheila Widnall on women in engineering
- Sheryl Sandberg's Barnard commencement address
- Shirley Chisholm introduces the Equal Rights Amendment
- Shirley Chisholm's 1972 contested presidential debate time
- Shonda Rhimes's "You Are Not Alone"
- Sister Simone Campbell and the nuns on a bus tour
- Sojourner Truth "Ain't I a Woman?"
- Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor's law school question
- Sophie Gustafson on stuttering as "part of who I am"
- Stanford rape victim's statement to her rapist
- Stav Shaffir and "What is a Zionist?"
- Stella Young's "I'm not your inspiration"
- Dame Stephanie Shirley at TED 2015
- Sue Austin's "most mobile person" at TEDMED
- Susan B. Anthony's "Is it a crime for a U.S. citizen to vote?"
- Susan Bro:"They tried to kill my child to shut her up"
- Tanni Grey-Thompson's "shout a bit louder" on disability
- Taylor Swift's harassment testimony
- Minister Teresa MacBain's "I am an Atheist"
- Rep. Terri Sewell's remarks at Selma
- Tess Vigeland on quitting a job with no plan B
- Empress Theodora's throne-saving speech
- Theresa May takes the UK Police Federation to task
- Theresa May's first Prime Minister's Questions
- Theresa May's interrupted speech
- Tilda Swinton's "David Bowie Is" speech
- Toni Morrison's 2011 commencement address
- Toni Morrison's Nobel lecture on language
- Ursula K. Leguin's "Left-handed commencement address"
- Ursula K. Leguin's "We are volcanoes"
- Vandana Shiva at 2014's Food Otherwise
- Victoria Woodhull's "Principles of Social Freedom"
- Viola Davis: "What keeps me in the business is hope"
- Viola Davis's commencement speech "Go on and live!"
- Viola Davis: "Everything should be spoken"
- Viola Davis at the 2015 Emmy Awards
- Viola Davis's introduction of Meryl Streep at the 2017 Golden Globe awards
- Viola Davis accepts an historic 2017 Oscar
- Virginia Woolf's "A Room of One's Own" lectures
- Virginia Woolf's 1931 "Professions for Women"
- Nobel Laureate Wangari Maathai's hummingbird fable
- Texas State Senator Wendy Davis's filibuster
- Wilma Mankiller on rebuilding the Cherokee Nation
- Yulia Tymoshenko's "Heroes will never die"


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ATTENTION! For the correct operation of the update, click "Check resources" in the launcher!
1) Fixed an awakening of skills on "Master: Helmet of the Medusa" - now works correctly.
2) Added the button to lower the pet's level to 170,180,190,200 and 210.
3) Bosses Baphomet, Undine, Kirk, Blight ogre, Minotaur is now 210 level.
4) The hunter has fixed the recharge time of skills:
Piercing Arrow - At the maximum level and with a skill card +10 without recharge (recharge time is less than 0.3 seconds, conditionally "no recharge".)
Poison shot - At the maximum level and with a skill card +10 without recharge (recharge time is less than 0.3 seconds, conditionally "no recharge.")
5) The Mercenary was given back the ability to use skills with a bow.
6) Added to the drop - Gift donation box
With which can drop any item from the cash shop and not only. (The higher the price of the subject, the lower the chance of loss)
In order to open the box you need - Gift donation key.
For each donated 1$ you get 1 gift donation key. (For example, for a donation of 5 USD you got x5 Gift donation key).
7) Arena merchant added special improvement cubes +1 - +20.
8) The master of the spear was added 3 new skills, as well as the skill cards for him were fixed.
9) The skill of the Void Mage now does not remove buff +999 and consumables.
10) The maximum size of the necklace is now 550k lak.
11) Merchant of the arena added 6 new types of wings.
12) The characteristics of the wings have been changed:
Wings of the Angel (Reward for 3rd place in the altar) - 3 socket for stones, + 25% for all characteristics for a month.
Wings Seraphim (Reward for 2 place in the altar) - 3 socket for stones, + 25% for all characteristics for a month.
13) The skill "Double Call" has been added to the basic professions.
Which gives +10 seconds to the second pet's summoning time.
You can pump up to the 2nd level that will give - The second pet's summoning time: 30 seconds.
14) In the location of "City of the Dead Gods" you can now tame any monster.
Until 07.09.2017 a discount of 25% is activated in the cash shop!
Have a good game
Update 04.09.2017
News of the project
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Update 04.09.2017
In game my name is [GM]Fantomatic
Skype : AirFlow32
Skype : AirFlow32
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Georgia Tech Theses and Dissertations (available through SMARTech)
- Coverage Dates: 2003-present
- Update Frequency: Ongoing
- Audience: Research
Georgia Tech Theses and Dissertations is a collection of Original work by students of the Georgia Institute of Technology in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy or a Master of Science. Included in the database are Georgia Tech documents available from 2003-present and Institute of Paper Science and Technology documents available from 1931-2004. Some documents are available online; the record for an individual document is always viewable, and will indicate the availability of the document.
In addition to the search field, the database can be browsed by title, author, subject, and date. RSS and e-mail subscriptions are available for notification of new additions.
Database Provider: Georgia Institute of Technology.
Express Link (bookmark): http://www.galileo.usg.edu/express?link=gttd


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None of the Goddess myths portray the intensely emotional mother daughter relationship more than that of Demeter and her daughter Persephone.
Like every good story, there is a beginning, middle and end. It begins with Persephone as the epitome of innocence and beauty, just as every daughter is to her own mother. In the middle is the metaphorical death of Persephone when she is abducted by Hades and descends to the underworld, followed by Demeter's inconsolable grief. In the end a new way of life is forged; a compromise that serves both daughter and mother....
Paola Suarez As a mother, I thank you, for helping me believe tha t what I'm saying makes sense to somebody's daughter, even if no
You're welcome JudithAnn! I realized that my comment was missing a word. I meant to write "heartfelt and powerfully positive messa
As a daughter, I thank you for this heartfelt and powerful positive. I'm breathing it all in. Thank you for the imagery! Blessings


text:
Zone network interfaces configured by the zonecfg command to provide network connectivity will automatically be set up and placed in the zone when it is booted.
The Internet Protocol (IP) layer accepts and delivers packets for the network. This layer includes IP routing, the Address Resolution Protocol (ARP), IP security architecture (IPsec), and IP Filter.
There are two IP types available for non-global zones, shared-IP and exclusive-IP. The shared-IP zone shares a network interface and the exclusive-IP zone must have a dedicated network interface.
For information about IP features in each type, see Networking in Shared-IP Non-Global Zones and Solaris 10 8/07: Networking in Exclusive-IP Non-Global Zones.
The shared-IP zone is the default type. The zone must have one or more dedicated IP addresses. A shared-IP zone shares the IP layer configuration and state with the global zone. The zone should use the shared-IP instance if both of the following are true:
The zone is to be connected to the same data-link, that is, be on the same IP subnet or subnets as the global zone.
You do not want the other capabilities that the exclusive-IP zone provides.
Shared-IP zones are assigned one or more IP addresses using the zonecfg command. The data-link names must also be configured in the global zone.
These addresses are associated with logical network interfaces. The ifconfig command can be used from the global zone to add or remove logical interfaces in a running zone. For more information, see Shared-IP Network Interfaces.
Full IP-level functionality is available in an exclusive-IP zone.
An exclusive-IP zone has its own IP-related state.
This includes the ability to use the following features in an exclusive-IP zone:
IP Filter, including network address translation (NAT) functionality
ndd for setting TCP/UDP/SCTP as well as IP/ARP-level knobs
IP security (IPsec) and Internet Key Exchange (IKE), which automates the provision of authenticated keying material for IPsec security association
An exclusive-IP zone is assigned its own set of data-links using the zonecfg command. The zone is given a data-link name such as xge0, e1000g1, or bge32001, using the physical property of the net resource. The address property of the net resource is not set.
Note that the assigned data-link enables the snoop command to be used.
The dladm command can be used with the show-linkprop subcommand to show the assignment of data-links to running exclusive-IP zones. The dladm command can be used with the set-linkprop subcommand to assign additional data-links to running zones. See Solaris 10 8/07: Administering Data-Links in Exclusive-IP Non-Global Zones for usage examples.
Inside a running exclusive-IP zone, the ifconfig command can be used to configure IP, which includes the ability to add or remove logical interfaces. The IP configuration in a zone can be set up in the same way as for the global zone, by using the sysidtools described in sysidcfg(4).
The IP configuration of an exclusive-IP zone can only be viewed from the global zone by using the zlogin command. An example follows.
global# zlogin zone1 ifconfig -a
In a shared-IP zone, applications in the zone, including the superuser, cannot send packets with source IP addresses other than the ones assigned to the zone through the zonecfg utility. This type of zone does not have access to send and receive arbitrary data-link (layer 2) packets.
For an exclusive-IP zone, zonecfg instead grants the entire specified data-link to the zone. As a result, the superuser in an exclusive-IP zone can send spoofed packets on those data-links, just as can be done in the global zone.
The shared-IP zones always share the IP layer with the global zone, and the exclusive-IP zones always have their own instance of the IP layer. Both shared-IP zones and exclusive-IP zones can be used on the same machine.


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Tony Yayo (Feat. Uncle Murda) - Shooters For Hire
New Video For Tony Yayo "Shooters For Hire" Featuring Uncle Murda. Off His Newest Mixtape Release "Black Friday" Hosted By DJ Whoo Kid
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Leed's Coolers
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Functional and durable, Leed's coolers keep the drinks cold and your brand hot. Recipients will appreciate the practicality and style of these items and will endorse your brand to friends, relatives and colleagues- just by using them. Available in an assortment of sizes, shapes and colors, our collection includes single-serving models for individual lunches, large picnic basket styles, and even collapsible lunch designs that make eating on the go easier than ever. Whatever the purpose or target audience, you will be sure to find a sophisticated Leed's cooler to fit the needs of your brand and budget. Additionally, almost all Leed's coolers feature sturdy handles or wheels and are designed for travel and easy carry. As a result, recipients will carry these products to and from the office- and even on longer trips for business and leisure- thereby providing great long-term visibility for your brand.


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The Samsung Galaxy S5 can be defined by one word: evolution.
The camera has evolved to give clearer, faster snaps. The fitness-tracking abilities of the S5 are enhanced over the Galaxy S4 by packing in a more powerful S Health app and a dedicated heart rate monitor on the rear. A fingerprint scanner adds to the most secure Galaxy phone ever made.
The battery is larger, the screen bigger and brighter, the processor quicker and the design altered.
The spec sheet certainly doesn't let it down: a 2.5GHz quad-core CPU, 2GB of RAM, a 2800mAh (removable) battery, 16 / 32GB of memory (with up to 128GB extra through microSD), one of the world's most vibrant screens that's been extended to 5.1-inches and added biometrics.
However, it's hard to point to one stand out feature that will grab the prospective user when they handle the Galaxy S5 for the first time.
To many, that won't matter, as Samsung's built a fan-base that only Apple can rival, and a number will be picking up the new Galaxy without a second thought over whether it competes adequately with its rivals.
- Already sold? Check out the best Samsung Galaxy S5 deals here
Price-wise, if you're shocked by the cost of the Samsung Galaxy S5 then you've not really been paying attention to the previous flagship models. It's actually a little cheaper than previous years in some territories, and has been dropped around more recently, coming in at around £400-£500 these days SIM free in the UK
As you can imagine contract offers are flying all over the place at the moment, but the Galaxy S5 is being offered for a near identical price to the HTC One M8, and cheaper than the iPhone 6, give or take a few dollarpounds.
The messaging around the launch of the Galaxy S5 was that Samsung had listened to the consumers and dialled down the gimmicks, focusing instead on what makes a phone special to the consumer.
It promised a 'fashionable' and 'glam' design, a camera that works in the way you'd want it to and strength through being water resistant.
There's also the small notion of an improved version - I was told that it was very likely the Galaxy S5 was going to launch with a Samsung Galaxy S5 Prime version in February, with oodles more RAM, a faster processor and QHD screen on board.
However, that was pushed back (likely to do with issues in creating the screen in high enough volumes) and has since appeared in the South Korea-only Samsung Galaxy S5 LTE-A version. This one has a Snapdragon 805 CPU, a WQHD screen and all the high end features you can wish for. In short, it's the amazing phone I wish Samsung had announced a few months ago and sold all over the world.
And now we have the Samsung Galaxy Alpha, a smaller phone with equal power to the main Galaxy S5, but with a lower-res 720p screen. That's offset by a metal design, although only around the edge of the phone - and Samsung has once again for a light weight, rather than making it feel weighty and ergonomic in the hand.
That phone has a premium design fused with power under the hood - but with a sky high price and the lower-res screen it's clearly designed to compete with the all new iPhone 6.
- Is the new phone better than the S5? Check out our Samsung Galaxy Alpha review to find out.
And if you want something a little smaller, then the Galaxy S5 Mini is here now as well. It's a lot like the bigger brother, and the specs have only been dialled down slightly. It's not quite got the raw power but the design aesthetic is there and the heartbeat monitor as well - well worth checking out if you don't want to spend as much.
But enough of the competition: let's look at one of the key questions that Samsung needed to answer with the Galaxy S5: is it good enough in market that's becoming saturated with decent high-end handsets?
The simple answer, from the second you hold it in the hand, is no – because the design simply isn't up to the same level as the likes of Apple and HTC.
That's only a small part of the story though, and underneath the hood Samsung has continued its play of stuffing all the latest specs in and optimising them in a way that doesn't suck down oodles of battery.
Is this phone good enough to keep Samsung fighting with Apple at the top of the sales charts? Yes, but that's mostly through the impressive marketing machine that rolls out in every territory - and even that hasn't led to the greatest sales for the new phone.
Samsung needs this to be the last phone that rolls with such design language (the Alpha and Note 4 show that this is the case and should continue) - the Galaxy S6 needs to be the dawn of a new age for the South Korean company, something to give consumers real lust for the way it looks.
And with the new iPhone 6 being a real winner in the design stakes, if customers aren't wedded to the larger S5 screen then the lure of Apple has just grown stronger (although you should be looking at the myriad excellent Android phones first).
Critically, it feels like there's very little to shout about with the Galaxy S5 – but perhaps that's no bad thing for a brand that was accused of bringing pointless innovation with last year's model.


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Growth Modeling of Longitudinal Data
posted on Friday, June 08, 2001 - 2:03 pm
In a LGM, the variance of the slope factor was significant(0.725, t=2.223). Then, four covariates (time-invariate) were sued to predict the slope factor. The results show that one of the four covariates had significant effect on the slope, and the residual variance of the slope factor became statistically insignificant (0.640, t=1.944). Does this mean that the variation in the slope was systematically explained by the covariate? If so, the R-Square of the slope factor should be large. Unfortunately, the R-Square was only 0.06, indicating a very small portion (6%) of the variation in the slope factor was explained. Could you please help interpretat the results? Thank you very much.
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Saturday, June 09, 2001 - 8:43 am
A distinction should be made between significance and size of an estimate. All that a non-significant slope factor residual variance implies is that the residual variance is not significantly different from zero. The standard error and therefore statistical significance is dependent on sample size. Just because a covariate explains a significant amount of variation does not imply this is necessarily a large amount of variation.
posted on Monday, June 11, 2001 - 9:42 am
Thanks a lot for your prompt reply. My question was: can we say the variation of the slope was not random but systematic because after the covariates were controlled, the residual variance of the slope became insignificant. If so, does R-Square=0.06 mean only 6% of the systematic variation was explained and 94% of them remained unexplained? Then, where did the unexplained systematic variation go (included into error term which had insignificant variance)? That was where the confusion came from.
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Tuesday, June 12, 2001 - 6:08 am
The way I think about this is that the slope has a significant amount of variation, that is, individuals develop at different rates. One covariate explains a significant amount of this variation, that is, that covariate is a significant predictor of these different rates of development. If the r-square is 6 percent, then 6 percent of the variation in the slopes is explained by the covariate. The rest is not explained. That's all I would be able to pull out of these results.
posted on Tuesday, June 12, 2001 - 1:16 pm
I tried another model with four repeated measures.
1) set intercept and slope factors correlated:
- the unconditional variance of slope = 0.339
- with 4 predictors, the residual variance of the slope = 0.270
- then the explained variance of lope =(0.339-0.270)/0.339 = 0.20
- Mplus printed R-square of the slope = 0.12
2) set intercept and slope factors uncorrelated:
- the unconditional variance of slope = 0.676
- with 4 predictors, the residual variance of the slope = 0.680
- then the explained variance of lope =(0.676-0.680)/0.676 = -0.01
- Mplus printed R-square of the slope=0.06
How to interpret the results? Thank you very much.
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Wednesday, June 13, 2001 - 7:49 am
You are not computing r-square correctly. The slope variance for r-square is not taken from the model without x's. It is the model estimated variance from the model with x's. You can obtain that by asking for RESIDUAL in the OUTPUT command.
posted on Wednesday, June 13, 2001 - 12:13 pm
I was in fact using Mplus to test the following simple models:
Model 1:
Yit=Ii+Si*Ti+Ei ... (1-1)
Ii=U0i ... (1-2)
Si=U1i ... (1-3)
Model 2:
Yit=Ii+Si*Ti+Ei ... (2-1)
Ii=a00+b01*X1+b02*X2+b03*X3+b04*X4+V0i ... (2-2)
Si=a10+b11*X1+b12*X2+b13*X3+b14*X4+V1i ... (2-3)
Where Ys are four repeated outcome measures; subscripts i and t represent individuals and time points, respectively; Xs are fixed covariates of the random coefficients, i.e., the growth factors I and S; and E and Us/Vs are random errors at level 1 (i.e., time occasions) and level 2 (individuals), respectively.
Let's focus on the slope factor S:
In Model 1, the Unconditional Var(Si)=Var(U1i) in Eq. 1-3
In Model 2, Residual variance of Si=Var(V1i) in Eq. 2-3
According to Bryk & Raudenbush (1992, p.72), the explained variation in Si in Eq. 2-3 (i.e., R-square) is calculated as: [Var(U1i)-Var(V1i)]/Var(U1i).
I followed your comments by using RESIDUAL option in the OUTPUT command of Mplus, the program output gave the model estimated means, intercepts, thresholds, as well as their residual information, only for the observed Ys and Xs.
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Thursday, June 14, 2001 - 3:19 pm
Sorry I meant to say TECH4 not RESIDUAL. TECH4 contains model estimated means, variances, and covariances for the latent variables. RESIDUAL has them for observed variables. Your Model 1 estimate of the Si variance is not necessarily the same as the Model 2 estimate which is obtained from TECH4. Therefore, Mplus uses the Si variance from Model 2 when computing the r-square for Model 2.
posted on Friday, June 15, 2001 - 8:59 am
Thank you so much for your time and comments. To close up, I would like to come back to the original issue, which, I think, is important for many researchers who are interested in LGM.
1) When the variance of a slope factor is statistically significant, it indicates that the growth rate varies significantly, and its variation may be either random or systematical. The latter could be explained by some predictors.
2) When regressing the slope on predictors, I found that only one predictor had significant effect on the slope and the R-squares was very small (e.g., 0.06); in addition, the residual variance was not statistically significant (i.e., not different from zero).
The results are very difficult to interpret. First of all, the growth rate varied significantly across individuals; second, the variation was basically not explained by the predictors included; third, the variance of the error term was not statistically significant. How come the variation of the response measure (i.e., the slope factor here) was not explained on one hand; and the variance of the error term was not different from zero on the other hand. Where did the variation go? To my understanding, if variation of the response measure were not explained, it would be included in the error term. Your help will be highly appreciated.
posted on Friday, June 15, 2001 - 9:33 am
The results may seem confusing, but are not difficult to interpret if you distinguish significance from size of an estimate and distinguish estimates from population values. The fact that the residual variance estimate is not significantly different from zero does not mean that the true population value for the residual variance is small. It can be quite large. All it may mean is that the sample is too small, gives too large a standard error, to reject that it is zero. I would conclude the following. First, the one predictor explains a significant part of the slope variation, although the size of that part is small. Second, although one might now expect that the residual variance is significant (since the total slope variance was found significant), its significance may have been pushed into insignificance by taking out the variance explained by the single predictor. A larger sample might have shown the residual variance to be significant. So a sizable residual variation might still be there. I would add that it is typically quite difficult to find good predictors of slopes. Hope this settles the matter.
posted on Sunday, April 25, 2004 - 9:31 am
Following your discussion concerning the amount of variance explained in the slope factor of a LGModel was very helpful to me.
However, I think the basic question is whether it is possible to conduct a significance test of the R-square value of a latent variable (i.e. slope factor) comparable to Fishers F-test in standard regression analysis.
I guess my question is: is it legitimate to compute F = R^2(n-k-1)/(1-R^2)*k with n = sample size, k = number of manifest or latent predictors, and R^2 = (var(slope) - var(zeta))/var(zeta) for any recursive model?
Sorry if this question is slightly off-topic in the LGM section, however, your help will be highly appreciated!
posted on Sunday, April 25, 2004 - 9:56 am
Don't know; it is not obvious to me that it is legitimate given that the F test is based on assumptions for the variances of observed variables and here you have latent variables that have different sampling variation than the observed. Any thoughts from other readers?
Jeremy Miles
posted on Sunday, April 25, 2004 - 12:40 pm
If you wanted to get a significance test then you could fix all the paths to the latent variable to zero. This model would be nested within the original model, and the chi-square difference test will give you the significance value.
If you've got two latents (e.g. slope and intercept) you might want to get the multivariate test first, by fixing them all paths to both latents.
posted on Sunday, April 25, 2004 - 2:22 pm
Bengt & Jeremy,
thank you very much for your help! The Chi-square difference test should do the job in my case.
However, just out of curiosity, has anyone any references concerning the use of the F-test within SEM? (e.g. would it be possible to test the amount of variance explained in the manifest indicators via traditional F tests?
Sylvana Robbers
posted on Thursday, August 21, 2008 - 8:39 am
Dear dr. Muth�n,
I have a question about the following simple growth model:
i s |
Although the model runs, the fit is terrible. The problem is the residual variance of y3, which is not estimated by Mplus (output: *****). This variable is normally distributed, and we don't see anything strange about it.
What could be an explanation for this absent residual variance?
Thanks in advance,
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Thursday, August 21, 2008 - 11:48 am
It is estimated. The asterisks mean that the number cannot fit in the space provided. It sounds like your outcome has large variances. We recommend rescaling variables with large variance by dividing them by a constant in the DEFINE command. We recommend keeping variances between one and ten.
hanneke creemers
posted on Friday, August 22, 2008 - 6:03 am
Dear dr. Muth�n,
Thank you very much for the explanation and advice on the problem my colleague and I encountered and posted in the previous post.
I think our problem is twofold. First, our outcome has - as you correctly conclude - large variances. We can reduce these by rescaling the variables. However, the fit of our model remains terrible. I think this is were the second problem comes in: there is a steep increase in the residual variances (residual variances after rescaling: y1=.246, y2=4.010, y3=29.74). Would you recommend a log transformation (or other method) to solve this issue?
Thanks in advance,
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Friday, August 22, 2008 - 9:13 am
Did you rescale all of the repeated measures using the same constant. You need to do that. If so and you continue to have problems, send your files and license number to
Justin Jager
posted on Tuesday, November 18, 2008 - 12:31 pm
First, I run the following growth model.
Iheavy BY
Lheavy BY
[Iheavy Lheavy];
v6782 On Iheavy;
(R-square of v6782 = .023)
Next, I regressed the IV on linear growth as well (IN CAPS)
v6782 on Iheavy;
(R-square of v6782 = .021)
To my surprise the R-square of the IV with the model that has the IV regressed on both the I and the L is smaller (.021) than the model that has just the IV regressed on just the I(.023). I purposely used a simple example here, but this same pattern repeats itself across more complicated models that include more significant relations.
Why is the R-square going down, at worst it should stay the same, right? What am I missing?
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Wednesday, November 19, 2008 - 9:13 am
With latent variables, misfit in an over identified model can result in this happening. Also the covariance between the intercept and slope growth factors may be negative.
Ho Wang
posted on Wednesday, March 30, 2011 - 2:07 pm
Hi, I got those star lines under "Estimate" and "S.E.", but numbers under Est./S.E. and p-value. I'm just wondering if those star lines stand for those numbers that cannot be estimated. If so, I'm more confused why there are numbers for Est./S.E. and p-value. If not, is there a way to see those numbers currently represented by these star lines?
Residual Variances
Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. p-value
Var5 ********* ********* 1.662 0.097
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Wednesday, March 30, 2011 - 2:53 pm
The asterisks mean that the parameter estimate and standard error are too large to fit in the space allocated for them. You should rescale the variable. We recommend keeping variances of continuous variables between one and ten.
Ho Wang
posted on Thursday, March 31, 2011 - 6:39 am
Thanks for tips. Ho
Ho Wang
posted on Thursday, March 31, 2011 - 8:19 am
Hi Linda,
I recaled these variables and it worked. But I have an extra question about those stats for Model Fit, as they could not be simply multiplied by the scaling factor.
Should I report the actual model fit without scaling or the one with scaling? If I should report the actual one, for each step of my modeling, does that mean I need to run twice (i.e., one using scaling and one not)
Or is there an easy way to convert these fit stats using the scaling to the actual ones? Thanks, Ho
With recaling:
H0 Value -2431.397
H0 Scaling Correction Factor 4.898
for MLR
Information Criteria
Bayesian (BIC) 4964.546
without scaling
H0 Value -5664.226
H0 Scaling Correction Factor 4.898
for MLR
Information Criteria
Bayesian (BIC) 11430.205
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Thursday, March 31, 2011 - 1:13 pm
If I used scaled results, I would also use scaled fit statistics.
Utkun Ozdil
posted on Saturday, May 07, 2011 - 1:14 pm
I have two questions about residual variances of models including covariates:
1. How can we interpret the results if the residual within-level variances are insignificant?
2. How can we interpret the results if the residual between-level variances are insignificant?
When residual variances do not significantly differ from zero should they be interpreted along with the R-square?
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Thursday, May 12, 2011 - 9:39 am
1-2. It really doesn't matter if a residual variance is significant or not.
Yes - you still get a point estimate of R-square.
Su Jung Park
posted on Monday, January 15, 2018 - 8:50 am
Hello Dear. Dr. Muthen
I got a non-significant negative variance for slope (s2), and then I set it to 0. However, the results of stdyx estimate said "1" for s2 on s1 which was one of the pathways I hypothesized. I would love to report standardized estimate. How can I find it? Otherwise, is there a formula I can use to generate it myself since the program doesn't?
Thank you in advance.
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Monday, January 15, 2018 - 10:58 am
You would expect a standardized slope of 1 when you fix the residual variance at 0 for the DV (i.e. for s2). The numerator and denominator of the standardization is the same, or in other language - the R2 is 1 because there is nothing unexplained in s2.
Su Jung Park
posted on Monday, January 15, 2018 - 12:39 pm
Thank you for your time to answer my question. I have one more question for you.
I want to report standardized estimate when I submit a manuscript. When I fix it to zero or not, estimate was different, but significant level was same. Should it be fine to report the result without fixing it to zero? Or, do I have to fix it to zero and report unstandardized estimate? Thank you again.
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Monday, January 15, 2018 - 1:41 pm
This question is more suitable for SEMNET.
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A Walmart customer who slipped on a fallen Gatorade sign won a $1.3 million verdict for his injuries.
Tom Papakalodoukas, a 41-year-old Florida resident, was carrying a water bottle while shopping at a Walmart in Port St. Lucie, Fla., when he stepped on a Gatorade sign that had fallen off a display. He took a violent spill, tearing a tendon in his right bicep. Papakalodoukas underwent three surgeries and had to get an Achilles tendon from cadaver tissue inserted in his arm.
He also developed a permanent condition called a "popeye deformity" that causes abnormal bulges on his arm.
He sued the retail giant for negligence for not screwing the on sign correctly.
Walmart pointed the finger at Gatorade for providing cheap plastic screws.
But at trial, Papakalodoukas' lawyer, Gloria Seidule, had Gatorade testify that if Walmart employees had put together the sign properly, it wouldn't have fallen. Gatorade also said that if the screws came loose or broke, it was Walmart's responsibility to take care of it.
Although surveillance cameras captured Papakalodoukas falling, Walmart employees threw away the display after the accident.
According to Seidule, her client has not been able to go back to work as a manager at a beverage distribution company and suffers from depression and anxiety over his health and his future. His surgeries have cost over $200,000.
The all-female jury may have helped ease his anxiety with a $1.3 million verdict. The jury laid 90 percent of the blame on Walmart.
"The jury assessed the existing and future medical expenses and lost wages when determining the monetary value of the case," Seidule said.


text:
The time was right for the three 50-something women to pool their resources and buy a house together.
Louise Machinist, a clinical psychologist, was ready to move out of her house now that her children were grown. Jean McQuillin, a case management nurse, had just moved into a rental apartment from the home she had shared with her then-husband. Karen Bush's job as a corporate consultant required her to travel often, which meant making arrangements for her cat and fish — and returning to an empty house.
For the women, buying a home to share made sense. Said Machinist, "There's every advantage to be gained from it."
(Watch the video at the bottom of this article to see how the trio make their shared household work.)
The House-Sharing Trend
Other older singles seem to agree. Increasingly, female boomers and older women — both bosom buddies and strangers — are moving in together as a way to save money and form a community.
Online home-sharing websites, workshops and meetings for prospective housemates are booming. One such event recently occurred in Sarasota, Fla., where people in the city's Living in Community Network met potential housemates.
At the online service Let's Share Housing, based in Portland, Ore., which provides a list of people who want to live in shared housing and homeowners who want to share, 80 percent of the clients are boomer women. Fifty-five percent of the women enrolled at the Vermont-based in-person matching service Home Share Now are over age 50. Online interest in the program has doubled since 2007 — likely due, in part, to many more people who have never been married enrolling.
What to Look for in a Housemate
Karen Bush, Jean McQuillin and Louise Machinist in their shared Pittsburgh home. — Maisie Crow
Ask yourself:
· Does she meet your requirements about what you must have in a housemate? Examples: a productive life, considerate and flexible, good values, a realistic vision of what living together entails, common expectations about the arrangement.
· What are deal breakers for you? A boyfriend who will be sleeping over a lot? A pet? Someone who is messy or doesn't have boundaries? Something else?
· Is she financially stable?
· What do her references say? If she's home-shared before, what do her housemates think of her? Get at least two references. Ask about her strengths and weaknesses and if there's anything you should know.
· Lastly, have you done an internet search on her name to learn more about her?
Conditions are ripe to make home sharing an option for many women. Four million women age 50-plus live in U.S. households with at least two women 50-plus — a statistic that is expected to rise. According to the National Center for Family & Marriage Research, one out of three boomers will probably face old age without a spouse. Women, on average, live about five years longer than men. Adult children are often far away. And since 1990, the overall divorce rate for the 50-plus demographic has doubled.
Add the recession, rising health care and housing costs, and longer lives to the reasons for shared housing's popularity. "My hunch is that money will be the incentive to get over the fear of 'Me? Live with a stranger? Never!' " says Annamarie Pluhar, a shared-housing consultant and author of Sharing Housing: A Guidebook for Finding and Keeping Good Housemates. "But it's also having someone say, 'How is your day?' and having a social connection that feeds the soul."
Few could deny that there are emotional and physical benefits from friendship and social engagement — and research supports this. In a home share, the residents can also split household chores, feel safer with more people around, and grow older at home without feeling isolated.
The Logistics of Living Together
After conferring with attorneys, accountants and financial planners, McQuillin, Machinist and Bush took out a three-way mortgage on a brick, five-bedroom, $395,000 colonial in Mount Lebanon, Pa., a suburb of Pittsburgh. McQuillin has the third-floor bedroom, bathroom and office; Bush, a second-floor bedroom and private bath that adjoins her office; and Machinist has the master suite.
Every month, the women deposit the same amount into their joint checking account to pay for utilities, property taxes and repairs. They each contribute a $100 gift card, with which they buy and share groceries — if someone entertains family or friends, she pays separately — and they occasionally eat together. They have house rules, including no overnight guests for more than seven consecutive nights, with built-in flexibility.
"It's like living with two wonderful sisters," says Bush, 65. The three have co-authored a book titled My House, Our House: Living Far Better for Far Less in a Cooperative Household.
Another home sharer, Marianne Kilkenny, 63, not only owns a house-sharing coaching business in Asheville, N.C., and gives workshops (one is called "Women Living in Community: From Dreaming to Doing"), but lives with three other women ages 48 to 69; two are divorced, another never married. Each has her own bedroom and bathroom, but Kilkenny pays the most, $900 monthly, including utilities, because she has the in-law apartment with a separate kitchen. The other rents range from $550 to $650. They share living areas, including a screened-in back porch where they eat in good weather.


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Forget iris and fingerprint scans -- scanning noses could be a quicker and easier way to verify a person's identity, according to scientists in the United Kingdom. Unlike other facial features used for biometrics, such as eyes or ears, noses are difficult to conceal and also aren't changed much by facial expression.
Adrian Evans and Adrian Moorhouse, from the University of Bath Department of Electronic & Electrical Engineering, decided to investigate whether images of people's noses could be used to recognize individuals.
They used a photographic system called PhotoFace, developed by researchers at the University of the West of England in Bristol, to scan the 3D shape of volunteers' noses and analyzed them according to six main nose shapes: Roman, Greek, Nubian, Hawk, Snub and Turn-up.
Instead of using the whole shape of the nose, the researchers used three characteristics in their analysis: the ridge profile, the nose tip, and the nasion (the section between the eyes at the top of the nose).
They combined the curvature of the ridge with the ratios of the tip and nasion widths and ridge length. This combined ratio was then used to distinguish between a database of 36 people.
While the researchers used a relatively small sample, they found that nose scanning showed good potential for use as a biometric, with a good recognition rate and a faster rate of image processing than with conventional biometric techniques such as whole face recognition.
Evans said: "Noses are prominent facial features, and yet their use as a biometric has been largely unexplored. We wanted to find out how good they could be at recognizing individuals from a database...There's no one magic biometric -- irises are a powerful biometric, but can be difficult to capture accurately and can easily be obscured by eyelids or glasses. Noses, however, are much easier to photograph and are harder to conceal, so a system that recognizes noses would work better with an uncooperative subject or for covert surveillance...We've only tried this on a small sample of people, but the technique certainly shows potential, perhaps to be used in combination with other identification techniques."
Professor Melvyn Smith led the team at the University of the West of England (UWE) who developed the PhotoFace system. "This collaborative project with Bath is very exciting work with great potential...It works by taking photos lit by a flash from several different angles so that four images are taken in very rapid succession of every point on the face, each under different controlled lighting conditions," Smith said.
"The technique is known as photometric stereo. The software then works out the color, surface orientation and depth of each point on the face by analyzing'the shading within each of the photos," Smith said. "The technique is able to achieve a level of detail that is beyond current competing technologies and can be extended to a myriad of other applications, ranging from industrial surface inspection to cosmetics."
The researchers plan in the future to build up a larger database of noses to test and refine the software to see if it can pick out individuals from a larger group of people, or distinguish between relatives from the same family.


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I've received many benefits from my blog, that being connections to people who share cousins, and love the exchange of ideas. I get that too, from reading other blogs. However, there is a lot of thinking and time spent writing an article. If you know my blog you know I usually have a photo, that takes additional time, for planning and travel. No complaints here, I love it, but I'm feeling like a Slog. Sometimes, nothing else gets done, my life is a big blog.
On that note, I'm finally stating my first publicly stated goal. Beginning in May, I plan to cut back on blogging until Labor Day. Library trips and research will continue.
Within the month I was fortunate to have 40 new subscribers to my blog, and I thought the new readers might like to see other genealogy blogs. Some of my favorite blogs are below, and I hope you check them out and subscribe or follow them also. They cover a wide range of topics such as technical, legal, general research, organizing hints, and a combination of genealogy with travel. None cover New England genealogy, otherwise I would have to list too many, however, you may write me if you want suggestions.
A Three Genealogy
Genealogy's Star
Betty's Genealogy Blog
TJLGenes: Preserving Our Family History
Reflections from the Fence
Genealogy by Ginger's Blog
The Legal Genealogist
Old Stones Undeciphered
Turning of Generatiaons
Journey to the Past


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Sunday, July 20, 2008
Can You Believe This!!
"Can you believe THIS!!" shouted Dave Jageler on The Flagship Radio Station of Our Washington Nationals. Willie Harris had just slammed out a liner of a home run that put Washington up 12-2 over The Atlanta Braves in the bottom of the 4th inning. Driving around this Sunday afternoon running errands in our car--Sohna and I just started laughing. Then came The High Five. A couple driving beside our car started staring at us--wondering what we were up to.
Yeah Dave, we could believe it--because Our Manager Manny Acta had placed in his lineup this Sunday some hungry ballplayers. Professionals looking to either find their way back into the Big Leagues in a meaningful way, or wanting to protect their position on Our Team. And for some reason--FLop also came along for the ride. Maybe The Washington Post should trash him publicly more often--asking for his release?
This one was a laugher, a 15-6 blowout that found Washington winning a series for the first time since sweeping in Seattle last month. And sent Our Nats on a joyful flight across the country to beautiful San Francisco to begin a three game set with The Giants at AT&T Park. You think the beer tastes a little colder on that five hour flight this evening? You believe Our Washington Nationals will be landing in The City By The Bay in good spirits? Yes, they will and they should because did not only Our Number 1 lead the way this afternoon, so did Ryan Langerhans, Austin Kearns and Jesus Flores. Players that might still have futures wearing a home uniform next season at New Nationals Park.
When things go bad and the many injuries get you down--this is the time to find out whether others can lead the way--providing depth--giving hope--taking away from the despair. Who knew that Willie Harris would be such a spark plug? Playing regularly over the past month, this man has shown he is more than just speed. Multi-talented with the drive to hustle on every single play. Like Elijah Dukes--Our Number 1 has proven to be better than advertised. Whether he has a future in Washington is whole other story. But, you can't say Willie Harris is not exciting to watch right now. A journeyman looking to find a new home. No wonder The Baltimore Orioles thought so highly of his talents a few years back.
The same holds true for Ryan Langerhans. Twice to my recollection, Our Number 29 has been passed through waivers by Our General Manager and accepted a outright Minor League Assignment in AAA. He had THE CHOICE to elect Free Agency but WANTED to play here. Langerhans understood there is opportunity--the chance to find yourself again in The Nation's Capital to play Big League Ball. Now--with NO ONE ELSE AVAILABLE--everybody else being injured--Manny Acta had no other choice himself, but to play Our Number 29 in the field. Everyone knows, Langerhans can field--what many have not found out--is whether Ryan can hit consistently. Well, at least after this weekend against his former team, The Braves--Langerhans deserves an extended tryout. He earned it with a stellar three games. No question, I have always had his back--but now Ryan is slowly showing the quality talent he may well possess to others. He can help Our Team, not only now--but in the future--whether as a starter, fourth outfielder or late inning replacement. Good for him. Ryan Langerhans is taking advantage of opportunity arisen.
The chance to resurrect his career which Austin Kearns has quickly done since returning from elbow surgery. Hitting for power, driving pitches the other way, playing the game right--Our Number 25 looks like a completely different ballplayer. The type of talent many saw early in his injured, but productive years in Cincinnati. Today, five runs scored, three hits and a two run homer. Since returning on July 3rd--Kearns has hit safely in 10 of 13 games, had five multi-hit games, driven in 11 runs and batted a robust .329. Our Number 25 playing for more than just pride--Austin Kearns is playing for his future--maybe ours as well.
The "Wait 'Til Next Year" that Jesus Flores decided on his own--NOW WAS THE TIME. Our Number 3 must have been mighty pissed that he was sat down for the first two games after The All Star Break in Atlanta. Today--Jesus showed his worth--once again--with a 5 for 6 day, two runs scored, two runs batted in. This after pinch hitting an RBI single earlier in this series against The Braves. Yeah, I understand that JimBo is trying to showcase Johnny Estrada, but does it really matter? Estrada's contract is minimal--whatever he returns in any potential trade will, most likely, not be much. Please, let's not stunt Jesus Flores' education, just to get a Low Grade Minor League Prospect that will end up being filler for Our Minor League Teams. No one is going to give up anything worthwhile for Johnny Estrada straight up. If he returns anything, it will come in a package deal. Let Jesus Flores play and if Our Number 3 sits after August 1st with Estrada and Paul LoDuca on the roster--we then have a problem.
As for Felipe Lopez's 3 for 4, three RBI day this afternoon. It's about time. One day does make up for nearly 2/3rds of his season wasted by a talented individual that many time shows little passion for the game. FLop is the most confusing player for Our Washington Nationals. Our Number 2 could be so good--yet many times--does not seem to care. Sadly.
2008 has been a frustrating season for Our Washington Nationals and Our Fans, but some individual performances by some may turn out to be invaluable for 2009 and beyond. There is some light at the end of that dark tunnel--believe it or not.
So Yeah Dave--"I Can Believe This"--when players that WANT TO BE THERE are performing on the field of play. Good call by the way on the radio.
Final Score--Our Washington Nationals 15 (The Most Runs Scored Since Baseball's Return to Washington), The Atlanta Braves 6. "HotLanta" turned DC's Way this weekend. If Austin Kearns' drive to right that became the final out of Game One on Friday Night--had fallen in--we would be talking SWEEP.
Curly "W" Number 38 providing a Fun Flight across the country for Our Manager Manny Acta's Team tonight--thanks to Players That Care. Professionals who are hungry--leading they way. Not giving up--when others may have lost sight or focus. Could they possibly remain hot still--in the Coldest Summer City In America on Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday--in San Francisco, California? How I wish that Sohna and I could be there. We LOVE SAN FRANCISCO.
And we still Love Our Washington Nationals for all the good, the bad and the ugly they can provide. The African Queen and I are still onboard for the ride. Besides, Charlie and Dave always make it fun listening--not matter the final score. Believe That!!
Game Notes & Highlights
Odalis Perez was terrible today. Good thing Our Washington Nationals staked him to a large lead. Our Number 45 didn't deserve the win today. But what comes around, goes around in Baseball. Perez did earn his 3rd win of 2008. I would rather see someone else on the mound every fifth day--honestly.
As Mark Teixeira stepped to the plate in the bottom of the second inning for Atlanta--Sohna asked me about this slugger that Charlie & Dave mentioned On Air--being a Baltimore Native. Not long after describing his gold glove talents at first base and his prodigious slugging power--Mark Slammed Out his 19th Homer of 2008. When Teixeira hammered out Number 20 off "The Human Rain Delay" in the 9th--I told The African Queen that this man is a FREE AGENT after this season. Only 28 years old--he would be an intriguing possible buy in the upcoming off season market--if Our Washington Nationals decided to actually go in that direction. Sohna found that possibility interesting--despite how much we both like Nick Johnson.
Finally, The Atlanta Braves Manager Bobby Cox got ejected today for the sixth time this season. Cox is The Career Leader in being tossed from games. I would love to see Our Manager Manny Acta protect his players a little more as well--when the game gets a little out of line. No, Our Number 14 doesn't have to run out there and blister someone at the drop of every baseball or bad call and get ejected--that can be stupid. But, there are opportune times when his presence means more to his players than he may realize. He needs to have their backs.
PS--I just love this picture by The Associated Press Photographer John Bazemore. Great Action Shot of Jesus Flores being tossed out at home plate. Corky Miller recording the out with flair. Award winning possibility in my humble opinion.
Today's InGame Photos--(AP) John Bazemore
20 comments:
That's the way to start off after the All Star break!!! Way to go!!!
- Steven said...
Great post. When The First Great Nationals Team arrives, your site is going to be so much fun.
- Steven said...
I mean, it's fun now. But it's going to be so much MORE fun! :)
By the way in addition to being a superstar Mark Texiera comes from a class act family that if you knew their story you would be even more impressed with Mark (another Mt Saint Joe grad).
By the way hope all is well with your family.
Manny must be listening as he decided to use other guys in a fresh bullpen and only used Manning for 1 out instead of sending him out for some more.
Uh, wasn't Mike Hargrove (pre-manager days) the original human rain delay?
The Yankees are in the market for a 1st baseman after the season and Texeira and OF/1B Pat Burrell are the 2 that are at the top of the Free Agent 1B list and the Yankees will take one of them and the Mets will want a shot too. Our leftovers to choose from is going to be Adam Dunn and hopefully we pass.
What is more likely in the short-term is Texeira will be dealt out in a trade very soon on a short-term rental.
Yes, we need a Power Hitting 1B that can stay healthy so maybe JimBo will surprise us.
Let's get Orlando Hudson at 2nd base and another quality reliever as those may be within reach for us.
- Screech's Best Friend said...
Anonymous at 9:35PM: The Human Rain Delay is a part of all the nicknames we have used on Nats320, since the very beginnings of this blog. Nicknames are big here. Jesus Colome is the slowest worker on the mound. Jesus Colome is called The Human Rain Delay, by not only me, Don Sutton, Our Radio Team, Half The Pitching Staff, most of the Organization. Well documented and continually mentioned here. I don't care about Mike Hargrove's name beforehand. He has nothing to do with The Nationals. Here--Colome's moniker is all a part of the fun we have. Everyone knows it. Where have you been?
Screech's Best Friend said... I don't care about Mike Hargrove's name beforehand.
BTW, his real name is Dudley Hargrove and of course everyone growing up called him Mike! lol
Now back to the Nationals. Tuesday will be the 100th game in our season and we will hopefully finish that game with a 39-61 record.
Our goal should be to play .500+ ball the rest of the year and finish with some dignity after this tough season. Wouldn't it be nice to end up with at least 70 wins.
The remainder of our season has to be a try-out for next year so we need to part ways soon with 2 of our 4 catchers and bring up some more Minor Leaguers and see how they do.
By the way, since Roger Bernandina went to AAA he is batting .417 so some good came of his short stay at the Bigs.
A second to your comment that Charlie and Dave make the show worth listening to no matter what.
Great way to start off the "unofficial" second half.
Great to see some offense. I was at the game on April 30 when the Nats couldn't hit Jurjens to save their lives, but managed to score one run (Mackowiak doubled and scored in regulation) and Hill went 8 innings (1 run) before the Braves collapsed after taking the lead in the 11th (3-2 win for the Nats). Jurjens and Hudson did not own the Nats this weekend.
The Braves pitchers were terrible this weekend, just as Seattle's were in the Nats last series sweep. I hope the hot hitting can survive a trip to the west coast. Good thing they start with Zito. He is very beatable (even though the Nats couldn't do much with him in DC).
The Lerners are not going to pay $10 M for Johnson and Young and pay free agent money for Tex in 2009. No getting around those numbers.
And the Lerners are not going to release Estrada unless they can get out of paying him the rest of his $1 M. Same goes for LoDuca and his $5 M. No trade (remember that nobody else wanted either of them last winter, and neither's stock has gone up since) = four catchers on the roster through the end of the season.
Let's score some runs despite dragging these anchors along.
Good news! We don't have to face Ray Durham in SF as they just traded him. Ray went 8 for 17 against us when the Giants were in DC in early June this year!
We also don't have to face Tim Lincecum as he pitched on Sunday.
Now only if they can trade Randy Winn before the series starts (lol).
- Dave said...
SBF, when I saw the headline of this post, I thought you might be referring to the Washington Post's (lack of) coverage of this huge game for the Nats.
To judge by this morning's paper, you would not know the Nats just scored more runs in a game than they have since they came here from Montreal. You would not know they took the series from Atlanta.
You would, however, see HUGE coverage of some football player the Redskins acquired early on in their training camp. Training camp, for heaven's sake.
The Washington Post's coverage of major league baseball is shameful. Thanks to you, SBF, and all the other baseball bloggers for covering it in some detail.
Not only that dave, but as of last week the Redskins officially own the other sports talk radio station in town, so you can forget about radio coverage of the Nationals beyond Charlie and Dave. Phil Woods' show has been axed already.
As for the Post, what on earth is Sheinin thinking? Get rid of Rauch, Redding, Guzman and sign Barry Bonds with "ground rules"?!?
Yes, the blogs are all we have.
- SenatorNat said...
This was the series where things may have turned a big corner for the Nationals and their future. For one, it sounded the end of the Estrada nonsense - the ball that got under his glove was pathetic - giving up a run - he looked silly.
Two, as SBF points out, perhaps Kearns and Langerhans could be servicable outfielders for the time being...
Three, Willie Harris is definitely a sparkplug in center, and as a lead-off hitter.
Four, with Z-Man at third, starting this week, it means Harris; Guzman; Zimmerman; Kearns; Flores; LoDuca; Belliard; and Langerhans can be the normal line-up. Good fieliding, decent speed, and a little bit of pop. This could be a steadily improving lineup, too, as LoDuca, for example seems ready to break-out and hit, and he is gaining familiarity with first. While Belliard's average is low, he still comes through in the clutch. (Lopez hit well yesterday, again in a NO CLUTCH situation - I would not release him, as he is a capable reserve infielder.)
Five, Milledge is on his way back, it would seem, which means Estrada can be sent packing.
Starting pitching remains decent to good - and weak spots in the relief corps (Ayala and Colume) can be overshadowed, hopefully, in the final 62 games by more confident Hanrahan, Manning, and Shell.
Nats should be able to win 25-28 games, something like 66-96 for the season: very disappointing BUT - silver lining is that team brass will feel the pressure to acquire Orlando Hudson and Matt Holiday or (God forbid) Adam Dunn. Resigning Guzman should be a priority, and I think they will treat it as such. And signing Z-Man to fair contract, despite his injury affected season also a prudent move. Nats need to play at .500 in 2009, and two key free agent acquisitions could be the trick.
Hail to Snyder Productions and 24-7 wall-to-wall coverage of the Burgendy & Gold. All Tango.
SenatorNat said... silver lining is that team brass will feel the pressure to acquire Orlando Hudson and Matt Holiday or (God forbid) Adam Dunn. Resigning Guzman should be a priority, and I think they will treat it as such. And signing Z-Man to fair contract, despite his injury affected season also a prudent move.
Many good points and I like most of them.
I have been on the Orlando Hudson bandwagon since the beginning of the season when it was evident that we needed help at 2nd, and Arizona wasn't going to re-sign him.
Matt Holliday outside of Colorado Rocky Mountain High is a different ballplayer and his contract is up after the 2009 season so the 1 year rental isn't worth it unless you can sign him long-term. His averages are career .267 and .301 this year outside of Colorado. Still better than anyone in our current outfield.
I remember when the Cardinals got former Expo Larry Walker in a mid-season deal in 2004 and Larry's production dropped .44 points going from a .324 hitter in Colorado to .280 in St. Louis. I would expect anywhere that Matt Holliday goes he will see a sizeable drop in BA.
I truly see our 3 biggest needs for next year is another good starting pitcher, a power hitter at 1B, and a clutch hitter w/ strong batting average.
An outfield of Elijah Dukes, Lastings Milledge and Austin Kearns staying healthy can look real good and Willie Harris as a reserve OF. Zim, Guzy, a new 2nd Baseman, and a power hitting 1B is what will get us there.
This kind of looks like our projected 2008 with the exception of changes at 1st and 2nd base.
Now its up to JimBo to execute the plan and better flexibility conditioning and some luck.
On your LoDuca at 1B for this season, I saw him swing for the fences on Saturday and the ball traveled 290 feet into the LF's glove. He has no HRs this season with diminishing returns. Based on last year's production, he should have 3 HRs this year. How can you have a 1B who can't hit HRs? Time to find a fill-in at the Minor League level!
- SenatorNat said...
Andrew - very good points, all. I would still prefer Matt Holiday to Adam Dunn. In either case, they actually have to be able to play first base. LoDuca is gone after this season, unless he has figured out a way to emanulate Jason Giambi and get strong again somehow...
Dmitri Young is going to be a real quandry for the Nats in the off-season - he is a natural DH for an AL team, but his health and diet are serious concerns for any team looking into acquiring him; we may have to keep him on the roster next year due to no takers...Only now is the team insisting that he get into a health regimen - LONG OVERDUE for the good of himself and the team, obviously.
These guys need not return in 2009: Lopez; Estrada; LoDuca; Perez; Ayala; Orr; Langerhans. Waiting for Nick Johnson to have a normal season is increasing unrealistic.
It will be very interesting to see if Shawn Hill can be repaired somehow for 2009. Cordero's arm-speed another huge if for planning the relief corps from back to front.
Lannan; Flores; Dukes; and Milledge can play in the majors without a doubt. All other young players, including Ballester complete question marks. And, as SBF himself says, not that many position players down on the farm, really. Morero still a year away, for example.
As you say, Nats need a front end starter for the rotation: not an easy commodity to pick-up for a rational price...And, the two hitters, of course.
Fifth year is a charm. All good.
SenatorNat said...
Andrew - very good points, all. I would still prefer Matt Holiday to Adam Dunn.
LoDuca is gone after this season, unless he has figured out a way to emanulate Jason Giambi and get strong again somehow...
Classic line on LoDuca emulating the Giambino (LMAO)!!!!!
More good points but I hang on to Langerhans as a bench player pinch hitter if he has worked out his issues on the offensive side of the ledger. He hustles on every play which is nice to see on this team talking about emulating!
Dmitri circa 2007 would be nice to see again. The man knows how to hit.
The Nick Johnson issues goes to does the past predict the future????
I like the idea of Matt Holiday at 1B most days as he can give you some pop too along with a good BA. I know JimBo says Nick Johnson has a higher OBP, but again----who can play 155 games a year???? Bigger question is what do we have to give up to get him, and I say you don't do it unless you can sign him long-term.
One problem with Holiday (aside from his Coors/road split factor). It would exacerbate the right-handedness of our projected regular lineup. If we're going to go out and get a bat, a left-handed or switch hitter would give the lineup some very needed balance.


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Bouncing Babies Story Time (Birth-18 Months)
- Date: 11/04/2020 10:30 AM - 11:30 AM
- Location: Soldotna Public Library
235 N Binkley St
Soldotna, Alaska 99669
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Come share songs, stories, and snuggle time with Bouncing Babies.


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Compliments of Mark Anderson of Andertoons
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