Source: Created by the author using data from the Congressional Budget Committee The relevance of cities as big employers and regional economic agents shows the importance and potential influence of mayors in Presidential Elections. In 2014, even with Lava Jato at its peak, signs of recession and soaring inflation, the coalition party headed by PT managed to squeeze the majority of votes and Dilma was re-elected. I argued in the introduction that prediction markets are more efficient than polls to anticipate election results: Alckmin quote has increased on PredictIt recently (see chart below).