<story><title>California&apos;s skyrocketing housing costs, taxes prompt exodus of residents</title><url>http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_30037774/greener-pastures-beckon-some-beleaguered-residents</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>nugget</author><text>I spent most of my childhood in California.  Real estate is and always has been the number one industry in the state.  The majority of my childhood friends&amp;#x27; wealth seems to derive from houses their families bought in the early 80s or earlier.  Prices have benefited from a stable of one trick ponies - fixed low property taxes (prop 13), massive population growth (net domestic migration is now negative), job growth from the tech sector, the cultural shift to assortive mating of dual income white collar professionals, and the drop to near zero interest rates.  I thought for sure that prices had hit the mathematically inevitable plateau - and then came tens of billions in foreign capital fleeing China.  Is there another unpredictable one trick pony waiting in the wings?  At some point it seems like prices would have to hit a ceiling reflecting the fact that all future appreciation and demand has been pulled forward, at which time the great financial machine grinds down to a much slower pace, if not a halt.  It will be interesting to watch and see what happens.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>adrenalinelol</author><text>Negative interests rates... The Fed wants to stay relevant as a means of correction economic recessions and the rate is still pretty much ~0% atm.</text></comment>
<story><title>California&apos;s skyrocketing housing costs, taxes prompt exodus of residents</title><url>http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_30037774/greener-pastures-beckon-some-beleaguered-residents</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>nugget</author><text>I spent most of my childhood in California.  Real estate is and always has been the number one industry in the state.  The majority of my childhood friends&amp;#x27; wealth seems to derive from houses their families bought in the early 80s or earlier.  Prices have benefited from a stable of one trick ponies - fixed low property taxes (prop 13), massive population growth (net domestic migration is now negative), job growth from the tech sector, the cultural shift to assortive mating of dual income white collar professionals, and the drop to near zero interest rates.  I thought for sure that prices had hit the mathematically inevitable plateau - and then came tens of billions in foreign capital fleeing China.  Is there another unpredictable one trick pony waiting in the wings?  At some point it seems like prices would have to hit a ceiling reflecting the fact that all future appreciation and demand has been pulled forward, at which time the great financial machine grinds down to a much slower pace, if not a halt.  It will be interesting to watch and see what happens.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>saenns</author><text>don&amp;#x27;t forget barriers to new construction such as NIMBY, zoning, environmental</text></comment>