<story><title>EU Referendum Results</title><url>http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>hencq</author><text>The University of East Anglia have a live blog as well that updates their predictions based on statistical model [0] by Dr Chris Hanretty. Predictions are based on how results differ from the prior model. The model is explained in more detail here [1].&lt;p&gt;[0] &lt;a href=&quot;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;23&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-allnighter&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;23&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-allnight...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;[1] &lt;a href=&quot;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;09&amp;#x2F;the-eu-referendum-what-to-expect-on-the-night&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;09&amp;#x2F;the-eu-referendum-what...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;Edit: They moved their blog to Medium because of the demand: &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;medium.com&amp;#x2F;@chrishanretty&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-rolling-forecasts-1a625014af55#.5jm66pitl&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;medium.com&amp;#x2F;@chrishanretty&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-rolling-fore...&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>joosters</author><text>Live betting from Betfair&amp;#x27;s betting exchange &amp;#x2F; prediction market:&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.betfair.com&amp;#x2F;exchange&amp;#x2F;plus&amp;#x2F;#&amp;#x2F;politics&amp;#x2F;market&amp;#x2F;1.118739911&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.betfair.com&amp;#x2F;exchange&amp;#x2F;plus&amp;#x2F;#&amp;#x2F;politics&amp;#x2F;market&amp;#x2F;1.11...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;Interesting because the odds react far quicker than any live blog I&amp;#x27;ve found, so a sudden swing means that there&amp;#x27;s just been a surprising result announced.</text></comment>
<story><title>EU Referendum Results</title><url>http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>hencq</author><text>The University of East Anglia have a live blog as well that updates their predictions based on statistical model [0] by Dr Chris Hanretty. Predictions are based on how results differ from the prior model. The model is explained in more detail here [1].&lt;p&gt;[0] &lt;a href=&quot;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;23&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-allnighter&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;23&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-allnight...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;[1] &lt;a href=&quot;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;09&amp;#x2F;the-eu-referendum-what-to-expect-on-the-night&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.ueapolitics.org&amp;#x2F;2016&amp;#x2F;06&amp;#x2F;09&amp;#x2F;the-eu-referendum-what...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;Edit: They moved their blog to Medium because of the demand: &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;medium.com&amp;#x2F;@chrishanretty&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-rolling-forecasts-1a625014af55#.5jm66pitl&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;medium.com&amp;#x2F;@chrishanretty&amp;#x2F;eu-referendum-rolling-fore...&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>excalibur</author><text>He&amp;#x27;s called it. According to this model there&amp;#x27;s a 100% cance of leaving.</text></comment>