<story><title>Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022?</title><text>- Use lists instead of long paragraphs.&lt;p&gt;- One prediction per list item.&lt;p&gt;Historical:&lt;p&gt;2021: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=25594068&lt;p&gt;2020: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=21802596&lt;p&gt;2019: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=18753859&lt;p&gt;2018: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=16007988&lt;p&gt;2017: none?&lt;p&gt;2016: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=10809767&lt;p&gt;2015: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=8822723&lt;p&gt;2014: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=6994370&lt;p&gt;2013: none?&lt;p&gt;2012: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=3395201&lt;p&gt;2011: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=1970023&lt;p&gt;2010: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=1025681</text></story><parent_chain><item><author>PedroBatista</author><text>It will be a tumultuous year, new covid variant will come out and governments will insist on the same playbook, a large part of the population will push back.&lt;p&gt;Money markets will go up and down surfing the good and bad news of Covid, but will cool off with the social cracks made by inflation and the timid “end of free” money. Bitcoin will go up but not reach 100k.&lt;p&gt;Tech’s gonna tech. Nothing profoundly new, the already big ones will continue to inflate and rake the money, sure they’ll get flak, fight a few big fines, make sure the right-to-repair plane lands of favorable ground. Their angst about the unknown future will increase but the bottom line will be great.&lt;p&gt;New hacks and leaks scandals, a roaring for a few weeks about it, nothing fundamental will change.&lt;p&gt;More “EVs surpassed ICE car sales” news, existing infrastructure will not be able to accommodate them and that will be mainstream news.&lt;p&gt;Shortages of things ( both legit and artificial) will continue and contribute to market instability and high prices.&lt;p&gt;When there’s instability among the people, the regimes tend to find a common enemy to save themselves. I fear the start of big wars in 2022, the west will pussy out because the cost is high and they aren’t willing to pay, the other parties know it. In the next years somebody’s gonna get too greedy and the cost will stop being too high.&lt;p&gt;Socially, people will realize things change but they mostly stay the same. They can change by refusing to not play the game, will they have the courage to live without the goodies they’ve learn to pursuit?</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>telxosser</author><text>I think there will be a scare over the next variant but two years in it seems like we are on track.&lt;p&gt;I think the pandemic will be declared over in 2023. In the US, with a pandemic end in view and the Fed raising rates the Fed&amp;#x27;s balance sheet will become a major narrative
&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;fred.stlouisfed.org&amp;#x2F;series&amp;#x2F;WALCL&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;fred.stlouisfed.org&amp;#x2F;series&amp;#x2F;WALCL&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;We will have to start thinking about the end of the &amp;quot;everything bubble&amp;quot; and the realization of the massive economic hang over from so much stimulus.&lt;p&gt;That is so 6 months from now at least though. Tonight we party like its 1999.</text></comment>
<story><title>Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022?</title><text>- Use lists instead of long paragraphs.&lt;p&gt;- One prediction per list item.&lt;p&gt;Historical:&lt;p&gt;2021: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=25594068&lt;p&gt;2020: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=21802596&lt;p&gt;2019: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=18753859&lt;p&gt;2018: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=16007988&lt;p&gt;2017: none?&lt;p&gt;2016: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=10809767&lt;p&gt;2015: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=8822723&lt;p&gt;2014: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=6994370&lt;p&gt;2013: none?&lt;p&gt;2012: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=3395201&lt;p&gt;2011: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=1970023&lt;p&gt;2010: https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&amp;#x2F;item?id=1025681</text></story><parent_chain><item><author>PedroBatista</author><text>It will be a tumultuous year, new covid variant will come out and governments will insist on the same playbook, a large part of the population will push back.&lt;p&gt;Money markets will go up and down surfing the good and bad news of Covid, but will cool off with the social cracks made by inflation and the timid “end of free” money. Bitcoin will go up but not reach 100k.&lt;p&gt;Tech’s gonna tech. Nothing profoundly new, the already big ones will continue to inflate and rake the money, sure they’ll get flak, fight a few big fines, make sure the right-to-repair plane lands of favorable ground. Their angst about the unknown future will increase but the bottom line will be great.&lt;p&gt;New hacks and leaks scandals, a roaring for a few weeks about it, nothing fundamental will change.&lt;p&gt;More “EVs surpassed ICE car sales” news, existing infrastructure will not be able to accommodate them and that will be mainstream news.&lt;p&gt;Shortages of things ( both legit and artificial) will continue and contribute to market instability and high prices.&lt;p&gt;When there’s instability among the people, the regimes tend to find a common enemy to save themselves. I fear the start of big wars in 2022, the west will pussy out because the cost is high and they aren’t willing to pay, the other parties know it. In the next years somebody’s gonna get too greedy and the cost will stop being too high.&lt;p&gt;Socially, people will realize things change but they mostly stay the same. They can change by refusing to not play the game, will they have the courage to live without the goodies they’ve learn to pursuit?</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>peakaboo</author><text>We are at a crossroad here. If people don&amp;#x27;t push back in 2022, we are going to live in a society that makes &amp;quot;papers please&amp;quot; look like heaven compared to what we have.&lt;p&gt;Please read this book if you doubt what I&amp;#x27;m saying. It&amp;#x27;s not a god damn conspiracy theory.&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.amazon.com&amp;#x2F;Real-Anthony-Fauci-Democracy-Childrens&amp;#x2F;dp&amp;#x2F;1510766804&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.amazon.com&amp;#x2F;Real-Anthony-Fauci-Democracy-Children...&lt;/a&gt;</text></comment>