<story><title>Trans-Pacific deteriorating, brace for shipping ‘tsunami’</title><url>https://www.freightwaves.com/news/flexport-trans-pacific-deteriorating-brace-for-shipping-tsunami</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>myself248</author><text>Heh. I was just about to ask if this was another term for the bullwhip effect, and the page actually links right to it.&lt;p&gt;I think the overall effect is that we all have to get used to things being scarce or spotty for a while, that&amp;#x27;s all. The era of perfect infinite next-day availability of everything has come to a pause. Be patient, adjust expectations, make do, and give the system time to recover.&lt;p&gt;And wherever possible, buy local, buy on-shore.</text></item><item><author>lifeisstillgood</author><text>We seem to be entering a global version of The Beer Game (&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;en.m.wikipedia.org&amp;#x2F;wiki&amp;#x2F;Beer_distribution_game&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;en.m.wikipedia.org&amp;#x2F;wiki&amp;#x2F;Beer_distribution_game&lt;/a&gt;).  The game is a training session on supply chain co-ordination designed to show effects of trying to order beer and bottles months ahead of time then demand changes etc.  It&amp;#x27;s mostly chaos&lt;p&gt;(I was speaking to someone who has seen their shipping from China to Europe quintuple - apparently all the containers stayed in Europe as no one wanted to send them back empty.)&lt;p&gt;The game is designed to show that &amp;quot;local&amp;quot; signals aren&amp;#x27;t always indicative of full system - the example being that retailers etc are stockpiling right now on-shore.  But this creates more demand than usual, slowing delivery. So the naive retailer will say &amp;quot;OMG it now takes 3 months and 2x price to get widgets, I had better order &lt;i&gt;4 months&lt;/i&gt; supply ... and so it goes - an infinite bug methodology.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>dv_dt</author><text>One problem is that many economists will look at the resulting price inflation and treat as money supply inflation, and call on less government spending and tighter lending when really we need time and serious covid treatments for the logistics to settle down.</text></comment>
<story><title>Trans-Pacific deteriorating, brace for shipping ‘tsunami’</title><url>https://www.freightwaves.com/news/flexport-trans-pacific-deteriorating-brace-for-shipping-tsunami</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>myself248</author><text>Heh. I was just about to ask if this was another term for the bullwhip effect, and the page actually links right to it.&lt;p&gt;I think the overall effect is that we all have to get used to things being scarce or spotty for a while, that&amp;#x27;s all. The era of perfect infinite next-day availability of everything has come to a pause. Be patient, adjust expectations, make do, and give the system time to recover.&lt;p&gt;And wherever possible, buy local, buy on-shore.</text></item><item><author>lifeisstillgood</author><text>We seem to be entering a global version of The Beer Game (&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;en.m.wikipedia.org&amp;#x2F;wiki&amp;#x2F;Beer_distribution_game&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;en.m.wikipedia.org&amp;#x2F;wiki&amp;#x2F;Beer_distribution_game&lt;/a&gt;).  The game is a training session on supply chain co-ordination designed to show effects of trying to order beer and bottles months ahead of time then demand changes etc.  It&amp;#x27;s mostly chaos&lt;p&gt;(I was speaking to someone who has seen their shipping from China to Europe quintuple - apparently all the containers stayed in Europe as no one wanted to send them back empty.)&lt;p&gt;The game is designed to show that &amp;quot;local&amp;quot; signals aren&amp;#x27;t always indicative of full system - the example being that retailers etc are stockpiling right now on-shore.  But this creates more demand than usual, slowing delivery. So the naive retailer will say &amp;quot;OMG it now takes 3 months and 2x price to get widgets, I had better order &lt;i&gt;4 months&lt;/i&gt; supply ... and so it goes - an infinite bug methodology.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>sneak</author><text>&amp;gt; &lt;i&gt;And wherever possible, buy local, buy on-shore.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;p&gt;Organic, local 7nm microprocessors only.</text></comment>