<story><title>The Cambrian Period of AI</title><url>https://lachlangray.blot.im/the-cambrian-period-of-ai</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>dudeinhawaii</author><text>Oh man, that&amp;#x27;s harsh but I have this fear as well. I&amp;#x27;m sure we all recall Full-Self Driving was going to be ready by 2019 or something and GM was going to have a fleet of self-driving vehicles. It turns out the last 10% takes 90% of the time&amp;#x2F;effort.&lt;p&gt;I think GPT-4 was enough of a leap over GPT3.5 that I&amp;#x27;m not sure we&amp;#x27;ve hit that point yet but it&amp;#x27;ll be interesting if the next GPT is less of a leap.</text></item><item><author>manojlds</author><text>Or is this the String Theory period of AI.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>moffkalast</author><text>I still think self driving was one of the worst places to start mass automation. It&amp;#x27;s a very high stakes scenario with human death on the line, and as such the law restricts innovation to near zero.&lt;p&gt;GPT-4 is already practical (I use it every day and it speeds up my workflow drastically in some cases), and most areas it&amp;#x27;ll assist in aren&amp;#x27;t regulated in any way. I don&amp;#x27;t see it making much of a dent in medical or law in the near term for similar reasons as self driving, but the rest ought to go way faster. It&amp;#x27;s not vaporware, shit works.</text></comment>
<story><title>The Cambrian Period of AI</title><url>https://lachlangray.blot.im/the-cambrian-period-of-ai</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>dudeinhawaii</author><text>Oh man, that&amp;#x27;s harsh but I have this fear as well. I&amp;#x27;m sure we all recall Full-Self Driving was going to be ready by 2019 or something and GM was going to have a fleet of self-driving vehicles. It turns out the last 10% takes 90% of the time&amp;#x2F;effort.&lt;p&gt;I think GPT-4 was enough of a leap over GPT3.5 that I&amp;#x27;m not sure we&amp;#x27;ve hit that point yet but it&amp;#x27;ll be interesting if the next GPT is less of a leap.</text></item><item><author>manojlds</author><text>Or is this the String Theory period of AI.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>akira2501</author><text>&amp;gt; It turns out the last 10% takes 90% of the time&amp;#x2F;effort.&lt;p&gt;It turns out that consumer protection around these &amp;quot;new technologies&amp;quot; is basically non-existent,  allowing corporations to charge people for fantastic sounding ideas that they know for a fact are not and are not going to be practical within the lifespan of the item they just sold you.&lt;p&gt;&amp;gt; I think GPT-4 was enough of a leap over GPT3.5&lt;p&gt;Compared to what,  though?  The cost of training?  The cost of running the model?  The accuracy of output?  The increase in real world utility?&lt;p&gt;It&amp;#x27;s the &amp;quot;Wild West Snake Oil&amp;quot; period of AI.</text></comment>