<story><title>Overnight Pizza and the Consistent Unreliability of Expert Guidelines</title><url>https://residentcontrarian.substack.com/p/overnight-pizza-and-the-consistent</url></story><parent_chain></parent_chain><comment><author>exmadscientist</author><text>Though the article reasonably paints the &amp;quot;conservative&amp;quot; (in the small-c&amp;#x2F;non-political usage) position as driven by &amp;quot;science&amp;quot; or at least fear of being &amp;quot;anti-science&amp;quot;, there is in fact nothing scientific about it. It&amp;#x27;s just a plain appeal to authority.&lt;p&gt;In fact the &amp;quot;hick&amp;quot; position is the scientific one. If someone eats unrefrigerated pizza ten times without any Adverse Events, then in fact that&amp;#x27;s an experiment providing (admittedly crude) scientific data that, in fact, the chance of an Adverse Event is no worse than ~10%. (Pedant note: quick, dirty, wrong calculation because the exact value doesn&amp;#x27;t matter here.)&lt;p&gt;Science, the process, really does work. Even if many of those who practice it don&amp;#x27;t look like TV or press release scientists. And even if many &amp;quot;Real Scientists&amp;quot; aren&amp;#x27;t really anything of the sort.</text></comment>
<story><title>Overnight Pizza and the Consistent Unreliability of Expert Guidelines</title><url>https://residentcontrarian.substack.com/p/overnight-pizza-and-the-consistent</url></story><parent_chain></parent_chain><comment><author>hprotagonist</author><text>An old friend of mine has a saying: &amp;quot;If you know why you&amp;#x27;re not supposed to stick a fork into a toaster to get a piece of stuck toast out, you&amp;#x27;re allowed to stick a fork into a toaster to get a piece of stuck toast out.&amp;quot;</text></comment>