<story><title>CA governor projecting 25.5M COVID19 cases in CA in 8 weeks [pdf]</title><url>https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/3.18.20-Letter-USNS-Mercy-Hospital-Ship.pdf</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>fyp</author><text>Why did we give up on containment?&lt;p&gt;China and South Korea have shown that it&amp;#x27;s possible. China capped out at only 100k infected for a population of 1.4 billion.&lt;p&gt;Aiming to let 56% of your population get infected of which more than 3% will die is NOT the solution.&lt;p&gt;China&amp;#x27;s strategy seems simple enough. Close off borders of a region, stamp out all existing cases with aggressive testing, then keep the region at 0 cases by requiring mandatory 2 week quarantine before letting anyone in. Do this one region at a time until your country is all clean. Now their biggest problem is teaching the rest of the world this strategy.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>jmcgough</author><text>We have an extreme wealth disparity with many having no savings and no social safety net. We can&amp;#x27;t force everyone to stay home for months, the economy would collapse.&lt;p&gt;China maintained draconian levels of control - citizens had cards with their risk level, and were tested frequently when they went to a public space. Have symptoms or some reason to believe you might be infected? You were quarantined from your family and not released until 4+ hours later. If they needed to be kept overnight, they had special hotels to quarantine people in. Citizens there actually listen to what the government tells them to do, and dissent is stamped out. In the states, a lot of people openly don&amp;#x27;t trust the government.&lt;p&gt;If we tried to control peoples&amp;#x27; lives like that, our citizens would riot. You&amp;#x27;d have armed citizens refuse to leave their homes.&lt;p&gt;They also did things that are unimaginable here - they built an entire hospital in 10 days. They have infrastructure and equipment from SARS that they were able to mobilize.&lt;p&gt;We aren&amp;#x27;t China, and we can&amp;#x27;t accomplish what they&amp;#x27;ve done. Not in eight weeks. We are not prepared for this.</text></comment>
<story><title>CA governor projecting 25.5M COVID19 cases in CA in 8 weeks [pdf]</title><url>https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/3.18.20-Letter-USNS-Mercy-Hospital-Ship.pdf</url></story><parent_chain><item><author>fyp</author><text>Why did we give up on containment?&lt;p&gt;China and South Korea have shown that it&amp;#x27;s possible. China capped out at only 100k infected for a population of 1.4 billion.&lt;p&gt;Aiming to let 56% of your population get infected of which more than 3% will die is NOT the solution.&lt;p&gt;China&amp;#x27;s strategy seems simple enough. Close off borders of a region, stamp out all existing cases with aggressive testing, then keep the region at 0 cases by requiring mandatory 2 week quarantine before letting anyone in. Do this one region at a time until your country is all clean. Now their biggest problem is teaching the rest of the world this strategy.</text></item></parent_chain><comment><author>icedistilled</author><text>&amp;gt;stamp out all existing cases with aggressive testing,&lt;p&gt;We still lack the capacity for even testing all the people showing significant symptoms. That is why we can&amp;#x27;t contain it.&lt;p&gt;The rejection of the WHO tests in order to belatedly come up with our own tests is a massive scandal.</text></comment>