receiver standings was a 2008 campaign in which he played in only 11 games (and still finished just outside the top 30, coming in at 35th). Similarly, his real-world production has yet to fall that low since his shortened 2008 season. He's ranked 20th or better in Reception Net Expected Points over the past five seasons, cracking the top 10 twice.

High Floor

For his current ADP to accurately reflect his value, Colston would need to have his worst season since that injury-shortened 2008, and thereâ€™s nothing in the numbers to suggest this to be likely. In fact, our 70-reception projection seems to be closer to Colstonâ€™s floor than his ceiling.

His last, and only, season with fewer than 70 receptions came in that short 2008 season. To get a betterlow numbers from Colston for him to fall under the 70 reception mark.

High Upside

In addition to this high floor, Colston boasts a fair amount of upside: he's a solid and often-used red zone target, and is poised to bounce back from his career-low touchdown total of five last season.

The Saints are one of the most pass-heavy red zone teams in the league, ranking fifth in red zone passing attempts last season, and Colston has always been a beneficiary of this.

Over the course of the last five seasons, per Pro Football Reference, Colston ranks seventh in red zone targets with 99, second in red zone receptions with 64, first in red zone receiving yards with 607, and seventh in red zone touchdowns with 29.

Thereâ€™s not much more you can