Seeking to improve understanding, communication, and cooperation between Mexico and the United States by promoting original research, encouraging public discussion, and proposing policy options for enhancing the bilateral relationship.

Tag: EdoMex

With one month to go before the most anticipated gubernatorial election of 2011 – in the State of Mexico (Edomex) – a number of important trends can be noted in both the parties and in public opinion. First, we should note that the PRI candidate, Eruviel Ávila Villegas, remains a long way ahead of his rivals in the opinion polls. According to a Reforma poll at the end of May, Ávila Villegas has 45 percent of popular support. Although campaigning is now firmly underway, Alejandro Encinas (PRD) has not been able to make a significant impact on public opinionjobs could be lost:

Millions of American jobs that appear unconnected to international trade—disproportionately lower-skilled and lower-wage jobs—would be at risk.

In a full trade war scenario, Washington State would be the worst affected, suffering a 5 percent private sector job loss relative to baseline. But employment would fall by more than 4 percent in a broad swath of states, including California, Connecticut, Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Utah, and Wisconsin. Twenty-nine counties across America would experience employment declines of 7 percent or more. In absolute terms, Los Angeles county in California would be the worst affected (176,000 jobs), followed by Cook county, Illinois (Chicago) with 91,000 and Harris county, Texas (Houston) with 89,000.

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