likelihood of scenario (2) increased implying we are in iv of 5 so one more more higher.. that said am short a bit (even though I hate trading wave 4's).. cause it seems that a small H&amp;S is working on H1 that could take us to support line of 3170-80..  negated above 3233 #SPX500 https://t.co/MRoIcz2XVL