The argument runs around "the politics of patronage" starting to run out of steam. A matter not discussed, and which probably deserves just as much attention is "the politics of blackmail". At least one high-ranking ANC member has pointed to many having "small skeletons" in their cupboards.
The fact that between 60% and 90% (depending on who makes the estimate) of members of the ANC NEC are hand-picked Zuma-appointees also helps to reinforce his position. No Zuma-recall can happen without concurrence of the NEC. Much as a rapid Zumexit may be desirable, it still seems a remote possibility before 2019.http://idis.uonbi.ac.ke