Jim - I believe you are far more correct then not in your analysis here.  I think we need to acknowledge that we - specifically meaning this Georgian 16th district - are in a very different and unpredictable/changing political and social environment now.  Reports today show Trump's approval rating at just 36% - a record low for this point in a presidency.  The district, as MSW points out, has remained solidly GOP for a long, long time.  Yet folks are so let down by Trump and his arrogant administration and staffers rampant with Russian interplay, and no jobs created in four months (the only gains being ones made for Wall Street), as well as the real facts about the ACA being illuminated by the disaster-in-making of the GOP healthcare plan......the frustrations will be expressed at the voting polls, if not now, certainly in 2018.  Thanks for your insights.