Besides using made-up data points, your thesis suffers from a failure to take real-world information into account. In cities across the country people go through some or all of these steps to ride rail transit and despite what you see as obstacles, ridership continues to increase, more lines are added to existing systems and suburban communities that don't have rail are asking for it. In Seattle, where ridership has exceeded EIS projections, residents just passed a ballot measure to dramatically expand their system to more neighborhoods and nearby communities.