The political problem is simple - the house majority cannot agree to major budget cuts and still hold together. The Senate just has to wait for conference committee time - when just a handful of house folks will have to go back to the membership with big cuts if they want an income tax or any other big senate piece. Then the screaming will begin in earnest.
However, they can all kick the can down the road at least one more time - and then next year the house will not have a choice but to cut. We all need to stop thinking that serious programmatic changes have been made in the major state operating budget sectors.  I'm not sure I care which way it goes - but the game strategy seems pretty well set.