You did not factor in a striking fact about recent voter behavior in Alberta, not to mention the overwhelming support of one particular party for 44 consecutive years.

The fact is that 19 months ago the Harper Conservatives saw their popular vote collapse throughout Canada garnering less than 38% in 8 provinces.

However, they increased their vote in only one province, Alberta.  The vote in Alberta increased by 3% from a whopping 57% in 2011 (highest in the country)  to 60% in 2015 despite running a despicable campaign, which blatantly played to a particular mentality.

Uncomfortable as it may be, this speak volumes about Alberta politics.

The next Alberta general election is going to be very difficult for the NDP.

It is going to take some amazing effort by both the NDP and Alberta voters to drag Alberta into modernity.