You're correct on all points.

I would add that Alberta has one of the youngest populations, especially in Calgary and Edmonton, in Canada because of the great influx from the rest of Canada and, while the PCs have a share of their support, Wild Rose (or a new merged Party reflecting Wild Rose values) will make little headway with these new urban Albertans.

If Smith and Prentice couldn't pull such a merger off so recently, why do we think a polarizing figure like Jason Kenney will have greater success?