I am not optimistic this will pass.

Right now it stands to reason that the GOP has 48 votes.  Need they 2 more from the following pool of 4:

Paul-Going to be VERY difficult to get him to switch from no to yes.  What unusual is that I lack an understanding in his reasoning since this goes farther, spending-reduction wise, than the skinny repeal bill he voted in favor of in late July.  Not sure what, other than false principle, he is standing on.

McCain-Truly 50/50.  His issues, which sunk the skinny repeal bill earlier this summer, remain:  this is not going through regular order.  Only difference is that the author is his best friend (Graham).

Collins-Can she just officially switch parties already?  I have an easier time buying Manchin as a conservative than I do her.  Unless PP defunding is taken off, I do not see how or why she would vote in favor (and even if PP defunding was decoupled, I STILL dont see why she would vote for it).

Murkowski:  See Collins.

Call me doubtful.