Still singing the same old song? No way the conservatives loose the next election unless they swing to the remain side. The GBP has no doubt weakened (though not to as low as it has been while in the EU). If it has collapsed what do you call what happened to the CAD? Do you really think the Scotts are dumb enough to leave the UK when no EU membership option exists? As to Northern Ireland, votes in the past have overwhelmingly been to stay part of the UK though reunification would solve a border issue.