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1
00:00:17,750 --> 00:00:21,350
So let's again go back to chapter number one. Last

2
00:00:21,350 --> 00:00:25,730
time we discussed chapter one, production and data

3
00:00:25,730 --> 00:00:32,390
collection. And I think we described why learning

4
00:00:32,390 --> 00:00:36,510
statistics distinguish between some of these

5
00:00:36,510 --> 00:00:43,810
topics. And also we explained in details types of

6
00:00:43,810 --> 00:00:47,010
statistics and we mentioned that statistics mainly

7
00:00:47,010 --> 00:00:52,430
has two types either descriptive statistics which

8
00:00:52,430 --> 00:00:56,810
means collecting summarizing and obtaining data

9
00:00:56,810 --> 00:00:59,910
and other type of statistics is called inferential

10
00:00:59,910 --> 00:01:04,430
statistics or statistical inference and this type

11
00:01:04,430 --> 00:01:11,070
of statistics we can draw drawing conclusions and

12
00:01:11,070 --> 00:01:14,090
making decision concerning a population based only

13
00:01:14,090 --> 00:01:17,510
on a sample. That means we have a sample and

14
00:01:17,510 --> 00:01:20,970
sample is just a subset of the population or the

15
00:01:20,970 --> 00:01:26,230
portion of the population and we use the data from

16
00:01:26,230 --> 00:01:29,130
that sample to make some conclusion about the

17
00:01:29,130 --> 00:01:32,390
entire population. This type of statistic is

18
00:01:32,390 --> 00:01:34,710
called inferential statistics. Later, Inshallah,

19
00:01:34,750 --> 00:01:37,710
we'll talk in details about inferential statistics

20
00:01:37,710 --> 00:01:45,290
that will start in Chapter 7. Also, we gave some

21
00:01:45,290 --> 00:01:50,630
definitions for variables, data, and we

22
00:01:50,630 --> 00:01:53,510
distinguished between population and sample. And

23
00:01:53,510 --> 00:01:56,630
we know that the population consists of all items

24
00:01:56,630 --> 00:02:00,270
or individuals about which you want to draw a

25
00:02:00,270 --> 00:02:05,770
conclusion. But in some cases, it's very hard to

26
00:02:05,770 --> 00:02:07,750
talk about the population or the entire

27
00:02:07,750 --> 00:02:13,340
population, so we can select a sample. A sample is

28
00:02:13,340 --> 00:02:18,480
just a portion or subset of the entire population.

29
00:02:19,060 --> 00:02:21,860
So we know now the definition of population and

30
00:02:21,860 --> 00:02:25,360
sample. The other two types, parameter and

31
00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,860
statistics. Parameter is a numerical measure that

32
00:02:28,860 --> 00:02:32,300
describes characteristics of a population, while

33
00:02:32,300 --> 00:02:36,000
on the other hand, a sample, a statistic is just

34
00:02:36,430 --> 00:02:39,730
numerical measures that describe characteristic of

35
00:02:39,730 --> 00:02:44,930
a sample. So parameter is computed from the

36
00:02:44,930 --> 00:02:48,930
population while statistic is computed from the

37
00:02:48,930 --> 00:02:54,030
sample. I think we stopped at this point. Why

38
00:02:54,030 --> 00:02:56,770
collect data? I mean what are the reasons for

39
00:02:59,580 --> 00:03:01,980
One of these reasons, for example, a marketing

40
00:03:01,980 --> 00:03:04,660
research analyst needs to assess the effectiveness

41
00:03:04,660 --> 00:03:07,700
of a new television advertisement. For example,

42
00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:13,380
suppose you are a manager and you want to increase

43
00:03:13,380 --> 00:03:18,060
your salaries or your sales. Now, sales may be

44
00:03:18,060 --> 00:03:23,380
affected by advertising. So I mean, if you spend

45
00:03:23,380 --> 00:03:26,320
more on advertising, it means your sales becomes

46
00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,740
larger and larger. So you want to know if this

47
00:03:29,740 --> 00:03:34,160
variable, I mean if advertisement is an effective

48
00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:38,900
variable that maybe increase your sales. So that's

49
00:03:38,900 --> 00:03:43,900
one of the reasons why we use data. The other one,

50
00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,880
for example, pharmaceutical manufacturers needs to

51
00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,800
determine whether a new drug is more effective

52
00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:53,240
than those currently used. For example, for a

53
00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:59,330
headache, we use drug A. Now, a new drug is

54
00:03:59,330 --> 00:04:04,510
produced and you want to see if this new drug is

55
00:04:04,510 --> 00:04:10,090
more effective than drug A that I mean if headache

56
00:04:10,090 --> 00:04:13,410
suppose for example is removed after three days by

57
00:04:13,410 --> 00:04:20,490
using drug A now the question is does B is more

58
00:04:20,490 --> 00:04:23,410
effective it means it reduces your headache in

59
00:04:23,410 --> 00:04:26,070
fewer than three days I mean maybe in two days

60
00:04:26,510 --> 00:04:30,810
That means a drug B is more effective than a drug

61
00:04:30,810 --> 00:04:34,510
A. So we want to know the difference between these

62
00:04:34,510 --> 00:04:37,250
two drugs. I mean, we have two samples. Some

63
00:04:37,250 --> 00:04:40,810
people used drug A and the other used drug B. And

64
00:04:40,810 --> 00:04:43,190
we want to see if there is a significant

65
00:04:43,190 --> 00:04:47,690
difference between the times that is used to

66
00:04:47,690 --> 00:04:51,150
reduce the headache. So that's one of the reasons

67
00:04:51,150 --> 00:04:55,260
why we use statistics. Sometimes an operation

68
00:04:55,260 --> 00:04:58,500
manager wants to monitor manufacturing process to

69
00:04:58,500 --> 00:05:00,720
find out whether the quality of a product being

70
00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,840
manufactured is conforming to a company's

71
00:05:02,840 --> 00:05:05,700
standards. Do you know what the meaning of

72
00:05:05,700 --> 00:05:06,520
company's standards?

73
00:05:09,900 --> 00:05:15,320
The regulations of the firm itself. Another

74
00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:21,020
example, suppose here in the school last year, we

75
00:05:21,020 --> 00:05:25,150
teach statistics by using method A. traditional

76
00:05:25,150 --> 00:05:29,350
method. This year we developed a new method for

77
00:05:29,350 --> 00:05:32,370
teaching and our goal is to see if the new method

78
00:05:32,370 --> 00:05:36,510
is better than method A which was used in last

79
00:05:36,510 --> 00:05:38,910
year. So we want to see if there is a big

80
00:05:38,910 --> 00:05:42,410
difference between scores or the average scores

81
00:05:42,410 --> 00:05:47,310
last year and this year. The same you can do for

82
00:05:47,310 --> 00:05:52,350
your weight. Suppose there are 20 students in this

83
00:05:52,350 --> 00:05:56,960
class and their weights are high. And our goal is

84
00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:04,280
to reduce their weights. Suppose they

85
00:06:04,280 --> 00:06:09,640
have a regime or diet for three months or

86
00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,140
exercise, whatever it is, then after three months,

87
00:06:12,220 --> 00:06:17,060
we have new weights for these persons. And we want

88
00:06:17,060 --> 00:06:19,840
to see if the diet is effective. I mean, if the

89
00:06:19,840 --> 00:06:24,120
average weight was greater than or smaller than

90
00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:28,600
before diet. Is it clear? So there are many, many

91
00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,920
reasons behind using statistics and collecting

92
00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:37,500
data. Now, what are the sources of data? Since

93
00:06:37,500 --> 00:06:41,840
statistics mainly, first step, we have to collect

94
00:06:41,840 --> 00:06:44,120
data. Now, what are the sources of the data?

95
00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,420
Generally speaking, there are two sources. One is

96
00:06:48,420 --> 00:06:52,430
called The primary sources and the others

97
00:06:52,430 --> 00:06:55,770
secondary sources. What do you think is the

98
00:06:55,770 --> 00:06:57,830
difference between these two? I mean, what's the

99
00:06:57,830 --> 00:07:02,730
difference between primary and secondary sources?

100
00:07:03,510 --> 00:07:07,250
The primary source is the collector of the data.

101
00:07:07,670 --> 00:07:11,550
He is the analyzer. He analyzes it. And then the

102
00:07:11,550 --> 00:07:14,230
secondary, who collects the data, isn't there.

103
00:07:16,030 --> 00:07:18,910
That's correct. So the primary sources means the

104
00:07:18,910 --> 00:07:22,490
researcher by himself. He should collect the data,

105
00:07:23,890 --> 00:07:27,750
then he can use the data to do his analysis.

106
00:07:28,310 --> 00:07:31,550
That's for the primary. Now, the primary could be

107
00:07:31,550 --> 00:07:35,230
data from political survey. You can distribute

108
00:07:35,230 --> 00:07:38,750
questionnaire, for example, data collected from an

109
00:07:38,750 --> 00:07:42,530
experiment. I mean maybe control or experimental

110
00:07:42,530 --> 00:07:45,730
groups. We have two groups, maybe healthy people

111
00:07:45,730 --> 00:07:48,490
and patient people. So that's experimental group.

112
00:07:49,010 --> 00:07:53,390
Or observed data. That's the primary sources.

113
00:07:53,870 --> 00:07:56,450
Secondary sources, the person performing data

114
00:07:56,450 --> 00:08:00,310
analysis is not the data collector. So he obtained

115
00:08:00,310 --> 00:08:03,880
the data from other sources. For example, it could

116
00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:07,140
be analyzing census data or for example, examining

117
00:08:07,140 --> 00:08:10,160
data from print journals or data published on the

118
00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:14,780
internet. So maybe he goes to the Ministry of

119
00:08:14,780 --> 00:08:18,820
Education and he can get some data. So the data is

120
00:08:18,820 --> 00:08:22,520
already there and he just used the data to do some

121
00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,540
analysis. So that's the difference between a

122
00:08:25,540 --> 00:08:29,420
primary and secondary sources. So primary, the

123
00:08:29,420 --> 00:08:33,650
researcher himself, should collect the data by

124
00:08:33,650 --> 00:08:35,590
using one of the tools, either survey,

125
00:08:36,110 --> 00:08:39,050
questionnaire, experiment, and so on. But

126
00:08:39,050 --> 00:08:41,450
secondary, you can use the data that is published

127
00:08:41,450 --> 00:08:44,510
in the internet, for example, in the books, in

128
00:08:44,510 --> 00:08:48,250
governments and NGOs and so on. So these are the

129
00:08:48,250 --> 00:08:53,590
two sources of data. Sources of data fall into

130
00:08:53,590 --> 00:08:57,610
four categories. Number one, data distributed by

131
00:08:57,610 --> 00:09:01,190
an organization or an individual. So that's

132
00:09:01,190 --> 00:09:06,170
secondary source. A design experiment is primary

133
00:09:06,170 --> 00:09:10,350
because you have to design the experiment, a

134
00:09:10,350 --> 00:09:14,610
survey. It's also primary. An observational study

135
00:09:14,610 --> 00:09:17,590
is also a primary source. So you have to

136
00:09:17,590 --> 00:09:21,410
distinguish between a primary and secondary

137
00:09:21,410 --> 00:09:28,810
sources. Any question? Comments? Next.

138
00:09:31,460 --> 00:09:34,540
We'll talk a little bit about types of variables.

139
00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,580
In general, there are two types of variables. One

140
00:09:37,580 --> 00:09:40,760
is called categorical variables or qualitative

141
00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,160
variables, and the other one is called numerical

142
00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:46,520
or quantitative variables. Now, for example, if I

143
00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:50,560
ask you, what's

144
00:09:50,560 --> 00:09:55,100
your favorite color? You may say white, black,

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red, and so on. What's your marital status? Maybe

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married or unmarried, and so on. Gender, male,

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either male or female, and so on. So this type of

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variable is called qualitative variables. So

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qualitative variables have values that can only be

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placed into categories, such as, for example, yes

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or no. For example, do you like orange?

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The answer is either yes or no. Do you like

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candidate A, for example, whatever his party is?

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Do you like it? Either yes or no, and so on. As I

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mentioned before, gender, marital status, race,

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religions, these are examples of qualitative or

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categorical variables. The other type of variable

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which is commonly used is called numerical or

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quantitative data. Quantitative variables have

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values that represent quantities. For example, if

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I ask you, what's your age? My age is 20 years old

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or 18 years old. What's your weight? Income.

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Height? Temperature? Income. So it's a number.

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Weight, maybe my weight is 70 kilograms. So

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weight, age, height, salary, income, number of

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students, number of phone calls you received on

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your cell phone during one hour, number of

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accidents happened in street and so on. So that's

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the difference between numerical variables and

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qualitative variables.

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Anyone of you just give me one example of

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qualitative and quantitative variables. Another

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examples. Just give me one example for qualitative

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data.

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Qualitative or quantitative.

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Political party, either party A or party B. So

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suppose there are two parties, so I like party A,

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she likes party B and so on. So party in this case

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is qualitative variable, another one.

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So types of courses, maybe business, economics,

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administration, and so on. So types of courses.

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Another example for quantitative variable or

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numerical variables.

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So production is a numerical variable. Another

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example for quantitative.

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Is that produced by this company? Number of cell

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phones, maybe 20, 17, and so on. Any question?

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Next. So generally speaking, types of data, data

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has two types, categorical and numerical data. As

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we mentioned, marital status, political party, eye

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color, and so on. These are examples of

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categorical variables. On the other hand, a

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numerical variable can be split or divided into

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two parts. One is called discrete and the other is

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continuous, and we have to distinguish between

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these two. For example, Number of students in this

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class, you can say there are 60 or 50 students in

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this class. You cannot say there are 50.5

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students.

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distribution. That will be later, inshallah. As we

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mentioned last time, at the end of each chapter,

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there is a section or sections, sometimes there

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are two sections, talks about computer programs.

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How can we use computer programs in order to

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analyze the data? And as we mentioned last time,

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you should take a course on that. It's called

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Computer and Data Analysis or SPSS course. So we

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are going to skip the computer programs used for

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any chapters in this book. And that's the end of

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chapter number three. Any questions?

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Let's move quickly on chapter three.

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Chapter three maybe is the easiest chapter in this

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book. It's straightforward. We have some formulas

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to compute some statistical measures. And we

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should know how can we calculate these measures

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and what are the meaning of your results. So

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chapter three talks about numerical descriptive

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measures. In this chapter, you will learn, number

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one, describe the probabilities of central

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tendency, variation, and shape in numerical data.

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In this lecture, we'll talk in more details about

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some of the center tendency measures. Later, we'll

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talk about the variation, or spread, or

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dispersion, and the shape in numerical data. So

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that's part number one. We have to know something

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about center tendency, variation, and the shape of

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the data we have. to calculate descriptive summary

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measures for a population. So we have to calculate

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these measures for the sample. And if we have the

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entire population, we can compute these measures

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also for that population. Then I will introduce in

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more details about something called Paxiplot. How

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00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:06,660
can we construct and interpret a Paxiplot? That's,

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inshallah, next time on Tuesday. Finally, we'll

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see how can we calculate the covariance and

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coefficient of variation and coefficient, I'm

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sorry, coefficient of correlation. This topic

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we'll introduce in more details in chapter 11

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later on. So just I will give some brief

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notation about coefficient of correlation, how can

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we compute the correlation coefficient? What's the

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meaning of your result? And later in chapter 11,

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we'll talk in more details about correlation and

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regression. So these are the objectives of this

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chapter. There are some basic definitions before

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we start. One is called central tendency. What do

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you mean by central tendency? Central tendency is

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the extent to which all data value group around a

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typical or numerical or central value. So we are

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looking for a point that in the center, I mean,

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the data points are gathered or collected around a

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middle point, and that middle point is called the

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central tendency. And the question is, how can we

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measure that value? We'll talk in details about

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mean, median, and mode in a few minutes. So the

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central tendency, in this case, the data values

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grouped around a typical or central value. Is it

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clear? So we have data set, large data set. Then

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these points are gathered or grouped around a

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middle point, and this point is called central

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tendency, and it can be measured by using mean,

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which is the most common one, median and the mode.

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Next is the variation, which is the amount of

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dispersion. Variation is the amount of dispersion

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or scattering of values. And we'll use, for

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example, range, variance or standard deviation in

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order to compute the variation. Finally, We have

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data, and my question is, what's the shape of the

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data? So the shape is the pattern of distribution

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of values from the lowest value to the highest. So

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that's the three definitions we need to know

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before we start. So we'll start with the easiest

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one, measures of central tendency. As I mentioned,

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there are three measures: mean, median, and mode. And our

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goal or we have two goals actually. We have to

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know how to compute these measures. Number two,

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which one is better? The mean or the median or the

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mode?

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So the mean sometimes called the arithmetic mean.

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Or in general, just say the mean. So often we use

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the mean. And the mean is just sum

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00:21:26,860 --> 00:21:33,220
of the values divided by the sample size. So it's

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straightforward. We have, for example, three data

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points. And your goal is to find the average or

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the mean of these points. They mean it's just some

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of these values divided by the sample size. So for

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example, if we have a data X1, X2, X3 up to Xn. So

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the average is denoted by X bar. This one is

312
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pronounced as X bar and X bar is just sum of Xi.

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It is summation, you know this symbol, summation

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00:22:08,250 --> 00:22:11,350
of sigma, summation of Xi and I goes from one to

315
00:22:11,350 --> 00:22:14,490
N. divided by N which is the total number of

316
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observations or the sample size. So it means X1

317
00:22:19,710 --> 00:22:23,290
plus X2 all the way up to XN divided by N gives

318
00:22:23,290 --> 00:22:28,530
the mean or the arithmetic mean. So X bar is the

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average which is the sum of values divided by the

320
00:22:32,690 --> 00:22:36,270
number of observations. So that's the first

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00:22:36,270 --> 00:22:38,830
definition. For example,

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00:22:42,180 --> 00:22:46,920
So again, the mean is the most common measure of

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center tendency. Number two, the definition of the

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00:22:51,780 --> 00:22:55,440
mean. Sum of values divided by the number of

325
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values. That means the mean takes all the values,

326
00:23:04,140 --> 00:23:09,740
then divided by N. it makes sense that the mean is

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affected by extreme values or outliers. I mean, if

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the data has outliers or extreme values, I mean by

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extreme values, large or very, very large values

330
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and small, small values. Large values or small

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values are extreme values. Since the mean takes

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all these values and sums all together, doesn't

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divide by n, that means The mean is affected by

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00:23:38,550 --> 00:23:41,350
outliers or by extreme values. For example,

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imagine we have simple data as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.

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Simple example. Now, what's the mean? The mean is

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just add these values, then divide by the total

338
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number of observations. In this case, the sum of

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these is 15. N is five because there are five

340
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observations. So X bar is 15 divided by 5, which

341
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:10,240
is 3. So straightforward. Now imagine instead of

342
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5, this number 5, we have a 10. Now 10, there is a

343
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gap between 4, which is the second largest, and

344
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:25,600
the maximum, which is 10. Now if we add these

345
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values, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 10, then divide by 5, the

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mean will be 4. If you see here, we just added one

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value, or I mean, we replaced five by 10, and the

348
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mean changed dramatically from three to four.

349
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There is big change between three and four, around

350
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25% more. So that means outliers or extreme values

351
00:24:55,560 --> 00:25:01,200
affected the mean. So take this information in

352
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,560
your mind because later we'll talk a little bit

353
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:07,360
about another one. So the mean is affected by

354
00:25:07,360 --> 00:25:13,100
extreme values. Imagine another example. Suppose

355
00:25:13,100 --> 00:25:20,060
we have data from 1 to 9. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9.

356
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:26,690
Now the mean of these values, some divide by n. If

357
00:25:26,690 --> 00:25:31,970
you sum 1 through 9, summation is 45. Divide by 9,

358
00:25:32,510 --> 00:25:36,230
which is 5. So the sum of these values divided by

359
00:25:36,230 --> 00:25:41,590
N gives the average, so the average is 5. Now

360
00:25:41,590 --> 00:25:46,670
suppose we add 100 to the end of this data. So the

361
00:25:46,670 --> 00:25:53,670
sum will be 145 divided by 10, that's 14.5. Now

362
00:25:53,670 --> 00:25:58,850
the mean was 5. Then after we added 100, it

363
00:25:58,850 --> 00:26:05,470
becomes 14.5. Imagine the mean was 5, it changed

364
00:26:05,470 --> 00:26:11,650
to 14.5. It means around three times. So that

365
00:26:11,650 --> 00:26:17,510
means outliers affect the mean much more than the

366
00:26:17,510 --> 00:26:19,890
other one. We'll talk a little later about it,

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00:26:19,990 --> 00:26:23,950
which is the median. So keep in mind outliers

368
00:26:25,290 --> 00:26:34,790
affected the mean in this case. Any question? Is

369
00:26:34,790 --> 00:26:41,590
it clear? Yes. So, one more time. The mean is

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00:26:41,590 --> 00:26:46,990
affected by extreme values. So that's for the

371
00:26:46,990 --> 00:26:50,910
mean. The other measure of center tendency is

372
00:26:50,910 --> 00:26:57,600
called the median. Now, what's the median? What's

373
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,760
the definition of the median from your previous

374
00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:05,880
studies? What's the median? I mean, what's the

375
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,360
definition of the median? Now the middle value,

376
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,980
that's correct, but after we arrange the data from

377
00:27:12,980 --> 00:27:17,040
smallest to largest or largest to smallest, so we

378
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:20,160
should arrange the data, then we can figure out

379
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:24,280
the median. So the median is the middle point, but

380
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,060
after we arrange the data from smallest to largest

381
00:27:27,060 --> 00:27:30,030
or vice versa. So that's the definition of the

382
00:27:30,030 --> 00:27:33,930
median. So in an ordered array, so we have to have

383
00:27:33,930 --> 00:27:39,230
an order array, the median is the middle number. The

384
00:27:39,230 --> 00:27:42,810
middle number means 50 percent of the data below

385
00:27:42,810 --> 00:27:50,370
and 50 percent above the median because it's

386
00:27:50,370 --> 00:27:52,190
called the median, the value in the middle after

387
00:27:52,190 --> 00:27:55,990
you arrange the data from smallest to largest.

388
00:28:00,130 --> 00:28:02,770
Suppose I again go back to the previous example

389
00:28:02,770 --> 00:28:09,690
when we have data 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Now for this

390
00:28:09,690 --> 00:28:14,210
specific example as we did before, now the data is

391
00:28:14,210 --> 00:28:18,670
already ordered. The value in the middle is 3

392
00:28:18,670 --> 00:28:22,330
because there are two values.

393
00:28:24,860 --> 00:28:27,300
And also there are the same number of observations

394
00:28:27,300 --> 00:28:33,140
above it. So 3 is the median. Now again imagine we

395
00:28:33,140 --> 00:28:37,320
replace 5, which is the maximum value, by another

396
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:42,140
one which is extreme one, for example 10. In this

397
00:28:42,140 --> 00:28:47,600
case, the median is still 3. Because the median is

398
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,380
just the value of the middle after you arrange the

399
00:28:49,380 --> 00:28:53,900
data. So it doesn't matter what is the highest or

400
00:28:53,900 --> 00:28:58,860
the maximum value is, the median in this case is

401
00:28:58,860 --> 00:29:03,700
three. It doesn't change. That means the median is

402
00:29:03,700 --> 00:29:08,020
not affected by extreme values. Or to be more

403
00:29:08,020 --> 00:29:12,910
precise, we can say that The median is affected by

404
00:29:12,910 --> 00:29:18,990
outliers, but not the same as the mean. So affect

405
00:29:18,990 --> 00:29:23,610
the mean much more than the median. I mean, you

406
00:29:23,610 --> 00:29:26,550
cannot say for this example, yes, the median is

407
00:29:26,550 --> 00:29:29,310
not affected because the median was three, it

408
00:29:29,310 --> 00:29:33,590
becomes three. But in another examples, there is

409
00:29:33,590 --> 00:29:36,750
small difference between all.

410
00:29:40,770 --> 00:29:44,850
Extreme values affected the mean much more than

411
00:29:44,850 --> 00:29:51,450
the median. If the dataset has

445
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:15,820
need a rule that locates the median. The location

446
00:32:15,820 --> 00:32:18,020
of the median when the values are in numerical

447
00:32:18,020 --> 00:32:23,580
order from smallest to largest is N plus one

448
00:32:23,580 --> 00:32:26,140
divided by two. That's the position of the median.

449
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,860
If we go back a little bit to the previous

450
00:32:28,860 --> 00:32:34,980
example, here N was five. So the location was

451
00:32:34,980 --> 00:32:40,000
number three, because n plus one divided by two,

452
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:43,120
five plus one divided by two is three. So location

453
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:47,340
number three is the median. Location number one is

454
00:32:47,340 --> 00:32:50,840
one, in this case, then two, then three. So

455
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:53,740
location number three is three. But maybe this

456
00:32:53,740 --> 00:32:57,280
number is not three, and other value maybe 3.1 or

457
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:02,440
3.2. But the location is number three. Is it

458
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:08,470
clear? So that's the location. If it is odd, you

459
00:33:08,470 --> 00:33:13,270
mean by odd number, five, seven and so on. So if

460
00:33:13,270 --> 00:33:17,090
the number of values is odd, the median is the

461
00:33:17,090 --> 00:33:21,210
middle number. Now let's imagine if we have even

462
00:33:21,210 --> 00:33:24,570
number of observations. For example, we have one,

463
00:33:24,610 --> 00:33:28,270
two, three, four, five and six. So imagine numbers

464
00:33:28,270 --> 00:33:32,390
from one up to six. What's the median? Now three

465
00:33:32,390 --> 00:33:35,610
is not the median because there are two

466
00:33:35,610 --> 00:33:43,390
observations below three. And three above it. And

467
00:33:43,390 --> 00:33:46,210
four is not the median because three observations

468
00:33:46,210 --> 00:33:53,290
below, two above. So three and four is the middle

469
00:33:53,290 --> 00:33:56,870
value. So just take the average of two middle

470
00:33:56,870 --> 00:34:01,570
points, And that will be the median. So if n is

471
00:34:01,570 --> 00:34:07,990
even, you have to locate two middle points. For

472
00:34:07,990 --> 00:34:10,310
example, n over 2, in this case, we have six

473
00:34:10,310 --> 00:34:13,910
observations. So divide by 2, not n plus 1 divided

474
00:34:13,910 --> 00:34:17,970
by 2, just n over 2. So n over 2 is 3. So place

475
00:34:17,970 --> 00:34:22,930
number 3, and the next one, place number 4, these

476
00:34:22,930 --> 00:34:25,930
are the two middle points. Take the average of

477
00:34:25,930 --> 00:34:32,300
these values, then that's your median. So if N is

478
00:34:32,300 --> 00:34:37,080
even, you have to be careful. You have to find two

479
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:40,860
middle points and just take the average of these

480
00:34:40,860 --> 00:34:45,100
two. So if N is even, the median is the average of

481
00:34:45,100 --> 00:34:49,200
the two middle numbers. Keep in mind, when we are

482
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:54,600
saying N plus 2, N plus 2 is just the position of

483
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:58,670
the median, not the value, location. Not the

484
00:34:58,670 --> 00:35:07,770
value. Is it clear? Any question? So location is

485
00:35:07,770 --> 00:35:10,150
not the value. Location is just the place or the

486
00:35:10,150 --> 00:35:13,450
position of the medium. If N is odd, the position

487
00:35:13,450 --> 00:35:17,710
is N plus one divided by two. If N is even, the

488
00:35:17,710 --> 00:35:20,870
positions of the two middle points are N over two

489
00:35:20,870 --> 00:35:23,090
and the next term or the next point.

490
00:35:28,390 --> 00:35:32,510
Last measure of center tendency is called the

491
00:35:32,510 --> 00:35:32,750
mode.

492
00:35:35,890 --> 00:35:39,010
The definition of the mode, the mode is the most

493
00:35:39,010 --> 00:35:44,250
frequent value. So sometimes the mode exists,

494
00:35:45,230 --> 00:35:48,570
sometimes the mode does not exist. Or sometimes

495
00:35:48,570 --> 00:35:53,730
there is only one mode, in other cases maybe there

496
00:35:53,730 --> 00:35:58,730
are several modes. So a value that occurs most

497
00:35:58,730 --> 00:36:03,010
often is called the mode. The mode is not affected

498
00:36:03,010 --> 00:36:07,610
by extreme values. It can be used for either

499
00:36:07,610 --> 00:36:11,190
numerical or categorical data. And that's the

500
00:36:11,190 --> 00:36:13,910
difference between mean and median and the mode.

501
00:36:14,590 --> 00:36:16,930
Mean and median is used just for numerical data.

502
00:36:17,430 --> 00:36:21,270
Here, the mode can be used for both, categorical

503
00:36:21,270 --> 00:36:25,610
and numerical data. Sometimes, as I mentioned,

504
00:36:25,930 --> 00:36:29,570
there may be no mode or the mode does not exist.

505
00:36:30,130 --> 00:36:34,190
In other cases, there may be several events. So

506
00:36:34,190 --> 00:36:36,870
the mode is the value that has the most frequent.

507
00:36:37,490 --> 00:36:43,650
For example, if you look at this data, one is

508
00:36:43,650 --> 00:36:48,370
repeated once, three is the same one time, five is

509
00:36:48,370 --> 00:36:52,290
repeated twice. seven is one nine is repeated

510
00:36:52,290 --> 00:36:57,330
three times and so on so in this case nine is the

511
00:36:57,330 --> 00:37:00,290
mode because the mode again is the most frequent

512
00:37:00,290 --> 00:37:05,030
value on

513
00:37:05,030 --> 00:37:08,550
the right side there are some values zero one two

514
00:37:08,550 --> 00:37:12,830
three up to six now each one is repeated once so

515
00:37:12,830 --> 00:37:15,350
in this case the mode does not exist I mean there

516
00:37:15,350 --> 00:37:22,310
is no mode So generally speaking, the mode is the

517
00:37:22,310 --> 00:37:26,310
value that you care most often. It can be used for

518
00:37:26,310 --> 00:37:29,790
numerical or categorical data, not affected by

519
00:37:29,790 --> 00:37:32,970
extreme values or outliers. Sometimes there is

520
00:37:32,970 --> 00:37:36,150
only one mode as this example. Sometimes the mode

521
00:37:36,150 --> 00:37:40,390
does not exist. Or sometimes there are several

522
00:37:40,390 --> 00:37:45,190
modes. And so that's the definitions for mean,

523
00:37:46,430 --> 00:37:52,540
median, and the mode. I will give just a numerical

524
00:37:52,540 --> 00:37:56,380
example to know how can we compute these measures.

525
00:37:57,420 --> 00:38:01,540
This data, simple data, just for illustration, we

526
00:38:01,540 --> 00:38:07,580
have house prices. We have five data points, $2

527
00:38:07,580 --> 00:38:10,940
million. This is the price of house A, for

528
00:38:10,940 --> 00:38:15,880
example. House B price is 500,000. The other one

529
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,120
is 300,000. And two houses have the same price as

530
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:25,850
100,000. Now, just to compute the mean, add these

531
00:38:25,850 --> 00:38:29,350
values or sum these values, which is three

532
00:38:29,350 --> 00:38:34,030
million, divide by number of houses here, there

533
00:38:34,030 --> 00:38:38,550
are five houses, so just three thousand divided by

534
00:38:38,550 --> 00:38:44,170
five, six hundred thousand. The median, the value

535
00:38:44,170 --> 00:38:46,150
in the median, after you arrange the data from

536
00:38:46,150 --> 00:38:51,470
smallest to largest, Or largest smallest. This

537
00:38:51,470 --> 00:38:55,410
data is already arranged from largest smallest or

538
00:38:55,410 --> 00:38:58,150
smallest large. It doesn't matter actually. So the

539
00:38:58,150 --> 00:39:02,930
median is $300,000. Make sense? Because there are

540
00:39:02,930 --> 00:39:09,490
two house prices above and two below. So the

541
00:39:09,490 --> 00:39:13,610
median is $300,000. Now if you look at these two

542
00:39:13,610 --> 00:39:21,350
values, the mean for this data equals 600,000 and

543
00:39:21,350 --> 00:39:26,690
the median is 300,000. The mean is double the

544
00:39:26,690 --> 00:39:31,750
median. Do you think why there is a big difference

545
00:39:31,750 --> 00:39:36,030
in this data between the mean and the median?

546
00:39:36,190 --> 00:39:42,290
Which one? Two million dollars is extreme value,

547
00:39:42,510 --> 00:39:45,940
very large number. I mean, if you compare two

548
00:39:45,940 --> 00:39:48,860
million dollars with the other data sets or other

549
00:39:48,860 --> 00:39:51,320
data values, you will see there is a big

550
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,260
difference between two million and five hundred.

551
00:39:53,620 --> 00:39:56,280
It's four times, plus about three hundred

552
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,780
thousands, around seven times and so on. For this

553
00:39:59,780 --> 00:40:07,880
value, the mean is affected. Exactly. The median

554
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:11,740
is resistant to outliers. It's affected but little

555
00:40:11,740 --> 00:40:17,100
bit. For this reason, we have to use the median.

556
00:40:17,300 --> 00:40:20,720
So the median makes more sense than using the

557
00:40:20,720 --> 00:40:24,480
mean. The mode is just the most frequent value,

558
00:40:24,660 --> 00:40:28,720
which is 100,000, because this value is repeated

559
00:40:28,720 --> 00:40:33,820
twice. So that's the whole story for central

560
00:40:33,820 --> 00:40:40,720
tendency measures, mean, median, and mode. Now the

561
00:40:40,720 --> 00:40:45,640
question again is which measure to use? The mean

562
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:49,280
is generally used. The most common center tendency

563
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:53,420
is the mean. We can use it or we should use it

564
00:40:53,420 --> 00:40:59,920
unless extreme values exist. I mean if the data

565
00:40:59,920 --> 00:41:03,960
set has no outliers or extreme values, we have to

566
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,240
use the mean instead of the median.

567
00:41:09,810 --> 00:41:14,670
The median is often used since the median is not

568
00:41:14,670 --> 00:41:18,330
sensitive to extreme values. I mean, the median is

569
00:41:18,330 --> 00:41:22,030
resistant to outliers. It remains nearly in the

570
00:41:22,030 --> 00:41:26,490
same position if the dataset has outliers. But the

571
00:41:26,490 --> 00:41:29,850
median will be affected either to the right or to

572
00:41:29,850 --> 00:41:34,350
the left tail. So we have to use the median if the

573
00:41:34,350 --> 00:41:40,060
data has extreme values. For example, median home

574
00:41:40,060 --> 00:41:44,100
prices for the previous one may be reported for a

575
00:41:44,100 --> 00:41:48,000
region that is less sensitive to outliers. So the

576
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:52,880
mean is more sensitive to outliers than the

577
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:56,520
median. Sometimes, I mean in some situations, it

578
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,760
makes sense to report both the mean and the

579
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:01,860
median. Just say the mean for this data for home

580
00:42:01,860 --> 00:42:07,570
prices is 600,000 while the median is 300,000. If

581
00:42:07,570 --> 00:42:10,150
you look at these two figures, you can tell that

582
00:42:10,150 --> 00:42:13,830
there exists outlier or the outlier exists because

583
00:42:13,830 --> 00:42:17,230
there is a big difference between the mean and the

584
00:42:17,230 --> 00:42:24,310
median. So that's all for measures of central

585
00:42:24,310 --> 00:42:28,830
tendency. Again, we explained three measures,

586
00:42:29,450 --> 00:42:33,930
arithmetic mean, median, and mode. And arithmetic

587
00:42:33,930 --> 00:42:38,990
mean again is denoted by X bar is pronounced as X

588
00:42:38,990 --> 00:42:44,410
bar and just summation of X divided by N. So

589
00:42:44,410 --> 00:42:48,070
summation Xi, i goes from 1 up to N divided by the

590
00:42:48,070 --> 00:42:52,170
total number of observations. The median, as we

591
00:42:52,170 --> 00:42:55,690
mentioned, is the value in the middle in ordered

592
00:42:55,690 --> 00:42:59,150
array. After you arrange the data from smallest to

593
00:42:59,150 --> 00:43:01,930
largest or vice versa, then the median is the

594
00:43:01,930 --> 00:43:06,330
value in the middle. The mode is the most frequent

595
00:43:06,330 --> 00:43:09,030
observed value. And we have to know that mean and

596
00:43:09,030 --> 00:43:13,870
median are used only for numerical data, while the

597
00:43:13,870 --> 00:43:17,510
mode can be used for both numerical and

598
00:43:17,510 --> 00:43:24,290
categorical data. That's all about measures of

599
00:43:24,290 --> 00:43:27,210
central tendency. Any question?

600
00:43:33,210 --> 00:43:40,230
Let's move to measures of variation. It's another

601
00:43:40,230 --> 00:43:43,750
type of measures. It's called measures of

602
00:43:43,750 --> 00:43:47,490
variation, sometimes called measures of spread.

603
00:43:50,490 --> 00:43:53,850
Now, variation can be computed by using range,

604
00:43:55,590 --> 00:44:00,850
variance, standard deviation, and coefficient of

605
00:44:00,850 --> 00:44:08,430
variation. So we have four types, range, variance,

606
00:44:09,250 --> 00:44:12,050
standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

607
00:44:13,710 --> 00:44:16,150
Now, measures of variation give information on the

608
00:44:16,150 --> 00:44:19,410
spread. Now, this is the first difference between

609
00:44:19,410 --> 00:44:24,210
central tendency measures and measures of

610
00:44:24,210 --> 00:44:28,270
variation. That one measures the central value or

611
00:44:28,270 --> 00:44:30,790
the value in the middle. Here, it measures the

612
00:44:30,790 --> 00:44:36,310
spread. Or variability. Or dispersion of the data.

613
00:44:36,450 --> 00:44:40,310
Do you know what is dispersion? Dispersion.

614
00:44:40,630 --> 00:44:45,590
Tabaad. So major variation given formation with

615
00:44:45,590 --> 00:44:48,350
the spread. Spread or variation or dispersion of

616
00:44:48,350 --> 00:44:52,250
the data values. Now if you look at these two bell

617
00:44:52,250 --> 00:44:52,650
shapes.

618
00:44:55,670 --> 00:44:59,170
Both have the same center. The center I mean the

619
00:44:59,170 --> 00:45:01,730
value in the middle. So the value in the middle

620
00:45:01,730 --> 00:45:06,990
here for figure

621
00:45:06,990 --> 00:45:10,150
graph number one is the same as the value for the

622
00:45:10,150 --> 00:45:16,270
other graph. So both graphs have the same center.

623
00:45:17,430 --> 00:45:20,670
But if you look at the spread, you will see that

624
00:45:20,670 --> 00:45:26,230
figure A is less spread than figure B. Now if you

625
00:45:26,230 --> 00:45:29,720
look at this one, the spread here, is much less

626
00:45:29,720 --> 00:45:34,120
than the other one. Even they have the same

627
00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:39,260
center, the same mean, but figure A is more spread

628
00:45:39,260 --> 00:45:45,140
than figure B. It means that the variation in A is

629
00:45:45,140 --> 00:45:49,920
much less than the variation in figure B. So it

630
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:55,960
means that the mean is not sufficient to describe

631
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,970
your data. Because maybe you have two datasets and

632
00:45:59,970 --> 00:46:03,330
both have the same mean, but the spread or the

633
00:46:03,330 --> 00:46:07,350
variation is completely different. Again, maybe we

634
00:46:07,350 --> 00:46:10,250
have two classes of statistics, class A and class

635
00:46:10,250 --> 00:46:13,230
B. The center or the mean or the average is the

6

667
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:32,360
data. The minimum value is one. I mean, the

668
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:34,680
smallest value is one, and the largest or the

669
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:38,880
maximum is 13. So it makes sense that the range of

670
00:48:38,880 --> 00:48:41,840
the data is the difference between these two

671
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:48,540
values. So 13 minus one is 12. Now, imagine that

672
00:48:48,540 --> 00:48:58,040
we just replace 13 by 100. So the new range will

673
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:03,820
be equal to 100 minus 1, 99. So the previous range

674
00:49:03,820 --> 00:49:08,340
was 12. It becomes now 99 after we replace the

675
00:49:08,340 --> 00:49:12,100
maximum by 100. So it means that range is affected

676
00:49:12,100 --> 00:49:18,740
by extreme values. So the mean and range both are

677
00:49:18,740 --> 00:49:23,040
sensitive to outliers. So you have to link between

678
00:49:26,410 --> 00:49:30,210
measures of center tendency and measures of

679
00:49:30,210 --> 00:49:33,130
variation. Mean and range are affected by

680
00:49:33,130 --> 00:49:37,910
outliers. The mean and range are affected by

681
00:49:37,910 --> 00:49:41,450
outliers. This is an example. So it's very easy to

682
00:49:41,450 --> 00:49:49,550
compute the mean. Next, if you look at why the

683
00:49:49,550 --> 00:49:51,190
range can be misleading.

684
00:49:53,830 --> 00:49:56,810
Sometimes you report the range and the range does

685
00:49:56,810 --> 00:50:00,310
not give an appropriate answer or appropriate

686
00:50:00,310 --> 00:50:04,450
result because number

687
00:50:04,450 --> 00:50:06,790
one ignores the way in which the data are

688
00:50:06,790 --> 00:50:10,770
distributed. For example, if you look at this

689
00:50:10,770 --> 00:50:15,430
specific data, we have data seven, eight, nine,

690
00:50:15,590 --> 00:50:18,110
ten, eleven and twelve. So the range is five.

691
00:50:19,270 --> 00:50:21,910
Twelve minus seven is five. Now if you look at the

692
00:50:21,910 --> 00:50:26,360
other data, The smallest value was seven.

693
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:33,260
And there is a gap between the smallest and the

694
00:50:33,260 --> 00:50:38,220
next smallest value, which is 10. And also we have

695
00:50:38,220 --> 00:50:44,480
12 is repeated three times. Still the range is the

696
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,140
same. Even there is a difference between these two

697
00:50:48,140 --> 00:50:53,640
values, between two sets. we have seven, eight,

698
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:57,020
nine up to 12. And then the other data, we have

699
00:50:57,020 --> 00:51:02,180
seven, 10, 11, and 12 three times. Still, the

700
00:51:02,180 --> 00:51:06,360
range equals five. So it doesn't make sense to

701
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,620
report the range as a measure of variation.

702
00:51:10,520 --> 00:51:12,640
Because if you look at the distribution for this

703
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:15,500
data, it's completely different from the other

704
00:51:15,500 --> 00:51:20,860
dataset. Even though it has the same range. So

705
00:51:20,860 --> 00:51:25,220
range is not used in this case. Look at another

706
00:51:25,220 --> 00:51:25,680
example.

707
00:51:28,300 --> 00:51:32,920
We have data. All the data ranges, I mean, starts

708
00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:38,680
from 1 up to 5. So the range is 4. If we just

709
00:51:38,680 --> 00:51:46,200
replace the maximum, which is 5, by 120. So the

710
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:49,190
range is completely different. The range becomes

711
00:51:49,190 --> 00:51:55,010
119. So that means range

712
00:51:55,010 --> 00:51:59,230
is sensitive to outliers. So we have to avoid

713
00:51:59,230 --> 00:52:06,030
using range in case of outliers or extreme values.

714
00:52:08,930 --> 00:52:14,410
I will stop at the most important one, the

715
00:52:14,410 --> 00:52:18,350
variance, for next time insha'allah. Up to this

716
00:52:18,350 --> 00:52:19,310
point, any questions?

717
00:52:22,330 --> 00:52:29,730
Okay, stop at this point if

718
00:52:29,730 --> 00:52:30,510
you have any question.

719
00:52:35,430 --> 00:52:39,430
So later we'll discuss measures of variation and

720
00:52:39,430 --> 00:52:44,810
variance, standard deviation up to the end of this

721
00:52:44,810 --> 00:52:45,090
chapter.

722
00:52:54,630 --> 00:53:00,690
So again, the range is sensitive to outliers. So

723
00:53:00,690 --> 00:53:03,850
we have to avoid using range in this case. And

724
00:53:03,850 --> 00:53:06,270
later we'll talk about the variance, which is the

725
00:53:06,270 --> 00:53:09,750
most common measures of variation for next time,

726
00:53:09,830 --> 00:53:10,130
insha'allah.