| 1 | |
| 00:00:21,970 --> 00:00:24,950 | |
| Okay بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم اليوم إن شاء الله | |
| 2 | |
| 00:00:24,950 --> 00:00:32,830 | |
| سنكمل الحلقة الثامنة و سنقوم بالتحليق و التدخل و | |
| 3 | |
| 00:00:32,830 --> 00:00:34,110 | |
| التدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و | |
| 4 | |
| 00:00:34,110 --> 00:00:38,390 | |
| تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و | |
| 5 | |
| 00:00:38,390 --> 00:00:38,590 | |
| تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و | |
| 6 | |
| 00:00:38,590 --> 00:00:38,610 | |
| تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و | |
| 7 | |
| 00:00:38,610 --> 00:00:42,930 | |
| تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و | |
| 8 | |
| 00:00:42,930 --> 00:00:50,050 | |
| تدخل و | |
| 9 | |
| 00:00:53,990 --> 00:00:56,370 | |
| وهو الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام | |
| 10 | |
| 00:00:56,370 --> 00:00:57,350 | |
| الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام | |
| 11 | |
| 00:00:57,350 --> 00:01:00,430 | |
| الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام | |
| 12 | |
| 00:01:00,430 --> 00:01:04,090 | |
| الاستخدام | |
| 13 | |
| 00:01:04,090 --> 00:01:07,550 | |
| الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام | |
| 14 | |
| 00:01:07,550 --> 00:01:07,590 | |
| الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدم الاستخدم | |
| 15 | |
| 00:01:07,590 --> 00:01:13,140 | |
| الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الالتطور أو | |
| 16 | |
| 00:01:13,140 --> 00:01:18,620 | |
| تدفع الاقتصاد باستخدام اتفاق الاتفاق هذه الأدوات | |
| 17 | |
| 00:01:18,620 --> 00:01:26,420 | |
| تزيد عمليات الحكومة أو عمليات الحكومة أو تدفع | |
| 18 | |
| 00:01:26,420 --> 00:01:32,760 | |
| السعر لذلك عندما نتحدث عن اتفاق الاتفاق الاتفاق | |
| 19 | |
| 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:37,700 | |
| الاتفاق الاتفاق | |
| 20 | |
| 00:01:42,010 --> 00:01:49,430 | |
| نحن نتكلم عن أزمة الحكومة أو او او او او او او او | |
| 21 | |
| 00:01:49,430 --> 00:01:50,150 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 22 | |
| 00:01:50,150 --> 00:01:50,290 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 23 | |
| 00:01:50,290 --> 00:01:53,050 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 24 | |
| 00:01:53,050 --> 00:01:53,690 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 25 | |
| 00:01:53,690 --> 00:01:54,870 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 26 | |
| 00:01:54,870 --> 00:01:58,150 | |
| او | |
| 27 | |
| 00:01:58,150 --> 00:02:01,310 | |
| او او او او او او او او او او او | |
| 28 | |
| 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:10,820 | |
| سنبدأ عملية تحديث هذه السيطرة على السوق الخاص بنا | |
| 29 | |
| 00:02:10,820 --> 00:02:12,580 | |
| و بعدها السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على | |
| 30 | |
| 00:02:12,580 --> 00:02:14,240 | |
| السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق | |
| 31 | |
| 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,300 | |
| الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا | |
| 32 | |
| 00:02:16,300 --> 00:02:19,420 | |
| على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق | |
| 33 | |
| 00:02:19,420 --> 00:02:22,080 | |
| الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا | |
| 34 | |
| 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:22,280 | |
| على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق | |
| 35 | |
| 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:22,920 | |
| على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق | |
| 36 | |
| 00:02:22,920 --> 00:02:29,340 | |
| الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق | |
| 37 | |
| 00:02:29,340 --> 00:02:35,120 | |
| الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا | |
| 38 | |
| 00:02:35,970 --> 00:02:45,330 | |
| وهنا لدينا الـ aggregate expenditure 1 الـ | |
| 39 | |
| 00:02:45,330 --> 00:02:49,190 | |
| equilibrium يحدث أو الـ equilibrium الوحيد يحدث | |
| 40 | |
| 00:02:49,190 --> 00:02:52,490 | |
| عندما Y يقل aggregate expenditure ومعرفة أن | |
| 41 | |
| 00:02:52,490 --> 00:02:59,650 | |
| aggregate expenditure 1 يقل C plus I plus G، صحيح؟ | |
| 42 | |
| 00:02:59,650 --> 00:03:05,570 | |
| تمام؟ وهذا هو مقاومة الـ E1 هذا هو | |
| 43 | |
| 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:21,240 | |
| هذا هو نتيجة | |
| 44 | |
| 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:22,640 | |
| التوازن | |
| 45 | |
| 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:38,400 | |
| الحكومة تزوّد الناتج عن طريق | |
| 46 | |
| 00:03:48,300 --> 00:03:51,640 | |
| استخدام سياسة مالية توسعية By increasing the | |
| 47 | |
| 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,920 | |
| government spending and or decreasing the taxes So | |
| 48 | |
| 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,160 | |
| what are the main consequences or effects or | |
| 49 | |
| 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:03,000 | |
| impacts of this policy on the aggregate | |
| 50 | |
| 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,840 | |
| expenditure So increasing the government spending | |
| 51 | |
| 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:11,520 | |
| leads to what? Increasing the aggregate | |
| 52 | |
| 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,680 | |
| expenditure or aggregate demand Which leads to | |
| 53 | |
| 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:23,390 | |
| what?ماذا هي التأثير التالف؟ بالضبط، | |
| 54 | |
| 00:04:23,390 --> 00:04:25,790 | |
| تغيير الحركة العضلية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 55 | |
| 00:04:25,790 --> 00:04:28,630 | |
| التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 56 | |
| 00:04:28,630 --> 00:04:31,730 | |
| التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 57 | |
| 00:04:31,730 --> 00:04:34,130 | |
| التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 58 | |
| 00:04:34,130 --> 00:04:36,270 | |
| التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 59 | |
| 00:04:36,270 --> 00:04:36,310 | |
| التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية | |
| 60 | |
| 00:04:36,310 --> 00:04:43,150 | |
| التجاربية الت | |
| 61 | |
| 00:04:48,270 --> 00:04:51,210 | |
| upward shifting of the aggregate expenditure مش هي | |
| 62 | |
| 00:04:51,210 --> 00:04:53,910 | |
| اللي صار زيادة الانفاق زود ال aggregate | |
| 63 | |
| 00:04:53,910 --> 00:04:57,450 | |
| expenditure وبتالي there is upward shifting of the | |
| 64 | |
| 00:04:57,450 --> 00:05:00,610 | |
| aggregate expenditure function صح؟ صار في عندي هي | |
| 65 | |
| 00:05:00,610 --> 00:05:03,570 | |
| ال aggregate expenditure function there is an | |
| 66 | |
| 00:05:03,570 --> 00:05:06,490 | |
| upward shifting of the aggregate expenditure to | |
| 67 | |
| 00:05:06,490 --> 00:05:11,750 | |
| aggregate expenditure 2 equals C plus I plus G2 | |
| 68 | |
| 00:05:11,750 --> 00:05:17,440 | |
| مظبوط؟ right؟شو صار في الناتج في ال aggregate | |
| 69 | |
| 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:25,600 | |
| output؟ this is E to exactly to Y2 so there is an | |
| 70 | |
| 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:30,140 | |
| increasing in the aggregate output from Y1 to Y2 | |
| 71 | |
| 00:05:30,140 --> 00:05:34,920 | |
| right صح ولا لأ؟ الزيادة في الناتج leads to | |
| 72 | |
| 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,580 | |
| increasing to aggregate income مظبوط؟ so let's | |
| 73 | |
| 00:05:38,580 --> 00:05:41,840 | |
| follow or complete the analysis here increasing of | |
| 74 | |
| 00:05:41,840 --> 00:05:44,900 | |
| Y means increasing of aggregate income | |
| 75 | |
| 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,360 | |
| Increasing in income شو بيعمل في ال money demand؟ | |
| 76 | |
| 00:06:02,020 --> 00:06:06,380 | |
| لذلك نحن لدينا تغيير كلمة صحيح للطريقة التي تتطلب | |
| 77 | |
| 00:06:06,380 --> 00:06:10,400 | |
| المال إذا كنا نتكلم عن ماركت المال ، فهناك تغيير | |
| 78 | |
| 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:15,460 | |
| كلمة صحيح للطريقة التي تتطلب المال ، صح؟ إذا لو | |
| 79 | |
| 00:06:15,460 --> 00:06:19,000 | |
| بدأ أجي لـ money demand curve أو ماركت المال ، | |
| 80 | |
| 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:24,720 | |
| نستطيع أن نرى ما | |
| 81 | |
| 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:30,010 | |
| هوالعامة المالية في العامة المالية لدينا مصادر | |
| 82 | |
| 00:06:30,010 --> 00:06:31,670 | |
| المال والمصادر المالية دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 83 | |
| 00:06:31,670 --> 00:06:35,990 | |
| دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 84 | |
| 00:06:35,990 --> 00:06:39,370 | |
| دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 85 | |
| 00:06:39,370 --> 00:06:42,990 | |
| دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 86 | |
| 00:06:42,990 --> 00:06:45,690 | |
| دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 87 | |
| 00:06:45,690 --> 00:06:52,730 | |
| دماغ دماغ دماغ | |
| 88 | |
| 00:06:52,730 --> 00:07:02,370 | |
| دEQM1 So this is QM and this is R And this is E1 | |
| 89 | |
| 00:07:02,370 --> 00:07:08,210 | |
| Now the increasing in money demand leads to what? | |
| 90 | |
| 00:07:08,610 --> 00:07:11,950 | |
| A rightward shifting exactly in the money demand | |
| 91 | |
| 00:07:11,950 --> 00:07:14,690 | |
| curve وبالتالي هى فى عندي صار فى انتقال فى ال | |
| 92 | |
| 00:07:14,690 --> 00:07:18,530 | |
| money demand curve لوين؟ لليمين to money demand 2 | |
| 93 | |
| 00:07:20,870 --> 00:07:26,110 | |
| صح ولا لأ؟ اذا .. so we have a new interest rate | |
| 94 | |
| 00:07:26,110 --> 00:07:34,070 | |
| this is R2 increased مظبوط؟ طيب so the .. let's .. | |
| 95 | |
| 00:07:34,070 --> 00:07:39,210 | |
| so this is A2 so let's come back to our analysis | |
| 96 | |
| 00:07:39,210 --> 00:07:42,250 | |
| here as you see the increasing in money demand | |
| 97 | |
| 00:07:42,250 --> 00:07:46,890 | |
| leads to what? increasing in the interest rate طب | |
| 98 | |
| 00:07:46,890 --> 00:07:49,950 | |
| الزيادة في سعر الفائدة شو بتعمل في ال investment؟ | |
| 99 | |
| 00:07:50,270 --> 00:07:53,850 | |
| بتنزلوا there is an inverse relationship بين ال | |
| 100 | |
| 00:07:53,850 --> 00:07:56,630 | |
| interest rate و ال investment هيوة لو بده أرجع | |
| 101 | |
| 00:07:56,630 --> 00:08:00,170 | |
| لرسمها لجهة so the increasing and the interest | |
| 102 | |
| 00:08:00,170 --> 00:08:05,850 | |
| rate leads to a decreasing in I or the planned | |
| 103 | |
| 00:08:05,850 --> 00:08:12,650 | |
| investment مظبوط ولا لأ؟ لأنه أصلا خليني أنغطي هذا | |
| 104 | |
| 00:08:12,650 --> 00:08:17,090 | |
| هيك بس بيسكت | |
| 105 | |
| 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:24,320 | |
| Okay رجع لك كمان شوية okay so the increasing in | |
| 106 | |
| 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,780 | |
| the interest rate leads to a decreasing in the | |
| 107 | |
| 00:08:27,780 --> 00:08:30,280 | |
| planned investment مظبوط ولا لأ طب ال planned | |
| 108 | |
| 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,560 | |
| investment is part of aggregate expenditure صح | |
| 109 | |
| 00:08:33,560 --> 00:08:38,820 | |
| exactly so we have a decreasing in aggregate | |
| 110 | |
| 00:08:38,820 --> 00:08:44,580 | |
| expenditure مظبوط exactly yes with a smaller than | |
| 111 | |
| 00:08:44,580 --> 00:08:49,390 | |
| the previousفيز طبعا هذا ايه اكي صار في and with a | |
| 112 | |
| 00:08:49,390 --> 00:08:53,050 | |
| small مصبوح | |
| 113 | |
| 00:08:53,050 --> 00:08:58,510 | |
| اذا شو اللي صار هل هيرجع ال aggregate expenditure | |
| 114 | |
| 00:08:58,510 --> 00:09:05,930 | |
| شو يصير هيرجع ينزل مرة تانية بس بالنسبة بسيطة so | |
| 115 | |
| 00:09:05,930 --> 00:09:11,190 | |
| here we have a downward shifting in the aggregate | |
| 116 | |
| 00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:11,990 | |
| expenditure | |
| 117 | |
| 00:09:14,850 --> 00:09:19,470 | |
| صح هيو جينا ليش ل aggregate expenditure three C | |
| 118 | |
| 00:09:19,470 --> 00:09:27,410 | |
| plus I plus G two plus I two اللي نزلها so this is | |
| 119 | |
| 00:09:27,410 --> 00:09:33,730 | |
| I two sorry this is I two so in the first case شو | |
| 120 | |
| 00:09:33,730 --> 00:09:39,370 | |
| كان الوضع كان في عندي upward shifting and then we | |
| 121 | |
| 00:09:39,370 --> 00:09:45,400 | |
| have a downward shifting with a small amountصح قال | |
| 122 | |
| 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:53,740 | |
| لها this leads to what the final this is a3 شو | |
| 123 | |
| 00:09:53,740 --> 00:09:58,280 | |
| يعمل في النتيجة exactly so we have a small | |
| 124 | |
| 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:02,400 | |
| decreasing in the aggregate output اذا هنا we have | |
| 125 | |
| 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,300 | |
| a small decreasing in the aggregate expenditure | |
| 126 | |
| 00:10:05,300 --> 00:10:12,860 | |
| leads to a smaller decreasing in y صح حيومثبت ولا | |
| 127 | |
| 00:10:12,860 --> 00:10:19,800 | |
| لأ؟ صح؟ شوفوا هذا ال small decreasing اذا كانت | |
| 128 | |
| 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:24,860 | |
| الدولة او ال government مخطط انه يزيد الناتج from | |
| 129 | |
| 00:10:24,860 --> 00:10:30,700 | |
| Y1 to Y2 يعني سببز انه بدي يزيد الناتج من 100 | |
| 130 | |
| 00:10:30,700 --> 00:10:36,460 | |
| مليون ل 300 مليون unfortunately as a result of or | |
| 131 | |
| 00:10:36,460 --> 00:10:42,560 | |
| due to the crowding out صار في عنديdeduction or | |
| 132 | |
| 00:10:42,560 --> 00:10:47,740 | |
| decreasing in the planned output صار قول 280 يعني | |
| 133 | |
| 00:10:47,740 --> 00:10:51,960 | |
| هم كانوا مخططين يزودوا الناتج من 100 ل 300 لكن ما | |
| 134 | |
| 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:57,620 | |
| زادش ل 300 نزل او زاد من 100 ل 280 هذا الفرق ال | |
| 135 | |
| 00:10:57,620 --> 00:11:01,920 | |
| decreasing بيسمو crowding out crowding out عارفين | |
| 136 | |
| 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:03,700 | |
| إيش يعني مزحمة | |
| 137 | |
| 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:09,980 | |
| مزحمة للخلف بالنتج يعني بمعنى ان النتج صار في اندي | |
| 138 | |
| 00:11:09,980 --> 00:11:14,560 | |
| تزاحمات نتيجة ان ال interest rate طلع أثر على ال | |
| 139 | |
| 00:11:14,560 --> 00:11:18,680 | |
| investment بالسلب وبالتالي صار في نزول في | |
| 140 | |
| 00:11:18,680 --> 00:11:22,140 | |
| aggregate output ومن ثم هذا بيسموه crowding out | |
| 141 | |
| 00:11:22,140 --> 00:11:26,820 | |
| effect تمام؟ اه شباب؟ اذا if you would like to | |
| 142 | |
| 00:11:26,820 --> 00:11:32,540 | |
| analyze or to analyze yes the effect of | |
| 143 | |
| 00:11:35,230 --> 00:11:37,850 | |
| Interest or the relationship between interest rate | |
| 144 | |
| 00:11:37,850 --> 00:11:41,430 | |
| and the planned investment خلينا نعمل رسم هيك لل | |
| 145 | |
| 00:11:41,430 --> 00:11:46,190 | |
| interest rate و ل planned investment This is R I | |
| 146 | |
| 00:11:46,190 --> 00:11:49,610 | |
| and as you know that the relationship between R | |
| 147 | |
| 00:11:49,610 --> 00:11:53,110 | |
| and I is what؟ Negative صح؟ أيوه | |
| 148 | |
| 00:11:56,330 --> 00:12:01,030 | |
| هذا I وهذا رقم الاستثمار المخطط مظبوط؟ طيب اين هو | |
| 149 | |
| 00:12:01,030 --> 00:12:04,110 | |
| الانترست الوحيد؟ وين كان الانترست الوحيد؟ هايه | |
| 150 | |
| 00:12:04,110 --> 00:12:09,490 | |
| ماشي مع رسمها هيك هاي الانترست الوحيد او الانترست | |
| 151 | |
| 00:12:09,490 --> 00:12:14,430 | |
| الوحيد اللي هو ال R1 مظبوط؟ هايها هذا R1 وهذا E1 | |
| 152 | |
| 00:12:14,430 --> 00:12:19,470 | |
| تطابق ما بين هذا وهذا؟ وهذا الانترست المخطط I1 | |
| 153 | |
| 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,560 | |
| when the money demand increased شو اللي صار ال | |
| 154 | |
| 00:12:25,560 --> 00:12:30,720 | |
| interest rate increased to | |
| 155 | |
| 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:38,440 | |
| E2 this is R2 and I has declined to I2 نفس الشغل | |
| 156 | |
| 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:42,060 | |
| اللي بنحكي فيه هذا هايو increasing in R leads to a | |
| 157 | |
| 00:12:42,060 --> 00:12:45,720 | |
| decreasing in I مظبوط then aggregate expenditure | |
| 158 | |
| 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:51,010 | |
| declined and then Y declinedتمام؟ وهذا الانزول هنا | |
| 159 | |
| 00:12:51,010 --> 00:12:55,930 | |
| اسمه crowding out تمام؟ مين مش فاهم عيدله؟ لأن | |
| 160 | |
| 00:12:55,930 --> 00:13:01,950 | |
| المحاضرة هدف الجزء منها في الامتحان انا | |
| 161 | |
| 00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:06,270 | |
| later on بحكيلك كيف بيجي السؤال بس بدي تفهم the | |
| 162 | |
| 00:13:06,270 --> 00:13:08,970 | |
| most important issue is to understand what I say | |
| 163 | |
| 00:13:08,970 --> 00:13:13,330 | |
| اه؟ طيب اذا let us summarize | |
| 164 | |
| 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:32,380 | |
| الحكومة تستخدم سياسة مالية توسعية باستخدام استخدام | |
| 165 | |
| 00:13:32,380 --> 00:13:32,820 | |
| استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام | |
| 166 | |
| 00:13:32,820 --> 00:13:34,680 | |
| استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام | |
| 167 | |
| 00:13:34,680 --> 00:13:34,760 | |
| استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام | |
| 168 | |
| 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:34,780 | |
| استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام | |
| 169 | |
| 00:13:34,780 --> 00:13:43,440 | |
| استخدام استخدام استخد | |
| 170 | |
| 00:13:43,580 --> 00:13:46,280 | |
| which leads to increasing aggregate output and | |
| 171 | |
| 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:50,040 | |
| then increasing the aggregate income مظبوط؟ طيب | |
| 172 | |
| 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,840 | |
| increasing the aggregate income leads to | |
| 173 | |
| 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:58,100 | |
| increasing the money demand which leads to a | |
| 174 | |
| 00:13:58,100 --> 00:14:01,460 | |
| rightward shifting of the money demand curve صح؟ | |
| 175 | |
| 00:14:01,460 --> 00:14:07,770 | |
| هى لأ و بدى أرجع شويه هيكUsing an expansion of | |
| 176 | |
| 00:14:07,770 --> 00:14:09,790 | |
| fiscal policy means increasing the government | |
| 177 | |
| 00:14:09,790 --> 00:14:12,130 | |
| spending leads to increasing aggregate expenditure | |
| 178 | |
| 00:14:12,130 --> 00:14:15,550 | |
| from aggregate expenditure of the black line one | |
| 179 | |
| 00:14:15,550 --> 00:14:19,610 | |
| to the aggregate expenditure two So Y has | |
| 180 | |
| 00:14:19,610 --> 00:14:23,470 | |
| increased from Y one to Y two بصبو يعني if suppose | |
| 181 | |
| 00:14:23,470 --> 00:14:29,850 | |
| من مية لتلت مية طب بعد هيك The increasing in money | |
| 182 | |
| 00:14:29,850 --> 00:14:34,750 | |
| demand leads to increasing the interest rateصح؟ هي | |
| 183 | |
| 00:14:34,750 --> 00:14:39,550 | |
| ال interest rate طلع من R1 to R2 وهي ينبين عندى | |
| 184 | |
| 00:14:39,550 --> 00:14:42,850 | |
| هنا بال relationship between R and I او the | |
| 185 | |
| 00:14:42,850 --> 00:14:46,830 | |
| planned investment curve هي increasing في ال | |
| 186 | |
| 00:14:46,830 --> 00:14:48,910 | |
| interest rate طب عارفين احنا ال increasing في ال | |
| 187 | |
| 00:14:48,910 --> 00:14:50,790 | |
| interest rate هو ال cost of borrowing وبالتالي ال | |
| 188 | |
| 00:14:50,790 --> 00:14:56,310 | |
| investment بده يقل with a small amount اللي أثر | |
| 189 | |
| 00:14:56,310 --> 00:14:59,830 | |
| تلقائيا على ال aggregate expenditure ومن ثم ال | |
| 190 | |
| 00:14:59,830 --> 00:15:04,610 | |
| aggregate Yaggregate output or aggregate income | |
| 191 | |
| 00:15:04,610 --> 00:15:09,250 | |
| واللي رجع الناتج بدل ما كنا مخططين زوده من Y1 ل Y2 | |
| 192 | |
| 00:15:09,250 --> 00:15:16,850 | |
| رح رجع شوية من Y2 ل Y3 هذا اسمه crowding out بس | |
| 193 | |
| 00:15:16,850 --> 00:15:25,210 | |
| طبعا طيب سؤال امتى بيكونش فيه تأثير لسعر الفائدة | |
| 194 | |
| 00:15:25,210 --> 00:15:29,110 | |
| على الاستثمار على ال investmentيعني لما بيزيد ال | |
| 195 | |
| 00:15:29,110 --> 00:15:36,770 | |
| interest rate ال investment مازيدش بيجلش اه | |
| 196 | |
| 00:15:38,770 --> 00:15:42,610 | |
| السؤال بيقول انه احنا بنقول انه ال crowding out او | |
| 197 | |
| 00:15:42,610 --> 00:15:46,130 | |
| مشكلة ال crowding out ظهرت وين لما .. لما ارتفع | |
| 198 | |
| 00:15:46,130 --> 00:15:49,870 | |
| سعر الفائدة نزل استثمار ومن ثم نزل الناتج صح؟ وهذا | |
| 199 | |
| 00:15:49,870 --> 00:15:53,310 | |
| الإشكالي اللي احنا مخطط ان ازود ال Y ال Inca ال | |
| 200 | |
| 00:15:53,310 --> 00:15:56,930 | |
| aggregate output من Y1 ل Y2 وبالتالي نتيجة انه | |
| 201 | |
| 00:15:56,930 --> 00:16:01,790 | |
| حساسية ال sensitivity لل investment لسعر الفائدة | |
| 202 | |
| 00:16:01,790 --> 00:16:05,620 | |
| هو اللي أثر على ان النتج يرجع لورا، مظبوط؟بس | |
| 203 | |
| 00:16:05,620 --> 00:16:08,580 | |
| السؤالي أنا خليني أسأل السؤال وبعدين أخد منكم | |
| 204 | |
| 00:16:08,580 --> 00:16:14,680 | |
| السؤال بيقول امتى جايك محمد هلأ السؤال بيقول انه | |
| 205 | |
| 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:18,300 | |
| ممكن نرفع سعر الفائدة بس الاستثمار ماينزلش وقتاش | |
| 206 | |
| 00:16:18,300 --> 00:16:22,500 | |
| وبالتالي مافيش تأثير على ان ال income ال aggregate | |
| 207 | |
| 00:16:22,500 --> 00:16:24,680 | |
| expenditure ينزل yes تاني | |
| 208 | |
| 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:35,560 | |
| لما يزيد نسبة ال government تمام بمقدار نسبة ال I | |
| 209 | |
| 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:40,920 | |
| نزولها؟ لأ السؤال يه انه وقتهش انه ال interest | |
| 210 | |
| 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:44,760 | |
| rate لما بيزيد ال investment ما بينزلش يسمحوا .. | |
| 211 | |
| 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:50,020 | |
| exactly thank you very much indeed yes yes لما | |
| 212 | |
| 00:16:50,020 --> 00:16:53,060 | |
| بيكون ملحانة ال investment ال plant investment | |
| 213 | |
| 00:16:53,060 --> 00:16:56,140 | |
| vertical line ها يو خليه vertical line شو اللي | |
| 214 | |
| 00:16:56,140 --> 00:17:02,110 | |
| بيصير؟ارفع ال interest rate ال investment مينزلش | |
| 215 | |
| 00:17:02,110 --> 00:17:11,530 | |
| خلّي ال investment curve vertical line خلّي عمودي | |
| 216 | |
| 00:17:11,530 --> 00:17:19,810 | |
| هيك exactly خلّي ال investment هيك vertical line | |
| 217 | |
| 00:17:19,810 --> 00:17:25,850 | |
| so this is R I وين ال interest rate الرئيسي؟ هيه | |
| 218 | |
| 00:17:25,850 --> 00:17:31,810 | |
| this is A1وارتفع .. this is I1 R1 ارفع ال interest | |
| 219 | |
| 00:17:31,810 --> 00:17:37,070 | |
| rate زود ال interest rate to R2 ال investment I2 | |
| 220 | |
| 00:17:37,070 --> 00:17:43,030 | |
| there is no decreasing in I عشان هيك لأ بتصير | |
| 221 | |
| 00:17:43,030 --> 00:17:47,310 | |
| بتصير عشان هيك بيكون مافيش crowding out في حالة | |
| 222 | |
| 00:17:47,310 --> 00:17:53,170 | |
| انه if the investment curve is vertical line معنى | |
| 223 | |
| 00:17:53,170 --> 00:17:57,610 | |
| الكلام انه الاستثمار مش حساس لسه على الفئدة صح؟ | |
| 224 | |
| 00:17:58,970 --> 00:18:02,670 | |
| مظبوط؟ or the investment is not respond for the | |
| 225 | |
| 00:18:02,670 --> 00:18:07,910 | |
| interest rate مظبوط؟ مافيش استجابة للارتفاعات في | |
| 226 | |
| 00:18:07,910 --> 00:18:11,750 | |
| سعر الفدع تأثير على الاستثمار so in this case the | |
| 227 | |
| 00:18:11,750 --> 00:18:16,270 | |
| crowding out equals what؟ zero exactly عشان هيك مش | |
| 228 | |
| 00:18:16,270 --> 00:18:18,550 | |
| هيرجع تاني ينزل aggregate expenditure | |
| 229 | |
| 00:18:21,820 --> 00:18:24,420 | |
| مفيش .. على .. it depends you have to analyze you | |
| 230 | |
| 00:18:24,420 --> 00:18:27,460 | |
| have to collect data او information about the | |
| 231 | |
| 00:18:27,460 --> 00:18:31,000 | |
| investment and interest rate و تشوف بالاخر احنا | |
| 232 | |
| 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:35,800 | |
| بندرس cases على كيف بدي اخليه جايكلك كيف اخليه | |
| 233 | |
| 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:40,680 | |
| thank you على سؤالك ازملكم بيسأل سؤال انه كيف بدي | |
| 234 | |
| 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:45,380 | |
| اخلي ال investment او اللي هو ال investment مش | |
| 235 | |
| 00:18:45,380 --> 00:18:50,010 | |
| حساس او بدي ألغي تأثير سعر الفائدةعارفين شو بدى | |
| 236 | |
| 00:18:50,010 --> 00:18:58,010 | |
| أعمله؟ بدى أرجع بس للرسم هاي و أحل لك المشكلة this | |
| 237 | |
| 00:18:58,010 --> 00:19:03,610 | |
| is | |
| 238 | |
| 00:19:03,610 --> 00:19:11,070 | |
| I مظبوط and this is R and I تمام according to our | |
| 239 | |
| 00:19:11,070 --> 00:19:13,570 | |
| assumption this is E1 | |
| 240 | |
| 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:27,480 | |
| E2 R1 R2 I1 I2 في عنده increasing في ال R و | |
| 241 | |
| 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:35,500 | |
| decreasing في ال I عشان ألغي تأثير to cancel the | |
| 242 | |
| 00:19:35,500 --> 00:19:38,480 | |
| effects of interest rate على سعر الفائد ده شو بعمل | |
| 243 | |
| 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:45,870 | |
| الحل اللي قالك بسيطةالـ money supply كيف | |
| 244 | |
| 00:19:45,870 --> 00:19:52,230 | |
| تعمل تزوّد ال money supply خلاص اعمل rightward | |
| 245 | |
| 00:19:52,230 --> 00:19:55,490 | |
| shifting لـ money supply curve هيو جيبه هنا هيك | |
| 246 | |
| 00:19:55,490 --> 00:19:56,690 | |
| خلصنا ثبت | |
| 247 | |
| 00:20:02,110 --> 00:20:06,990 | |
| عشان ألغي تأثير ألغي crowding out زود ال money | |
| 248 | |
| 00:20:06,990 --> 00:20:10,790 | |
| supply شو صار ال interest rate نزل وبالتالي بطل | |
| 249 | |
| 00:20:10,790 --> 00:20:14,370 | |
| فيه التقى تأثير ال interest rate على ال investment | |
| 250 | |
| 00:20:14,370 --> 00:20:21,420 | |
| Yes عبداللهبالتأكيد، بالتأكيد، لكي نحل المشكلة من | |
| 251 | |
| 00:20:21,420 --> 00:20:25,420 | |
| المجتمع، المشكلة من المجتمع، لدينا أو الشركة | |
| 252 | |
| 00:20:25,420 --> 00:20:32,440 | |
| الأساسية لتحفة المال، أو لإستخدام منظمة تحفيزية، | |
| 253 | |
| 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:39,380 | |
| نعم عبداللهOkay ماشي بس أنا the question is how | |
| 254 | |
| 00:20:39,380 --> 00:20:43,560 | |
| could we solve the crowding out effect يعني كيف | |
| 255 | |
| 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:48,700 | |
| بدي ألغى تأثير هذا تأثير الارتفاع في سعر الفائدة؟ | |
| 256 | |
| 00:20:50,220 --> 00:20:56,820 | |
| هذا الرد ع سؤالك وصلة تمام So as we mentioned that | |
| 257 | |
| 00:20:56,820 --> 00:21:00,320 | |
| using an expansionary fiscal policy as you see | |
| 258 | |
| 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,720 | |
| leads to increasing aggregate expenditure then | |
| 259 | |
| 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,660 | |
| aggregate output aggregate income increasing money | |
| 260 | |
| 00:21:06,660 --> 00:21:09,480 | |
| demand increasing interest rate decreasing I and | |
| 261 | |
| 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:13,740 | |
| so on So the crowding out problem or the crowding | |
| 262 | |
| 00:21:13,740 --> 00:21:19,610 | |
| out ethic has been created whenوين تولدت فكرة أو | |
| 263 | |
| 00:21:19,610 --> 00:21:22,810 | |
| مشكلة لـ crowding out when the government use an | |
| 264 | |
| 00:21:22,810 --> 00:21:26,610 | |
| expansionary fiscal policy صح؟ طيب، بدأ أروح | |
| 265 | |
| 00:21:26,610 --> 00:21:32,930 | |
| أستخدم let us use a contractionary fiscal policy | |
| 266 | |
| 00:21:32,930 --> 00:21:36,750 | |
| يعني أنا بدأ أستخدم إشي معاكس بمعنى إنه أنا بدأ | |
| 267 | |
| 00:21:36,750 --> 00:21:42,110 | |
| أستخدم contractionary fiscal policy by decreasing | |
| 268 | |
| 00:21:42,110 --> 00:21:45,170 | |
| the government spending and or increasing the | |
| 269 | |
| 00:21:45,170 --> 00:21:48,870 | |
| taxes خلينا نشوفوبدأ أشوف التأثير على ال three .. | |
| 270 | |
| 00:21:48,870 --> 00:21:51,870 | |
| على ال three .. ال analysis على ال three diagrams | |
| 271 | |
| 00:21:51,870 --> 00:22:08,150 | |
| هدول تمام؟ طيب So | |
| 272 | |
| 00:22:08,150 --> 00:22:12,390 | |
| let's use a contractionary fiscal policy | |
| 273 | |
| 00:22:12,390 --> 00:22:16,090 | |
| expansionary | |
| 274 | |
| 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:38,820 | |
| سياسة مالية انكماشية by decreasing the government | |
| 275 | |
| 00:22:38,820 --> 00:22:46,840 | |
| spending or increasing the taxesيا بدنا ننزل انفاق | |
| 276 | |
| 00:22:48,650 --> 00:22:51,690 | |
| maybe ممكن يكون في علنا inflation عشان هيك | |
| 277 | |
| 00:22:51,690 --> 00:22:55,010 | |
| استخدموا سياسة مالية انكماشية بدهم يخفضوا ال | |
| 278 | |
| 00:22:55,010 --> 00:22:59,030 | |
| inflation عشان هيك راحوا يستخدموا سياسة مالية | |
| 279 | |
| 00:22:59,030 --> 00:23:02,930 | |
| انكماشية تمام؟ يمكن هذا ال reason هذا السبب او | |
| 280 | |
| 00:23:02,930 --> 00:23:06,230 | |
| اللي يعني اللي اللي خلهم يستخدموا contractionary | |
| 281 | |
| 00:23:06,230 --> 00:23:09,070 | |
| fiscal policy خلينا نشوف شو ال effects او ال | |
| 282 | |
| 00:23:09,070 --> 00:23:12,750 | |
| impact of this policy on the goods market والمoney | |
| 283 | |
| 00:23:12,750 --> 00:23:19,660 | |
| market وال investment in general تمام؟ soas you as | |
| 284 | |
| 00:23:19,660 --> 00:23:23,600 | |
| we mentioned that the decreasing in g leads to a | |
| 285 | |
| 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,660 | |
| decreasing in aggregate expenditure because g is | |
| 286 | |
| 00:23:26,660 --> 00:23:29,040 | |
| part of aggregate expenditure so a decreasing in g | |
| 287 | |
| 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,620 | |
| leads to a decreasing in aggregate expenditure or | |
| 288 | |
| 00:23:31,620 --> 00:23:37,660 | |
| a decreasing in aggregate demand هدوين | |
| 289 | |
| 00:23:37,660 --> 00:23:43,320 | |
| بوديني على decreasing in y aggregate output or | |
| 290 | |
| 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:46,930 | |
| aggregate income مظبوطالـ Decreasing في الـ | |
| 291 | |
| 00:23:46,930 --> 00:23:50,810 | |
| aggregate output أو الـ Income شو معناه ده؟ leads | |
| 292 | |
| 00:23:50,810 --> 00:23:56,450 | |
| to a decreasing of money demand صح؟ | |
| 293 | |
| 00:23:56,450 --> 00:23:59,890 | |
| decreasing في ال money demand we have a leftward | |
| 294 | |
| 00:23:59,890 --> 00:24:04,770 | |
| shifting of the money demand curve خليني أشوفها | |
| 295 | |
| 00:24:04,770 --> 00:24:08,340 | |
| أولا بدي أوديني هذاطب هتقول بيوديني ان ال interest | |
| 296 | |
| 00:24:08,340 --> 00:24:12,500 | |
| rate هينزل صح؟ so the leftward shifting of money | |
| 297 | |
| 00:24:12,500 --> 00:24:16,820 | |
| demand curve leads to a decreasing in R which | |
| 298 | |
| 00:24:16,820 --> 00:24:22,400 | |
| means increasing of I و | |
| 299 | |
| 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:28,200 | |
| اللي بيوديني ع وين increasing of | |
| 300 | |
| 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,220 | |
| aggregate expenditure with a small amount | |
| 301 | |
| 00:24:34,010 --> 00:24:41,690 | |
| ومن ثم increasing في ال Y with a small هذا اسمه | |
| 302 | |
| 00:24:41,690 --> 00:24:46,310 | |
| crowding in شوفت العكس؟ يعني كوننا مخططين ننزل | |
| 303 | |
| 00:24:46,310 --> 00:24:50,150 | |
| الناتج يعني | |
| 304 | |
| 00:24:50,150 --> 00:24:54,730 | |
| من رقم لرقم، من 300 ل100، لكن نتيجة التزاحمات اللي | |
| 305 | |
| 00:24:54,730 --> 00:24:59,330 | |
| صارت أو تأثير الإيجاب لسعر الفائدة زود الناتج | |
| 306 | |
| 00:24:59,330 --> 00:25:07,520 | |
| بمقدار بسيطلا بيبقى لها مستمرة بس بس you have to | |
| 307 | |
| 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,920 | |
| understand the analysis يعني هذا اللي بديك تفهمه | |
| 308 | |
| 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:15,480 | |
| اللي بدك إذا بتمشي في السلسلة بتروح آه يعني إذا | |
| 309 | |
| 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:20,900 | |
| بدي أمشي بالتحليل بروح على سوق ال labor market و | |
| 310 | |
| 00:25:20,900 --> 00:25:23,600 | |
| بروح على سوق ال bonds و الهذا بس أنا مش رايح | |
| 311 | |
| 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:28,810 | |
| باتجاهات هذه يعني للتبسيط هي التحليل التبعيبس | |
| 312 | |
| 00:25:28,810 --> 00:25:31,250 | |
| تفهموا .. يعني it's far enough for you to | |
| 313 | |
| 00:25:31,250 --> 00:25:34,570 | |
| understand this يدرس advanced لطلاب التخصص في | |
| 314 | |
| 00:25:34,570 --> 00:25:39,050 | |
| الاقتصاد حتى يدرس في المصدر كمان مش بس .. let's | |
| 315 | |
| 00:25:39,050 --> 00:25:42,330 | |
| come back here to analyze the contractual fiscal | |
| 316 | |
| 00:25:42,330 --> 00:25:48,230 | |
| policy هذا | |
| 317 | |
| 00:25:48,230 --> 00:25:53,470 | |
| في ال goods market و .. and this is in the money | |
| 318 | |
| 00:25:53,470 --> 00:26:05,160 | |
| marketand this is the investment curve نيجي هان y | |
| 319 | |
| 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:12,800 | |
| aggregate expenditure one c | |
| 320 | |
| 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:18,600 | |
| plus i plus g نقول one تمام؟ لأن أنا بدي نزل ال g | |
| 321 | |
| 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:31,540 | |
| and this is a one y oneتمام؟ طيب الـ decreasing في | |
| 322 | |
| 00:26:31,540 --> 00:26:34,800 | |
| الـ G أمل decreasing في ال aggregate expenditure | |
| 323 | |
| 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,480 | |
| so we have a downward shifting في ال aggregate | |
| 324 | |
| 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:41,160 | |
| expenditure function صح؟ في عندى نزول في ال | |
| 325 | |
| 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:46,300 | |
| aggregate expenditure function وليه صارت هيك؟طبعا | |
| 326 | |
| 00:26:46,300 --> 00:26:51,480 | |
| هذا بيكون Parallel للتاني بشكل موازي So this is | |
| 327 | |
| 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:56,040 | |
| aggregate expenditure to C plus I plus G2 اللي هو | |
| 328 | |
| 00:26:56,040 --> 00:27:01,580 | |
| فيه اندزول في ال government spending تمام؟ طيب So | |
| 329 | |
| 00:27:01,580 --> 00:27:06,960 | |
| we have a new equilibrium which point E2 and this | |
| 330 | |
| 00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:15,770 | |
| is Y2 Suppose أنه كنا بدنا ننزل الناتج من 400400$ | |
| 331 | |
| 00:27:15,770 --> 00:27:22,410 | |
| ل 150$ هذا هو | |
| 332 | |
| 00:27:22,410 --> 00:27:26,630 | |
| المخطط التبعي ان انا بدأ نزل الناتج من 400$ ل 150$ | |
| 333 | |
| 00:27:26,630 --> 00:27:36,190 | |
| طيب شو نصار لنذهب لـ money market هذا | |
| 334 | |
| 00:27:36,190 --> 00:27:42,150 | |
| ال money supply one money demand one and this is | |
| 335 | |
| 00:27:42,150 --> 00:27:50,530 | |
| the QMR أين المناطق المتساويه هنا هذا E1 وهذا R1 | |
| 336 | |
| 00:27:50,530 --> 00:27:54,730 | |
| اتباه طيب ال decreasing اللي صار في ال aggregate | |
| 337 | |
| 00:27:54,730 --> 00:28:00,490 | |
| expenditure شو يعمل في النتج نزل from Y1 to Y2 صح | |
| 338 | |
| 00:28:00,490 --> 00:28:05,050 | |
| ومن ثم ال aggregate income نزل هايه this is | |
| 339 | |
| 00:28:05,050 --> 00:28:10,450 | |
| aggregate outputor a great income ومن ثم ال money | |
| 340 | |
| 00:28:10,450 --> 00:28:15,610 | |
| demand decline صح؟ so there is a leftward shifting | |
| 341 | |
| 00:28:15,610 --> 00:28:23,070 | |
| in the money demand curve ايو مدتو exactly شو صار | |
| 342 | |
| 00:28:23,070 --> 00:28:28,110 | |
| في ال interest rate نزل exactly so we have this is | |
| 343 | |
| 00:28:28,110 --> 00:28:33,190 | |
| a2 r2 we have a decreasing in the interest rate | |
| 344 | |
| 00:28:34,310 --> 00:28:45,670 | |
| خلّينا نرسم منحنا ال investment this is R I where | |
| 345 | |
| 00:28:45,670 --> 00:28:53,210 | |
| is the original interest rate هاي و هيك this is E1 | |
| 346 | |
| 00:28:53,210 --> 00:28:59,330 | |
| R1 we have a decreasing in R and this is I1 | |
| 347 | |
| 00:29:02,430 --> 00:29:09,710 | |
| we have a decreasing in R to E2 R2 we have a | |
| 348 | |
| 00:29:09,710 --> 00:29:17,030 | |
| decreasing in R and increasing in I مظبوط؟ | |
| 349 | |
| 00:29:17,030 --> 00:29:21,570 | |
| صح ولا لأ؟ هدا وين وداني؟ ال increasing in I leads | |
| 350 | |
| 00:29:21,570 --> 00:29:25,830 | |
| to an increasing in aggregate expenditure and then | |
| 351 | |
| 00:29:25,830 --> 00:29:29,470 | |
| Y with a small amount اللي هو ال crowding in إذا | |
| 352 | |
| 00:29:29,470 --> 00:29:34,520 | |
| خلينا نرسمه بال bloom lineهيو شفتوا قداش نزل | |
| 353 | |
| 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,720 | |
| بالأول بدي أرجع أرفعه بحاجة بسيطة اللي هو ال | |
| 354 | |
| 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:43,520 | |
| aggregate expenditure هنا هيو | |
| 355 | |
| 00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:48,980 | |
| there is a new equilibrium point صح هيا suppose it | |
| 356 | |
| 00:29:48,980 --> 00:29:58,890 | |
| was E تلاتة this is Y3 شو معناها ده؟Crowding in | |
| 357 | |
| 00:29:58,890 --> 00:30:07,850 | |
| exactly كنا مخططين نزل الناتج من Y1 ل Y2 راح نزل | |
| 358 | |
| 00:30:07,850 --> 00:30:11,750 | |
| بس من Y1 ل Y3 اللي هو المسافة هاي، مظبوط ولا لأ؟ | |
| 359 | |
| 00:30:11,750 --> 00:30:16,150 | |
| يعني لأنه رجع زاد الناتج شوية which called the | |
| 360 | |
| 00:30:16,150 --> 00:30:22,810 | |
| crowding in تمام؟ مين مش فاهم عيدله؟ صعب الأمور؟ | |
| 361 | |
| 00:30:23,550 --> 00:30:27,490 | |
| يعني لو جيبناكوا في الامتحان انه اعملوا تحليل ال | |
| 362 | |
| 00:30:27,490 --> 00:30:29,990 | |
| analysis تبع ليه crowding out او crowding in | |
| 363 | |
| 00:30:29,990 --> 00:30:32,970 | |
| بتقدروا تعمله by using expansion of fiscal policy | |
| 364 | |
| 00:30:32,970 --> 00:30:35,090 | |
| او expansion of monetary policy او اللي هو هذا | |
| 365 | |
| 00:30:35,090 --> 00:30:39,650 | |
| بتقدروا تعمله طيب تمام let's go to هل كده خلصنا من | |
| 366 | |
| 00:30:39,650 --> 00:30:41,570 | |
| تحليل السياسات ال | |
| 367 | |
| 00:30:46,170 --> 00:30:50,670 | |
| السياسة المالية اللي هي ال expansionary fiscal or | |
| 368 | |
| 00:30:50,670 --> 00:30:54,510 | |
| contractionary fiscal policy on the goods market | |
| 369 | |
| 00:30:54,510 --> 00:30:57,510 | |
| and the money market خلينا نروح على ال monetary | |
| 370 | |
| 00:30:57,510 --> 00:31:01,670 | |
| policy يعني سببوز إننا نستخدم expansionary | |
| 371 | |
| 00:31:01,670 --> 00:31:06,240 | |
| monetary policymaybe by increasing the money | |
| 372 | |
| 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:11,060 | |
| supply or something like this طيب اذا مين مش فاهم | |
| 373 | |
| 00:31:11,060 --> 00:31:14,920 | |
| طب شباب اعيدله جزئية التحليل المالي هذا مافيش | |
| 374 | |
| 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,420 | |
| مشكلة طيب اذا هداك اسهل ان شاء الله هيكون خليني | |
| 375 | |
| 00:31:18,420 --> 00:31:26,100 | |
| اروح ل ال monitor policy امسح امسح شباب okay | |
| 376 | |
| 00:31:35,750 --> 00:31:38,530 | |
| Expansion fiscal policy ولا فيه ال contractionary | |
| 377 | |
| 00:31:38,530 --> 00:31:44,430 | |
| دائما ال expansionary بتولد مشكلة crowding out ال | |
| 378 | |
| 00:31:44,430 --> 00:31:48,150 | |
| contractionary بتولد او بتظهر اندي اللي هو | |
| 379 | |
| 00:31:48,150 --> 00:31:53,240 | |
| crowding in تمام للفهم هذالأنه هتظهر عندى كمان | |
| 380 | |
| 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:57,120 | |
| شوية في ال expansionary monetary هيظهر فيها | |
| 381 | |
| 00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:01,100 | |
| crowding out دايما expansionary بظهر معاه crowding | |
| 382 | |
| 00:32:01,100 --> 00:32:05,460 | |
| out contractionary whether it was monetary او | |
| 383 | |
| 00:32:05,460 --> 00:32:10,080 | |
| fiscal بيظهر عندى crowding in تمام خلينا نشوف so | |
| 384 | |
| 00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:15,120 | |
| let's go to the to use an expansionary monetary | |
| 385 | |
| 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:20,240 | |
| policy expansionary رجعنا الصور بس شباب | |
| 386 | |
| 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:38,400 | |
| Expansionary Monetary Policy تمام؟ | |
| 387 | |
| 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:42,480 | |
| طيب شو معنى Expansionary Monetary Policy؟ يعني | |
| 388 | |
| 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,580 | |
| تزوّد المال الـ supply صح؟ طب كيف تزوّد المال الـ | |
| 389 | |
| 00:32:45,580 --> 00:32:50,350 | |
| supply؟يا اما بدى اقلل الـ discount rate او بدى | |
| 390 | |
| 00:32:50,350 --> 00:32:54,290 | |
| اقلل required reserve ratio او شو بدى اعمل؟ بدى | |
| 391 | |
| 00:32:54,290 --> 00:32:57,590 | |
| اشتري bonds بظبط لان اذا شريت bonds باعتلى الناس | |
| 392 | |
| 00:32:57,590 --> 00:33:02,810 | |
| فلوس وبتاع ال money supply بده increase صح؟ اذا I | |
| 393 | |
| 00:33:02,810 --> 00:33:06,810 | |
| have to use when I .. when the central bank use an | |
| 394 | |
| 00:33:06,810 --> 00:33:10,250 | |
| expenditure monitor policy this means increasing | |
| 395 | |
| 00:33:10,250 --> 00:33:15,670 | |
| the money supply by whether to decrease the | |
| 396 | |
| 00:33:15,670 --> 00:33:16,570 | |
| discount rate | |
| 397 | |
| 00:33:19,620 --> 00:33:23,320 | |
| or decreasing the required reserve ratio or | |
| 398 | |
| 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:32,600 | |
| purchasing bonds or buying bonds مظبوط؟ | |
| 399 | |
| 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,720 | |
| مش هي التلات أدوات اللي بيستخدمها ال central bank | |
| 400 | |
| 00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,640 | |
| أو ال federal reserve system عشان يزوّذ ال money | |
| 401 | |
| 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,840 | |
| supply طيب زيادة ال money supply بدأ أبدأ بال | |
| 402 | |
| 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:46,100 | |
| money supply هي this is the money market تمام؟ و | |
| 403 | |
| 00:33:46,100 --> 00:33:46,460 | |
| هذا | |
| 404 | |
| 00:33:51,550 --> 00:33:55,710 | |
| الـ investment line أو curve وهذا ال goods and | |
| 405 | |
| 00:33:55,710 --> 00:34:00,870 | |
| services market بال | |
| 406 | |
| 00:34:00,870 --> 00:34:03,350 | |
| money market بدأنا بإيش increasing بال money | |
| 407 | |
| 00:34:03,350 --> 00:34:09,510 | |
| supply هاي ال money supply vertical line MS1 and | |
| 408 | |
| 00:34:09,510 --> 00:34:13,430 | |
| this is the money demand curve one suppose ان وان | |
| 409 | |
| 00:34:13,430 --> 00:34:21,290 | |
| هيك this is E1 R1 QM1 | |
| 410 | |
| 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:30,660 | |
| RQM بعدين انا بشوف هنا وخلّي هذا this is the | |
| 411 | |
| 00:34:30,660 --> 00:34:37,500 | |
| investment curve ر I هذا | |
| 412 | |
| 00:34:37,500 --> 00:34:42,580 | |
| money market و هذا ال investment curve و هذا ال | |
| 413 | |
| 00:34:42,580 --> 00:34:45,280 | |
| goods market خلّيني اعمل ال original equilibrium | |
| 414 | |
| 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:49,680 | |
| point Y | |
| 415 | |
| 00:34:51,270 --> 00:35:02,030 | |
| aggregate expenditure one c plus i plus g and this | |
| 416 | |
| 00:35:02,030 --> 00:35:07,950 | |
| is a one y | |
| 417 | |
| 00:35:07,950 --> 00:35:15,960 | |
| one y aggregate expenditure نيجي للتحليل تبعناالـ | |
| 418 | |
| 00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:17,700 | |
| increasing في ال money supply شو بيعمل في ال money | |
| 419 | |
| 00:35:17,700 --> 00:35:21,240 | |
| supply curve؟ exactly في عندنا rightward shifting | |
| 420 | |
| 00:35:21,240 --> 00:35:24,320 | |
| في مين؟ في ال money supply curve هي انقلوا لليمين | |
| 421 | |
| 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,280 | |
| ل | |
| 422 | |
| 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:34,100 | |
| MS2 شو صار في ال interest rate؟ exactly so we have | |
| 423 | |
| 00:35:34,100 --> 00:35:39,560 | |
| a decreasing في ال interest rate to R2 this is A2 | |
| 424 | |
| 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:45,240 | |
| مابتقالي ال quantity of money increasedمظبوط؟ اذا | |
| 425 | |
| 00:35:45,240 --> 00:35:48,020 | |
| ال interest rate وين القديم؟ لو بدي أجي أعمل | |
| 426 | |
| 00:35:48,020 --> 00:35:54,600 | |
| القديم هيك هذا ال original interest rate صح؟ R1 E1 | |
| 427 | |
| 00:35:54,600 --> 00:36:01,000 | |
| و هذا ال I1 مظبوط؟ | |
| 428 | |
| 00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:05,180 | |
| ولا مش مظبوط؟ طيب ال rightward shifting في ال | |
| 429 | |
| 00:36:05,180 --> 00:36:08,200 | |
| money supply شو يعمل في ال interest rate؟ نزل ال | |
| 430 | |
| 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,280 | |
| interest rate وبالتالي في عنده interest rate جديد | |
| 431 | |
| 00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:12,140 | |
| هنا هيك | |
| 432 | |
| 00:36:15,070 --> 00:36:21,150 | |
| E2 هيزيد ال investment exactly this is R2 وهذا I2 | |
| 433 | |
| 00:36:21,150 --> 00:36:26,450 | |
| مظبوط؟ صح؟ طيب إذا خلّيني نمشي بالتحليل فوق هكذا | |
| 434 | |
| 00:36:26,450 --> 00:36:31,910 | |
| MS increased from MS1 to MS2 leads to what | |
| 435 | |
| 00:36:31,910 --> 00:36:36,950 | |
| increasing او decreasing in the interest rate طب | |
| 436 | |
| 00:36:36,950 --> 00:36:38,650 | |
| ال decreasing اللي صار في ال interest rate شو | |
| 437 | |
| 00:36:38,650 --> 00:36:42,510 | |
| بيعمل في ال I؟ بيزود ال I ومن ثم | |
| 438 | |
| 00:36:45,270 --> 00:36:49,690 | |
| بـ increasing في ال aggregate expenditure صح؟ | |
| 439 | |
| 00:36:49,690 --> 00:36:57,750 | |
| مظبوط؟ هذا وين بوديني؟ increasing in Y صح؟ طيب | |
| 440 | |
| 00:36:57,750 --> 00:37:04,330 | |
| خليني نعمله هنا في ال goods market decreasing | |
| 441 | |
| 00:37:04,330 --> 00:37:08,170 | |
| في ال R increasing I increasing aggregate | |
| 442 | |
| 00:37:08,170 --> 00:37:11,570 | |
| expenditure و من ثم increasing Y so there is an | |
| 443 | |
| 00:37:11,570 --> 00:37:13,530 | |
| upward shifting في مين؟ في ال aggregate | |
| 444 | |
| 00:37:13,530 --> 00:37:18,870 | |
| expenditureهي بشكل بنحكي إذا هذا aggregate | |
| 445 | |
| 00:37:18,870 --> 00:37:27,270 | |
| expenditure to C plus I2 لأن I اللي اتغير plus G | |
| 446 | |
| 00:37:27,270 --> 00:37:31,050 | |
| صح | |
| 447 | |
| 00:37:31,050 --> 00:37:33,810 | |
| صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح | |
| 448 | |
| 00:37:33,810 --> 00:37:33,970 | |
| صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح | |
| 449 | |
| 00:37:33,970 --> 00:37:35,890 | |
| صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح | |
| 450 | |
| 00:37:35,890 --> 00:37:35,950 | |
| صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح | |
| 451 | |
| 00:37:35,950 --> 00:37:36,030 | |
| صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح | |
| 452 | |
| 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,580 | |
| مظبوط ولا لأ؟ صار في عندي upward shifting في ال | |
| 453 | |
| 00:37:45,580 --> 00:37:48,900 | |
| aggregate expenditure function صح؟ شو صار في | |
| 454 | |
| 00:37:48,900 --> 00:37:54,880 | |
| النتج؟ زياد من Y1 to Y2 طب شو اللي صار لما زياد ال | |
| 455 | |
| 00:37:54,880 --> 00:38:00,500 | |
| Y؟ أكثر على ال money demand مظبوط؟ زيادة ال Y ال | |
| 456 | |
| 00:38:00,500 --> 00:38:03,520 | |
| aggregate output او aggregate income بيزود ال | |
| 457 | |
| 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,980 | |
| money demand طب زيادة ال money demand شو بتعمل في | |
| 458 | |
| 00:38:07,980 --> 00:38:11,500 | |
| ال interest rate؟بتزيده هى اعمل بصير فيه هنا end | |
| 459 | |
| 00:38:11,500 --> 00:38:16,060 | |
| ايش rightward shifting ل money demand curve هى اذا | |
| 460 | |
| 00:38:16,060 --> 00:38:20,260 | |
| فى الفيزي التانى صار فى عنا increasing فى ال money | |
| 461 | |
| 00:38:20,260 --> 00:38:24,680 | |
| demand هى وان ال money demand هى سببز انه اجى هيك | |
| 462 | |
| 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,420 | |
| to money demand 2 | |
| 463 | |
| 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:39,000 | |
| وين الـ Intersection ما بين الـ MS2 و MD2؟ هايو، | |
| 464 | |
| 00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,400 | |
| الأحمر و الأزرق هذا We have a new interest rate | |
| 465 | |
| 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:47,780 | |
| وبتلادى نزل سعر الفائدة from .. او sorry طلّع سعر | |
| 466 | |
| 00:38:47,780 --> 00:38:56,060 | |
| الفائدة from R2 to R3 مظبوط؟ ودّاني على E3 ومن ثم | |
| 467 | |
| 00:38:56,060 --> 00:39:02,900 | |
| ال interest rate زاد from R2 to R3 و ال investment | |
| 468 | |
| 00:39:02,900 --> 00:39:11,860 | |
| نزلfrom I2 to I3 صح؟ اذا هينهان هيك the increasing | |
| 469 | |
| 00:39:11,860 --> 00:39:14,760 | |
| in money demand increasing في ال money demand شو | |
| 470 | |
| 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:20,680 | |
| يعمل increasing في ال R decreasing I decreasing | |
| 471 | |
| 00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:25,080 | |
| aggregate expenditure decreasing Y وهذا اسمه a | |
| 472 | |
| 00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:29,700 | |
| crowding ايش out هيو حيرجع شويه هيك | |
| 473 | |
| 00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:38,060 | |
| هذا الانزول البسيط اسمه crowding out لان انا مخطط | |
| 474 | |
| 00:39:38,060 --> 00:39:46,180 | |
| ازود الناتج من Y1 ل Y2 لكن حقيقة رجع شويه وصار Y3 | |
| 475 | |
| 00:39:46,180 --> 00:39:51,870 | |
| اذا according to my planمخطط ليه ان ازالة عدد | |
| 476 | |
| 00:39:51,870 --> 00:40:01,330 | |
| الانترنت من Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة الانترنت من Y1 ل Y2 | |
| 477 | |
| 00:40:01,330 --> 00:40:05,930 | |
| بسبب ازالة انترنت من Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة انترنت من | |
| 478 | |
| 00:40:05,930 --> 00:40:13,930 | |
| Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة انترنت من Y1 ل Y2اللي بيظل ال | |
| 479 | |
| 00:40:13,930 --> 00:40:17,270 | |
| case الأخير اللي هو ال contractionary monetary | |
| 480 | |
| 00:40:17,270 --> 00:40:21,130 | |
| policy الحال المعاكسة بمعنى أنه هاي في عنده | |
| 481 | |
| 00:40:21,130 --> 00:40:25,810 | |
| contractionary monetary policy ال expansionary | |
| 482 | |
| 00:40:25,810 --> 00:40:29,210 | |
| monetary policy شوفنا ال crowding out ظهرت بدي | |
| 483 | |
| 00:40:29,210 --> 00:40:33,310 | |
| أشوف ال contractionary monetary policy بس وضحت | |
| 484 | |
| 00:40:33,310 --> 00:40:36,150 | |
| الصورة ولا مش مرة جاية بنكمل الجزئية | |