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1 |
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00:00:21,970 --> 00:00:24,950 |
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Okay بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم اليوم إن شاء الله |
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2 |
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00:00:24,950 --> 00:00:32,830 |
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سنكمل الحلقة الثامنة و سنقوم بالتحليق و التدخل و |
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3 |
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00:00:32,830 --> 00:00:34,110 |
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التدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و |
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4 |
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00:00:34,110 --> 00:00:38,390 |
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تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و |
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5 |
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00:00:38,390 --> 00:00:38,590 |
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تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و |
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6 |
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00:00:38,590 --> 00:00:38,610 |
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تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و |
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7 |
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00:00:38,610 --> 00:00:42,930 |
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تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و تدخل و |
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8 |
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00:00:42,930 --> 00:00:50,050 |
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تدخل و |
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9 |
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00:00:53,990 --> 00:00:56,370 |
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وهو الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام |
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10 |
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00:00:56,370 --> 00:00:57,350 |
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الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام |
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11 |
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00:00:57,350 --> 00:01:00,430 |
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الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام |
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12 |
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00:01:00,430 --> 00:01:04,090 |
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الاستخدام |
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13 |
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00:01:04,090 --> 00:01:07,550 |
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الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام |
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14 |
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00:01:07,550 --> 00:01:07,550 |
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الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام |
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15 |
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00:01:07,550 --> 00:01:07,590 |
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الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدام الاستخدم الاستخدم |
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16 |
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00:01:07,590 --> 00:01:07,590 |
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الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم |
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17 |
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00:01:07,590 --> 00:01:07,590 |
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الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم |
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18 |
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00:01:07,590 --> 00:01:13,140 |
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الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الاستخدم الالتطور أو |
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19 |
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00:01:13,140 --> 00:01:18,620 |
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تدفع الاقتصاد باستخدام اتفاق الاتفاق هذه الأدوات |
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20 |
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00:01:18,620 --> 00:01:26,420 |
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تزيد عمليات الحكومة أو عمليات الحكومة أو تدفع |
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21 |
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00:01:26,420 --> 00:01:32,760 |
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السعر لذلك عندما نتحدث عن اتفاق الاتفاق الاتفاق |
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22 |
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00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:37,700 |
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الاتفاق الاتفاق |
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23 |
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00:01:42,010 --> 00:01:49,430 |
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نحن نتكلم عن أزمة الحكومة أو او او او او او او او |
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24 |
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00:01:49,430 --> 00:01:50,150 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او |
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25 |
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00:01:50,150 --> 00:01:50,290 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او |
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26 |
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00:01:50,290 --> 00:01:53,050 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او |
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27 |
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00:01:53,050 --> 00:01:53,690 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او |
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28 |
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00:01:53,690 --> 00:01:54,870 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او او |
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29 |
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00:01:54,870 --> 00:01:58,150 |
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او |
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30 |
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00:01:58,150 --> 00:02:01,310 |
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او او او او او او او او او او او |
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31 |
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00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:10,820 |
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سنبدأ عملية تحديث هذه السيطرة على السوق الخاص بنا |
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32 |
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00:02:10,820 --> 00:02:12,580 |
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و بعدها السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على |
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33 |
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00:02:12,580 --> 00:02:14,240 |
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السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق |
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34 |
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00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,300 |
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الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا |
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35 |
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00:02:16,300 --> 00:02:19,420 |
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على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق |
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36 |
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00:02:19,420 --> 00:02:22,080 |
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الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا |
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37 |
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00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:22,280 |
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على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق |
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38 |
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00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:22,280 |
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الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا |
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39 |
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00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:22,920 |
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على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق |
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40 |
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00:02:22,920 --> 00:02:29,340 |
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الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق |
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41 |
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00:02:29,340 --> 00:02:35,120 |
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الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا على السوق الخاص بنا |
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42 |
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00:02:35,970 --> 00:02:45,330 |
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وهنا لدينا الـ aggregate expenditure 1 الـ |
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43 |
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00:02:45,330 --> 00:02:49,190 |
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equilibrium يحدث أو الـ equilibrium الوحيد يحدث |
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44 |
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00:02:49,190 --> 00:02:52,490 |
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عندما Y يقل aggregate expenditure ومعرفة أن |
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45 |
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00:02:52,490 --> 00:02:59,650 |
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aggregate expenditure 1 يقل C plus I plus G، صحيح؟ |
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46 |
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00:02:59,650 --> 00:03:05,570 |
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تمام؟ وهذا هو مقاومة الـ E1 هذا هو |
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47 |
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00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:21,240 |
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هذا هو نتيجة |
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48 |
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00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:22,640 |
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التوازن |
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49 |
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00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:38,400 |
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الحكومة تزوّد الناتج عن طريق |
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50 |
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00:03:48,300 --> 00:03:51,640 |
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استخدام سياسة مالية توسعية By increasing the |
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51 |
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00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,920 |
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government spending and or decreasing the taxes So |
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52 |
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00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,160 |
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what are the main consequences or effects or |
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53 |
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00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:03,000 |
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impacts of this policy on the aggregate |
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54 |
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00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,840 |
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expenditure So increasing the government spending |
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55 |
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00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:11,520 |
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leads to what? Increasing the aggregate |
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56 |
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00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,680 |
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expenditure or aggregate demand Which leads to |
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57 |
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00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:23,390 |
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what?ماذا هي التأثير التالف؟ بالضبط، |
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58 |
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00:04:23,390 --> 00:04:25,790 |
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تغيير الحركة العضلية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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59 |
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00:04:25,790 --> 00:04:25,790 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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60 |
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00:04:25,790 --> 00:04:28,630 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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61 |
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00:04:28,630 --> 00:04:31,730 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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62 |
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00:04:31,730 --> 00:04:34,130 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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63 |
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00:04:34,130 --> 00:04:36,270 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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64 |
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00:04:36,270 --> 00:04:36,270 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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65 |
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00:04:36,270 --> 00:04:36,310 |
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التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية التجاربية |
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66 |
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00:04:36,310 --> 00:04:43,150 |
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التجاربية الت |
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67 |
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00:04:48,270 --> 00:04:51,210 |
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upward shifting of the aggregate expenditure مش هي |
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68 |
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00:04:51,210 --> 00:04:53,910 |
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اللي صار زيادة الانفاق زود ال aggregate |
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69 |
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00:04:53,910 --> 00:04:57,450 |
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expenditure وبتالي there is upward shifting of the |
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70 |
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00:04:57,450 --> 00:05:00,610 |
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aggregate expenditure function صح؟ صار في عندي هي |
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71 |
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00:05:00,610 --> 00:05:03,570 |
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ال aggregate expenditure function there is an |
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72 |
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00:05:03,570 --> 00:05:06,490 |
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upward shifting of the aggregate expenditure to |
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73 |
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00:05:06,490 --> 00:05:11,750 |
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aggregate expenditure 2 equals C plus I plus G2 |
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74 |
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00:05:11,750 --> 00:05:17,440 |
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مظبوط؟ right؟شو صار في الناتج في ال aggregate |
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75 |
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00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:25,600 |
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output؟ this is E to exactly to Y2 so there is an |
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76 |
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00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:30,140 |
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increasing in the aggregate output from Y1 to Y2 |
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77 |
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00:05:30,140 --> 00:05:34,920 |
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right صح ولا لأ؟ الزيادة في الناتج leads to |
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78 |
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00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,580 |
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increasing to aggregate income مظبوط؟ so let's |
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79 |
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00:05:38,580 --> 00:05:41,840 |
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follow or complete the analysis here increasing of |
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80 |
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00:05:41,840 --> 00:05:44,900 |
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Y means increasing of aggregate income |
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81 |
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00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,360 |
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Increasing in income شو بيعمل في ال money demand؟ |
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82 |
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00:06:02,020 --> 00:06:06,380 |
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لذلك نحن لدينا تغيير كلمة صحيح للطريقة التي تتطلب |
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83 |
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00:06:06,380 --> 00:06:10,400 |
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المال إذا كنا نتكلم عن ماركت المال ، فهناك تغيير |
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84 |
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00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:15,460 |
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كلمة صحيح للطريقة التي تتطلب المال ، صح؟ إذا لو |
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85 |
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00:06:15,460 --> 00:06:19,000 |
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بدأ أجي لـ money demand curve أو ماركت المال ، |
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86 |
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00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:24,720 |
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نستطيع أن نرى ما |
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87 |
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00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:30,010 |
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هوالعامة المالية في العامة المالية لدينا مصادر |
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88 |
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00:06:30,010 --> 00:06:31,670 |
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المال والمصادر المالية دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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89 |
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00:06:31,670 --> 00:06:35,990 |
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دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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90 |
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00:06:35,990 --> 00:06:39,370 |
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دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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91 |
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00:06:39,370 --> 00:06:42,990 |
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دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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92 |
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00:06:42,990 --> 00:06:45,690 |
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دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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93 |
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00:06:45,690 --> 00:06:52,730 |
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دماغ دماغ دماغ |
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94 |
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00:06:52,730 --> 00:07:02,370 |
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دEQM1 So this is QM and this is R And this is E1 |
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95 |
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00:07:02,370 --> 00:07:08,210 |
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Now the increasing in money demand leads to what? |
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96 |
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00:07:08,610 --> 00:07:11,950 |
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A rightward shifting exactly in the money demand |
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97 |
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00:07:11,950 --> 00:07:14,690 |
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curve وبالتالي هى فى عندي صار فى انتقال فى ال |
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98 |
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00:07:14,690 --> 00:07:18,530 |
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money demand curve لوين؟ لليمين to money demand 2 |
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99 |
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00:07:20,870 --> 00:07:26,110 |
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صح ولا لأ؟ اذا .. so we have a new interest rate |
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100 |
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00:07:26,110 --> 00:07:34,070 |
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this is R2 increased مظبوط؟ طيب so the .. let's .. |
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101 |
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00:07:34,070 --> 00:07:39,210 |
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so this is A2 so let's come back to our analysis |
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102 |
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00:07:39,210 --> 00:07:42,250 |
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here as you see the increasing in money demand |
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103 |
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00:07:42,250 --> 00:07:46,890 |
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leads to what? increasing in the interest rate طب |
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104 |
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00:07:46,890 --> 00:07:49,950 |
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الزيادة في سعر الفائدة شو بتعمل في ال investment؟ |
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105 |
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00:07:50,270 --> 00:07:53,850 |
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بتنزلوا there is an inverse relationship بين ال |
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106 |
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00:07:53,850 --> 00:07:56,630 |
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interest rate و ال investment هيوة لو بده أرجع |
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107 |
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00:07:56,630 --> 00:08:00,170 |
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لرسمها لجهة so the increasing and the interest |
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108 |
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00:08:00,170 --> 00:08:05,850 |
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rate leads to a decreasing in I or the planned |
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109 |
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00:08:05,850 --> 00:08:12,650 |
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investment مظبوط ولا لأ؟ لأنه أصلا خليني أنغطي هذا |
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110 |
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00:08:12,650 --> 00:08:17,090 |
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هيك بس بيسكت |
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111 |
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00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:24,320 |
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Okay رجع لك كمان شوية okay so the increasing in |
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112 |
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00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,780 |
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the interest rate leads to a decreasing in the |
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113 |
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00:08:27,780 --> 00:08:30,280 |
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planned investment مظبوط ولا لأ طب ال planned |
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114 |
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00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,560 |
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investment is part of aggregate expenditure صح |
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115 |
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00:08:33,560 --> 00:08:38,820 |
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exactly so we have a decreasing in aggregate |
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116 |
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00:08:38,820 --> 00:08:44,580 |
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expenditure مظبوط exactly yes with a smaller than |
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117 |
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00:08:44,580 --> 00:08:49,390 |
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the previousفيز طبعا هذا ايه اكي صار في and with a |
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118 |
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00:08:49,390 --> 00:08:53,050 |
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small مصبوح |
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119 |
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00:08:53,050 --> 00:08:58,510 |
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اذا شو اللي صار هل هيرجع ال aggregate expenditure |
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120 |
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00:08:58,510 --> 00:09:05,930 |
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شو يصير هيرجع ينزل مرة تانية بس بالنسبة بسيطة so |
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121 |
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00:09:05,930 --> 00:09:11,190 |
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here we have a downward shifting in the aggregate |
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122 |
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00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:11,990 |
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expenditure |
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123 |
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00:09:14,850 --> 00:09:19,470 |
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صح هيو جينا ليش ل aggregate expenditure three C |
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124 |
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00:09:19,470 --> 00:09:27,410 |
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plus I plus G two plus I two اللي نزلها so this is |
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125 |
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00:09:27,410 --> 00:09:33,730 |
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I two sorry this is I two so in the first case شو |
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126 |
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00:09:33,730 --> 00:09:39,370 |
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كان الوضع كان في عندي upward shifting and then we |
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127 |
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00:09:39,370 --> 00:09:45,400 |
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have a downward shifting with a small amountصح قال |
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128 |
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00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:53,740 |
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لها this leads to what the final this is a3 شو |
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129 |
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00:09:53,740 --> 00:09:58,280 |
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يعمل في النتيجة exactly so we have a small |
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130 |
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00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:02,400 |
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decreasing in the aggregate output اذا هنا we have |
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131 |
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00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,300 |
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a small decreasing in the aggregate expenditure |
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132 |
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00:10:05,300 --> 00:10:12,860 |
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leads to a smaller decreasing in y صح حيومثبت ولا |
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133 |
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لأ؟ صح؟ شوفوا هذا ال small decreasing اذا كانت |
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134 |
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00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:24,860 |
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الدولة او ال government مخطط انه يزيد الناتج from |
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135 |
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00:10:24,860 --> 00:10:30,700 |
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Y1 to Y2 يعني سببز انه بدي يزيد الناتج من 100 |
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136 |
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00:10:30,700 --> 00:10:36,460 |
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مليون ل 300 مليون unfortunately as a result of or |
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137 |
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00:10:36,460 --> 00:10:42,560 |
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due to the crowding out صار في عنديdeduction or |
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138 |
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00:10:42,560 --> 00:10:47,740 |
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decreasing in the planned output صار قول 280 يعني |
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139 |
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00:10:47,740 --> 00:10:51,960 |
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هم كانوا مخططين يزودوا الناتج من 100 ل 300 لكن ما |
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140 |
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00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:57,620 |
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زادش ل 300 نزل او زاد من 100 ل 280 هذا الفرق ال |
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141 |
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00:10:57,620 --> 00:11:01,920 |
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decreasing بيسمو crowding out crowding out عارفين |
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142 |
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00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:03,700 |
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إيش يعني مزحمة |
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143 |
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00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:09,980 |
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مزحمة للخلف بالنتج يعني بمعنى ان النتج صار في اندي |
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144 |
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00:11:09,980 --> 00:11:14,560 |
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تزاحمات نتيجة ان ال interest rate طلع أثر على ال |
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145 |
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00:11:14,560 --> 00:11:18,680 |
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investment بالسلب وبالتالي صار في نزول في |
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146 |
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00:11:18,680 --> 00:11:22,140 |
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aggregate output ومن ثم هذا بيسموه crowding out |
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147 |
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00:11:22,140 --> 00:11:26,820 |
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effect تمام؟ اه شباب؟ اذا if you would like to |
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148 |
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00:11:26,820 --> 00:11:32,540 |
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analyze or to analyze yes the effect of |
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149 |
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00:11:35,230 --> 00:11:37,850 |
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Interest or the relationship between interest rate |
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150 |
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00:11:37,850 --> 00:11:41,430 |
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and the planned investment خلينا نعمل رسم هيك لل |
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151 |
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00:11:41,430 --> 00:11:46,190 |
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interest rate و ل planned investment This is R I |
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152 |
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00:11:46,190 --> 00:11:49,610 |
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and as you know that the relationship between R |
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153 |
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00:11:49,610 --> 00:11:53,110 |
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and I is what؟ Negative صح؟ أيوه |
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154 |
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00:11:56,330 --> 00:12:01,030 |
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هذا I وهذا رقم الاستثمار المخطط مظبوط؟ طيب اين هو |
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155 |
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00:12:01,030 --> 00:12:04,110 |
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الانترست الوحيد؟ وين كان الانترست الوحيد؟ هايه |
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156 |
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00:12:04,110 --> 00:12:09,490 |
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ماشي مع رسمها هيك هاي الانترست الوحيد او الانترست |
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157 |
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00:12:09,490 --> 00:12:14,430 |
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الوحيد اللي هو ال R1 مظبوط؟ هايها هذا R1 وهذا E1 |
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158 |
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00:12:14,430 --> 00:12:19,470 |
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تطابق ما بين هذا وهذا؟ وهذا الانترست المخطط I1 |
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159 |
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00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,560 |
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when the money demand increased شو اللي صار ال |
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160 |
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00:12:25,560 --> 00:12:30,720 |
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interest rate increased to |
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161 |
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00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:38,440 |
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E2 this is R2 and I has declined to I2 نفس الشغل |
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162 |
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00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:42,060 |
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اللي بنحكي فيه هذا هايو increasing in R leads to a |
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163 |
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00:12:42,060 --> 00:12:45,720 |
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decreasing in I مظبوط then aggregate expenditure |
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164 |
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00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:51,010 |
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declined and then Y declinedتمام؟ وهذا الانزول هنا |
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165 |
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00:12:51,010 --> 00:12:55,930 |
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اسمه crowding out تمام؟ مين مش فاهم عيدله؟ لأن |
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166 |
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00:12:55,930 --> 00:13:01,950 |
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المحاضرة هدف الجزء منها في الامتحان انا |
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167 |
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00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:06,270 |
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later on بحكيلك كيف بيجي السؤال بس بدي تفهم the |
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168 |
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00:13:06,270 --> 00:13:08,970 |
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most important issue is to understand what I say |
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169 |
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00:13:08,970 --> 00:13:13,330 |
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اه؟ طيب اذا let us summarize |
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170 |
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00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:32,380 |
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الحكومة تستخدم سياسة مالية توسعية باستخدام استخدام |
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171 |
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00:13:32,380 --> 00:13:32,820 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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172 |
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00:13:32,820 --> 00:13:34,680 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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173 |
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00:13:34,680 --> 00:13:34,680 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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174 |
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00:13:34,680 --> 00:13:34,680 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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175 |
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00:13:34,680 --> 00:13:34,760 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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176 |
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00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:34,780 |
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استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام استخدام |
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177 |
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00:13:34,780 --> 00:13:43,440 |
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استخدام استخدام استخد |
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178 |
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00:13:43,580 --> 00:13:46,280 |
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which leads to increasing aggregate output and |
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179 |
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00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:50,040 |
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then increasing the aggregate income مظبوط؟ طيب |
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180 |
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00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,840 |
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increasing the aggregate income leads to |
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181 |
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00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:58,100 |
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increasing the money demand which leads to a |
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182 |
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00:13:58,100 --> 00:14:01,460 |
|
rightward shifting of the money demand curve صح؟ |
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183 |
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00:14:01,460 --> 00:14:07,770 |
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هى لأ و بدى أرجع شويه هيكUsing an expansion of |
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184 |
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00:14:07,770 --> 00:14:09,790 |
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fiscal policy means increasing the government |
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185 |
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00:14:09,790 --> 00:14:12,130 |
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spending leads to increasing aggregate expenditure |
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186 |
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00:14:12,130 --> 00:14:15,550 |
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from aggregate expenditure of the black line one |
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187 |
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00:14:15,550 --> 00:14:19,610 |
|
to the aggregate expenditure two So Y has |
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188 |
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00:14:19,610 --> 00:14:23,470 |
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increased from Y one to Y two بصبو يعني if suppose |
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189 |
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00:14:23,470 --> 00:14:29,850 |
|
من مية لتلت مية طب بعد هيك The increasing in money |
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190 |
|
00:14:29,850 --> 00:14:34,750 |
|
demand leads to increasing the interest rateصح؟ هي |
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191 |
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00:14:34,750 --> 00:14:39,550 |
|
ال interest rate طلع من R1 to R2 وهي ينبين عندى |
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192 |
|
00:14:39,550 --> 00:14:42,850 |
|
هنا بال relationship between R and I او the |
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193 |
|
00:14:42,850 --> 00:14:46,830 |
|
planned investment curve هي increasing في ال |
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194 |
|
00:14:46,830 --> 00:14:48,910 |
|
interest rate طب عارفين احنا ال increasing في ال |
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195 |
|
00:14:48,910 --> 00:14:50,790 |
|
interest rate هو ال cost of borrowing وبالتالي ال |
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196 |
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00:14:50,790 --> 00:14:56,310 |
|
investment بده يقل with a small amount اللي أثر |
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197 |
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00:14:56,310 --> 00:14:59,830 |
|
تلقائيا على ال aggregate expenditure ومن ثم ال |
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198 |
|
00:14:59,830 --> 00:15:04,610 |
|
aggregate Yaggregate output or aggregate income |
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199 |
|
00:15:04,610 --> 00:15:09,250 |
|
واللي رجع الناتج بدل ما كنا مخططين زوده من Y1 ل Y2 |
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200 |
|
00:15:09,250 --> 00:15:16,850 |
|
رح رجع شوية من Y2 ل Y3 هذا اسمه crowding out بس |
|
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|
201 |
|
00:15:16,850 --> 00:15:25,210 |
|
طبعا طيب سؤال امتى بيكونش فيه تأثير لسعر الفائدة |
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202 |
|
00:15:25,210 --> 00:15:29,110 |
|
على الاستثمار على ال investmentيعني لما بيزيد ال |
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203 |
|
00:15:29,110 --> 00:15:36,770 |
|
interest rate ال investment مازيدش بيجلش اه |
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204 |
|
00:15:38,770 --> 00:15:42,610 |
|
السؤال بيقول انه احنا بنقول انه ال crowding out او |
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205 |
|
00:15:42,610 --> 00:15:46,130 |
|
مشكلة ال crowding out ظهرت وين لما .. لما ارتفع |
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206 |
|
00:15:46,130 --> 00:15:49,870 |
|
سعر الفائدة نزل استثمار ومن ثم نزل الناتج صح؟ وهذا |
|
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|
207 |
|
00:15:49,870 --> 00:15:53,310 |
|
الإشكالي اللي احنا مخطط ان ازود ال Y ال Inca ال |
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208 |
|
00:15:53,310 --> 00:15:56,930 |
|
aggregate output من Y1 ل Y2 وبالتالي نتيجة انه |
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209 |
|
00:15:56,930 --> 00:16:01,790 |
|
حساسية ال sensitivity لل investment لسعر الفائدة |
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210 |
|
00:16:01,790 --> 00:16:05,620 |
|
هو اللي أثر على ان النتج يرجع لورا، مظبوط؟بس |
|
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211 |
|
00:16:05,620 --> 00:16:08,580 |
|
السؤالي أنا خليني أسأل السؤال وبعدين أخد منكم |
|
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212 |
|
00:16:08,580 --> 00:16:14,680 |
|
السؤال بيقول امتى جايك محمد هلأ السؤال بيقول انه |
|
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213 |
|
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:18,300 |
|
ممكن نرفع سعر الفائدة بس الاستثمار ماينزلش وقتاش |
|
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|
214 |
|
00:16:18,300 --> 00:16:22,500 |
|
وبالتالي مافيش تأثير على ان ال income ال aggregate |
|
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|
215 |
|
00:16:22,500 --> 00:16:24,680 |
|
expenditure ينزل yes تاني |
|
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|
216 |
|
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:35,560 |
|
لما يزيد نسبة ال government تمام بمقدار نسبة ال I |
|
|
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217 |
|
00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:40,920 |
|
نزولها؟ لأ السؤال يه انه وقتهش انه ال interest |
|
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|
218 |
|
00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:44,760 |
|
rate لما بيزيد ال investment ما بينزلش يسمحوا .. |
|
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|
219 |
|
00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:50,020 |
|
exactly thank you very much indeed yes yes لما |
|
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|
220 |
|
00:16:50,020 --> 00:16:53,060 |
|
بيكون ملحانة ال investment ال plant investment |
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221 |
|
00:16:53,060 --> 00:16:56,140 |
|
vertical line ها يو خليه vertical line شو اللي |
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222 |
|
00:16:56,140 --> 00:17:02,110 |
|
بيصير؟ارفع ال interest rate ال investment مينزلش |
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223 |
|
00:17:02,110 --> 00:17:11,530 |
|
خلّي ال investment curve vertical line خلّي عمودي |
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224 |
|
00:17:11,530 --> 00:17:19,810 |
|
هيك exactly خلّي ال investment هيك vertical line |
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225 |
|
00:17:19,810 --> 00:17:25,850 |
|
so this is R I وين ال interest rate الرئيسي؟ هيه |
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226 |
|
00:17:25,850 --> 00:17:31,810 |
|
this is A1وارتفع .. this is I1 R1 ارفع ال interest |
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227 |
|
00:17:31,810 --> 00:17:37,070 |
|
rate زود ال interest rate to R2 ال investment I2 |
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228 |
|
00:17:37,070 --> 00:17:43,030 |
|
there is no decreasing in I عشان هيك لأ بتصير |
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229 |
|
00:17:43,030 --> 00:17:47,310 |
|
بتصير عشان هيك بيكون مافيش crowding out في حالة |
|
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230 |
|
00:17:47,310 --> 00:17:53,170 |
|
انه if the investment curve is vertical line معنى |
|
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231 |
|
00:17:53,170 --> 00:17:57,610 |
|
الكلام انه الاستثمار مش حساس لسه على الفئدة صح؟ |
|
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232 |
|
00:17:58,970 --> 00:18:02,670 |
|
مظبوط؟ or the investment is not respond for the |
|
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233 |
|
00:18:02,670 --> 00:18:07,910 |
|
interest rate مظبوط؟ مافيش استجابة للارتفاعات في |
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234 |
|
00:18:07,910 --> 00:18:11,750 |
|
سعر الفدع تأثير على الاستثمار so in this case the |
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235 |
|
00:18:11,750 --> 00:18:16,270 |
|
crowding out equals what؟ zero exactly عشان هيك مش |
|
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236 |
|
00:18:16,270 --> 00:18:18,550 |
|
هيرجع تاني ينزل aggregate expenditure |
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237 |
|
00:18:21,820 --> 00:18:24,420 |
|
مفيش .. على .. it depends you have to analyze you |
|
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|
238 |
|
00:18:24,420 --> 00:18:27,460 |
|
have to collect data او information about the |
|
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|
239 |
|
00:18:27,460 --> 00:18:31,000 |
|
investment and interest rate و تشوف بالاخر احنا |
|
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|
240 |
|
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:35,800 |
|
بندرس cases على كيف بدي اخليه جايكلك كيف اخليه |
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|
241 |
|
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:40,680 |
|
thank you على سؤالك ازملكم بيسأل سؤال انه كيف بدي |
|
|
|
242 |
|
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:45,380 |
|
اخلي ال investment او اللي هو ال investment مش |
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243 |
|
00:18:45,380 --> 00:18:50,010 |
|
حساس او بدي ألغي تأثير سعر الفائدةعارفين شو بدى |
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244 |
|
00:18:50,010 --> 00:18:58,010 |
|
أعمله؟ بدى أرجع بس للرسم هاي و أحل لك المشكلة this |
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245 |
|
00:18:58,010 --> 00:19:03,610 |
|
is |
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246 |
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00:19:03,610 --> 00:19:11,070 |
|
I مظبوط and this is R and I تمام according to our |
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247 |
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00:19:11,070 --> 00:19:13,570 |
|
assumption this is E1 |
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248 |
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00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:27,480 |
|
E2 R1 R2 I1 I2 في عنده increasing في ال R و |
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249 |
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00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:35,500 |
|
decreasing في ال I عشان ألغي تأثير to cancel the |
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250 |
|
00:19:35,500 --> 00:19:38,480 |
|
effects of interest rate على سعر الفائد ده شو بعمل |
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251 |
|
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:45,870 |
|
الحل اللي قالك بسيطةالـ money supply كيف |
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252 |
|
00:19:45,870 --> 00:19:52,230 |
|
تعمل تزوّد ال money supply خلاص اعمل rightward |
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253 |
|
00:19:52,230 --> 00:19:55,490 |
|
shifting لـ money supply curve هيو جيبه هنا هيك |
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254 |
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00:19:55,490 --> 00:19:56,690 |
|
خلصنا ثبت |
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255 |
|
00:20:02,110 --> 00:20:06,990 |
|
عشان ألغي تأثير ألغي crowding out زود ال money |
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256 |
|
00:20:06,990 --> 00:20:10,790 |
|
supply شو صار ال interest rate نزل وبالتالي بطل |
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|
257 |
|
00:20:10,790 --> 00:20:14,370 |
|
فيه التقى تأثير ال interest rate على ال investment |
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258 |
|
00:20:14,370 --> 00:20:21,420 |
|
Yes عبداللهبالتأكيد، بالتأكيد، لكي نحل المشكلة من |
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259 |
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00:20:21,420 --> 00:20:25,420 |
|
المجتمع، المشكلة من المجتمع، لدينا أو الشركة |
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260 |
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00:20:25,420 --> 00:20:32,440 |
|
الأساسية لتحفة المال، أو لإستخدام منظمة تحفيزية، |
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261 |
|
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:39,380 |
|
نعم عبداللهOkay ماشي بس أنا the question is how |
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262 |
|
00:20:39,380 --> 00:20:43,560 |
|
could we solve the crowding out effect يعني كيف |
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263 |
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00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:48,700 |
|
بدي ألغى تأثير هذا تأثير الارتفاع في سعر الفائدة؟ |
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264 |
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00:20:50,220 --> 00:20:56,820 |
|
هذا الرد ع سؤالك وصلة تمام So as we mentioned that |
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265 |
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00:20:56,820 --> 00:21:00,320 |
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using an expansionary fiscal policy as you see |
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266 |
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00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,720 |
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leads to increasing aggregate expenditure then |
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267 |
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00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,660 |
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aggregate output aggregate income increasing money |
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268 |
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00:21:06,660 --> 00:21:09,480 |
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demand increasing interest rate decreasing I and |
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269 |
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00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:13,740 |
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so on So the crowding out problem or the crowding |
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270 |
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00:21:13,740 --> 00:21:19,610 |
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out ethic has been created whenوين تولدت فكرة أو |
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271 |
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00:21:19,610 --> 00:21:22,810 |
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مشكلة لـ crowding out when the government use an |
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272 |
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00:21:22,810 --> 00:21:26,610 |
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expansionary fiscal policy صح؟ طيب، بدأ أروح |
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273 |
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00:21:26,610 --> 00:21:32,930 |
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أستخدم let us use a contractionary fiscal policy |
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274 |
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00:21:32,930 --> 00:21:36,750 |
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يعني أنا بدأ أستخدم إشي معاكس بمعنى إنه أنا بدأ |
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275 |
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00:21:36,750 --> 00:21:42,110 |
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أستخدم contractionary fiscal policy by decreasing |
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276 |
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00:21:42,110 --> 00:21:45,170 |
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the government spending and or increasing the |
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277 |
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00:21:45,170 --> 00:21:48,870 |
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taxes خلينا نشوفوبدأ أشوف التأثير على ال three .. |
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278 |
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00:21:48,870 --> 00:21:51,870 |
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على ال three .. ال analysis على ال three diagrams |
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279 |
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00:21:51,870 --> 00:22:08,150 |
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هدول تمام؟ طيب So |
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280 |
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00:22:08,150 --> 00:22:12,390 |
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let's use a contractionary fiscal policy |
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281 |
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00:22:12,390 --> 00:22:16,090 |
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expansionary |
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282 |
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00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:38,820 |
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سياسة مالية انكماشية by decreasing the government |
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283 |
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00:22:38,820 --> 00:22:46,840 |
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spending or increasing the taxesيا بدنا ننزل انفاق |
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284 |
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00:22:48,650 --> 00:22:51,690 |
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maybe ممكن يكون في علنا inflation عشان هيك |
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285 |
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00:22:51,690 --> 00:22:55,010 |
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استخدموا سياسة مالية انكماشية بدهم يخفضوا ال |
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286 |
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00:22:55,010 --> 00:22:59,030 |
|
inflation عشان هيك راحوا يستخدموا سياسة مالية |
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287 |
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00:22:59,030 --> 00:23:02,930 |
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انكماشية تمام؟ يمكن هذا ال reason هذا السبب او |
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288 |
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00:23:02,930 --> 00:23:06,230 |
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اللي يعني اللي اللي خلهم يستخدموا contractionary |
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289 |
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00:23:06,230 --> 00:23:09,070 |
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fiscal policy خلينا نشوف شو ال effects او ال |
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290 |
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00:23:09,070 --> 00:23:12,750 |
|
impact of this policy on the goods market والمoney |
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291 |
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00:23:12,750 --> 00:23:19,660 |
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market وال investment in general تمام؟ soas you as |
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292 |
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00:23:19,660 --> 00:23:23,600 |
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we mentioned that the decreasing in g leads to a |
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293 |
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00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,660 |
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decreasing in aggregate expenditure because g is |
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294 |
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00:23:26,660 --> 00:23:29,040 |
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part of aggregate expenditure so a decreasing in g |
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295 |
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00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,620 |
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leads to a decreasing in aggregate expenditure or |
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296 |
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00:23:31,620 --> 00:23:37,660 |
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a decreasing in aggregate demand هدوين |
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297 |
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00:23:37,660 --> 00:23:43,320 |
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بوديني على decreasing in y aggregate output or |
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298 |
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00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:46,930 |
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aggregate income مظبوطالـ Decreasing في الـ |
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299 |
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00:23:46,930 --> 00:23:50,810 |
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aggregate output أو الـ Income شو معناه ده؟ leads |
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300 |
|
00:23:50,810 --> 00:23:56,450 |
|
to a decreasing of money demand صح؟ |
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301 |
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00:23:56,450 --> 00:23:59,890 |
|
decreasing في ال money demand we have a leftward |
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302 |
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00:23:59,890 --> 00:24:04,770 |
|
shifting of the money demand curve خليني أشوفها |
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303 |
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00:24:04,770 --> 00:24:08,340 |
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أولا بدي أوديني هذاطب هتقول بيوديني ان ال interest |
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304 |
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00:24:08,340 --> 00:24:12,500 |
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rate هينزل صح؟ so the leftward shifting of money |
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305 |
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00:24:12,500 --> 00:24:16,820 |
|
demand curve leads to a decreasing in R which |
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306 |
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00:24:16,820 --> 00:24:22,400 |
|
means increasing of I و |
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307 |
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00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:28,200 |
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اللي بيوديني ع وين increasing of |
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308 |
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00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,220 |
|
aggregate expenditure with a small amount |
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309 |
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00:24:34,010 --> 00:24:41,690 |
|
ومن ثم increasing في ال Y with a small هذا اسمه |
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310 |
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00:24:41,690 --> 00:24:46,310 |
|
crowding in شوفت العكس؟ يعني كوننا مخططين ننزل |
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311 |
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00:24:46,310 --> 00:24:50,150 |
|
الناتج يعني |
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312 |
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00:24:50,150 --> 00:24:54,730 |
|
من رقم لرقم، من 300 ل100، لكن نتيجة التزاحمات اللي |
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313 |
|
00:24:54,730 --> 00:24:59,330 |
|
صارت أو تأثير الإيجاب لسعر الفائدة زود الناتج |
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314 |
|
00:24:59,330 --> 00:25:07,520 |
|
بمقدار بسيطلا بيبقى لها مستمرة بس بس you have to |
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315 |
|
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,920 |
|
understand the analysis يعني هذا اللي بديك تفهمه |
|
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|
316 |
|
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:15,480 |
|
اللي بدك إذا بتمشي في السلسلة بتروح آه يعني إذا |
|
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317 |
|
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:20,900 |
|
بدي أمشي بالتحليل بروح على سوق ال labor market و |
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318 |
|
00:25:20,900 --> 00:25:23,600 |
|
بروح على سوق ال bonds و الهذا بس أنا مش رايح |
|
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319 |
|
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:28,810 |
|
باتجاهات هذه يعني للتبسيط هي التحليل التبعيبس |
|
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|
320 |
|
00:25:28,810 --> 00:25:31,250 |
|
تفهموا .. يعني it's far enough for you to |
|
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321 |
|
00:25:31,250 --> 00:25:34,570 |
|
understand this يدرس advanced لطلاب التخصص في |
|
|
|
322 |
|
00:25:34,570 --> 00:25:39,050 |
|
الاقتصاد حتى يدرس في المصدر كمان مش بس .. let's |
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|
323 |
|
00:25:39,050 --> 00:25:42,330 |
|
come back here to analyze the contractual fiscal |
|
|
|
324 |
|
00:25:42,330 --> 00:25:48,230 |
|
policy هذا |
|
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|
325 |
|
00:25:48,230 --> 00:25:53,470 |
|
في ال goods market و .. and this is in the money |
|
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|
326 |
|
00:25:53,470 --> 00:26:05,160 |
|
marketand this is the investment curve نيجي هان y |
|
|
|
327 |
|
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:12,800 |
|
aggregate expenditure one c |
|
|
|
328 |
|
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:18,600 |
|
plus i plus g نقول one تمام؟ لأن أنا بدي نزل ال g |
|
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|
329 |
|
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:31,540 |
|
and this is a one y oneتمام؟ طيب الـ decreasing في |
|
|
|
330 |
|
00:26:31,540 --> 00:26:34,800 |
|
الـ G أمل decreasing في ال aggregate expenditure |
|
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|
331 |
|
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,480 |
|
so we have a downward shifting في ال aggregate |
|
|
|
332 |
|
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:41,160 |
|
expenditure function صح؟ في عندى نزول في ال |
|
|
|
333 |
|
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:46,300 |
|
aggregate expenditure function وليه صارت هيك؟طبعا |
|
|
|
334 |
|
00:26:46,300 --> 00:26:51,480 |
|
هذا بيكون Parallel للتاني بشكل موازي So this is |
|
|
|
335 |
|
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:56,040 |
|
aggregate expenditure to C plus I plus G2 اللي هو |
|
|
|
336 |
|
00:26:56,040 --> 00:27:01,580 |
|
فيه اندزول في ال government spending تمام؟ طيب So |
|
|
|
337 |
|
00:27:01,580 --> 00:27:06,960 |
|
we have a new equilibrium which point E2 and this |
|
|
|
338 |
|
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:15,770 |
|
is Y2 Suppose أنه كنا بدنا ننزل الناتج من 400400$ |
|
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|
339 |
|
00:27:15,770 --> 00:27:22,410 |
|
ل 150$ هذا هو |
|
|
|
340 |
|
00:27:22,410 --> 00:27:26,630 |
|
المخطط التبعي ان انا بدأ نزل الناتج من 400$ ل 150$ |
|
|
|
341 |
|
00:27:26,630 --> 00:27:36,190 |
|
طيب شو نصار لنذهب لـ money market هذا |
|
|
|
342 |
|
00:27:36,190 --> 00:27:42,150 |
|
ال money supply one money demand one and this is |
|
|
|
343 |
|
00:27:42,150 --> 00:27:50,530 |
|
the QMR أين المناطق المتساويه هنا هذا E1 وهذا R1 |
|
|
|
344 |
|
00:27:50,530 --> 00:27:54,730 |
|
اتباه طيب ال decreasing اللي صار في ال aggregate |
|
|
|
345 |
|
00:27:54,730 --> 00:28:00,490 |
|
expenditure شو يعمل في النتج نزل from Y1 to Y2 صح |
|
|
|
346 |
|
00:28:00,490 --> 00:28:05,050 |
|
ومن ثم ال aggregate income نزل هايه this is |
|
|
|
347 |
|
00:28:05,050 --> 00:28:10,450 |
|
aggregate outputor a great income ومن ثم ال money |
|
|
|
348 |
|
00:28:10,450 --> 00:28:15,610 |
|
demand decline صح؟ so there is a leftward shifting |
|
|
|
349 |
|
00:28:15,610 --> 00:28:23,070 |
|
in the money demand curve ايو مدتو exactly شو صار |
|
|
|
350 |
|
00:28:23,070 --> 00:28:28,110 |
|
في ال interest rate نزل exactly so we have this is |
|
|
|
351 |
|
00:28:28,110 --> 00:28:33,190 |
|
a2 r2 we have a decreasing in the interest rate |
|
|
|
352 |
|
00:28:34,310 --> 00:28:45,670 |
|
خلّينا نرسم منحنا ال investment this is R I where |
|
|
|
353 |
|
00:28:45,670 --> 00:28:53,210 |
|
is the original interest rate هاي و هيك this is E1 |
|
|
|
354 |
|
00:28:53,210 --> 00:28:59,330 |
|
R1 we have a decreasing in R and this is I1 |
|
|
|
355 |
|
00:29:02,430 --> 00:29:09,710 |
|
we have a decreasing in R to E2 R2 we have a |
|
|
|
356 |
|
00:29:09,710 --> 00:29:17,030 |
|
decreasing in R and increasing in I مظبوط؟ |
|
|
|
357 |
|
00:29:17,030 --> 00:29:21,570 |
|
صح ولا لأ؟ هدا وين وداني؟ ال increasing in I leads |
|
|
|
358 |
|
00:29:21,570 --> 00:29:25,830 |
|
to an increasing in aggregate expenditure and then |
|
|
|
359 |
|
00:29:25,830 --> 00:29:29,470 |
|
Y with a small amount اللي هو ال crowding in إذا |
|
|
|
360 |
|
00:29:29,470 --> 00:29:34,520 |
|
خلينا نرسمه بال bloom lineهيو شفتوا قداش نزل |
|
|
|
361 |
|
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,720 |
|
بالأول بدي أرجع أرفعه بحاجة بسيطة اللي هو ال |
|
|
|
362 |
|
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:43,520 |
|
aggregate expenditure هنا هيو |
|
|
|
363 |
|
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:48,980 |
|
there is a new equilibrium point صح هيا suppose it |
|
|
|
364 |
|
00:29:48,980 --> 00:29:58,890 |
|
was E تلاتة this is Y3 شو معناها ده؟Crowding in |
|
|
|
365 |
|
00:29:58,890 --> 00:30:07,850 |
|
exactly كنا مخططين نزل الناتج من Y1 ل Y2 راح نزل |
|
|
|
366 |
|
00:30:07,850 --> 00:30:11,750 |
|
بس من Y1 ل Y3 اللي هو المسافة هاي، مظبوط ولا لأ؟ |
|
|
|
367 |
|
00:30:11,750 --> 00:30:16,150 |
|
يعني لأنه رجع زاد الناتج شوية which called the |
|
|
|
368 |
|
00:30:16,150 --> 00:30:22,810 |
|
crowding in تمام؟ مين مش فاهم عيدله؟ صعب الأمور؟ |
|
|
|
369 |
|
00:30:23,550 --> 00:30:27,490 |
|
يعني لو جيبناكوا في الامتحان انه اعملوا تحليل ال |
|
|
|
370 |
|
00:30:27,490 --> 00:30:29,990 |
|
analysis تبع ليه crowding out او crowding in |
|
|
|
371 |
|
00:30:29,990 --> 00:30:32,970 |
|
بتقدروا تعمله by using expansion of fiscal policy |
|
|
|
372 |
|
00:30:32,970 --> 00:30:35,090 |
|
او expansion of monetary policy او اللي هو هذا |
|
|
|
373 |
|
00:30:35,090 --> 00:30:39,650 |
|
بتقدروا تعمله طيب تمام let's go to هل كده خلصنا من |
|
|
|
374 |
|
00:30:39,650 --> 00:30:41,570 |
|
تحليل السياسات ال |
|
|
|
375 |
|
00:30:46,170 --> 00:30:50,670 |
|
السياسة المالية اللي هي ال expansionary fiscal or |
|
|
|
376 |
|
00:30:50,670 --> 00:30:54,510 |
|
contractionary fiscal policy on the goods market |
|
|
|
377 |
|
00:30:54,510 --> 00:30:57,510 |
|
and the money market خلينا نروح على ال monetary |
|
|
|
378 |
|
00:30:57,510 --> 00:31:01,670 |
|
policy يعني سببوز إننا نستخدم expansionary |
|
|
|
379 |
|
00:31:01,670 --> 00:31:06,240 |
|
monetary policymaybe by increasing the money |
|
|
|
380 |
|
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:11,060 |
|
supply or something like this طيب اذا مين مش فاهم |
|
|
|
381 |
|
00:31:11,060 --> 00:31:14,920 |
|
طب شباب اعيدله جزئية التحليل المالي هذا مافيش |
|
|
|
382 |
|
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,420 |
|
مشكلة طيب اذا هداك اسهل ان شاء الله هيكون خليني |
|
|
|
383 |
|
00:31:18,420 --> 00:31:26,100 |
|
اروح ل ال monitor policy امسح امسح شباب okay |
|
|
|
384 |
|
00:31:35,750 --> 00:31:38,530 |
|
Expansion fiscal policy ولا فيه ال contractionary |
|
|
|
385 |
|
00:31:38,530 --> 00:31:44,430 |
|
دائما ال expansionary بتولد مشكلة crowding out ال |
|
|
|
386 |
|
00:31:44,430 --> 00:31:48,150 |
|
contractionary بتولد او بتظهر اندي اللي هو |
|
|
|
387 |
|
00:31:48,150 --> 00:31:53,240 |
|
crowding in تمام للفهم هذالأنه هتظهر عندى كمان |
|
|
|
388 |
|
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:57,120 |
|
شوية في ال expansionary monetary هيظهر فيها |
|
|
|
389 |
|
00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:01,100 |
|
crowding out دايما expansionary بظهر معاه crowding |
|
|
|
390 |
|
00:32:01,100 --> 00:32:05,460 |
|
out contractionary whether it was monetary او |
|
|
|
391 |
|
00:32:05,460 --> 00:32:10,080 |
|
fiscal بيظهر عندى crowding in تمام خلينا نشوف so |
|
|
|
392 |
|
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:15,120 |
|
let's go to the to use an expansionary monetary |
|
|
|
393 |
|
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:20,240 |
|
policy expansionary رجعنا الصور بس شباب |
|
|
|
394 |
|
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:38,400 |
|
Expansionary Monetary Policy تمام؟ |
|
|
|
395 |
|
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:42,480 |
|
طيب شو معنى Expansionary Monetary Policy؟ يعني |
|
|
|
396 |
|
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,580 |
|
تزوّد المال الـ supply صح؟ طب كيف تزوّد المال الـ |
|
|
|
397 |
|
00:32:45,580 --> 00:32:50,350 |
|
supply؟يا اما بدى اقلل الـ discount rate او بدى |
|
|
|
398 |
|
00:32:50,350 --> 00:32:54,290 |
|
اقلل required reserve ratio او شو بدى اعمل؟ بدى |
|
|
|
399 |
|
00:32:54,290 --> 00:32:57,590 |
|
اشتري bonds بظبط لان اذا شريت bonds باعتلى الناس |
|
|
|
400 |
|
00:32:57,590 --> 00:33:02,810 |
|
فلوس وبتاع ال money supply بده increase صح؟ اذا I |
|
|
|
401 |
|
00:33:02,810 --> 00:33:06,810 |
|
have to use when I .. when the central bank use an |
|
|
|
402 |
|
00:33:06,810 --> 00:33:10,250 |
|
expenditure monitor policy this means increasing |
|
|
|
403 |
|
00:33:10,250 --> 00:33:15,670 |
|
the money supply by whether to decrease the |
|
|
|
404 |
|
00:33:15,670 --> 00:33:16,570 |
|
discount rate |
|
|
|
405 |
|
00:33:19,620 --> 00:33:23,320 |
|
or decreasing the required reserve ratio or |
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406 |
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00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:32,600 |
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purchasing bonds or buying bonds مظبوط؟ |
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407 |
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00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,720 |
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مش هي التلات أدوات اللي بيستخدمها ال central bank |
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408 |
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00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,640 |
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أو ال federal reserve system عشان يزوّذ ال money |
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409 |
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00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,840 |
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supply طيب زيادة ال money supply بدأ أبدأ بال |
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410 |
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00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:46,100 |
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money supply هي this is the money market تمام؟ و |
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411 |
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00:33:46,100 --> 00:33:46,460 |
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هذا |
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412 |
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00:33:51,550 --> 00:33:55,710 |
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الـ investment line أو curve وهذا ال goods and |
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413 |
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00:33:55,710 --> 00:34:00,870 |
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services market بال |
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414 |
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00:34:00,870 --> 00:34:03,350 |
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money market بدأنا بإيش increasing بال money |
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415 |
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00:34:03,350 --> 00:34:09,510 |
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supply هاي ال money supply vertical line MS1 and |
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416 |
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00:34:09,510 --> 00:34:13,430 |
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this is the money demand curve one suppose ان وان |
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417 |
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00:34:13,430 --> 00:34:21,290 |
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هيك this is E1 R1 QM1 |
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418 |
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00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:30,660 |
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RQM بعدين انا بشوف هنا وخلّي هذا this is the |
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419 |
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00:34:30,660 --> 00:34:37,500 |
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investment curve ر I هذا |
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420 |
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00:34:37,500 --> 00:34:42,580 |
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money market و هذا ال investment curve و هذا ال |
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421 |
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00:34:42,580 --> 00:34:45,280 |
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goods market خلّيني اعمل ال original equilibrium |
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422 |
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00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:49,680 |
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point Y |
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423 |
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00:34:51,270 --> 00:35:02,030 |
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aggregate expenditure one c plus i plus g and this |
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424 |
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00:35:02,030 --> 00:35:07,950 |
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is a one y |
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425 |
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00:35:07,950 --> 00:35:15,960 |
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one y aggregate expenditure نيجي للتحليل تبعناالـ |
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426 |
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00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:17,700 |
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increasing في ال money supply شو بيعمل في ال money |
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427 |
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00:35:17,700 --> 00:35:21,240 |
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supply curve؟ exactly في عندنا rightward shifting |
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428 |
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00:35:21,240 --> 00:35:24,320 |
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في مين؟ في ال money supply curve هي انقلوا لليمين |
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429 |
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00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,280 |
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ل |
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430 |
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00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:34,100 |
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MS2 شو صار في ال interest rate؟ exactly so we have |
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431 |
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00:35:34,100 --> 00:35:39,560 |
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a decreasing في ال interest rate to R2 this is A2 |
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432 |
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00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:45,240 |
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مابتقالي ال quantity of money increasedمظبوط؟ اذا |
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433 |
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00:35:45,240 --> 00:35:48,020 |
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ال interest rate وين القديم؟ لو بدي أجي أعمل |
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434 |
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00:35:48,020 --> 00:35:54,600 |
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القديم هيك هذا ال original interest rate صح؟ R1 E1 |
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435 |
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00:35:54,600 --> 00:36:01,000 |
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و هذا ال I1 مظبوط؟ |
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436 |
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00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:05,180 |
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ولا مش مظبوط؟ طيب ال rightward shifting في ال |
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437 |
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00:36:05,180 --> 00:36:08,200 |
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money supply شو يعمل في ال interest rate؟ نزل ال |
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438 |
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00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,280 |
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interest rate وبالتالي في عنده interest rate جديد |
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439 |
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00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:12,140 |
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هنا هيك |
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440 |
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00:36:15,070 --> 00:36:21,150 |
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E2 هيزيد ال investment exactly this is R2 وهذا I2 |
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441 |
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00:36:21,150 --> 00:36:26,450 |
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مظبوط؟ صح؟ طيب إذا خلّيني نمشي بالتحليل فوق هكذا |
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442 |
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00:36:26,450 --> 00:36:31,910 |
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MS increased from MS1 to MS2 leads to what |
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443 |
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00:36:31,910 --> 00:36:36,950 |
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increasing او decreasing in the interest rate طب |
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444 |
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00:36:36,950 --> 00:36:38,650 |
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ال decreasing اللي صار في ال interest rate شو |
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445 |
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00:36:38,650 --> 00:36:42,510 |
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بيعمل في ال I؟ بيزود ال I ومن ثم |
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446 |
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00:36:45,270 --> 00:36:49,690 |
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بـ increasing في ال aggregate expenditure صح؟ |
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447 |
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00:36:49,690 --> 00:36:57,750 |
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مظبوط؟ هذا وين بوديني؟ increasing in Y صح؟ طيب |
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448 |
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00:36:57,750 --> 00:37:04,330 |
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خليني نعمله هنا في ال goods market decreasing |
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449 |
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00:37:04,330 --> 00:37:08,170 |
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في ال R increasing I increasing aggregate |
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450 |
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00:37:08,170 --> 00:37:11,570 |
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expenditure و من ثم increasing Y so there is an |
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451 |
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00:37:11,570 --> 00:37:13,530 |
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upward shifting في مين؟ في ال aggregate |
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452 |
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00:37:13,530 --> 00:37:18,870 |
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expenditureهي بشكل بنحكي إذا هذا aggregate |
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453 |
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00:37:18,870 --> 00:37:27,270 |
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expenditure to C plus I2 لأن I اللي اتغير plus G |
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454 |
|
00:37:27,270 --> 00:37:31,050 |
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صح |
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455 |
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00:37:31,050 --> 00:37:33,810 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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456 |
|
00:37:33,810 --> 00:37:33,970 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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457 |
|
00:37:33,970 --> 00:37:35,890 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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458 |
|
00:37:35,890 --> 00:37:35,890 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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459 |
|
00:37:35,890 --> 00:37:35,950 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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460 |
|
00:37:35,950 --> 00:37:36,030 |
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صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح صح |
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461 |
|
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,580 |
|
مظبوط ولا لأ؟ صار في عندي upward shifting في ال |
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462 |
|
00:37:45,580 --> 00:37:48,900 |
|
aggregate expenditure function صح؟ شو صار في |
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463 |
|
00:37:48,900 --> 00:37:54,880 |
|
النتج؟ زياد من Y1 to Y2 طب شو اللي صار لما زياد ال |
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464 |
|
00:37:54,880 --> 00:38:00,500 |
|
Y؟ أكثر على ال money demand مظبوط؟ زيادة ال Y ال |
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465 |
|
00:38:00,500 --> 00:38:03,520 |
|
aggregate output او aggregate income بيزود ال |
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466 |
|
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,980 |
|
money demand طب زيادة ال money demand شو بتعمل في |
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|
467 |
|
00:38:07,980 --> 00:38:11,500 |
|
ال interest rate؟بتزيده هى اعمل بصير فيه هنا end |
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468 |
|
00:38:11,500 --> 00:38:16,060 |
|
ايش rightward shifting ل money demand curve هى اذا |
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469 |
|
00:38:16,060 --> 00:38:20,260 |
|
فى الفيزي التانى صار فى عنا increasing فى ال money |
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|
470 |
|
00:38:20,260 --> 00:38:24,680 |
|
demand هى وان ال money demand هى سببز انه اجى هيك |
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471 |
|
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,420 |
|
to money demand 2 |
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472 |
|
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:39,000 |
|
وين الـ Intersection ما بين الـ MS2 و MD2؟ هايو، |
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473 |
|
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,400 |
|
الأحمر و الأزرق هذا We have a new interest rate |
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474 |
|
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:47,780 |
|
وبتلادى نزل سعر الفائدة from .. او sorry طلّع سعر |
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475 |
|
00:38:47,780 --> 00:38:56,060 |
|
الفائدة from R2 to R3 مظبوط؟ ودّاني على E3 ومن ثم |
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476 |
|
00:38:56,060 --> 00:39:02,900 |
|
ال interest rate زاد from R2 to R3 و ال investment |
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477 |
|
00:39:02,900 --> 00:39:11,860 |
|
نزلfrom I2 to I3 صح؟ اذا هينهان هيك the increasing |
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|
478 |
|
00:39:11,860 --> 00:39:14,760 |
|
in money demand increasing في ال money demand شو |
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|
479 |
|
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:20,680 |
|
يعمل increasing في ال R decreasing I decreasing |
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|
480 |
|
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:25,080 |
|
aggregate expenditure decreasing Y وهذا اسمه a |
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481 |
|
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:29,700 |
|
crowding ايش out هيو حيرجع شويه هيك |
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|
482 |
|
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:38,060 |
|
هذا الانزول البسيط اسمه crowding out لان انا مخطط |
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|
483 |
|
00:39:38,060 --> 00:39:46,180 |
|
ازود الناتج من Y1 ل Y2 لكن حقيقة رجع شويه وصار Y3 |
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|
484 |
|
00:39:46,180 --> 00:39:51,870 |
|
اذا according to my planمخطط ليه ان ازالة عدد |
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|
485 |
|
00:39:51,870 --> 00:40:01,330 |
|
الانترنت من Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة الانترنت من Y1 ل Y2 |
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|
486 |
|
00:40:01,330 --> 00:40:05,930 |
|
بسبب ازالة انترنت من Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة انترنت من |
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|
487 |
|
00:40:05,930 --> 00:40:13,930 |
|
Y1 ل Y2 بسبب ازالة انترنت من Y1 ل Y2اللي بيظل ال |
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|
488 |
|
00:40:13,930 --> 00:40:17,270 |
|
case الأخير اللي هو ال contractionary monetary |
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|
489 |
|
00:40:17,270 --> 00:40:21,130 |
|
policy الحال المعاكسة بمعنى أنه هاي في عنده |
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|
490 |
|
00:40:21,130 --> 00:40:25,810 |
|
contractionary monetary policy ال expansionary |
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|
491 |
|
00:40:25,810 --> 00:40:29,210 |
|
monetary policy شوفنا ال crowding out ظهرت بدي |
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|
492 |
|
00:40:29,210 --> 00:40:33,310 |
|
أشوف ال contractionary monetary policy بس وضحت |
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|
493 |
|
00:40:33,310 --> 00:40:36,150 |
|
الصورة ولا مش مرة جاية بنكمل الجزئية |
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|