You wouldn’t know it by following the Senate-control-centric coverage of the midterm elections emanating from Washington, but we could well be headed toward a historic gubernatorial election in 15 days. 
 
 Not since 1984 have more than six sitting governors lost in any one election. But, 30 years after that gubernatorial carnage, a look at this year’s races puts 11 incumbents in various levels of peril — suggesting that history may be in the making. 
 
 Only one incumbent, however, is a goner for sure: Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett (R). Even the likes of Maine’s Paul LePage (R) and Illinois’ Pat Quinn (D), both of whom were left for dead months ago, appear to have a path — albeit not a wide one — to victory. 
 
 The striking competitiveness of so many races — and in such typically non-competitive places such as Kansas and Connecticut — has led to massive amounts of spending on TV ads. 
 
 According to the Center for Public Integrity, $379 million has been spent on commercials in the 36 gubernatorial races this fall — $58 million more than has been spent on ads in the 36 Senate races. That includes a stunning $62 million in ads in the Florida race between Gov. Rick Scott (R) and former governor Charlie Crist. In Illinois, Quinn and wealthy businessman Bruce Rauner (R) have spent almost $53 million on TV. And eight of the 10 candidates who have spent the most money on campaign commercials this cycle are running for governor. 
 
 History-making ain’t cheap, after all. 
 
 The races below are ranked in the order of a likely party switch. 
 
 13. Georgia (Republican-controlled): Gov. Nathan Deal (R) and state Sen. Jason Carter (D) are very close in the polls. With the libertarian candidate polling as high as 6 percent, it’s much more likely that Deal and Carter would go to a Dec. 2 runoff. And such runoffs are not kind to Democrats. 
 
 12. Massachusetts (Democratic-controlled): The most recent Boston Globe poll shows Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Charlie Baker tied at 41 percent. Baker has been outraising Coakley and stockpiling cash. This is a real race. 
 
 11. Alaska (R): Independent Bill Walker, who is running on a fusion ticket with former Democratic nominee Byron Mallott as his lieutenant governor, leads Gov. Sean Parnell (R) in most recent polls. But a Fox News poll showed Parnell up five points. And as the Senate race in Kansas showed us, independents can compete in red states if the Democrat drops out, but it can be hard to maintain that momentum once the GOP starts pegging you as the de facto Democrat. 
 
 10. Wisconsin (R): Just when it looked like Gov. Scott Walker (R) might be starting to build a lead, a new Marquette University Law School poll showed him tied with Democratic challenger Mary Burke. 
 
 9. Michigan (R): A string of recent polls show Gov. Rick Snyder (R) up on Mark Schauer (D). Republicans might be losing hope in the Wolverine State’s Senate race, but they should feel pretty good about where they are in the governor’s race, considering how big a target Snyder has had on his back all cycle. 
 
 8. Colorado (D): Democrats insist Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) has righted the ship by focusing on the economy, and they note that he has been drastically outspending former congressman Bob Beauprez (R) on TV. Sure. But the Real Clear Politics polling average gives the incumbent the smallest of edges — and suggests that Beauprez is still in the game. 
 
 7. Illinois (D): Quinn has survived by the skin of his teeth before, and it looks as if he might do it again. After polls showed him basically a goner, he has staged a pretty healthy comeback and has led within the margin of error in the last three polls. 
 
 6. Connecticut (D): Gov. Dan Malloy (D), running in a deep blue state, is one of the few Democrats who stand to benefit by associating himself with President Obama. But Obama canceled a campaign appearance last week to deal with the threat posed by Ebola. The most recent polls show Malloy recovering and drawing about even with Tom Foley (R). 
 
 5. Kansas (R): Don’t look now, but Gov. Sam Brownback (R) appears to be in slightly better shape. The most recent surveys from three pollsters that have regularly examined the race — Public Policy Polling, Fox News and SurveyUSA — all show Brownback gaining on Paul Davis (D), to varying degrees. 
 
 4. Florida (R): The big story last week was the bizarre argument over a fan at a debate. Scott, who showed up to the debate seven minutes late after a dispute over whether Crist could use the fan, probably came off looking worse. Meanwhile, this race is very tight. In the last three polls, the candidates have essentially been even. 
 
 3. Maine (R): In a two-way race, LePage (R) could never be reelected. Lucky for him, he faces not only Rep. Mike Michaud (D) but also independent Eliot Cutler. It’s still tough to see LePage winning, though; he has been remarkably controversial and is almost certainly too conservative for the state. 
 
 2. Arkansas (D): Democrats were thrilled when they lured former congressman Mike Ross (D) into this open-seat race. But it appears as though the conservative nature of the state is too much for him. Polling suggests that former congressman Asa Hutchinson (R) has a mid-single-digit lead and is likely to win. 
 
 1. Pennsylvania (R): Tom Wolf (D) hasn’t had a very high profile since cruising to a primary win in the spring. That’s a smart move because his opponent, incumbent Corbett (R), is extremely unpopular. Wolf is measuring the drapes in the governor’s mansion — and rightly so. ||||| AUSTIN, Texas (CBS Houston/AP) — Republicans prevailed in all of Texas’ statewide elections on Tuesday, extending a longest-in-the-nation winning streak that dates back to 1994 and ensuring that while all of the state’s top offices will get new occupants, the politics won’t change that much. Some highlights from Election Day: 
 
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 TOP OF THE TICKET 
 
 Attorney General Greg Abbott will replace Rick Perry, the longest-serving governor in Texas history, giving the state its first new chief executive since George W. Bush left for the White House in December 2000. Perry is leaving state office for the first time since being elected to the House as a Democrat in 1988, but he may not leave the national stage since he’s mulling a 2016 presidential run. 
 
 Attorney general for 12 years, Abbott waited to succeed Perry and is popular with conservative, Tea Party activists and the mainstream GOP. His opponent, Democratic state Sen. Wendy Davis, became a national sensation last year with her 12-plus hour, abortion-rights filibuster in the Legislature. She struggled to carry that momentum into her campaign a multimillion-dollar Democratic get-out-the-vote effort organized by top staffers from President Barack Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign. 
 
 Working closely with Abbott will be Lt. Gov.-elect Dan Patrick, a Tea Party-backed state senator from Houston, who ousted incumbent David Dewhurst in the Republican primary. Patrick campaigned relatively lightly for the general election but still topped San Antonio Democratic state Senate colleague Leticia Van de Putte. Patrick will now preside over the Legislature’s upper chamber and has promised to secure the Texas-Mexico border at all costs — a stance so hard-line that it’s drawn rebuke from some of his fellow Republicans. 
 
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 A NEW BUSH FOR TEXAS 
 
 Another George Bush is an election winner in Texas. George P. Bush, the son of potential 2016 presidential candidate Jeb Bush and nephew of former President George W. Bush won the land commissioner’s office in a landslide. He became the first member of his famous political family to win his first election. 
 
 “I could not be prouder of George. He ran a great campaign, built his own first-rate team, united abroad and winning coalition and presented a clear vision for the future of Texas,” Jeb Bush said in a statement. “He’s going to be an incredible Texas Land Commissioner! 
 
 George P. refuses to say it’s the first step toward higher political aspirations, even though the post had led to a loftier office for former occupants. 
 
 George P. told ABC News last month that he believes his father will “more than likely” run for president in 2016. 
 
 In other statewide races, fellow Republicans Ken Paxton (attorney general), Glenn Hegar (comptroller) and Sid Miller (agriculture commissioner) also beat little-known and underfunded Democrats. 
 
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 CORNYN CRUISES 
 
 U.S. Sen. John Cornyn easily fought off a longshot primary challenge from conservative renegade U.S. Rep. Steve Stockman, then had little trouble against Democrat David Alameel. Winning his third term, Cornyn is the No. 2 Republican in the Senate and is set to become majority whip if the GOP retakes the chamber Tuesday. Some conservative activists say Cornyn is too moderate, but that didn’t hurt him against Alameel, a millionaire Dallas dentist and former donor to top Texas Republicans — including Cornyn. 
 
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 IN CONGRESS, JUST ONE COMPETITIVE RACE 
 
 Texas has 36 congressional seats, but the only one that actually appears competitive is the sprawling 23rd district stretching from San Antonio to El Paso. The seat has switched from Democrat to Republican in each of the last three elections. Incumbent Democrat Pete Gallego was trying to fend off Republican Will Hurd and early results made the race too close to call. 
 
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 MORE MONEY FOR ROADS 
 
 Voters overwhelmingly approved a state constitutional amendment using half the funds flowing annually into Texas’ Rainy Day fund to improve roads and highways. The measure means up to $1.7 billion for transportation infrastructure the first year, though its value thereafter depends on future state oil and gas revenue. Transportation officials say a booming Texas population means that at least $4 billion in spending per year is actually needed just to maintain current traffic levels on jammed roads. 
 
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 VOTER ID 
 
 A U.S. Supreme Court ruling last month allowed enforcement of Texas’ strict voter ID law, meaning residents had to show one of seven approved kinds of photo identification when casting ballots. Opponents say the measure discriminates against poor, largely minority Texans and a lower court ruling likened it to a modern-day poll tax. Its effect on balloting wasn’t immediately clear. Early voting turnout was largely flat as compared with 2010, the last time Texas elected a governor, and overall ballot totals could be hampered by heavy rains in some of Texas’ most-populated areas. 
 
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– Florida Gov. Rick Scott will not hand his job back to former Gov. Charlie Crist. The Republican Scott fended off the challenge from Republican-turned-Democrat Crist tonight in one of the higher-profile races of the 36 gubernatorial contests on the ballot. Elsewhere, Wisconsin's Scott Walker defeated Mary Burke to keep his seat and, as the AP notes, remain a viable presidential candidate for 2016. In Texas, Wendy Davis' rise in state politics hit a major barrier, with state Attorney General Greg Abbott easily defeating the abortion rights advocate, reports the Austin American-Statesman. As one analyst observes, Davis probably could have won the red-state race only if Abbott made a major gaffe, and he didn't oblige. Also: Pennsylvania: Democrat Tom Wolf beat incumbent Republican Tom Corbett. Kansas: Republican incumbent Sam Brownback defeated Democrat Paul Davis, even though Brownback's conservative agenda had some members of his own party backing Davis. Maryland: After a surprise win over Democratic Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown, Republican businessman Larry Hogan will succeed Democrat Martin O'Malley. Massachusetts: Republican Charlie Baker won, defeating Democrat Martha Coakley's bid to become the first woman elected governor in her state. Illinois: Republican businessman Bruce Rauner prevailed in a tight contest to unseat incumbent Democrat Pat Quinn. Georgia: Jimmy Carter's grandson, Jason Carter, failed to unseat Republican Nathan Deal.