If he wins the Heisman Trophy or not Saturday, Alabama running back and Yulee native Derrick Henry is likely to enter the 2016 NFL Draft. And then the questions will begin. 
 
 Too many carries in college? A product of an elite offensive line? Too big of a target to hit and thus more susceptible to injury? More scheme specific, which would limit the available fits? 
 
 Henry will be a fascinating case study once the Scouting Combine and pre-draft workouts roll around. 
 
 To get an evaluation on Henry, the Times-Union asked Dan Hatman, a former scout for Philadelphia and the New York Giants and Jets and current director of The Scouting Academy, for his analysis. 
 
 Hatman watched four of Henry’s games (last year against Florida and this year against Wisconsin, Mississippi and Auburn) Wednesday and provided his findings. 
 
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 “From what can I see of Derrick and what I’m seeing around the NFL, he’s an individual who’s going to be a little more reliant on scheme and his blocking [than other backs] to be at his most effective,” Hatman said. “If you want him to stop on a dime, make guys miss and create on his own if the blocking breaks down, he’s not your guy. 
 
 “But he’s a fun kid to watch. Alabama blocks well and when he gets into the open field and gets running and gets a head of steam, it’s pretty impressive.” 
 
 Asked what round he would consider drafting Henry, Hatman said not in the top 21/2 to 3 rounds. Several mock drafts have Henry rated higher, some as a late first-round pick. 
 
 “I think in the Nos. 100-150 range — basically the fourth round,” he said. “I’m a little biased because I don’t value running backs highly. There are too many guys who have been drafted in the sixth round or later — or not drafted at all — and been functional.” 
 
 Hatman was asked to break down Henry is several departments. 
 
 ■ Workload. Henry carried only 208 times in his first two college seasons but his junior-year odometer is at 339 entering Alabama’s College Football Playoff semifinal game against Michigan State on Dec. 31. 
 
 By comparison, only 78 times in NFL history has a running back had at least 340 attempts in a season. Hatman said the amount of carries is “absolutely” an issue. 
 
 “You look at what you can get out of his rookie deal — does he have the tread on his tire to give a team 3-4 years?” Hatman said. “There is no doubt evaluators are looking at those snap counts.” 
 
 ■ Running style. Hatman was impressed by Henry’s balance and his ability to avoid the big hit even though he’s a big body (6-foot-3, 242 pounds). 
 
 “The thing that surprised me is he didn’t have as much lateral agility as I thought or hoped,” Hatman said. “But what he has is good balance. And even though he gives a long target for a defender to hit, he takes glancing blows and has subtle moves — not huge jump-cut moves — and he can move 2-3 inches and then, all of a sudden, the hit is glancing and he has the balance to keep moving. 
 
 “Balance is big for a back because you’re going to have a defender on you more often than not within five yards, so the question is at that point, can you stay up after contact and push for more yards? He moves really well.” 
 
 Hatman also said Henry showed good vision and patience. 
 
 “He’s not a bull in a china shop,” he said. “He understands what he’s looking for. When it’s time to be patient and let a puller get through or a blocker seal, he can. Other times, he can hit the hole and hit it [right away]. And if he hits the open field at full speed, you’re not going to bring him down.” 
 
 Slideshow: Derrick Henry's path from local star to Heisman Trophy favorite 
 
 ■ Comparisons. Hatman said Henry reminds him of two current rookies — third-round pick Matt Jones (Florida) of the Washington Redskins and fifth-round pick Karlos Williams (Florida State) of the Buffalo Bills. 
 
 “Those were guys who weren’t graded high by the major draft [experts] last year because they didn’t look pretty like LeSean McCoy with all of the quick moves, lateral agility or explosive elements,” Hatman said. “But when the blocking’s been right this year, they’ve both sprung some explosive runs.” 
 
 ■ Scheme. Hatman said Henry is a better fit for an offense that concentrates on a zone blocking system. 
 
 Hatman said Oakland, San Francisco, Pittsburgh and Carolina would fit Henry’s skills, “because they use a wide range of power runs mixed with inside zone, which is the background Derrick has.” 
 
 Hatman said Alabama’s scheme is similar to the Panthers. 
 
 Overall, Hatman said Henry’s draft stock could also be impacted by how many NFL teams will enter the draft feeling they’re set at running back. 
 
 “With the sheer number of running backs taken in the last 2-3 years, not many teams are devoid of talent at that position,” Hatman said. “That could potentially deflate [the draft stock] of this year’s whole pool of running backs.” 
 
 Ryan O’Halloran: (904) 359-4401 ||||| Clemson's Deshaun Watson and Shaq Smith (5) celebrate a last second touchdown during the second half of the NCAA college football playoff championship game against Alabama Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2017, in Tampa,... (Associated Press) 
 
 TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — Deshaun Watson took the snap, rolled right and with one of the easiest throws he had to make all night, completed Clemson's journey to the top of college football. 
 
 A frantic fourth quarter and a championship rematch between Clemson and Alabama was decided with 1 second left on a 2-yard touchdown toss to Hunter Renfrow. 
 
 "I couldn't hear the crowd," Watson said. "I just felt at peace." 
 
 Watson and the Tigers dethroned the defending champs and became the first team to beat Nick Saban's Alabama dynasty in a national title game, taking down the top-ranked Crimson Tide 35-31 Monday night in the College Football Playoff. 
 
 A 35-year title drought for Clemson is over. The Tigers are national champions for the first time since 1981. 
 
 A year after Alabama won its fourth title under Saban with a classic 45-40 win in Arizona, Clemson (14-1) denied the Tide (14-1) an unprecedented fifth championship in eight seasons. 
 
 "That has to be one of the greatest games of all time," Clemson coach Dabo Swinney said. 
 
 Hard to argue. 
 
 The new champions have a process of their own that includes a loquacious coach who can turn a postgame interview into a fiery sermon, a spectacular quarterback who did not need a Heisman Trophy to show he was the best player in the country and a fun-loving team that plays with a chip on its shoulder. 
 
 "There was no upset tonight," Swinney said. "That's the last thing I told them when we left the locker room. I said, 'When we win the game tonight I don't want to hear one word about this being an upset. The only upset is going to be if we don't win the dadgum game.'" 
 
 The lead changed hands three times in the fourth quarter, but Watson got the ball last. Playing in his final college game, the junior quarterback threw for 420 yards and three touchdowns. In two games against Alabama and the most ferocious defense in college football, Watson has thrown for 825 yards and accounted for eight touchdowns. He was sacked four times Monday night and took some cringe-inducing shots from All-Americans Jonathan Allen and Reuben Foster. 
 
 "You know, I never got the sense that he was rattled," Allen said about Watson. 
 
 Swinney, the native Alabaman and former Crimson Tide walk-on receiver, has built an elite program at Clemson that was missing only one thing. Now the Tigers can check that box, too. 
 
 "Eight years ago we set out to put Clemson back on top," Swinney said. "We came up a little short last year, but today on top of the mountain, the Clemson flag is flying." 
 
 After three quarters of body slams and tight defense, Tigers-Tide II ended up looking a lot like the first meeting when the teams combined for 40 points in the fourth quarter. 
 
 Watson found Mike Williams for a 4-yard touchdown a minute into the fourth quarter to make it 24-21 Alabama. 
 
 The Tigers took their first lead, 28-24, with 4:38 left in the fourth quarter when Wayne Gallman surged in from a yard out. 
 
 The Tide's offense, which had gone dormant for most of the second half, came to life with the help of a sweet call from newly promoted offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian. Receiver ArDarius Stewart took a backward pass from Jalen Hurts and fired a strike to O.J. Howard for 24 yards. 
 
 On the next play, Hurts broke free from a collapsing pocket and weaved through defenders for a 30-yard touchdown run to make it 31-28 with 2:07 left. 
 
 More than enough time for Watson. 
 
 "I was calm," Watson said. He said he thought about Vince Young's last-second touchdown for Texas that derailed the Southern California's championship run in the 2005 championship game at the Rose Bowl. He told his team: "Let's go be great." 
 
 Watson hooked up with Williams and Jordan Leggett, who made great catches for big gains to get to first-and-goal with 14 seconds left. 
 
 A pass interference on Alabama made it first-and-goal at the 2 with six seconds left. Time for one more play to avoid a game-tying kick and overtime. Renfrow slipped away from the defense at the goal line with the help of some traffic created by Artavis Scott — or maybe it was an illegal pick? — and was alone for an easy toss. 
 
 "If you watch the ending, the slot receiver actually cut Minkah," Alabama linebacker Tim Williams said. "Usually, on a pick route, you're not supposed to chop somebody. You're supposed to pick them. The guy there just chopped Minkah down, but it's football." 
 
 For the former walk-on Renfrow, it was his second TD catch of the game. He had two last season against Alabama. 
 
 Alabama was 4-0 in national championship games under Saban. It was 106-6 in games it led at half and 96-0 when entering the fourth quarter with a double-digit lead as the Tide did Monday night. Clemson overcame all those odds. 
 
 The Tide jumped out to a 14-0 lead behind two long touchdown runs by Bo Scarbrough in the first half. The 230-pound sophomore back was pretty much Alabama's whole offense for a while, running for 93 yards on 16 carries while Hurts and the passing game struggle. Scarbrough left in the third quarter with a leg injury, but the Tide finally found some other help. Hurts hooked up with O.J. Howard, one of last year's heroes for 'Bama, for a 68-yard touchdown pass to make it 24-14 late in the third quarter. 
 
 "Look, there's not one play in the game that makes a difference in a game," Saban said. "We could have done a lot of things a lot better." 
 
 When it ended, Clemson's 315-pound defensive lineman Christian Wilkins did a split and a cartwheel and Ben Boulware, one of the toughest linebackers in the country, was in tears. 
 
 The Tigers had snapped Alabama's 26-game winning streak and beaten a No. 1 team for the first time ever. 
 
 "It's been 35 long years!" Boulware screamed. "It's coming home baby! It's coming home!" 
 
 Last season Alabama met its match in Clemson, but prevailed. This time, Clemson made sure the sequel had a different ending. 
 
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 Follow Ralph D. Russo at wwww.Twitter.com/ralphDrussoAP 
 
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 More AP college football: www.collegefootball.ap.org and https://twitter.com/AP_Top25
– Derrick Henry has won the Heisman Trophy, becoming just the third running back to take college football's top honor in the past 16 years. The 6-foot-3, 242-pound Henry broke Herschel Walker's Southeastern Conference record with 1,986 yards rushing and matched an SEC mark with 23 touchdowns, leading No. 2 Alabama to the College Football Playoff. Still, one former NFL scout tells Jacksonville.com that Henry's heavy workload in college could drop him into the fourth round if he decides to turn pro. Henry, for his part, is tired of hearing about that line of criticism, reports AL.com. "People make a big deal about these carries," he said. "I mean, I want the ball. I want to play so it's not a big deal to me." Stanford's do-it-all running back Christian McCaffrey was the runner-up. Deshaun Watson, quarterback of No. 1 Clemson, finished third. Henry and the Crimson Tide (12-1) play Michigan State in the Cotton Bowl on Dec. 31.