This paper studies the trade-off between two different kinds of pure exploration: breadth versus depth. The most biased coin problem asks how many total coin flips are required to identify a "heavy" coin from an infinite bag containing both "heavy" coins with mean @math , and "light" coins with mean @math , where heavy coins are drawn from the bag with probability @math . The key difficulty of this problem lies in distinguishing whether the two kinds of coins have very similar means, or whether heavy coins are just extremely rare. This problem has applications in crowdsourcing, anomaly detection, and radio spectrum search. Chandrasekaran et. al. (2014) recently introduced a solution to this problem but it required perfect knowledge of @math . In contrast, we derive algorithms that are adaptive to partial or absent knowledge of the problem parameters. Moreover, our techniques generalize beyond coins to more general instances of infinitely many armed bandit problems. We also prove lower bounds that show our algorithm's upper bounds are tight up to @math factors, and on the way characterize the sample complexity of differentiating between a single parametric distribution and a mixture of two such distributions. As a result, these bounds have surprising implications both for solutions to the most biased coin problem and for anomaly detection when only partial information about the parameters is known.
One can interpret the most biased coin problem as an infinite armed bandit problem where each coin is an arm. In that setting, @cite_2 , @cite_8 and @cite_6 prove and refine bounds on the expected cumulative regret of the player, whereas @cite_7 focus on the pure exploration setting. All of this work relies on the assumption that the distribution of the means is parametric and known (though @cite_7 describes a method to estimate the relevant parameters first). Our setting relies on a different parameterization of the means (i.e. @math where @math is a Dirac delta located at @math ), and we focus on settings in which the relevant parameters are unknown.
@cite_8 @cite_7 @cite_6 @cite_2
2950826433 2949186496 2148250692 2951248203 2117171724 2777439363 2742123006 2132876566 2116067849 2040774021 159910205 8700100 2150328967 2950816192 1587673378 2951175152 2949469249 2742049221 2964146343 1751431909
We consider a stochastic bandit problem with infinitely many arms. In this setting, the learner has no chance of trying all the arms even once and has to dedicate its limited number of samples only to a certain number of arms. All previous algorithms for this setting were designed for minimizing the cumulative regret of the learner. In this paper, we propose an algorithm aiming at minimizing the simple regret. As in the cumulative regret setting of infinitely many armed bandits, the rate of the simple regret will depend on a parameter @math characterizing the distribution of the near-optimal arms. We prove that depending on @math , our algorithm is minimax optimal either up to a multiplicative constant or up to a @math factor. We also provide extensions to several important cases: when @math is unknown, in a natural setting where the near-optimal arms have a small variance, and in the case of unknown time horizon. The multi-armed bandit problem is a popular model for studying exploration exploitation trade-off in sequential decision problems. Many algorithms are now available for this well-studied problem. One of the earliest algorithms, given by W. R. Thompson, dates back to 1933. This algorithm, referred to as Thompson Sampling, is a natural Bayesian algorithm. The basic idea is to choose an arm to play according to its probability of being the best arm. Thompson Sampling algorithm has experimentally been shown to be close to optimal. In addition, it is efficient to implement and exhibits several desirable properties such as small regret for delayed feedback. However, theoretical understanding of this algorithm was quite limited. In this paper, for the first time, we show that Thompson Sampling algorithm achieves logarithmic expected regret for the multi-armed bandit problem. More precisely, for the two-armed bandit problem, the expected regret in time @math is @math . And, for the @math -armed bandit problem, the expected regret in time @math is @math . Our bounds are optimal but for the dependence on @math and the constant factors in big-Oh. We consider the restless multi-armed bandit (RMAB) problem with unknown dynamics. At each time, a player chooses K out of N (N > K) arms to play. The state of each arm determines the reward when the arm is played and transits according to Markovian rules no matter the arm is engaged or passive. The Markovian dynamics of the arms are unknown to the player. The objective is to maximize the long-term expected reward by designing an optimal arm selection policy. The performance of a policy is measured by regret, defined as the reward loss with respect to the case where the player knows which K arms are the most rewarding and always plays these K best arms. We construct a policy, referred to as Restless Upper Confidence Bound (RUCB), that achieves a regret with logarithmic order of time when an arbitrary nontrivial bound on certain system parameters is known. When no knowledge about the system is available, we extend the RUCB policy to achieve a regret arbitrarily close to the logarithmic order. In both cases, the system achieves the maximum average reward offered by the K best arms. Potential applications of these results include cognitive radio networks, opportunistic communications in unknown fading environments, and financial investment. The fundamental problem of multiple secondary users contending for opportunistic spectrum access over multiple channels in cognitive radio networks has been formulated recently as a decentralized multi-armed bandit (D-MAB) problem. In a D-MAB problem there are @math users and @math arms (channels) that each offer i.i.d. stochastic rewards with unknown means so long as they are accessed without collision. The goal is to design a decentralized online learning policy that incurs minimal regret, defined as the difference between the total expected rewards accumulated by a model-aware genie, and that obtained by all users applying the policy. We make two contributions in this paper. First, we consider the setting where the users have a prioritized ranking, such that it is desired for the @math -th-ranked user to learn to access the arm offering the @math -th highest mean reward. For this problem, we present the first distributed policy that yields regret that is uniformly logarithmic over time without requiring any prior assumption about the mean rewards. Second, we consider the case when a fair access policy is required, i.e., it is desired for all users to experience the same mean reward. For this problem, we present a distributed policy that yields order-optimal regret scaling with respect to the number of users and arms, better than previously proposed policies in the literature. Both of our distributed policies make use of an innovative modification of the well known UCB1 policy for the classic multi-armed bandit problem that allows a single user to learn how to play the arm that yields the @math -th largest mean reward. We study the problem of learning a most biased coin among a set of coins by tossing the coins adaptively. The goal is to minimize the number of tosses until we identify a coin i* whose posterior probability of being most biased is at least 1-delta for a given delta. Under a particular probabilistic model, we give an optimal algorithm, i.e., an algorithm that minimizes the expected number of future tosses. The problem is closely related to finding the best arm in the multi-armed bandit problem using adaptive strategies. Our algorithm employs an optimal adaptive strategy -- a strategy that performs the best possible action at each step after observing the outcomes of all previous coin tosses. Consequently, our algorithm is also optimal for any starting history of outcomes. To our knowledge, this is the first algorithm that employs an optimal adaptive strategy under a Bayesian setting for this problem. Our proof of optimality employs tools from the field of Markov games. We consider the stochastic bandit problem in the sublinear space setting, where one cannot record the win-loss record for all @math arms. We give an algorithm using @math words of space with regret [ i=1 ^ K 1 T ] where @math is the gap between the best arm and arm @math and @math is the gap between the best and the second-best arms. If the rewards are bounded away from @math and @math , this is within an @math factor of the optimum regret possible without space constraints. We consider the multi armed bandit problem in non-stationary environments. Based on the Bayesian method, we propose a variant of Thompson Sampling which can be used in both rested and restless bandit scenarios. Applying discounting to the parameters of prior distribution, we describe a way to systematically reduce the effect of past observations. Further, we derive the exact expression for the probability of picking sub-optimal arms. By increasing the exploitative value of Bayes' samples, we also provide an optimistic version of the algorithm. Extensive empirical analysis is conducted under various scenarios to validate the utility of proposed algorithms. A comparison study with various state-of-the-arm algorithms is also included. We consider the multi-armed bandit problem under the PAC ("probably approximately correct") model. It was shown by Even- (2002) that given n arms, a total of O((n e2)log(1 δ)) trials suffices in order to find an e-optimal arm with probability at least 1-δ. We establish a matching lower bound on the expected number of trials under any sampling policy. We furthermore generalize the lower bound, and show an explicit dependence on the (unknown) statistics of the arms. We also provide a similar bound within a Bayesian setting. The case where the statistics of the arms are known but the identities of the arms are not, is also discussed. For this case, we provide a lower bound of Θ((1 e2)(n+log(1 δ))) on the expected number of trials, as well as a sampling policy with a matching upper bound. If instead of the expected number of trials, we consider the maximum (over all sample paths) number of trials, we establish a matching upper and lower bound of the form Θ((n e2)log(1 δ)). Finally, we derive lower bounds on the expected regret, in the spirit of Lai and Robbins. In the multi-armed bandit problem, a gambler must decide which arm of K non-identical slot machines to play in a sequence of trials so as to maximize his reward. This classical problem has received much attention because of the simple model it provides of the trade-off between exploration (trying out each arm to find the best one) and exploitation (playing the arm believed to give the best payoff). Past solutions for the bandit problem have almost always relied on assumptions about the statistics of the slot machines. In this work, we make no statistical assumptions whatsoever about the nature of the process generating the payoffs of the slot machines. We give a solution to the bandit problem in which an adversary, rather than a well-behaved stochastic process, has complete control over the payoffs. In a sequence of T plays, we prove that the expected per-round payoff of our algorithm approaches that of the best arm at the rate O(T sup -1 3 ), and we give an improved rate of convergence when the best arm has fairly low payoff. We also consider a setting in which the player has a team of "experts" advising him on which arm to play; here, we give a strategy that will guarantee expected payoff close to that of the best expert. Finally, we apply our result to the problem of learning to play an unknown repeated matrix game against an all-powerful adversary. The restless bandit problem is one of the most well-studied generalizations of the celebrated stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem in decision theory. In its ultimate generality, the restless bandit problem is known to be PSPACE-Hard to approximate to any nontrivial factor, and little progress has been made on this problem despite its significance in modeling activity allocation under uncertainty. In this article, we consider the Feedback MAB problem, where the reward obtained by playing each of n independent arms varies according to an underlying on off Markov process whose exact state is only revealed when the arm is played. The goal is to design a policy for playing the arms in order to maximize the infinite horizon time average expected reward. This problem is also an instance of a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP), and is widely studied in wireless scheduling and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) routing. Unlike the stochastic MAB problem, the Feedback MAB problem does not admit to greedy index-based optimal policies. We develop a novel duality-based algorithmic technique that yields a surprisingly simple and intuitive (2+e)-approximate greedy policy to this problem. We show that both in terms of approximation factor and computational efficiency, our policy is closely related to the Whittle index, which is widely used for its simplicity and efficiency of computation. Subsequently we define a multi-state generalization, that we term Monotone bandits, which remains subclass of the restless bandit problem. We show that our policy remains a 2-approximation in this setting, and further, our technique is robust enough to incorporate various side-constraints such as blocking plays, switching costs, and even models where determining the state of an arm is a separate operation from playing it. Our technique is also of independent interest for other restless bandit problems, and we provide an example in nonpreemptive machine replenishment. Interestingly, in this case, our policy provides a constant factor guarantee, whereas the Whittle index is provably polynomially worse. By presenting the first O(1) approximations for nontrivial instances of restless bandits as well as of POMDPs, our work initiates the study of approximation algorithms in both these contexts. We present an asymptotically optimal algorithm for the max variant of the k-armed bandit problem. Given a set of k slot machines, each yielding payoff from a fixed (but unknown) distribution, we wish to allocate trials to the machines so as to maximize the expected maximum payoff received over a series of n trials. Subject to certain distributional assumptions, we show that O(k ln(k δ) ln(n)2 e2) trials are sufficient to identify, with probability at least 1 - δ, a machine whose expected maximum payoff is within e of optimal. This result leads to a strategy for solving the problem that is asymptotically optimal in the following sense: the gap between the expected maximum payoff obtained by using our strategy for n trials and that obtained by pulling the single best arm for all n trials approaches zero as n → ∞. We consider the problem of eciently exploring the arms of a stochastic bandit to identify the best subset of a specied size. Under the PAC and the xed-budget formulations, we derive improved bounds by using KL-divergence-based condence intervals. Whereas the application of a similar idea in the regret setting has yielded bounds in terms of the KL-divergence between the arms, our bounds in the pure-exploration setting involve the information" between the arms. In addition to introducing this novel quantity to the bandits literature, we contribute a comparison between strategies based on uniform and adaptive sampling for pure-exploration problems, nding evidence in favor of the latter. We consider the restless multiarmed bandit problem with unknown dynamics in which a player chooses one out of N arms to play at each time. The reward state of each arm transits according to an unknown Markovian rule when it is played and evolves according to an arbitrary unknown random process when it is passive. The performance of an arm selection policy is measured by regret, defined as the reward loss with respect to the case where the player knows which arm is the most rewarding and always plays the best arm. We construct a policy with an interleaving exploration and exploitation epoch structure that achieves a regret with logarithmic order. We further extend the problem to a decentralized setting where multiple distributed players share the arms without information exchange. Under both an exogenous restless model and an endogenous restless model, we show that a decentralized extension of the proposed policy preserves the logarithmic regret order as in the centralized setting. The results apply to adaptive learning in various dynamic systems and communication networks, as well as financial investment. We consider a linear stochastic bandit problem where the dimension @math of the unknown parameter @math is larger than the sampling budget @math . In such cases, it is in general impossible to derive sub-linear regret bounds since usual linear bandit algorithms have a regret in @math . In this paper we assume that @math is @math sparse, i.e. has at most @math non-zero components, and that the space of arms is the unit ball for the @math norm. We combine ideas from Compressed Sensing and Bandit Theory and derive algorithms with regret bounds in @math . The multiarmed bandit is often used as an analogy for the tradeoff between exploration and exploitation in search problems. The classic problem involves allocating trials to the arms of a multiarmed slot machine to maximize the expected sum of rewards. We pose a new variation of the multiarmed bandit--the Max K-Armed Bandit--in which trials must be allocated among the arms to maximize the expected best single sample reward of the series of trials. Motivation for the Max K-Armed Bandit is the allocation of restarts among a set of multistart stochastic search algorithms. We present an analysis of this Max K-Armed Bandit showing under certain assumptions that the optimal strategy allocates trials to the observed best arm at a rate increasing double exponentially relative to the other arms. This motivates an exploration strategy that follows a Boltzmann distribution with an exponentially decaying temperature parameter. We compare this exploration policy to policies that allocate trials to the observed best arm at rates faster (and slower) than double exponentially. The results confirm, for two scheduling domains, that the double exponential increase in the rate of allocations to the observed best heuristic outperfonns the other approaches. We present algorithms for reducing the Dueling Bandits problem to the conventional (stochastic) Multi-Armed Bandits problem. The Dueling Bandits problem is an online model of learning with ordinal feedback of the form "A is preferred to B" (as opposed to cardinal feedback like "A has value 2.5"), giving it wide applicability in learning from implicit user feedback and revealed and stated preferences. In contrast to existing algorithms for the Dueling Bandits problem, our reductions -- named @math , @math and @math -- provide a generic schema for translating the extensive body of known results about conventional Multi-Armed Bandit algorithms to the Dueling Bandits setting. For @math and @math we prove regret upper bounds in both finite and infinite settings, and conjecture about the performance of @math which empirically outperforms the other two as well as previous algorithms in our experiments. In addition, we provide the first almost optimal regret bound in terms of second order terms, such as the differences between the values of the arms. We study exploration in Multi-Armed Bandits in a setting where @math players collaborate in order to identify an @math -optimal arm. Our motivation comes from recent employment of bandit algorithms in computationally intensive, large-scale applications. Our results demonstrate a non-trivial tradeoff between the number of arm pulls required by each of the players, and the amount of communication between them. In particular, our main result shows that by allowing the @math players to communicate only once, they are able to learn @math times faster than a single player. That is, distributing learning to @math players gives rise to a factor @math parallel speed-up. We complement this result with a lower bound showing this is in general the best possible. On the other extreme, we present an algorithm that achieves the ideal factor @math speed-up in learning performance, with communication only logarithmic in @math . The multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem features the classical tradeoff between exploration and exploitation. The input specifies several stochastic arms which evolve with each pull, and the goal is to maximize the expected reward after a fixed budget of pulls. The celebrated work of , surveyed in [8], presumes a condition on the arms called the martingale assumption. In [9], A. obtained an LP-based 1 48-approximation for the problem with the martingale assumption removed. We improve the algorithm to a 4 27-approximation, with simpler analysis. Our algorithm also generalizes to the case of MAB superprocesses with (stochastic) multi-period actions. This generalization captures the framework introduced by Guha and Munagala in [11], and yields new results for their budgeted learning problems. Also, we obtain a (1 2 -- e)-approximation for the variant of MAB where preemption (playing an arm, switching to another arm, then coming back to the first arm) is not allowed. This contains the stochastic knapsack problem of Dean, Goemans, and Vondrak in [6] with correlated rewards, where we are given a knapsack of fixed size, and a set of jobs each with a joint distribution for its size and reward. The actual size and reward of a job can only be discovered in real-time as it is being scheduled, and the objective is to maximize expected reward before the knapsack size is exhausted. Our (1 2 -- e)-approximation improves the 1 16 and 1 8 approximations in [9] for correlated stochastic knapsack with cancellation and no cancellation, respectively, providing to our knowledge the first tight algorithm for these problems that matches the integrality gap of 2. We sample probabilities from an exponential-sized dynamic programming solution, whose existence is guaranteed by an LP projection argument. We hope this technique can also be applied to other dynamic programming problems which can be projected down onto a small LP. We consider the problem of learning in single-player and multiplayer multiarmed bandit models. Bandit problems are classes of online learning problems that capture exploration versus exploitation tradeoffs. In a multiarmed bandit model, players can pick among many arms, and each play of an arm generates an i.i.d. reward from an unknown distribution. The objective is to design a policy that maximizes the expected reward over a time horizon for a single-player setting and the sum of expected rewards for the multiplayer setting. In the multiplayer setting, arms may give different rewards to different players. There is no separate channel for coordination among the players. Any attempt at communication is costly and adds to regret. We propose two decentralizable policies, @math ( @math - @math ) and @math - @math , that can be used in both single-player and multiplayer settings. These policies are shown to yield expected regret that grows, at most, as @math (and @math under some assumption). It is well known that @math is the lower bound on the rate of growth of regret even in a centralized case. The proposed algorithms improve on prior work where regret grew at @math . More fundamentally, these policies address the question of additional cost incurred in decentralized online learning, suggesting that there is, at most, an @math -factor cost in terms of the order of regret. This solves a problem of relevance in many domains and had been open for a while. In this paper, we study the online learning problem involving rested and restless bandits, in both a centralized and a decentralized setting. In a centralized setting, the system consists of a single player user and a set of K finite-state discrete-time Markov chains (arms) with unknown state spaces (rewards) and statistics. The objective of the player is to decide in each step which M of the K arms to play over a sequence of trials so as to maximize its long-term reward. In a decentralized setting, multiple uncoordinated players each makes its own decision on which arm to play in a step, and if two or more players select the same arm simultaneously, a collision results and none of the players selecting that arm gets a reward. The objective of each player again is to maximize its long-term reward. We first show that logarithmic regret algorithms exist both for the centralized rested and restless bandit problems. For the decentralized setting, we propose an algorithm with logarithmic regret with respect to the optimal centralized arm allocation. Numerical results and extensive discussion are also provided to highlight insights obtained from this study.