This paper studies the synthesis of control policies for an agent that has to satisfy a temporal logic specification in a partially observable environment, in the presence of an adversary. The interaction of the agent (defender) with the adversary is modeled as a partially observable stochastic game. The search for policies is limited to over the space of finite state controllers, which leads to a tractable approach to determine policies. The goal is to generate a defender policy to maximize satisfaction of a given temporal logic specification under any adversary policy. We relate the satisfaction of the specification in terms of reaching (a subset of) recurrent states of a Markov chain. We then present a procedure to determine a set of defender and adversary finite state controllers of given sizes that will satisfy the temporal logic specification. We illustrate our approach with an example.
Dynamic programming (DP) for POSGs has been studied in @cite_15 , resulting in an algorithm that generalizes both DP for POMDPs and iterated elimination of dominated strategies for normal form games. This work, however, considered the finite horizon case, and all agents had to maximize their own expected rewards. When agents cooperate to earn rewards, the framework is called a decentralized-POMDP (Dec-POMDP). The infinite horizon case for Dec-POMDPs was studied in @cite_42 , where the authors proposed a bounded policy iteration algorithm for policies represented as joint FSCs. A complete and optimal algorithm for deterministic FSC policies for DecPOMDPs was presented in @cite_14 . Optimization techniques for fixed-size controllers' to solve Dec-POMDPs were investigated in @cite_38 . A survey of recent research in Dec- POMDPs is presented in @cite_39 .
@cite_38 @cite_14 @cite_42 @cite_39 @cite_15
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There has been substantial progress on algorithms for single-agent sequential decision making using partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). A number of efficient algorithms for solving POMDPs share two desirable properties: error-bounds and fast convergence rates. Despite significant efforts, no algorithms for solving decentralized POMDPs benefit from these properties, leading to either poor solution quality or limited scalability. This paper presents the first approach for solving transition independent decentralized Markov decision processes (Dec-MDPs), that inherits these properties. Two related algorithms illustrate this approach. The first recasts the original problem as a deterministic and completely observable Markov decision process. In this form, the original problem is solved by combining heuristic search with constraint optimization to quickly converge into a near-optimal policy. This algorithm also provides the foundation for the first algorithm for solving infinite-horizon transition independent decentralized MDPs. We demonstrate that both methods outperform state-of-the-art algorithms by multiple orders of magnitude, and for infinite-horizon decentralized MDPs, the algorithm is able to construct more concise policies by searching cyclic policy graphs. We present a bounded policy iteration algorithm for infinite-horizon decentralized POMDPs. Policies are represented as joint stochastic finite-state controllers, which consist of a local controller for each agent. We also let a joint controller include a correlation device that allows the agents to correlate their behavior without exchanging information during execution, and show that this leads to improved performance. The algorithm uses a fixed amount of memory, and each iteration is guaranteed to produce a controller with value at least as high as the previous one for all possible initial state distributions. For the case of a single agent, the algorithm reduces to Poupart and Boutilier's bounded policy iteration for POMDPs. POMDPs and their decentralized multiagent counterparts, DEC-POMDPs, offer a rich framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty. Their high computational complexity, however, presents an important research challenge. One way to address the intractable memory requirements of current algorithms is based on representing agent policies as finite-state controllers. Using this representation, we propose a new approach that formulates the problem as a nonlinear program, which defines an optimal policy of a desired size for each agent. This new formulation allows a wide range of powerful nonlinear programming algorithms to be used to solve POMDPs and DEC-POMDPs. Although solving the NLP optimally is often intractable, the results we obtain using an off-the-shelf optimization method are competitive with state-of-the-art POMDP algorithms and outperform state-of-the-art DEC-POMDP algorithms. Our approach is easy to implement and it opens up promising research directions for solving POMDPs and DEC-POMDPs using nonlinear programming methods. We develop an exact dynamic programming algorithm for partially observable stochastic games (POSGs). The algorithm is a synthesis of dynamic programming for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) and iterated elimination or dominated strategies in normal form games. We prove that when applied to finite-horizon POSGs, the algorithm iteratively eliminates very weakly dominated strategies without first forming a normal form representation of the game. For the special case in which agents share the same payoffs, the algorithm can be used to find an optimal solution. We present preliminary empirical results and discuss ways to further exploit POMDP theory in solving POSGs. Decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) constitute an expressive framework for multiagent planning under uncertainty, but solving them is provably intractable. We demonstrate how their scalability can be improved by exploiting locality of interaction between agents in a factored representation. Factored Dec-POMDP representations have been proposed before, but only for Dec-POMDPs whose transition and observation models are fully independent. Such strong assumptions simplify the planning problem, but result in models with limited applicability. By contrast, we consider general factored Dec-POMDPs for which we analyze the model dependencies over space (locality of interaction) and time (horizon of the problem). We also present a formulation of decomposable value functions. Together, our results allow us to exploit the problem structure as well as heuristics in a single framework that is based on collaborative graphical Bayesian games (CGBGs). A preliminary experiment shows a speedup of two orders of magnitude. The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a principled general framework for planning under uncertainty, but solving POMDPs optimally is computationally intractable, due to the "curse of dimensionality" and the "curse of history". To overcome these challenges, we introduce the Determinized Sparse Partially Observable Tree (DESPOT), a sparse approximation of the standard belief tree, for online planning under uncertainty. A DESPOT focuses online planning on a set of randomly sampled scenarios and compactly captures the "execution" of all policies under these scenarios. We show that the best policy obtained from a DESPOT is near-optimal, with a regret bound that depends on the representation size of the optimal policy. Leveraging this result, we give an anytime online planning algorithm, which searches a DESPOT for a policy that optimizes a regularized objective function. Regularization balances the estimated value of a policy under the sampled scenarios and the policy size, thus avoiding overfitting. The algorithm demonstrates strong experimental results, compared with some of the best online POMDP algorithms available. It has also been incorporated into an autonomous driving system for real-time vehicle control. The source code for the algorithm is available online. Dec-POMDPs are a powerful framework for planning in multiagent systems, but are provably intractable to solve. Despite recent work on scaling to more agents by exploiting weak couplings in factored models, scalability for unrestricted subclasses remains limited. This paper proposes a factored forward-sweep policy computation method that tackles the stages of the problem one by one, exploiting weakly coupled structure at each of these stages. To enable the method to scale to many agents, we propose a set of approximations: approximation of stages using a sparse interaction structure, bootstrapping off smaller tasks to compute heuristic payoff functions, and employing approximate inference to estimate required probabilities at each stage and to compute the best decision rules. An empirical evaluation shows that the loss in solution quality due to these approximations is small and that the proposed method achieves unprecedented scalability, solving Dec-POMDPs with hundreds of agents. Decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (DEC-POMDPs) form a general framework for planning for groups of cooperating agents that inhabit a stochastic and partially observable environment. Unfortunately, computing optimal plans in a DEC-POMDP has been shown to be intractable (NEXP-complete), and approximate algorithms for specific subclasses have been proposed. Many of these algorithms rely on an (approximate) solution of the centralized planning problem (i.e., treating the whole team as a single agent). We take a more decentralized approach, in which each agent only reasons over its own local state and some uncontrollable state features, which are shared by all team members. In contrast to other approaches, we model communication as an integral part of the agent's reasoning, in which the meaning of a message is directly encoded in the policy of the communicating agent. We explore iterative methods for approximately solving such models, and we conclude with some encouraging preliminary experimental results. We propose a new approach to the problem of searching a space of policies for a Markov decision process (MDP) or a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), given a model. Our approach is based on the following observation: Any (PO)MDP can be transformed into an "equivalent" POMDP in which all state transitions (given the current state and action) are deterministic. This reduces the general problem of policy search to one in which we need only consider POMDPs with deterministic transitions. We give a natural way of estimating the value of all policies in these transformed POMDPs. Policy search is then simply performed by searching for a policy with high estimated value. We also establish conditions under which our value estimates will be good, recovering theoretical results similar to those of Kearns, Mansour and Ng (1999), but with "sample complexity" bounds that have only a polynomial rather than exponential dependence on the horizon time. Our method applies to arbitrary POMDPs, including ones with infinite state and action spaces. We also present empirical results for our approach on a small discrete problem, and on a complex continuous state continuous action problem involving learning to ride a bicycle. In this paper, we address the problem of suboptimal behavior during online partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) planning caused by time constraints on planning. Taking inspiration from the related field of reinforcement learning (RL), our solution is to shape the agent's reward function in order to lead the agent to large future rewards without having to spend as much time explicitly estimating cumulative future rewards, enabling the agent to save time to improve the breadth planning and build higher quality plans. Specifically, we extend potential-based reward shaping (PBRS) from RL to online POMDP planning. In our extension, information about belief states is added to the function optimized by the agent during planning. This information provides hints of where the agent might find high future rewards beyond its planning horizon, and thus achieve greater cumulative rewards. We develop novel potential functions measuring information useful to agent metareasoning in POMDPs (reflecting on agent knowledge and or histories of experience with the environment), theoretically prove several important properties and benefits of using PBRS for online POMDP planning, and empirically demonstrate these results in a range of classic benchmark POMDP planning problems. POMDPs provide a principled framework for planning under uncertainty, but are computationally intractable, due to the "curse of dimensionality" and the "curse of history". This paper presents an online POMDP algorithm that alleviates these difficulties by focusing the search on a set of randomly sampled scenarios. A Determinized Sparse Partially Observable Tree (DESPOT) compactly captures the execution of all policies on these scenarios. Our Regularized DESPOT (R-DESPOT) algorithm searches the DESPOT for a policy, while optimally balancing the size of the policy and its estimated value obtained under the sampled scenarios. We give an output-sensitive performance bound for all policies derived from a DESPOT, and show that R-DESPOT works well if a small optimal policy exists. We also give an anytime algorithm that approximates R-DESPOT. Experiments show strong results, compared with two of the fastest online POMDP algorithms. Source code along with experimental settings are available at http: bigbird.comp.nus.edu.sg pmwiki farm appl . Standard value function approaches to finding policies for Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are generally considered to be intractable for large models. The intractability of these algorithms is to a large extent a consequence of computing an exact, optimal policy over the entire belief space. However, in real-world POMDP problems, computing the optimal policy for the full belief space is often unnecessary for good control even for problems with complicated policy classes. The beliefs experienced by the controller often lie near a structured, low-dimensional subspace embedded in the high-dimensional belief space. Finding a good approximation to the optimal value function for only this subspace can be much easier than computing the full value function. We introduce a new method for solving large-scale POMDPs by reducing the dimensionality of the belief space. We use Exponential family Principal Components Analysis (Collins, Dasgupta, & Schapire, 2002) to represent sparse, high-dimensional belief spaces using small sets of learned features of the belief state. We then plan only in terms of the low-dimensional belief features. By planning in this low-dimensional space, we can find policies for POMDP models that are orders of magnitude larger than models that can be handled by conventional techniques. We demonstrate the use of this algorithm on a synthetic problem and on mobile robot navigation tasks. In the real world, noisy sensors and limited communication make it difficult for robot teams to coordinate in tightly coupled tasks. Team members cannot simply apply single-robot solution techniques for partially observable problems in parallel because they do not take into account the recursive effect that reasoning about the beliefs of others has on policy generation. Instead, we must turn to a game theoretic approach to model the problem correctly. Partially observable stochastic games (POSGs) provide a solution model for decentralized robot teams, however, this model quickly becomes intractable. In previous work we presented an algorithm for lookahead search in POSGs. Here we present an extension which reduces computation during lookahead by clustering similar observation histories together. We show that by clustering histories which have similar profiles of predicted reward, we can greatly reduce the computation time required to solve a POSG while maintaining a good approximation to the optimal policy. We demonstrate the power of the clustering algorithm in a real-time robot controller as well as for a simple benchmark problem. We consider partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs), that are a standard framework for robotics applications to model uncertainties present in the real world, with temporal logic specifications. All temporal logic specifications in linear-time temporal logic (LTL) can be expressed as parity objectives. We study the qualitative analysis problem for POMDPs with parity objectives that asks whether there is a controller (policy) to ensure that the objective holds with probability 1 (almost-surely). While the qualitative analysis of POMDPs with parity objectives is undecidable, recent results show that when restricted to finite-memory policies the problem is EXPTIME-complete. While the problem is intractable in theory, we present a practical approach to solve the qualitative analysis problem. We designed several heuristics to deal with the exponential complexity, and have used our implementation on a number of well-known POMDP examples for robotics applications. Our results provide the first practical approach to solve the qualitative analysis of robot motion planning with LTL properties in the presence of uncertainty. Planning and learning in Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs) are among the most challenging tasks in both the AI and Operation Research communities. Although solutions to these problems are intractable in general, there might be special cases, such as structured POMDPs, which can be solved efficiently. A natural and possibly efficient way to represent a POMDP is through the predictive state representation (PSR) — a representation which recently has been receiving increasing attention. In this work, we relate POMDPs to multiplicity automata — showing that POMDPs can be represented by multiplicity automata with no increase in the representation size. Furthermore, we show that the size of the multiplicity automaton is equal to the rank of the predictive state representation. Therefore, we relate both the predictive state representation and POMDPs to the well-founded multiplicity automata literature. Based on the multiplicity automata representation, we provide a planning algorithm which is exponential only in the multiplicity automata rank rather than the number of states of the POMDP. As a result, whenever the predictive state representation is logarithmic in the standard POMDP representation, our planning algorithm is efficient. Autonomous agents operating in partially observable stochastic environments often face the problem of optimizing expected performance while bounding the risk of violating safety constraints. Such problems can be modeled as chance-constrained POMDP's (CC-POMDP's). Our first contribution is a systematic derivation of execution risk in POMDP domains, which improves upon how chance constraints are handled in the constrained POMDP literature. Second, we present RAO*, a heuristic forward search algorithm producing optimal, deterministic, finite-horizon policies for CC-POMDP's. In addition to the utility heuristic, RAO* leverages an admissible execution risk heuristic to quickly detect and prune overly-risky policy branches. Third, we demonstrate the usefulness of RAO* in two challenging domains of practical interest: power supply restoration and autonomous science agents. Most algorithms for solving POMDPs iteratively improve a value function that implicitly represents a policy and are said to search in value function space. This paper presents an approach to solving POMDPs that represents a policy explicitly as a finite-state controller and iteratively improves the controller by search in policy space. Two related algorithms illustrate this approach. The first is a policy iteration algorithm that can outperform value iteration in solving infinitehorizon POMDPs. It provides the foundation for a new heuristic search algorithm that promises further speedup by focusing computational effort on regions of the problem space that are reachable, or likely to be reached, from a start state. In this paper, we describe the partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) approach to finding optimal or near-optimal control strategies for partially observable stochastic environments, given a complete model of the environment. The POMDP approach was originally developed in the operations research community and provides a formal basis for planning problems that have been of interest to the AI community. We found the existing algorithms for computing optimal control strategies to be highly computationally inefficient and have developed a new algorithm that is empirically more efficient. We sketch this algorithm and present preliminary results on several small problems that illustrate important properties of the POMDP approach. We investigate the complexity of the classical problem of optimal policy computation in Markov decision processes. All three variants of the problem finite horizon, infinite horizon discounted, and infinite horizon average cost were known to be solvable in polynomial time by dynamic programming finite horizon problems, linear programming, or successive approximation techniques infinite horizon. We show that they are complete for P, and therefore most likely cannot be solved by highly parallel algorithms. We also show that, in contrast, the deterministic cases of all three problems can be solved very fast in parallel. The version with partially observed states is shown to be PSPACE-complete, and thus even less likely to be solved in polynomial time than the NP-complete problems; in fact, we show that, most likely, it is not possible to have an efficient on-line implementation involving polynomial time on-line computations and memory of an optimal policy, even if an arbitrary amount of precomputation is allowed. Finally, the variant of the problem in which there are no observations is shown to be NP-complete. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are used in many robotic task classes from soccer to household chores. Determining an approximately optimal action policy for POMDPs is PSPACE-complete, and the exponential growth of computation time prohibits solving large tasks. This paper describes two techniques to extend the range of robotic tasks that can be solved using a POMDP. Our first technique reduces the motion constraints of a robot and, then, uses state-of-the-art robotic motion planning techniques to respect the true motion constraints at runtime. We then propose a novel task decomposition that can be applied to some indoor robotic tasks. This decomposition transforms a long time horizon task into a set of shorter tasks. We empirically demonstrate the performance gain provided by these two techniques through simulated execution in a variety of environments. Comparing a direct formulation of a POMDP to solving our proposed reductions, we conclude that the techniques proposed in this paper can provide significant enhancement to current POMDP solution techniques, extending the POMDP instances that can be solved to include large continuous-state robotic tasks.