Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore artificial deep neural networks' performance on flood prediction. While providing models that can be used in forecasting stream stage, this paper presents a dataset that focuses on the connectivity of data points on river networks. It also shows that neural networks can be very helpful in time-series forecasting as in flood events, and support improving existing models through data assimilation.
In this paper, we propose a flood prediction benchmark dataset for future applications in machine learning as well as a scalable approach to forecasting river stage for individual survey points on rivers. The approach takes into account the historical stage data of survey points on selected upstream locations, as well as precipitation data. This approach is both decentralized and doesn't need any historical data from unrelated survey points and can be used in real-time. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), in particular, Gated recurrent unit (GRU) Networks are utilized throughout this study. We also show that this approach presents satisfiable results when it's applied for the state of Iowa as a proof of concept. The data are gathered from the Iowa Flood Center (IFC) and United States Geological Survey (USGS) sensors on the rivers within the state of Iowa. Findings of this project and the deep neural network model will benefit operational cyber platforms @cite_6 , intelligent knowledge systems @cite_13 , and watershed information and visualization tools @cite_27 @cite_14 @cite_15 with enhanced river stage forecasting.
@cite_14 @cite_6 @cite_27 @cite_15 @cite_13
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AbstractIn the spring of 2013, NASA conducted a field campaign known as Iowa Flood Studies (IFloodS) as part of the Ground Validation (GV) program for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission. The purpose of IFloodS was to enhance the understanding of flood-related, space-based observations of precipitation processes in events that transpire worldwide. NASA used a number of scientific instruments such as ground-based weather radars, rain and soil moisture gauges, stream gauges, and disdrometers to monitor rainfall events in Iowa. This article presents the cyberinfrastructure tools and systems that supported the planning, reporting, and management of the field campaign and that allow these data and models to be accessed, evaluated, and shared for research. The authors describe the collaborative informatics tools, which are suitable for the network design, that were used to select the locations in which to place the instruments. How the authors used information technology tools for instrument moni... Since convolutional neural network (CNN) lacks an inherent mechanism to handle large scale variations, we always need to compute feature maps multiple times for multiscale object detection, which has the bottleneck of computational cost in practice. To address this, we devise a recurrent scale approximation (RSA) to compute feature map once only, and only through this map can we approximate the rest maps on other levels. At the core of RSA is the recursive rolling out mechanism: given an initial map on a particular scale, it generates the prediction on a smaller scale that is half the size of input. To further increase efficiency and accuracy, we (a): design a scale-forecast network to globally predict potential scales in the image since there is no need to compute maps on all levels of the pyramid. (b): propose a landmark retracing network (LRN) to retrace back locations of the regressed landmarks and generate a confidence score for each landmark; LRN can effectively alleviate false positives due to the accumulated error in RSA. The whole system could be trained end-to-end in a unified CNN framework. Experiments demonstrate that our proposed algorithm is superior against state-of-the-arts on face detection benchmarks and achieves comparable results for generic proposal generation. The source code of our system is available. Abstract Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have been widely used in natural language processing and computer vision. Amongst them, the Hierarchical Multi-scale RNN (HM-RNN), a recently proposed multi-scale hierarchical RNN, can automatically learn the hierarchical temporal structure from data. In this paper, we extend the work to solve the computer vision task of action recognition. However, in sequence-to-sequence models like RNN, it is normally very hard to discover the relationships between inputs and outputs given static inputs. As a solution, the attention mechanism can be applied to extract the relevant information from the inputs thus facilitating the modeling of the input–output relationships. Based on these considerations, we propose a novel attention network, namely Hierarchical Multi-scale Attention Network (HM-AN), by incorporating the attention mechanism into the HM-RNN and applying it to action recognition. A newly proposed gradient estimation method for stochastic neurons, namely Gumbel-softmax, is exploited to implement the temporal boundary detectors and the stochastic hard attention mechanism. To reduce the negative effect of the temperature sensitivity of the Gumbel-softmax, an adaptive temperature training method is applied to improve the system performance. The experimental results demonstrate the improved effect of HM-AN over LSTM with attention on the vision task. Through visualization of what has been learnt by the network, it can be observed that both the attention regions of the images and the hierarchical temporal structure can be captured by a HM-AN. We propose a new deep network architecture for removing rain streaks from individual images based on the deep convolutional neural network (CNN). Inspired by the deep residual network (ResNet) that simplifies the learning process by changing the mapping form, we propose a deep detail network to directly reduce the mapping range from input to output, which makes the learning process easier. To further improve the de-rained result, we use a priori image domain knowledge by focusing on high frequency detail during training, which removes background interference and focuses the model on the structure of rain in images. This demonstrates that a deep architecture not only has benefits for high-level vision tasks but also can be used to solve low-level imaging problems. Though we train the network on synthetic data, we find that the learned network generalizes well to real-world test images. Experiments show that the proposed method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on both synthetic and real-world images in terms of both qualitative and quantitative measures. We discuss applications of this structure to denoising and JPEG artifact reduction at the end of the paper.