Probabilistic epistemic argumentation allows for reasoning about argumentation problems in a way that is well founded by probability theory. Epistemic states are represented by probability functions over possible worlds and can be adjusted to new beliefs using update operators. While the use of probability functions puts this approach on a solid foundational basis, it also causes computational challenges as the amount of data to process depends exponentially on the number of arguments. This leads to bottlenecks in applications such as modelling opponent's beliefs for persuasion dialogues. We show how update operators over probability functions can be related to update operators over much more compact representations that allow polynomial-time updates. We discuss the cognitive and probabilistic-logical plausibility of this approach and demonstrate its applicability in computational persuasion.
There is a large variety of other probabilistic argumentation approaches @cite_15 @cite_3 @cite_32 @cite_7 @cite_6 @cite_22 @cite_14 @cite_39 @cite_0 @cite_38 @cite_23 , which basically differ in the level of detail (e.g., structured or abstract argumentation), in the way how uncertainty is introduced (e.g. possible worlds correspond to argument interpretations or the graph structure) and in the nature of uncertainty (e.g., uncertainty about the acceptance state or uncertainty about the nature of a relation between arguments).
@cite_38 @cite_14 @cite_22 @cite_7 @cite_32 @cite_3 @cite_6 @cite_39 @cite_0 @cite_23 @cite_15
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The combination of argumentation and probability paves the way to new accounts of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty, thereby offering new theoretical and applicative opportunities. Due to a variety of interests, probabilistic argumentation is approached in the literature with different frameworks, pertaining to structured and abstract argumentation, and with respect to diverse types of uncertainty, in particular the uncertainty on the credibility of the premises, the uncertainty about which arguments to consider, and the uncertainty on the acceptance status of arguments or statements. Towards a general framework for probabilistic argumentation, we investigate a labelling-oriented framework encompassing a basic setting for rule-based argumentation and its (semi-) abstract account, along with diverse types of uncertainty. Our framework provides a systematic treatment of various kinds of uncertainty and of their relationships and allows us to back or question assertions from the literature. Probabilistic abstract argumentation combines Dung’s abstract argumentation framework with probability theory in order to model uncertainty in argumentation. In this setting, we address the fundamental problem of computing the probability that a set of arguments is an extension according to a given semantics. We focus on the most popular semantics (i.e., admissible, stable, complete, grounded, preferred, ideal-set, ideal, stage, and semistable) and show the following dichotomy result: computing the probability that a set of arguments is an extension is either FP or FP#P-complete depending on the semantics adopted. Our polynomial-time results are particularly interesting, as they hold for some semantics for which no polynomial-time technique was known so far. Argumentation can be modelled at an abstract level using a directed graph where each node denotes an argument and each arc denotes an attack by one argument on another. Since arguments are often uncertain, it can be useful to quantify the uncertainty associated with each argument. Recently, there have been proposals to extend abstract argumentation to take this uncertainty into account. This assigns a probability value for each argument that represents the degree to which the argument is believed to hold, and this is then used to generate a probability distribution over the full subgraphs of the argument graph, which in turn can be used to determine the probability that a set of arguments is admissible or an extension. In order to more fully understand uncertainty in argumentation, in this paper, we extend this idea by considering logic-based argumentation with uncertain arguments. This is based on a probability distribution over models of the language, which can then be used to give a probability distribution over arguments that are constructed using classical logic. We show how this formalization of uncertainty of logical arguments relates to uncertainty of abstract arguments, and we consider a number of interesting classes of probability assignments. Recently, there has been a proposal by Dung and Thang and by to extend abstract argumentation to take uncertainty of arguments into account by assigning a probability value to each argument, and then use this assignment to determine the probability that a set of arguments is an extension. In this paper, we explore some of the assumptions behind the definitions, and some of the resulting properties, of the proposal for probabilistic argument graphs.