To understand narrative, humans draw inferences about the underlying relations between narrative events. Cognitive theories of narrative understanding define these inferences as four different types of causality, that include pairs of events A, B where A physically causes B (X drop, X break), to pairs of events where A causes emotional state B (Y saw X, Y felt fear). Previous work on learning narrative relations from text has either focused on "strict" physical causality, or has been vague about what relation is being learned. This paper learns pairs of causal events from a corpus of film scene descriptions which are action rich and tend to be told in chronological order. We show that event pairs induced using our methods are of high quality and are judged to have a stronger causal relation than event pairs from Rel-grams.
used event ngrams and discourse cues to learn causal relations from first person stories posted on weblogs and evaluated them with respect to the COPA SEM-EVAL task. Other related work learns likely sequences of temporally ordered events but does not explicitly model causality @cite_20 @cite_12 @cite_1 .
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Hand-coded scripts were used in the 1970-80s as knowledge backbones that enabled inference and other NLP tasks requiring deep semantic knowledge. We propose unsupervised induction of similar schemata called narrative event chains from raw newswire text. A narrative event chain is a partially ordered set of events related by a common protagonist. We describe a three step process to learning narrative event chains. The first uses unsupervised distributional methods to learn narrative relations between events sharing coreferring arguments. The second applies a temporal classifier to partially order the connected events. Finally, the third prunes and clusters self-contained chains from the space of events. We introduce two evaluations: the narrative cloze to evaluate event relatedness, and an order coherence task to evaluate narrative order. We show a 36 improvement over baseline for narrative prediction and 25 for temporal coherence. We address the problem of visually detecting causal events and fitting them together into a coherent story of the action witnessed by the camera. We show that this can be done by reasoning about the motions and collisions of surfaces, using high-level causal constraints derived from psychological studies of infant visual behavior. These constraints are naive forms of basic physical laws governing substantiality, contiguity, momentum, and acceleration. We describe two implementations. One system parses instructional videos, extracting plans of action and key frames suitable for storyboarding. Since learning will play a role in making such systems robust, we introduce a new framework for higher-order hidden Markov models and demonstrate its use in a second system that segments stereo video into actions in near real-time. Rather than attempt accurate low-level vision, both systems use high-level causal analysis to integrate fast but sloppy pixel-based representations over time. The output is suitable for summary, indexing, and automated editing. Contingency discourse relations play an important role in natural language understanding. In this paper we propose an unsupervised learning model to automatically identify contingency relationships between scenario-specific events in web news articles (on the Iraq war and on hurricane Katrina). The model generates ranked contingency relationships by identifying appropriate candidate event pairs for each scenario of a particular domain. Scenario-specific events, contributing towards the same objectives in a domain, are likely to be dependent on each other, and thus form good candidates for contingency relationships. In order to evaluate the ranked contingency relationships, we rely on the manipulation theory of causation and a comparison of precision-recall performance curves. We also perform various tests which bring insights into how people perceive causality. For example, our findings show that the larger the distance between two events, the more likely it becomes for the annotators to identify them as non-causal. Given a current news event, we tackle the problem of generating plausible predictions of future events it might cause. We present a new methodology for modeling and predicting such future news events using machine learning and data mining techniques. Our Pundit algorithm generalizes examples of causality pairs to infer a causality predictor. To obtain precisely labeled causality examples, we mine 150 years of news articles and apply semantic natural language modeling techniques to headlines containing certain predefined causality patterns. For generalization, the model uses a vast number of world knowledge ontologies. Empirical evaluation on real news articles shows that our Pundit algorithm performs as well as non-expert humans.