Trajectory prediction (TP) is of great importance for a wide range of location-based applications in intelligent transport systems such as location-based advertising, route planning, traffic management, and early warning systems. In the last few years, the widespread use of GPS navigation systems and wireless communication technology enabled vehicles has resulted in huge volumes of trajectory data. The task of utilizing this data employing spatio-temporal techniques for trajectory prediction in an efficient and accurate manner is an ongoing research problem. Existing TP approaches are limited to short-term predictions. Moreover, they cannot handle a large volume of trajectory data for long-term prediction. To address these limitations, we propose a scalable clustering and Markov chain based hybrid framework, called Traj-clusiVAT-based TP, for both short-term and long-term trajectory prediction, which can handle a large number of overlapping trajectories in a dense road network. Traj-clusiVAT can also determine the number of clusters, which represent different movement behaviours in input trajectory data. In our experiments, we compare our proposed approach with a mixed Markov model (MMM)-based scheme, and a trajectory clustering, NETSCAN-based TP method for both short- and long-term trajectory predictions. We performed our experiments on two real, vehicle trajectory datasets, including a large-scale trajectory dataset consisting of 3.28 million trajectories obtained from 15,061 taxis in Singapore over a period of one month. Experimental results on two real trajectory datasets show that our proposed approach outperforms the existing approaches in terms of both short- and long-term prediction performances, based on prediction accuracy and distance error (in km).
Some researchers have proposed trajectory clustering based route prediction methods, which partition the trajectories into several clusters representing different motion patterns based on the trajectory similarity. Various clustering approaches @cite_37 using different methods and distance measures between trajectories have been proposed in the literature. Road network constrained trajectory clustering approaches can be classified into two broad categories. The first type uses the traditional clustering approaches such @math -means and DBSCAN with specially designed distance measures @cite_35 @cite_53 @cite_26 @cite_15 for trajectories. The second category of algorithms @cite_49 @cite_8 cluster road segment vehicle frequencies based on density and flow.
@cite_35 @cite_37 @cite_26 @cite_8 @cite_53 @cite_49 @cite_15
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Spatio-temporal and geo-referenced datasets are growing rapidly, with the rapid development of some technology, such as GPS, satellite systems. At present, many scholars are very interested in the clustering of the trajectory. Existing trajectory clustering algorithms group similar trajectories as a whole and can't distinguish the direction of trajectory. Our key finding is that clustering trajectories as a whole could miss common sub-trajectories and trajectory has direction information. In many applications, discovering common sub-trajectories is very useful. In this paper, we present a trajectory clustering algorithm CTHD (clustering of trajectory based on hausdorff distance). In the CTHD, the trajectory is firstly described by a sequence of flow vectors and partitioned into a set of sub-trajectory. Next the similarity between trajectories is measured by their respective Hausdorff distances. Finally, the trajectories are clustered by the DBSCAN clustering algorithm. The proposed algorithm is different from other schemes using Hausdorff distance that the flow vectors include the position and direction. So it can distinguish the trajectories in different directions. The experimental result shows the phenomenon. Trajectories of moving objects contain numerous information to analyze and exploit. Clustering analysis is an important approach to deal with trajectories in data mining technology. However, existing trajectory clustering algorithm barely considers temporal information during clustering procedure. This paper proposes a clustering scheme for trajectories in road network environment. A trajectory on road network is represented by a sequence of interest points that each point indicates a real location on road segment. We define a distance measure to compute the spatial similarity between trajectories, then we propose a clustering algorithm based on DBSCAN and add temporal factor into it at the same time. In this paper, we proposed a hierarchical clustering framework to classify vehicle motion trajectories in real traffic video based on their pairwise similarities. First raw trajectories are pre-processed and resampled at equal space intervals. Then spectral clustering is used to group trajectories with similar spatial patterns. Dominant paths and lanes can be distinguished as a result of two-layer hierarchical clustering. Detection of novel trajectories is also possible based on the clustering results. Experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of spectral clustering compared with conventional fuzzy K-means clustering and some results of anomaly detection are presented. This paper proposes a new trajectory clustering scheme for objects moving on road networks. A trajectory on road networks can be defined as a sequence of road segments a moving object has passed by. We first propose a similarity measurement scheme that judges the degree of similarity by considering the total length of matched road segments. Then, we propose a new clustering algorithm based on such similarity measurement criteria by modifying and adjusting the FastMap and hierarchical clustering schemes. To evaluate the performance of the proposed clustering scheme, we also develop a trajectory generator considering the fact that most objects tend to move from the starting point to the destination point along their shortest path. The performance result shows that our scheme has the accuracy of over 95 .