Quantification is the task of estimating the class-distribution of a data-set. While typically considered as a parameter estimation problem with strict assumptions on the data-set shift, we consider quantification in-the-wild, on two large scale data-sets from marine ecology: a survey of Caribbean coral reefs, and a plankton time series from Martha's Vineyard Coastal Observatory. We investigate several quantification methods from the literature and indicate opportunities for future work. In particular, we show that a deep neural network can be fine-tuned on a very limited amount of data (25 - 100 samples) to outperform alternative methods.
For supervised quantification, simple random sampling @cite_4 can be utilized to achieve an unbiased estimate the class-distribution: @math where @math is a vector of randomly permuted indices and @math the annotation budget. Simple random sampling doesn't utilize the classifier, @math , but it can be incorporated using auxiliary sampling designs, through offset @cite_21 or ratio @cite_9 estimators. In these methods, some property (e.g. bias) of the classifier is estimated from the labeled subset, and then used to adjust the prediction on the whole target set. Other methods include adapting the classifier to operate in the target domain, typically achieved by modifying the internal feature representation of the classifier @cite_1 .
@cite_1 @cite_9 @cite_21 @cite_4
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An approach to the construction of classifiers from imbalanced datasets is described. A dataset is imbalanced if the classification categories are not approximately equally represented. Often real-world data sets are predominately composed of "normal" examples with only a small percentage of "abnormal" or "interesting" examples. It is also the case that the cost of misclassifying an abnormal (interesting) example as a normal example is often much higher than the cost of the reverse error. Under-sampling of the majority (normal) class has been proposed as a good means of increasing the sensitivity of a classifier to the minority class. This paper shows that a combination of our method of oversampling the minority (abnormal)cla ss and under-sampling the majority (normal) class can achieve better classifier performance (in ROC space)tha n only under-sampling the majority class. This paper also shows that a combination of our method of over-sampling the minority class and under-sampling the majority class can achieve better classifier performance (in ROC space)t han varying the loss ratios in Ripper or class priors in Naive Bayes. Our method of over-sampling the minority class involves creating synthetic minority class examples. Experiments are performed using C4.5, Ripper and a Naive Bayes classifier. The method is evaluated using the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC)and the ROC convex hull strategy. In many important machine learning applications, the source distribution used to estimate a probabilistic classifier differs from the target distribution on which the classifier will be used to make predictions. Due to its asymptotic properties, sample reweighted empirical loss minimization is a commonly employed technique to deal with this difference. However, given finite amounts of labeled source data, this technique suffers from significant estimation errors in settings with large sample selection bias. We develop a framework for learning a robust bias-aware (RBA) probabilistic classifier that adapts to different sample selection biases using a minimax estimation formulation. Our approach requires only accurate estimates of statistics under the source distribution and is otherwise as robust as possible to unknown properties of the conditional label distribution, except when explicit generalization assumptions are incorporated. We demonstrate the behavior and effectiveness of our approach on binary classification tasks. We study binary classification in the presence of class-conditional random noise, where the learner gets to see labels that are flipped independently with some probability, and where the flip probability depends on the class. Our goal is to devise learning algorithms that are efficient and statistically consistent with respect to commonly used utility measures. In particular, we look at a family of measures motivated by their application in domains where cost-sensitive learning is necessary (for example, when there is class imbalance). In contrast to most of the existing literature on consistent classification that are limited to the classical 0-1 loss, our analysis includes more general utility measures such as the AM measure (arithmetic mean of True Positive Rate and True Negative Rate). For this problem of cost-sensitive learning under class-conditional random noise, we develop two approaches that are based on suitably modifying surrogate losses. First, we provide a simple unbiased estimator of any loss, and obtain performance bounds for empirical utility maximization in the presence of i.i.d. data with noisy labels. If the loss function satis_es a simple symmetry condition, we show that using unbiased estimator leads to an efficient algorithm for empirical maximization. Second, by leveraging a reduction of risk minimization under noisy labels to classification with weighted 0-1 loss, we suggest the use of a simple weighted surrogate loss, for which we are able to obtain strong utility bounds. This approach implies that methods already used in practice, such as biased SVM and weighted logistic regression, are provably noise-tolerant. For two practically important measures in our family, we show that the proposed methods are competitive with respect to recently proposed methods for dealing with label noise in several benchmark data sets. From a high-volume stream of weighted items, we want to create a generic sample of a certain limited size that we can later use to estimate the total weight of arbitrary subsets. Applied to Internet traffic analysis, the items could be records summarizing the flows of packets streaming by a router. Subsets could be flow records from different time intervals of a worm attack whose signature is later determined. The samples taken in the past thus allow us to trace the history of the attack even though the worm was unknown at the time of sampling. Estimation from the samples must be accurate even with heavy-tailed distributions where most of the weight is concentrated on a few heavy items. We want the sample to be weight sensitive, giving priority to heavy items. At the same time, we want sampling without replacement in order to avoid selecting heavy items multiple times. To fulfill these requirements we introduce priority sampling, which is the first weight-sensitive sampling scheme without replacement that works in a streaming context and is suitable for estimating subset sums. Testing priority sampling on Internet traffic analysis, we found it to perform an order of magnitude better than previous schemes. Priority sampling is simple to define and implement: we consider a steam of items i e 0,…,n − 1 with weights wi. For each item i, we generate a random number αi ∈ (0,1] and create a priority qi e wi αi. The sample S consists of the k highest priority items. Let τ be the (k p 1)th highest priority. Each sampled item i in S gets a weight estimate wi e max wi, τ , while nonsampled items get weight estimate wi e 0. Magically, it turns out that the weight estimates are unbiased, that is, E[wi] e wi, and by linearity of expectation, we get unbiased estimators over any subset sum simply by adding the sampled weight estimates from the subset. Also, we can estimate the variance of the estimates, and find, surprisingly, that the covariance between estimates wi and wj of different weights is zero. Finally, we conjecture an extremely strong near-optimality; namely that for any weight sequence, there exists no specialized scheme for sampling k items with unbiased weight estimators that gets smaller variance sum than priority sampling with k p 1 items. Szegedy settled this conjecture at STOC'06.