Group-buying ads seeking a minimum number of customers before the deal expiry are increasingly used by the daily-deal providers. Unlike the traditional web ads, the advertiser's profits for group-buying ads depends on the time to expiry and additional customers needed to satisfy the minimum group size. Since both these quantities are time-dependent, optimal bid amounts to maximize profits change with every impression. Consequently, traditional static bidding strategies are far from optimal. Instead, bid values need to be optimized in real-time to maximize expected bidder profits. This online optimization of deal profits is made possible by the advent of ad exchanges offering real-time (spot) bidding. To this end, we propose a real-time bidding strategy for group-buying deals based on the online optimization of bid values. We derive the expected bidder profit of deals as a function of the bid amounts, and dynamically vary bids to maximize profits. Further, to satisfy time constraints of the online bidding, we present methods of minimizing computation timings. Subsequently, we derive the real time ad selection, admissibility, and real time bidding of the traditional ads as the special cases of the proposed method. We evaluate the proposed bidding, selection and admission strategies on a multi-million click stream of 935 ads. The proposed real-time bidding, selection and admissibility show significant profit increases over the existing strategies. Further the experiments illustrate the robustness of the bidding and acceptable computation timings.
With the increase of ad exchanges offering real-time bidding, there are a few papers on related problems. Chen @cite_1 formulated the problem of supply side allocation of traditional ads with upper bounds on budgets as an online constrained optimization matching problem. Chakraborty @cite_13 considered the problem of ad exchanges calling out a subset of ad-networks without exceeding capacity of individual networks for real time bidding. To the best of our knowledge, the optimal bidding problem of group-buy deals and the extensions have not been addressed.
@cite_13 @cite_1
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We describe a real-time bidding algorithm for performance-based display ad allocation. A central issue in performance display advertising is matching campaigns to ad impressions, which can be formulated as a constrained optimization problem that maximizes revenue subject to constraints such as budget limits and inventory availability. The current practice is to solve the optimization problem offline at a tractable level of impression granularity (e.g., the page level), and to serve ads online based on the precomputed static delivery scheme. Although this offline approach takes a global view to achieve optimality, it fails to scale to ad allocation at the individual impression level. Therefore, we propose a real-time bidding algorithm that enables fine-grained impression valuation (e.g., targeting users with real-time conversion data), and adjusts value-based bids according to real-time constraint snapshots (e.g., budget consumption levels). Theoretically, we show that under a linear programming (LP) primal-dual formulation, the simple real-time bidding algorithm is indeed an online solver to the original primal problem by taking the optimal solution to the dual problem as input. In other words, the online algorithm guarantees the offline optimality given the same level of knowledge an offline optimization would have. Empirically, we develop and experiment with two real-time bid adjustment approaches to adapting to the non-stationary nature of the marketplace: one adjusts bids against real-time constraint satisfaction levels using control-theoretic methods, and the other adjusts bids also based on the statistically modeled historical bidding landscape. Finally, we show experimental results with real-world ad delivery data that support our theoretical conclusions. Ads on the Internet are increasingly sold via ad exchanges such as RightMedia, AdECN and Doubleclick Ad Exchange. These exchanges allow real-time bidding, that is, each time the publisher contacts the exchange, the exchange "calls out" to solicit bids from ad networks. This solicitation introduces a novel aspect, in contrast to existing literature. This suggests developing a joint optimization framework which optimizes over the allocation and well as solicitation. We model this selective call out as an online recurrent Bayesian decision framework with bandwidth type constraints. We obtain natural algorithms with bounded performance guarantees for several natural optimization criteria. We show that these results hold under different call out constraint models, and different arrival processes. Interestingly, the paper shows that under MHR assumptions, the expected revenue of generalized second price auction with reserve is constant factor of the expected welfare. Also the analysis herein allow us prove adaptivity gap type results for the adwords problem. Real-time bidding (RTB) based display advertising has become one of the key technological advances in computational advertising. RTB enables advertisers to buy individual ad impressions via an auction in real-time and facilitates the evaluation and the bidding of individual impressions across multiple advertisers. In RTB, the advertisers face three main challenges when optimizing their bidding strategies, namely (i) estimating the utility (e.g., conversions, clicks) of the ad impression, (ii) forecasting the market value (thus the cost) of the given ad impression, and (iii) deciding the optimal bid for the given auction based on the first two. Previous solutions assume the first two are solved before addressing the bid optimization problem. However, these challenges are strongly correlated and dealing with any individual problem independently may not be globally optimal. In this paper, we propose Bidding Machine , a comprehensive learning to bid framework, which consists of three optimizers dealing with each challenge above, and as a whole, jointly optimizes these three parts. We show that such a joint optimization would largely increase the campaign effectiveness and the profit. From the learning perspective, we show that the bidding machine can be updated smoothly with both offline periodical batch or online sequential training schemes. Our extensive offline empirical study and online A B testing verify the high effectiveness of the proposed bidding machine. The majority of online display ads are served through real-time bidding (RTB) --- each ad display impression is auctioned off in real-time when it is just being generated from a user visit. To place an ad automatically and optimally, it is critical for advertisers to devise a learning algorithm to cleverly bid an ad impression in real-time. Most previous works consider the bid decision as a static optimization problem of either treating the value of each impression independently or setting a bid price to each segment of ad volume. However, the bidding for a given ad campaign would repeatedly happen during its life span before the budget runs out. As such, each bid is strategically correlated by the constrained budget and the overall effectiveness of the campaign (e.g., the rewards from generated clicks), which is only observed after the campaign has completed. Thus, it is of great interest to devise an optimal bidding strategy sequentially so that the campaign budget can be dynamically allocated across all the available impressions on the basis of both the immediate and future rewards. In this paper, we formulate the bid decision process as a reinforcement learning problem, where the state space is represented by the auction information and the campaign's real-time parameters, while an action is the bid price to set. By modeling the state transition via auction competition, we build a Markov Decision Process framework for learning the optimal bidding policy to optimize the advertising performance in the dynamic real-time bidding environment. Furthermore, the scalability problem from the large real-world auction volume and campaign budget is well handled by state value approximation using neural networks. The empirical study on two large-scale real-world datasets and the live A B testing on a commercial platform have demonstrated the superior performance and high efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.