Policy evaluation is a key process in reinforcement learning. It assesses a given policy using estimation of the corresponding value function. When using a parameterized function to approximate the value, it is common to optimize the set of parameters by minimizing the sum of squared Bellman Temporal Differences errors. However, this approach ignores certain distributional properties of both the errors and value parameters. Taking these distributions into account in the optimization process can provide useful information on the amount of confidence in value estimation. In this work we propose to optimize the value by minimizing a regularized objective function which forms a trust region over its parameters. We present a novel optimization method, the Kalman Optimization for Value Approximation (KOVA), based on the Extended Kalman Filter. KOVA minimizes the regularized objective function by adopting a Bayesian perspective over both the value parameters and noisy observed returns. This distributional property provides information on parameter uncertainty in addition to value estimates. We provide theoretical results of our approach and analyze the performance of our proposed optimizer on domains with large state and action spaces.
Our work may be seen as a modern extension of GPTD @cite_37 @cite_5 for DRL domains with continuous state and action spaces. GPTD uses Gaussian Processes (GPs) for both VF and total return, for solving the RL problem of value estimation. We introduce here several improvements and generalizations over their work: (1) Our formulation is adapted to learning nonlinear VF approximations, as common in DRL; (2) We include a fading memory option for previous observations by using a decay factor in the error covariance prediction ( @math ); (3) We allow for a general observation noise covariance (not necessarily diagonal) and for a general noisy observations (not only 1-step TD errors); (4) Our observation vector @math has a fixed size @math (the batch size) as opposed to the growing size vectors in GPTD which grow for any new observation and make it difficult to train in DRL domains.
@cite_5 @cite_37
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Gaussian process (GP) models are very popular for machine learning and regression and they are widely used to account for spatial or temporal relationships between multivariate random variables. In this paper, we propose a general formulation of underdetermined source separation as a problem involving GP regression. The advantage of the proposed unified view is first to describe the different underdetermined source separation problems as particular cases of a more general framework. Second, it provides a flexible means to include a variety of prior information concerning the sources such as smoothness, local stationarity or periodicity through the use of adequate covariance functions. Third, given the model, it provides an optimal solution in the minimum mean squared error (MMSE) sense to the source separation problem. In order to make the GP models tractable for very large signals, we introduce framing as a GP approximation and we show that computations for regularly sampled and locally stationary GPs can be done very efficiently in the frequency domain. These findings establish a deep connection between GP and nonnegative tensor factorizations (NTF) with the Itakura-Saito distance and lead to effective methods to learn GP hyperparameters for very large and regularly sampled signals. We present an implementation of model-based online reinforcement learning (RL) for continuous domains with deterministic transitions that is specifically designed to achieve low sample complexity. To achieve low sample complexity, since the environment is unknown, an agent must intelligently balance exploration and exploitation, and must be able to rapidly generalize from observations. While in the past a number of related sample efficient RL algorithms have been proposed, to allow theoretical analysis, mainly model-learners with weak generalization capabilities were considered. Here, we separate function approximation in the model learner (which does require samples) from the interpolation in the planner (which does not require samples). For model-learning we apply Gaussian processes regression (GP) which is able to automatically adjust itself to the complexity of the problem (via Bayesian hyperparameter selection) and, in practice, often able to learn a highly accurate model from very little data. In addition, a GP provides a natural way to determine the uncertainty of its predictions, which allows us to implement the "optimism in the face of uncertainty" principle used to efficiently control exploration. Our method is evaluated on four common benchmark domains. Gaussian Process Temporal Difference (GPTD) learning offers a Bayesian solution to the policy evaluation problem of reinforcement learning. In this paper we extend the GPTD framework by addressing two pressing issues, which were not adequately treated in the original GPTD paper (, 2003). The first is the issue of stochasticity in the state transitions, and the second is concerned with action selection and policy improvement. We present a new generative model for the value function, deduced from its relation with the discounted return. We derive a corresponding on-line algorithm for learning the posterior moments of the value Gaussian process. We also present a SARSA based extension of GPTD, termed GPSARSA, that allows the selection of actions and the gradual improvement of policies without requiring a world-model. We introduce the Gaussian Process Convolution Model (GPCM), a two-stage non-parametric generative procedure to model stationary signals as the convolution between a continuous-time white-noise process and a continuous-time linear filter drawn from Gaussian process. The GPCM is a continuous-time nonparametric-window moving average process and, conditionally, is itself a Gaussian process with a nonparametric kernel defined in a probabilistic fashion. The generative model can be equivalently considered in the frequency domain, where the power spectral density of the signal is specified using a Gaussian process. One of the main contributions of the paper is to develop a novel variational free-energy approach based on inter-domain inducing variables that efficiently learns the continuous-time linear filter and infers the driving white-noise process. In turn, this scheme provides closed-form probabilistic estimates of the covariance kernel and the noise-free signal both in denoising and prediction scenarios. Additionally, the variational inference procedure provides closed-form expressions for the approximate posterior of the spectral density given the observed data, leading to new Bayesian nonparametric approaches to spectrum estimation. The proposed GPCM is validated using synthetic and real-world signals.