This paper focuses on helping network providers to carry out network capacity planning and sales projection by answering the question: For a given topology and capacity, whether the network can serve current flow demands with high probabilities? We name such probability as “ flow availability” and present the -flow availability estimation (FAVE) problem, which is a generalisation of network connectivity or maximum flow reliability estimations. Realistic networks are often large and dynamic, so flow availabilities cannot be evaluated analytically and simulation is often used. However, naive Monte Carlo (MC) or importance sampling (IS) techniques take an excessive amount of time. To quickly estimate flow availabilities, we utilize the correlations among link and flow failures to figure out the importance of roles played by different links in flow failures, and design three “sequential importance sampling” (SIS) methods which achieve “bounded or even vanishing relative error” with linear computational complexities. When applying to a realistic network, our method reduces the flow availability estimation cost by 900 and 130 times compared with MC and baseline IS methods, respectively. Our method can also facilitate capacity planning by providing better flow availability guarantees, compared with traditional methods.
Our work can be viewed as a generalisation of previous work in estimating network reliability @cite_5 @cite_21 @cite_16 @cite_11 @cite_23 @cite_12 @cite_6 and is related with importance sampling @cite_18 . Here, we briefly review previous rel-evant studies and compare them with our work. We also descr-ibe some concepts so readers can gain a better understanding of sampling methods for the network reliability estimation.
@cite_18 @cite_21 @cite_6 @cite_23 @cite_5 @cite_16 @cite_12 @cite_11
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Recently, there has been a great deal of research focusing on the development of sampling algorithms for networks with small-world and or power-law structure. The peerto-peer research community (e.g., [7]) have used sampling to quickly explore and obtain a good representative sample of the network topology, as these networks are hard to explore completely and have significant amounts of churn in their topology. For collecting data from social networks, researchers often use snowball sampling (e.g., [2]) due to the lack of access to the complete graph. have developed Forest Fire Sampling, which uses a hybrid combination of snowball sampling and random-walk sampling to produce samples that match the temporal evolution of the underlying social network [5]. have developed a Metropolis algorithm which samples in a manner designed to match desired properties in the original network [3]. Although there has been a great deal of research focusing on the the development of sampling algorithms, much of this work is based on empirical study and evaluation (i.e., measuring the similarity between sampled and original network properties). There has been some work (e.g., [4, 8, 6]) that has studied the statistical properties of samples of complex networks produced by traditional sampling algorithms such as node sampling, edge sampling and random walks. However, there has been relatively little attention paid to the development of a theoretical foundation for sampling from networks—including a formal framework for sampling, an understanding of various network characteristics and their dependencies, and an analysis of their impact on the accuracy of sampling algorithms. In this paper, we reconsider the foundations of network sampling and attempt to formalize the goals, and process of, sampling, in order to frame future development and analysis of sampling algorithms. We study the statistical properties of the sampled scale-free networks, deeply related to the proper identification of various real-world networks. We exploit three methods of sampling and investigate the topological properties such as degree and betweenness centrality distribution, average path length, assortativity, and clustering coefficient of sampled networks compared with those of original networks. It is found that the quantities related to those properties in sampled networks appear to be estimated quite differently for each sampling method. We explain why such a biased estimation of quantities would emerge from the sampling procedure and give appropriate criteria for each sampling method to prevent the quantities from being overestimated or underestimated. Reliability and availability have always been important characteristics of systems but become even more critical and complex issues on networks. Due to the high complexity of accurate calculation methods, simulation methods for network reliability and availability evaluation have been a popular area of research, and received significant attention. In this paper the network topology model, the failure driven simulation method and the reliability and availability statistical algorithms are put forward, and then the network reliability and availability simulation flow based on the Monte Carlo method was designed. This simulation method can be used to calculate the reliability and availability of a network whose nodes and links may be failure. Two repair policies, immediate repair and delay repair, are provided to choose. Finally, the backbone of CERNET (China Education and Research Network) is taken as an example and the simulation results are analyzed. Network sampling is integral to the analysis of social, information, and biological networks. Since many real-world networks are massive in size, continuously evolving, and or distributed in nature, the network structure is often sampled in order to facilitate study. For these reasons, a more thorough and complete understanding of network sampling is critical to support the field of network science. In this paper, we outline a framework for the general problem of network sampling by highlighting the different objectives, population and units of interest, and classes of network sampling methods. In addition, we propose a spectrum of computational models for network sampling methods, ranging from the traditionally studied model based on the assumption of a static domain to a more challenging model that is appropriate for streaming domains. We design a family of sampling methods based on the concept of graph induction that generalize across the full spectrum of computational models (from static to streaming) while efficiently preserving many of the topological properties of the input graphs. Furthermore, we demonstrate how traditional static sampling algorithms can be modified for graph streams for each of the three main classes of sampling methods: node, edge, and topology-based sampling. Experimental results indicate that our proposed family of sampling methods more accurately preserve the underlying properties of the graph in both static and streaming domains. Finally, we study the impact of network sampling algorithms on the parameter estimation and performance evaluation of relational classification algorithms.