User intended actions are widely seen in many areas. Forecasting these actions and taking proactive measures to optimize business outcome is a crucial step towards sustaining the steady business growth. In this work, we focus on pre- dicting attrition, which is one of typical user intended actions. Conventional attrition predictive modeling strategies suffer a few inherent drawbacks. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel end-to-end learning scheme to keep track of the evolution of attrition patterns for the predictive modeling. It integrates user activity logs, dynamic and static user profiles based on multi-path learning. It exploits historical user records by establishing a decaying multi-snapshot technique. And finally it employs the precedent user intentions via guiding them to the subsequent learning procedure. As a result, it addresses all disadvantages of conventional methods. We evaluate our methodology on two public data repositories and one private user usage dataset provided by Adobe Creative Cloud. The extensive experiments demonstrate that it can offer the appealing performance in comparison with several existing approaches as rated by different popular metrics. Furthermore, we introduce an advanced interpretation and visualization strategy to effectively characterize the periodicity of user activity logs. It can help to pinpoint important factors that are critical to user attrition and retention and thus suggests actionable improvement targets for business practice. Our work will provide useful insights into the prediction and elucidation of other user intended actions as well.
Compared with the intensive research on predictive modeling, little work focuses on the interpretation of attrition prediction results in terms of at both individual and class group level. This is in part due to inherent challenges faced by non-interpretable classifiers under the framework of traditional interpretation methods @cite_8 @cite_1 . Recently, advanced interpretation methods like saliency maps @cite_16 and its follow-up work Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) @cite_10 have been proposed in this regard. Our technical approach to distilling attrition insights is inspired by saliency maps.
@cite_10 @cite_16 @cite_1 @cite_8
2519610629 2078903912 2558906385 1980475298
In this paper, we deal with a weakly supervised semantic segmentation problem where only training images with image-level labels are available. We propose a weakly supervised semantic segmentation method which is based on CNN-based class-specific saliency maps and fully-connected CRF. To obtain distinct class-specific saliency maps which can be used as unary potentials of CRF, we propose a novel method to estimate class saliency maps which improves the method proposed by (2014) significantly by the following improvements: (1) using CNN derivatives with respect to feature maps of the intermediate convolutional layers with up-sampling instead of an input image; (2) subtracting the saliency maps of the other classes from the saliency maps of the target class to differentiate target objects from other objects; (3) aggregating multiple-scale class saliency maps to compensate lower resolution of the feature maps. After obtaining distinct class saliency maps, we apply fully-connected CRF by using the class maps as unary potentials. By the experiments, we show that the proposed method has outperformed state-of-the-art results with the PASCAL VOC 2012 dataset under the weakly-supervised setting. Saliency prediction typically relies on hand-crafted (multiscale) features that are combined in different ways to form a "master" saliency map, which encodes local image conspicuity. Recent improvements to the state of the art on standard benchmarks such as MIT1003 have been achieved mostly by incrementally adding more and more hand-tuned features (such as car or face detectors) to existing models. In contrast, we here follow an entirely automatic data-driven approach that performs a large-scale search for optimal features. We identify those instances of a richly-parameterized bio-inspired model family (hierarchical neuromorphic networks) that successfully predict image saliency. Because of the high dimensionality of this parameter space, we use automated hyperparameter optimization to efficiently guide the search. The optimal blend of such multilayer features combined with a simple linear classifier achieves excellent performance on several image saliency benchmarks. Our models outperform the state of the art on MIT1003, on which features and classifiers are learned. Without additional training, these models generalize well to two other image saliency data sets, Toronto and NUSEF, despite their different image content. Finally, our algorithm scores best of all the 23 models evaluated to date on the MIT300 saliency challenge, which uses a hidden test set to facilitate an unbiased comparison. Data-driven saliency has recently gained a lot of attention thanks to the use of convolutional neural networks for predicting gaze fixations. In this paper, we go beyond standard approaches to saliency prediction, in which gaze maps are computed with a feed-forward network, and present a novel model which can predict accurate saliency maps by incorporating neural attentive mechanisms. The core of our solution is a convolutional long short-term memory that focuses on the most salient regions of the input image to iteratively refine the predicted saliency map. In addition, to tackle the center bias typical of human eye fixations, our model can learn a set of prior maps generated with Gaussian functions. We show, through an extensive evaluation, that the proposed architecture outperforms the current state-of-the-art on public saliency prediction datasets. We further study the contribution of each key component to demonstrate their robustness on different scenarios. We present a novel part-based method for model-free tracking. In our model, key points are considered as elementary predictors, collaborating to localize the target. In order to differentiate reliable features from outliers and bad predictors, we define the notion of feature saliency including three factors: the persistence, the spatial consistency, and the predictive power of local features. Saliency information is learned during tracking to be used in several algorithmic steps: local predictions, global localization, feature removal, etc. By exploiting saliency information and key point structural properties, the proposed algorithm is able to track accurately generic objects, facing several difficulties such as occlusions, presence of distractors, and abrupt motion. The proposed tracker demonstrated a high robustness on challenging public datasets, outperforming significantly five recent state-of-the-art trackers.