We consider the problem of streaming kernel regression, when the observations arrive sequentially and the goal is to recover the underlying mean function, assumed to belong to an RKHS. The variance of the noise is not assumed to be known. In this context, we tackle the problem of tuning the regularization parameter adaptively at each time step, while maintaining tight confidence bounds estimates on the value of the mean function at each point. To this end, we first generalize existing results for finite-dimensional linear regression with fixed regularization and known variance to the kernel setup with a regularization parameter allowed to be a measurable function of past observations. Then, using appropriate self-normalized inequalities we build upper and lower bound estimates for the variance, leading to Bersntein-like concentration bounds. The later is used in order to define the adaptive regularization. The bounds resulting from our technique are valid uniformly over all observation points and all time steps, and are compared against the literature with numerical experiments. Finally, the potential of these tools is illustrated by an application to kernelized bandits, where we revisit the Kernel UCB and Kernel Thompson Sampling procedures, and show the benefits of the novel adaptive kernel tuning strategy.
Theorem extends Theorem to the case when based on gathered observations. To the best of our knowledge, no such result exists in the literature at the time of writing this paper. Moreover, Theorem provides variance estimates with confidence bounds scaling with @math , in the spirit of the results from @cite_0 , that were provided in the i.i.d. case. Thus, Theorem also appears to be new. Finally, Corollary further specifies Theorem to the situation where the regularization is tuned according to Theorem , yielding a fully adaptive regularization procedure with explicit confidence bounds.
@cite_0
2950626207 2963702702 2045533739 2952550721
Suppose we can sequentially acquire arbitrary linear measurements of an n-dimensional vector x resulting in the linear model y = Ax + z, where z represents measurement noise. If the signal is known to be sparse, one would expect the following folk theorem to be true: choosing an adaptive strategy which cleverly selects the next row of A based on what has been previously observed should do far better than a nonadaptive strategy which sets the rows of A ahead of time, thus not trying to learn anything about the signal in between observations. This paper shows that the folk theorem is false. We prove that the advantages offered by clever adaptive strategies and sophisticated estimation procedures---no matter how intractable---over classical compressed acquisition recovery schemes are, in general, minimal. We prove tight upper bounds on the logarithmic derivative of the independence and matching polynomials of d-regular graphs. For independent sets, this theorem is a strengthening of Kahn's result that a disjoint union of copies of Kd;d maximizes the number of independent sets of a bipartite d-regular graph, Galvin and Tet ali's result that the independence polynomial is maximized by the same, and Zhao's extension of both results to all d-regular graphs. For matchings, this shows that the matching polynomial and the total number of matchings of a d-regular graph are maximized by a union of copies of Kd;d. Using this we prove the asymptotic upper matching conjecture of Friedland, Krop, Lundow, and Markstrom. In probabilistic language, our main theorems state that for all d-regular graphs and all �, the occupancy fraction of the hard-core model and the edge occupancy fraction of the monomer-dimer model with fugacity � are maximized by Kd;d. Our method involves constrained optimization problems over distributions of random variables and applies to all d-regular graphs directly, without a reduction to the bipartite case. Using a variant of the method we prove a lower bound on the occupancy fraction of the hard-core model on any d-regular, vertex-transitive, bipartite graph: the occupancy fraction of such a graph is strictly greater than the occupancy fraction of the unique translationinvariant hard-core measure on the infinite d-regular tree In this article, we show several results obtained by combining the use of stable distributions with pseudorandom generators for bounded space. In particular:---We show that, for any p ∈ (0, 2], one can maintain (using only O(log n e2) words of storage) a sketch C(q) of a point q ∈ lnp under dynamic updates of its coordinates. The sketch has the property that, given C(q) and C(s), one can estimate Vq − sVp up to a factor of (1 p e) with large probability. This solves the main open problem of [1999].---We show that the aforementioned sketching approach directly translates into an approximate algorithm that, for a fixed linear mapping A, and given x ∈ ℜn and y ∈ ℜm, estimates VAx − yVp in O(n p m) time, for any p ∈ (0, 2]. This generalizes an earlier algorithm of Wasserman and Blum [1997] which worked for the case p e 2.---We obtain another sketch function C′ which probabilistically embeds ln1 into a normed space lm1. The embedding guarantees that, if we set m e log(1 Δ)O(1 e), then for any pair of points q, s ∈ ln1, the distance between q and s does not increase by more than (1 p e) with constant probability, and it does not decrease by more than (1 − e) with probability 1 − Δ. This is the only known dimensionality reduction theorem for the l1 norm. In fact, stronger theorems of this type (i.e., that guarantee very low probability of expansion as well as of contraction) cannot exist [Brinkman and Charikar 2003].---We give an explicit embedding of ln2 into lnO(log n)1 with distortion (1 p 1 nΘ(1)). We show that, under a standard hardness assumption, there is no computationally efficient algorithm that given @math samples from an unknown distribution can give valid answers to @math adaptively chosen statistical queries. A statistical query asks for the expectation of a predicate over the underlying distribution, and an answer to a statistical query is valid if it is "close" to the correct expectation over the distribution. Our result stands in stark contrast to the well known fact that exponentially many statistical queries can be answered validly and efficiently if the queries are chosen non-adaptively (no query may depend on the answers to previous queries). Moreover, a recent work by shows how to accurately answer exponentially many adaptively chosen statistical queries via a computationally inefficient algorithm; and how to answer a quadratic number of adaptive queries via a computationally efficient algorithm. The latter result implies that our result is tight up to a linear factor in @math Conceptually, our result demonstrates that achieving statistical validity alone can be a source of computational intractability in adaptive settings. For example, in the modern large collaborative research environment, data analysts typically choose a particular approach based on previous findings. False discovery occurs if a research finding is supported by the data but not by the underlying distribution. While the study of preventing false discovery in Statistics is decades old, to the best of our knowledge our result is the first to demonstrate a computational barrier. In particular, our result suggests that the perceived difficulty of preventing false discovery in today's collaborative research environment may be inherent.