Pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for many important applications. This problem is a great challenge because of complicated interactions among pedestrians. Previous methods model only the pairwise interactions between pedestrians, which not only oversimplifies the interactions among pedestrians but also is computationally inefficient. In this paper, we propose a novel model StarNet to deal with these issues. StarNet has a star topology which includes a unique hub network and multiple host networks. The hub network takes observed trajectories of all pedestrians to produce a comprehensive description of the interpersonal interactions. Then the host networks, each of which corresponds to one pedestrian, consult the description and predict future trajectories. The star topology gives StarNet two advantages over conventional models. First, StarNet is able to consider the collective influence among all pedestrians in the hub network, making more accurate predictions. Second, StarNet is computationally efficient since the number of host network is linear to the number of pedestrians. Experiments on multiple public datasets demonstrate that StarNet outperforms multiple state-of-the-arts by a large margin in terms of both accuracy and efficiency.
Pedestrian path prediction is a great challenge due to the uncertainty of future movements @cite_0 @cite_13 @cite_4 @cite_2 @cite_10 @cite_9 @cite_5 . Conventional methods tackle this problem with manually crafted features. Social Force @cite_0 extracts force terms, including self-properties and attractive effects, to model human behaviors. Another approach @cite_13 constructs an energy map to indicate the traffic capacity of each area in the scene, and uses a fast matching algorithm to generate a walking path. Mixture model of Dynamic pedestrian-Agents (MDA) @cite_4 learns the behavior patterns by modeling dynamic interactions and pedestrian beliefs. However, all these methods can hardly capture complicated interactions in crowded scenes, due to the limitation of hand-crafted features.
@cite_13 @cite_4 @cite_9 @cite_0 @cite_2 @cite_5 @cite_10
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In this paper, a new Mixture model of Dynamic pedestrian-Agents (MDA) is proposed to learn the collective behavior patterns of pedestrians in crowded scenes. Collective behaviors characterize the intrinsic dynamics of the crowd. From the agent-based modeling, each pedestrian in the crowd is driven by a dynamic pedestrian-agent, which is a linear dynamic system with its initial and termination states reflecting a pedestrian's belief of the starting point and the destination. Then the whole crowd is modeled as a mixture of dynamic pedestrian-agents. Once the model is unsupervisedly learned from real data, MDA can simulate the crowd behaviors. Furthermore, MDA can well infer the past behaviors and predict the future behaviors of pedestrians given their trajectories only partially observed, and classify different pedestrian behaviors in the scene. The effectiveness of MDA and its applications are demonstrated by qualitative and quantitative experiments on the video surveillance dataset collected from the New York Grand Central Station. We propose an agent-based behavioral model of pedestrians to improve tracking performance in realistic scenarios. In this model, we view pedestrians as decision-making agents who consider a plethora of personal, social, and environmental factors to decide where to go next. We formulate prediction of pedestrian behavior as an energy minimization on this model. Two of our main contributions are simple, yet effective estimates of pedestrian destination and social relationships (groups). Our final contribution is to incorporate these hidden properties into an energy formulation that results in accurate behavioral prediction. We evaluate both our estimates of destination and grouping, as well as our accuracy at prediction and tracking against state of the art behavioral model and show improvements, especially in the challenging observational situation of infrequent appearance observations–something that might occur in thousands of webcams available on the Internet. Micro-Doppler (MD)-based target classification capabilities of automotive radars can provide high reliability and short latency to future active safety automotive features. A large number of pedestrians surrounding a vehicle in practical urban scenarios mandate prioritization of their treatment level. Distinguishing between relevant pedestrians that are crossing the street or are within the vehicle path and those that are on the sidewalks and are moving along the vehicle route can significantly minimize the number of vehicle-to-pedestrian accidents. This work proposes a novel technique for estimating a pedestrian direction of motion that treats pedestrians as complex distributed targets and utilizes their MD radar signatures. The MD signatures are shown to be indicative of pedestrian direction of motion, and a supervised regression is used to estimate the mapping between the directions of motion and the corresponding MD signatures. In order to achieve higher regression performance, a state-of-the-art sparse dictionary learning-based feature extraction algorithm was adopted from the field of computer vision by drawing a parallel between the Doppler effect and the video temporal gradient. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated in practical automotive scenario simulations, where a walking pedestrian is observed by a multiple-input multiple-output automotive radar with a two-dimensional rectangular array. The simulated data was generated using the statistical Boulic-Thalman human locomotion model. Accurate direction of motion estimation was achieved by using support vector regression and multilayer perceptron-based regression algorithms. The results show that the direction estimation error is less than 10° in 95 of the tested cases for pedestrian at a range of 100 m from the radar. Future vehicle systems for active pedestrian safety will not only require a high recognition performance but also an accurate analysis of the developing traffic situation. In this paper, we present a study on pedestrian path prediction and action classification at short subsecond time intervals. We consider four representative approaches: two novel approaches (based on Gaussian process dynamical models and probabilistic hierarchical trajectory matching) that use augmented features derived from dense optical flow and two approaches as baseline that use positional information only (a Kalman filter and its extension to interacting multiple models). In experiments using stereo vision data obtained from a vehicle, we investigate the accuracy of path prediction and action classification at various time horizons, the effect of various errors (image localization, vehicle egomotion estimation), and the benefit of the proposed approaches. The scenario of interest is that of a crossing pedestrian, who might stop or continue walking at the road curbside. Results indicate similar performance of the four approaches on walking motion, with near-linear dynamics. During stopping, however, the two newly proposed approaches, with nonlinear and or higher order models and augmented motion features, achieve a more accurate position prediction of 10-50 cm at a time horizon of 0-0.77 s around the stopping event.