Communication-enabled devices routinely carried by individuals have become pervasive, opening unprecedented opportunities for collecting digital metadata about the mobility of large populations. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology for the estimation of people density at metropolitan scales, using subscriber presence metadata collected by a mobile operator. Our approach suits the estimation of static population densities, i.e., of the distribution of dwelling units per urban area contained in traditional censuses. More importantly, it enables the estimation of dynamic population densities, i.e., the time-varying distributions of people in a conurbation. By leveraging substantial real-world mobile network metadata and ground-truth information, we demonstrate that the accuracy of our solution is superior to that granted by state-of-the-art methods in practical heterogeneous urban scenarios.
Subsequent works carried out more comprehensive evaluations. @cite_19 , the home location of each subscriber was localized as the most frequently visited cell with a home profile, , where the activity peaks at evening. The density of home locations was then found to match very well --with a 0.92 correlation-- census data on nationwide population distribution. Similarly, an excellent agreement between the overnight spatial density of mobile subscribers and that of nationwide static populations was found in @cite_8 @cite_1 . However, these results refer to populations at the scale of a whole country, with a spatial granularity at the level of counties or tracts, , large regions that comprise multiple cities each. Our focus is instead on urban population distribution estimation individual urban areas: down-scaling the investigation to a citywide level requires orders-of-magnitude higher accuracy, and is a harder challenge.
@cite_19 @cite_1 @cite_8
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Pervasive infrastructures, such as cell phone networks, enable to capture large amounts of human behavioral data but also provide information about the structure of cities and their dynamical properties. In this article, we focus on these last aspects by studying phone data recorded during 55 days in 31 Spanish cities. We first define an urban dilatation index which measures how the average distance between individuals evolves during the day, allowing us to highlight different types of city structure. We then focus on hotspots, the most crowded places in the city. We propose a parameter free method to detect them and to test the robustness of our results. The number of these hotspots scales sublinearly with the population size, a result in agreement with previous theoretical arguments and measures on employment datasets. We study the lifetime of these hotspots and show in particular that the hierarchy of permanent ones, which constitute the ‘heart' of the city, is very stable whatever the size of the city. The spatial structure of these hotspots is also of interest and allows us to distinguish different categories of cities, from monocentric and “segregated” where the spatial distribution is very dependent on land use, to polycentric where the spatial mixing between land uses is much more important. These results point towards the possibility of a new, quantitative classification of cities using high resolution spatio-temporal data. People spend most of their time at a few key locations, such as home and work. Being able to identify how the movements of people cluster around these "important places" is crucial for a range of technology and policy decisions in areas such as telecommunications and transportation infrastructure deployment. In this paper, we propose new techniques based on clustering and regression for analyzing anonymized cellular network data to identify generally important locations, and to discern semantically meaningful locations such as home and work. Starting with temporally sparse and spatially coarse location information, we propose a new algorithm to identify important locations. We test this algorithm on arbitrary cellphone users, including those with low call rates, and find that we are within 3 miles of ground truth for 88 of volunteer users. Further, after locating home and work, we achieve commute distance estimates that are within 1 mile of equivalent estimates derived from government census data. Finally, we perform carbon footprint analyses on hundreds of thousands of anonymous users as an example of how our data and algorithms can form an accurate and efficient underpinning for policy and infrastructure studies. Achieving accurate, real-time, and spatially fine-grained population estimation for a metropolitan city is extremely valuable for a variety of applications. Previous solutions look at data generated by human activities, such as night time lights and phone calls, for population estimation. However, these mechanisms cannot achieve both real-time and fine-grained population estimation because the data sampling rate is low and spatial granularity chosen is improper. We address these two problems by leveraging a key insight --- people frequently use data plan on cellphones and leave mobility signatures on cellular networks. Therefore, we are able to exploit these cellular signatures for real-time population estimation. Extracting population information from cellular data records is not easy because the number of users recorded by a cellular tower is not equal to the population covered by the tower, and mobile users' behavior is spatially and temporally different, where static estimating model does not work. We exploit context-aware city segmentation and dynamic population estimation model to address these challenges. We show that the population estimation error is reduced by 22.5 on a cellular dataset that includes 1 million users. We examine a very large-scale data set of more than 30 billion call records made by 25 million cell phone users across all 50 states of the US and attempt to determine to what extent anonymized location data can reveal private user information. Our approach is to infer, from the call records, the "top N" locations for each user and correlate this information with publicly-available side information such as census data. For example, the measured "top 2" locations likely correspond to home and work locations, the "top 3" to home, work, and shopping school commute path locations. We consider the cases where those "top N" locations are measured with different levels of granularity, ranging from a cell sector to whole cell, zip code, city, county and state. We then compute the anonymity set, namely the number of users uniquely identified by a given set of "top N" locations at different granularity levels. We find that the "top 1" location does not typically yield small anonymity sets. However, the top 2 and top 3 locations do, certainly at the sector or cell-level granularity. We consider a variety of different factors that might impact the size of the anonymity set, for example the distance between the "top N" locations or the geographic environment (rural vs urban). We also examine to what extent specific side information, in particular the size of the user's social network, decrease the anonymity set and therefore increase risks to privacy. Our study shows that sharing anonymized location data will likely lead to privacy risks and that, at a minimum, the data needs to be coarse in either the time domain (meaning the data is collected over short periods of time, in which case inferring the top N locations reliably is difficult) or the space domain (meaning the data granularity is strictly higher than the cell level). In both cases, the utility of the anonymized location data will be decreased, potentially by a significant amount.