We present an analysis of a heuristic for abrupt change detection of systems with bounded state variations. The proposed analysis is based on the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of a history matrix built from system observations. We show that monitoring the largest singular value of the history matrix can be used as a heuristic for detecting abrupt changes in the system outputs. We provide sufficient detectability conditions for the proposed heuristic. As an application, we consider detecting malicious cyber data attacks on power systems and test our proposed heuristic on the IEEE 39-bus testbed.
@cite_16 assume a Bayesian model on the state variables and consider a binary detection problem. In particular, they assume that the state variables have a zero-mean Gaussian distribution. @cite_4 impose a linear state-space representation on the power system state evolution and propose a decoder that corrects for the compromised meters. In their plant model, they assume they know the state transition and measurement matrices.
@cite_16 @cite_4
2556022294 2537629200 2166670884 2014100575
We consider the problem of state-estimation of a linear dynamical system when some of the sensor measurements are corrupted by an adversarial attacker. The errors injected by the attacker in the sensor measurements can be arbitrary and are not assumed to follow a specific model (in particular they can be of arbitrary magnitude). We first characterize the number of attacked sensors that can be tolerated so that the state of the system can still be correctly recovered by any decoding algorithm. We then propose a specific computationally feasible decoding algorithm and we give a characterization of the number of errors this decoder can correct. For this we use ideas from compressed sensing and error correction over the reals and we exploit the dynamical nature of the problem. We show using numerical simulations that this decoder performs very well in practice and allows to correct a large number of errors. This paper studies the estimation of a high-dimensional vector signal where the observation is a known "sparse" linear transformation of the signal corrupted by additive Gaussian noise. A paradigm of such a linear system is code-division multiple access (CDMA) channel with sparse spreading matrix. Assuming a "semi-regular" ensemble of sparse matrix linear transformations, where the bi-partite graph describing the system is asymptotically cycle-free, it is shown that belief propagation (BP) achieves the minimum mean-square error (MMSE) in estimating the transformation of the input vector in the large-system limit. The result holds regardless of the the distribution and power of the input symbols. Furthermore, the mean squared error of estimating each symbol of the input vector using BP is proved to be equal to the MMSE of estimating the same symbol through a scalar Gaussian channel with some degradation in the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). The degradation, called the efficiency, is determined from a fixed-point equation due to Guo and Verdu, which is a generalization of Tanaka's formula to arbitrary prior distributions. We consider the estimation of a random vector observed through a linear transform followed by a componentwise probabilistic measurement channel. Although such linear mixing estimation problems are generally highly non-convex, Gaussian approximations of belief propagation (BP) have proven to be computationally attractive and highly effective in a range of applications. Recently, Bayati and Montanari have provided a rigorous and extremely general analysis of a large class of approximate message passing (AMP) algorithms that includes many Gaussian approximate BP methods. This paper extends their analysis to a larger class of algorithms to include what we call generalized AMP (G-AMP). G-AMP incorporates general (possibly non-AWGN) measurement channels. Similar to the AWGN output channel case, we show that the asymptotic behavior of the G-AMP algorithm under large i.i.d. Gaussian transform matrices is described by a simple set of state evolution (SE) equations. The general SE equations recover and extend several earlier results, including SE equations for approximate BP on general output channels by Guo and Wang. In this paper, we study the detection boundary for minimax hypothesis testing in the context of high-dimensional, sparse binary regression models. Motivated by genetic sequencing association studies for rare variant effects, we investigate the complexity of the hypothesis testing problem when the design matrix is sparse. We observe a new phenomenon in the behavior of detection boundary which does not occur in the case of Gaussian linear regression. We derive the detection boundary as a function of two components: a design matrix sparsity index and signal strength, each of which is a function of the sparsity of the alternative. For any alternative, if the design matrix sparsity index is too high, any test is asymptotically powerless irrespective of the magnitude of signal strength. For binary design matrices with the sparsity index that is not too high, our results are parallel to those in the Gaussian case. In this context, we derive detection boundaries for both dense and sparse regimes. For the dense regime, we show that the generalized likelihood ratio is rate optimal; for the sparse regime, we propose an extended Higher Criticism Test and show it is rate optimal and sharp. We illustrate the finite sample properties of the theoretical results using simulation studies.