We study revenue maximization through sequential posted price mechanisms (SPMs) in single-dimensional settings with n buyers, and independent but not necessarily identical value distributions. We construct our SPMs by considering two simple pricing schemes: one that imitates Myerson's mechanism via taxation principle, and the other that posts a uniform price. We design a factor revealing LP that crisply captures the approximation factor of this SPM. In the H-units setting, our SPM yields the first improvement in approximation over the correlation-gap-based approximation factor from over eight years ago (Yan 2011). In the position auction setting, our SPM yields the first higher-than 1-1 e approximation factor. In the 1-unit setting, our SPM yields better than the current best known approximation factor for small values of the number of buyers n. Our results on SPMs immediately imply improved performance guarantees for the equivalent free-order prophet inequality problem. In the recent surge of results that show an improvement over 1-1 e for SPMs, ours is the only technique that generalizes beyond the 1-unit setting, and yields the first improvement over long established approximation factors in several settings.
false The random order prophet inequality problem, or the prophet secretary problem was first studied by , where they show a @math approximation for large @math . They also show that with a single threshold it is impossible to get better than a @math -approximation. show that one can obtain a @math approximation for every @math with non-adaptive thresholds. Finally @cite_6 show that one can obtain a @math approximation for any @math .
@cite_6
2963441643 2329590824 1584886343 2012672170
In the Prophet Secretary problem, samples from a known set of probability distributions arrive one by one in a uniformly random order, and an algorithm must irrevocably pick one of the samples as soon as it arrives. The goal is to maximize the expected value of the sample picked relative to the expected maximum of the distributions. This is one of the most simple and fundamental problems in online decision making that models the process selling one item to a sequence of costumers. For a closely related problem called the Prophet Inequality where the order of the random variables is adversarial, it is known that one can achieve in expectation 1 2 of the expected maximum, and no better ratio is possible. For the Prophet Secretary problem, that is, when the variables arrive in a random order, (2015) showed that one can actually get 1-1 e of the maximum. The 1-1 e bound was recently extended to more general settings by (2018). Given these results, one might be tempted to believe that 1-1 e is the correct bound. We show that this is not the case by providing an algorithm for the Prophet Secretary problem that beats the 1-1 e bound and achieves 1-1 e+1 400 times the expected maximum. We also prove a hardness result on the performance of algorithms under a natural restriction which we call deterministic distribution-insensitivity. We study generalizations of the Prophet Inequality'' and Secretary Problem'', where the algorithm is restricted to an arbitrary downward-closed set system. For 0,1 values, we give O(n)-competitive algorithms for both problems. This is close to the Omega(n log n) lower bound due to Babaioff, Immorlica, and Kleinberg. For general values, our results translate to O(log(n) log(r))-competitive algorithms, where r is the cardinality of the largest feasible set. This resolves (up to the O(loglog(n) log(r)) factor) an open question posed to us by Bobby Kleinberg. In the classical prophet inequality, a gambler observes a sequence of stochastic rewards V1, ..., Vn and must decide, for each reward Vi, whether to keep it and stop the game or to forfeit the reward forever and reveal the next value Vi. The gambler's goal is to obtain a constant fraction of the expected reward that the optimal offline algorithm would get. Recently, prophet inequalities have been generalized to settings where the gambler can choose k items, and, more generally, where he can choose any independent set in a matroid. However, all the existing algorithms require the gambler to know the distribution from which the rewards V1, ..., Vn are drawn. The assumption that the gambler knows the distribution from which V1, ..., Vn are drawn is very strong. Instead, we work with the much simpler assumption that the gambler only knows a few samples from this distribution. We construct the first single-sample prophet inequalities for many settings of interest, whose guarantees all match the best possible asymptotically, even with full knowledge of the distribution. Specifically, we provide a novel single-sample algorithm when the gambler can choose any k elements whose analysis is based on random walks with limited correlation. In addition, we provide a black-box method for converting specific types of solutions to the related secretary problem to single-sample prophet inequalities, and apply it to several existing algorithms. Finally, we provide a constant-sample prophet inequality for constant-degree bipartite matchings. In addition, we apply these results to design the first posted-price and multi-dimensional auction mechanisms with limited information in settings with asymmetric bidders. Connections between prophet inequalities and posted-price mechanisms are already known, but applying the existing framework requires knowledge of the underlying distributions, as well as the so-called "virtual values" even when the underlying prophet inequalities do not. We therefore provide an extension of this framework that bypasses virtual values altogether, allowing our mechanisms to take full advantage of the limited information required by our new prophet inequalities. Consider a gambler who observes a sequence of independent, non-negative random numbers and is allowed to stop the sequence at any time, claiming a reward equal to the most recent observation. The famous prophet inequality of Krengel, Sucheston, and Garling asserts that a gambler who knows the distribution of each random variable can achieve at least half as much reward, in expectation, as a "prophet" who knows the sampled values of each random variable and can choose the largest one. We generalize this result to the setting in which the gambler and the prophet are allowed to make more than one selection, subject to a matroid constraint. We show that the gambler can still achieve at least half as much reward as the prophet; this result is the best possible, since it is known that the ratio cannot be improved even in the original prophet inequality, which corresponds to the special case of rank-one matroids. Generalizing the result still further, we show that under an intersection of @math matroid constraints, the prophet's reward exceeds the gambler's by a factor of at most @math , and this factor is also tight. Beyond their interest as theorems about pure online algoritms or optimal stopping rules, these results also have applications to mechanism design. Our results imply improved bounds on the ability of sequential posted-price mechanisms to approximate optimal mechanisms in both single-parameter and multi-parameter Bayesian settings. In particular, our results imply the first efficiently computable constant-factor approximations to the Bayesian optimal revenue in certain multi-parameter settings.