For precision medicine and personalized treatment, we need to identify predictive markers of disease. We focus on Alzheimer's disease (AD), where magnetic resonance imaging scans provide information about the disease status. By combining imaging with genome sequencing, we aim at identifying rare genetic markers associated with quantitative traits predicted from convolutional neural networks (CNNs), which traditionally have been derived manually by experts. Kernel-based tests are a powerful tool for associating sets of genetic variants, but how to optimally model rare genetic variants is still an open research question. We propose a generalized set of kernels that incorporate prior information from various annotations and multi-omics data. In the analysis of data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), we evaluate whether (i) CNNs yield precise and reliable brain traits, and (ii) the novel kernel-based tests can help to identify loci associated with AD. The results indicate that CNNs provide a fast, scalable and precise tool to derive quantitative AD traits and that new kernels integrating domain knowledge can yield higher power in association tests of very rare variants.
Popular kernel-based tests include FaST-LMM-Set @cite_0 @cite_19 , the sequence kernel association test (SKAT, @cite_7 ) and optimal SKAT (SKAT-O, @cite_4 ), which are based on weighted linear kernels @math @cite_7 @cite_8 @cite_19 , or a linear combination of weighted linear and collapsing kernels @cite_4 . Newer approaches @cite_17 derive further data-adaptive combinations of linear, quadratic, IBS, and collapsing kernels. However, all these kernels provide suboptimal performance for the analysis of very rare genetic variants. Here, linear and quadratic kernels yield uninformative similarity measures (i.e., diagonal kernel matrices for singletons, which are variants with only one observed copy of the minor allele) and collapsing kernels often yield unspecific signals and aggregate noise.
@cite_4 @cite_7 @cite_8 @cite_0 @cite_19 @cite_17
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Analysis of rare genetic variants has focused on region-based analysis wherein a subset of the variants within a genomic region is tested for association with a complex trait. Two important practical challenges have emerged. First, it is difficult to choose which test to use. Second, it is unclear which group of variants within a region should be tested. Both depend on the unknown true state of nature. Therefore, we develop the Multi-Kernel SKAT (MK-SKAT) which tests across a range of rare variant tests and groupings. Specifically, we demonstrate that several popular rare variant tests are special cases of the sequence kernel association test which compares pair-wise similarity in trait value to similarity in the rare variant genotypes between subjects as measured through a kernel function. Choosing a particular test is equivalent to choosing a kernel. Similarly, choosing which group of variants to test also reduces to choosing a kernel. Thus, MK-SKAT uses perturbation to test across a range of kernels. Simulations and real data analyses show that our framework controls type I error while maintaining high power across settings: MK-SKAT loses power when compared to the kernel for a particular scenario but has much greater power than poor choices. SUMMARY With development of massively parallel sequencing technologies, there is a substantial need for developing powerful rare variant association tests. Common approaches include burden and non-burden tests. Burden tests assume all rare variants in the target region have effects on the phenotype in the same direction and of similar magnitude. The recently proposed sequence kernel association test (SKAT) (Wu, M. C., and others, 2011. Rare-variant association testing for sequencing data with the SKAT.The American Journal of HumanGenetics89,82–93],anextensionoftheC-alphatest(Neale,B.M.,andothers,2011.Testingforan unusual distribution of rare variants. PLoS Genetics 7, 161–165], provides a robust test that is particularly powerful in the presence of protective and deleterious variants and null variants, but is less powerful than burden tests when a large number of variants in a region are causal and in the same direction. As the underlying biological mechanisms are unknown in practice and vary from one gene to another across the genome,itisofsubstantialpracticalinteresttodevelopatestthatisoptimalforbothscenarios.Inthispaper, we propose a class of tests that include burden tests and SKAT as special cases, and derive an optimal test within this class that maximizes power. We show that this optimal test outperforms burden tests and SKAT in a wide range of scenarios. The results are illustrated using simulation studies and triglyceride data from the Dallas Heart Study. In addition, we have derived sample size power calculation formula for SKAT with a new family of kernels to facilitate designing new sequence association studies. This paper presents new and effective algorithms for learning kernels. In particular, as shown by our empirical results, these algorithms consistently outperform the so-called uniform combination solution that has proven to be difficult to improve upon in the past, as well as other algorithms for learning kernels based on convex combinations of base kernels in both classification and regression. Our algorithms are based on the notion of centered alignment which is used as a similarity measure between kernels or kernel matrices. We present a number of novel algorithmic, theoretical, and empirical results for learning kernels based on our notion of centered alignment. In particular, we describe efficient algorithms for learning a maximum alignment kernel by showing that the problem can be reduced to a simple QP and discuss a one-stage algorithm for learning both a kernel and a hypothesis based on that kernel using an alignment-based regularization. Our theoretical results include a novel concentration bound for centered alignment between kernel matrices, the proof of the existence of effective predictors for kernels with high alignment, both for classification and for regression, and the proof of stability-based generalization bounds for a broad family of algorithms for learning kernels based on centered alignment. We also report the results of experiments with our centered alignment-based algorithms in both classification and regression. One approach to improving the running time of kernel-based methods is to build a small sketch of the kernel matrix and use it in lieu of the full matrix in the machine learning task of interest. Here, we describe a version of this approach that comes with running time guarantees as well as improved guarantees on its statistical performance. By extending the notion of statistical leverage scores to the setting of kernel ridge regression, we are able to identify a sampling distribution that reduces the size of the sketch (i.e., the required number of columns to be sampled) to the effective dimensionality of the problem. This latter quantity is often much smaller than previous bounds that depend on the maximal degrees of freedom. We give an empirical evidence supporting this fact. Our second contribution is to present a fast algorithm to quickly compute coarse approximations to these scores in time linear in the number of samples. More precisely, the running time of the algorithm is O(np2) with p only depending on the trace of the kernel matrix and the regularization parameter. This is obtained via a variant of squared length sampling that we adapt to the kernel setting. Lastly, we discuss how this new notion of the leverage of a data point captures a fine notion of the difficulty of the learning problem.