Computing shortest paths is one of the most researched topics in algorithm engineering. Currently available algorithms compute shortest paths in mere fractions of a second on continental sized road networks. In the presence of unreliability, however, current algorithms fail to achieve results as impressive as for the static setting. In contrast to speed-up techniques for static route planning, current implementations for the stochastic on-time arrival problem require the computationally expensive step of solving convolution products. Running times can reach hours when considering large scale networks. We present a novel approach to reduce this immense computational effort of stochastic routing based on existing techniques for alternative routes. In an extensive experimental study, we show that the process of stochastic route planning can be speed-up immensely, without sacrificing much in terms of accuracy.
One approach to unreliable travel times is to take into account the inherent variability in the travel time distributions and compute robust routing strategies. A commonly used method in this setting is to maximize the probability of reaching the destination within a prespecified time budget. There are two different approaches that have been developed to solve this problem. The first approach is to find the optimal path that maximizes the probability of on-time arrival and is known as the shortest path with on-time arrival reliability (SPOTAR) problem. Nie and Wu @cite_5 proposed a general solution to the problem based on first-order stochastic dominance of paths, but the solution has worst-case exponential running times. They also present a pseudo-polynomial algorithm that gives an approximate solution to the problem and performs well in practice. @cite_7 showed how to solve the problem in @math time when the arc travel time distributions are Gaussian.
@cite_5 @cite_7
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This paper studies the problem of finding a priori shortest paths to guarantee a given likelihood of arriving on-time in a stochastic network. Such "reliable" paths help travelers better plan their trips to prepare for the risk of running late in the face of stochastic travel times. Optimal solutions to the problem can be obtained from local-reliable paths, which are a set of non-dominated paths under first-order stochastic dominance. We show that Bellman's principle of optimality can be applied to construct local-reliable paths. Acyclicity of local-reliable paths is established and used for proving finite convergence of solution procedures. The connection between the a priori path problem and the corresponding adaptive routing problem is also revealed. A label-correcting algorithm is proposed and its complexity is analyzed. A pseudo-polynomial approximation is proposed based on extreme-dominance. An extension that allows travel time distribution functions to vary over time is also discussed. We show that the time-dependent problem is decomposable with respect to arrival times and therefore can be solved as easily as its static counterpart. Numerical results are provided using typical transportation networks. We consider the stochastic on-time arrival (SOTA) problem of finding the optimal routing strategy for reaching a given destination within a pre-specified time budget and provide the first results on using preprocessing techniques for speeding up the query time. We start by identifying some properties of the SOTA problem that limit the types of preprocessing techniques that can be used in this setting, and then define the stochastic variants of two deterministic shortest path preprocessing techniques that can be adapted to the SOTA problem, namely reach and arc-flags. We present the preprocessing and query algorithms for each technique, and also present an extension to the standard reach based preprocessing method that provides additional pruning. Finally, we explain the limitations of this approach due to the inefficiency of the preprocessing phase and present a fast heuristic preprocessing scheme. Numerical results for San Francisco, Luxembourg and a synthetic road network show up to an order of magnitude improvement in the query time for short queries, with even larger gains expected for longer queries. We consider the courier delivery problem (CDP), a variant of the vehicle routing problem with time windows (VRPTW) in which customers appear probabilistically and their service times are uncertain. We use scenario-based stochastic programming with recourse to model the uncertainty in customers and robust optimization for the uncertainty in service times. Our proposed model generates a master plan and daily schedules by maximizing the coverage of customers and the similarity of routes in each scenario, while minimizing the total time spent by the couriers and the total earliness and lateness penalty. To solve large-scale problem instances, we develop an insertion-based solution heuristic, called master and daily scheduler (MADS), and a tabu search improvement procedure. The computational results show that our heuristic improves the similarity of routes and the lateness penalty at the expense of increased total time spent when compared to a solution of independently scheduling each day. Our experimental results also show improvements over current industry practice on two real-world data sets. We address the problem of choosing the best paths among a set of candidate paths between the same origin–destination pair. This functionality is used extensively when constructing origin–destination matrices in logistics and flex transportation. Because the cost of a path, e.g., travel time, varies over time and is uncertain, there is generally no single best path. We partition time into intervals and represent the cost of a path during an interval as a random variable, resulting in an uncertain time series for each path. When facing uncertainties, users generally have different risk preferences, e.g., risk-loving or risk-averse, and thus prefer different paths. We develop techniques that, for each time interval, are able to find paths with non-dominated lowest costs while taking the users’ risk preferences into account. We represent risk by means of utility function categories and show how the use of first-order and two kinds of second-order stochastic dominance relationships among random variables makes it possible to find all paths with non-dominated lowest costs. We report on empirical studies with large uncertain time series collections derived from a 2-year GPS data set. The study offers insight into the performance of the proposed techniques, and it indicates that the best techniques combine to offer an efficient and robust solution.