ABSTRACTIn many ‘smart city’ applications, congestion arises in part due to the nature of signals received by individuals from a central authority. In the model of , each agent uses one out of multiple resources at each time instant. The per-use cost of a resource depends on the number of concurrent users. A central authority has up-to-date knowledge of the congestion across all resources and uses randomisation to provide a scalar or an interval for each resource at each time. In this paper, the interval to broadcast per resource is obtained by taking the minima and maxima of costs observed within a time window of length r, rather than by randomisation. We show that the resulting distribution of agents across resources also converges in distribution, under plausible assumptions about the evolution of the population over time.
On the interface of transportation and control theory, there has been a recent interest in load balancing @cite_0 @cite_37 . These schemes, however, rely on simple randomisation, without modelling heterogenous agent behaviour and actions and without allowing for the same information to be provided to all agents. On the interface of transportation and behavioral science, Ben- @cite_6 have studied the effects of information on drivers. In a number of subsequent papers @cite_3 @cite_55 and the dissertation of Bottom @cite_34 , fixed points have been used to study deterministic scalar signaling with deterministic response of the population. See @cite_7 for an extensive survey. In contrast, our analysis can be seen as a study of a probabilistic counter-part of fixed points, which allows for the uncertainty in the response of the population.
@cite_37 @cite_7 @cite_55 @cite_3 @cite_6 @cite_0 @cite_34
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We study the question of whether a large population of agents in a traffic network is able to converge to an equilibrium quickly. To that end, we consider a round-based variant of the Wardrop model. Every agent is allowed to reroute its traffic once in a while with the aim of finding a path with minimal latency. As a first result we find that using a replication policy which allows agents to imitate others gives rise to a bicriterial approximate equilibrium very quickly. In particular, the time bound depends logarithmically on the ratio between minimum and maximum latency but is otherwise independent of the network size. In the single-commodity case, this bicriteria approximate equilibrium has an intuitive interpretation as a state in which almost all agents are almost happy. This kind of approximate equilibrium, however, is transient. In order to reach a global approximation, we need to add an exploration component which enables the agents to explore the strategy space independently of the other agents. Although it can be shown that, when used exclusively, exploration policies imply an exponential lower bound, applying exploration carefully allows the population to approximate the global Wardrop equilibrium in polynomial time. Since the distributed and concurrent fashion of our policies bears the risk of oscillating behavior, we must take into account the steepness of the latency functions. We show that the relevant parameter is elasticity, a parameter closely related to the polynomial degree. This improves significantly over earlier results which depend on the absolute slope and therefore have a pseudopolynomial flavor. This paper re-visits Shayevitz & Feder's recent ‘Posterior Matching Scheme’, an explicit, dynamical system encoder for communication with feedback that treats the message as a point on the [0,1] line and achieves capacity on memo-ryless channels. It has two key properties that ensure that it maximizes mutual information at each step: (a) the encoder sequentially hands the decoder what is missing; and (b) the next input has the desired statistics. Motivated by brain-machine interface applications and multi-antenna communications, we consider developing dynamical system feedback encoders for scenarios when the message point lies in higher dimensions. We develop a necessary and sufficient condition — the Jacobian equation — for any dynamical system encoder that maximizes mutual information. In general, there are many solutions to this equation. We connect this to the Monge-Kantorovich Optimal Transportation Problem, which provides a framework to identify a unique solution suiting a specific purpose. We provide two examplar capacity-achieving solutions — for different purposes — for the multi-antenna Gaussian channel with feedback. This insight further elucidates an interesting relationship between interactive decision theory problems and the theory of optimal transportation. Traditionally, traffic assignment models, both for within-day static and dynamic demand, have been formulated following an equilibrium approach in which a state ensuring internal consistency between demand (flows) and costs is sought. However, equilibrium analysis is significant under some assumptions on its “representativeness” (coincidence or closeness with the actual attractor of the system) and analytical properties, such as existence, uniqueness, and stability. Moreover, transients due to modifications of demand and or supply cannot be simulated through equilibrium models, nor can a statistical description of the state of the system, i.e. means, modes, moments and, more generally, frequency distributions of flows over time be obtained. In this paper, interperiodic (day-to-day) dynamic modeling of transportation networks is addressed following two different approaches, namely deterministic and stochastic processes. In both cases several theoretical results are shown by making use of a formal framework covering most models discussed in the literature as well as some possible extensions. Most of the results reported can be extended to cover within-day dynamic models but these models are not explicitly dealt with. Within the framework of deterministic processes the relevance of day-to-day dynamic models for demand supply interaction in comparison with the traditional user equilibrium approach is discussed, and conditions for coincidence of fixed-point attractors and equilibrium states are stated. Conditions for existence and uniqueness of fixed-point attractors are proposed, generalizing and extending those presented in the literature for user equilibrium. Conditions for stability of both fixed-points and equilibrium states were formulated by making use of results from non-linear dynamic system theory. Moreover, it is possible to devise a new family of “dynamic” algorithms which simulate the system convergence to a fixed-point in order to obtain an equivalent equilibrium state, as opposed to conventional “optimisation” algorithms. In this case the fixed-point stability analysis can be viewed as a convergence analysis for the algorithms specified this way. Conditions for stochastic process regularity are proposed ensuring, among other things, existence and uniqueness of a stationary probability distribution of system states. These conditions generalize and extend results presented in the literature to a wider class of possible dynamic models. Relationships between a deterministic process, together with corresponding fixed-points or equilibrium states, and stochastic probability distribution are also briefly addressed. Finally, some numerical examples confirming theoretical results are reported for a small test network. The ubiquitous deployment of mobile and sensor technologies has led to both the capacity to observe human behavior in physical (offline) settings as well as to record it. This provides researchers with a new lens to study and better understand the individual decision processes that were previously unobserved. In this paper, we study decision making behavior of 11,196 taxi drivers in a large Asian city using a rich data set consisting of 10.6 million fine-grained GPS trip records. These records include detailed taxi GPS trajectories, taxi occupancy data (i.e., whether a taxi was occupied with a passenger or was vacant) and taxi drivers’ daily incomes. This capacity to use data where occupancy of the taxi is known is a distinctive feature of our data set and sets this work apart from prior work which has attempted to study driver behavior. The specific decision we focus on pertains to actions drivers take to find new passengers after they have dropped off their current passengers. In particular, we study the role of information derivable from the GPS trace data (e.g., where passengers are dropped off, where passengers are picked up, longitudinal taxicab travel history with fine-grained time stamps) observable by or made available to drivers in enabling them to learn the distribution of demand for their services over space and time. We conduct our study using a heterogeneous Bayesian learning model. We find strong heterogeneity in individual learning behavior and driving decisions, which is significantly associated with individual economic outcomes. Drivers with higher incomes benefit significantly from their ability to learn from not only demand information directly observable in the local market, but also aggregate information on demand flows across markets. Interestingly, our policy simulations indicate information that is noisy at the individual level becomes valuable after being aggregated across various spatial and temporal dimensions. Moreover, the value of information does not increase monotonically with the scale and frequency of information sharing. Finally, our study has important welfare implications in that efficient information sharing leads to an income increase among all drivers, instead of a redistribution of income between different types of drivers. Our work allows us not only to explain driver decision making behavior using these detailed behavioral traces, but also to prescribe information sharing strategy for the firm in order to improve the overall market efficiency.