This work provides a comprehensive analysis on naturalistic driving behavior for highways based on the highD data set. Two thematic fields are considered. First, some macroscopic and microscopic traffic statistics are provided. These include the traffic flow rate and the traffic density, as well as velocity, acceleration and distance distributions. Additionally, the dependencies to each other are examined and compared to related work. The second part investigates the distributions of criticality measures. The Time-To-Collision, Time-Headway and a third measure, which couples both, are analyzed. These measures are also combined with other indicators. Scenarios, in which these measures reach a critical level, are separately discussed. The results are compared to related work as well. The two main contributions of this work can be stated as follows. First, the analysis on the criticality measures can be used to find suitable thresholds for rare traffic scenarios. Second, the statistics provided in this work can also be utilized for traffic modeling, for example in simulation environments.
A survey on motion prediction and risk assessment considers various aspects on motion prediction and the risk definition. The authors highlight, that the risk definition is influenced by the choice of the motion model @cite_11 . Besides deterministic risk indicators like TTC, which assume a collision, probabilistic measures are discussed as well. The probabilistic collision predictions take the uncertainty of the predicted trajectories of the human driven ego vehicle and the surrounding objects into account.
@cite_11
117604884 2019550475 2169601390 2079150870
Computer-vision based collision risk assessment is important in collision detection and obstacle avoidance tasks. We present an approach to determine both time to collision (TTC) and collision risk for semi-rigid obstacles from videos obtained with an uncalibrated camera. TTC for a body moving relative to the camera can be calculated using the ratio of its image size and its time derivative. In order to compute this ratio, we utilize the local scale change and motion information obtained from detection and tracking of feature points, wherein lies the chief novelty of our approach. Using the same local scale change and motion information, we also propose a measure of collision risk for obstacles moving along different trajectories relative to the camera optical axis. Using videos of pedestrians captured in a controlled experimental setup, in which ground truth can be established, we demonstrate the accuracy of our TTC and collision risk estimation approach for different walking trajectories. The authors propose a Bayesian trajectory prediction and criticality assessment system that allows to reason about imminent collisions of a vehicle several seconds in advance. The authors first infer a distribution of high-level, abstract driving maneuvers such as lane changes, turns, road followings, etc. of all vehicles within the driving scene by modeling the domain in a Bayesian network with both causal and diagnostic evidences. This is followed by maneuver-based, long-term trajectory predictions, which themselves contain random components due to the immanent uncertainty of how drivers execute specific maneuvers. Taking all uncertain predictions of all maneuvers of every vehicle into account, the probability of the ego vehicle colliding at least once within a time span is evaluated via Monte-Carlo simulations and given as a function of the prediction horizon. This serves as the basis for calculating a novel criticality measure, the Time-To-Critical-Collision-Probability (TTCCP) - a generalization of the common Time-To-Collision (TTC) in arbitrary, uncertain, multi-object driving environments and valid for longer prediction horizons. The system is applicable from highly-structured to completely non-structured environments and additionally allows the prediction of vehicles not behaving according to a specific maneuver class. The probabilistic prediction of road traffic scenarios is addressed. One result is a probabilistic occupancy of traffic participants, and the other result is the collision risk for autonomous vehicles when executing a planned maneuver. The probabilistic occupancy of surrounding traffic participants helps to plan the maneuver of an autonomous vehicle, whereas the computed collision risk helps to decide if a planned maneuver should be executed. Two methods for the probabilistic prediction are presented and compared: 1) Markov chain abstraction and 2) Monte Carlo simulation. The performance of both methods is evaluated with respect to the prediction of the probabilistic occupancy and the collision risk. For each comparison test, we use the same models that generate the probabilistic behavior of traffic participants, where the generation of these data is not compared with real-world data. However, the results independently show the behavior generation that Markov chains are preferred for the probabilistic occupancy, whereas Monte Carlo simulation is clearly preferred for determining the collision risk. The article deals with the analysis and interpretation of dynamic scenes typical of urban driving. The key objective is to assess risks of collision for the ego-vehicle. We describe our concept and methods, which we have integrated and tested on our experimental platform on a Lexus car and a driving simulator. The on-board sensors deliver visual, telemetric and inertial data for environment monitoring. The sensor fusion uses our Bayesian Occupancy Filter for a spatio-temporal grid representation of the traffic scene. The underlying probabilistic approach is capable of dealing with uncertainties when modeling the environment as well as detecting and tracking dynamic objects. The collision risks are estimated as stochastic variables and are predicted for a short period ahead with the use of Hidden Markov Models and Gaussian processes. The software implementation takes advantage of our methods, which allow for parallel computation. Our tests have proven the relevance and feasibility of our approach for improving the safety of car driving.