Machines learning techniques plays a preponderant role in dealing with massive amount of data and are employed in almost every possible domain. Building a high quality machine learning model to be deployed in production is a challenging task, from both, the subject matter experts and the machine learning practitioners. For a broader adoption and scalability of machine learning systems, the construction and configuration of machine learning workflow need to gain in automation. In the last few years, several techniques have been developed in this direction, known as autoML. In this paper, we present a two-stage optimization process to build data pipelines and configure machine learning algorithms. First, we study the impact of data pipelines compared to algorithm configuration in order to show the importance of data preprocessing over hyperparameter tuning. The second part presents policies to efficiently allocate search time between data pipeline construction and algorithm configuration. Those policies are agnostic from the metaoptimizer. Last, we present a metric to determine if a data pipeline is specific or independent from the algorithm, enabling fine-grain pipeline pruning and meta-learning for the coldstart problem.
The difference between the various surrogate approaches lies into the model space assumption and the acquisition function. Sequential Model-based Algorithm Configuration ( ) @cite_19 @cite_7 is based on Random Forest, so are frameworks based on such as @cite_29 @cite_18 or @cite_6 . @cite_15 uses a Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) while @cite_20 is based on Gaussian processes (GP).
@cite_18 @cite_7 @cite_29 @cite_6 @cite_19 @cite_15 @cite_20
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A novel algorithm based on random forests with surrogate splits is proposed to address the classification problem of incomplete data without imputation.The algorithm allows each tree to cast a vote even the voting process is interrupted by missing attributes.Experimental results on various acknowledged datasets show that the proposed method is robust and efficient. Random forests (RF) is known as an efficient algorithm in classification, however it depends on the integrity of datasets. Conventional methods in dealing with missing values usually employ estimation and imputation approaches whose efficiency is tied to the assumptions of data features. Recently, algorithm of surrogate decisions in RF was developed and this paper proposes a random forests algorithm with modified surrogate splits (Adjusted Weight Voting Random Forest, AWVRF) which is able to address the incomplete data without imputation.Differing from the present surrogate method, in AWVRF algorithm, when the primary splitting attribute and the surrogate attributes of an internal node are all missing, the undergoing instance is allowed to exit at the current node with a vote. Then the weight of the vote is adjusted by the strength of the involved attributes and the final decision is made by weighted voting. AWVRF does not comprise imputation step, thus it is independent of data features.AWVRF is compared with the methods of mean imputation, LeoFill, knnimpute, BPCAfill and conventional RF with surrogate decisions (surrRF) using 50 times repeated 5-fold cross validation on 10 acknowledged datasets. In a total of 22 experiment settings, the method of AWVRF harvests the highest accuracy in 14 settings and the largest AUC in 7 settings, exhibiting its superiority over other methods. Compared with surrRF, AWVRF is significantly more efficient and remain good discrimination of prediction. Experimental results show that the present AWVRF algorithm can successfully handle the classification task for incomplete data. Algorithm selection as well as hyperparameter optimization are tedious task that have to be dealt with when applying machine learning to real-world problems. Sequential model-based optimization (SMBO), based on so-called “surrogate models”, has been employed to allow for faster and more direct hyperparameter optimization. A surrogate model is a machine learning regression model which is trained on the meta-level instances in order to predict the performance of an algorithm on a specific data set given the hyperparameter settings and data set descriptors. Gaussian processes, for example, make good surrogate models as they provide probability distributions over labels. Recent work on SMBO also includes meta-data, i.e. observed hyperparameter performances on other data sets, into the process of hyperparameter optimization. This can, for example, be accomplished by learning transfer surrogate models on all available instances of meta-knowledge; however, the increasing amount of meta-information can make Gaussian processes infeasible, as they require the inversion of a large covariance matrix which grows with the number of instances. Consequently, instead of learning a joint surrogate model on all of the meta-data, we propose to learn individual surrogate models on the observations of each data set and then combine all surrogates to a joint one using ensembling techniques. The final surrogate is a weighted sum of all data set specific surrogates plus an additional surrogate that is solely learned on the target observations. Within our framework, any surrogate model can be used and explore Gaussian processes in this scenario. We present two different strategies for finding the weights used in the ensemble: the first is based on a probabilistic product of experts approach, and the second is based on kernel regression. Additionally, we extend the framework to directly estimate the acquisition function in the same setting, using a novel technique which we name the “transfer acquisition function”. In an empirical evaluation including comparisons to the current state-of-the-art on two publicly available meta-data sets, we are able to demonstrate that our proposed approach does not only scale to large meta-data, but also finds the stronger prediction models. We present a novel probabilistic approach for fitting a statistical model to an image. A 3D Morphable Model (3DMM) of faces is interpreted as a generative (Top-Down) Bayesian model. Random Forests are used as noisy detectors (Bottom-Up) for the face and facial landmark positions. The Top-Down and Bottom-Up parts are then combined using a Data-Driven Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method (DDMCMC). As core of the integration, we use the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm which has two main advantages. First, the algorithm can handle unreliable detections and therefore does not need the detectors to take an early and possible wrong hard decision before fitting. Second, it is open for integration of various cues to guide the fitting process. Based on the proposed approach, we implemented a completely automatic, pose and illumination invariant face recognition application. We are able to train and test the building blocks of our application on different databases. The system is evaluated on the Multi-PIE database and reaches state of the art performance. These lecture notes highlight the mathematical and computational structure relating to the formulation of, and development of algorithms for, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems in differential equations. This approach is fundamental in the quantification of uncertainty within applications in volving the blending of mathematical models with data. The finite dimensional situation is described first, along with some motivational examples. Then the development of probability measures on separable Banach space is undertaken, using a random series over an infinite set of functions to construct draws; these probability measures are used as priors in the Bayesian approach to inverse problems. Regularity of draws from the priors is studied in the natural Sobolev or Besov spaces implied by the choice of functions in the random series construction, and the Kolmogorov continuity theorem is used to extend regularity considerations to the space of Holder continuous functions. Bayes’ theorem is de rived in this prior setting, and here interpreted as finding conditions under which the posterior is absolutely continuous with respect to the prior, and determining a formula for the Radon-Nikodym derivative in terms of the likelihood of the data. Having established the form of the posterior, we then describe various properties common to it in the infinite dimensional setting. These properties include well-posedness, approximation theory, and the existence of maximum a posteriori estimators. We then describe measure-preserving dynamics, again on the infinite dimensional space, including Markov chain-Monte C arlo and sequential Monte Carlo methods, and measure-preserving reversible stochastic differential equations. By formulating the theory and algorithms on the underlying infinite dimensional space, we obtain a framework suitable for rigorous analysis of the accuracy of reconstructions, of computational complexity, as well as naturally constructing algorithms which perform well under mesh refinement, since they are inherently well-defined in infinite dimensions. Given a large overcomplete dictionary of basis vectors, the goal is to simultaneously represent L>1 signal vectors using coefficient expansions marked by a common sparsity profile. This generalizes the standard sparse representation problem to the case where multiple responses exist that were putatively generated by the same small subset of features. Ideally, the associated sparse generating weights should be recovered, which can have physical significance in many applications (e.g., source localization). The generic solution to this problem is intractable and, therefore, approximate procedures are sought. Based on the concept of automatic relevance determination, this paper uses an empirical Bayesian prior to estimate a convenient posterior distribution over candidate basis vectors. This particular approximation enforces a common sparsity profile and consistently places its prominent posterior mass on the appropriate region of weight-space necessary for simultaneous sparse recovery. The resultant algorithm is then compared with multiple response extensions of matching pursuit, basis pursuit, FOCUSS, and Jeffreys prior-based Bayesian methods, finding that it often outperforms the others. Additional motivation for this particular choice of cost function is also provided, including the analysis of global and local minima and a variational derivation that highlights the similarities and differences between the proposed algorithm and previous approaches. Three Bayesian related approaches, namely, variational Bayesian (VB), minimum message length (MML) and Bayesian Ying-Yang (BYY) harmony learning, have been applied to automatically determining an appropriate number of components during learning Gaussian mixture model (GMM). This paper aims to provide a comparative investigation on these approaches with not only a Jeffreys prior but also a conjugate Dirichlet-Normal-Wishart (DNW) prior on GMM. In addition to adopting the existing algorithms either directly or with some modifications, the algorithm for VB with Jeffreys prior and the algorithm for BYY with DNW prior are developed in this paper to fill the missing gap. The performances of automatic model selection are evaluated through extensive experiments, with several empirical findings: 1) Considering priors merely on the mixing weights, each of three approaches makes biased mistakes, while considering priors on all the parameters of GMM makes each approach reduce its bias and also improve its performance. 2) As Jeffreys prior is replaced by the DNW prior, all the three approaches improve their performances. Moreover, Jeffreys prior makes MML slightly better than VB, while the DNW prior makes VB better than MML. 3) As the hyperparameters of DNW prior are further optimized by each of its own learning principle, BYY improves its performances while VB and MML deteriorate their performances when there are too many free hyper-parameters. Actually, VB and MML lack a good guide for optimizing the hyper-parameters of DNW prior. 4) BYY considerably outperforms both VB and MML for any type of priors and whether hyper-parameters are optimized. Being different from VB and MML that rely on appropriate priors to perform model selection, BYY does not highly depend on the type of priors. It has model selection ability even without priors and performs already very well with Jeffreys prior, and incrementally improves as Jeffreys prior is replaced by the DNW prior. Finally, all algorithms are applied on the Berkeley segmentation database of real world images. Again, BYY considerably outperforms both VB and MML, especially in detecting the objects of interest from a confusing background. Received 28 May 2002; revised 18 September 2002; accepted 24 September 2002; published 14 February 2003. [1] When an inverse problem is solved to estimate an unknown function such as the hydraulic conductivity in an aquifer or the contamination history at a site, one constraint is that the unknown function is known to be everywhere nonnegative. In this work, we develop a statistically rigorous method for enforcing function nonnegativity in Bayesian inverse problems. The proposed method behaves similarly to a Gaussian process with a linear variogram (i.e., unrestricted Brownian motion) for parameter values significantly greater than zero. The method uses the method of images to define a prior probability density function based on reflected Brownian motion that implicitly enforces nonnegativity. This work focuses on problems where the unknown is a function of a single variable (e.g., time). A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, specifically, a highly efficient Gibbs sampler, is implemented to generate conditional realizations of the unknown function. The new method is applied to the estimation of the trichloroethylene (TCE) and perchloroethylene (PCE) contamination history in an aquifer at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware, based on concentration profiles obtained from an underlying aquitard. INDEX TERMS: 1831 Hydrology: Groundwater quality; 1869 Hydrology: Stochastic processes; 3260 Mathematical Geophysics: Inverse theory; KEYWORDS: stochastic inverse modeling, contaminant source identification, inference under constraints, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), Gibbs sampling, Bayesian inference