We propose a new approach to value function approximation which combines linear temporal difference reinforcement learning with subspace identification. In practical applications, reinforcement learning (RL) is complicated by the fact that state is either high-dimensional or partially observable. Therefore, RL methods are designed to work with features of state rather than state itself, and the success or failure of learning is often determined by the suitability of the selected features. By comparison, subspace identification (SSID) methods are designed to select a feature set which preserves as much information as possible about state. In this paper we connect the two approaches, looking at the problem of reinforcement learning with a large set of features, each of which may only be marginally useful for value function approximation. We introduce a new algorithm for this situation, called Predictive State Temporal Difference (PSTD) learning. As in SSID for predictive state representations, PSTD finds a linear compression operator that projects a large set of features down to a small set that preserves the maximum amount of predictive information. As in RL, PSTD then uses a Bellman recursion to estimate a value function. We discuss the connection between PSTD and prior approaches in RL and SSID. We prove that PSTD is statistically consistent, perform several experiments that illustrate its properties, and demonstrate its potential on a difficult optimal stopping problem.
The drawback of all of the approaches enumerated above is that they first assume that the dynamical system model is known, and only then give us a way of finding a compact representation and a value function. In practice, we would like to be able to find a good set of features, . Kolter and Ng @cite_18 contend with this problem from a sparse feature selection standpoint. Given a large set of possibly-relevant features of observations, they proposed augmenting LSTD by applying an @math penalty to the coefficients, forcing LSTD to select a sparse set of features for value function estimation. The resulting algorithm, LARS-TD, works well in certain situations (for example, see ), but only if our original large set of features contains a small subset of highly-relevant features.
@cite_18
2110983594
We introduce a new adaptive method for analyzing nonlinear and nonstationary data. This method is inspired by the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and the recently developed compressed sensing theory. The main idea is to look for the sparsest representation of multiscale data within the largest possible dictionary consisting of intrinsic mode functions of the form a(t )c os(θ(t)) ,w herea ≥ 0i s assumed to be smoother than cos(θ(t)) and θ is a piecewise smooth increasing function. We formulate this problem as a nonlinear L 1 optimization problem. Further, we propose an iterative algorithm to solve this nonlinear optimization problem recursively. We also introduce an adaptive filter method to decompose data with noise. Numerical examples are given to demonstrate the robustness of our method and comparison is made with the EMD method. One advantage of performing such a decomposition is to preserve some intrinsic physical property of the signal, such as trend and instantaneous frequency. Our method shares many important properties of the original EMD method. Because our method is based on a solid mathematical formulation, its performance does not depend on numerical parameters such as the number of shifting or stop criterion, which seem to have a major effect on the original EMD method. Our method is also less sensitive to noise perturbation and the end effect compared with the original EMD method.