Twitter, a microblogging service, has evolved into a powerful communication platform with millions of active users who generate immense volume of microposts on a daily basis. To facilitate effective categorization and easy search, users adopt hashtags, keywords or phrases preceded by hash (#) character. Successful prediction of the spread and propagation of information in the form of trending topics or hashtags in Twitter, could help real time identification of new trends and thus improve marketing efforts. Social theories such as consistency theory suggest that people prefer harmony or consistency in their thoughts. In Twitter, for example, users are more likely to adopt the same trending hashtag multiple times before it eventually dies. In this paper, we propose a low-rank weighted matrix factorization approach to model trending hashtag adoption in Twitter based on consistency theory. In particular, we first cast the problem of modeling trending hashtag adoption into an optimization problem, then integrate consistency theory into it as a regularization term and finally leverage widely used matrix factorization to solve the optimization. Empirical experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms other baselines in predicting whether a specific trending hashtag will be used by users in future.
Most traditional works have focused on the structure and topology of the social graph. They try to maximize the spread of information and thus marketing profits by detecting the influential nodes and then leveraging viral marketing and social recommendation networks @cite_5 @cite_15 @cite_0 @cite_17 @cite_2 @cite_21 . Meanwhile some woks have modeled the temporal dynamics of information spread @cite_13 @cite_7 @cite_4 @cite_10 . In particular, @cite_10 studies the ways network structure reacts to users posting and sharing contents. Few have used collaborative filtering to predict the probability of a tweet to get retweeted @cite_24 . Some tasks such as profiling users based on substance, style, status and social tendency has been addressed by using tweet content @cite_8 .
@cite_4 @cite_7 @cite_8 @cite_10 @cite_21 @cite_0 @cite_24 @cite_2 @cite_5 @cite_15 @cite_13 @cite_17
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The identification of popular and important topics discussed in social networks is crucial for a better understanding of societ al concerns. It is also useful for users to stay on top of trends without having to sift through vast amounts of shared information. Trend detection methods introduced so far have not used the network topology and has thus not been able to distinguish viral topics from topics that are diffused mostly through the news media. To address this gap, we propose two novel structural trend definitions we call coordinated and uncoordinated trends that use friendship information to identify topics that are discussed among clustered and distributed users respectively. Our analyses and experiments show that structural trends are significantly different from traditional trends and provide new insights into the way people share information online. We also propose a sampling technique for structural trend detection and prove that the solution yields in a gain in efficiency and is within an acceptable error bound. Experiments performed on a Twitter data set of 41.7 million nodes and 417 million posts show that even with a sampling rate of 0.005, the average precision is 0.93 for coordinated trends and 1 for uncoordinated trends. Platforms such as Twitter have provided researchers with ample opportunities to analytically study social phenomena. There are however, significant computational challenges due to the enormous rate of production of new information: researchers are therefore, often forced to analyze a judiciously selected “sample” of the data. Like other social media phenomena, information diffusion is a social process–it is affected by user context, and topic, in addition to the graph topology. This paper studies the impact of different attribute and topology based sampling strategies on the discovery of an important social media phenomena–information diffusion. We examine several widely-adopted sampling methods that select nodes based on attribute (random, location, and activity) and topology (forest fire) as well as study the impact of attribute based seed selection on topology based sampling. Then we develop a series of metrics for evaluating the quality of the sample, based on user activity (e.g. volume, number of seeds), topological (e.g. reach, spread) and temporal characteristics (e.g. rate). We additionally correlate the diffusion volume metric with two external variables–search and news trends. Our experiments reveal that for small sample sizes (30 ), a sample that incorporates both topology and user context (e.g. location, activity) can improve on naive methods by a significant margin of 15-20 . By increasing the popularity of social networking websites like Facebook and Twitter, analysis of the structure of these networks receives significant attentions. The most important part of these analyses is towards detecting communities. The aforementioned structures are known with extremely high inter-connections versus few intra-connections in the graphs. In this paper, we have addressed the community detection problem by a novel framework based on Information Diffusion Model and Shapley Value Concept. Here, each node of the underlying graph is attributed to a rational agent trying to maximize its Shapley Value in the form of information it receives. Nash equilibrium of the game corresponds to the community structure of the graph. Compared with other methods, our approach demonstrates promising results on the well-known real world and synthetic graphs. Current social media research mainly focuses on temporal trends of the information flow and on the topology of the social graph that facilitates the propagation of information. In this paper we study the effect of the content of the idea on the information propagation. We present an efficient hybrid approach based on a linear regression for predicting the spread of an idea in a given time frame. We show that a combination of content features with temporal and topological features minimizes prediction error. Our algorithm is evaluated on Twitter hashtags extracted from a dataset of more than 400 million tweets. We analyze the contribution and the limitations of the various feature types to the spread of information, demonstrating that content aspects can be used as strong predictors thus should not be disregarded. We also study the dependencies between global features such as graph topology and content features. Information cascades on social networks, such as retweet cascades on Twitter, have been often viewed as an epidemiological process, with the associated notion of virality to capture popular cascades that spread across the network. The notion of structural virality or average path length has been posited as a measure of global spread. In this paper, we argue that this simple epidemiological view, though analytically compelling, is not the entire story. We first show empirically that the classical SIR diffusion process on the Twitter graph, even with the best possible distribution of infectiousness parameter, cannot explain the nature of observed retweet cascades on Twitter. More specifically, rather than spreading further from the source as the SIR model would predict, many cascades that have several retweets from direct followers, die out quickly beyond that. We show that our empirical observations can be reconciled if we take interests of users and tweets into account. In particular, we consider a model where users have multi-dimensional interests, and connect to other users based on similarity in interests. Tweets are correspondingly labeled with interests, and propagate only in the subgraph of interested users via the SIR process. In this model, interests can be either narrow or broad, with the narrowest interest corresponding to a star graph on the interested users, with the root being the source of the tweet, and the broadest interest spanning the whole graph. We show that if tweets are generated using such a mix of interests, coupled with a varying infectiousness parameter, then we can qualitatively explain our observation that cascades die out much more quickly than is predicted by the SIR model. In the same breath, this model also explains how cascades can have large size, but low "structural virality" or average path length. In online social media systems users are not only posting, consuming, and resharing content, but also creating new and destroying existing connections in the underlying social network. While each of these two types of dynamics has individually been studied in the past, much less is known about the connection between the two. How does user information posting and seeking behavior interact with the evolution of the underlying social network structure? Here, we study ways in which network structure reacts to users posting and sharing content. We examine the complete dynamics of the Twitter information network, where users post and reshare information while they also create and destroy connections. We find that the dynamics of network structure can be characterized by steady rates of change, interrupted by sudden bursts. Information diffusion in the form of cascades of post re-sharing often creates such sudden bursts of new connections, which significantly change users' local network structure. These bursts transform users' networks of followers to become structurally more cohesive as well as more homogenous in terms of follower interests. We also explore the effect of the information content on the dynamics of the network and find evidence that the appearance of new topics and real-world events can lead to significant changes in edge creations and deletions. Lastly, we develop a model that quantifies the dynamics of the network and the occurrence of these bursts as a function of the information spreading through the network. The model can successfully predict which information diffusion events will lead to bursts in network dynamics. Given multimillion-node graphs such as "who-follows-whom", "patent-cites-patent", "user-likes-page" and "actor director-makes-movie" networks, how can we find unexpected behaviors? When companies operate on the graphs with monetary incentives to sell Twitter "Followers" and Facebook page "Likes", the graphs show strange connectivity patterns. In this paper, we study a complete graph from a large Twitter-style social network, spanning up to 3.33 billion edges. We report strange deviations from typical patterns like smooth degree distributions. We find that such deviations are often due to "lockstep behavior" that large groups of followers connect to the same groups of followees. Our first contribution is that we study strange patterns on the adjacency matrix and in the spectral subspaces with respect to several flavors of lockstep. We discover that (a) the lockstep behaviors on the graph shape dense "block" in its adjacency matrix and creates "rays" in spectral subspaces, and (b) partially overlapping of the behaviors shape "staircase" in its adjacency matrix and creates "pearls" in spectral subspaces. The second contribution is that we provide a fast algorithm, using the discovery as a guide for practitioners, to detect users who offer the lockstep behaviors in undirected directed bipartite graphs. We carry out extensive experiments on both synthetic and real datasets, as well as public datasets from IMDb and US Patent. The results demonstrate the scalability and effectiveness of our proposed algorithm. With their blistering expansions in recent years, popular on-line social sites such as Twitter, Facebook and Bebo, have become some of the major news sources as well as the most effective channels for viral marketing nowadays. However, alongside these promising features comes the threat of misinformation propagation which can lead to undesirable effects, such as the widespread panic in the general public due to faulty swine flu tweets on Twitter in 2009. Due to the huge magnitude of online social network (OSN) users and the highly clustered structures commonly observed in these kinds of networks, it poses a substantial challenge to efficiently contain viral spread of misinformation in large-scale social networks. In this paper, we focus on how to limit viral propagation of misinformation in OSNs. Particularly, we study a set of problems, namely the β1T -- Node Protectors, which aims to find the smallest set of highly influential nodes whose decontamination with good information helps to contain the viral spread of misinformation, initiated from the set I, to a desired ratio (1 − β) in T time steps. In this family set, we analyze and present solutions including inapproximability result, greedy algorithms that provide better lower bounds on the number of selected nodes, and a community-based heuristic method for the Node Protector problems. To verify our suggested solutions, we conduct experiments on real world traces including NetHEPT, NetHEPT_WC and Facebook networks. Empirical results indicate that our methods are among the best ones for hinting out those important nodes in comparison with other available methods. We study the detailed growth of a social networking site with full temporal information by examining the creation process of each friendship relation that can collectively lead to the macroscopic properties of the network. We first study the reciprocal behavior of users, and find that link requests are quickly responded to and that the distribution of reciprocation intervals decays in an exponential form. The degrees of inviters accepters are slightly negatively correlative with reciprocation time. In addition, the temporal feature of the online community shows that the distributions of intervals of user behaviors, such as sending or accepting link requests, follow a power law with a universal exponent, and peaks emerge for intervals of an integral day. We finally study the preferential selection and linking phenomena of the social networking site and find that, for the former, a linear preference holds for preferential sending and reception, and for the latter, a linear preference also holds for preferential acceptance, creation, and attachment. Based on the linearly preferential linking, we put forward an analyzable network model which can reproduce the degree distribution of the network. The research framework presented in the paper could provide a potential insight into how the micro-motives of users lead to the global structure of online social networks. Modern applications such as web knowledge base, network traffic monitoring and online social networks have made available an unprecedented amount of network data with rich types of interactions carrying multiple attributes, for instance, port number and time tick in the case of network traffic. The design of algorithms to leverage this structured relationship with the power of computing to assist researchers and practitioners for better understanding, exploration and navigation of this space of information has become a challenging, albeit rewarding, topic in social network analysis and data mining. The constantly growing scale and enriching genres of network data always demand higher levels of efficiency, robustness and generalizability where existing approaches with successes on small, homogeneous network data are likely to fall short. We introduce MultiAspectForensics, a handy tool to automatically detect and visualize novel sub graph patterns within a local community of nodes in a heterogenous network, such as a set of vertices that form a dense bipartite graph whose edges share exactly the same set of attributes. We apply the proposed method on three data sets from distinct application domains, present empirical results and discuss insights derived from these patterns discovered. Our algorithm, built on scalable tensor analysis procedures, captures spectral properties of network data and reveals informative signals for subsequent domain-specific study and investigation, such as suspicious port-scanning activities in the scenario of cyber-security monitoring. Online social networking services allow their users to post content in the form of text, images or videos. The main mechanism driving content diffusion is the possibility for users to re-share the content posted by their social connections, which may then cascade across the system. A fundamental problem when studying information cascades is the possibility to develop sound mathematical models, whose parameters can be calibrated on empirical data, in order to predict the future course of a cascade after a window of observation. In this paper, we focus on Twitter and, in particular, on the temporal patterns of retweet activity for an original tweet. We model the system by Time-Dependent Hawkes process (TiDeH), which properly takes into account the circadian nature of the users and the aging of information. The input of the prediction model are observed retweet times and structural information about the underlying social network. We develop a procedure for parameter optimization and for predicting the future profiles of retweet activity at different time resolutions. We validate our methodology on a large corpus of Twitter data and demonstrate its systematic improvement over existing approaches in all the time regimes. The emergence and wide-spread use of online social networks has led to a dramatic increase on the availability of social activity data. Importantly, this data can be exploited to investigate, at a microscopic level, some of the problems that have captured the attention of economists, marketers and sociologists for decades, such as, e.g., product adoption, usage and competition. In this paper, we propose a continuous-time probabilistic model, based on temporal point processes, for the adoption and frequency of use of competing products, where the frequency of use of one product can be modulated by those of others. This model allows us to efficiently simulate the adoption and recurrent usages of competing products, and generate traces in which we can easily recognize the effect of social influence, recency and competition. We then develop an inference method to efficiently fit the model parameters by solving a convex program. The problem decouples into a collection of smaller subproblems, thus scaling easily to networks with hundred of thousands of nodes. We validate our model over synthetic and real diffusion data gathered from Twitter, and show that the proposed model does not only provides a good fit to the data and more accurate predictions than alternatives but also provides interpretable model parameters, which allow us to gain insights into some of the factors driving product adoption and frequency of use.