We take interest in the early assessment of risk for depression in social media users. We focus on the eRisk 2018 dataset, which represents users as a sequence of their written online contributions. We implement four RNN-based systems to classify the users. We explore several aggregations methods to combine predictions on individual posts. Our best model reads through all writings of a user in parallel but uses an attention mechanism to prioritize the most important ones at each timestep.
The @cite_21 is a simpler version of the that we used, that only takes into account the target hidden state. It is stated as such :
@cite_21
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The problem of estimating the number of hidden states in a hidden Markov model is considered. Emphasis is placed on cross-validated likelihood criteria. Using cross-validation to assess the number of hidden states allows to circumvent the well-documented technical difficulties of the order identification problem in mixture models. Moreover, in a predictive perspective, it does not require that the sampling distribution belongs to one of the models in competition. However, computing cross-validated likelihood for hidden Markov models for which only one training sample is available, involves difficulties since the data are not independent. Two approaches are proposed to compute cross-validated likelihood for a hidden Markov model. The first one consists of using a deterministic half-sampling procedure, and the second one consists of an adaptation of the EM algorithm for hidden Markov models, to take into account randomly missing values induced by cross-validation. Numerical experiments on both simulated and real data sets compare different versions of cross-validated likelihood criterion and penalised likelihood criteria, including BIC and a penalised marginal likelihood criterion. Those numerical experiments highlight a promising behaviour of the deterministic half-sampling criterion.