The explosion in the availability of GPS-enabled devices has resulted in an abundance of trajectory data. In reality, however, majority of these trajectories are collected at a low sampling rate and only provide partial observations on their actually traversed routes. Consequently, they are mired with uncertainty. In this paper, we develop a technique called Infer Tra to infer uncertain trajectories from network-constrained partial observations. Rather than predicting the most likely route, the inferred uncertain trajectory takes the form of an edge-weighted graph and summarizes all probable routes in a holistic manner. For trajectory inference, Infer Tra employs Gibbs sampling by learning a Network Mobility Model (NMM) from a database of historical trajectories. Extensive experiments on real trajectory databases show that the graph-based approach of Infer Tra is up to 50 more accurate, 20 times faster, and immensely more versatile than state-of-the-art techniques.
More recently, a technique @cite_6 was designed to study the trajectory inference problem in a setting where trajectories are not constrained by a network. Due to the focus on network-free trajectories, @cite_6 is not applicable to our problem.
@cite_6
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In recent years scholars have built maps of science by connecting the academic fields that cite each other, are cited together, or that cite a similar literature. But since scholars cannot always publish in the fields they cite, or that cite them, these science maps are only rough proxies for the potential of a scholar, organization, or country, to enter a new academic field. Here we use a large dataset of scholarly publications disambiguated at the individual level to create a map of science-or research space-where links connect pairs of fields based on the probability that an individual has published in both of them. We find that the research space is a significantly more accurate predictor of the fields that individuals and organizations will enter in the future than citation based science maps. At the country level, however, the research space and citations based science maps are equally accurate. These findings show that data on career trajectories-the set of fields that individuals have previously published in-provide more accurate predictors of future research output for more focalized units-such as individuals or organizations-than citation based science maps.