The 2016 U.S. presidential election has witnessed the major role of Twitter in the year's most important political event. Candidates used this social media platform extensively for online campaigns. Meanwhile, social media has been filled with rumors, which might have had huge impacts on voters' decisions. In this paper, we present a thorough analysis of rumor tweets from the followers of two presidential candidates: Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. To overcome the difficulty of labeling a large amount of tweets as training data, we detect rumor tweets by matching them with verified rumor articles. We analyze over 8 million tweets collected from the followers of the two candidates. Our results provide answers to several primary concerns about rumors in this election, including: which side of the followers posted the most rumors, who posted these rumors, what rumors they posted, and when they posted these rumors. The insights of this paper can help us understand the online rumor behaviors in American politics.
Online social media have gained huge popularity around the world and become a vital platform for politics. However, the openness and convenience of social media also fosters a large amount of fake news and rumors which can spread wildly @cite_12 . Compared with existing rumor detection works that are focused on general social events or emergency events @cite_4 , this paper presents a first analysis of rumors in a political election.
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Benefiting from its openness, collaboration and real-time features, Micro blog has become one of the most important news communication media in modern society. However, it is also filled with fake news. Without verification, such information could spread promptly through social network and result in serious consequences. To evaluate news credibility on Micro blog, we propose a hierarchical propagation model. We detect sub-events within a news event to describe its detailed aspects. Thus, for a news event, a three-layer credibility network consisting of event, sub-events and messages can represent it from different scale and reveal vital information for credibility evaluation. After linking these entities with their semantic and social associations, the credibility value of each entity is propagated on this network to achieve the final evaluation result. By formulating this propagation process as a graph optimization problem, we provide a globally optimal solution with an iterative algorithm. Experiments conducted on two real-world datasets show that the proposed model boosts the accuracy by more than 6 and the F-score by more than 16 over a baseline method. The problem of identifying rumors is of practical importance especially in online social networks, since information can diffuse more rapidly and widely than the offline counterpart. In this paper, we identify characteristics of rumors by examining the following three aspects of diffusion: temporal, structural, and linguistic. For the temporal characteristics, we propose a new periodic time series model that considers daily and external shock cycles, where the model demonstrates that rumor likely have fluctuations over time. We also identify key structural and linguistic differences in the spread of rumors and non-rumors. Our selected features classify rumors with high precision and recall in the range of 87 to 92 , that is higher than other states of the arts on rumor classification.