Trajectory prediction (TP) is of great importance for a wide range of location-based applications in intelligent transport systems such as location-based advertising, route planning, traffic management, and early warning systems. In the last few years, the widespread use of GPS navigation systems and wireless communication technology enabled vehicles has resulted in huge volumes of trajectory data. The task of utilizing this data employing spatio-temporal techniques for trajectory prediction in an efficient and accurate manner is an ongoing research problem. Existing TP approaches are limited to short-term predictions. Moreover, they cannot handle a large volume of trajectory data for long-term prediction. To address these limitations, we propose a scalable clustering and Markov chain based hybrid framework, called Traj-clusiVAT-based TP, for both short-term and long-term trajectory prediction, which can handle a large number of overlapping trajectories in a dense road network. Traj-clusiVAT can also determine the number of clusters, which represent different movement behaviours in input trajectory data. In our experiments, we compare our proposed approach with a mixed Markov model (MMM)-based scheme, and a trajectory clustering, NETSCAN-based TP method for both short- and long-term trajectory predictions. We performed our experiments on two real, vehicle trajectory datasets, including a large-scale trajectory dataset consisting of 3.28 million trajectories obtained from 15,061 taxis in Singapore over a period of one month. Experimental results on two real trajectory datasets show that our proposed approach outperforms the existing approaches in terms of both short- and long-term prediction performances, based on prediction accuracy and distance error (in km).
Some researchers have proposed trajectory clustering based route prediction methods, which partition the trajectories into several clusters representing different motion patterns based on the trajectory similarity. Various clustering approaches @cite_37 using different methods and distance measures between trajectories have been proposed in the literature. Road network constrained trajectory clustering approaches can be classified into two broad categories. The first type uses the traditional clustering approaches such @math -means and DBSCAN with specially designed distance measures @cite_35 @cite_53 @cite_26 @cite_15 for trajectories. The second category of algorithms @cite_49 @cite_8 cluster road segment vehicle frequencies based on density and flow.
@cite_35 @cite_37 @cite_26 @cite_8 @cite_53 @cite_49 @cite_15
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This paper proposes a new trajectory clustering scheme for objects moving on road networks. A trajectory on road networks can be defined as a sequence of road segments a moving object has passed by. We first propose a similarity measurement scheme that judges the degree of similarity by considering the total length of matched road segments. Then, we propose a new clustering algorithm based on such similarity measurement criteria by modifying and adjusting the FastMap and hierarchical clustering schemes. To evaluate the performance of the proposed clustering scheme, we also develop a trajectory generator considering the fact that most objects tend to move from the starting point to the destination point along their shortest path. The performance result shows that our scheme has the accuracy of over 95 . Clustering is an efficient way to group data into different classes on basis of the internal and previously unknown schemes inherent of the data. With the development of the location based positioning devices, more and more moving objects are traced and their trajectories are recorded. Therefore, moving object trajectory clustering undoubtedly becomes the focus of the study in moving object data mining. To provide an overview, we survey and summarize the development and trend of moving object clustering and analyze typical moving object clustering algorithms presented in recent years. In this paper, we firstly summarize the strategies and implement processes of classical moving object clustering algorithms. Secondly, the measures which can determine the similarity dissimilarity between two trajectories are discussed. Thirdly, the validation criteria are analyzed for evaluating the performance and efficiency of clustering algorithms. Finally, some application scenarios are point out for the potential application in future. It is hope that this research will serve as the steppingstone for those interested in advancing moving object mining. Trajectories of moving objects contain numerous information to analyze and exploit. Clustering analysis is an important approach to deal with trajectories in data mining technology. However, existing trajectory clustering algorithm barely considers temporal information during clustering procedure. This paper proposes a clustering scheme for trajectories in road network environment. A trajectory on road network is represented by a sequence of interest points that each point indicates a real location on road segment. We define a distance measure to compute the spatial similarity between trajectories, then we propose a clustering algorithm based on DBSCAN and add temporal factor into it at the same time. Spatial data mining is an active topic in spatial databases. This paper proposes a new clustering method for moving object trajectories databases. It applies specifically to trajectories that only lie on a predefined network. The proposed algorithm (NETSCAN) is inspired from the well-known density based algorithms. However, it takes advantage of the network constraint to estimate the object density. Indeed, NETSCAN first computes dense paths in the network based on the moving object count, then, it clusters the sub-trajectories which are similar to the dense paths. The user can adjust the clustering result by setting a density threshold for the dense paths, and a similarity threshold within the clusters. This paper describes the proposed method. An implementation is reported, along with experimental results that show the effectiveness of our approach and the flexibility allowed by the user parameters. With the advent of ubiquitous computing, we can easily acquire the locations of moving objects. This paper studies clustering problems for trajectory data that is constrained by the road network. While many trajectory clustering algorithms have been proposed, they do not consider the spatial proximity of objects across the road network. For this kind of data, we propose a new distance measure that reflects the spatial proximity of vehicle trajectories on the road network, and an efficient clustering method that reduces the number of distance computations during the clustering process. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed method correctly identifies clusters using real-life trajectory data yet reduces the distance computations by up to 80 against the baseline algorithm.