In transport modeling and prediction, trip purposes play an important role since mobility choices (e.g. modes, routes, departure times) are made in order to carry out specific activities. Activity based models, which have been gaining popularity in recent years, are built from a large number of observed trips and their purposes. However, data acquired through traditional interview-based travel surveys lack the accuracy and quantity required by such models. Smartphones and interactive web interfaces have emerged as an attractive alternative to conventional travel surveys. A smartphone-based travel survey, Future Mobility Survey (FMS), was developed and field-tested in Singapore and collected travel data from more than 1000 participants for multiple days. To provide a more intelligent interface, inferring the activities of a user at a certain location is a crucial challenge. This paper presents a learning model that infers the most likely activity associated to a certain visited place. The data collected in FMS contain errors or noise due to various reasons, so a robust approach via ensemble learning is used to improve generalization performance. Our model takes advantage of cross-user historical data as well as user-specific information, including socio-demographics. Our empirical results using FMS data demonstrate that the proposed method contributes significantly to our travel survey application.
More elaborate algorithms have been proposed taking a machine learning approach. Deng and Li @cite_7 used attributes such as land use, sociodemographic information of the respondents, etc. to construct decision trees. An adaptive boosting technique was used to improve the classification results. @cite_11 proposed a location based activity recognition system using Relational Markov Networks. These works are evaluated based on small samples of experimental data.
@cite_7 @cite_11
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Passive global positioning system (GPS) travel survey has proven an innovative alternative to the traditional paper-and-pencil method, as it can record exact time and location of travel activities without incurring much burden on survey respondents. Lying in the core of this technique is how to derive accurate travel information (e.g., trip purpose) from GPS data. Previous studies rely on simple rules that are manually extracted from the inherent structure of GPS data streams. These methods, however, are difficult to generalize for other applications and lack helpful hints for new research. This paper presents a machine learning approach to deriving trip purpose from GPS track data coupled with other relevant data sources. This approach employs a number of attributes (i.e., time stamp and land-use type of trip ends, a set of spatiotemporal indices of travel, and demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of respondents) to construct a decision tree for purpose of classification. Each attribute provides partial evidence to the depiction of a given purpose, but this depiction may or may not be monotonic, and none of them can work alone toward the goal. A reasoning procedure using the adaptive boosting technique was designed to explore how these attributes could work together to achieve trip purpose derivation. This technique generated multiple decision trees to improve the classification results through a mechanism of voting from these trees. Each tree was constructed in the depth-first fashion with the root node and the split of subsequent nodes being determined on the basis of the gain-ratio computed for the relevant attributes. This procedure was implemented in the C5.0 machine learning environment with 226 GPS trip records collected from 36 respondents. The experimental results seemed rather promising: using 10 iterations for adaptive boosting, an overall classification accuracy of 87.6 was achieved. In this paper we define a general framework for activity recognition by building upon and extending Relational Markov Networks. Using the example of activity recognition from location data, we show that our model can represent a variety of features including temporal information such as time of day, spatial information extracted from geographic databases, and global constraints such as the number of homes or workplaces of a person. We develop an efficient inference and learning technique based on MCMC. Using GPS location data collected by multiple people we show that the technique can accurately label a person's activity locations. Furthermore, we show that it is possible to learn good models from less data by using priors extracted from other people's data.