Signed network analysis has attracted increasing attention in recent years. This is in part because research on signed network analysis suggests that negative links have added value in the analytical process. A major impediment in their effective use is that most social media sites do not enable users to specify them explicitly. In other words, a gap exists between the importance of negative links and their availability in real data sets. Therefore, it is natural to explore whether one can predict negative links automatically from the commonly available social network data. In this paper, we investigate the novel problem of negative link prediction with only positive links and content-centric interactions in social media. We make a number of important observations about negative links, and propose a principled framework NeLP, which can exploit positive links and content-centric interactions to predict negative links. Our experimental results on real-world social networks demonstrate that the proposed NeLP framework can accurately predict negative links with positive links and content-centric interactions. Our detailed experiments also illustrate the relative importance of various factors to the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
Positive link prediction infers new positive links in the near future based on a snapshot of a positive network. Existing methods can be roughly divided into unsupervised methods and supervised methods. Unsupervised methods are usually based on the topological structure of the given positive network. @cite_12 , several unsupervised link prediction algorithms are proposed, such as Katz, Jaccard's coefficient and Adamic Adar. @cite_24 , several unsupervised algorithms based on low-rank matrix factorization are proposed. There are usually two steps for supervised methods. First, they extract features from available sources to represent each pair of users and consider the existence of positive links as labels. Second, they train a binary classifier based on the representation with extracted features and labels. @cite_6 , the authors show several advantages of supervised link prediction algorithms such as superior performance, adaptation to different domains and variance reduction. @cite_0 , the features extracted from human mobility have very strong predictive power and can significantly improve the positive link prediction performance.
@cite_24 @cite_0 @cite_6 @cite_12
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We propose to solve the link prediction problem in graphs using a supervised matrix factorization approach. The model learns latent features from the topological structure of a (possibly directed) graph, and is shown to make better predictions than popular unsupervised scores. We show how these latent features may be combined with optional explicit features for nodes or edges, which yields better performance than using either type of feature exclusively. Finally, we propose a novel approach to address the class imbalance problem which is common in link prediction by directly optimizing for a ranking loss. Our model is optimized with stochastic gradient descent and scales to large graphs. Results on several datasets show the efficacy of our approach. Our understanding of how individual mobility patterns shape and impact the social network is limited, but is essential for a deeper understanding of network dynamics and evolution. This question is largely unexplored, partly due to the difficulty in obtaining large-scale society-wide data that simultaneously capture the dynamical information on individual movements and social interactions. Here we address this challenge for the first time by tracking the trajectories and communication records of 6 Million mobile phone users. We find that the similarity between two individuals' movements strongly correlates with their proximity in the social network. We further investigate how the predictive power hidden in such correlations can be exploited to address a challenging problem: which new links will develop in a social network. We show that mobility measures alone yield surprising predictive power, comparable to traditional network-based measures. Furthermore, the prediction accuracy can be significantly improved by learning a supervised classifier based on combined mobility and network measures. We believe our findings on the interplay of mobility patterns and social ties offer new perspectives on not only link prediction but also network dynamics. This paper examines important factors for link prediction in networks and provides a general, high-performance framework for the prediction task. Link prediction in sparse networks presents a significant challenge due to the inherent disproportion of links that can form to links that do form. Previous research has typically approached this as an unsupervised problem. While this is not the first work to explore supervised learning, many factors significant in influencing and guiding classification remain unexplored. In this paper, we consider these factors by first motivating the use of a supervised framework through a careful investigation of issues such as network observational period, generality of existing methods, variance reduction, topological causes and degrees of imbalance, and sampling approaches. We also present an effective flow-based predicting algorithm, offer formal bounds on imbalance in sparse network link prediction, and employ an evaluation method appropriate for the observed imbalance. Our careful consideration of the above issues ultimately leads to a completely general framework that outperforms unsupervised link prediction methods by more than 30 AUC.