The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election
The PollyVote applies a century old principle of combining different evidence based methods for forecasting the outcome of American presidential elections. In this article, we discuss the principles followed in constructing the PollyVote formula, summarize its components, review the accuracy of its previous forecasts, and make a prediction for this year's presidential election. Disciplines American Politics Business Marketing Models and Methods Social Influence and Political Communication This journal article is available at ScholarlyCommons: https:/repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers/370 1 The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election Forthcoming (subject to changes) in PS: Political Science Politics Andreas Graefe Randall J. Jones, Jr. J. Scott Armstrong Alfred G. Cuzan
PS: Political Science &amp; Politics