Estrutura de comércio inter-regional no Brasil: uma análise espacial de insumo-produto para o período 1996 e 2002
The main aim of this paper is identify and calculate the evolution of inter-regional interdependence among the Brazilian states based on an interregional input-output matrix. The matrices were constructed for 1996 and 2002 and were elaborated by FIPE/USP. In the present paper, we will focus on the natures and the spatial structure of interdependence among the Brazilian sates. Thus, this paper wants to analyze the interactions in a wide perspective. To do this the analysis will be divided into two steps. The firs one will be based on the extraction method (see Dietzenbacher et al., 1993 and Perobelli et al., 2006) that enable us to identify the structure of interactions among the Brazilian states. The method will give us which is the forward dependence (output destiny) and backward dependence (source of sales). The second step will be based on the idea of model explicitly distance in the input-output model that is very important to analyze trade and do not is considered in the input-output approach. In order to implement the second step we will incorporate space into the extraction method results. This will be implemented through the global and local indicators of spatial association. Thus, in this step we will verify how important are distance for the interregional and intraregional interactions. Key-words: Inter-regional trade; input-output analysis; spatial analysis JEL Classification: R15; R12; C67 AREA DA ANPEC: 09 – ECONOMIA REGIONAL E URBANA 1 Professor Mestrado em Economia Aplicada FEA/UFJF – Bolsista CNPq e FAPEMIG 2 Professor Departamento de Economia USP – Bolsista CNPq e FAPESP 3 Assistente de Pesquisa – FEA/UFJF – Bolsista FAPEMIG 4 Assistente de Pesquisa – FEA/UFJF – Bolsista CNPq. 1 Estrutura de comercio inter-regional no Brasil: uma analise espacial de insumoproduto para o periodo 1996 e 2002
RELAÇÕES INTERESTADUAIS E INTERSETORIAIS DE COMÉRCIO NO BRASIL: UMA ANÁLISE GRAVITACIONAL E REGIONAL
Este artigo analisa os fluxos de comercio interestaduais na economia brasileira a partir de dados disponibilizados para o ano de 1999 (Vasconcelos e Oliveira, 1999). Modelos gravitacionais sao estimados para os fluxos de comercio de 31 produtos, incluindo nestes modelos variaveis relacionadas a infra-estrutura de transportes (rodovias e ferrovias). Os resultados indicam que as estruturas produtivas regionais no Brasil, aliadas a determinantes geograficos e de infra-estrutura, mostram-se relacionados aos fluxos de comercio entre os Estados de forma diferenciada.
Core and periphery in a three-region input-output framework
This empirical interregional input-output study is focused on the Finnish economy which is divided into three sub-regions according to the core-periphery frame of reference. The data concerning them is provided by combining and supplementing three survey-based studies. Input-output method is applied both as a descriptive device and as an analytical tool in the scrutiny of this distinctive regional economic system. The domestic interregional feedback effects are found negligible in all three areas, and there is no straightforward correspondence between the size of the regional economy and that of the feedbacks. The justification for the use of the interregional approach in comparison with a single-region one is to be found in the analysis of spillovers which are considerable also in the present case. The potentials and limitations of the interregional input-output research are evaluated in order to determine its relevance in analysing regional development problems of a core-periphery type.