Quantitative volcanic susceptibility analysis of Lanzarote and Chinijo Islands based on kernel density estimation via a linear diffusion process
Risk management stakeholders in high-populated volcanic islands should be provided with the latest high-quality volcanic information. We present here the first volcanic susceptibility map of Lanzarote and Chinijo Islands and their submarine flanks based on updated chronostratigraphical and volcano structural data, as well as on the geomorphological analysis of the bathymetric data of the submarine flanks. The role of the structural elements in the volcanic susceptibility analysis has been reviewed: vents have been considered since they indicate where previous eruptions took place; eruptive fissures provide information about the stress field as they are the superficial expression of the dyke conduit; eroded dykes have been discarded since they are single non-feeder dykes intruded in deep parts of Miocene-Pliocene volcanic edifices; main faults have been taken into account only in those cases where they could modified the superficial movement of magma. The application of kernel density estimation via a linear diffusion process for the volcanic susceptibility assessment has been applied successfully to Lanzarote and could be applied to other fissure volcanic fields worldwide since the results provide information about the probable area where an eruption could take place but also about the main direction of the probable volcanic fissures.
Deep volcanic morphology below Lanzarote, Canaries, from gravity inversion: New results for Timanfaya and implications
Abstract The deep roots of oceanic island volcanoes are poorly known and geophysical models can help to constrain processes such as magma storage and transport before and during eruptions. Lanzarote, Canary Islands, is a volcanic island in post-erosional phase where, in the 18th century, one of the most important historical eruptions, considering duration and volume, of the Canary Islands took place in the Timanfaya area. To improve the knowledge on the structure of Lanzarote and in Timanfaya area, we carry out a gravity determination of the subsurface anomalous 3D density structure, using an improved quasi-automatic inversion methodology. The obtained model presents a 3D morphology of anomalous density bodies. We describe the improvements of the inversion methodology, the adjusted model and interpretative conclusions corresponding to the structure and the long-term cumulative magmatic plumbing system of the island. Three high-density sources are described as resulting in the inference of three main volcanic complexes: a large central complex (San Bartolome) and two smaller complexes, one in the NE and a third smaller one located in the SW close to the Timanfaya area. The outcrops of Miocene lava flows from the center of the Island can be attributed to the top of the central intrusive model. We infer the local plumbing system for Timanfaya volcano area by means of strongly tilted successive branches of magma departing from the SW intrusive body. The structural results show no evidence of any magma chamber below Timanfaya as proposed by previous works. We also present a comparison of the gravity results and geological observations, showing different cases of correlation in the Island. They go from a good match between the gravity anomaly and the position of the central volcanic structure, to no anomaly associated to the fissural Quaternary volcanic activity.
Body sculpturing.
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