Study on scheme optimization of urban flood disaster prevention and reduction
The decision in flood disaster prevention and reduction will affect the evaluation of flood disaster directly. How to apply the natural, economic and social information, through anticipatory analysis, to ensure the minimum damage after practicing certain optimum scheme is a core problem in the flood disaster prevention and reduction decision-making. In this paper, the factors affecting this decision-making are analyzed, the fuzzy optimum selection and neural network are applied in scheme optimization of urban flood disaster prevention and reduction, and the model of scheme optimization is established.
Uncertainty Multi-source Information Fusion for Intelligent Flood Risk Analysis Based on Random Set Theory
Abstract Information fusion has been a hot topic currently, how to make information fusion for intelligent decision is a challenge. Although the applications of random set theory attract many researchers, the probability function distribution is still imprecise. In this paper, we give a new definition of probability distribution function (PDF) of random set theory, and propose an integration methodology for urban flood risk assessment by fusing multi-source information (e. g., remote sensing images, Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and rainstorm data) based on random set theory. The methodology analyzes and fuses the multi-source information, which overcomes the uncertainty of the decision makers of flood risk and generates precise estimates of the probability of flood risk. In our experiments, we take Wuhan city in China and three kinds of data sources information as an example to assess flood risk level. The experiments indicate that our algorithm not only provide precise estimates of the probability of fl...
Prediction of a representative point for rail temperature measurement by considering longitudinal deformation
Monitoring rail temperature is very important for determining the safe running speed of trains and to prevent buckling. In general, the maximum variation of the internal rail temperature can be >7 ℃ depending on the point of measurement. However, there is as yet no sufficient information about how to predict the measurement point to represent the thermal deformation due to temperature distribution. In this study, the authors report a new point, called the representative measurement point, at which the rail temperature can be measured. This point considers the average deformation of the rail through structural analysis by adopting experimental and actual rail temperature data. The authors designed and installed a measurement system similar to an actual rail environment. Using the system, various data were acquired (internal/surface rail temperature and weather data) for 10 months. On the basis of these data, an analysis was done to calculate the average deformation point through thermal analysis. Finally, the representative measurement point was proposed as the position at which the average deformation point converges regardless of weather or seasons. The authors believe that the method described herein is advantageous in that it could be used in a high-accuracy temperature-monitoring system and for predicting thermal deformation and buckling.