A QUANTITATIVE APPROACH ON LABOUR FORCE IN ROMANIA IN 2003 -2011
In this article we present a quantitative approach to employment in Romania. In 2003 - 2011, the three main indicators of labour: Total Labour Force Resource (TLFR) Civilian Employment (CE) and Civil Economically Active Population (CEAP) had an oscillating evolution, but not necessarily simultaneous evolution. To better highlight how these indicators have evolved in the period under review we determined their dynamic indices and we have seen that the largest variations are recorded the Indices of Civilian Employment (ICE). The increases and decreases of ICE describe the characteristics of the Romanian economy evolution in period under review In the second part of the article we are surprised the significant structural changes in the civilian employed population who have reduced activity of branches and the emergence and growth of others.
Cox regression models for unemployment duration in Romania, Austria, Slovenia, Croatia, and Macedonia
This paper applies the semi-parametric Cox regression approach to model unemployment duration in five Central and Eastern European countries. The Cox proportional hazards models and the Cox regression models with a time-dependent covariate are developed, and the results are interpreted and compared. The impact of the variables age, gender, education level, and region on the hazard ratio is discussed. The results for the time-dependent variable age imply that the longer the unemployment spell lasts, the less pronounced the differences between various age groups are.
Determinants of unemployment duration in Ukraine
This paper presents first evidence on the determinants of unemployment duration in Ukraine between 1997 and 2003, using individual-level data from the first wave of the Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (ULMS -2003). It investigates the conditional probability of an individual leaving unemployment to employment or economic inactivity in any particular month of his spell out of work by estimating it in a discrete time independent competing risks framework with flexible baseline hazard rates and gamma-distributed unobserved heterogeneity. The results in all specifications indicate no significant effect of receiving unemployment benefits but significant negative effect of having income from casual activities, subsidiary farming, household income or pension on the hazard of re-employment. Multivariate analysis also suggests that policies to reduce long-term unemployment should focus on older workers, less educated individuals, residents of small towns and rural area in the regions with relatively high unemployment rates.