An Impact of Gas Prices on Transit Demand Using a Time-series Analysis and a Regression Analysis
Abstract Depending most of its energy sources on foreign countries, Korea efforts to reduce energy consumption in transportation. While studies on the relationship between gas price and transportation demand are many in number, most previous studies have focused on automobile and Seoul. This study analyzes the impact of gas price on transit (bus and subway) demand using monthly data and for various metropolitan areas (Seoul, Busan, Daejeon, Daegu and Gwangju). The research utilizes a time-series model and a multiple regression model, and calculates modal demand elasticities of gas price. The result shows that elasticities of subway demand with respect to gas price is higher than those of bus demand. In addition, elasticities of predominantly automobile cities are more likely to be more sensitive to gas price than those of cities with well-structured transit system.국내에서 소비되는 에너지의 대부분을 해외에 의존하고 있는 우리나라는 교통부문에서도 에너지 절감을 위해 많은 노력을 하고 있다 . 휘발유가격과 교통수요와의 관계는 국내외적으로 꾸준히 연구되어 왔으나 국내 선행연구는 승용차 및 수도권 중심으로 연구되어 왔다 . 본 연구에서는 휘발유가격이 대중교통수요에 미치는 영향을 분석하며 월별 자료를 활용하여 대중교통 수단별 (버스, 도시철도) 및 광역권별(수도권, 부산, 대전, 대구, 광주)로 실증적으로 비교분석했다. 분석을 위해 시계열모형과 다중회귀모형을 사용하였으며 회귀모형의 계수를 활용하여 유가에 대한 대중교통수요의 탄력성을 비교하였다 . 유가에 대한 수요탄력성이 버스보다 도시철도가 높게 나타났고 , 대중교통체계가 잘 갖춰진 수도권보다 승용차 의존적인 지방 광역권이 유가에 더 민감한 것으로 나타났다 .
A time-series analysis of gasoline prices and public transportation in US metropolitan areas
Abstract This research examines the temporal aspects of the relationship between public transportation and gasoline prices in US cities from January 2002 through March of 2009. Data are collected at monthly intervals for transit ridership, service, gasoline price, and price variability for 33 metropolitan areas. These data are analyzed using time-series regression to estimate the presence of lagged effects of price and service on transit patronage. The results indicate a small but consistently significant amount of transit ridership fluctuation is due to gasoline prices. Repeated lags of gasoline prices of up to 13 months are influential on ridership. Every 10% increase in gasoline prices can lead to ridership increases of up to 4% per significant lag for bus and 8% for rail. There is considerable variability across cities in the magnitude of the effect on transit ridership, the impact by mode, and temporal variability. The results are discussed in light of their implications for transit operations, using cost to influence travel behavior, and transportation sustainability.
Sustainable production of toxin free marine microalgae biomass as fish feed in large scale open system in the Qatari desert.
Mass cultivation of microalgae biomass for feed should be cost effective and toxin free. Evaporation loss in Qatar can be as high as 2 cm/d. Hence, production of marine microalgae biomass in Qatar would also require mitigating water loss as there was only very limited groundwater reserve. To address these issues, a combination of four growth conditions were applied to a 25,000 L raceway pond: locally isolated microalgae strain was selected which could grow in elevated salinity; strain that did not require silica and vitamins; volume of the culture would increase over time keeping denser inoculum in the beginning, and evaporation water loss would be balanced by adding seawater only. A local saline tolerant Nannochloropsis sp. was selected which did not require silica and vitamins. When the above conditions were combined in the pond, average areal biomass productivities reached 20.37 g/m(2)/d, and the culture was not contaminated by any toxic microalgae.