Projecting the regional economic impacts of energy development
Changes in Federal energy policy create incidental economic impacts that affect output, income, employment, and other macro-economic variables which are largely ignored. A methodology for analyzing incidental multi-regional impacts uses the National Regional Impact Evaluation System (NRIES), which integrates 51 state econometric models into a national five-to-ten year framework to determine the implications of expanded coal use. The NRIES model simulates two advanced production scenarios at a single state (Montana) and a multiregional/national level. The effects of policy change appear as political and economic disruptions that cannot be contained within a single region. 14 references, 2 figures, 7 tables. (DCK)
Regional Economic Trade-Offs in Sulfur Emissions Control Policy
The current debate over acid rain controls is chiefly a regional conflict. The distribution of employment impacts may be the most critical obstacle to establishing a control policy. Despite the importance of this issue, there have been no thorough employment impact studies. This chapter reports on the development and application of a regional modeling system designed to fill this gap. The system combines several existing models including a multiregional input-output model and a regional electricity model. Initial results indicate that net employment losses from acid rain control are typically overstated as a result.
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