NATO Expansion: Making the Case for the 2002 Summit
Abstract : This monograph examines the United States' position regarding further expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) to include additional countries that were part of the former Warsaw Pact during the Cold War. This process has been evolving since the early l990s and has already seen Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic join the ranks of the alliance in 1999. The purpose of this monograph is to recommend a position that the United States should favor at the 2002 Summit in Prague, where the allies will address further expansion. This monograph begins by analyzing the history of NATO, an alliance that many consider one of the most successful in history, concentrating on NATO's evolving strategy after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact in 1991. This monograph also explains why the United States must stay involved in European affairs and keep Europe as a cornerstone of our national security strategy. This monograph next analyzes lessons learned from previous alliance expansions and how the alliance has helped solve historic differences between countries, as in the case of France and Germany, or perhaps helped them at least avoid war, as in the case of Greece and Turkey. This section also analyzes the impact of the first round of expansion on the alliance and concludes with a brief country overview of each of the nine NATO aspirant countries. This monograph next evaluates the suitability, feasibility, and acceptability of the nine aspirant countries wishing to join the alliance.
Strategic Assessment 1999. Priorities for a Turbulent World.
Abstract : The past year has seen many thresholds crossed and turning points reached in the international security environment. With events like the NATO intervention in Kosovo, tension between India and Pakistan, more failing states, and rising access to dangerous weapons and delivery systems, the job for Department of Defense planners has not become easier. This volume examines trends, U.S. interests, and consequences for U.S. policy, followed by a net assessment for each key area. The international security situation is clearly changed from 1 year ago. The nebulous multipolar environment has been stressed by forces of polarization in recent months. Yet, transition states still cooperate with the Western democratic core states on important issues. As the world continues the process of transformation, we need to properly assess our priorities. The volume contains the following chapters: Global Political Trends: Integration or Disintegration?; Economic Globalization: Stability or Conflict?; Energy and Resources: Ample or Scarce?; Global Military Balance: Stable or Unstable?; Europe: How Much Utility, How Effective? Russia and its Neighbors: Faltering Progress; Greater Middle East: Managing Change in Troubled Times? Asia-Pacific Region: Murky Future? South Asia: Nuclear Geopolitics? Sub-Saharan Africa: Progress or Drift? The Western Hemisphere: Rethinking Strategic Relations? The Democratic Core: How Large, How Effective? Transition States: New Destinies? Rogue States and Proliferation: How Serious is the Threat? Troubled States: How Troubling, How Manageable? Transnational Trends: New Threats? Conventional Operations and Warfare: A New Era Ahead?. Strategic Forces and Deterrence: New Realities, New Roles? Global Arms Control and Disarmament: Cloudy Prospects? Space and Oceans: Can They Be Controlled?
Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry In World Politics
Introduction Collapsing Bipolarity Emergence of the New Economic System New Geopolitical Actors on the Rise Toward a New Global Rivalry The Global Order for the 21st Century: Positive Interrelationship or Conflictual Rivalry? Constructing the Real Future.