Effective urban landslide hazard assessment
Landslide hazard assessment is a vitally important component of any strategy for the management of risk of instability in hilly areas. Within many urban areas, reactivation of landslides is an important component of risk. Yet, most qualitative approaches do not differentiate between the hazard of individual landslides. Two quantitative approaches are introduced in this paper both of which utilise GISbased accurate maps of geology and landslip as well as a landslide database. The first method is based on historical recurrence of individual landslides. The second method is based on monitoring of subsurface shear movements, and their relationships to rainfall. Both methods can provide reliable information on hazard. Hazard ranking based on the first method has been validated in the Greater Wollongong area of the State of New South Wales in Australia. This paper does not address the potential hazard associated with sites which are recognised to be stable with no known history of instability.
Uncertainties in rainfall-induced landslide hazard
The paper addresses the main uncertainties associated with the occurrence of rainfall induced landslides. Spatial variability of site conditions, local geology and rainfall contributes significantly to the uncertainty of landslide hazard. Urban landslide problems require the management of slopes of marginal stability. Assessment of hazard, vulnerability and risk require the use of observational approaches, the analysis of rainfall data and the relationship between rainfall magnitudes on the one hand and slope movement on the other. Details of research carried out in the Illawarra area of New South Wales, Australia are provided. Reference is made to the comprehensive database enabling the determination of landslide frequencies. The concept of antecedent rainfall percentage exceedence time (ARPET) is explained. The use of inferred threshold rainfall magnitudes for real-time prediction and warning is explained. Uncertainties concerned with this approach are explored with particular reference to rainfall distributions in the study area.
The Area of Freedom, Security and Justice ten years on: Successes and future challenges under the Stockholm Programme. CEPS Paperbacks. June 2010
This book celebrates the tenth anniversary of the Area of Freedom, Security and Justice (AFSJ) by bringing together the views of key practitioners and policy-makers who have played an outstanding role in thinking about and shaping EU policies on freedom, security and justice. 
 
Ten years ago, the member states transferred competences to the EU for law and policy-making in the fields of immigration, asylum and border controls, and began the transfer process for criminal justice and policing. This decade of European cooperation on AFSJ policies has experienced very dynamic convergence, the enactment of a large body of European law and the setting-up of numerous EU agencies working in these domains. Such dynamism in policy-making has not been without challenges and vulnerabilities, however. As this collective volume shows, the main dilemmas that lie ahead relate to an effective (while more plural) institutional framework under the Treaty of Lisbon, stronger judicial scrutiny through a greater role for national courts and the Court of Justice in Luxembourg, better mechanisms for evaluating and monitoring the implementation of EU AFSJ law and a more solid fundamental rights strategy. The contributions in this volume address the progress achieved so far in these policy areas, identify the challenges for future European cooperation in the AFSJ and put forward possible paths for making more progress in the next generation of the EU’s AFSJ.