1163948
Why a macroeconomic perspective is critical to the prevention of noncommunicable disease.
Effective prevention of noncommunicable diseases will require changes in how we live, and thereby effect important economic changes across populations, sectors, and countries. What we do not know is which populations, sectors, or countries will be positively or negatively affected by such changes, nor by how much. Without this information we cannot know which policies will produce effects that are beneficial both for economies and for health.
26796548
Medical tourism: a review of the literature and analysis of a role for bi-lateral trade.
OBJECTIVES
With increasing globalization, many countries are considering opening their health systems to greater cross-border movement of patients. This is usually done from the viewpoint of a multi-lateral trade relationship. This paper considers the issues that arise from this debate from a bi-lateral perspective.


METHODS
A systematic literature review was carried out on 'Medical Tourism' from the perspective of a bi-lateral trade relationship, using the UK and India as a case study.


RESULTS
There is a dearth of data and discussion on such bi-lateral trade. This limited evidence offers some suggestions. Exporting countries may benefit from medical tourism by generating foreign exchange and reversing the brain drain, but run the risk of creating a dual system, where the local population is crowded out. Importing countries can benefit from alleviating waiting lists and lowering healthcare costs, but may risk quality of care and legal liability. However, evidence from a bi-lateral perspective suggests that the positive aspects can be capitalised, and the negative ones reduced.


CONCLUSIONS
The key recommendations from this paper are for more evidence to be collected at the country and international level, and for countries to consider trade in health services from a bi-lateral rather than multi-lateral perspective.
39397016
The relationship between reliability and size of willingness-to-pay values: a qualitative insight.
In a previous paper, the reliability of willingness-to-pay (WTP) values was found to be an increasing function of the size of WTP expressed. Here, the results of a qualitative exercise conducted alongside this quantitative study are presented. The results of this exercise suggest that higher WTP values may require more thought from the respondent which, in turn, gives them greater stability. At low levels of WTP, values appear to be taken from a 'discretionary account', where expenditure is more volatile. Caveats to this result, and suggestions for future research, are considered in the discussion.
13856154
Macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza and associated policies in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda
BACKGROUND
Research has shown the value of conducting a macroeconomic analysis of the impact of influenza pandemics. However, previous modelling applications focus on high-income countries, and there is a lack of evidence concerning the potential impact of an influenza pandemic on lower- and middle-income countries.


OBJECTIVES
To estimate the macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda with particular reference to pandemic (H1N1) 2009.


METHODS
A single-country whole-economy Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model was set up for each of the three countries in question and used to estimate the economic impact of declines in labour attributable to morbidity, mortality and school closure.


RESULTS
Overall GDP impacts were less than 1% of GDP for all countries and scenarios. Uganda's losses were proportionally larger than those of Thailand and South Africa. Labour-intensive sectors suffer the largest losses.


CONCLUSION
The economic cost of unavoidable absence in the event of an influenza pandemic could be proportionally larger for low-income countries. The cost of mild pandemics, such as pandemic (H1N1) 2009, appears to be small, but could increase for more severe pandemics and/or pandemics with greater behavioural change and avoidable absence.
18066304
Macroeconomic impact of a mild influenza pandemic and associated policies in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda: a computable general equilibrium analysis
Background Previous research has demonstrated the value of macroeconomic analysis of the impact of influenza pandemics. However, previous modelling applications focus on high‐income countries and there is a lack of evidence concerning the potential impact of an influenza pandemic on lower‐ and middle‐income countries. Objectives To estimate the macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda with particular reference to pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Methods A single‐country whole‐economy computable general equilibrium (CGE) model was set up for each of the three countries in question and used to estimate the economic impact of declines in labour attributable to morbidity, mortality and school closure. Results Overall GDP impacts were less than 1% of GDP for all countries and scenarios. Uganda's losses were proportionally larger than those of Thailand and South Africa. Labour‐intensive sectors suffer the largest losses. Conclusions The economic cost of unavoidable absence in the event of an influenza pandemic could be proportionally larger for low‐income countries. The cost of mild pandemics, such as pandemic (H1N1) 2009, appears to be small, but could increase for more severe pandemics and/or pandemics with greater behavioural change and avoidable absence.
7096884
Foreign direct investment and trade in health services: a review of the literature.
Globalization is a key challenge facing health policy-makers. A significant aspect of this is direct trade in health services, a result of the rise of transnational corporations, challenges in health care financing, porous borders and improved technology creating the scope for increased 'foreign direct investment' (FDI) in health care. This has gathered momentum with the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), which aims to further liberalize trade in services, and within which FDI has been noted as perhaps the most critical area for trade negotiation. Given the rapid development of this area, there are little empirical data. This paper therefore seeks to provide the first comprehensive and systematic review of evidence concerning FDI and health services. This process included electronic bibliographic database searches, website searches and correspondence with experts in the area of trade in health services, from which 76 papers, books and reports were reviewed. Perhaps due to the rapid developments in this area, most of the literature is speculative, polarized between those arguing for the benefits of liberalization and those arguing against. However, there seem to be three issues which emerge as of most importance: (i) the extent to which a national health system is commercialized per se is of more significance than whether investment in it is foreign or domestic; (ii) the national regulatory environment and its 'strength' will significantly determine the economic and health impact of FDI, the effectiveness of safeguard measures, and the stability of GATS commitments; and (iii) any negotiations will depend upon parties having a common understanding of what is being negotiated, and the interpretation of key definitions is thus critical. Each of these issues is explored in some depth, with the overall conclusion that countries should take a step back and first think through the risks and benefits of commercialization of their health sector, rather than being sidetracked in to considering the level of foreign investment.
41950645
Beijing cough: a case report
Case PresentationUpon arrival in Beijing, China from London, England in 2008 a previously healthy 56-year old man developed a regular spasmodic cough for the duration of his stay in the city.
29843044
Hormone trajectories leading to human birth
The mechanisms regulating human parturition and labor remain unknown. This ignorance is expensive as preterm birth is responsible for 70% of neonatal mortality and 50% of cerebral palsy. Methods for the prediction of preterm birth and treatments for women in preterm labor have poor efficacy reflecting our limited knowledge of the mechanisms involved. Recent research has supported the view that parturition is a cascade of events that commences early in pregnancy and involves the mother, fetus, placenta, membranes, cervix and myometrium. Although a number of the key hormones and proteins involved have been identified, the relationships between these factors in time and tissues remain unclear. Placental production of Corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH) is proposed as an early event regulating the cascade of events. Central to the onset of parturition will be a mechanism for progesterone withdrawal and estrogen activation in human. Two forms of progesterone receptor with opposing actions exist in the human myometrium. Progesterone receptor A (PR-A) is a dominant negative repressor of progesterone receptor B (PR-B). Preliminary studies strongly support the hypothesis that the onset of human parturition is initiated by rising concentrations of PR-A in the myometrium.
37781778
[Free radicals and ailing proteins--the culprits behind Parkinson disease?].
Parkinson's disease is one of the most common neurodegenerative diseases, and affects approximately 1% of the population over 65 years of age. Many different insults appear to be involved in the etiology of the disease, among them environmental toxins and mitochondrial dysfunction. During the past five years, mutations in five different genes have been linked to rare, familial forms of Parkinson's disease. One of the mutated proteins, alpha-synuclein is normally implicated in synaptic plasticity and vesicle function. Dysfunction of this protein might lead to increased cytoplasmic dopamine levels. Since cytoplasmic dopamine is readily prone to autooxidation and enzymatic degradation--processes which generate reactive oxygen species--failure to properly store dopamine into vesicles might lead to oxidative stress. Indeed, nigral tissue from idiopathic Parkinson's disease patients shows signs of oxidative damage. In this article we propose that dopamine-induced oxidative stress might be a common final pathway in the pathogenesis of the disease.
23247928
Unexplained antepartum stillbirth: a consequence of placental aging?
Unexplained antepartum stillbirth is a major obstetric health problem. Data demonstrate a rapid rise in risk per 1000 continuing pregnancies as gestation advances beyond 40 weeks. We review the evidence that such stillbirths are a consequence of aging related changes in the late gestation placenta. We suggest that the relatively small number of continuing pregnancies after 40 completed weeks means that negative effects of genes that produce aging affect so few pregnancies that polymorphisms in genes that produce these effects are retained in the population. Aging related changes likely represent a consequence of the damaging effects of oxidative stress, increased by cigarette smoking counteracted by the mitigating effects of oxidative defence pathways. The aging related changes are likely downstream from nutrient sensing units such as mTOR and include effects on production of telomerase and consequent shortening of telomere length. The late gestation changes occur in the context of increasing fetal growth and nutrient supply demands that can produce the rapid development of a mismatch between placental supply and fetal need resulting in fetal demise. Premature aging may also play an important role in antepartum stillbirth occurring earlier in pregnancy, especially in the context of growth restriction.
36391510
Effect of histamine infusion on circulating methionine-enkephalin and catecholamine concentrations
In 5 normal adult men, histamine was infused i.v. for 5 min at 20 micrograms/kg/h and at 80 micrograms/kg/h on two occasions one week apart. Diastolic blood pressure fell and heart rate, plasma adrenaline and noradrenaline all rose in a dose-dependent manner, but plasma methionine-enkephalin (Met-Enk) concentrations were unchanged. These results indicate that while Met-Enk may be co-stored with catecholamines (CAs) in the adrenal medulla in at least this paradigm, circulating concentrations of CAs may be altered without similar changes in plasma Met-Enk immunoreactivity.