9164692
Trust-based contracting in supply chains
Engineering robust, vibrant supply chains that allow flexibility, modularity, and scalability present open, important, and unsolved research challenges. As a result, supply chain management where rational agents represent interests of individual entities and organizations have been an area of active research [1]. Agent-based approaches typically attempt to optimize the profitability of entities with emphasis on pricing and scheduling. Researchers in business and management science, however, have recognized that a key component of decision-making in real-world supply chains is the consideration of trust between the contracting organizations [2].We use a contracting framework to allocate tasks: manufacturers announce contracts for tasks with given deadlines; suppliers bid on these tasks; and the contract is allocated to a highly trusted bidder. Trust of an agent is measured as the fraction of assigned tasks for which the agent could meet the deadline. We assume that the trust preferences of the contractor, the task deadline distribution and the performance distribution of the contractees are known. We then develop a precise bidding strategy for trust-building contractees. The motivation is to bid only on those tasks for which they have a high likelihood of meeting deadlines. However, not bidding on tasks also reduces the success rate of completing tasks. We provide a probabilistic analysis to handle this tradeoff.
3526092
Selecting partners
1. I N T R O D U C T I O N In an open environment the goal of a self-interested agent would be to interact with or enter into partnership with those agents that will produce maximal local utility for this agent [5]. We assume that an agent can get one of several payoffs (utilities) for joining a particular coalition which is determined by a static probability distribution over the payoffs for each coalition. We consider choosing a single coalition to interact with repeatedly when the total number of interactions is known ahead of time.
15974834
Learning Pareto-optimal Solutions in 2x2 Conflict Games
Multiagent learning literature has investigated iterated two-player games to develop mechanisms that allow agents to learn to converge on Nash Equilibrium strategy profiles. Such equilibrium configurations imply that no player has the motivation to unilaterally change its strategy. Often, in general sum games, a higher payoff can be obtained by both players if one chooses not to respond myopically to the other player. By developing mutual trust, agents can avoid immediate best responses that will lead to a Nash Equilibrium with lesser payoff. In this paper we experiment with agents who select actions based on expected utility calculations that incorporate the observed frequencies of the actions of the opponent(s). We augment these stochastically greedy agents with an interesting action revelation strategy that involves strategic declaration of one's commitment to an action to avoid worst-case, pessimistic moves. We argue that in certain situations, such apparently risky action revelation can indeed produce better payoffs than a non-revealing approach. In particular, it is possible to obtain Pareto-optimal Nash Equilibrium outcomes. We improve on the outcome efficiency of a previous algorithm and present results over the set of structurally distinct two-person two-action conflict games where the players' preferences form a total order over the possible outcomes. We also present results on a large number of randomly generated payoff matrices of varying sizes and compare the payoffs of strategically revealing learners to payoffs at Nash equilibrium.
12119095
Correlating Internal Parameters and External Performance: Learning Soccer Agents
We have developed a Soccer simulator in Java, which allows us to evaluate agent behavioral strategies for effectively collaborating with other team members while countering threats posed by the opposing team. Whereas action selection mechanisms to decide when to shoot, pass, dribble, guard opponent, tackle, etc. are important from a player's viewpoint, learning the capabilities of individual opponents from repeated encounters can provide critical information for the success of a team. Each agent is described by a set of skill levels for different soccer skills. A soccer agent uses its incomplete perceptions, model of the changing environment, knowledge of the skill levels of its own team players, and estimated skill levels of the opponent team players to select the most prudent action. In this paper, we identify learning opportunities for soccer agents, and investigate some of these possibilities in detail. Initial experimental results demonstrate the advantage of learning agents.
1062630
The Role of Commitment in Cooperative Negotiation
Cooperative information agents need mechanisms that enable them to work together effectively while solving common problems. We investigate the use of commitment by agents to proposed actions as a mechanism that allow agents to work concurrently on interdependent problems. Judicious use of commitment can not only increase the throughput of cooperative information systems, but also allow them to deal flexibly with dynamically changing environments. We use the domain of distributed scheduling to demonstrate that static commitment strategies are ineffective. Results from simulated experiments are used to identify the environmental features on which an adaptive commitment strategy should be predicated.
43158386
Evolution and learning in multiagent systems
781819
Dynamic point location in arrangements of hyperplanes
We present algorithms for maintaining data structures supporting fast (polylogarithmic) point-location and ray-shooting queries in arrangements of hyperplanes. This data structure allows for deletion and insertion of hyperplanes. Our algorithms use random bits in the construction of the data structure but do not make any assumptions about the update sequence or the hyperplanes in the input. The query bound for our data structure isO(polylog(n)), wheren is the number of hyperplanes at any given time, and theO notation indicates that the bound holds with high probability, where the probability is solely with respect to randomization in the data structure. By high probability we mean that the probability of error is inversely proportional to a large degree polynomial inn. The space requirement isO(nd). The cost of update isO(nd?1 logn. The expected cost of update isO(nd?1); the expectation is again solely with respect to randomization in the data structure. Our algorithm is extremely simple. 
 
We also give a related algorithm with optimalO(logn) query time, expectedO(nd) space requirement, and amortizedO(nd?1) expected cost of update. Moreover, our approach has a versatile quality which is likely to have further applications to other dynamic algorithms. 
 
Ford=2, 3 we also show how to obtain polylogarithmic update time in the CRCW PRAM model so that the processor-time product matches (within a polylogarithmic factor) the sequential update time.
16079000
Searching for optimal coalition structures
Coalition formation has been a very active area of research in multiagent systems. Most of this research has concentrated on decentralized procedures that allow self-interested agents to negotiate the formation of coalitions and division of coalition payoffs. A different line of research has addressed the problem of finding the optimal division of agents into coalitions such that the sum total of the the payoffs to all the coalitions is maximized (Larson and Sandholm, 1999). This is the optimal coalition structure identification problem. Deterministic search algorithms have been proposed and evaluated under the assumption that the performance of a coalition is independent of other coalitions. We use an order-based genetic algorithm (OBGA) as a stochastic search process to identify the optimal coalition structure. We compare the performance of the OBGA with a representative deterministic algorithm presented in the literature. Though the OBGA has no performance guarantees, it is found to dominate the deterministic algorithm in a significant number of problem settings. An additional advantage of the OBGA is its scalability to larger problem sizes and to problems where performance of a coalition depends on other coalitions in the environment.
14273924
The Success and Failure of Tag-Mediated Evolution of Cooperation
Use of tags to limit partner selection for playing has been shown to produce stable cooperation in agent populations playing the Prisoner's Dilemma game. There is, however, a lack of understanding of how and why tags facilitate such cooperation. We start with an empirical investigation that identifies the key dynamics that result in sustainable cooperation in PD. Sufficiently long tags are needed to achieve this effect. A theoretical analysis shows that multiple simulation parameters including tag length, mutation rate and population size will have significant effect on sustaining cooperation. Experiments partially validate these observations. Additionally, we claim that tags only promote mimicking and not coordinated behavior in general, i.e., tags can promote cooperation only if cooperation requires identical actions from all group members. We illustrate the failure of the tag model to sustain cooperation by experimenting with domains where agents need to take complementary actions to maximize payoff.
9417710
Using real-valued genetic algorithms to evolve rule sets for classification
In this paper, we use a genetic algorithm to evolve a set of classification rules with real-valued attributes. We show how real-valued attribute ranges could be encoded with real-valued genes and present a new uniform method for representing don't cares in the rules. We view supervised classification as an optimization problem, and evolve rule sets that maximize the number of correct classifications of input instances. We use a variant of the Pitt approach to genetic-based machine learning system with a novel conflict resolution mechanism between competing rules within the same rule set. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach on a benchmark wine classifier system.<<ETX>>
17022940
Using Windows NT for Real-Time Applications: Experimental Observations and Recommendations
Windows NT was not designed as a real time operating system, but market forces and the acceptance of NT in industrial applications have generated a need for achieving real time functionality with NT. As its use for real time applications proliferates, based on an experimental evaluation of NT, we quantitatively characterize the obstacles placed by NT. As a result of these observations, we provide a set of recommendations for users to consider while building real time applications on NT. These are validated by the use of NT for a prototype application involving real time control that includes multimedia information processing. The results of the above study should provide system designers with guidelines, as well as insight, into the design of an architecture based on NT for supporting applications with components having real time constraints.