When will Chinese universities be able to become world-class——Forecasting from GDP perspective
The building of world-class universities is closely related to the economic, political and culture development of their countries/regions. Based on the analysis of Gross National Product (GDP) and GDP per capita of countries/regions which have world-known (Top 500) universities, it was found that the basic requirement for world-famous (Top 200) universities is 300 billion US dollar of total GDP for a country/region, and that for world-class (Top 100) universities is 25000 US dollar of GDP per capita for a country/region. The GDP of developed Chinese regions such as Shanghai and Beijing is expected to exceed 300 billion US dollar and their GDP per capita is expected to be around 25000 US dollar in 2020. In addition, Chinese government is expected to continuously support the key universities. Therefore, Tsinghua University, Peking University, Fudan University and Shanghai Jiao Tong University should be able to become world-class in 2020.