An Evaluation of Dynamic Relationship between the Level of Urbanization,Agriculture Modernization and Average Income of Peasants:Based on the Data of Guangdong Province
Given that the interaction and the interactive path between the level of urbanization,agriculture modernization and average income of peasants are not settled yet in the current academic circle,taking Guangdong province as an example,we select the province's 1982-2012 annual time series,adopt the granger causality test,impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis,and carry out the empirical research on the relationship between those three elements on the basis of VAR model.The results show that there is an interactive response between the three:agricultural modernization is the granger reason for farmers' income growth,and plays an obvious role in improving the average income of peasants.The policy implication is that we must promote the development of agricultural modernization vigorously so as to realize the growth of per capita income of farmers.