274701
Variations on U-shaped learning
The paper deals with the following problem: is returning to wrong conjectures necessary to achieve full power of algorithmic learning? Returning to wrong conjectures complements the paradigm of U-shaped learning when a learner returns to old correct conjectures. We explore our problem for classical models of learning in the limit from positive data: explanatory learning (when a learner stabilizes in the limit on a correct grammar) and behaviourally correct learning (when a learner stabilizes in the limit on a sequence of correct grammars representing the target concept). In both cases we show that returning to wrong conjectures is necessary to achieve full learning power. In contrast, one can modify learners (without losing learning power) such that they never show inverted U-shaped learning behaviour, that is, never return to old wrong conjecture with a correct conjecture in-between. Furthermore, one can also modify a learner (without losing learning power) such that it does not return to old "overinclusive" conjectures containing non-elements of the target language. We also consider our problem in the context of vacillatory learning (when a learner stabilizes on a finite number of correct grammars) and show that each of the following four constraints is restrictive (that is, reduces learning power): the learner does not return to old wrong conjectures; the learner is not inverted U-shaped; the learner does not return to old overinclusive conjectures; the learner does not return to old overgeneralizing conjectures. We also show that learners that are consistent with the input seen so far can be made decisive: on any text, they do not return to any old conjectures--wrong or right.
5851955
Vacillatory Learning of Nearly Minimal Size Grammars
In Gold's influential language learning paradigm a learning machine converges in the limit to one correct grammar. In an attempt to generalize Gold's paradigm, Case considered the question whether people might converge to vacillating between up to (some integer) n > 1 distinct, but equivalent, correct grammars. He showed that larger classes of languages can be algorithmically learned (in the limit) by converging to up to n + 1 rather than up to n correct grammars. He also argued that, for ''small'' n>1, it is plausible that people might sometimes converge to vacillating between up to n grammars. The insistence on small n was motivated by the consideration that, for ''large'' n, at least one of n grammars would be too large to fit in people's heads. Of course, even for Gold's n = 1 case, the single grammar converged to in the limit may be infeasibly large. An interesting complexity restriction to make, then, on the final grammar(s) converged to in the limit is that they all have small size. In this paper we study some of the trade-offs in learning power involved in making a well-defined version of this restriction. We show and exploit as a tool the desirable property that the learning power under our size-restricted criteria (for successful learning) is independent of the underlying acceptable programming systems. We characterize the power of our size-restricted criteria and use this characterization to prove that some classes of languages, which can be learned by converging in the limit to up to n + 1 nearly minimal size correct grammars, cannot be learned by converging to up to n unrestricted grammars even if these latter grammars are allowed to have a finite number of anomalies (i.e., mistakes) per grammar. We also show that there is no loss of learning power in demanding that the final grammars be nearly minimal size iff one is willing to tolerate an unbounded, finite number of anomalies in the final grammars and there is a constant bound on the number of different grammars converged to in the limit. Hence, if we allow an unbounded, finite number of anomalies in the final grammars and the number of different grammars converged to in the limit is unbounded but finite (or if there is a constant bound on the number of anomalies allowed in the final grammars), then there is a loss of learning power in requiring that the final grammars be nearly minimal size. These results do not always match what might be expected from the cases, previously examined by Freivalds, Kinber, and Chen, of learning nearly minimal size programs for functions.
145211
Computational Limits on Team Identification of Languages
A team of learning machines is a multiset of learning machines. A team is said to successfully identify a concept just in case each member of some nonempty subset, of predetermined size, of the team identifies the concept. Team identification of programs for computable functions from their graphs has been investigated by Smith. Pitt showed that this notion is essentially equivalent to function identification by a single probabilistic machine. The present paper introduces, motivates, and studies the more difficult subject of team identification of grammars for languages from positive data. It is shown that an analog of Pitt's result about equivalence of team function identification and probabilistic function identification does not hold for language identification, and the results in the present paper reveal a very complex structure for team language identification. It is also shown that for certain cases probabilistic language identification is strictly more powerful than team language identification. Proofs of many results in the present paper involve very sophisticated diagonalization arguments. Two very general tools are presented that yield proofs of new results from simple arithmetic manipulation of the parameters of known ones.
644359
Anomalous Learning Helps Succinctness
Abstract It is shown that allowing a bounded number of anomalies (mistakes) in the final programs learned by an algorithmic procedure can considerably “succinctify” those final programs. Naturally, only those contexts are investigated in which the presence of anomalies is not actually required for successful inference (learning). The contexts considered are certain infinite subclasses of the class of characteristic functions of finite sets. For each finite set D , these subclasses have a finite set containing D . This latter prevents the anomalies from wiping out all the information in the sets featured in these subclasses and shows the context to be fairly robust. Some of the results in the present paper are shown to be provably more constructive than others. The results of this paper can also be interpreted as facts about succinctness of coding finite sets, which facts have interesting consequences for learnability of decision procedures for finite sets.
39847140
Team Learning of Recursive Languages
A team of learning machines is a multiset of learning machines. A team is said to successfully learn a concept just in case each member of some nonempty subset, of predetermined size, of the team learns the concept. Team learning of languages turns out to be a suitable theoretical model for studying computational limits on multi-agent machine learning. Team learning of recursively enumerable languages has been extensively studied. However, it may be argued that from a practical point of view all languages of interest are recursive. 
 
This paper gives theoretical results about team learnability of recursive languages. These results are mainly about two issues: redundancy and aggregation. The issue of redundancy deals with the impact of increasing the size of a team and increasing the number of machines required to be successful. The issue of aggregation deals with conditions under which a team may be replaced by a single machine without any loss in learning ability. The learning scenarios considered are: (a) Identification in the limit of accepting grammars for recursive languages. (b) Identification in the limit of decision procedures for recursive languages. (c) Identification in the limit of accepting grammars for indexed families of recursive languages. (d) Identification in the limit of accepting grammars for indexed families with enumerable class of grammars for the family as the hypothesis space. Scenarios which can be modeled by team learning are also presented.
122230605
On the intrinsic complexity of learning recursive functions
The intrinsic complexity of learning compares the difficulty of learning classes of objects by using some reducibility notion. For several types of learning recursive functions, both natural complete classes are exhibited and necessary and sufficient conditions for completeness are derived. Informally, a class is complete iff both its topological structure is highly complex while its algorithmic structure is easy. Some self-describing classes turn out to be complete. Furthermore, the structure of the intrinsic complexity is shown to be much richer than the structure of the mind change complexity, though in general, intrinsic complexity and mind change complexity can behave "orthogonally".
47220301
Expert simulation for on-line scheduling
The state-of-the-art in manufacturing has moved toward flexibility, automation and integration. The efforts spent on bringing computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) to plant floors have been motivated by the overall thrust to increase the speed of new products to market. One of the links in CIM is plant floor scheduling, which is concerned with efficiently orchestrating the plant floor to meet the customer demand and responding quickly to changes on the plant floor and changes in customer demand. The Expert System Scheduler (ESS) has been developed to address this link in CIM. The scheduler utilizes real-time plant information to generate plant floor schedules which honor the factory resource constraints while taking advantage of the flexibility of its components.
The scheduler uses heuristics developed by an experienced human factory scheduler for most of the decisions involved in scheduling. The expertise of the human scheduler has been built into the computerized version using the expert system approach of the discipline of artificial intelligence (AI). Deterministic simulation concepts have been used to develop the schedule and determine the decision points. As such, simulation modeling and AI techniques share many concepts, and the two disciplines can be used synergistically. Examples of some common concepts are the ability of entities to carry attributes and change dynamically (simulation—entities/attributes or transaction/parameters versus AI—frames/slots); the ability to control the flow of entities through a model of the system (simulation—conditional probabilities versus AI—production rules); and the ability to change the model based upon state variables (simulation—language constructs based on variables versus AI—pattern-invoked programs). Shannon [6] highlights similarities and differences between conventional simulation and an AI approach. Kusiak and Chen [3] report increasing use of simulation in development of expert systems.
ESS uses the synergy between AI techniques and simulation modeling to generate schedules for plant floors. Advanced concepts from each of the two areas are used in this endeavor. The expert system has been developed using frames and object-oriented coding which provides knowledge representation flexibility. The concept of “backward” simulation, similar to the AI concept of backward chaining, is used to construct the events in the schedule. Some portions of the schedule are constructed using forward or conventional simulation.
The implementation of expert systems and simulation concepts is intertwined in ESS. However, the application of the concepts from these two areas will be treated separately for ease of presentation. We will first discuss the expert system approach and provide a flavor of the heuristics. The concept of backward simulation and the motive behind it will then be explored along with some details of the implementation and the plant floor where the scheduler is currently being used. We will then highlight some advantages and disadvantages of using the expert simulation approach for scheduling, and, finally, the synergetic relationship between expert systems and simulation.
15127807
Pricing of Information Products on Online Servers: Issues, Models, and Analysis
Online information servers that provide access to diverse databases where users can search for, browse through, and download the information they need have been rapidly increasing in number in the past few years. Online vendors have traditionally charged users for information on the based on the length of the time they were connected to the databases. With hardware and software advances, many online servers have recently started changing their pricing strategies to search-based and/or subscription-fee pricing. This paper examines the various issues involved in pricing these information products, and presents an economic approach to analyze conditions under which the various pricing schemes may prove optimal for the online servers. Our results show that the variation in consumer expertise and valuation of information affects the choice of a pricing strategy by the server. We present general conditions under which subscription-fee pricing is optimal even when consumer demand is inelastic. We also find that, given the cost structures characterizing the market, undifferentiated online servers can compete and coexist in the market each making positive profits. We show that in a competitive setting an increase in costs of online servers can sometimes benefit them by enabling them to differentiate themselves. Our results offer insights into the trends in pricing strategies and may provide an explanation as to why many servers may persist with connect-time strategies.
34370031
Simulation for emergency response: a framework for modeling and simulation for emergency response
A number of modeling and simulation tools have been developed and more are being developed for emergency response applications. The available simulation tools are meant mostly for standalone use. Addressing an emergency incident requires addressing multiple interdependent aspects of the situation. The simulation tools addressing different aspects of an emergency situation need to be integrated to provide the whole picture to planners, trainers, and responders. A framework is required to ensure that modeling and simulation tools can be systematically integrated together to address the overall response. This paper proposes a framework for integration of modeling, simulation, and visualization tools for emergency response. The development and implementation of the proposed framework will significantly improve the nation's capability in the emergency response area.
11952430
David vs. Goliath: An Analysis of Asymmetric Mixed-Strategy Games and Experimental Evidence
Mixed strategies are widely used to model strategic situations in diverse fields such as economics, marketing, political science, and biology. However, some of the implications of asymmetric mixed-strategy solutions are counterintuitive. We develop a stylized model of patent race to examine some of these implications. In our model two firms compete to develop a product and obtain a patent. However, one firm values the patent more because of its market advantages, such as brand reputation and distribution network. Contrary to some intuition, we find that the firm that values the patent less is likely to invest more aggressively in developing the product and will also win the patent more often. We argue that the reason for these counterintuitive results is inherent in the very concept of mixed strategy solution. In a laboratory test, we examine whether subjects' behavior conforms to the equilibrium predictions. We find that the aggregate behavior of our subjects is consistent with the game-theoretic predictions. With the help of the experience-weighted attraction (EWA) learning model proposed by Camerer and Ho (1999), we show that adaptive learning can account for the investment behavior of our subjects.We find that the EWA learning model tracks the investment decisions of our subjects well, whether we hold out trials or an entire group of subjects.
195860327
Criticality of detailed modeling in semiconductor supply chain simulation
Supply chain management offers a large potential for organizations to reduce costs and improve customer service performance. Simulation of supply chains can help in these objectives by evaluating the impact of alternative inventory control policies. Supply chain simulation involves the modeling of multiple factories across the chain and can get quite complex. Analysts typically carry out such simulation at a coarse level of detail to keep the complexity and computing resources manageable. However, modeling at coarse levels may reduce the accuracy of outputs and affect the quality of decisions. In this paper, we report on a study to compare the quality of results at different levels of detail in a semiconductor supply chain simulation.