122803437
Effect of calibration errors on Bayesian parameter estimation for gravitational wave signals from inspiral binary systems in the advanced detectors era: Further investigations
By 2015, the advanced versions of the gravitational wave detectors Virgo and LIGO will be online. They will collect data in coincidence with enough sensitivity to potentially deliver multiple detections of gravitational waves from inspirals of compact-object binaries. In a previous work, we have studied the effects introduced in the estimation of the physical parameters of the source by uncertainties in the calibration of the interferometers. Our bias estimator for parameter errors introduced by calibration uncertainties consisted of two terms: A genuine bias due to the calibration errors, and a contribution coming from the limited number of samples used to explore the parameter space. In this article, we have focused on this second term, and we have shown how it is smaller than the former (about 10 times smaller), and how it decreases as the signal-to-noise ratio increases.
13092497
Application of asymptotic expansions for maximum likelihood estimators errors to gravitational waves from binary mergers: The single interferometer case
In this paper we apply to gravitational waves (GW) from the inspiral phase of binary systems a recently derived frequentist methodology to calculate analytically the error for a maximum likelihood estimate of physical parameters. We use expansions of the covariance and the bias of a maximum likelihood estimate in terms of inverse powers of the signal-to-noise ration (SNR)s where the square root of the first order in the covariance expansion is the Cramer Rao lower bound (CRLB). We evaluate the expansions, for the first time, for GW signals in noises of GW interferometers. The examples are limited to a single, optimally oriented, interferometer. We also compare the error estimates using the first two orders of the expansions with existing numerical Monte Carlo simulations. The first two orders of the covariance allow us to get error predictions closer to what is observed in numerical simulations than the CRLB. The methodology also predicts a necessary SNR to approximate the error with the CRLB and provides new insight on the relationship between waveform properties, SNR, dimension of the parameter space and estimation errors. For example the timing match filtering can achieve the CRLB only if the SNR is larger than the Kurtosis ofmore » the gravitational wave spectrum and the necessary SNR is much larger if other physical parameters are also unknown.« less
118465419
Parameter estimation from gravitational waves generated by nonspinning binary black holes with laser interferometers: Beyond the Fisher information
In this paper we apply to gravitational waves from nonspinning binary systems a recently introduced frequentist methodology to calculate analytically the error for a maximum likelihood estimate of physical parameters. While existing literature focuses on using the Cramer Rao Lower bound and Monte Carlo simulations, we use a power expansion of the bias and covariance in inverse powers of the signal to noise ratio. The use of higher order derivatives of the likelihood function in the expansions makes the prediction also sensitive to the secondary lobes of the maximum likelihood estimate probability distribution. We discuss conditions for validity of the Cramer Rao Lower bound and predict new features in regions of the parameter space currently not explored. For example, we see how the bias can become the most important contributor to the parameters' errors for high mass systems (200M(circle dot) and above).
59497924
Towards a generic test of the strong field dynamics of general relativity using compact binary coalescence: Further investigations
In this paper we elaborate on earlier work by the same authors in which a novel Bayesian inference framework for testing the strong-field dynamics of General Relativity using coalescing compact binaries was proposed. Unlike methods that were used previously, our technique addresses the question whether one or more 'testing coefficients' (e.g. in the phase) parameterizing deviations from GR are non-zero, rather than all of them differing from zero at the same time. The framework is well-adapted to a scenario where most sources have low signal-to-noise ratio, and information from multiple sources as seen in multiple detectors can readily be combined. In our previous work, we conjectured that this framework can detect generic deviations from GR that can in principle not be accomodated by our model waveforms, on condition that the change in phase near frequencies where the detectors are the most sensitive is comparable to that induced by simple shifts in the lower-order phase coefficients of more than a few percent (~ 5 radians at 150 Hz). To further support this claim, we perform additional numerical experiments in Gaussian and stationary noise according to the expected Advanced LIGO/Virgo noise curves, and coherently injecting signals into the network whose phasing differs structurally from the predictions of GR, but with the magnitude of the deviation still being small. We find that even then, a violation of GR can be established with good confidence.
120094772
Gravitational waves as deformations of embedded Einstein spaces
We show how approximate radiative solutions of Einstein's equations can be constructed using small deformations of Einstein spacetimes embedded into a pseudo-Euclidean flat space of higher dimension. Infinitesimal deformations are seen then as vector fields in EN. All geometrical quantities can be then expressed in terms of embedding functions zA and their deformations . Then we require the deformations to keep Einstein equations satisfied up to a given order in e. The system obtained is then analyzed in particular cases of the Minkowski and Schwarzschild manifolds taken as a starting point, and solutions of deformations of Einstein's equations displaying radiative behavior are found up to the third order of expansion in small parameter e.
118457757
Towards a generic test of the strong field dynamics of general relativity using compact binary coalescence
Coalescences of binary neutron stars and/or black holes are amongst the most likely gravitational-wave signals to be observed in ground based interferometric detectors. Apart from the astrophysical importance of their detection, they will also provide us with our very first empirical access to the genuinely strong-field dynamics of General Relativity (GR). We present a new framework based on Bayesian model selection aimed at detecting deviations from GR, subject to the constraints of the Advanced Virgo and LIGO detectors. The method tests the consistency of coefficients appearing in the waveform with the predictions made by GR, without relying on any specific alternative theory of gravity. The framework is suitable for low signal-to-noise ratio events through the construction of multiple subtests, most of which involve only a limited number of coefficients. It also naturally allows for the combination of information from multiple sources to increase one's confidence in GR or a violation thereof. We expect it to be capable of finding a wide range of possible deviations from GR, including ones which in principle cannot be accommodated by the model waveforms, on condition that the induced change in phase at frequencies where the detectors are the most sensitive is comparable to the effect of a few percent change in one or more of the low-order post-Newtonian phase coefficients. In principle the framework can be used with any GR waveform approximant, with arbitrary parameterized deformations, to serve as model waveforms. In order to illustrate the workings of the method, we perform a range of numerical experiments in which simulated gravitational waves modeled in the restricted post-Newtonian, stationary phase approximation are added to Gaussian and stationary noise that follows the expected Advanced LIGO/Virgo noise curves.
92980349
Calibrating spectral estimation for the LISA Technology Package with multichannel synthetic noise generation
The scientific objectives of the LISA Technology Package experiment on board of the LISA Pathfinder mission demand accurate calibration and validation of the data analysis tools in advance of the mission launch. The level of confidence required in the mission outcomes can be reached only by intensively testing the tools on synthetically generated data. A flexible procedure allowing the generation of a cross-correlated stationary noise time series was set up. A multichannel time series with the desired cross-correlation behavior can be generated once a model for a multichannel cross-spectral matrix is provided. The core of the procedure comprises a noise coloring, multichannel filter designed via a frequency-by-frequency eigendecomposition of the model cross-spectral matrix and a subsequent fit in the Z domain. The common problem of initial transients in a filtered time series is solved with a proper initialization of the filter recursion equations. The noise generator performance was tested in a two-dimensional case study of the closed-loop LISA Technology Package dynamics along the two principal degrees of freedom.
17775222
Gravitational-wave stochastic background detection with resonant-mass detectors
In this paper we discuss how the standard optimal Wiener filter theory can be applied, within a linear approximation, to the detection of an isotropic stochastic gravitational-wave background with two or more detectors. We apply then the method to the AURIGA-NAUTILUS pair of ultralow temperature bar detectors, soon to operate in coincidence in Italy, obtaining an estimate for the sensitivity to the background spectral density of ’10 249 Hz 21 , that converts to an energy density per unit logarithmic frequency of ’8310 25 3r c , with r c’1.9310 226 kg/m 3 the closure density of the Universe. We also show that by adding the VIRGO interferometric detector under construction in Italy to the array, and by properly reorienting the detectors, one can reach a sensitivity of ’6310 25 3r c . We then calculate that the pair formed by VIRGO and one large mass spherical detector properly located in one of the nearby available sites in Italy can reach a sensitivity of ’2310 25 3r c while a pair of such spherical detectors at the same sites of AURIGA and NAUTILUS can
119870047
An analysis of pulsar timing irregularities: is it induced by a source of gravitational waves in the galaxy?
SummaryA statistical analysis of the irregularities in the pulse arrival times for the some 30 pulsars, for which the timing noise measurements are available, indicates that, at a confidence level of 96%, the timing noise is induced by a hypothetical source within our Galaxy. The source would be located at 08 h 38 min right ascension, −3° declination and 0.9 kpc distance from the solar system. We suggest and discuss the possibility that the interaction between the «source» and the pulsars is due to gravitational waves, emitted in bursts by the hypothetical source with yearly rate over the past 105 years.RiassuntoUn'analisi statistica delle irregolarità nei tempi di arrivo degli impulsi per circa 30 pulsars indica che, ad un livello di confidenza del 96%, il rumore nei tempi di arrivo è indotto da un'ipotetica sorgente nella galassia. La sorgente sarebbe localizzata a 08 h 38 min di ascensione retta, −3° di declinazione e 0.9 kpc di distanza dal sistema solare. Suggeriamo e discutiamo la possibilità che l'interazione tra la «sorgente» e le pulsar sia dovuta a onde gravitazionali, da essa emesse nell'arco degli ultimi 105 anni.
119241810
Space-borne gravitational wave detectors as time-delayed differential dynamometers
The basic constituent of many space-borne gravitational missions, in particular for interferometric gravitational waves detectors, is the so-called link made out of a satellite sending an electromagnetic beam to a second satellite. We illustrate how, by measuring the time derivative of the frequency of the received beam, the link behaves as a differential, time-delayed dynamometer in which the effect of gravity is exactly equivalent to an effective differential force applied to the two satellites. We also show that this differential force gives an integrated measurement of curvature along the beam. Finally, we discuss how this approach can be implemented to benefit the data analysis of gravitational wave detectors.
118459662
Bayesian parameter estimation in the second LISA Pathfinder mock data challenge
A main scientific output of the LISA Pathfinder mission is to provide a noise model that can be extended to the future gravitational wave observatory, LISA. The success of the mission depends thus upon a deep understanding of the instrument, especially the ability to correctly determine the parameters of the underlying noise model. In this work we estimate the parameters of a simplified model of the LISA Technology Package instrument. We describe the LISA Technology Package by means of a closed-loop model that is used to generate the data, both injected signals and noise. Then, parameters are estimated using a Bayesian framework, and it is shown that this method reaches the optimal attainable error, the Cramer-Rao bound. We also address an important issue for the mission: how to efficiently combine the results of different experiments to obtain a unique set of parameters describing the instrument.