The multiplicative coalescent is a Markov process taking values in ordered @math . It is a mean-field process in which any pair of blocks coalesces at rate proportional to the product of their masses. In Aldous and Limic (1998) each extreme eternal version @math of the multiplicative coalescent was described in three different ways. One of these specifications matches the (marginal) law of @math to that of the ordered excursion lengths above past minima of @math , where @math is a certain Levy-type process which (modulo shift and scaling) has infinitesimal drift @math at time @math . Using a modification of the breadth-first-walk construction from Aldous (1997) and Aldous and Limic (1998), and some new insight from the thesis by Uribe (2007), this work settles an open problem (3) from Aldous (1997), in the more general context of Aldous and Limic (1998). Informally speaking, @math is entirely encoded by @math , and contrary to Aldous' original intuition, the evolution of time for @math does correspond to the linear increase in the constant part of the drift of @math . In the "standard multiplicative coalescent" context of Aldous (1997), this result was first announced by Armendariz in 2001, and obtained in a recent preprint by Broutin and Marckert, who simultaneously account for the process of excess edge counts (or marks). The novel argument presented here is based on a sequence of relatively elementary observations. Some of its components (for example, the new dynamic random graph construction via "simultaneous" breadth-first walks) are of independent interest, and may be useful for obtaining more sophisticated asymptotic results on near critical random graphs and related processes.
Author(s): Aldous, DJ | Abstract: Consider N particles, which merge into clusters according to the following rule: a cluster of size x and a cluster of size y merge at (stochastic) rate K(x, y) N, were AT is a specified rate kernel. This Marcus-Lushnikov model of stochastic coalescence and the underlying deterministic approximation given by the Smoluchowski coagulation equations have an extensive scientific literature. Some mathematical literature (Kingman's coalescent in population genetics; component sizes in random graphs) implicitly studies the special cases K(x, y) = 1 and K(x, y) = xy. We attempt a wide-ranging survey. General kernels are only now starting to be studied rigorously; so many interesting open problems appear. © 1999 ISI BS. Models of populations in which a type or location, represented by a point in a metric space E, is associated with each individual in the population are considered. A population process is neutral if the chances of an individual replicating or dying do not depend on its type. Measurevalued processes are obtained as infinite population limits for a large class of neutral population models, and it is shown that these measure-valued processes can be represented in terms of the total mass of the population and the de Finetti measures associated with an E-valued particle model Ž. Let (B t (s), 0 ≤ s < ∞) be reflecting inhomogeneous Brownian motion with drift t - s at time s, started with B t (0) = 0. Consider the random graph script G sign(n, n -1 + tn -4 3 ), whose largest components have size of order n 2 3 . Normalizing by n -2 3 , the asymptotic joint distribution of component sizes is the same as the joint distribution of excursion lengths of B t (Corollary 2). The dynamics of merging of components as t increases are abstracted to define the multiplicative coalescent process. The states of this process are vectors x of nonnegative real cluster sizes (x i ), and clusters with sizes x i and x j merge at rate x i x j . The multiplicative coalescent is shown to be a Feller process on l 2 . The random graph limit specifies the standard multiplicative coalescent, which starts from infinitesimally small clusters at time -∞; the existence of such a process is not obvious. k−2 � 1 − xb−k � � dx� . Call this process a � -coalescent. Discrete measure-valued processes derived from the � -coalescent model a system of masses undergoing coalescent collisions. Kingman's coalescent, which has numerous applications in population genetics, is the δ0-coalescent for δ0 a unit mass at 0. The coalescent recently derived by Bolthausen and Sznit- man from Ruelle's probability cascades, in the context of the Sherrington- Kirkpatrick spin glass model in mathematical physics, is the U-coalescent for U uniform on � 0� 1� .F or� = U, and whenever an infinite number of masses are present, each collision in a � -coalescent involves an infinite number of masses almost surely, and the proportion of masses involved exists as a limit almost surely and is distributed proportionally to � . The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet family of random discrete distributions derived from a stable subordinator, and corresponding exchangeable ran- dom partitions ofgoverned by a generalization of the Ewens sampling formula, are applied to describe transition mechanisms for processes of coalescence and fragmentation, including the U-coalescent and its time reversal. 1. Introduction. Markovian coalescent models for the evolution of a sys- tem of masses by a random process of binary collisions were introduced by Marcus (29) and Lushnikov (28). See (3) for a recent survey of the scientific lit- erature of these models and their relation to Smoluchowski's mean-field theory of coagulation phenomena. Evans and Pitman (15) gave a general framework for the rigorous construction of partition-valued and discrete measure-valued coalescent Markov processes allowing infinitely many massses and treated the binary coalescent model where each pair of masses x and y is subject to a coa- lescent collision at rate κ� xyfor a suitable rate kernel κ. This paper studies a family of partition-valued Markov processes, with state space the compact set of all partitions of � �= � 1� 2 ���� � , such that the restriction of the partition to each finite subset ofis a Markov chain with transition rates of a simple form determined by the moments of a finite measureon the unit interval. The case � = δ 0 , a unit mass at 0, is Kingman's coalescent in which every A new Markov chain is introduced which can be used to describe the family relationships among n individuals drawn from a particular generation of a large haploid population. The properties of this process can be studied, simultaneously for all n, by coupling techniques. Recent results in neutral mutation theory are seen as consequences of the genealogy described by the chain. WRIGHT-FISHER MODEL; NEUTRAL MUTATION; RANDOM EQUIVALENCE RELATIONS; COALESCENT; EWENS SAMPLING FORMULA; COUPLING; ENTRANCE BOUNDARY  Take a sample of individuals in the fixed-size population model with exchangeable family sizes. Follow the ancestral lines for the sampled individuals backwards in time to observe the ancestral process. We describe a class of asymptotic structures for the ancestral process via a convergence criterion. One of the basic conditions of the criterion prevents simultaneous mergers of ancestral lines. Another key condition implies that the marginal distribution of the family size is attracted by an infinitely divisible distribution. If the latter is normal the coalescent allows only for pairwise mergers (Kingman's coalescent). Otherwise multiple mergers happen with positive probability.