In this paper we show that on bounded degree graphs and general trees, the cover time of the simple random walk is asymptotically equal to the product of the number of edges and the square of the expected supremum of the Gaussian free field on the graph, assuming that the maximal hitting time is significantly smaller than the cover time. Previously, this was only proved for regular trees and the 2D lattice. Furthermore, for general trees, we derive exponential concentration for the cover time, which implies that the standard deviation of the cover time is bounded by the geometric mean of the cover time and the maximal hitting time.
We show that the probability that a simple random walk covers a finite, bounded degree graph in linear time is exponentially small. We conjecture that the same holds for any simple graph.