Variant-specific SARS-CoV-2 within-host kinetics Since early 2021, SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) have been causing epidemic rebounds in many countries. Their properties are well characterised at the epidemiological level but the potential underlying within-host determinants remain poorly understood. We analyse a longitudinal cohort of 6,944 individuals with 14,304 cycle threshold (Ct) values of qPCR VOC screening tests performed in the general population and hospitals in France between February 6 and August 21, 2021. To convert Ct values into numbers of virus copies, we performed an additional analysis using droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). We find that the number of viral genome copies reaches a higher peak value and has a slower decay rate in infections caused by Alpha variant compared to that caused by historical lineages. Following the evidence that viral genome copies in upper respiratory tract swabs are informative on contagiousness, we show that the kinetics of the Alpha variant translate into significantly higher transmission potentials, especially in older populations. Finally, comparing infections caused by the Alpha and Delta variants, we find no significant difference in the peak viral copy number. These results highlight that some of the differences between variants may be detected in virus load variations.
Hepatitis B infection is causally associated with extrahepatic cancers: a Mendelian randomization study Overwhelming evidence suggests that chronic hepatitis infection is associated with extrahepatic cancers. However, uncertainties exist about this association as much of the current evidence evolve from observational studies which are susceptible to confounding. We performed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to explore the causal associations between chronic hepatitis infection and extrahepatic cancers. Genetic variants associated with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection were identified from a large genome-wide association study. Summary level data for cancer of the biliary tract, cervix, colorectum, endometrium, esophagus, gastric, liver, lung, ovary and pancreas were obtained from the Biobank Japan. Using the inverse variance weighted method, we found chronic HBV infection to be causally associated with gastric cancer (odds ratio [OR] = 1.19 and 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.25, P-value = 0.001) and lung cancer (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.14-1.28, P-value = 0.001). Moreover, chronic HBV infection (OR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.17-1.53, P-value = 0.007) and chronic HCV infection (OR = 2.75, 95% CI = 2.21-3.42, P-value = 0.0008) were all causally associated with liver cancer, supporting a well-established association between chronic hepatitis infection and liver cancer. In conclusions, our MR findings revealed that chronic HBV infection is causally associated with extrahepatic cancers including gastric and lung cancers.
Best practices for multi-ancestry, meta-analytic transcriptome-wide association studies: lessons from the Global Biobank Meta-analysis Initiative SUMMARYThe Global Biobank Meta-analysis Initiative (GBMI), through its genetic and demographic diversity, provides a valuable opportunity to study population-wide and ancestry-specific genetic associations. However, with multiple ascertainment strategies and multi-ethnic study populations across biobanks, the GBMI provides a distinct set of challenges in implementing statistical genetics methods. Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) are a popular tool to boost detection power for and provide biological context to genetic associations by integrating single nucleotide polymorphism to trait (SNP-trait) associations from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) with SNP-based predictive models of gene expression. TWAS presents unique challenges beyond GWAS, especially in a multi-biobank and meta-analytic setting like the GBMI. In this work, we present the GBMI TWAS pipeline, outlining practical considerations for ancestry and tissue specificity and meta-analytic strategies, as well as open challenges at every step of the framework. Our work provides a strong foundation for adding tissue-specific gene expression context to biobank-linked genetic association studies, allowing for ancestry-aware discovery to accelerate genomic medicine. A Cross-Sectional Examination of Conflict-of-Interest Disclosures of Physician-Authors Publishing in High-Impact US Medical Journals ObjectiveTo assess the accuracy of self-reported financial conflict-of-interest (COI) disclosures in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) within the requisite disclosure period prior to article submission.

DesignCross-sectional investigation.

Data SourcesOriginal clinical-trial research articles published in NEJM (n = 206) or JAMA (n = 188) from January 1 to December 31, 2017; self-reported COI disclosure forms submitted to NEJM or JAMA with the authors published articles; Open Payments website (from database inception; latest search: August 2019).

Main outcome measuresFinancial data reported to Open Payments from 2014 to 2016 (time period that included all subjects requisite disclosure windows) were compared to self-reported disclosure forms submitted to the journals. Payments were defined as those not associated with a research study or formal research funding. Payment types were categorized as "disclosed," "undisclosed," "indeterminate," or "unrelated."

ResultsThirty-one articles from NEJM and 31 articles from JAMA met inclusion criteria. The physician-authors (n = 118) received a combined total of $7.48 million. Of the 106 authors (89.8%) who received payments, 86 (81.1%) received undisclosed payments. The top 23 most highly compensated received $6.32 million, of which $3.00 million (47.6%) was undisclosed. Disclosure rates were the equivalent between the top 23 and the entire sample.

ConclusionsHigh payment amounts, as well as high proportions of undisclosed financial compensation, regardless of amount received, comprised potential COIs for two influential US medical journals. Further research is needed to explain why such high proportions of general payments were undisclosed and whether journals that rely on self-reported COI disclosure need to reconsider their policies. Circulating LIGHT (TNFSF14) and Interleukin-18 Levels in Sepsis-Induced Multi-Organ Injuries The novel therapeutic target cytokine LIGHT (TNFSF14) was recently shown to play a major role in COVID19-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). This study aims to investigate the associations of plasma LIGHT and another potentially targetable cytokine, Interleukin-18 (IL-18), with ARDS, acute hypoxic respiratory failure (AHRF) or acute kidney injury (AKI), caused by non-COVID19 viral or bacterial sepsis. A cohort of 280 subjects diagnosed with sepsis, including 91 cases with sepsis triggered by viral infections, were investigated in this cohort study. Day 0 plasma LIGHT and IL-18, as well as 59 other biomarkers (cytokines, chemokines and acute-phase reactants) were measured by sensitive bead immunoassay and associated with symptom severity. We observed significantly increased LIGHT level in both bacterial sepsis patients (P=1.80E-05) and patients with sepsis from viral infections (P=1.78E-03). In bacterial sepsis, increased LIGHT level was associated with ARDS, AKI and higher Apache III scores, findings also supported by correlations of LIGHT with other biomarkers of organ failures. IL-18 levels were highly variable across individuals, and consistently correlated with Apache III scores, mortality, and AKI, in both bacterial and viral sepsis. There was no correlation between LIGHT and IL-18. For the first time, we demonstrate independent effects of LIGHT and IL-18 in septic organ failures. The association of plasma LIGHT with AHRF suggests that targeting the pathway warrants exploration, and ongoing trials may soon elucidate whether this is beneficial. Given the large variance of plasma IL-18 among septic subjects, targeting this pathway requires a precision application. Vaccination or restriction?: COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and vaccine passports ObjectivesWhile the development of vaccines against the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) brought the hope of establishing herd immunity, which might help end the global pandemic, vaccine hesitancy can hinder the progress towards herd immunity. In this study, we assess the determinants of vaccine hesitancy, reasons for hesitation, and effectiveness of vaccine passports in relaxing public health restrictions.

MethodsThrough an online survey that includes a conjoint experiment of a demographically representative sample of 5,000 Japanese adults aged 20-74, we assess the determinants of vaccine hesitancy, reasons for hesitation, and effectiveness of hypothetical vaccine passports.

ResultsWe found that about 30% of respondents did not intend to vaccinate or have not yet decided, with major reasons for vaccine hesitancy being related to concerns about the safety and side effects of the vaccine. In line with previous findings, younger age, lower socioeconomic status, and psychological factors such as weaker COVID-19 fear were associated with vaccine hesitancy. The easing of public health restrictions such as travel, wearing face masks, and dining out at night was associated with an increase in vaccine acceptance by 4-10%.

ConclusionVaccine hesitancy can be reduced by mitigating the concerns about vaccine safety and side effects, as well as by relaxing public health restrictions. However, the feasibility of vaccine passports needs to be sufficiently assessed, taking the ethical issues of passports and the public health impacts of the relaxation of restrictions into careful consideration.

Strengths and limitations of this study{square} This study includes timely data on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, obtained from a demographically representative sample of 5,000 Japanese adults.
{square}A conjoint experiment allows assessing the effectiveness of easing public health restrictions on vaccine acceptance.
{square}Actual behaviour may diverge from the survey responses or fluctuate due to the pandemic situation and the timing of the survey.
{square}Results may not be applicable in other countries, since the pandemic situation, government responses to the pandemic, and reasons for vaccine hesitancy can vary across countries. Simple risk scores to predict hospitalization or death in outpatients with COVID-19 including the Omicron variant ImportanceOutpatient physicians need guidance to support their clinical decisions regarding management of patients with COVID-19, in particular whether to hospitalize a patient and if managed as an outpatient, how closely to follow them.

ObjectiveTo develop and prospectively validate a clinical prediction rule to predict the likelihood of hospitalization for outpatients with COVID-19 that does not require laboratory testing or imaging.

DesignDerivation and temporal validation of a clinical prediction rule, and prospective validation of two externally derived clinical prediction rules.

SettingPrimary and Express care clinics in a Pennsylvania health system.

ParticipantsPatients 12 years and older presenting to outpatient clinics who had a positive polymerase chain reaction test for COVID-19.

Main outcomes and measuresClassification accuracy (percentage in each risk group hospitalized) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

ResultsOverall, 7.4% of outpatients in the early derivation cohort (5843 patients presenting before 3/1/21) and 5.5% in the late validation cohort (3806 patients presenting 3/1/21 or later) were ultimately hospitalized. We developed and temporally validated three risk scores that all included age, dyspnea, and the presence of comorbidities, adding respiratory rate for the second score and oxygen saturation for the third. All had very good overall accuracy (AUC 0.77 to 0.78) and classified over half of patients in the validation cohort as very low risk with a 1.7% or lower likelihood of hospitalization. Two externally derived risk scores identified more low risk patients, but with a higher overall risk of hospitalization (2.8%).

Conclusions and relevanceSimple risk scores applicable to outpatient and telehealth settings can identify patients with very low (1.6% to 1.7%), low (5.2% to 5.9%), moderate (14.7% to 15.6%), and high risk (32.0% to 34.2%) of hospitalization. The Lehigh Outpatient COVID Hospitalization (LOCH) risk score is available online as a free app: https://ebell-projects.shinyapps.io/LehighRiskScore/. Economic evaluation of disease elimination: an extension to the net-benefit framework and application to human African trypanosomiasis The global health community has earmarked a number of diseases for elimination or eradication, and these goals have often been praised on the premise of long-run cost-savings. However, decision-makers must contend with a multitude of demands on health budgets in the short- or medium-term, and costs-per-case often rise as the burden of a disease falls, rendering such efforts beyond the cost-effective use of scarce resources. In addition, these decisions must be made in the presence of substantial uncertainty regarding the feasibility and costs of elimination or eradication efforts. Therefore, analytical frameworks are necessary to consider the additional effort for reaching global goals, like elimination or eradication, that are beyond the cost-effective use of country resources. We propose a modification to the net-benefit framework to consider the implications of switching from an optimal strategy, in terms of cost-per-burden-averted, to a strategy with a higher likelihood of meeting the global target of elimination of transmission by a specified date. We illustrate the properties of our framework by considering the economic case of efforts to eliminate transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT), a vector-borne parasitic disease in West and Central Africa, by 2030.

Significance StatementVarious diseases are earmarked for elimination by the global health community. While the health economic implications of elimination have been discussed before, the combination of uncertainty, cost-effectiveness in terms of cases averted, and elimination in the face of rising per-case costs has not been tackled before. We propose an approach that considers the tension between the dual objectives of cost-effectiveness and elimination while incorporating uncertainty in these objectives. We apply our method to strategies against human African trypanosomiasis in three settings, but this method could be directly applied to simulation-based studies of the cost-effectiveness of other disease elimination efforts. The method yields common metrics of efficiency when stakeholders have different objectives. The Addiction Risk Factor: A Unitary Genetic Vulnerability Characterizes Substance Use Disorders and Their Associations with Common Correlates Substance use disorders commonly co-occur with one another and with other psychiatric disorders. They share common features including high impulsivity, negative affect, and lower executive function. We tested whether a common genetic factor undergirds liability to problematic alcohol use (PAU), problematic tobacco use (PTU), cannabis use disorder (CUD), and opioid use disorder (OUD) by applying genomic structural equation modelling to genome-wide association study summary statistics for individuals of European ancestry (Total N = 1,019,521; substance specific Ns range: 82,707-435,563), while adjusting for the genetics of substance use (Ns = 184,765-632,802). We also tested whether shared liability across SUDs is associated with behavioral constructs (risk taking, executive function, neuroticism; Ns = 328,339-427,037) and non-substance use psychopathology (psychotic, compulsive, and early neurodevelopmental disorders). Shared genetic liability to PAU, PTU, CUD, and OUD was characterized by a unidimensional addiction risk factor (termed The Addiction-Risk-Factor, independent of substance use. OUD and CUD demonstrated the largest loadings, while problematic tobacco use showed the lowest loading. The Addiction-Risk-Factor was associated with risk taking, neuroticism, executive function, and non-substance psychopathology, but retained specific variance before and after accounting for genetics of substance use. Thus, a common genetic factor partly explains susceptibility for alcohol, tobacco, cannabis, and opioid use disorder. The Addiction-Risk-Factor has a unique genetic architecture that is not shared with normative substance use or non-substance psychopathology, suggesting that addiction is not the linear combination of substance use and psychopathology. Macronutrient mass intake explains deferential weight and fat loss in isocaloric diets Differential weight and fat losses under isocaloric diets of distinct macronutrient composition are well-documented findings in obesity research.1-6 Such data are considered a result of inadequate methodology as it disagree with the energy balance theory.7 A recent mathematical analysis of this paradigm has found, however, serious analytical contradictions in its foundations.8 As an alternative, a mass balance model was proposed to explain the aforesaid body composition alterations. Here, we expand on this observation by contrasting both models. We show that mass balance explains a wide range of fending experiments including those concurring with the energy balance principle. The latter, however, is less flexible and results in poor forecasts in settings consistent with mass balance. The energy balance theory is thus an unsatisfactory model of body composition changes. Consequently, by shifting to a mass balance paradigm of obesity a much deeper understanding of this disease may follow in the near future. Precision MRI Phenotyping Enables Detection of Small Changes in Body Composition for Longitudinal Cohorts Longitudinal studies provide unique insights into the impact of environmental factors and lifespan issues on health and disease. Here we investigate changes in body composition in 3,088 free-living participants, part of the UK Biobank in-depth imaging study. All participants underwent neck-to-knee MRI scans at the first imaging visit and after approximately two years (second imaging visit). Image-derived phenotypes for each participant were extracted using a fully-automated image processing pipeline, including volumes of several tissues and organs: liver, pancreas, spleen, kidneys, total skeletal muscle, iliopsoas muscle, visceral adipose tissue (VAT), abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue (ASAT), as well as fat and iron content in liver, pancreas and spleen. Overall, no significant changes were observed in BMI, body weight, or waist circumference over the scanning interval, despite some large individual changes. A significant decrease in grip strength was observed, coupled to small, but statistically significant, decrease in all skeletal muscle measurements. Significant increases in VAT and intermuscular fat in the thighs were also detected in the absence of changes in BMI, waist circumference and ectopic-fat deposition. Adjusting for disease status at the first imaging visit did not have an additional impact on the changes observed. In summary, we show that even after a relatively short period of time significant changes in body composition can take place, probably reflecting the obesogenic environment currently inhabited by most of the general population in the United Kingdom. The effect of stimulus duration on preferences for gain adjustments when listening to speech ObjectivesIn the personalisation of hearing aid fittings, gain is often adjusted to suit patient preferences using live speech. When using brief sentences as stimuli, the minimum gain adjustments necessary to elicit consistent preferences ( preference thresholds) were previously found to be much greater than typical adjustments in current practice. The current study examined the role of duration on preference thresholds.

DesignParticipants heard 2, 4 and 6-s segments of a continuous monologue presented successively in pairs. The first segment of each pair was presented at each individuals real-ear or prescribed gain. The second segment was presented with a {+/-}0-12 dB gain adjustment in one of three frequency bands. Participants judged whether the second was "better", "worse" or "no different" from the first.

Study SampleTwenty-nine adults, all with hearing-aid experience.

ResultsThe minimum gain adjustments needed to elicit "better" or "worse" judgments decreased with increasing duration for most adjustments. Inter-participant agreement and intra-participant reliability increased with increasing duration up to 4 s, then remained stable.

ConclusionsProviding longer stimuli improves the likelihood of patients providing reliable judgments of hearing-aid gain adjustments, but the effect is limited, and alternative fitting methods may be more viable for effective hearing-aid personalisation. Screening and vaccination against COVID-19 to minimize school closure Schools were closed extensively in 2020-2021 to counter COVID-19 spread, impacting students education and well-being. With highly contagious variants expanding in Europe, safe options to maintain schools open are urgently needed. We developed an agent-based model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in school. We used empirical contact data in a primary and a secondary school, and data from pilot screenings in 683 schools during the 2021 spring Alpha wave in France. We fitted the model to observed school prevalence to estimate the school-specific reproductive number and performed a cost-benefit analysis examining different intervention protocols. We estimated RAlpha=1.40 (95%CI 1.35-1.45) in the primary and RAlpha=1.46 (1.41-1.51) in the secondary school during the wave, higher than Rt estimated from community surveillance. Considering the Delta variant and vaccination coverage in Europe, we estimated RDelta=1.66 (1.60-1.71) and RDelta=1.10 (1.06-1.14) in the two settings, respectively. Under these conditions, weekly screening with 75% adherence would reduce cases by 34% (95%CI 32-36%) in the primary and 36% (35-39%) in the secondary school compared to symptom-based testing. Insufficient adherence was recorded in pilot screening (median [&le;]53%). Regular screening would also reduce student-days lost up to 80% compared to reactive closure. Moderate vaccination coverage in students would still benefit from regular screening for additional control (23% case reduction with 50% vaccinated children). COVID-19 pandemic will likely continue to pose a risk for school opening. Extending vaccination coverage in students, complemented by regular testing largely incentivizing adherence, are essential steps to keep schools open, especially under the threat of more contagious variants. Preserved T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 in anti-CD20 treated multiple sclerosis. ObjectiveTo analyze humoral and cellular immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations and infections in anti-CD20 treated patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS).

Methods181 pwMS on anti-CD20 therapy and 41 pwMS who began anti-CD20 therapy were included in a prospective, observational, single-center cohort study between March 2020 and August 2021. 51 pwMS under anti-CD20 treatment, 14 anti-CD20 therapy-naive pwMS and 19 healthy controls (HC) were vaccinated twice against SARS-CoV-2. We measured SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (full-length, S1 domain and receptor binding domain) immunoglobulin (Ig)G and S1 IgA and virus neutralizing capacity and avidity of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells were determined by interferon-{gamma} release assays.

ResultsFollowing two SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations, levels of IgG and IgA antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein as well as neutralizing capacity and avidity of SARS-CoV-2 IgG were lower in anti-CD20 treated pwMS than in anti-CD20 therapy-naive pwMS and in HC (p<0.003 for all pairwise comparisons). However, in all anti-CD20 treated pwMS vaccinated twice (n=26) or infected with SARS-CoV-2 (n=2), in whom SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells could be measured, SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells were detectable, at levels similar to those of twice-vaccinated anti-CD20 therapy-naive pwMS (n=7) and HC (n=19). SARS-CoV-2 S1 IgG levels (r=0.42, p=0.002), antibody avidity (r=0.7, p<0.001) and neutralizing capacity (r=0.44, p=0.03) increased with time between anti-CD20 infusion and second vaccination. Based on detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, SARS-CoV-2 infections occurred in 4/175 (2.3%) anti-CD20 treated pwMS, all of whom recovered fully.

InterpretationThese findings should inform treatment decisions and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination management in pwMS. Investigating trends in those who experience menstrual bleeding changes after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination Early in 2021, many people began sharing that they experienced unexpected menstrual bleeding after SARS-CoV-2 inoculation. We investigated this emerging phenomenon of changed menstrual bleeding patterns among a convenience sample of currently and formerly menstruating people using a web-based survey. In this sample, 42% of people with regular menstrual cycles bled more heavily than usual while 44% reported no change after being vaccinated. Among respondents who typically do not menstruate, 71% of people on long-acting reversible contraceptives, 39% of people on gender-affirming hormones, and 66% of post-menopausal people reported breakthrough bleeding. We found increased/breakthrough bleeding was significantly associated with age, systemic vaccine side effects (fever, fatigue), history of pregnancy or birth, and ethnicity. Generally, changes to menstrual bleeding are not uncommon nor dangerous, yet attention to these experiences is necessary to build trust in medicine.

TeaserIncreased bleeding can occur post SARS-CoV-2 vaccines; this study investigates patterns in who experiences these changes. Survey of Contaminated Percutaneous Injuries in Anesthesia Practitioners BackgroundAnesthesia practitioners are at inherent risk for percutaneous injuries by blood-contaminated needles and sharp objects. These exposures may result in transmission of HIV and hepatitis viruses. Data about this occupational hazard from contaminated needles and sharp devices is limited and decades old. We conducted a web-based survey to assess the occurrence, reporting, characteristics, and outcome of contaminated percutaneous injuries (CPI) in anesthesia residents, fellows, and attendings.

MethodsAfter institutional research board approval, an email was sent to 217 anesthesia practitioners requesting their participation in an online survey about contaminated percutaneous injuries. Responses were collected from February through March 2020. Results are reported as absolute numbers and proportions with 95% confidence interval (CI).

ResultsThe overall survey response rate was 51% (110/217). 59% (65/110) (95% CI, 50-68) of participants reported having one or more contaminated percutaneous injury during their years of anesthesia practice (42% (21/50) of residents, 50% (4/8) of fellows, 77% (40/52) of anesthesia attendings). Prevalence of injuries related to attendings years of anesthesia practice was 69% (95% CI, 44-94) for 5-10 years, 62.5% (95% CI, 29-96) for 10-15 years, and 79% (95% CI, 63- 95) for greater than 15 years of practice.

35% (95% CI, 26-44) of participants reported having one or more CPI within the last 5 years (40% of residents, 50% of fellows, 29% of attendings). Occurrence of CPI within the last 5 years based on attending anesthesiologist years of practice was 57% for less than 5 years, 37.5% for 10-15 years, and 20% for 15-20 years of practice. 75% (95% CI, 65-85) reported the incident at the time of injury. 59% (95% CI, 48-70) of injuries were due to hollow bore needles. 50% (95% CI, 39-61) of total injuries were high risk. 26% of injured anesthesia practitioners received post-exposure prophylaxis and there were zero seroconversions.

ConclusionMost anesthesiologists will sustain a contaminated percutaneous injury during their careers. Incidence of these injuries decreases with years of practice. Occurrence of these injuries is high among anesthesia residents, with the majority reporting their injuries. Half of the injuries are high risk with a quarter requiring postexposure prophylaxis. More education and interventions are needed to reduce percutaneous injuries and improve reporting. Impact of tozinameran (BNT162b2) mRNA vaccine on kidney transplant and chronic dialysis patients: 3-5 months followup BackgroundDetermining the humoral immunogenicity of tozinameran (BNT162b2) vaccine in patients requiring chronic renal replacement therapy, and its impact on COVID-19 morbidity several months after vaccination, will guide risk assessment and subsequent changes in vaccination policy.

MethodsIn a prospective post-vaccination cohort study with up to 5 months follow-up we studied outpatient dialysis and kidney transplant patients and respective healthcare teams. Outcomes were anti S1/S2 antibody response to vaccine or infection and infection rate during followup.

Results175 dialysis patients (40% women, 65{+/-}15 years), 252 kidney transplant patients (33% women, 54{+/-}14 years) and 71 controls (65% women, 44{+/-}14 years) were followed. Three months or longer after vaccination we detected anti S1/S2 IgG antibodies in 80% of dialysis patients, 44% of transplant recipients and 100% of controls, whereas respective rates after infection were 94%, 75% and 100%. Predictors of non-response were older age, diabetes, history of cancer, lower lymphocyte count and lower vitamin-D levels. Factors associated with lower titers in dialysis patients were modality (hemodialysis vs peritoneal) and high serum ferritin levels. In transplant patients, hypertension and higher calcineurin or mTOR inhibitor drug levels were linked with diminished antibody response. Vaccination associated with fewer subsequent infections (HR=0.23, p<0.05). Moreover, higher antibody titers associated with fewer events, HR 0.41 for each unit increased in log10titer (p<0.05).

ConclusionsDialysis patients, and more so kidney transplant recipients, mounted reduced antibody response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccination, and lesser humoral response associated with more infections. Measures to identify and protect non-responsive patients are urgently required.

SignificanceReports on the humoral immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines in patients with end stage renal disease are scarce, and association with subsequent COVID-19 morbidity is unknown. In this cohort study that included 175 patients treated with dialysis, 252 kidney transplant recipients and 71 control volunteers, the proportion achieving an antibody response was time- and group-dependent, reaching 80%, 44% and 100% at 3 months post prime inoculation. Personal history of vaccination, positive antibody responses and antibody titers associated with significantly lower risk of COVID-19 infection. Thus, in patients with end stage renal disease, SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing may be warranted after vaccination, to identify non-responders at higher risk for disease. CD19+IgD+CD27- naive B Cells as predictors of humoral response to COVID 19 mRNA vaccination in immunocompromised patients Immunocompromised patients are considered high-risk and prioritized for vaccination against COVID-19. We aimed to analyze B-cell subsets in these patients to identify potential predictors of humoral vaccination response. Patients (n=120) suffering from hematologic malignancies or other causes of immunodeficiency and healthy controls (n=79) received a full vaccination series with an mRNA vaccine. B-cell subsets were analyzed prior to vaccination. Two independent anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoassays targeting the receptor-binding domain (RBD) or trimeric S protein (TSP) were performed three to four weeks after the second vaccination. Seroconversion occurred in 100% of healthy controls, in contrast to 67% (RBD) and 82% (TSP) of immunocompromised patients, while only 32% (RBD) and 22% (TSP) achieved antibody levels comparable to those of healthy controls. The number of circulating CD19+IgD+CD27- naive B cells was strongly associated with antibody levels ({rho}=0.761, P<0.001) and the only independent predictor for achieving antibody levels comparable to healthy controls (OR 1.07 per 10-{micro}l increase, 95%CI 1.02-1.12, P=0.009). Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified a cut-off at [&ge;]61 naive B cells per {micro}l to discriminate between patients with and without an optimal antibody response. Consequently, measuring naive B cells in immunocompromised hematologic patients could be useful in predicting their humoral vaccination response. Brain Networks Associated With COVID-19 Risk: Data From 3,662 Participants BackgroundOur behavioral traits, and subsequent actions, could affect the risk of exposure to the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19). The current study aimed to determine whether unique brain networks are associated with the COVID-19 infection risk.

MethodsThis research was conducted using the UK Biobank Resource. Functional magnetic resonance imaging scans in a cohort of general population (n=3,662) were used to compute the whole-brain functional connectomes. A network-informed machine learning approach was used to identify connectome and nodal fingerprints that are associated with positive COVID-19 status during the pandemic up to February 4th, 2021.

ResultsThe predictive models successfully identified 6 fingerprints that were associated with COVID-19 positive, compared to negative status (all p values < 0.005). Overall, lower integration across the brain modules and increased segregation, as reflected by internal within module connectivity, were associated with higher infection rates. More specifically, COVID-19 positive status was associated with 1) reduced connectivity between the central executive and ventral salience, as well as between the dorsal salience and default mode networks; 2) increased internal connectivity within the default mode, ventral salience, subcortical and sensorimotor networks; and 3) increased connectivity between the ventral salience, subcortical and sensorimotor networks.

ConclusionIndividuals are at increased risk of COVID-19 infections if their brain connectome is consistent with reduced connectivity in the top-down attention and executive networks, along with increased internal connectivity in the introspective and instinctive networks. These identified risk networks could be investigated as target for treatment of illnesses with impulse control deficits. Using explainable machine learning to identifypatients at risk of reattendance at discharge from emergency departments Short-term reattendances to emergency departments are a key quality of care indicator. Identifying patients at increased risk of early reattendance could help reduce the number of missed critical illnesses and could reduce avoidable utilization of emergency departments by enabling targeted post-discharge intervention. In this manuscript we present a retrospective, single-centre study where we created and evaluated an extreme gradient boosted decision tree model trained to identify patients at risk of reattendance within 72 hours of discharge from an emergency department (University Hospitals Southampton Foundation Trust, UK). Our model was trained using 35,447 attendances by 28,945 patients and evaluated on a hold-out test set featuring 8,847 attendances by 7,237 patients. The set of attendances from a given patient appeared exclusively in either the training or the test set. Our model was trained using both visit level variables (e.g., vital signs, arrival mode, and chief complaint) and a set of variables available in a patients electronic patient record, such as age and any recorded medical conditions. On the hold-out test set, our highest performing model obtained an AUROC of 0.747 (95% CI : 0.722-0.773) and an average precision of 0.233 (95% CI : 0.194-0.277). These results demonstrate that machine-learning models can be used to classify patients, with moderate performance, into low and high-risk groups for reattendance. We explained our models predictions using SHAP values, a concept developed from coalitional game theory, capable of explaining predictions at an attendance level. We demonstrated how clustering techniques can be used to investigate the different sub-groups of explanations present in our patient cohort. Adaptation of HL7 FHIR for the exchange of patients' gene expression profiles High-throughput technologies, especially gene expression analyses can accurately capture the molecular state in patients under different conditions. Thus, their application in clinical routine gains increasing relevance and fosters patient stratification towards individualized treatment decisions. Electronic health records already evolved to capture genomic data within clinical systems and standards like FHIR enable sharing within, and even between institutions. However, FHIR only provides profiles tailored to variations in the molecular sequence, while expression patterns are neglected although being equally important for decision making. Here we provide an exemplary implementation of gene expression profiles of a microarray analysis of patients with acute myeloid leukemia using an adaptation of the FHIR genomics extension. Our results demonstrate how FHIR resources can be facilitated in clinical systems and thereby pave the way for usage for the aggregation and exchange of transcriptomic data in multi-center studies. The effects of modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures on offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation: A negative control study ObjectivesO_LITo explore the associations between modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures: pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), pregnancy smoking and alcohol consumption with offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation (MIH).
C_LIO_LITo explore for the presence of residual confounding using negative control analyses.
C_LI

MethodsThis study used data from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective birth cohort. We defined offspring MIH using prospectively collected questionnaire data. We used logistic regression to explore confounder adjusted associations between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy with MIH. We included negative control exposure (paternal BMI, smoking and alcohol around the time of pregnancy) and outcome (offspring dental trauma) analyses to explore for the presence of residual confounding.

Results5536 mother/offspring pairs were included (297 MIH cases [5.4%]). We found a positive association between maternal mean BMI and offspring MIH (OR per 1-kg/m2 difference in maternal BMI: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.08). In subsequent analyses, we found evidence that this effect was non-linear and being driven by women in the highest BMI quintiles. In negative control analyses, we found no evidence of association between paternal BMI and offspring MIH (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.00) and maternal BMI and offspring dental trauma (OR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). There was no clear evidence of an association for maternal pregnancy smoking (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.46, 1.22) and alcohol consumption (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.21) with offspring MIH with results imprecisely estimated.

ConclusionIn summary we found evidence of a possible intrauterine effect of high maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on offspring MIH. We did not find robust evidence for an intrauterine effect of maternal pregnancy smoking or alcohol consumption on offspring MIH. Our findings provide further support for women of reproductive age to maintain a healthy weight. Future studies are warranted to explore possible mechanisms on how the pregnancy environment may relate to offspring MIH. Correction of measurement error in a commercial multiple-breath washout device RationaleNitrogen multiple-breath washout (N2MBW) is an established technique to assess functional residual capacity (FRC) and ventilation inhomogeneity in the lung. Accurate measurement of gas concentrations is essential for the appropriate calculation of clinical outcomes.

ObjectivesWe investigated the accuracy of oxygen and carbon dioxide measurements used for the indirect calculation of nitrogen concentration in a commercial MBW device (Exhalyzer D, Eco Medics AG, Duernten, Switzerland) and its impact on FRC and lung clearance index (LCI).

MethodsHigh precision calibration gas mixtures and mass spectrometry were used to evaluate sensor output. We assessed the impact of corrected signal processing on FRC and LCI in a dataset of healthy children and children with cystic fibrosis using custom analysis software.

ResultsWe found inadequate correction for the cross sensitivity of the oxygen and carbon dioxide sensors in the Exhalyzer D device. This results in an overestimation of expired nitrogen concentration, and consequently FRC and LCI outcomes. Breath-by-breath correction of this error reduced mean (SD) FRC by 8.9 (2.2)% and LCI by 11.9 (4.0)%. It also resulted in almost complete disappearance of the tissue nitrogen signal at the end of measurements.

ConclusionsInadequate correction for cross sensitivity between the oxygen and carbon dioxide gas sensors of the Exhalyzer D device leads to an overestimation of FRC and LCI. Correction of this error is possible and could be applied by re-analysing the measurements breath-by-breath in an updated software version.

Grants, Gifts, Equipment, DrugsEco Medics AG (Duernten, Switzerland) provided a research version of their commercial software Spiroware 3.2.1 including insight on signal processing algorithms and helped with the acquisition of mass spectrometry measurements. This project was funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation, Grant Nr. 182719 (P. Latzin) and 168173 (K. Ramsey) Hyperreflective foci, OCT progression indicators in age-related macular degeneration, include transdifferentiated retinal pigment epithelium PurposeBy optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging, hyperreflective foci (HRF) indicate progression risk for advanced age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and are in part attributable to ectopic retinal pigment epithelium (RPE). We hypothesized that ectopic RPE are molecularly distinct from in-layer cells and that their cross-retinal course follows Muller glia.

MethodIn clinical OCT (61 eyes, 44 AMD patients, 79.4 {+/-} 7.7 years; 29 female; follow-up = 4.7 {+/-} 0.9 years) one HRF type, RPE plume, was reviewed. Twenty eyes of 20 donors characterized by ex vivo OCT were analyzed by histology (normal, 4; early/intermediate AMD, 7; geographic atrophy (GA), 6; 3 neovascular AMD (nvAMD). Cryosections were stained with antibodies to retinoid (RPE65, CRALPB) and immune (CD68, CD163) markers. In published RPE cellular phenotypes, red immunoreactivity was assessed semi-quantitatively by one observer (none, some cells, all cells).

ResultsTrajectories of RPE plume and cellular debris paralleled Muller glia, whether ordered or subsident, near atrophy borders. RPE corresponding to HRF lost immunoreactivity for retinoid markers and gained immunoreactivity for immune markers. Aberrant immunoreactivity appeared in individual in-layer RPE cells and extended to all abnormal phenotypes. Muller glia remained CRALBP-positive. Plume cells approached and contacted retinal capillaries.

ConclusionGain- and loss-of-function starts with individual in-layer RPE cells and extends to all abnormal phenotypes. Down-regulated RPE retinoid handling may impair rod vision while Muller glia sustain cone vision. Evidence for RPE transdifferentiation, possibly due to ischemia, supports a proposed process of epithelial-mesenchyme transition. Data can propel new biomarkers and therapeutic strategies for AMD.

PrecisHyperreflective foci (HRF) are OCT progression risk indicators in age-related macular degeneration. Abnormal RPE cells including some that correspond to HRF lose immunoreactivity for retinoid markers and gain immunoreactivity for immune markers, indicating molecular transdifferentiation.