The effects of modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures on offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation: A negative control study ObjectivesO_LITo explore the associations between modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures: pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), pregnancy smoking and alcohol consumption with offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation (MIH).
C_LIO_LITo explore for the presence of residual confounding using negative control analyses.
C_LI

MethodsThis study used data from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective birth cohort. We defined offspring MIH using prospectively collected questionnaire data. We used logistic regression to explore confounder adjusted associations between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy with MIH. We included negative control exposure (paternal BMI, smoking and alcohol around the time of pregnancy) and outcome (offspring dental trauma) analyses to explore for the presence of residual confounding.

Results5536 mother/offspring pairs were included (297 MIH cases [5.4%]). We found a positive association between maternal mean BMI and offspring MIH (OR per 1-kg/m2 difference in maternal BMI: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.08). In subsequent analyses, we found evidence that this effect was non-linear and being driven by women in the highest BMI quintiles. In negative control analyses, we found no evidence of association between paternal BMI and offspring MIH (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.00) and maternal BMI and offspring dental trauma (OR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). There was no clear evidence of an association for maternal pregnancy smoking (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.46, 1.22) and alcohol consumption (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.21) with offspring MIH with results imprecisely estimated.

ConclusionIn summary we found evidence of a possible intrauterine effect of high maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on offspring MIH. We did not find robust evidence for an intrauterine effect of maternal pregnancy smoking or alcohol consumption on offspring MIH. Our findings provide further support for women of reproductive age to maintain a healthy weight. Future studies are warranted to explore possible mechanisms on how the pregnancy environment may relate to offspring MIH.
Three-dimensional cephalometric landmarking and Frankfort horizontal plane construction: reproducibility of conventional and novel landmarks ObjectivesTo assess manual landmarking repeatability and reproducibility (R&R) of a set of three-dimensional (3D) landmarks and to evaluate R&R of vertical cephalometric measurements using two Frankfort Horizontal (FH) planes as references for horizontal 3D imaging reorientation.

MethodsThirty-three landmarks, divided into "conventional", "foraminal" and "dental", were manually located twice by 3 experienced operators on 20 computed tomography (CT) scans of orthognathic surgery patients. R&R of the landmark localization were computed according to the ISO 5725 standard. These landmarks were then used to construct 2 FH planes: a conventional FH plane (orbitale left, porion right and left) and a newly proposed FH plane (midinternal acoustic foramen, orbitale right and left). R&R of vertical cephalometric measurements were computed using these 2 FH planes as horizontal references for CT reorientation.

ResultsLandmarks showing a 95% confidence interval (CI) of repeatability and/or reproducibility > 2mm were found exclusively in the "conventional" landmarks group. Vertical measurements showed excellent R&R (95% CI < 1mm) with either FH plane as horizontal reference. However, the 2 FH planes were not found to be parallel (absolute angular difference of 2.41{degrees}, SD 1.27{degrees}). The average time needed to landmark one CT scan was 14 {+/-} 3 minutes.

ConclusionsThe "dental" and "foraminal" landmarks tended to be more reliable than the "conventional" landmarks. Despite the poor overall reliability of the landmarks orbitale and porion, the construction of the conventional FH plane using 3 landmarks provided a reliable horizontal reference for 3D craniofacial CT scan reorientation.
Factors affecting first return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair: A retrospective observational study in an occupational medicine clinic and single-surgeon practice BackgroundReturn to work (RTW) following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (aRCR) within New South Wales (NSW), Australia, under compensable schemes has not been reported.

AimsDetermine factors affecting RTW status and time in patients treated with aRCR under state-based compensation schemes, compared to those outside such schemes.

MethodsPatients undergoing aRCR by one surgeon with minimum 1-year follow-up were grouped into those under (CP) or outside (non-CP) workers or vehicle accident compensation schemes, matched by age and gender. RTW status and time were assessed using chi-square analysis and multivariable linear regression.

ResultsOf 1054 available patients, 90 CP patients were identified with 29 consented and matched to non-CP (N=29). A higher proportion of CP patients (17.2 vs 0%, P<0.001) never returned to work and a lower proportion resumed pre-injury duties at first RTW (3 vs 52%, P<0.01). Median time to first RTW did not differ between CP and non-CP groups (5.1 vs 4.4, P=0.86). Smoking (P=0.007) and post-injury activity level (P=0.004) were significantly associated with longer time to first RTW, whereas compensation status was not.

ConclusionsCP patients undergoing aRCR in NSW are at risk of not returning to work. For those that return, there is no significant difference compared to non-CP in time to first RTW. Particularly, patient and management factors associated with extended time to first RTW have been identified. Interventions aimed at modifiable factors such as smoking cessation and increasing preoperative activity may improve future outcomes.

What is already known about this subjectO_LIWork-related injury and disease present a significant financial burden to the Australian economy ($AUD61.8billion per annum), with shoulder conditions due to body stressing accounting for 7% of this total cost (>$AUD4.2billion)
C_LIO_LIPatients receiving compensation appear to have poorer outcomes and take longer to return to work than their non-compensated counterparts, but the degree to which this occurs is variably reported in the literature
C_LIO_LIThe effect of modifiable factors on return to work status and time remain unclear, and have not previously been reported for the Australian population under the New South Wales workers compensation scheme
C_LI

What this study addsO_LIPatients receiving arthroscopic rotator cuff repair under a compensable scheme in New South Wales are at increased risk of not returning to work compared to patients presenting outside of a compensable scheme and patients in equivalent schemes internationally
C_LIO_LIPatients reporting a longer duration of symptoms and smokers are at increased risk of extended time to first return to work
C_LI

What impact this may have on practice or policyO_LIThe study has identified smoking and pre-surgery activity levels as key targets for intervention in patients receiving arthroscopic rotator cuff repair under a workers compensation scheme in New South Wales
C_LIO_LIBy further investigating whether interventions designed to modify these factors are able to favourably affect patient outcomes, there is potential to return patients to their preoperative level of work sooner
C_LI The effect of D-cycloserine on brain processing of breathlessness over pulmonary rehabilitation - an experimental medicine study BackgroundPulmonary rehabilitation is the best treatment for chronic breathlessness in COPD but there remains an unmet need to improve efficacy. Pulmonary rehabilitation has strong parallels with exposure-based cognitive behavioural therapies (CBT), both clinically and in terms of brain activity patterns. The partial NMDA-receptor agonist, D-cycloserine has shown promising results in enhancing efficacy of CBT, thus we hypothesised that it would similarly augment the effects of pulmonary rehabilitation in the brain. Positive findings would support further development in phase 3 clinical trials.

Methods72 participants with mild-to-moderate COPD were recruited to a double-blind pre-registered (ID: NCT01985750) experimental medicine study running parallel to a pulmonary rehabilitation course. Participants were randomised to 250mg D-cycloserine or placebo, administered immediately prior to the first four sessions of pulmonary rehabilitation. Primary outcome measures were differences between D-cycloserine and placebo in brain activity in the anterior insula, posterior insula, anterior cingulate cortices, amygdala and hippocampus following completion of pulmonary rehabilitation. Secondary outcomes included the same measures at an intermediate time point and voxel-wise difference across wider brain regions.

ResultsNo difference between D-cycloserine and placebo groups was observed across the primary or secondary outcome measures. Questionnaire and measures of respiratory function showed no group difference.

ConclusionsThis is the first study testing brain-active drugs in pulmonary rehabilitation. Rigorous trial methodology and validated surrogate end-points maximised statistical power. Although increasing evidence supports therapeutic modulation of NMDA pathways to treat symptoms, we conclude that a phase 3 clinical trial of D-cycloserine would not be worthwhile.

Key MessagesO_ST_ABSWhat is the key question?C_ST_ABSDoes the partial NMDA-receptor agonist, D-cycloserine, augment the effects of pulmonary rehabilitation on breathlessness related brain activity?

What is the bottom line?Rigorous trial methodology and validated surrogate end-points revealed no effect of D-cycloserine on breathlessness related brain activity across pulmonary rehabilitation.

Why read on?This study highlights both the value of functional magnetic resonance imaging in "de-risking" expensive clinical trials and provides detailed investigation of brain-targeted points for pharmacological treatments of breathlessness. Caffeine and Methylliberine: A Human Pharmacokinetic Interaction Study Methylliberine and theacrine are methylurates found in the leaves of various Coffea species and Camellia assamica var. kucha, respectively. We previously demonstrated that the methylxanthine caffeine increased theacrines oral bioavailability in humans. Consequently, we conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled study pharmacokinetic study in humans administered methylliberine, theacrine, and caffeine to determine methylliberines pharmacokinetic interaction potential with either caffeine or theacrine. Subjects (n = 12) received an oral dose of either methylliberine (25 or 100 mg), caffeine (150 mg), methylliberine (100 mg) plus caffeine (150 mg), or methylliberine (100 mg) plus theacrine (50 mg) using a randomized, double-blind, crossover design. Blood samples were collected over 24 hours and analyzed for methylliberine, theacrine, and caffeine using UPLC-MS/MS. Methylliberine exhibited linear pharmacokinetics that were unaffected by co-administration of either caffeine or theacrine. However, methylliberine co-administration resulted in decreased oral clearance (41.9 {+/-} 19.5 vs. 17.1 {+/-} 7.80 L/hr) and increased half-life (7.2 {+/-} 5.6 versus 15 {+/-} 5.8 hrs) of caffeine. Methylliberine had no impact on caffeines maximum concentration (440 {+/-} 140 vs. 458 {+/-} 93.5 ng/mL) or oral volume of distribution (351 {+/-} 148 vs. 316 {+/-} 76.4 L). We previously demonstrated theacrine bioavailability was enhanced by caffeine, however, caffeine pharmacokinetics were unaffected by theacrine. Herein, we found that methylliberine altered caffeine pharmacokinetics without a reciprocal interaction, which suggests caffeine may interact uniquely with different methylurates. Understanding the mechanism(s) of interaction between methylxanthines and methylurates is of critical importance in light of the recent advent of dietary supplements containing both purine alkaloid classes. The role of classroom volume, occupancy, voice reduction and ffp2 masks in transmission risk of SARS-CoV2 in schools Issues linked to aerosol physics within school buildings and related infection risk still lack a proper recognition in school safety regulations. In this theoretical work we try to shed more light on the critical role of air ventilation, classroom volume, occupancy, and face mask types (surgical vs ffp2) in controlling airborne transmission risk in educational settings. Limited spaces available in many schools require to precisely assess the occupancy/volume ratio in each classroom and to investigate the specific risk levels from aerosolization of viral loads from infective sources. Moreover, most schools are not provided with mechanical HVAC systems. Fundamental questions are therefore: how the specific classroom volume affects the long-range contagion risk in a given classroom? is linear social distancing the right way to assess a volumetric risk problem? How effective are other countermeasures like reduced speaking volume or equipping teachers with microphones? We present here the results of a numerical analysis based on the Gammaitoni-Nucci infection risk model and the consolidated Wells-Riley like approach, with SARS-CoV2 input data and geometric data from a typical high-school classroom in Italy. We investigated separately the case of infective asymptomatic student and infective asymptomatic teacher as source of viral quanta, taking into account thermal gradient effects on the air ventilation rates. First recommendations based on the volumetric nature of aerosol risk are suggested to extend the linear social distancing approach applied so far. Finally we discuss the concept of "cumulative infection risk" over multiple lesson+break cycles in Wells-Riley-like infection models. We believe that any attempt to proper model infection risk in closed environments with cycled changes of the source and the susceptible individuals, should carefully consider this point, particularly when modelling air ventilation breaks in classrooms. Decreased Diastolic Hydraulic Forces Incrementally Associate With Survival Beyond Conventional Measures of Diastolic Dysfunction AIMSDecreased hydraulic forces during diastole contribute to reduced left ventricular (LV) filling and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. However, their association with diastolic function and patient outcomes are unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the association between diastolic hydraulic forces, estimated by echocardiography as the atrioventricular area difference (AVAD), and both diastolic function and survival.

METHODS AND RESULTSPatients (n=11,734, median [interquartile range] 3.9 [2.4-5.0] years follow-up, 1,213 events) were selected from the National Echo Database Australia based on the presence of relevant transthoracic echocardiographic measures, LV ejection fraction (LVEF) [&ge;]50%, heart rate 50-100 beats/minute, the absence of moderate or severe valvular disease, and no prior cardiac surgery. AVAD was calculated as the cross-sectional area difference between the LV and left atrium. LV diastolic dysfunction was graded according to 2016 guidelines. AVAD was weakly associated with E/e, left atrial volume index, and LVEF (multivariable global R2=0.15, p<0.001), and not associated with e and peak tricuspid regurgitation velocity. Decreased AVAD was independently associated with poorer survival, and demonstrated improved model discrimination after adjustment for diastolic function grading (C-statistic [95% confidence interval] 0.645 [0.629-0.662] vs 0.607 [0.592-0.623], p<0.001) and E/e (0.639 [0.623-0.655] vs 0.621 [0.604-0.637], p<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONDecreased hydraulic forces, estimated by AVAD, are weakly associated with diastolic dysfunction and demonstrate an incremental prognostic association with survival beyond conventional measures used to grade diastolic dysfunction. Using controlled interrupted time series to estimate the population-level effects of Ontario's recently implemented overdose prevention sites and consumption and treatment services BackgroundOntario recently implemented overdose prevention sites and consumption and treatment services (OPS/CTS) to stem the harms of the opioid epidemic. We tested whether operating any site improved local opioid-related health service use and mortality rates.

MethodsWe used monthly counts of all opioid-related emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and deaths between January 2014 and December 2020 for our outcomes. For each public health unit (PHU) that implemented any OPS/CTS, we created a synthetic control as a weighted combination of unexposed PHU. We estimated the population-level effects of operating any site using controlled interrupted time series with segmented regression and adjusted for time varying confounders (i.e. OPS/CTS capacity, naloxone kits distributed, and persons receiving opioid agonist treatment per 100,000 population). We repeated the analysis using a multiple baseline approach to estimate province-wide effects.

ResultsBetween 2017 and 2020, nine out of 34 PHU implemented at least one OPS/CTS. ED visit (RR=0.96, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.99) and hospitalization (RR=0.95, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.98) trends declined faster among treated units. Improvements in local ED visit rate trends were observed for the majority of treated units. Hospitalization rates declined faster for London (RR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.95 - 0.99) and Niagara (RR=0.95, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.98); while mortality rates declined faster for Hamilton (RR=0.93, 95%CI: 0.90 - 0.96), Niagara (RR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.94 - 0.99) and Guelph (RR=0.94, 95%CI: 0.88 - 1.00).

ConclusionAlthough OPS/CTS are not sufficient to stem the harms of the opioid overdose epidemic on their own, they play a critical role in local harm reduction strategies. Human lipoproteins comprise at least 12 different classes that are lognormally distributed. Lipoproteins in medical samples have been measured by enzymatic methods that coincide with conventional ultracentrifugation. However, the high gravity and time required for ultracentrifugation can cause sample degradation. This study presents the results of HPLC, a gentler and rapid separation method, for 55 human serum samples. The elution patterns were analysed parametrically, and the attribute of each class was confirmed biochemically. Human samples contained 12 classes of lipoproteins, each of which may consist primarily of proteins. There are three classes of VLDLs. The level of each class was distributed lognormally, and the standard amount and the 95% range were estimated. Enzymatic methods measure the levels of several mixed classes. This lognormal character suggests that the levels are controlled by the synergy of multiple factors. Why one size fits all is not enough when designing covid-19 immunity certificates for domestic use: a UK wide cross-sectional online survey ObjectivesThe present study explored publics willingness to use COVID-19 immunity certificates across six different domestic scenarios.

DesignCross-sectional online survey.

SettingUK representative survey conducted on the 3rd of August 2021.

Participants534 UK residents over 18 years old.

InterventionsParticipants replied to the same set of questions.

Primary and secondary outcome measuresThe primary outcome measure was willingness to use immunity certificates across three different domestic settings (1. Visiting the GP for a non-urgent health issue, 2. Dining in a restaurant, and 3. Attending a performance in a theatre). For each setting two options, one prioritising convenience (option A) and the other privacy (option B), were offered. Our secondary outcome measures were computed indices from items adapted from the Health Belief Model; Attitudes towards sharing immunity status with service providers; Prior to COVID-19 lifestyle. In addition, we recorded data about respondents socio-demographic characteristics.

ResultsRespondents were more willing to use immunity certificates that prioritised convenience, rather than privacy, when visiting their GP (92%). However, privacy was more favorable (84%) in the other two settings (dining in a restaurant and going to a theatre) compared to convenience (39%). Personal beliefs about COVID-19 and immunity certificates were associated with variations in willingness to use these across all scenarios. No variations were observed across socio-demographics and lifestyle.

ConclusionsThe findings of this survey suggest that there is not one size fits all solution for designing immunity certificates. Immunity certificates are complex socio-technical systems, any attempt to implement these for domestic use should be tailored to different settings and user needs. The design of certification services requires a more evidence-based approach and further research is needed to understand how different settings, design elements (like convenience or privacy) and personal beliefs about the pandemic should inform their design.

Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIThis study presents unique knowledge about the publics willingness to use immunity certificates for domestic purposes where there is very little published research at the moment.
C_LIO_LIThe study reports knowledge about the interaction between individual characteristics, domestic settings, and types of immunity certificate design on willingness to use these certificates.
C_LIO_LIUK nationally representative sample for age, gender, and ethnic background, but limited to people who have the means and capacity to use digital technologies (survey administered using Prolific.co).
C_LIO_LIWe present evidence-based recommendations for Public Health services and policy makers about the use of immunity certificates in different domestic settings.
C_LIO_LISince, as to the writing of this paper, COVID-19 certification has not been mandated in the UK, the scenarios used in the survey were hypothetical.
C_LI Simple risk scores to predict hospitalization or death in outpatients with COVID-19 including the Omicron variant ImportanceOutpatient physicians need guidance to support their clinical decisions regarding management of patients with COVID-19, in particular whether to hospitalize a patient and if managed as an outpatient, how closely to follow them.

ObjectiveTo develop and prospectively validate a clinical prediction rule to predict the likelihood of hospitalization for outpatients with COVID-19 that does not require laboratory testing or imaging.

DesignDerivation and temporal validation of a clinical prediction rule, and prospective validation of two externally derived clinical prediction rules.

SettingPrimary and Express care clinics in a Pennsylvania health system.

ParticipantsPatients 12 years and older presenting to outpatient clinics who had a positive polymerase chain reaction test for COVID-19.

Main outcomes and measuresClassification accuracy (percentage in each risk group hospitalized) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

ResultsOverall, 7.4% of outpatients in the early derivation cohort (5843 patients presenting before 3/1/21) and 5.5% in the late validation cohort (3806 patients presenting 3/1/21 or later) were ultimately hospitalized. We developed and temporally validated three risk scores that all included age, dyspnea, and the presence of comorbidities, adding respiratory rate for the second score and oxygen saturation for the third. All had very good overall accuracy (AUC 0.77 to 0.78) and classified over half of patients in the validation cohort as very low risk with a 1.7% or lower likelihood of hospitalization. Two externally derived risk scores identified more low risk patients, but with a higher overall risk of hospitalization (2.8%).

Conclusions and relevanceSimple risk scores applicable to outpatient and telehealth settings can identify patients with very low (1.6% to 1.7%), low (5.2% to 5.9%), moderate (14.7% to 15.6%), and high risk (32.0% to 34.2%) of hospitalization. The Lehigh Outpatient COVID Hospitalization (LOCH) risk score is available online as a free app: https://ebell-projects.shinyapps.io/LehighRiskScore/. Declines and pronounced state disparities in prescription opioid distribution in the United States BackgroundThe United States (US) opioid epidemic is a persistent and pervasive public health emergency as it continues to claim the lives of Americans through addiction and overdose. There have been sustained efforts to reverse this iatrogenic crisis over the past decade. This study analyzed the changes in prescription opioid distribution for pain and identified regional differences between 2010 and 2019.

Methods and FindingsOpioid production data was obtained from the DEAs annual production quotas. Total opioid production has decreased 41.5% from 2013 (87.6 morphine mg equivalent metric tons) to 2019 (51.3). Opioid distribution from 2010 to 2019 was collected for ten prescription opioids (codeine, fentanyl, hydrocodone, hydromorphone, meperidine, methadone, morphine, oxycodone, oxymorphone, and tapentadol) from the US Drug Enforcement Administrations Automation of Reports and Consolidated Orders System. Regional variance was expressed as the ratio of the 95th to 5th percentiles of opioid distribution per state, corrected for population. The peak year for all ten prescription opioids was identified, individually, as between 2010 and 2013, except for codeine (2015). There was a 51.96% overall decrease in opioid distribution per capita with the largest decrease in Florida (-61.61%) and smallest in Texas (-18.64%). The largest quantities of opioid distribution were observed in Tennessee (520.70 morphine mg equivalent or MME per person) and Delaware (251.45) in 2011 and 2019. The smallest was Nebraska (153.39) in 2011 and Minnesota (90.49) in 2019. The highest to lowest state ratio of total opioid use, corrected for population, was sizable in 2011 (5.25) and 2019 (2.78). Similarly, the mean 95th/5th ratio was relatively stable in from 2011 (4.78 +0.70) and 2019 (5.64+0.98). The 95th/5th ratio in 2019 was greatest for methadone (10.23) and oxymorphone (10.09) and smallest for morphine (2.20) and fentanyl (2.12). Southern states (e.g MS, TN, AL, AK, DE, and NC) had the highest per capita distribution for eight of the ten opioids in 2019. The strength of the correlation between per capita hydrocodone and codeine, and hydromorphone and codeine increased significantly from 2011 to 2019

ConclusionsThis study found a decline in total production and distribution for ten prescription opioids during the last half-decade. However, distribution was non-homogeneous at a state level. Analysis of regional differences revealed a three-fold difference in the 95th:5th percentile ratio between states which was unchanged over the past decade. Future research focused on identifying factors contributing to the observed regional variability could prove valuable to understanding, and potentially remediating, the pronounced disparities in prescription opioid use in the US. The incidence of delirium in an acute geriatric community hospital: an observational cohort feasibility study. ObjectivesDelirium in hospitalised older adults is associated with negative health outcomes. Admission to an alternative care setting may lower the incidence of delirium. The Acute Geriatric Community Hospital (AGCH) was recently opened in the Netherlands and uses a multi-component non-pharmacological intervention strategy to prevent delirium. The objective of this study was to describe the incidence of delirium at the AGCH and compare this incidence to existing rates from literature. If a possible effect on delirium is seen in this comparison this would support conducting a larger prospectively controlled study on delirium in this new care setting.

DesignProspective cohort feasibility study; exploratory meta-analysis of proportions.

Setting and ParticipantsThe AGCH is an acute geriatric unit in a skilled nursing facility for patients aged >65 years with acute medical conditions.

MethodsDelirium assessment using the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) upon admission and on day one, two and three or until delirium had resolved. Patients charts were reviewed if CAM was missing. In an linear mixed-effects model, the delirium incidence rate in AGCH was compared to pooled delirium incidence rates from six studies found in a high-quality review.

Results214 patients from the AGCH (mean age 81.9 years, 47% male, 12% with a history of dementia) were included in the analysis. Delirium developed in 8% (18/214) (95% confidence interval [CI] 5-13%) of patients during AGCH admission compared to 16% (95% CI 12-21%) in hospitals. Admission to the AGCH was associated with a decreased delirium incidence rate compared to the hospital control group (OR[odds ratio]= 0.49, 95% CI 0.24-0.98, p-value=0.044).

Conclusions and implicationsThe delirium incidence in the AGCH was low compared to those incidences found in general hospitals in literature. Based on these findings a controlled observational or randomized study measuring delirium in this care setting is recommended. Epicardial adipose tissue thickness is associated with increased COVID-19 severity and mortality BACKGROUNDIncreased adiposity and visceral obesity have been linked to adverse COVID-19 outcomes. The amount of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) may have relevant implications given its proximity to the heart and lungs. Here, we explored the role of EAT in increasing the risk for COVID-19 adverse outcomes.

METHODSWe included 748 patients with COVID-19 attending a reference center in Mexico City. EAT thickness, sub-thoracic and extra-pericardial fat were measured using thoracic CT scans. We explored the association of each thoracic adipose tissue compartment with COVID-19 mortality and severe COVID-19 (defined as mortality and need for invasive mechanical ventilation), according to the presence or absence of obesity. Mediation analyses evaluated the role of EAT in facilitating the effect of age, body mass index and cardiac troponin levels with COVID-19 outcomes.

RESULTSEAT thickness was associated with increased risk of COVID-19 mortality (HR 1.18, 95%CI 1.01-1.39) independent of age, gender, comorbid conditions and BMI. Increased EAT was associated with lower SpO2 and PaFi index and higher levels of cardiac troponins, D-dimer, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, and 4C severity score, independent of obesity. EAT mediated 13.1% (95%CI 3.67-28.0%) and 5.1% (95%CI 0.19-14.0%) of the effect of age and 19.4% (95%CI 4.67-63.0%) and 12.8% (95%CI 0.03-46.0%) of the effect of BMI on requirement for intubation and mortality, respectively. EAT also mediated the effect of increased cardiac troponins on myocardial infarction during COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONEAT is an independent risk factor for severe COVID-19 and mortality independent of obesity. EAT partly mediates the effect of age and BMI and increased cardiac troponins on adverse COVID-19 outcomes. The energy balance theory: an unsatisfactory model of body composition fluctuations Differential weight and fat losses under isocaloric diets of distinct macronutrient composition are well-documented findings in obesity research.1-6 Such data are considered a result of inadequate methodology as it disagree with the energy balance theory.7 A recent mathematical analysis of this paradigm has found, however, serious analytical contradictions in its foundations.8 As an alternative, a mass balance model was proposed to explain the aforesaid body composition alterations. Here, we expand on this observation by contrasting both models. We show that mass balance explains a wide range of fending experiments including those concurring with the energy balance principle. The latter, however, is less flexible and results in poor forecasts in settings consistent with mass balance. The energy balance theory is thus an unsatisfactory model of body composition changes. Consequently, by shifting to a mass balance paradigm of obesity a much deeper understanding of this disease may follow in the near future. Culture and understanding the role of feedback for health professions students: Realist synthesis protocol. IntroductionClinical education has moved to a "competency-based" model with an emphasis on workplace-based learning and assessment which, in turn, depends on feedback to be effective. Further, the understanding of feedback has changed from information about a performance directed to the learner performing the task, to a dialogue, which enables the learner to act and develop.

In health professional education, feedback is a complex interaction between trainee, supervisor, and the healthcare system. Most published research on feedback in health professional education originates in Europe and North America. Our interest is on the impact of Culture on this process, particularly in the context of Asian cultures.

The (scientific) realist approach of Pawson and Tilley provides a means to examine complex interventions in social situations, and thus is an appropriate lens to use for this study. This is a protocol for a realist synthesis which asks how, why and in what circumstances do Asian Cultures influence health professional trainees to seek, respond to and use feedback given in the clinical environment, if at all.

Methods and analysisAn initial search was performed to help define the scope of the review question and develop our initial program theory. The formal electronic search was carried out in February 2020 and included: CINAHL, ERIC, MEDLINE, and PsycInfo, and repeated in October 2020.

Retrieved articles were imported into Covidence for screening and data extraction, after which components of the Context - Mechanisms - Outcomes configurations will be sought to refine the initial program theory.

Ethics and DisseminationAs this study is a literature review, ethics approval is not required.

The findings will be documented in line with the RAMESES publications standards for Realist syntheses,[41] and we plan to disseminate the findings by means of a peer-reviewed journal article and conference presentation(s).

Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIThe synthesis aims to identify the how and why Asian Cultures may influence feedback seeking and provision to health professional trainees, if at all.
C_LIO_LITo our knowledge, there are few studies of feedback seeking and provision to health professional trainees in Asia.
C_LIO_LIA Realist approach has the potential to help explain the complex nature of Cultures impact on feedback.
C_LIO_LIOnly studies published in the English language will be included, so transferability of our findings to non-English speaking environments may be lacking.
C_LIO_LIIn addition to formal literature database searches, we will need to conduct citation mining to locate other relevant resources.
C_LI Dynamic of humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 anti Nucleocapsid and Spike proteins after CoronaVac vaccination BackgroundThis study aimed to calculate the seroconversion rate of the CoronaVac vaccine in healthcare workers (HCWs) after immunization.

MethodsSerum samples from 133 HCWs from Southern Brazil were collected one day before (Day 0) and +10, +20, +40, + 60, +110 days after administering the vaccines first dose. Immunoglobulin G (IgG) was quantified using immunoassays for anti-N-protein (nucleocapsid) antibodies (Abbott, Sligo, Ireland) and for anti-S1 (spike) protein antibodies (Euroimmun, Lubeck, Germany).

ResultsSeroconversion by day 40 occurred in 129 (97%) HCWs for the S1 protein, and in 69 (51.87%) HCWs for the N protein. An absence of IgG antibodies (by both methodologies), occurred in two (1.5%) HCWs undergoing semiannual rituximab administration, and also in another two (1.5%) HCWs with no apparent reason.

ConclusionThis study showed that CoronaVac has a high seroconversion rate when evaluated in an HCW population.

FundingThis work was supported by the PROPLAN/Federal University of Parana, Curitiba-Parana, Brazil; FINEP, Funder of Studies and Projects, Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation, Brazil Institutional Network, Project: Laboratories for Diagnostic Tests for COVID-19 (0494/20). Psychological factors associated with instrumental activities of daily living disability in older adults with knee osteoarthritis PurposeThe population of older adults with knee osteoarthritis (OA)-related disabilities is increasing globally. This study aimed to investigate the psychological factors associated with instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) disability in older adults with knee OA.

Materials and MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted on 179 patients with knee OA aged [&ge;] 65 years. The six-item short form of the Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS-6), the four-item short form of the Pain Self-Efficacy Questionnaire (PSEQ-4), and the fifteen-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15) were used to assess psychological factors. IADL status was assessed using eight activity items. Participants were divided into IADL-disabled and non-disabled groups. Binary logistic regression analyses were performed with the IADL disability status as the dependent variable. The PCS-6, PSEQ-4, and GDS-15 tools were included as independent variables in the logistic regression model. Demographics, motor functions, and pain intensity were also included as confounders.

ResultsOf the total participants, 88 (49.1%) showed disability in conducting IADL. PSEQ-4 (odds ratio =0.90, 95%; confidence interval=0.82-0.99, p=0.02) was a significant independent variable among all psychological factors.

ConclusionOur study showed the importance of assessing self-efficacy using the PSEQ-4 in relation to IADL disability in older adults with knee OA. Social Cognition in Temporal and Frontal Lobe Epilepsy: Systematic review, Meta-analysis, and Clinical Recommendations ObjectiveDespite the importance of social cognitive functions to mental health and social adjustment, assessment of these functions is absent in routine assessment of epilepsy patients. Thus, this review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the literature on four major aspects of social cognition among temporal and frontal lobe epilepsy, which is a critical step towards designing new interventions.

MethodPapers from 1990-2021 were reviewed and examined for inclusion in this study. After the deduplication process, a systematic review and meta-analysis of 44 and 40 articles, respectively, involving 113 people with frontal lobe epilepsy and 1482 people with temporal lobe epilepsy were conducted.

ResultsOur results indicated that while patients with frontal or temporal lobe epilepsy have difficulties in all aspects of social cognition relative to non-clinical controls, the effect sizes were larger for theory of mind (g= 0.95), than for emotion recognition (g=0.69) among temporal lobe epilepsy group. The frontal lobe epilepsy group exhibited significantly greater impairment in emotion recognition compared to temporal lobe. Additionally, people with right temporal lobe epilepsy (g= 1.10) performed more poorly than those with a left-sided (g= 0.90) seizure focus, specifically in the theory of mind domain.

ConclusionsThese data point to a potentially important difference in the severity of deficits within the emotion recognition and theory of mind abilities depending on the laterlization of seizure side. We also suggest a guide for the assessment of impairments in social cognition that can be integrated into multidisciplinary clinical evaluation for people with epilepsy Covid-19 Associated Hepatitis in children (CAH-C) during the second wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Central India: Is it a complication or transient phenomenon. Objective: While pediatric population has largely remained free of severe COVID-19, in some cases SARS-CoV-2 infection has been associated with complications like Multiple Inflammatory Syndrome in children (MIS-C). We mention another unique presentation subsequent to asymptomatic infection of SARS-CoV-2, a unique form of hepatitis designated by us as COVID-19 Associated Hepatitis in Children (CAH-C). The contrasting clinical presentations, temporal association and viral parameters of CAH-C cases, to the MIS-C cases are presented here. Methods: As a retrospective and follow-up observational study we reviewed all children testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 during study period. Children presenting with sudden onset of hepatitis, elevated transaminases, non-obstructive jaundice, lacking marked inflammatory responses and without evidence of (a) other known causes of acute hepatitis or previous underlying liver disease (b) multi-system involvement were classified as CAH-C, are described here. Results: Among 475 children who tested positive, 47 patients presented with hepatitis, 37 patients who had features of CAH-C, having symptoms of hepatitis only, with un-elevated inflammatory markers and uneventful recovery following supportive treatment. Whereas remaining 10 MIS-C hepatitis had protracted illness, multiple system involvement, required admission to critical care, and had mortality of 30%. Conclusion: With the emergence of newer variants of concern (VOC) including the Delta variant which predominated the second wave of infections in India and has now spread to more than 142 countries with changing presentations, CAH-C might be one of them. Cases of such new entities need to be identified early and differentiated from other emerging syndromes in children during the ongoing pandemic for preventing adversities by timely intervention. Molecular analysis suggests oligoclonality and metastasis of endometriosis lesions across anatomically defined subtypes. Endometriosis symptoms are heterogeneous with controversy on whether it constitutes a single disease or multiple distinct types. Our previous work found recurrent somatic cancer-driver alterations in endometriosis; however, these have not been found ubiquitously. A handful of cases spread across studies also suggest mutations might be shared (clonal) between lesions of the same type. As current classification systems correlate poorly with symptoms or outcomes, somatic genomics may improve the current system. Here, we investigate heterogeneity of somatic cancer-driver mutations within patients and across endometriosis types. We examined anatomically distinct types of endometriosis (ovarian, deep infiltrating, and superficial endometriosis) in 27 individual patients all of whom had at least two types of endometriosis. Specimens were analyzed using high-sensitivity targeted sequencing with orthogonal validation from droplet digital PCR and mutation-surrogate immunohistochemistry. Results found 13/27 patients had informative somatic driver mutation in endometriosis, 9/13 had identical mutations across distinct lesions. Endometriomas tended to have a higher mutational complexity, with functionally redundant driver mutations in same gene and within the same lesions.

Our data are consistent with clonality across endometriosis lesions regardless of subtype. Further the finding of redundancy in mutations with the same gene and lesions is also consistent with endometriosis representing an oligoclonal disease with dissemination likely to consist of multiple epithelial clones travelling together. This suggests the current anatomically defined classification of endometriosis does not fully recognize the etiology of the disease. A novel classification should take into account genomic and other molecular features. These findings could further contribute to development of a more personalized endometriosis diagnosis and care. Substance Use Onset in High-Risk 9-13 Year-Olds in the ABCD Study AimA key aim of the Adolescent Brain Cognitive DevelopmentSM (ABCD) Study is to document substance use onset, patterns, and sequelae across adolescent development. However, substance use misreporting obscures accurate drug use characterization. Hair toxicology tests provide objective historical substance use data, but are rarely investigated in youth. Here, we compare objective hair toxicology results with self-reported substance use in youth.

MethodsA literature-based substance use risk algorithm identified 696 ABCD Study(R) participants for hair sample collections between baseline and 2-year follow-up (spanning ages 9-13) for laboratory analysis. Chi-square and t-tests assessed differences between participants demographics, positive and negative hair tests, risk algorithm scores, and self-reported substance use.

ResultsHair testing confirmed that 17% of at-risk 9-13 year-olds had evidence of past 3-month use of one (n=99), two (n=17), three (n=3), or four (n=2) drug classes. After considering prescribed medication use, 11% had a positive test incongruent with self- or parent-report. No participant with a positive result self-reported substance use consistent with their toxicology results. Participants with positive tests under-reported use (p<.001), reported less sipping of alcohol (p<.001), and scored higher on the risk algorithm (p<.001) than those with negative hair toxicology.

ConclusionsAn alarming 11% of tested samples in at-risk 9-13 year-olds were positive for at least one unreported substance, suggesting underreporting in this population when participating in a national healthy development study. The degree of underreporting cannot yet be calculated, as at-risk samples were prioritized for assays. Expanded toxicology testing is key to characterize substance use in youth. Hyperreflective foci, OCT progression indicators in age-related macular degeneration, include transdifferentiated retinal pigment epithelium PurposeBy optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging, hyperreflective foci (HRF) indicate progression risk for advanced age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and are in part attributable to ectopic retinal pigment epithelium (RPE). We hypothesized that ectopic RPE are molecularly distinct from in-layer cells and that their cross-retinal course follows Muller glia.

MethodIn clinical OCT (61 eyes, 44 AMD patients, 79.4 {+/-} 7.7 years; 29 female; follow-up = 4.7 {+/-} 0.9 years) one HRF type, RPE plume, was reviewed. Twenty eyes of 20 donors characterized by ex vivo OCT were analyzed by histology (normal, 4; early/intermediate AMD, 7; geographic atrophy (GA), 6; 3 neovascular AMD (nvAMD). Cryosections were stained with antibodies to retinoid (RPE65, CRALPB) and immune (CD68, CD163) markers. In published RPE cellular phenotypes, red immunoreactivity was assessed semi-quantitatively by one observer (none, some cells, all cells).

ResultsTrajectories of RPE plume and cellular debris paralleled Muller glia, whether ordered or subsident, near atrophy borders. RPE corresponding to HRF lost immunoreactivity for retinoid markers and gained immunoreactivity for immune markers. Aberrant immunoreactivity appeared in individual in-layer RPE cells and extended to all abnormal phenotypes. Muller glia remained CRALBP-positive. Plume cells approached and contacted retinal capillaries.

ConclusionGain- and loss-of-function starts with individual in-layer RPE cells and extends to all abnormal phenotypes. Down-regulated RPE retinoid handling may impair rod vision while Muller glia sustain cone vision. Evidence for RPE transdifferentiation, possibly due to ischemia, supports a proposed process of epithelial-mesenchyme transition. Data can propel new biomarkers and therapeutic strategies for AMD.

PrecisHyperreflective foci (HRF) are OCT progression risk indicators in age-related macular degeneration. Abnormal RPE cells including some that correspond to HRF lose immunoreactivity for retinoid markers and gain immunoreactivity for immune markers, indicating molecular transdifferentiation. Economic evaluation of disease elimination: an extension to the net-benefit framework and application to human African trypanosomiasis The global health community has earmarked a number of diseases for elimination or eradication, and these goals have often been praised on the premise of long-run cost-savings. However, decision-makers must contend with a multitude of demands on health budgets in the short- or medium-term, and costs-per-case often rise as the burden of a disease falls, rendering such efforts beyond the cost-effective use of scarce resources. In addition, these decisions must be made in the presence of substantial uncertainty regarding the feasibility and costs of elimination or eradication efforts. Therefore, analytical frameworks are necessary to consider the additional effort for reaching global goals, like elimination or eradication, that are beyond the cost-effective use of country resources. We propose a modification to the net-benefit framework to consider the implications of switching from an optimal strategy, in terms of cost-per-burden-averted, to a strategy with a higher likelihood of meeting the global target of elimination of transmission by a specified date. We illustrate the properties of our framework by considering the economic case of efforts to eliminate transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT), a vector-borne parasitic disease in West and Central Africa, by 2030.

Significance StatementVarious diseases are earmarked for elimination by the global health community. While the health economic implications of elimination have been discussed before, the combination of uncertainty, cost-effectiveness in terms of cases averted, and elimination in the face of rising per-case costs has not been tackled before. We propose an approach that considers the tension between the dual objectives of cost-effectiveness and elimination while incorporating uncertainty in these objectives. We apply our method to strategies against human African trypanosomiasis in three settings, but this method could be directly applied to simulation-based studies of the cost-effectiveness of other disease elimination efforts. The method yields common metrics of efficiency when stakeholders have different objectives.