Significant Sparse Polygenic Risk Scores across 813 traits in UK Biobank We present a systematic assessment of polygenic risk score (PRS) prediction across more than 1,500 traits using genetic and phenotype data in the UK Biobank. We report 813 sparse PRS models with significant (p < 2.5 x 10-5) incremental predictive performance when compared against the covariate-only model that considers age, sex, types of genotyping arrays, and the principal component loadings of genotypes. We report a significant correlation between the number of genetic variants selected in the sparse PRS model and the incremental predictive performance (Spearmans {rho} = 0.61, p = 2.2 x 10-59 for quantitative traits, {rho} = 0.21, p = 9.6 x 10-4 for binary traits). The sparse PRS model trained on European individuals showed limited transferability when evaluated on non-European individuals in the UK Biobank. We provide the PRS model weights on the Global Biobank Engine (https://biobankengine.stanford.edu/prs).

Author summaryPolygenic risk scores (PRSs), an approach to estimate genetic predisposition on disease liability by aggregating the effects across multiple genetic variants, has attracted increasing research interest. While there have been improvements in the predictive performance of PRS for some traits, the applicability of PRS models across a wide range of human traits has not been clear. Here, applying penalized regression using Batch Screening Iterative Lasso (BASIL) algorithm to more than 269,000 individuals of white British ancestry in UK Biobank, we systematically characterize PRS models across more than 1,500 traits. We report 813 traits with PRS models of statistically significant predictive performance. While the statistical significance does not necessarily directly translate into clinical relevance, we investigate the properties of the 813 significant PRS models and report a significant correlation between predictive performance and estimated SNP-based heritability. We find that the number of genetic variants selected in our sparse PRS model is significantly correlated with the incremental predictive performance in both quantitative and binary traits. Our transferability assessment of PRS models in UK Biobank revealed that the sparse PRS models trained on individuals of European ancestry had a lower predictive performance for individuals of African and Asian ancestry groups.
Gene-level germline contributions to clinical risk of recurrence scores in Black and White breast cancer patients Continuous risk of recurrence scores (CRS) based on tumor gene expression are vital prognostic tools for breast cancer (BC). Studies have shown that Black women (BW) have higher CRS than White women (WW). Although systemic injustices contribute substantially to BC disparities, evidence for biological and germline contributions is emerging. We investigated germline genetic associations with CRS and CRS disparity using approaches modeled after transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS). In the Carolina Breast Cancer Study, using race-specific predictive models of tumor expression from germline genetics, we performed race-stratified (N=1,043 WW, 1083 BW) linear regressions of three CRS (ROR-S: PAM50 subtype score; Proliferation Score; ROR-P: ROR-S plus Proliferation Score) on imputed Genetically-Regulated tumor eXpression (GReX). Using Bayesian multivariate regression and adaptive shrinkage, we tested GReX-prioritized genes for associations with PAM50 tumor expression and subtype to elucidate patterns of germline regulation underlying GReX-CRS associations. At FDR-adjusted P < 0.10, we detected 7 and 1 GReX-prioritized genes among WW and BW. Among WW, CRS were positively associated with MCM10, FAM64A, CCNB2, and MMP1 GReX and negatively associated with VAV3, PCSK6, and GNG11 GReX. Among BW, higher MMP1 GReX predicted lower Proliferation score and ROR-P. GReX-prioritized gene and PAM50 tumor expression associations highlighted potential mechanisms for GReX-prioritized gene to CRS associations. Among BC patients, we find differential germline associations with CRS by race, underscoring the need for larger, diverse datasets in molecular studies of BC. Our findings also suggest possible germline trans-regulation of PAM50 tumor expression, with potential implications for CRS interpretation in clinical settings.

SIGNIFICANCEWe find race-specific genetic associations with breast cancer risk-of-recurrence scores (CRS). Follow-up analyses suggest mediation of these associations by PAM50 molecular subtype and gene expression, with implications for clinical interpretation of CRS.
Statistical modeling for quality risk assessment of clinical trials: follow-up at the era of remote auditing BackgroundAs investigator site audits have largely been conducted remotely during the COVID-19 pandemic, remote quality monitoring has gained some momentum. To further facilitate the conduct of remote Quality Assurance (QA) activities for clinical trials, we developed new quality indicators, building on a previously published statistical modeling methodology.

MethodsWe modeled the risk of having an audit or inspection finding using historical audits and inspections data from 2011 - 2019. We used logistic regression to model finding risk for 4 clinical impact factor (CIF) categories: Safety Reporting, Data Integrity, Consent and Protecting Endpoints.

ResultsWe could identify 15 interpretable factors influencing audit finding risk of 4 out of 5 CIF categories. They can be used to realistically predict differences in risk between 25 and 43% for different sites which suffice to rank sites by audit and inspection finding risk.

ConclusionContinuous surveillance of the identified risk factors and resulting risk estimates could be used to complement remote QA strategies for clinical trials and help to manage audit targets and audit focus also in post-pandemic times. Economic evaluation of disease elimination: an extension to the net-benefit framework and application to human African trypanosomiasis The global health community has earmarked a number of diseases for elimination or eradication, and these goals have often been praised on the premise of long-run cost-savings. However, decision-makers must contend with a multitude of demands on health budgets in the short- or medium-term, and costs-per-case often rise as the burden of a disease falls, rendering such efforts beyond the cost-effective use of scarce resources. In addition, these decisions must be made in the presence of substantial uncertainty regarding the feasibility and costs of elimination or eradication efforts. Therefore, analytical frameworks are necessary to consider the additional effort for reaching global goals, like elimination or eradication, that are beyond the cost-effective use of country resources. We propose a modification to the net-benefit framework to consider the implications of switching from an optimal strategy, in terms of cost-per-burden-averted, to a strategy with a higher likelihood of meeting the global target of elimination of transmission by a specified date. We illustrate the properties of our framework by considering the economic case of efforts to eliminate transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT), a vector-borne parasitic disease in West and Central Africa, by 2030.

Significance StatementVarious diseases are earmarked for elimination by the global health community. While the health economic implications of elimination have been discussed before, the combination of uncertainty, cost-effectiveness in terms of cases averted, and elimination in the face of rising per-case costs has not been tackled before. We propose an approach that considers the tension between the dual objectives of cost-effectiveness and elimination while incorporating uncertainty in these objectives. We apply our method to strategies against human African trypanosomiasis in three settings, but this method could be directly applied to simulation-based studies of the cost-effectiveness of other disease elimination efforts. The method yields common metrics of efficiency when stakeholders have different objectives. Frequencies of TP53 Germline Variations and Identification of Two Novel 3'UTR Variants in a Series of Head and Neck Cancer Cases TP53 is a tumour suppressor gene. Its inactivation plays a significant role in the molecular pathology of cancers. TP53 germline mutations increase the risk of developing multiple primary cancers. However, the role of alterations in TP53 germline DNA in head and neck cancers (HNCs) is not well-established. HNCs comprise one of the most frequent cancers in South Asia. The present discovery study reports the investigation of germline variations in the TP53 gene in a cohort of 30 HNC patients from Karachi, Pakistan. Blood samples were collected and genomic DNA was extracted from white blood cells. TP53 has 11 exons, where exon 1 is not transcribed. After quality control of DNA, amplification of seven selected exons along with their splice sites, two intronic regions (introns 2-3 and 3-4), and 3UTR were carried out. Sanger sequencing was carried out in order to identify germline variations. Comparison with wild type sequence revealed rs1642785 G>C (intron 2-3) variation in 63.2%, PIN3 duplication (rs17878362) in intron 3-4 in 94.7%, and rs1042522 G>C in exon 4 (p.R72P) in 66.6% of the cases. In 3UTR, 13.4% of the analyzed cases carried either one of two variants, i.e., 17:7669567_8delCA or 17:7669560C>G. The latter variations are reported for the first time in literature. In conclusion, we report three highly frequent germline variations and two newly discovered variations in 3UTR of TP53 germline DNA in HNC patients from Pakistan. These results shall contribute to delineating the genetic component of HNCs with potential translational implications. Substance Use Onset in High-Risk 9-13 Year-Olds in the ABCD Study AimA key aim of the Adolescent Brain Cognitive DevelopmentSM (ABCD) Study is to document substance use onset, patterns, and sequelae across adolescent development. However, substance use misreporting obscures accurate drug use characterization. Hair toxicology tests provide objective historical substance use data, but are rarely investigated in youth. Here, we compare objective hair toxicology results with self-reported substance use in youth.

MethodsA literature-based substance use risk algorithm identified 696 ABCD Study(R) participants for hair sample collections between baseline and 2-year follow-up (spanning ages 9-13) for laboratory analysis. Chi-square and t-tests assessed differences between participants demographics, positive and negative hair tests, risk algorithm scores, and self-reported substance use.

ResultsHair testing confirmed that 17% of at-risk 9-13 year-olds had evidence of past 3-month use of one (n=99), two (n=17), three (n=3), or four (n=2) drug classes. After considering prescribed medication use, 11% had a positive test incongruent with self- or parent-report. No participant with a positive result self-reported substance use consistent with their toxicology results. Participants with positive tests under-reported use (p<.001), reported less sipping of alcohol (p<.001), and scored higher on the risk algorithm (p<.001) than those with negative hair toxicology.

ConclusionsAn alarming 11% of tested samples in at-risk 9-13 year-olds were positive for at least one unreported substance, suggesting underreporting in this population when participating in a national healthy development study. The degree of underreporting cannot yet be calculated, as at-risk samples were prioritized for assays. Expanded toxicology testing is key to characterize substance use in youth. Integrating Health Behavior Theories to Predict COVID-19 Vaccine Acceptance: Differences between Medical Students and Nursing Students BackgroundThis study aimed to explore behavioral-related factors predicting the intention of getting a COVID-19 vaccine among medical and nursing students using an integrative model combining the Health Belief Model (HBM) and the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB).

MethodsA cross-sectional online survey was conducted among medical and nursing students aged > 18 years in their clinical years in Israel between 27 August and 28 September 2020. Hierarchical logistic regression was used to predict acceptance of a COVID-19 vaccine.

ResultsA total number of 628 participants completed the survey. Medical students expressed higher intentions of getting vaccinated against COVID-19 than nursing students (88.1% vs. 76.2%, p < 0.01). The integrated model based on HBM and TPB was able to explain 66% of the variance (adjusted R2 = 0.66). Participants were more likely to be willing to get vaccinated if they reported higher levels of perceived susceptibility, benefits, barriers, cues to action, attitude, self-efficacy and anticipated regret. Two interaction effects revealed that male nurses had a higher intention of getting vaccinated than did female nurses and that susceptibility is a predictor of the intention of getting vaccinated only among nurses.

ConclusionsThis study demonstrates that both models considered (i.e., HBM and TPB) are important for predicting the intention of getting a COVID-19 vaccine among medical and nursing students, and can help better guide intervention programs, based on components from both models. Our findings also highlight the importance of paying attention to a targeted group of female nurses, who expressed low vaccine acceptance. Caffeine and Methylliberine: A Human Pharmacokinetic Interaction Study Methylliberine and theacrine are methylurates found in the leaves of various Coffea species and Camellia assamica var. kucha, respectively. We previously demonstrated that the methylxanthine caffeine increased theacrines oral bioavailability in humans. Consequently, we conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled study pharmacokinetic study in humans administered methylliberine, theacrine, and caffeine to determine methylliberines pharmacokinetic interaction potential with either caffeine or theacrine. Subjects (n = 12) received an oral dose of either methylliberine (25 or 100 mg), caffeine (150 mg), methylliberine (100 mg) plus caffeine (150 mg), or methylliberine (100 mg) plus theacrine (50 mg) using a randomized, double-blind, crossover design. Blood samples were collected over 24 hours and analyzed for methylliberine, theacrine, and caffeine using UPLC-MS/MS. Methylliberine exhibited linear pharmacokinetics that were unaffected by co-administration of either caffeine or theacrine. However, methylliberine co-administration resulted in decreased oral clearance (41.9 {+/-} 19.5 vs. 17.1 {+/-} 7.80 L/hr) and increased half-life (7.2 {+/-} 5.6 versus 15 {+/-} 5.8 hrs) of caffeine. Methylliberine had no impact on caffeines maximum concentration (440 {+/-} 140 vs. 458 {+/-} 93.5 ng/mL) or oral volume of distribution (351 {+/-} 148 vs. 316 {+/-} 76.4 L). We previously demonstrated theacrine bioavailability was enhanced by caffeine, however, caffeine pharmacokinetics were unaffected by theacrine. Herein, we found that methylliberine altered caffeine pharmacokinetics without a reciprocal interaction, which suggests caffeine may interact uniquely with different methylurates. Understanding the mechanism(s) of interaction between methylxanthines and methylurates is of critical importance in light of the recent advent of dietary supplements containing both purine alkaloid classes. Elevated Levels of IL-6 in IgA Nephropathy patients are induced by an Epigenetically Driven Mechanism Triggered by Viral and Bacterial RNA Recently, a several models has been proposed to describe the pathogenesis of Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), and among them the multihit and the gut-microbiota. These models explain the pathogenesis of IgAN caused by the production of aberrant IgA, but it is believed further predisposing factors are present, including immunological, genetic, environmental, or nutritional factors that can influence the pathogenesis and that could be useful for development of precision nephrology and personalized therapy.

Newly, the role of IL-6 in pathogenesis is becoming increasingly important. It is essential for glomerular immunoglobulin A deposition and the development of renal pathology in Cd37-deficient mice, even if the reason why levels of IL-6 are elevated in IgAN patients is not well understood. One attainable hypothesis on high levels of IL-6 in IgAN comes out from our recent whole genome DNA methylation screening in IgAN patients, that identified, among others, a hypermethylated region comprising Vault RNA 2-1 (VTRNA2-1), a non-coding RNA also known as precursor of miR-886 (pre-mi-RNA). Consistently, the VTRNA2-1 expression was found down-regulated in IgAN patients.

Here we confirm that VTRNA2-1 is low expressed in IgAN subjects compared to HS and we found that also in transplanted IgAN patients (TP-IgAN), compared to non IgAN transplanted patients (TP), the VTRNA2-1 transcript was expressed at level very low. We found that in IgAN patients with downregulated VTRNA2-1, PKR is overactivated, coherently with the role of the VTRNA2-1 that binds to PKR and inhibits its phosphorylation. The loss of the VTRNA2-1 natural restrain causes, in turn, the activation of CREB by PKR. We found CREB, a classical cAMP-inducible CRE-binding factor interacting with a region of the IL-6 promoter and leading to IL-6 production, overactivated both in IgAN and in TP-IgAN patients. Effectively, in the same patients, we found elevated levels of IL-6 correlating with CREB and PKR phosphorylation.

Since PKR is normally activated by bacterial and viral RNA we hypothesized that these microrganisms can further activate the PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway leading to an excess of IL-6 production, explaining both the high levels of IL-6, both infection involvement in the disease, both cases of IgAN associated with COVID-19 infection and with COVID-19 RNA-vaccination, and recent data showing microbiota involvment in IgAN.

Effectively, we found that Effectively, we sfound that both the RNA poly(I:C) and the COVID-19 RNA-vaccine stimulation significantly increase the IL-6 levels in IgAN patient PBMCs.

The PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway may be very important also in the setting of renal transplantation. We found that this pathway is upregulated also in IgAN transplanted patients. Recent studies showed that the cumulative risk of IgA nephropathy recurrence increases after transplant and is associated with a 3.7-fold greater risk of graft loss. Finally, we showed that the IL-6 secretion can be reduced by the PKR inhibitor imoxin.

In conclusion, the discovery of the upregulated VTRNA2-1/PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway in IgAN patients may provide novel approach to treat the disease and may be useful for development of precision nephrology and personalized therapy, possibly by checking the VTRNA2-1 methylation level in IgAN patients. Adaptation of HL7 FHIR for the exchange of patients' gene expression profiles High-throughput technologies, especially gene expression analyses can accurately capture the molecular state in patients under different conditions. Thus, their application in clinical routine gains increasing relevance and fosters patient stratification towards individualized treatment decisions. Electronic health records already evolved to capture genomic data within clinical systems and standards like FHIR enable sharing within, and even between institutions. However, FHIR only provides profiles tailored to variations in the molecular sequence, while expression patterns are neglected although being equally important for decision making. Here we provide an exemplary implementation of gene expression profiles of a microarray analysis of patients with acute myeloid leukemia using an adaptation of the FHIR genomics extension. Our results demonstrate how FHIR resources can be facilitated in clinical systems and thereby pave the way for usage for the aggregation and exchange of transcriptomic data in multi-center studies. Serum proteome analysis of systemic JIA and related pulmonary alveolar proteinosis identifies distinct inflammatory programs and biomarkers ObjectivesRecent observations in systemic Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (sJIA) suggest an increasing incidence of high-mortality interstitial lung disease, characterized by a variant of pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (PAP). Co-occurrence of macrophage activation syndrome (MAS) and PAP in sJIA suggested a shared pathology, but sJIA-PAP patients also commonly experience features of drug reaction such as atypical rashes and eosinophilia. We sought to investigate immunopathology and identify biomarkers in sJIA, MAS, and sJIA-PAP.

MethodsWe used SOMAscan to measure >1300 analytes in sera from healthy controls and patients with sJIA, MAS, sJIA-PAP and other related diseases. We verified selected findings by ELISA and lung immunostaining. Because the proteome of a sample may reflect multiple states (sJIA, MAS, sJIA-PAP), we used regression modeling to identify subsets of altered proteins associated with each state. We tested key findings in a validation cohort.

ResultsProteome alterations in active sJIA and MAS overlapped substantially, including known sJIA biomarkers like SAA and S100A9, and novel elevations of heat shock proteins and glycolytic enzymes. IL-18 was elevated in all sJIA groups, particularly MAS and sJIA-PAP. We also identified an MAS-independent sJIA-PAP signature notable for elevated ICAM5, MMP7, and allergic/eosinophilic chemokines, which were all previously associated with lung damage. Immunohistochemistry localized ICAM5 and MMP7 in sJIA-PAP lung. ICAM5s ability to distinguish sJIA-PAP from sJIA/MAS was independently validated.

ConclusionsSerum proteins support an sJIA-to-MAS continuum, help distinguish sJIA, sJIA/MAS, and sJIA-PAP, and suggest etiologic hypotheses. Select biomarkers, such as ICAM5, could aid in early detection and management of sJIA-PAP. Decoding hand and wrist movement intention from chronic stroke survivors with hemiparesis using a user-friendly, wearable EMG-based neural interface Prosthetics and orthotics have been recognized for decades as a potential means to restore hand function and independence to individuals living with impairment due to stroke. However, 75% of stroke survivors, caregivers, and health care professionals (HCP) believe current practices are insufficient, specifically calling out the upper extremity as an area where innovation is needed to develop highly usable prosthetics/orthotics for the stroke population. A promising method for controlling upper limb technologies is to infer movement intent non-invasively from surface electromyography (EMG) activity. While this approach has garnered significant attention in the literature, existing technologies are often limited to research settings and struggle to meet stated user needs. To address these limitations, we have developed the NeuroLife(R) EMG System, which consists of a wearable forearm sleeve with 150 embedded electrodes and associated hardware and software to record and decode surface EMG. Here, we demonstrate accurate decoding of 12 functional hand, wrist, and forearm movements, including multiple types of grasps from participants with varying levels of chronic impairment from stroke, with an overall accuracy of 77.1{+/-}5.6%. Importantly, we demonstrate the ability to decode a subset of 3 fundamental movements in individuals with severe hand impairment at 85.4{+/-}6.4% accuracy, highlighting the potential as a control mechanism for assistive technologies. Feedback from stroke survivors who tested the system indicates that the sleeves design meets various user needs, including being comfortable, portable, and lightweight. The sleeve is in a form factor such that it can be used at home without an expert technician and can be worn for multiple hours without discomfort. Taken together, the NeuroLife EMG System represents a platform technology to record and decode high-definition EMG for the eventual real-time control of assistive devices in a form factor designed to meet user needs. Model-estimated relationship between elementary school-related SARS-CoV-2 transmission, mitigation interventions, and vaccination coverage across community incidence levels BackgroundWhile CDC guidance for K-12 schools recommends indoor masking regardless of vaccination status, final decisions about masking in schools will be made at the local and state level. The impact of the removal of mask restrictions, however, on COVID-19 outcomes for elementary students, educators/staff, and their households is not well known.

MethodsWe used a previously published agent-based dynamic transmission model of SARS-CoV-2 in K-12 schools to simulate an elementary school with 638 students across 12 scenarios: combinations of three viral infectiousness levels (reflecting wild-type virus, alpha variant, and delta variant) and four student vaccination levels (0%, 25%, 50% and 70% coverage). For each scenario, we varied observed community COVID-19 incidence (0 to 50 cases/100,000 people/day) and mitigation effectiveness (0-100% reduction to in-school secondary attack rate), and evaluated two outcomes over a 30 day period: (1) the probability of at least one in-school transmission, and (2) average increase in total infections among students, educators/staff, and their household members associated with moving from more to less intensive mitigation measures.

ResultsOver 30 days in the simulated elementary school, the probability of at least one in-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the number of estimated additional infections in the immediate school community associated with changes in mitigation measures varied widely. In one scenario with the delta variant and no student vaccination, assuming that baseline mitigation measures of simple ventilation and handwashing reduce the secondary attack rate by 40%, if decision-makers seek to keep the monthly probability of an in-school transmission below 50%, additional mitigation (e.g., masking) would need to be added at a community incidence of approximately 2/100,000/day. Once students are vaccinated, thresholds shift substantially higher.

LimitationsThe interpretation of model results should be limited by the uncertainty in many of the parameters, including the effectiveness of individual mitigation interventions and vaccine efficacy against the delta variant, and the limited scope of the model beyond the school community. Additionally, the assumed case detection rate (33% of cases detected) may be too high in areas with decreased testing capacity.

ConclusionDespite the assumption of high adult vaccination, the risks of both in-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and resulting infections among students, educators/staff, and their household members remain high when the delta variant predominates and students are unvaccinated. Mitigation measures or vaccinations for students can substantially reduce these risks. These findings underscore the potential role for responsive plans, where mitigation is deployed based on local COVID-19 incidence and vaccine uptake. The effects of modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures on offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation: A negative control study ObjectivesO_LITo explore the associations between modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures: pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), pregnancy smoking and alcohol consumption with offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation (MIH).
C_LIO_LITo explore for the presence of residual confounding using negative control analyses.
C_LI

MethodsThis study used data from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective birth cohort. We defined offspring MIH using prospectively collected questionnaire data. We used logistic regression to explore confounder adjusted associations between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy with MIH. We included negative control exposure (paternal BMI, smoking and alcohol around the time of pregnancy) and outcome (offspring dental trauma) analyses to explore for the presence of residual confounding.

Results5536 mother/offspring pairs were included (297 MIH cases [5.4%]). We found a positive association between maternal mean BMI and offspring MIH (OR per 1-kg/m2 difference in maternal BMI: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.08). In subsequent analyses, we found evidence that this effect was non-linear and being driven by women in the highest BMI quintiles. In negative control analyses, we found no evidence of association between paternal BMI and offspring MIH (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.00) and maternal BMI and offspring dental trauma (OR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). There was no clear evidence of an association for maternal pregnancy smoking (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.46, 1.22) and alcohol consumption (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.21) with offspring MIH with results imprecisely estimated.

ConclusionIn summary we found evidence of a possible intrauterine effect of high maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on offspring MIH. We did not find robust evidence for an intrauterine effect of maternal pregnancy smoking or alcohol consumption on offspring MIH. Our findings provide further support for women of reproductive age to maintain a healthy weight. Future studies are warranted to explore possible mechanisms on how the pregnancy environment may relate to offspring MIH. Factors affecting first return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair: A retrospective observational study in an occupational medicine clinic and single-surgeon practice BackgroundReturn to work (RTW) following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (aRCR) within New South Wales (NSW), Australia, under compensable schemes has not been reported.

AimsDetermine factors affecting RTW status and time in patients treated with aRCR under state-based compensation schemes, compared to those outside such schemes.

MethodsPatients undergoing aRCR by one surgeon with minimum 1-year follow-up were grouped into those under (CP) or outside (non-CP) workers or vehicle accident compensation schemes, matched by age and gender. RTW status and time were assessed using chi-square analysis and multivariable linear regression.

ResultsOf 1054 available patients, 90 CP patients were identified with 29 consented and matched to non-CP (N=29). A higher proportion of CP patients (17.2 vs 0%, P<0.001) never returned to work and a lower proportion resumed pre-injury duties at first RTW (3 vs 52%, P<0.01). Median time to first RTW did not differ between CP and non-CP groups (5.1 vs 4.4, P=0.86). Smoking (P=0.007) and post-injury activity level (P=0.004) were significantly associated with longer time to first RTW, whereas compensation status was not.

ConclusionsCP patients undergoing aRCR in NSW are at risk of not returning to work. For those that return, there is no significant difference compared to non-CP in time to first RTW. Particularly, patient and management factors associated with extended time to first RTW have been identified. Interventions aimed at modifiable factors such as smoking cessation and increasing preoperative activity may improve future outcomes.

What is already known about this subjectO_LIWork-related injury and disease present a significant financial burden to the Australian economy ($AUD61.8billion per annum), with shoulder conditions due to body stressing accounting for 7% of this total cost (>$AUD4.2billion)
C_LIO_LIPatients receiving compensation appear to have poorer outcomes and take longer to return to work than their non-compensated counterparts, but the degree to which this occurs is variably reported in the literature
C_LIO_LIThe effect of modifiable factors on return to work status and time remain unclear, and have not previously been reported for the Australian population under the New South Wales workers compensation scheme
C_LI

What this study addsO_LIPatients receiving arthroscopic rotator cuff repair under a compensable scheme in New South Wales are at increased risk of not returning to work compared to patients presenting outside of a compensable scheme and patients in equivalent schemes internationally
C_LIO_LIPatients reporting a longer duration of symptoms and smokers are at increased risk of extended time to first return to work
C_LI

What impact this may have on practice or policyO_LIThe study has identified smoking and pre-surgery activity levels as key targets for intervention in patients receiving arthroscopic rotator cuff repair under a workers compensation scheme in New South Wales
C_LIO_LIBy further investigating whether interventions designed to modify these factors are able to favourably affect patient outcomes, there is potential to return patients to their preoperative level of work sooner
C_LI Remote exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke is associated with lower exercise capacity through effects on oxygen pulse, a proxy of cardiac stroke volume BackgroundPast exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) is associated with exercise limitation. Pulmonary factors including air trapping contribute to this limitation but the contribution of cardiovascular factors is unclear.

ObjectiveTo determine contribution of cardiovascular mechanisms to SHS-associated exercise limitation.

MethodsWe examined the cardiovascular responses to maximum effort exercise in 245 never-smokers with remote, prolonged occupational exposure to SHS and no known history of cardiovascular disease. We estimated the contribution of oxygen-pulse (proxy for cardiac stroke volume) and changes in systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressures (DBP) and heart rate (HR) towards exercise capacity, and examined whether the association of SHS with exercise capacity was mediated through these variables.

ResultsAt peak exercise (highest workload completed [WattsPeak]=156{+/-}46 watts [135{+/-}33 %predicted]), oxygen consumption (VO2Peak) and oxygen-pulse (O2-PulsePeak) were 1,557{+/-}476 mL/min (100{+/-}24 %predicted) and 11.0{+/-}3.0 mL/beat (116{+/-}25 %predicted), respectively, with 29% and 3% participants not achieving their predicted normal range. Oxygen saturation at peak exercise was 98{+/-}1% and remained >93% in all participants. Sixty-six percent showed hypertensive response to exercise. In models adjusted for covariates, WattsPeak was associated directly with O2-PulsePeak, HRPeak, and SBPPeak and inversely with SHS, air trapping (RV/TLC), and rise of SBP over workload (all P<0.01). Moreover, SHS exposure association with WattsPeak was substantially (41%) mediated through its effect on O2-PulsePeak (P<0.038). Although not statistically significant, a considerable proportion (36%) of air trapping effect on WattsPeak seemed to be mediated through O2-PulsePeak (P=0.078). The likelihood of having baseline respiratory symptoms (modified Medical Research Council score [&ge;]1) was associated with steeper rise in SBP over workload (P<0.01).

ConclusionIn a never-smoker population with remote exposure to SHS, abnormal escalation of afterload and an SHS-associated reduction in cardiac output contributed to lower exercise capacity.

Key messagesO_ST_ABSWhat is the key question?C_ST_ABSWhat are the cardiovascular health effects of past exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke in never-smokers? How do pulmonary and cardiovascular systems interact in this setting?

What is the bottom line?Healthy never-smokers with history of remote past exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke have an abnormal cardiovascular response to exercise, which is characterized by a stroke volume and thus an exercise capacity that are reduced proportional to their years of exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke.

Why read on?The abnormal cardiovascular response to exercise in this population reveals the presence of an occult or subclinical pathology that impairs the cardiopulmonary functional reserve and reduces the efficiency of bodys oxygen delivery machinery, which could be disadvantageous during the times of increased cardiopulmonary output demands as in physiological distress or disease. Trajectory of Growth of SARS-CoV-2 Variants in Houston, Texas, January through May 2021 Based on 12,476 Genome Sequences Genetic variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are of substantial concern because they can detrimentally alter the pandemic course and disease features in individual patients. Here we report SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences from 12,476 patients in the Houston Methodist healthcare system diagnosed from January 1, 2021 through May 31, 2021. The SARS-CoV-2 variant designated U.K. B.1.1.7 increased rapidly and caused 63%-90% of all new cases in the Houston area in the latter half of May. Eleven of the 3,276 B.1.1.7 genomes had an E484K change in spike protein. Compared with non-B.1.1.7 patients, individuals with B.1.1.7 had a significantly lower cycle threshold value (a proxy for higher virus load) and significantly higher rate of hospitalization. Other variants (e.g., B.1.429, B.1.427, P.1, P.2, and R.1) also increased rapidly, although the magnitude was less than for B.1.1.7. We identified 22 patients infected with B.1.617 "India" variants; these patients had a high rate of hospitalization. Vaccine breakthrough cases (n=207) were caused by a heterogeneous array of virus genotypes, including many that are not variants of interest or concern. In the aggregate, our study delineates the trajectory of concerning SARS-CoV-2 variants circulating in a major metropolitan area, documents B.1.1.7 as the major cause of new cases in Houston, and heralds the arrival and spread of B.1.617 variants in the metroplex. Development of machine learning models for the prediction of complications after colorectal and small intestine surgery in psychiatric and non-psychiatric patient collectives (P-Study) Psychiatric and psychosomatic diseases are an increasingly cumbersome burden for the medical system. Indeed, hospital costs associated with mental health conditions have been constantly on the rise in recent years. Moreover, psychiatric conditions are likely to have a negative effect on the treatment of other medical conditions and surgical outcomes, in addition to their direct effects on the overall quality of life. Our study aims to investigate the impact of preoperative Risk factor, psychiatric and psychosomatic diseases on the outcomes of colorectal surgery and length of hospital stay via predictive modeling techniques.

MethodPatient data will be collected from several participating national and international surgical centers The machine learning models will be calculated and coded, but also published according to the TRIPOD guidelines (transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis).

ResultIt is conceivable to arrive at generalizable models predicting the abovementioned endpoints through large amounts of data from several centers. The models will be subsequently deployed as a free-to-use web-based prediction tool using the Shiny environment [47]. The cost for the hosting server and digital infrastructure will be covered by Dr. Anas Taha. The sponsor will store the data for ten years. How Informative Were Early SARS-CoV-2 Treatment and Prevention Trials? A longitudinal cohort analysis of trials registered on clinicaltrials.gov BackgroundEarly in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, commentators warned that some COVID trials were inadequately conceived, designed and reported. Here, we retrospectively assess the prevalence of informative COVID trials launched in the first 6 months of the pandemic.

MethodsWe created a cohort of SARS-CoV-2 treatment and prevention efficacy trials that were initiated from 2020-01-01 to 2020-06-30 using ClinicalTrials.gov registration records. We evaluated trials on 3 criteria of informativeness: potential redundancy, design quality and feasibility of patient-participant recruitment. The study protocol was prospectively registered with the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/fp726/).

ResultsWe included 500 trials in our cohort, 58% of which were Phase 2 and 84.8% were directed towards the treatment of SARS-CoV-2. Close to one third of trials met all three criteria and were deemed informative (29.0% (95% Confidence Interval 23.7 - 36.9)). The proportion of potentially redundant trials in our cohort was 4.1%. Over half of the trials in our cohort (56.2%) did not meet our criteria for high quality trial design. The proportion of trials with infeasible patient-participant recruitment was 22.6%.

ConclusionsLess than one third of COVID-19 trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov during the first six months met all three criteria for informativeness. Shortcomings in trial design, recruitment feasibility and redundancy reflect longstanding weaknesses in the clinical research enterprise that were likely amplified by the exceptional circumstances of a pandemic. A protocol for a multicentre observational study across an integrated care system to understand the effect of living with frailty on access to video consultations Risks for digital exclusion include older age, disability, and deprivation. No literature exists examining frailty as an additional possible risk factor. Many studies have shown frailty to be a more accurate predictor of adverse outcome in healthcare than age alone. Understanding risk factors for digital exclusion may help healthcare services appropriately tailor interventions. The Healthier Together integrated care system (HTICS) in Bristol is developing video consultations for clinics. The aim of this prospective observational cross-sectional study is to identify whether living with frailty is a risk factor of digital exclusion from video consultation. Data will be collected using a structured survey including patients from three sites across the Heal secondary care services at North Bristol Trust, and then two subsequent sites will be included across HTICS. Data will be collected on known risk factors for digital exclusion, frailty using the Clinical Frailty Scale, and will cover four domains for digital exclusion as defined by NHS Digital: access, skill, motivation, and confidence. Data will be presented with descriptive statistics. The association between frailty and outcomes will be analysed with a multivariable logistic regression.

Key Study Contacts

O_TBL View this table:
org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@134f5d7org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f8149forg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@11dbf0org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7e854borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@61272f_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP  M_TBL C_TBL Study Summary

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org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@53a9f0org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@b9e76dorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@108bd12org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@b500ddorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@14be1d8_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP  M_TBL C_TBL Funding and Support in Kind

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org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d86811org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1985973org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@118ca5corg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@8d7839org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1cff6e1_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP  M_TBL C_TBL Role of Study Sponsor and FunderThe pilot at North Bristol Trust (NBT) is overseen by Neuromusculoskeletal (NMSK) Division governance. NBT NMSK Division takes responsibility for ensuring that the design of the study meets appropriate standards and that arrangements are in place to ensure appropriate conduct and reporting. Governance oversight for Hospital at Home was registered with NBT NMSK, and for primary care with Horfield Health Centre.

Roles and Responsibilities

Study Flow Chart

O_TBL View this table:
org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@594232org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@904b3org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@138af7org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@10898a3org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@15d2719_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP  M_TBL C_TBL The tumor suppressor Adenomatous polyposis coli regulates T lymphocyte migration. Insights from familial polyposis patients Adenomatous polyposis coli (APC) is a tumor suppressor whose mutations underlie familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) and colorectal cancer. Although its role in intestinal epithelial cells is well characterized, APC importance for anti-tumor immunity is ill defined. APC regulates cytoskeleton organization, cell polarity and migration in various cells types. Here we address whether APC plays a role in T lymphocyte migration, a key step of anti-tumor immune responses.

Using a series of cell biology tools, we demonstrated that T cells from FAP patients carrying APC mutations display adhesion and migration defects. Concomitantly, they presented lower expression of the integrin VLA-4. To further dissect the cellular mechanisms underpinning these defects, we depleted APC in the CEM T cell line. We found that APC is critical not only for VLA-4-dependent adhesion but also for actomyosin and microtubule organization in migrating T cells. Finally, APC-silenced CEM cells preferentially adopt an ameboid-like migration featuring unstructured pseudopodia and blebbing.

These findings underscore a role of APC in T cell migration via modulation of integrin-dependent adhesion and cytoskeleton reorganization. Hence, APC mutations in FAP patients not only drive intestinal neoplasms, but also impair T cell migration, potentially leading to inefficient T cell-mediated anti-tumor immunity. Relationship Between Patient Sex and Serum Tumor Necrosis Factor Antagonist Drug and Anti-Drug Antibody Concentrations in Inflammatory Bowel Disease; A Nationwide Cohort Study BackgroundAnti-drug antibodies to infliximab (ATI) and adalimumab (ATA) are associated with loss of response to tumor necrosis factor antagonist (anti-TNF) therapy in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We evaluated the relationship between patient sex and serum TNF antagonist drug and antibody concentrations in inflammatory bowel disease

MethodsA nationwide multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted by evaluating patients charts from July 2018 until September 2021. The effect of patient sex on anti-drug antibodies and serum drug concentration in patients with IBD across 7 hospitals was investigated. A subgroup analysis also investigated the effect of anti-TNF combination therapy. Geometric means were calculated, and multiple linear regression was used to estimate the adjusted ratio of geometric means (RoGM) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI).

ResultsIn the total study sample (n = 1093), males receiving infliximab had higher anti-drug antibody concentrations (38.3 vs. 22.3 AU/ml; aRoGM = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.30-2.27, p-value <0.001) compared to females. Additionally, infliximab serum drug concentrations among males were lower compared to females (2.6 vs. 4.1 ug/ml; aRoGM = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.44-0.88, p-value = 0.007). In the subgroup analysis (n = 359), male compared to female patients on combination therapy with infliximab and immunomodulators had similar anti-drug antibody concentrations (30.2 vs. 21.9 AU/ml; aRoGM = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.79-2.40, p-value = 0.254). There was no difference in the anti-drug antibody and serum drug concentrations among males and females on adalimumab.

ConclusionIn patients receiving infliximab, anti-drug antibodies were higher in males than females. Consistent with this, serum drug concentrations were lower in males than females on infliximab. There was no difference in anti-drug antibody and serum drug concentrations among males and females on adalimumab. In addition, no difference in anti-drug antibodies between males and females receiving anti-TNF combination therapy was observed. Airway management, procedural data, and mortality records of patients undergoing surgery for mucormycosis associated with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) In India, the second wave of coronavirus disease (COVID -19) was associated with a distinct surge in cases of invasive fungal infection with mucormycosis. This disease was seen typically in the sinonasal form in COVID-19 patients. Uncontrolled diabetes, steroid use in COVID-19 treatment, etc. were some of the postulated risk factors for the association of COVID 19 and Mucormycosis. The management plan of these cases included surgical debridement, systemic antifungal therapy, sugar control, and management of antifungal related systemic adverse effects. In this retrospective case record review, we aimed to evaluate the airway management plan, demographics, and overall outcomes in patients undergoing surgical resection for COVID-19 associated mucormycosis. Forty-one (71.9 %) patients had a diagnosis of sino-nasal mucormycosis, fourteen (24.6%) had a diagnosis of rhino-orbital mucormycosis, and 2 patients (3.5%) were diagnosed with palatal mucormycosis. Total 44 (77.19 %) patients had co-morbidities. The most common co-morbidity was Diabetes Mellitus 42 (73.6%), followed by hypertension 21 (36.84%) and Acute kidney injury 14 (28.07%). We used the intubation difficulty scale score to assess intubating conditions. Intubation was easy to slightly difficult in 53 out of 57 patients. In our study, mortality occurred in 7 (12.28 %) patients. The median mortality time was 60 (range, 27-74) days. The median time to hospital discharge was 53.5 (range,10-85) days. Managing COVID-19 on its own is challenging and additional mucormycosis can lead to increased morbidity and mortality. Despite challenges and risks, timely and meticulous interventions can reduce complications. "What do you mean I can't have a doctor? This is Canada!" - A Qualitative Study of the Myriad Consequences for Unattached Patients Awaiting Primary Care Attachment BackgroundPatient access to primary healthcare (PHC) is the foundation of a strong healthcare system and healthy populations. Attachment to a regular PHC provider, a key to healthcare access, has seen a decline in some jurisdictions. This study explored the consequences of unattachment from a patient perspective, an under-studied phenomenon to date.

MethodsA realist-informed qualitative study was conducted with unattached patients in Nova Scotia, Canada. Semi-structured interviews with nine participants were conducted and transcribed for analysis. The framework method was used to carry out analysis, which was guided by Donabedians model of assessing healthcare access and quality.

ResultsFive key findings were noted in this study: 1) Participants experienced a range of consequences from not having a regular PHC provider. Participants used creative strategies to 2) attempt to gain attachment to a regular PHC provider, and, to 3) address their health needs in the absence of a regular PHC provider. 4) Participants experienced negative feelings about themselves and the healthcare system, and 5) stress related to the consequences and added work of being unattached and lost care.

ConclusionsUnattached patients experienced a burden of care related to lost care and managing their own health and related information, due to the download of medical record management and system navigation to them. These findings may underestimate the consequences for further at-risk populations who would not have been included in our recruitment. This may result in poorer health outcomes, which could be mitigated by interventions at the structural level, such as enhanced centralized waitlists to promote attachment. Such waitlists may benefit from a triage approach to appropriately attach patients based on need. Short Practical Regimen of Acupuncture for Melasma: A Prospective Cohort Study in a Tertiary Hospital in Thailand BackgroundMelasma is a common skin pigmentation disorder. Acupuncture shows benefits for patients with melasma, although no standardized method or optimal number of sessions have been determined.

ObjectiveTo comparatively assess clinical outcomes of melasma between five vs ten standard acupuncture sessions.

MethodsWe performed a prospective observational cohort study in all melasma patients at the Acupuncture Clinic, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand. All patients were treated with standard acupuncture procedure twice a week and were evaluated after the fifth and the tenth sessions of acupuncture, with a follow-up one week after the last session. Participants were divided into two treatment groups: Groups A and B received five and ten acupuncture sessions respectively. Melasma outcomes were assessed by using the Melanin Index (MI), Melasma Area and Severity Index (MASI), patient-reported improvement scores and acupuncture-related adverse events.

ResultsOf 113 participants, 67 received five sessions of acupuncture treatment while 39 received ten sessions. 7 participants did not finish treatment. After five sessions of acupuncture in Group A, the mean MI decreased by 28.7 (95%CI -38.5 to -18.8), whereas the median MASI decreased by 3.4 (-6.9, -1.2) points. After ten sessions of acupuncture in Group B, the mean MI decreased by 31.3 (95%CI -45.0 to -17.6), whereas the median MASI decreased by 5.4 (-9.9, - 3.0) points. The first five sessions of acupuncture had a higher effect on the change in magnitude than the last five sessions, although there was no statistically significant difference. However, ten-session of acupuncture, had not reached the peak benefit on melasma yet. Further studies should be done with a higher number of sessions to determine the optimal rounds of treatment. Twenty-nine participants reported minor side effects, mostly consisting of persistent pain and small hematoma. Group B had RR of having adverse events 1.8 times (95% CI 1.0-3.4) compared to group A.

ConclusionAcupuncture has a potential dose-response effect on clinical and patient-reported melasma outcomes with minor side effects.