Effectiveness of CoronaVac among healthcare workers in the setting of high SARS-CoV-2 Gamma variant transmission in Manaus, Brazil: A test-negative case-control study BackgroundSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, Gamma, emerged in the city of Manaus in late 2020 during a large resurgence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), and has spread throughout Brazil. The effectiveness of vaccines in settings with widespread Gamma variant transmission has not been reported.

MethodsWe performed a matched test-negative case-control study to estimate the effectiveness of an inactivated vaccine, CoronaVac, in healthcare workers (HCWs) in Manaus, where the Gamma variant accounted for 86% of genotyped SARS-CoV-2 samples at the peak of its epidemic. We performed an early analysis of effectiveness following administration of at least one vaccine dose and an analysis of effectiveness of the two-dose schedule. The primary outcome was symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection.

FindingsFor the early at-least-one-dose and two-dose analyses the study population was, respectively, 53,176 and 53,153 HCWs residing in Manaus and aged 18 years or older, with complete information on age, residence, and vaccination status. Among 53,153 HCWs eligible for the two-dose analysis, 47,170 (89%) received at least one dose of CoronaVac and 2,656 individuals (5%) underwent RT-PCR testing from 19 January, 2021 to 13 April, 2021. Of 3,195 RT-PCR tests, 885 (28%) were positive. 393 and 418 case- control pairs were selected for the early and two-dose analyses, respectively, matched on calendar time, age, and neighbourhood. Among those who had received both vaccine doses before the RT-PCR sample collection date, the average time from second dose to sample collection date was 14 days (IQR 7-24). In the early analysis, vaccination with at least one dose was associated with a 0.50-fold reduction (adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE), 49.6%, 95% CI 11.3 to 71.4) in the odds of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection during the period 14 days or more after receiving the first dose. However, we estimated low effectiveness (adjusted VE 36.8%, 95% CI -54.9 to 74.2) of the two-dose schedule against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection during the period 14 days or more after receiving the second dose. A finding that vaccinated individuals were much more likely to be infected than unvaccinated individuals in the period 0-13 days after first dose (aOR 2.11, 95% CI 1.36-3.27) suggests that unmeasured confounding led to downward bias in the vaccine effectiveness estimate.

InterpretationEvidence from this test-negative study of the effectiveness of CoronaVac was mixed, and likely affected by bias in this setting. Administration of at least one vaccine dose showed effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in the setting of epidemic Gamma variant transmission. However, the low estimated effectiveness of the two-dose schedule underscores the need to maintain non-pharmaceutical interventions while vaccination campaigns with CoronaVac are being implemented.

FundingFundacao Oswaldo Cruz (Fiocruz); Municipal Health Secretary of Manaus

Research in ContextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed for articles published from inception of the pandemic until April 3, 2021, with no language restrictions, using the search terms "P.1" AND "vaccine" AND "SARS-CoV-2". Additionally, we searched for "CoronaVac" AND "SARS-CoV-2". Early studies have found plasma from convalescent COVID-19 patients and sera from vaccinated individuals have reduced neutralisation of the SARS-CoV-2 variant, Gamma or P.1, compared with strains isolated earlier in the pandemic. Pfizer BNT162b2 mRNA, Oxford-AstraZeneca ChAdOx1, and CoronaVac are the only vaccines for which such data has been published to date.

No studies reported effectiveness of any vaccine on reducing the risk of infection or disease among individuals exposed to P.1 or in settings of high P.1 transmission.

Added value of this studyThis study finds that vaccination with CoronaVac was 49.4% (95% CI 13.2 to 71.9) effective at preventing COVID-19 in a setting with likely high prevalence of the Gamma Variant of Concern. However, an analysis of effectiveness by dose was underpowered and failed to find significant effectiveness of the two-dose schedule of CoronaVac (estimated VE 37.1%, 95% CI -53.3 to 74.2).

Implications of all the available evidenceThese findings are suggestive for the effectiveness of CoronaVac in healthcare workers in the setting of widespread P.1 transmission but must be strengthened by observational studies in other settings and populations. Based on this evidence, there is a need to implement sustained non-pharmaceutical interventions even as vaccination campaigns continue.
Severe COVID-19 patients have impaired plasmacytoid dendritic cell-mediated control of SARS-CoV-2-infected cells Type I and III interferons (IFN-I/{lambda}) are key antiviral mediators against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Here, we demonstrate that plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDCs) are the predominant IFN-I/{lambda} source following their sensing of SARS-CoV-2-infected cells. Mechanistically, this short-range sensing by pDCs requires sustained integrin-mediated cell adhesion with infected cells. In turn, pDCs restrict viral spread by an IFN-I/{lambda} response directed toward SARS-CoV-2-infected cells. This specialized function enables pDCs to efficiently turn-off viral replication, likely via a local response at the contact site with infected cells. By exploring the pDC response in SARS-CoV-2 patients, we further demonstrate that pDC responsiveness inversely correlates with the severity of the disease. The pDC response is particularly impaired in severe COVID-19 patients. Overall, we propose that pDC activation is essential to control SARS-CoV-2-infection. Failure to unfold this response could be key to understand severe cases of COVID-19.
Using controlled interrupted time series to estimate the population-level effects of Ontario's recently implemented overdose prevention sites and consumption and treatment services BackgroundOntario recently implemented overdose prevention sites and consumption and treatment services (OPS/CTS) to stem the harms of the opioid epidemic. We tested whether operating any site improved local opioid-related health service use and mortality rates.

MethodsWe used monthly counts of all opioid-related emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and deaths between January 2014 and December 2020 for our outcomes. For each public health unit (PHU) that implemented any OPS/CTS, we created a synthetic control as a weighted combination of unexposed PHU. We estimated the population-level effects of operating any site using controlled interrupted time series with segmented regression and adjusted for time varying confounders (i.e. OPS/CTS capacity, naloxone kits distributed, and persons receiving opioid agonist treatment per 100,000 population). We repeated the analysis using a multiple baseline approach to estimate province-wide effects.

ResultsBetween 2017 and 2020, nine out of 34 PHU implemented at least one OPS/CTS. ED visit (RR=0.96, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.99) and hospitalization (RR=0.95, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.98) trends declined faster among treated units. Improvements in local ED visit rate trends were observed for the majority of treated units. Hospitalization rates declined faster for London (RR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.95 - 0.99) and Niagara (RR=0.95, 95%CI: 0.92 - 0.98); while mortality rates declined faster for Hamilton (RR=0.93, 95%CI: 0.90 - 0.96), Niagara (RR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.94 - 0.99) and Guelph (RR=0.94, 95%CI: 0.88 - 1.00).

ConclusionAlthough OPS/CTS are not sufficient to stem the harms of the opioid overdose epidemic on their own, they play a critical role in local harm reduction strategies. Uncovering Survivorship Bias in Longitudinal Mental Health Surveys During the COVID-19 Pandemic AimsMarkedly elevated adverse mental health symptoms were widely observed early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Unlike the U.S., where cross-sectional data indicate anxiety and depression symptoms have remained elevated, such symptoms reportedly declined in the U.K., according to analysis of repeated measures from a largescale longitudinal study. However, nearly 40% of U.K. respondents (those who did not complete multiple follow-up surveys) were excluded from analysis, suggesting that survivorship bias might partially explain this discrepancy. We therefore sought to assess survivorship bias among participants in our longitudinal survey study as part of The COVID-19 Outbreak Public Evaluation (COPE) Initiative.

MethodsSurvivorship bias was assessed 4,039 U.S. respondents who completed surveys including the assessment of mental health as part of The COPE Initiative in April 2020 and were invited to complete follow-up surveys. Participants completed validated screening instruments for symptoms of anxiety, depression, and insomnia. Survivorship bias was assessed for (1) demographic differences in follow-up survey participation, (2) differences in initial adverse mental health symptom prevalences adjusted for demographic factors, and (3) differences in follow-up survey participation based on mental health experiences adjusted for demographic factors.

ResultsAdjusting for demographics, individuals who completed only one or two out of four surveys had higher prevalences of anxiety and depression symptoms in April 2020 (e.g., one-survey versus four-survey, anxiety symptoms, adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR]: 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.55, P=0.0045; depression symptoms, aPR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.17-1.75, P=0.00052). Moreover, individuals who experienced incident anxiety or depression symptoms had higher odds of not completing follow-up surveys (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.22-2.31, P=0.0015, aOR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.15-2.12, P=0.0046, respectively).

ConclusionsOur findings revealed significant survivorship bias among longitudinal survey respondents, indicating that restricting analytic samples to only respondents who provide repeated assessments in longitudinal survey studies could lead to overly optimistic interpretations of mental health trends over time. Cross-sectional or planned missing data designs may provide more accurate estimates of population-level adverse mental health symptom prevalences than longitudinal surveys. Heterologous immunization with inactivated vaccine followed by mRNA booster elicits strong humoral and cellular immune responses against the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant BackgroundThere has been an unprecedented global effort to produce safe and effective vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. However, production challenges, supply shortages and unequal global reach, together with an increased number of breakthrough infections due to waning of immunity and the emergence of new variants of concern (VOC), have prolonged the pandemic. To boost the immune response, several heterologous vaccination regimes have been tested and have shown increased antibody responses compared to homologous vaccination. Here we evaluated the effect of mRNA vaccine booster on immunogenicity in individuals who had been vaccinated with two doses of inactivated vaccines.

MethodsThe levels of specific antibodies against the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein from wild-type virus and the Beta, Delta and Omicron variants were measured in healthy individuals who had received two doses of homologous inactivated (BBIBP-CorV or CoronoVac) or mRNA (BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273) vaccines, and in donors who were given an mRNA vaccine boost after two doses of either vaccine. Pre-vaccinated healthy donors, or individuals who had been infected and subsequently received the mRNA vaccine were also included as controls. In addition, specific memory B and T cell responses were measured in a subset of samples.

ResultsA booster dose of an mRNA vaccine significantly increased the level of specific antibodies that bind to the RBD domain of the wild-type (6-fold) and VOCs including Delta (8-fold) and Omicron (14-fold), in individuals who had previously received two doses of inactivated vaccines. The level of specific antibodies in the heterologous vaccination group was furthermore similar to that in individuals receiving a third dose of homologous mRNA vaccines or boosted with mRNA vaccine after natural infection. Moreover, this heterologous vaccination regime significantly enhanced the specific memory B and T cell responses.

ConclusionsHeterologous prime-boost immunization with inactivated vaccine followed by an mRNA vaccine boost markedly increased the levels of specific antibodies and B and T cell responses and may thus increase protection against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants including Omicron. Colorectal Cancer Disparities Across the Continuum of Cancer Care with a Focus on Surgery and Black Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis ImportanceDespite increases in screening among vulnerable populations, colorectal cancer disparities persist.

ObjectiveTo direct future efforts towards high impact opportunities in addressing these disparities, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the colorectal cancer disparities literature with a focus on the utilization of Surgery, the primary treatment for colorectal cancer.

Data SourcesTwo electronic databases (PubMed and SCOPUS) were searched for prospective and retrospective studies reporting on colorectal cancer disparities between 2011 and March 29, 2021.

Study SelectionStudies for the systematic review were selected if: (1) reported on disparities within colorectal, colon, or rectal cancer (2) articles were published in the English language (3) articles used only United States-sourced data.

Studies for the meta-analysis were selected if: (1) reported on at least one of three utilization of surgery outcomes: receipt of colorectal, colon, or rectal surgery, refusal of surgery, or receipt of laparoscopic versus open surgery (2) Outcomes were reported as Odds ratio according to multivariate analysis.

Data Extraction and SynthesisQuality appraisal and data extraction were performed independently by 2 reviewers using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for quality assessment. For the meta-analysis, pooled multivariate odds ratios for the three outcomes regarding utilization of surgery were separately calculated according to fixed or random-effects models. Reporting followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analyses guidelines.

Main Outcomes and MeasuresSystematic Review: The volume of publications attributed to the following sectors of the colorectal cancer care continuum: (1) Prevention, Screening, or Diagnosis (2) Treatment (3) Survivorship (4) End-of-life Care. Meta-analysis: Receipt of Colorectal, Colon, or Rectal Surgery and Black Race, Refusal of Surgery and Black Race, or Receipt of Laparoscopic versus Open Surgery and Black Race.

ResultsThe systematic review included 1,199 relevant publications. Among them, 60% were focused on Prevention, Screening, or Diagnosis, followed by Survivorship (20%), Treatment (15%), and End-of-Life Care (1%). Within the studies reporting on treatment disparities, 46% were focused on Race/Ethnicity, followed by Socioeconomic Status (28%), Age (17%), Gender (6%), Disabilities/Comorbidities (3%), and LGBTQI+ (0%). A total of 16 studies, including 1,110,674 patients, were applied to three separate meta-analyses regarding utilization of Surgery. Patients of black race were less likely to receive colorectal, or colon, or rectal surgery (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.67-0.83), less likely to receive laparoscopic versus open colorectal cancer surgery (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94), and twice as likely to refuse colon surgery (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.91-3.06).

Conclusions and RelevanceThe majority of research, to date, related to colorectal cancer disparities is focused on prevention, screening, or diagnosis and a minimal amount is dedicated to treatment. Additionally, all of the limited publications related to colorectal cancer surgery, as a treatment modality, are observational in nature. The application of this knowledge of past efforts and current continuing adverse outcomes is required in order to shift the focus of the research community towards treatment. In particular, research addressing surgical disparities is necessary, as surgery remains the primary treatment for colorectal cancer. Anti-CELA1 KF4 Antibody Prevents Emphysema by Inhibiting Stretch-Mediated Remodeling Emphysema is a major contributor to the morbidity and mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and there are no disease modifying therapies. Three leading pathophysiologic models are the altered protease/antiprotease balance model, the biomechanical model in which loss of one alveolar wall increases strain on adjacent wall predisposing them to failure, and the accelerated aging model. Chymotrypsin-like elastase 1 (CELA1) is a novel serine protease with a physiological role in reducing postnatal lung elastance that mechanistically links these three models. CELA1 is expressed by alveolar type 2 (AT2) cells and is found adjacent to lung elastin fibers. The KF4 antibody neutralizes CELA1 by binding to its catalytic triad. CELA1 binding to lung elastin fibers increases 4-fold with strain, and application of biaxial strain induces lung elastase activity which is blocked with the KF4 anti-CELA1 antibody. Cela1-/- mice were protected from airspace simplification in hyperoxia, elastase and cigarette-smoke induced emphysema, and age-related airspace simplification. CELA1 mRNA was correlated with human lung elastolytic activity, and anti-CELA1 KF4 antibody protected mice from hyperoxia-induced alveolar simplification and elastase emphysema. CELA1-mediated lung matrix remodeling in response to strain is an important contributor to postnatal airspace simplification. Matrix stabilization by KF4 represents a potential therapeutic approach to preventing emphysema progression.

One Sentence SummaryNeutralization of chymotrypsin-like elastase 1 prevents strain-induced emphysema. Signals of significantly increased vaccine breakthrough, decreased hospitalization rates, and less severe disease in patients with COVID-19 caused by the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Houston, Texas Genetic variants of SARS-CoV-2 continue to dramatically alter the landscape of the COVID-19 pandemic. The recently described variant of concern designated Omicron (B.1.1.529) has rapidly spread worldwide and is now responsible for the majority of COVID-19 cases in many countries. Because Omicron was recognized very recently, many knowledge gaps exist about its epidemiology and clinical severity and disease course. A comprehensive genome sequencing study of SARS-CoV-2 in the Houston Methodist healthcare system identified 862 symptomatic patients with infections caused by Omicron from late November 2021 through December 18, 2021. Omicron very rapidly increased in only three weeks to cause 90% of all new COVID-19 cases. Compared to patients infected with either Alpha or Delta variants in our healthcare system, Omicron patients were significantly younger, had significantly increased vaccine breakthrough rates, and were significantly less likely to be hospitalized. Omicron patients required less intense respiratory support and had a shorter length of hospital stay, consistent with decreased disease severity. Although the number of Omicron patients we studied is relatively small, in the aggregate the data document the unusually rapid spread and increased occurrence of COVID-19 caused by the Omicron variant in metropolitan Houston, and provide information about disease character. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ADVERSE EVENTS PREVALENCE, PATIENT SAFETY CULTURE AND PATIENT SAFETY PERCEPTION IN A SINGLE SAMPLE OF PATIENTS: A CROSS-SECTIONAL AND CORRELATIONAL STUDY ObjectiveTo assess the relationship between Adverse Events Prevalence, Patient Safety Culture and Patient Safety Perception.

DesignCross-sectional, ex post facto comparative study on a single sample of patients.

SettingFour medium-high-level hospitals were included in the study -- two public and two private from Zulia State in Venezuela.

Participants556 medical records and patients were studied for the prevalence and patient safety perception study, and 397 of the healthcare providers involved in the care of these patients were surveyed for the patient safety culture study, at two public and two private hospitals.

Outcome measurementThe primary outcome of this study was the Association between Adverse Events Prevalence, Patient Safety Culture and Patient Safety Perception, and according to hospital funding type, private and public.

ResultsAn inverse association was observed between Adverse Events Prevalence and its severity and Patient Safety Culture Index (PSCI: rho=-0.8 p=0.5) (95% CI=0.26-0.10) and Patient Safety Perception Index (PSPI: rho=-0.6 p=0.18) (95% CI=0.10-0.28), which were protective factors for patient safety. No association was identified between Patient Safety Culture and Patient Safety Perception (rho=0.0001). No statistical differences were identified by hospital type (p=0.93) (95% CI=0.70-1.2).

ConclusionsThe analysis of the variable correlations studied (AEP, PSC and PSP) within the same sample offers an interesting and useful perspective. In this sample, although no correlation was observed between the three variables as an interacting set, some correlation patterns were observed between pairs of variables that could guide further studies.

Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIThe association analysis of the three main variables (adverse events prevalence, patient safety culture and patient safety perception) in the same sample of patients and health professionals and over the same time period during which the care process and, consequently, the adverse events took place is an unprecedented and innovative approach, which contributes to the body of knowledge on this field of study.
C_LIO_LIThe relational theoretical framework produced provides a "map" that can facilitate decision-taking and which establishes the variables that should be considered a priority. As a result, it is highly likely to have an impact on the clinical efficiency and safety of healthcare institutions and services.
C_LIO_LIThe study was carried out at both private and public hospitals, enabling the behaviour of the aforementioned variables to be compared and analysed at each type of institution. The literature to date on this approach is scarce and offers little information.
C_LIO_LIAlthough the sample of hospitals selected is not representative of Venezuela, it is representative of the hospitals of one of the most productive and populated states in the country.
C_LIO_LIDuring stages 1 and 2, some resistance to collaborating with and completing the evaluation instruments was identified among the health professionals.
C_LI Impact of HIV Infection on COVID-19 Outcomes Among Hospitalized Adults in the U.S. BackgroundWhether HIV infection is associated with differences in clinical outcomes among people hospitalized with COVID-19 is uncertain.

ObjectiveTo evaluate the impact of HIV infection on COVID-19 outcomes among hospitalized patients.

MethodsUsing the American Heart Associations COVID-19 Cardiovascular Disease registry, we used hierarchical mixed effects models to assess the association of HIV with in-hospital mortality accounting for patient demographics and comorbidities and clustering by hospital. Secondary outcomes included major adverse cardiac events (MACE), severity of illness, and length of stay (LOS).

ResultsThe registry included 21,528 hospitalization records of people with confirmed COVID-19 from 107 hospitals in 2020, including 220 people living with HIV (PLWH). PLWH were younger (56.0+/-13.0 versus 61.3+/-17.9 years old) and more likely to be male (72.3% vs 52.7%), Non-Hispanic Black (51.4% vs 25.4%), on Medicaid (44.5% vs 24.5), and active tobacco users (12.7% versus 6.5%).

Of the study population, 36 PLWH (16.4%) had in-hospital mortality compared with 3,290 (15.4%) without HIV (Risk ratio 1.06, 95%CI 0.79-1.43; risk difference 0.9%, 95%CI -4.2 to 6.1%; p=0.71). After adjustment for age, sex, race, and insurance, HIV was not associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR 1.13; 95%CI 0.77-1.6; p 0.54) even after adding body mass index and comorbidities (aOR 1.15; 95%CI 0.78-1.70; p=0.48). HIV was not associated with MACE (aOR 0.99, 95%CI 0.69-1.44, p=0.91), severity of illness (aOR 0.96, 95%CI 0.62-1.50, p=0.86), or LOS (aOR 1.03; 95% CI 0.76-1.66, p=0.21).

ConclusionHIV was not associated with adverse outcomes of COVID-19 including in-hospital mortality, MACE, or severity of illness.

Condensed AbstractWe studied 21,528 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 at 107 hospitals in AHAs COVID-19 registry to examine the association between HIV and COVID-19 outcomes. More patients with HIV were younger, male, non-Hispanic Black, on Medicaid and current smokers. HIV was not associated with worse COVID-19 in-hospital mortality (Risk ratio 1.06, 95%CI 0.79-1.43; p=0.71) even after adjustment (aOR 1.15; 95%CI 0.78-1.70; p=0.48). HIV was also not associated with MACE (aOR 0.99, 95%CI 0.69-1.44, p=0.91) or severity of illness (aOR 0.96, 95%CI 0.62-1.50, p=0.86. Our findings do not support that HIV is a major risk factor for adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Clinical impact of the rapid molecular detection of RSV and influenza A and B viruses in the emergency department IntroductionUsing respiratory viruses rapid diagnostic tests in the emergency room (ER) could allow a better and faster clinical management. Point-of-care PCR instruments provide now results in less than 30 minutes. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the use of the cobas(R) Influenza A/B & RSV Assay for use on Roches cobas(R) Liat(R) instrument on the clinical management of ER patients.

MethodsPatients (adults and children) requiring admission or suffering from an underlying condition at risk of respiratory complication were prospectively recruited in the ER of four hospitals in the Brussels region. Physicians intentions regarding admission, isolation, antibiotic and antiviral use were collected before and after performing a cobas(R) Influenza A/B & RSV molecular test. Additionally, a comparison of the analytical performance of this test against antigen rapid tests and viral culture was performed as well as a time-to-result evaluation.

ResultsPCR yielded twice more positive results than antigen rapid diagnostic tests. It allowed a decrease in the overall need for isolation and treatment by limiting the isolation of negative patients and the antibiotic use for positive patients. Meanwhile, antiviral treatments better targeted patients with a positive influenza PCR.

ConclusionThe use of a rapid influenza and RSV molecular test improves the clinical management of patients admitted to the ER by providing a fast and reliable result. Their additional cost compared to antigen tests should be balanced with the benefit of their analytical performance, leading to efficient reductions in the need of isolation and antibiotic use. The effects of modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures on offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation: A negative control study ObjectivesO_LITo explore the associations between modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures: pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), pregnancy smoking and alcohol consumption with offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation (MIH).
C_LIO_LITo explore for the presence of residual confounding using negative control analyses.
C_LI

MethodsThis study used data from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective birth cohort. We defined offspring MIH using prospectively collected questionnaire data. We used logistic regression to explore confounder adjusted associations between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy with MIH. We included negative control exposure (paternal BMI, smoking and alcohol around the time of pregnancy) and outcome (offspring dental trauma) analyses to explore for the presence of residual confounding.

Results5536 mother/offspring pairs were included (297 MIH cases [5.4%]). We found a positive association between maternal mean BMI and offspring MIH (OR per 1-kg/m2 difference in maternal BMI: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.08). In subsequent analyses, we found evidence that this effect was non-linear and being driven by women in the highest BMI quintiles. In negative control analyses, we found no evidence of association between paternal BMI and offspring MIH (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.00) and maternal BMI and offspring dental trauma (OR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). There was no clear evidence of an association for maternal pregnancy smoking (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.46, 1.22) and alcohol consumption (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.21) with offspring MIH with results imprecisely estimated.

ConclusionIn summary we found evidence of a possible intrauterine effect of high maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on offspring MIH. We did not find robust evidence for an intrauterine effect of maternal pregnancy smoking or alcohol consumption on offspring MIH. Our findings provide further support for women of reproductive age to maintain a healthy weight. Future studies are warranted to explore possible mechanisms on how the pregnancy environment may relate to offspring MIH. A Cross-Sectional Examination of Conflict-of-Interest Disclosures of Physician-Authors Publishing in High-Impact US Medical Journals ObjectiveTo assess the accuracy of self-reported financial conflict-of-interest (COI) disclosures in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) within the requisite disclosure period prior to article submission.

DesignCross-sectional investigation.

Data SourcesOriginal clinical-trial research articles published in NEJM (n = 206) or JAMA (n = 188) from January 1 to December 31, 2017; self-reported COI disclosure forms submitted to NEJM or JAMA with the authors published articles; Open Payments website (from database inception; latest search: August 2019).

Main outcome measuresFinancial data reported to Open Payments from 2014 to 2016 (time period that included all subjects requisite disclosure windows) were compared to self-reported disclosure forms submitted to the journals. Payments were defined as those not associated with a research study or formal research funding. Payment types were categorized as "disclosed," "undisclosed," "indeterminate," or "unrelated."

ResultsThirty-one articles from NEJM and 31 articles from JAMA met inclusion criteria. The physician-authors (n = 118) received a combined total of $7.48 million. Of the 106 authors (89.8%) who received payments, 86 (81.1%) received undisclosed payments. The top 23 most highly compensated received $6.32 million, of which $3.00 million (47.6%) was undisclosed. Disclosure rates were the equivalent between the top 23 and the entire sample.

ConclusionsHigh payment amounts, as well as high proportions of undisclosed financial compensation, regardless of amount received, comprised potential COIs for two influential US medical journals. Further research is needed to explain why such high proportions of general payments were undisclosed and whether journals that rely on self-reported COI disclosure need to reconsider their policies. Complementary frailty and mortality prediction models on older patients as a tool for assessing palliative care needs BackgroundPalliative care (PC) has demonstrated benefits for life-limiting illnesses. Cancer patients have mainly accessed these services, but there is growing consensus about the importance of promoting access for patients with non-malignant disease. Bad survival prognosis and patients frailty are usual dimensions to decide PC inclusion.

ObjectivesThe main aim of this work is to design and evaluate three quantitative models based on machine learning approaches to predict frailty and mortality on older patients in the context of supporting PC decision making: one-year mortality, survival regression and one-year frailty classification.

MethodsThe dataset used in this study is composed of 39,310 hospital admissions for 19,753 older patients (age >= 65) from January 1st, 2011 to December 30th, 2018. All prediction models were based on Gradient Boosting Machines. From the initial pool of variables at hospital admission, 20 were selected by a recursive feature elimination algorithm based on the random forests GINI importance criterion. Besides, we run an independent grid search to find the best hyperparameters in each model. The evaluation was performed by 10-fold cross-validation and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and mean absolute error were reported. The Cox proportional-hazards model was used to compare our proposed approach with classical survival methods.

ResultsThe one-year mortality model achieved an AUC ROC of 0.87 {+/-} 0.01; the mortality regression model achieved an MAE of 329.97 {+/-} 5.24 days. The one-year frailty classification reported an AUC ROC of 0.9 {+/-} 0.01. The Spearmans correlation between the admission frailty index and the survival time was -0.1, while the point-biserial correlation between one-year frailty index and survival time was -0.16.

ConclusionsOne-year mortality model performance is at a state-of-the-art level. Frailty Index used in this study behaves coherently with other works in the literature. One-year frailty classifier demonstrated that frailty status within the year could be predicted accurately. To our knowledge, this is the first study predicting one-year frailty status based on a frailty index. We found mortality and frailty as two weakly correlated and complementary PC needs assessment criteria. Predictive models are available online at http://demoiapc.upv.es. Generalized Prediction of Hemodynamic Shock in Intensive Care Units Early prediction of hemodynamic shock in the ICU can save lives. Several studies have leveraged a combination of vitals, lab investigations, and clinical data to construct early warning systems for shock. However, these have a limited potential of generalization to diverse settings due to reliance on non-real-time data. Monitoring data from vitals can provide an early real-time prediction of Hemodynamic shock which can precede the clinical diagnosis to guide early therapy decisions. Generalization across age and geographical context is an unaddressed challenge. In this retrospective observational study, we built real-time shock prediction models generalized across age groups (adult and pediatric), ICU-types, and geographies. We trained, validated, and tested a shock prediction model on the publicly available eICU dataset on 208 ICUs across the United States. Data from 156 hospitals passed the eligibility criteria for cohort building. These were split hospital-wise in a five-fold training-validation-test set. External validation of the model was done on a pediatric ICU in New Delhi and MIMIC-III database with more than 0.23 million and one million patient-hours vitals data, respectively. Our models identified 92% of all the shock events more than 8 hours in advance with AUROC of 86 %(SD= 1.4) and AUPRC of 93% (SD =1.2) on the eICU testing set. An AUROC of 87 % (SD =1.8), AUPRC 92 % (SD=1.6) were obtained in external validation on the MIMIC-III cohort. The New Delhi Pediatric SafeICU data achieved an AUROC of 87 % (SD =4) AUPRC 91% (SD=3), despite being completely different geography and age group. In this first, we demonstrate a generalizable model for predicting shock, and algorithms are publicly available as a pre-configured Docker environment at https://github.com/tavlab-iiitd/ShoQPred. Substance Use Onset in High-Risk 9-13 Year-Olds in the ABCD Study AimA key aim of the Adolescent Brain Cognitive DevelopmentSM (ABCD) Study is to document substance use onset, patterns, and sequelae across adolescent development. However, substance use misreporting obscures accurate drug use characterization. Hair toxicology tests provide objective historical substance use data, but are rarely investigated in youth. Here, we compare objective hair toxicology results with self-reported substance use in youth.

MethodsA literature-based substance use risk algorithm identified 696 ABCD Study(R) participants for hair sample collections between baseline and 2-year follow-up (spanning ages 9-13) for laboratory analysis. Chi-square and t-tests assessed differences between participants demographics, positive and negative hair tests, risk algorithm scores, and self-reported substance use.

ResultsHair testing confirmed that 17% of at-risk 9-13 year-olds had evidence of past 3-month use of one (n=99), two (n=17), three (n=3), or four (n=2) drug classes. After considering prescribed medication use, 11% had a positive test incongruent with self- or parent-report. No participant with a positive result self-reported substance use consistent with their toxicology results. Participants with positive tests under-reported use (p<.001), reported less sipping of alcohol (p<.001), and scored higher on the risk algorithm (p<.001) than those with negative hair toxicology.

ConclusionsAn alarming 11% of tested samples in at-risk 9-13 year-olds were positive for at least one unreported substance, suggesting underreporting in this population when participating in a national healthy development study. The degree of underreporting cannot yet be calculated, as at-risk samples were prioritized for assays. Expanded toxicology testing is key to characterize substance use in youth. Oral, similar to intranasal, administration of oxytocin decreases top-down social attention The neuropeptide oxytocin (OXT) modulates social cognition by increasing attention towards social cues and may have therapeutic potential for impaired social attention in disorders such as autism. Intranasal administration of OXT is widely used to examine its functional effects in both adults and children and is assumed to enter the brain directly via this route. However, OXT can also influence brain function via increased blood concentrations and we have recently shown that orally (lingual) administered OXT also modulates neural responses to emotional faces and may be better tolerated for therapeutic use. Here, we examined if 24IU OXT administered orally can facilitate social attention. In a randomized, placebo-controlled, pharmacological study we used a validated emotional anti-saccade eye-tracking paradigm to explore effects of oral OXT on bottom-up and top-down attention processing in 80 healthy male subjects. Our findings showed in terms of top-down attention, oral OXT increased errors for both social (angry, fearful, happy, sad and neutral emotion faces) and non-social stimuli (oval shapes) in the anti-saccade condition but only increased response latencies in the social condition. It also significantly reduced post-task state anxiety but this was not correlated with task performance. Comparison with our previous intranasal OXT study using the same task revealed both routes have a similar effect on increasing anti-saccade errors and response latencies and reducing state anxiety. Overall, findings suggest that oral administration of OXT produces similar effects on top-down social attention control and anxiety as intranasal administration and may therefore have therapeutic utility. Macular vascular complexity analysis of diabetes mellitus by swept-source optical coherence tomographic angiography PurposeTo evaluate the associations of retinal vascular complexity features, including fractal dimension (FD) and blood vessel tortuosity (BVT), with the severity of diabetic retinopathy (DR) by using noninvasive optical coherence tomographic angiography (OCTA).

MethodsThis prospective cross-sectional study recruited ocular-treatment-naive patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) registered in the community of Guangzhou, China. OCTA was used to obtain the measurements of FD and BVT in the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and the deep capillary plexus (DCP). Univariate and multivariate linear regression was used to analyse the correlation of FD and BVT in different layers with DR severity.

ResultsA total of 1282 patients with DM (1282 eyes), with a mean age of 64.2{+/-}7.8 years, were included. FD in the DCP decreased and BVT in the DCP increased in DR patients compared to non-DR patients, even after adjusting for confounding factors (P< 0.05). Trend analysis showed a significant decrease in the FD values as the DR progressed, while the BVT progressively increased with worsening DR severity (P< 0.01). The FD in DCP had a statistically significant positive correlation with FD in SCP and a negative correlation with BVT in SCP and BVT in DCP in all of the participants, including the non-DR group, moderate DR group and severe DR group (P< 0.01).

ConclusionFD and BVT determined using OCTA might be useful parameters for objectively distinguishing DR from non-DR and indicating DR progression. Survey of Contaminated Percutaneous Injuries in Anesthesia Practitioners BackgroundAnesthesia practitioners are at inherent risk for percutaneous injuries by blood-contaminated needles and sharp objects. These exposures may result in transmission of HIV and hepatitis viruses. Data about this occupational hazard from contaminated needles and sharp devices is limited and decades old. We conducted a web-based survey to assess the occurrence, reporting, characteristics, and outcome of contaminated percutaneous injuries (CPI) in anesthesia residents, fellows, and attendings.

MethodsAfter institutional research board approval, an email was sent to 217 anesthesia practitioners requesting their participation in an online survey about contaminated percutaneous injuries. Responses were collected from February through March 2020. Results are reported as absolute numbers and proportions with 95% confidence interval (CI).

ResultsThe overall survey response rate was 51% (110/217). 59% (65/110) (95% CI, 50-68) of participants reported having one or more contaminated percutaneous injury during their years of anesthesia practice (42% (21/50) of residents, 50% (4/8) of fellows, 77% (40/52) of anesthesia attendings). Prevalence of injuries related to attendings years of anesthesia practice was 69% (95% CI, 44-94) for 5-10 years, 62.5% (95% CI, 29-96) for 10-15 years, and 79% (95% CI, 63- 95) for greater than 15 years of practice.

35% (95% CI, 26-44) of participants reported having one or more CPI within the last 5 years (40% of residents, 50% of fellows, 29% of attendings). Occurrence of CPI within the last 5 years based on attending anesthesiologist years of practice was 57% for less than 5 years, 37.5% for 10-15 years, and 20% for 15-20 years of practice. 75% (95% CI, 65-85) reported the incident at the time of injury. 59% (95% CI, 48-70) of injuries were due to hollow bore needles. 50% (95% CI, 39-61) of total injuries were high risk. 26% of injured anesthesia practitioners received post-exposure prophylaxis and there were zero seroconversions.

ConclusionMost anesthesiologists will sustain a contaminated percutaneous injury during their careers. Incidence of these injuries decreases with years of practice. Occurrence of these injuries is high among anesthesia residents, with the majority reporting their injuries. Half of the injuries are high risk with a quarter requiring postexposure prophylaxis. More education and interventions are needed to reduce percutaneous injuries and improve reporting. Comparison of in-hospital mortality and clinical outcomes among patients greater than and less than 80 years undergoing TAVR BackgroundTranscatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) procedure has been increasingly utilized in the management of aortic stenosis in the elderly. We sought to assess the hospital outcomes and major adverse events of TAVR in patients [&ge;]80 years old compared to those <80 years.

MethodsWe performed a retrospective observational study using the National Inpatient Sample - 2018. We divided TAVR patients into two cohorts based on age being [&ge;]80 years and <80 years old. The primary outcomes were the comparison of in-hospital mortality and major adverse events (MAE) in the cohorts.

ResultsWe identified 63,630 patients who underwent TAVR procedures from January 1 to December 31, 2018. Among them, 35, 115(55%) were [&ge;]80 years and 28,515(45%) were <80 years of age. There was a higher rate of post-procedure in-hospital mortality rate in patients [&ge;]80 years (1.6% vs. 1.1%, aOR=1.56, [CI 1.13 -2.16], p=0.006). They also had higher rates of pacemaker insertion compared to those <80 years old (7.4 vs 6.5%, aOR=1.17 [CI 1-1.35], p=0.03). On subgroup analysis, the rates of MAE were not different between the two cohorts (23.8 vs 23.4, p=0.09) but patients [&ge;]80 years who experienced MAE had higher in-hospital mortality (5.7 vs 4.3%, aOR=1.58 [CI=1.08-2.32], p=0.01) and shorter length of hospital stay (7.2 vs 8.7 days, p=0.03) compared to those <80. Anemia, liver disease, chronic kidney disease and previous stroke were associated with higher odds of in-hospital MAE in both groups.

ConclusionThis study shows that in patients undergoing TAVR, those [&ge;]80 years old had higher in-hospital mortality and higher rates of pacemaker insertion compared to those < 80 years. The rates of MAE were not significantly different between the two groups. COVID-19 Acceleration and Vaccine Status in France - Summer 2021 ObjectivesThis note provides an assessment of COVID-19 acceleration among groups with different vaccine status in France.

MethodsWe assess viral acceleration using a novel indicator introduced in Baunez et al. (2021). The acceleration index relates the percentage change of tests that have been performed on a given day to the percentage change in the associated positive cases that same day. We compare viral acceleration among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in France over the period May 31st - August 29, 2021.

ResultsOnce the state of the epidemic within each groups is accounted for, it turns out that viral acceleration has since mid-July converged to similar levels among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in France, even though viral speed is larger for the latter group compared to the former.

ConclusionOur results call for an increasing testing effort for both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, in view of the fact that viral circulation is currently accelerating at similar levels for both groups in France. Macronutrient mass intake explains deferential weight and fat loss in isocaloric diets Differential weight and fat losses under isocaloric diets of distinct macronutrient composition are well-documented findings in obesity research.1-6 Such data are considered a result of inadequate methodology as it disagree with the energy balance theory.7 A recent mathematical analysis of this paradigm has found, however, serious analytical contradictions in its foundations.8 As an alternative, a mass balance model was proposed to explain the aforesaid body composition alterations. Here, we expand on this observation by contrasting both models. We show that mass balance explains a wide range of fending experiments including those concurring with the energy balance principle. The latter, however, is less flexible and results in poor forecasts in settings consistent with mass balance. The energy balance theory is thus an unsatisfactory model of body composition changes. Consequently, by shifting to a mass balance paradigm of obesity a much deeper understanding of this disease may follow in the near future. Strain-resolved analysis in a randomized trial of antibiotic pretreatment and maintenance dose delivery mode with fecal microbiota transplant for ulcerative colitis Fecal microbiota transplant is a promising therapy for ulcerative colitis. Parameters maximizing effectiveness and tolerability are not yet clear, and it is not known how import the transmission of donor microbes to patients is. Here (clinicaltrails.gov: NCT03006809) we have tested the effects of antibiotic pretreatment and compared two modes of maintenance dose delivery, capsules versus enema, in a randomized, pilot, open-label, 2x2 factorial design with 22 patients analyzed with mild to moderate UC. Clinically, the treatment was well-tolerated with favorable safety profile. Of patients who received antibiotic pretreatment, 6 of 11 experienced remission after six weeks of treatment, versus 2 of 11 non-pretreated patients (odds ratio: 1.69, 95% confidence interval: -0.25 to 3.62). No significant differences were found between maintenance dosing via capsules versus enema. In exploratory analyses, microbiome turnover at both the species and strain levels was extensive and significantly more pronounced in the pretreated patients. Associations were also revealed between taxonomic turnover and changes in the composition of primary and secondary bile acids. Together these findings suggest that antibiotic pretreatment contributes to microbiome engraftment and possibly clinical effectiveness, and validate longitudinal strain tracking as a powerful way to monitor the dynamics and impact of microbiota transfer. Cognitive impairment and functional change in COVID-19 patients undergoing inpatient rehabilitation Cognitive impairment is increasingly recognized as a sequela of COVID-19. It is unknown how cognition changes and relates to functional gain during inpatient rehabilitation. We administered the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) at admission to 77 patients undergoing inpatient rehabilitation for COVID-19 in a large U.S. academic medical center. 45 patients were administered the MoCA at discharge. Functional gain was assessed by change in the Quality Indicator for Self-Care (QI-SC). In the full sample, 80.5% of patients exhibited cognitive impairment on admission, which was associated with prior delirium. Among 45 patients with retest data, there were significant improvements in MoCA and QI-SC. QI-SC score gain was higher in patients who made clinically meaningful changes on the MoCA, an association that persisted after accounting for age and delirium history. Cognitive impairment is frequent among COVID-19 patients, but improves over time and is associated with functional gain during inpatient rehabilitation.