Decoding Neural Activity in Sulcal and White Matter Areas of the Brain to Accurately Predict Individual Finger Movement and Tactile Stimuli of the Human Hand Millions of people worldwide suffer motor or sensory impairment due to stroke, spinal cord injury, multiple sclerosis, traumatic brain injury, diabetes, and motor neuron diseases such as ALS (amyotrophic lateral sclerosis). A brain-computer interface (BCI), which links the brain directly to a computer, offers a new way to study the brain and potentially restore these losses in patients living with debilitating conditions. One of the challenges currently facing BCI technology, however, is how to minimize surgical risk. Minimally invasive techniques, such as stereoelectroencephalography (SEEG) have become more widely used in clinical applications since they can lead to fewer complications. SEEG electrodes also give access to sulcal and white matter areas of the brain but have not been widely studied in brain-computer interfaces. We therefore investigated the viability of using SEEG electrodes in a BCI for recording and decoding neural signals related to movement and the sense of touch and compared its performance to electrocorticography electrodes (ECoG) placed on gyri. Initial poor decoding performance and the observation that most neural modulation patterns were highly variable trial-to-trial and transient (significantly shorter than the sustained finger movements studied), led to the development of a feature selection method based on a repeatability metric using temporal correlation. An algorithm based on temporal correlation was developed to isolate features that consistently repeated (required for accurate decoding) and possessed information content related to movement or touch-related stimuli. We subsequently used these features, along with deep learning methods, to automatically classify various motor and sensory events for individual fingers with high accuracy. Repeating features were found in sulcal, gyral, and white matter areas and were predominantly phasic or phasic-tonic across a wide frequency range for both HD (high density) ECoG and SEEG recordings. These findings motivated the use of long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks (RNNs) which are well-suited to handling both transient and sustained input features. Combining temporal correlation-based feature selection with LSTM yielded decoding accuracies of up to 92.04 +/-1.51% for hand movements, up to 91.69 +/-0.49% for individual finger movements, and up to 80.64 +/-1.64% for focal tactile stimuli to the finger pads and palm while using a relatively small number of SEEG electrodes. These findings may lead to a new class of minimally invasive brain-computer interface systems in the future, increasing its applicability to a wider variety of conditions.
Post-COVID-19 Memory Complaints: Prevalence and Associated Factors IntroductionMemory complaints resulting from COVID-19 may have a significant impact on the survivors quality of life. Unfortunately, there is insufficient information available on memory loss and its relationship to COVID-19. Therefore, the purpose of this research was to determine the prevalence of memory complaints in post-COVID-19 patients and to find potential contributing factors.

MethodA cross-sectional survey was conducted on 401 individuals who had previously been diagnosed with COVID-19 at four COVID testing centers situated across Bangladesh. The MAC-Q questionnaire was used to evaluate memory. A binary logistic regression model was fit to study the variables related to memory complaints, with a p-value of <0.05 deemed statistically significant.

ResultMemory complaints was prevalent in 19.2% of the post-COVID patients. Individual predictor analysis revealed that among the treatment modalities, steroids and antibiotics were associated with impaired memory. Multiple logistic regression showed that individuals who recovered from COVID-19 within six to twelve months were more likely to have memory deficits. Even though age, sex, oxygen demand, and hospitalization were not linked with memory complaints, rural residents exhibited more significant memory complaints than urban residents.

ConclusionNearly one-fifth of the COVID-19 patients suffer from various degrees of memory complaints within one year. However, no association was found between COVID-19 severity to memory complaints.
Survey of Contaminated Percutaneous Injuries in Anesthesia Practitioners BackgroundAnesthesia practitioners are at inherent risk for percutaneous injuries by blood-contaminated needles and sharp objects. These exposures may result in transmission of HIV and hepatitis viruses. Data about this occupational hazard from contaminated needles and sharp devices is limited and decades old. We conducted a web-based survey to assess the occurrence, reporting, characteristics, and outcome of contaminated percutaneous injuries (CPI) in anesthesia residents, fellows, and attendings.

MethodsAfter institutional research board approval, an email was sent to 217 anesthesia practitioners requesting their participation in an online survey about contaminated percutaneous injuries. Responses were collected from February through March 2020. Results are reported as absolute numbers and proportions with 95% confidence interval (CI).

ResultsThe overall survey response rate was 51% (110/217). 59% (65/110) (95% CI, 50-68) of participants reported having one or more contaminated percutaneous injury during their years of anesthesia practice (42% (21/50) of residents, 50% (4/8) of fellows, 77% (40/52) of anesthesia attendings). Prevalence of injuries related to attendings years of anesthesia practice was 69% (95% CI, 44-94) for 5-10 years, 62.5% (95% CI, 29-96) for 10-15 years, and 79% (95% CI, 63- 95) for greater than 15 years of practice.

35% (95% CI, 26-44) of participants reported having one or more CPI within the last 5 years (40% of residents, 50% of fellows, 29% of attendings). Occurrence of CPI within the last 5 years based on attending anesthesiologist years of practice was 57% for less than 5 years, 37.5% for 10-15 years, and 20% for 15-20 years of practice. 75% (95% CI, 65-85) reported the incident at the time of injury. 59% (95% CI, 48-70) of injuries were due to hollow bore needles. 50% (95% CI, 39-61) of total injuries were high risk. 26% of injured anesthesia practitioners received post-exposure prophylaxis and there were zero seroconversions.

ConclusionMost anesthesiologists will sustain a contaminated percutaneous injury during their careers. Incidence of these injuries decreases with years of practice. Occurrence of these injuries is high among anesthesia residents, with the majority reporting their injuries. Half of the injuries are high risk with a quarter requiring postexposure prophylaxis. More education and interventions are needed to reduce percutaneous injuries and improve reporting. SARS-CoV-2 Acquisition and Immune Pathogenesis Among School-Aged Learners in Four Diverse Schools BackgroundUnderstanding SARS-CoV-2 infection in children is necessary to reopen schools safely.

MethodsWe measured SARS-CoV-2 infection in 320 learners [10.5 {+/-} 2.1(sd); 7-17 y.o.] at four diverse schools with either remote or on-site learning. Schools A and B served low-income Hispanic learners; school C served many special-needs learners; and all provided predominantly remote instruction. School D served middle- and upper-income learners, with predominantly on-site instruction. Testing occurred in the fall (2020), and 6-8 weeks later during the fall-winter surge (notable for a tenfold increase in COVID-19 cases). Immune responses and mitigation fidelity were also measured.

ResultsWe found SARS-CoV-2 infections in 17 learners only during the surge. School A (97% remote learners) had the highest infection (10/70, 14.3%, p<0.01) and IgG positivity rates (13/66, 19.7%). School D (93% on-site learners) had the lowest infection and IgG positivity rates (1/63, 1.6%). Mitigation compliance [physical distancing (mean 87.4%) and face covering (91.3%)] was remarkably high at all schools. Documented SARS-CoV-2-infected learners had neutralizing antibodies (94.7%), robust IFN-{gamma}+ T cell responses, and reduced monocytes.

ConclusionSchools can implement successful mitigation strategies across a wide range of student diversity. Despite asymptomatic to mild SARS-CoV-2 infection, children generate robust humoral and cellular immune responses.

Key PointsO_LISuccessful COVID-19 mitigation was implemented across a diverse range of schools.
C_LIO_LISchool-associated SARS-CoV-2 infections reflect regional rates rather than remote or on-site learning.
C_LIO_LISeropositive school-aged children with asymptomatic to mild SARS-CoV-2 infections generate robust humoral and cellular immunity.
C_LI Relationship Between Patient Sex and Serum Tumor Necrosis Factor Antagonist Drug and Anti-Drug Antibody Concentrations in Inflammatory Bowel Disease; A Nationwide Cohort Study BackgroundAnti-drug antibodies to infliximab (ATI) and adalimumab (ATA) are associated with loss of response to tumor necrosis factor antagonist (anti-TNF) therapy in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We evaluated the relationship between patient sex and serum TNF antagonist drug and antibody concentrations in inflammatory bowel disease

MethodsA nationwide multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted by evaluating patients charts from July 2018 until September 2021. The effect of patient sex on anti-drug antibodies and serum drug concentration in patients with IBD across 7 hospitals was investigated. A subgroup analysis also investigated the effect of anti-TNF combination therapy. Geometric means were calculated, and multiple linear regression was used to estimate the adjusted ratio of geometric means (RoGM) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI).

ResultsIn the total study sample (n = 1093), males receiving infliximab had higher anti-drug antibody concentrations (38.3 vs. 22.3 AU/ml; aRoGM = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.30-2.27, p-value <0.001) compared to females. Additionally, infliximab serum drug concentrations among males were lower compared to females (2.6 vs. 4.1 ug/ml; aRoGM = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.44-0.88, p-value = 0.007). In the subgroup analysis (n = 359), male compared to female patients on combination therapy with infliximab and immunomodulators had similar anti-drug antibody concentrations (30.2 vs. 21.9 AU/ml; aRoGM = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.79-2.40, p-value = 0.254). There was no difference in the anti-drug antibody and serum drug concentrations among males and females on adalimumab.

ConclusionIn patients receiving infliximab, anti-drug antibodies were higher in males than females. Consistent with this, serum drug concentrations were lower in males than females on infliximab. There was no difference in anti-drug antibody and serum drug concentrations among males and females on adalimumab. In addition, no difference in anti-drug antibodies between males and females receiving anti-TNF combination therapy was observed. Detection of COVID-19 and age-dependent dysosmia with paired crushable odorant ampules BackgroundSigns of anosmia can help detect COVID-19 infection when testing for viral positivity is not available. Inexpensive mass-produced disposable olfactory sensitivity tests suitable for worldwide use might serve not only as a screening tool for potential infection but also to identify cases at elevated risk of severe disease as anosmic COVID-19 patients have a better prognosis.

Methods and FindingsWe adopted paired crushable ampules with two concentrations of a standard test odorant (n-butanol) as standard of care in several clinics as community prevalence of COVID-19 infection waxed and waned. This was not a clinical trial; a chart review was undertaken to evaluate the operating characteristics and potential utility of the test device as RT-PCR testing became routine. The risk of anosmia was greater in COVID-19 patients. Olfactory sensitivity was concentration-dependent and decreased with aging. Hyposmia was detected across a wider age range than expected from the literature, and tests can be optimized to characterize different age groups.

Conclusionsn-Butanol at 0.32 and 3.2% in crushable ampules can be used to characterize olfactory function quickly and inexpensively and thus has potential benefits in pandemic screening, epidemiology, and clinical decision-making. The effects of modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures on offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation: A negative control study ObjectivesO_LITo explore the associations between modifiable maternal pregnancy exposures: pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), pregnancy smoking and alcohol consumption with offspring molar-incisor hypomineralisation (MIH).
C_LIO_LITo explore for the presence of residual confounding using negative control analyses.
C_LI

MethodsThis study used data from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective birth cohort. We defined offspring MIH using prospectively collected questionnaire data. We used logistic regression to explore confounder adjusted associations between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy with MIH. We included negative control exposure (paternal BMI, smoking and alcohol around the time of pregnancy) and outcome (offspring dental trauma) analyses to explore for the presence of residual confounding.

Results5536 mother/offspring pairs were included (297 MIH cases [5.4%]). We found a positive association between maternal mean BMI and offspring MIH (OR per 1-kg/m2 difference in maternal BMI: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.08). In subsequent analyses, we found evidence that this effect was non-linear and being driven by women in the highest BMI quintiles. In negative control analyses, we found no evidence of association between paternal BMI and offspring MIH (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.00) and maternal BMI and offspring dental trauma (OR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). There was no clear evidence of an association for maternal pregnancy smoking (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.46, 1.22) and alcohol consumption (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.21) with offspring MIH with results imprecisely estimated.

ConclusionIn summary we found evidence of a possible intrauterine effect of high maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on offspring MIH. We did not find robust evidence for an intrauterine effect of maternal pregnancy smoking or alcohol consumption on offspring MIH. Our findings provide further support for women of reproductive age to maintain a healthy weight. Future studies are warranted to explore possible mechanisms on how the pregnancy environment may relate to offspring MIH. Combination of Mifepristone and Methotrexate for the Treatment of Ectopic Pregnancy: A Systematic Review Protocol AimThe increase in ectopic pregnancies (EP) in recent years and their impact on female fertility forces physicians to find an effective medical treatment that can avoid surgery as soon as possible. Methotrexate and mifepristone are widely used in conservative treatments, but the effectiveness of this combination is not completely clear. Therefore, the aims in this meta-analysis are to systematically analyze the efficacy of mifepristone combined with methotrexate in the treatment of EP through existing studies and draw a conclusion, to evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of inclusion trials and propose improvement measures and scientific designing schemes.

MethodsSix databases will be searched, including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, the China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI), Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database (VIP), and Wanfang Database (WF). Randomized controlled trials published up to October 2020 will be selected. Search terms include mifepristone, methotrexate, EP, and random (free word/synonym expansion). We will include trials in which the experimental group was treated with combination of mifepristone and methotrexate, and the control group was treated with mifepristone alone. Revman 5.4 will be used to evaluate the quality of the trials, and the effect model will be selected to analyze the results. Cure rate will be the main outcome index.

ResultOnly when we finish this meta analysis can we get the result.

DiscussionThe results of this study will provide evidence for the efficacy of mifepristone combined with methotrexate therapy in the treatment of EP. The site of onset of pregnancy should be taken into account.

PROSPERO registration numberCRD42021246757 A Cross-Sectional Examination of Conflict-of-Interest Disclosures of Physician-Authors Publishing in High-Impact US Medical Journals ObjectiveTo assess the accuracy of self-reported financial conflict-of-interest (COI) disclosures in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) within the requisite disclosure period prior to article submission.

DesignCross-sectional investigation.

Data SourcesOriginal clinical-trial research articles published in NEJM (n = 206) or JAMA (n = 188) from January 1 to December 31, 2017; self-reported COI disclosure forms submitted to NEJM or JAMA with the authors published articles; Open Payments website (from database inception; latest search: August 2019).

Main outcome measuresFinancial data reported to Open Payments from 2014 to 2016 (time period that included all subjects requisite disclosure windows) were compared to self-reported disclosure forms submitted to the journals. Payments were defined as those not associated with a research study or formal research funding. Payment types were categorized as "disclosed," "undisclosed," "indeterminate," or "unrelated."

ResultsThirty-one articles from NEJM and 31 articles from JAMA met inclusion criteria. The physician-authors (n = 118) received a combined total of $7.48 million. Of the 106 authors (89.8%) who received payments, 86 (81.1%) received undisclosed payments. The top 23 most highly compensated received $6.32 million, of which $3.00 million (47.6%) was undisclosed. Disclosure rates were the equivalent between the top 23 and the entire sample.

ConclusionsHigh payment amounts, as well as high proportions of undisclosed financial compensation, regardless of amount received, comprised potential COIs for two influential US medical journals. Further research is needed to explain why such high proportions of general payments were undisclosed and whether journals that rely on self-reported COI disclosure need to reconsider their policies. Macular vascular complexity analysis of diabetes mellitus by swept-source optical coherence tomographic angiography PurposeTo evaluate the associations of retinal vascular complexity features, including fractal dimension (FD) and blood vessel tortuosity (BVT), with the severity of diabetic retinopathy (DR) by using noninvasive optical coherence tomographic angiography (OCTA).

MethodsThis prospective cross-sectional study recruited ocular-treatment-naive patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) registered in the community of Guangzhou, China. OCTA was used to obtain the measurements of FD and BVT in the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and the deep capillary plexus (DCP). Univariate and multivariate linear regression was used to analyse the correlation of FD and BVT in different layers with DR severity.

ResultsA total of 1282 patients with DM (1282 eyes), with a mean age of 64.2{+/-}7.8 years, were included. FD in the DCP decreased and BVT in the DCP increased in DR patients compared to non-DR patients, even after adjusting for confounding factors (P< 0.05). Trend analysis showed a significant decrease in the FD values as the DR progressed, while the BVT progressively increased with worsening DR severity (P< 0.01). The FD in DCP had a statistically significant positive correlation with FD in SCP and a negative correlation with BVT in SCP and BVT in DCP in all of the participants, including the non-DR group, moderate DR group and severe DR group (P< 0.01).

ConclusionFD and BVT determined using OCTA might be useful parameters for objectively distinguishing DR from non-DR and indicating DR progression. A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Enhancing the Prediction Power in Large Scale Population Studies: The ATHLOS Project The ATHLOS cohort is composed of several harmonized datasets of international cohorts related to health and aging. The healthy aging scale has been constructed based on a selection of particular variables from 16 individual studies. In this paper, we consider a selection of additional variables found in ATHLOS and investigate their utilization for predicting the healthy aging. For this purpose motivated by the datasets volume and diversity we focus our attention upon the clustering for prediction scheme, where unsupervised learning is utilized to enhance prediction power, showing the predictive utility of exploiting structure in the data by clustering. We show that imposed computation bottlenecks can be surpassed when using appropriate hierarchical clustering within a clustering for ensemble classification scheme while retaining prediction benefits. We propose a complete methodology which is evaluated against baseline methods and the original concept. The results are very encouraging suggesting further developments in this direction along with applications in tasks with similar characteristics. A strait-forward open source implementation is provided for the R project. The Association of Opening K-12 Schools with the Spread of COVID-19 in the United States: County-Level Panel Data Analysis AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWThis paper empirically examines how the opening of K-12 schools and colleges is associated with the spread of COVID-19 using county-level panel data in the United States. Using data on foot traffic and K-12 school opening plans, we analyze how an increase in visits to schools and opening schools with different teaching methods (in-person, hybrid, and remote) is related to the 2-weeks forward growth rate of confirmed COVID-19 cases. Our debiased panel data regression analysis with a set of county dummies, interactions of state and week dummies, and other controls shows that an increase in visits to both K-12 schools and colleges is associated with a subsequent increase in case growth rates. The estimates indicate that fully opening K-12 schools with in-person learning is associated with a 5 (SE = 2) percentage points increase in the growth rate of cases. We also find that the positive association of K-12 school visits or in-person school openings with case growth is stronger for counties that do not require staff to wear masks at schools. These results have a causal interpretation in a structural model with unobserved county and time confounders. Sensitivity analysis shows that the baseline results are robust to timing assumptions and alternative specifications. Mutation burden-orthogonal tumor genomic subtypes delineate responses to immune checkpoint therapy Higher-resolution tumor-agnostic biomarkers that predict response to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy are needed. Mutation signatures reflect underlying oncogenic processes that can affect tumor immunogenicity, and thus potentially delineate ICI treatment response among tumor types. Systematic mutational signature analysis on all solid tumors in The Cancer Genome Atlas yielded eight distinct tumor genomic subtypes, which were characterized by smoking exposure, ultraviolet light exposure, APOBEC enzyme activity, POLE mutation, mismatch repair deficiency, homologous recombination deficiency, genomic stability, and aging. The former five subtypes were construed to form an immune-responsive group acting as candidates for ICI therapy because of their high expression of immune-related genes and enrichment in cancer types with FDA approval for ICI monotherapy. Under this hypothesis, we developed a software to classify new tumors submitted to whole-exome sequencing. A pan-cancer dataset containing 973 cases treated with ICIs and clinical response was used for validation, where the classified tumor subtypes were significantly associated with ICI response, independent of cancer type and tumor mutational burden high or low status. The new tumor subtyping method can serve as a tumor-agnostic biomarker for ICI response prediction and will improve decision making in cancer treatment.

Structured abstractO_ST_ABSBackgroundC_ST_ABSIn cancer therapy, higher-resolution tumor-agnostic biomarkers that predict response to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy are needed. Mutation signatures reflect underlying oncogenic processes that can affect tumor immunogenicity, and thus potentially delineate ICI treatment response among tumor types.

MethodsBased on mutational signature analysis, we developed a stratification for all solid tumors in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Subsequently, we developed a new software (GS-PRACTICE) to classify new tumors submitted to whole-exome sequencing. Using existing data from 973 pan-cancer ICI-treated cases with outcomes, we evaluated the subtype-response predictive performance.

ResultsSystematic analysis on TCGA samples identified eight tumor genomic subtypes, which were characterized by features represented by smoking exposure, ultraviolet light exposure, APOBEC enzyme activity, POLE mutation, mismatch repair deficiency, homologous recombination deficiency, genomic stability, and aging. The former five subtypes were presumed to form an immune-responsive group acting as candidates for ICI therapy because of their high expression of immune-related genes and enrichment in cancer types with FDA approval for ICI monotherapy. In the validation cohort, the samples assigned by GS-PRACTICE to the immune-reactive subtypes were significantly associated with ICI response independent of cancer type and TMB high or low status.

ConclusionsThe new tumor subtyping method can serve as a tumor-agnostic biomarker for ICI response prediction and will improve decision making in cancer treatment.

One Sentence SummaryA novel tumor genome subtyping method based on mutation signature analysis can predict response to immune checkpoint therapy orthogonally to tumor mutational burden. Hemodynamic Differences Between Women and Men with Elevated Blood Pressure in China: A Non-Invasive Assessment of 45,082 Adults Using Impedance Cardiography BackgroundWhether there are sex differences in hemodynamic profiles among people with elevated blood pressure is not well understood and could guide personalization of treatment.

Methods and resultsWe described the clinical and hemodynamic characteristics of adults with elevated blood pressure in China using impedance cardiography. We included 45,082 individuals with elevated blood pressure (defined as systolic blood pressure of [&ge;]130 mmHg or a diastolic blood pressure of [&ge;]80 mmHg), of which 35.2% were women. Overall, women had a higher mean systolic blood pressure than men (139.0 [{+/-}15.7] mmHg vs 136.8 [{+/-}13.8] mmHg, P<0.001), but a lower mean diastolic blood pressure (82.6 [{+/-}9.0] mmHg vs 85.6 [{+/-}8.9] mmHg, P<0.001). After adjusting for age, region, and body mass index, women <50 years old had lower systemic vascular resistance index (beta-coefficient [{beta}] -31.7; 95% CI: -51.2, -12.2) and higher cardiac index ({beta} 0.07; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.09) than men of their same age group, whereas among those [&ge;]50 years old women had higher systemic vascular resistance index ({beta} 120.4; 95% CI: 102.4, 138.5) but lower cardiac index ({beta} -0.15; 95% CI: -0.16, -0.13). Results were consistent with a propensity score matching sensitivity analysis, although the magnitude of the SVRI difference was lower and non-significant. However, there was substantial overlap between women and men in the distribution plots of these variables, with overlapping areas ranging from 78% to 88%.

ConclusionsOur findings indicate that there are sex differences in hypertension phenotype, but that sex alone is insufficient to infer an individuals profile. Increase in SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific IgA and IgG Antibodies in Human Milk from Lactating Women Following the COVID-19 Booster Vaccination The CDC recommended a booster dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech Comirnaty (BNT162b2) COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in September 2021 for high-risk individuals. Pregnant and high-risk lactating women were encouraged to receive the booster to obtain potential prolonged protection for themselves and their infants. This study investigated the ability of the booster vaccine to increase IgA and IgG antibodies specific to the receptor binding domain (RBD) of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in breast milk compared to levels pre-booster. We found a significant increase in both anti-RBD-specific IgA and IgG antibodies in breast milk following the Pfizer-BioNTech booster and this increase was present in the majority of participants at the study endpoint (60 days post-booster). These results suggest the booster enhances SARS-CoV-2 specific immunity in human breast milk, which may be protective for infants. Distinct temporal characteristics of circulating alveolar epithelial and endothelial injury markers in ARDS with COVID-19: a preliminary retrospective report The time course and specific contributions of alveolar epithelial and endothelial injury to the pathogenesis of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the characteristics of circulating markers of alveolar epithelial and endothelial injury in serum samples from eleven ARDS patients and ten non-ARDS patients, all with COVID-19. Our results indicates that the alveolar epithelial injury at the very early disease stage and the endothelial injury which continues to exacerbate during the later disease stage seem to be the hallmarks of ARDS with COVID-19. Problems with Evidence Assessment in COVID-19 Health Policy Impact Evaluation (PEACHPIE): A systematic review of study design and evidence strength IntroductionAssessing the impact of COVID-19 policy is critical for informing future policies. However, there are concerns about the overall strength of COVID-19 impact evaluation studies given the circumstances for evaluation and concerns about the publication environment. This study systematically reviewed the strength of evidence in the published COVID-19 policy impact evaluation literature.

MethodsWe included studies that were primarily designed to estimate the quantitative impact of one or more implemented COVID-19 policies on direct SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 outcomes. After searching PubMed for peer-reviewed articles published on November 26, 2020 or earlier and screening, all studies were reviewed by three reviewers first independently and then to consensus. The review tool was based on previously developed and released review guidance for COVID-19 policy impact evaluation, assessing what impact evaluation method was used, graphical display of outcomes data, functional form for the outcomes, timing between policy and impact, concurrent changes to the outcomes, and an overall rating.

ResultsAfter 102 articles were identified as potentially meeting inclusion criteria, we identified 36 published articles that evaluated the quantitative impact of COVID-19 policies on direct COVID-19 outcomes. The majority (n=23/36) of studies in our sample examined the impact of stay-at-home requirements. Nine studies were set aside because the study design was considered inappropriate for COVID-19 policy impact evaluation (n=8 pre/post; n=1 cross-section), and 27 articles were given a full consensus assessment. 20/27 met criteria for graphical display of data, 5/27 for functional form, 19/27 for timing between policy implementation and impact, and only 3/27 for concurrent changes to the outcomes. Only 1/27 studies passed all of the above checks, and 4/27 were rated as overall appropriate. Including the 9 studies set aside, reviewers found that only four of the 36 identified published and peer-reviewed health policy impact evaluation studies passed a set of key design checks for identifying the causal impact of policies on COVID-19 outcomes.

DiscussionThe reviewed literature directly evaluating the impact of COVID-19 policies largely failed to meet key design criteria for inference of sufficient rigor to be actionable by policy-makers. This was largely driven by the circumstances under which policies were passed making it difficult to attribute changes in COVID-19 outcomes to particular policies. More reliable evidence review is needed to both identify and produce policy-actionable evidence, alongside the recognition that actionable evidence is often unlikely to be feasible. Macronutrient mass intake explains deferential weight and fat loss in isocaloric diets Differential weight and fat losses under isocaloric diets of distinct macronutrient composition are well-documented findings in obesity research.1-6 Such data are considered a result of inadequate methodology as it disagree with the energy balance theory.7 A recent mathematical analysis of this paradigm has found, however, serious analytical contradictions in its foundations.8 As an alternative, a mass balance model was proposed to explain the aforesaid body composition alterations. Here, we expand on this observation by contrasting both models. We show that mass balance explains a wide range of fending experiments including those concurring with the energy balance principle. The latter, however, is less flexible and results in poor forecasts in settings consistent with mass balance. The energy balance theory is thus an unsatisfactory model of body composition changes. Consequently, by shifting to a mass balance paradigm of obesity a much deeper understanding of this disease may follow in the near future. A genome-wide association study of chronic ALT-based non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the Million Veteran Program with histological and radiological validation. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing cause of chronic liver disease. Using a proxy NAFLD definition of chronic alanine aminotransferase elevation (cALT) without other liver diseases, we performed a trans-ancestry genome-wide association study in the Million Veteran Program including 90,408 cALT cases and 128,187 controls. In the Discovery stage, seventy-seven loci exceeded genome-wide significance - including 25 without prior NAFLD or ALT associations - with one additional locus identified in European-American-only and two in African-American-only analyses (P<5x10-8). External replication in cohorts with NAFLD defined by histology (7,397 cases, 56,785 controls) or liver fat extracted from radiologic imaging (n=44,289) validated 17 SNPs (P<6.5x10-4) of which 9 were novel (TRIB1, PPARG, MTTP, SERPINA1, FTO, IL1RN, COBLL1, APOH, and IFI30). Pleiotropy analysis showed that 61 of 77 trans-ancestry and all 17 validated SNPs were jointly associated with metabolic and/or inflammatory traits, revealing a complex model of genetic architecture. Our approach integrating cALT, histology and imaging reveals new insights into genetic liability to NAFLD. Elevated Levels of IL-6 in IgA Nephropathy patients are induced by an Epigenetically Driven Mechanism Triggered by Viral and Bacterial RNA Recently, a several models has been proposed to describe the pathogenesis of Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), and among them the multihit and the gut-microbiota. These models explain the pathogenesis of IgAN caused by the production of aberrant IgA, but it is believed further predisposing factors are present, including immunological, genetic, environmental, or nutritional factors that can influence the pathogenesis and that could be useful for development of precision nephrology and personalized therapy.

Newly, the role of IL-6 in pathogenesis is becoming increasingly important. It is essential for glomerular immunoglobulin A deposition and the development of renal pathology in Cd37-deficient mice, even if the reason why levels of IL-6 are elevated in IgAN patients is not well understood. One attainable hypothesis on high levels of IL-6 in IgAN comes out from our recent whole genome DNA methylation screening in IgAN patients, that identified, among others, a hypermethylated region comprising Vault RNA 2-1 (VTRNA2-1), a non-coding RNA also known as precursor of miR-886 (pre-mi-RNA). Consistently, the VTRNA2-1 expression was found down-regulated in IgAN patients.

Here we confirm that VTRNA2-1 is low expressed in IgAN subjects compared to HS and we found that also in transplanted IgAN patients (TP-IgAN), compared to non IgAN transplanted patients (TP), the VTRNA2-1 transcript was expressed at level very low. We found that in IgAN patients with downregulated VTRNA2-1, PKR is overactivated, coherently with the role of the VTRNA2-1 that binds to PKR and inhibits its phosphorylation. The loss of the VTRNA2-1 natural restrain causes, in turn, the activation of CREB by PKR. We found CREB, a classical cAMP-inducible CRE-binding factor interacting with a region of the IL-6 promoter and leading to IL-6 production, overactivated both in IgAN and in TP-IgAN patients. Effectively, in the same patients, we found elevated levels of IL-6 correlating with CREB and PKR phosphorylation.

Since PKR is normally activated by bacterial and viral RNA we hypothesized that these microrganisms can further activate the PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway leading to an excess of IL-6 production, explaining both the high levels of IL-6, both infection involvement in the disease, both cases of IgAN associated with COVID-19 infection and with COVID-19 RNA-vaccination, and recent data showing microbiota involvment in IgAN.

Effectively, we found that Effectively, we sfound that both the RNA poly(I:C) and the COVID-19 RNA-vaccine stimulation significantly increase the IL-6 levels in IgAN patient PBMCs.

The PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway may be very important also in the setting of renal transplantation. We found that this pathway is upregulated also in IgAN transplanted patients. Recent studies showed that the cumulative risk of IgA nephropathy recurrence increases after transplant and is associated with a 3.7-fold greater risk of graft loss. Finally, we showed that the IL-6 secretion can be reduced by the PKR inhibitor imoxin.

In conclusion, the discovery of the upregulated VTRNA2-1/PKR/CREB/IL-6 pathway in IgAN patients may provide novel approach to treat the disease and may be useful for development of precision nephrology and personalized therapy, possibly by checking the VTRNA2-1 methylation level in IgAN patients. Pay-it-forward to improve influenza vaccine uptake and public engagement among children and older adults in China: three-arm quasi-experimental pragmatic trial BackgroundChina has low seasonal influenza vaccination rates among children and older adults. This quasi-experimental pragmatic trial examined the effectiveness of a pay-it-forward intervention on influenza vaccination compared to standard-of-care (user-paid vaccination) among children and older people in China. Pay-it-forward offered a free influenza vaccine from a local group and an opportunity to donate financially to support future individuals.

MethodsAt each of the three study sites, participants were recruited into the standard-of-care arm first until expected sample size was reached and then recruited into the pay-it-forward arm. The primary outcome was vaccine uptake. Secondary outcomes included vaccine confidence and costs. Regression methods compared influenza vaccine uptake and vaccine confidence between the two arms.

ResultsAmong 300 participants enrolled, 55/150(36.7%) in the standard-of-care arm 111/150(74.0%) in the pay-it-forward arm received an influenza vaccine. People in the pay-it-forward arm were more likely to receive the vaccine compared to people in the standard-of-care arm (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)= 6.7, 95%CI [2.7, 16.6] among children; aOR=5.0, [2.3, 10.8] among older adults). People in the pay-it-forward arm had greater confidence in vaccine safety, importance, and effectiveness. In the pay-it-forward arm, 107/111 (96.4%) of participants donated money for subsequent vaccinations, and 19 of 60 invited (31.7%) created postcard messages. The pay-it-forward arm had a lower economic cost per person vaccinated ($45.60) than the standard-of-care arm ($64.67).

ConclusionsPay-it-forward was effective in improving influenza vaccine uptake and public engagement. Our data have implications for pro-social interventions to enhance influenza vaccine uptake in countries where influenza vaccines are available for a fee.

Trial registrationChiCTR2000040048

Main point summaryPay-it-forward substantially increased influenza vaccine uptake among children and older adults compared to standard of care user-paid vaccination. The socioeconomic factors that led to unemployment under COVID-19 pandemic among Japanese workers: a prospective cohort study ObjectivesTo examine the relationship between socioeconomic factors and unemployment among workers during COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.

DesignA prospective cohort study, follow-up from December 22-25, 2020 through February 18-19, 2021.

SettingThe panelists registered with an Internet survey company

ParticipantsA cluster random sample of 33,087 workers with stratification by sex, job type, and region among Japans working population

Main outcomes and measuresUnemployment between December 2020 and February 2021

ResultsAmong the 19,941 participants, 725 (3.6%) had experienced unemployment. Multivariate analysis showed that the significant high unemployment for women (compared to men); younger age (compared to older age); being married (spouse not working), bereaved or divorced, and unmarried (compared to married (spouse working)); annual household income less than 6 million yen, (compared to more than 10 million yen); junior high or high school, vocational school, junior college, or technical school (compared to graduate school); and temporary or contract employees, self-employed, agriculture, forestry, or fishing (compared to general employees).

ConclusionsCOVID-19 appears to have created difficulties for the vulnerable groups. This suggests the need for employment and economic support for such individuals.

Strengths and limitations of this studyUnder the pandemic of COVID-19, we found that unemployment was associated with socioeconomic factors such as age, sex, marriage, income, education and occupation.

Our findings suggest that in the event of a major epidemic, resulting in unemployment among vulnerable segments of the labour market, regardless of whether workers themselves are infected.

It was unclear why the participants had experienced unemployment

This study was conducted as an Internet survey, so the generalizability of our results is limited. Intrahost evolution of the HIV-2 capsid correlates with progression to AIDS BackgroundHIV-2 infection will progress to AIDS in most patients without treatment, albeit at approximately half the rate of HIV-1 infection. HIV-2 p26 amino acid variations are associated with lower viral loads and enhanced processing of T cell epitopes, which may lead to protective Gag-specific CTL responses common in slower disease progressors. Lower virus evolutionary rates, and positive selection on conserved residues in HIV-2 env have been associated with slower progression to AIDS. We therefore aimed to determine if intrahost evolution of HIV-2 p26 is associated with disease progression.

MethodsTwelve treatment-naive, HIV-2 mono-infected participants from the Guinea-Bissau Police cohort with longitudinal CD4+ T cell data and clinical follow-up were included in the analysis. CD4% change over time was analysed via linear regression models to stratify participants into relative faster and slower disease progressor groups. Gag amplicons of 735 nucleotides which spanned the p26 region were amplified by PCR and sequenced. We analysed p26 sequence diversity evolution, measured site-specific selection pressures and evolutionary rates, and determined if these evolutionary parameters were associated with progression status. Amino acid polymorphisms were mapped to existing p26 protein structures.

ResultsIn total, 369 heterochronous HIV-2 p26 sequences from 12 male patients with a median age of 30 (IQR: 28-37) years at enrolment were analysed. Faster progressors had lower CD4% and faster CD4% decline rates. Median pairwise sequence diversity was higher in faster progressors (5.7x10-3 versus 1.4x10-3 base substitutions per site, P<0.001). p26 evolved under negative selection in both groups (dN/dS=0.12). Virus evolutionary rates were higher in faster than slower progressors - synonymous rates: 4.6x10-3 vs. 2.3x10-3; and nonsynonymous rates: 6.9x10-4 vs. 2.7x10-4 substitutions/site/year, respectively. Virus evolutionary rates correlated negatively with CD4% change rates ({rho} = -0.8, P=0.02), but not CD4% level. However, Bayes factor (BF) testing indicated that the association between evolutionary rates and CD4% kinetics was supported by weak evidence (BF=0.5). The signature amino acid at p26 positions 6, 12 and 119 differed between faster (6A, 12I, 119A) and slower (6G, 12V, 119P) progressors. These amino acid positions clustered near to the TRIM5/p26 hexamer interface surface.

ConclusionsFaster p26 evolutionary rates were associated with faster progression to AIDS and were mostly driven by synonymous substitutions. Nonsynonymous evolutionary rates were an order of magnitude lower than synonymous rates, with limited amino acid sequence evolution over time within hosts. These results indicate the HIV-2 p26 may be an attractive vaccine or therapeutic target. Development of machine learning models for the prediction of complications after colonic, colorectal and small intestine anastomosis in psychiatric and non-psychiatric patient collectives (PSTUDY) Psychiatric and psychosomatic diseases are an increasingly cumbersome burden for the medical system. Indeed, hospital costs associated with mental health conditions have been constantly on the rise in recent years. Moreover, psychiatric conditions are likely to have a negative effect on the treatment of other medical conditions and surgical outcomes, in addition to their direct effects on the overall quality of life. Our study aims to investigate the impact of preoperative Risk factor, psychiatric and psychosomatic diseases on the outcomes of colorectal surgery and length of hospital stay via predictive modeling techniques.

MethodPatient data will be collected from several participating national and international surgical centers The machine learning models will be calculated and coded, but also published according to the TRIPOD guidelines (transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis).

ResultIt is conceivable to arrive at generalizable models predicting the abovementioned endpoints through large amounts of data from several centers. The models will be subsequently deployed as a free-to-use web-based prediction tool using the Shiny environment [47]. The cost for the hosting server and digital infrastructure will be covered by Dr. Anas Taha. The sponsor will store the data for ten years. Prospectively validated disease-agnostic predictive medicine with augmented intelligence Despite numerous superhuman achievements in complex challenges1,2, standalone AI does not free life science from the long-term bottleneck of linearly extracting new knowledge from exponentially growing new data3, severely limiting the success rate of drug discovery4. Inspired by the state-of-the-art AI training methods, we trained a human-centric hybrid augmented intelligence5 (HAI) to learn a foundation model6 that extracts all-encompassing knowledge of human physiology and diseases. To evaluate the quality of HAIs extracted knowledge, we designed the public, prospective prediction of pivotal ongoing clinical trial outcomes at large scale (PROTOCOLS) challenge to benchmark HAIs real-world performance of predicting drug clinical efficacy without access to human data. HAI achieved a 10.5-fold improvement from the baseline with 99% confidence7 in the PROTOCOLS validation, readily increasing the average clinical success rate of investigational new drugs from 7.9%8 to 90% for almost any human diseases9,10. The validated HAI confirms that exponentially extracted knowledge alone is sufficient for accurately predicting drug clinical efficacy, effecting a total reversal of Erooms law4. HAI is also the worlds first clinically validated model of human aging that could substantially speed up the discovery of preventive medicine for all age-related diseases11. Our results demonstrate that disruptive breakthroughs necessitate the smallest team size to attain the largest HAI for optimal knowledge extraction from high-dimensional low-quality data space, thus establishing the first prospective proof of the previous discovery that small teams disrupt12. The global adoption of training HAI provides a well-beaten economic path to mass-produce scientific and technological breakthroughs via exponential knowledge extraction and better designs of data labels for training better-performing AI13. Evaluating the Risk of Psilocybin for the Treatment of Bipolar Depression: A Review of the Research Literature and Published Case Studies Growing evidence suggests that psilocybin, the active ingredient in hallucinogenic mushrooms, can rapidly and durably improve symptoms of depression, leading to recent breakthrough status designation by the FDA and legalization for mental health treatment in some jurisdictions. Depression in bipolar disorder is associated with significant morbidity and has few effective treatments. However, there is little available scientific data on the risk of psilocybin use in people with bipolar disorder. Individuals with bipolar disorder have been excluded from modern clinical trials, out of understandable concerns of activating mania or worsening the illness course. As psilocybin becomes more available, people with these disorders will likely seek psilocybin treatment for depression and have likely already been doing so in unregulated settings. Our goal here is to summarize the known risks of psilocybin use (and similar substances) in bipolar disorder and to systematically evaluate examples of published case history data, in order to critically evaluate the relative risk of psilocybin as a treatment for bipolar depression. We found 17 cases suggesting that there is potential risk for activating a manic episode, thereby warranting caution. Nonetheless, the relative lack of systematic data or common case examples indicating risk appears to show that a cautious trial, using modern trial methods focusing on appropriate  set and  setting, targeted at those lowest at risk for mania in the bipolar spectrum (e.g., bipolar 2 disorder), is very much needed, especially given the degree to which depression impacts this population.