These forecasts are contingent upon the central bank's view of the transmission mechanism, the current state of the economy and a planned path for the instrument. Complex econometric modeling and statistical inference-building based on high-quality data and economic information is needed in order to produce reliable forecasts. A subjective assessment of the inflation path may be included also.
Овие предвидувања зависат од ставот на централната банка за механизмот на пренесување, актуелната економска состојба и планиран пат за средството.