short par 4
a high percentage that your upcoming experience will be a positive one, and a very low percentage that it will end in disappointment

when the odds are strongly in favor one being a success in their future happening; just as in golf, a short par 4 represents a situation that will prove to result in foreseeable victory for the participant
"Are you nervous for your date?"

"Not at all. She is my sister's good friend and she loves football players. It's a short par 4."