    ::::::My point is that he was drawing on CIA analysis that had been around for a long time. This wasn't news that the Soviets were going to fall - that's my point. I'm not sure that whoever said this is right. I do know that Patrick Moynihan claimed to have predicted it in the seventies as well. No one that I know of was shocked when Reagan said it - it was accepted as obvious and conventional wisdom.   :::::::Who is the quote from? :::::::::     