In a game where players guess aspects of the Democratic ticket, what's the likelihood of correctly guessing the home state of the vice presidential nominee on the first try, assuming they only know the 50 state names?
The likelihood is 1/50 or 0.02 or 2%.
{"reasoning_type": "probabilistic"}
Tim Walz, the Governor of Minnesota, is Kamala Harris's running mate for the 2024 Democratic ticket. If a player only knows the names of the 50 states and guesses randomly, the probability of correctly guessing Minnesota on the first try is simply 1 out of 50.