If a political pundit randomly selects three facts about the Democratic ticket to discuss on a news show, what's the chance they mention Minnesota?
The chance is 0.6 or 60%.
{"reasoning_type": "probabilistic"}
The Democratic ticket for the 2024 election consists of Kamala Harris as the presidential nominee and Tim Walz, the Governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. There are several key facts here: Harris is the current VP, she's the presidential nominee, Walz is the running mate, Walz is from Minnesota, and they're running against Trump. Out of these five facts, one involves Minnesota. The probability of mentioning Minnesota in three randomly selected facts can be calculated as 1 minus the probability of not mentioning Minnesota in any of the three selections: 1 - ((4/5) * (3/4) * (2/3)) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6.