Assuming equal probability, what's the likelihood that a voter remembers the current position of the Democratic vice presidential nominee rather than the presidential nominee?
The likelihood is 1/2 or 0.5 or 50%.
{"reasoning_type": "probabilistic"}
For the 2024 election, Kamala Harris, the current vice president, is the Democratic presidential nominee, while Tim Walz, the Governor of Minnesota, is her running mate. If we assume an equal probability of remembering either nominee's current position, the chance of remembering Walz's position (Governor) rather than Harris's (Vice President) is simply 1/2.