Assuming equal likelihood of remembering each piece of information, what's the chance a voter recalls that the Democratic vice presidential nominee is a governor?
The chance is 1/5 or 0.2 or 20%.
{"reasoning_type": "probabilistic"}
The Democratic ticket for 2024 includes Kamala Harris as the presidential nominee and Tim Walz, the Governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. The key pieces of information are: Harris is the nominee, Harris is the current VP, Walz is the running mate, Walz is a governor, and they're running against Trump. Out of these five equally likely pieces of information, one pertains to Walz being a governor. Therefore, the probability of recalling this specific piece of information is 1/5.