Anything above 10 lbs gosh darned American system is worth celebrating . Good job ! <| sep |> It isn ' t a conspiracy to believe the GOP does not have a plan . Trump has said many times that Day 1 Obamacare is gone . That ' s in like two months and he hasn ' t told us what the replacement is yet . <| sep |> I just want to bring this up , as I was looking for the basic assumptions used by the OBR for the forecasts , given how much uncertainty there is aound Brexit and its economic impactThe OBR expects immigration to fall and so the growth of aggregate GDP to be lower . It also expects weaker investment in response to greater uncertainty , slowing growth in the short term . It has ignored , however , the possibility that lower trade intensity would reduce productivity in the long term . Furthermore , it assumes any hit from uncertainty to growth would disappear quite soon . THis to me is frankly remarkable . I appreciate that they can only work with what they ' ve got , but right now things appear to be worsening in terms of the likely format and outcome of Brexit . Apparently the OBR routinely predict a magical productivity boost that then fails to materialise , making their projections seem better than they turn out to be . In short , I think that Hammonds Autumn statement was based on something like the best possible Brexit scenario , and in fact we ' re headed towards the worst .